USDJPY_SPT trade ideas
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 149.300 zone, USDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 149.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Order Block @149.84 |Sell SignalPrice is in an overall downtrend but it was in a short-term uptrend. It created a change of character which indicates an end of the short-term trade. No I'll wait for price to retrace and mitigate the order block that lead to the change of character. I'll wait for confirmation in order to enter a sell position.
Buying UsdJpyTrading Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position near the 147.993 support level.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the 147.740 level to manage risk in case the downtrend continues.
Take Profit: Target the 149.000 or 150.141 levels as potential resistance zones for profit-taking.
Risk Management:
1% of my capital
USDJPY → Resistance retest (wedge) before the Fed meetingFX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend resistance as part of the dollar index consolidation. An interesting situation is forming which could be a continuation of the downtrend.
Fundamentally, today is an important day. The FED interest rate meeting is ahead. Traders are waiting, the dollar is consolidating at this time. Most likely the rate will remain unchanged, but in this key everyone is interested in Powell's comments on monetary policy and their future actions.
USDJPY at this time is forming a correction to the bearish trend resistance, before the news the currency pair may test the resistance conglomerate: a wedge, 0.79 fibo, or an orderblock located outside the channel
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
Support levels: 148.92
False breakout of the resistance zone can provoke a fall, as well as breakdown of the support of the “wedge” with the subsequent consolidation of the price in the selling zone. The price may test the zone of interest at 147.6, 146.54.
Regards R. Linda!
USD/JPY 4H – Short Setup at Upper Trend Channel Projection.USD/JPY 4H – Short Setup at Upper Trend Channel Projection
USD/JPY is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel. Price is approaching the upper trend channel projection, a key area derived from parallel structure analysis. While this level has not been tested multiple times, it aligns with the broader bearish trend, making it a potential rejection zone.
If price fails to close above this projection on the 4H timeframe, a short position will be executed with a stop-loss above the recent highs. The initial target is the previous lows at 146.60, while the extended target is the lower trend channel trendline.
Watching for confirmation before entry.
USDJPY bearish trend continuation below 150.60The USDJPY currency pair remains bearish, following the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows resistance at the 150.60 level, which marks the current intraday swing high.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The critical resistance level to watch is 150.60. A rally to this level followed by a bearish rejection could signal further downside momentum.
Support: On the downside, key support levels are positioned at 148.15, 147.00, and 146.30, marking potential bearish targets over the longer term.
Bullish Scenario: If the pair breaks above the 150.60 resistance and achieves a daily close above it, the bearish outlook would be invalidated. This would open the door for further rallies, with resistance levels at 151.46 and 152.36 acting as possible targets.
Conclusion: The bearish sentiment remains strong as long as 150.60 holds as resistance. Traders should be cautious of rallies and look for bearish rejections near this level. A confirmed breakout above 150.60 would signal a potential trend reversal, favoring further upside.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/JPY Bearish Continuation📉 Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a breakdown from an ascending channel, indicating a potential bearish reversal after an extended uptrend.
Price has formed a descending channel, reinforcing the short-term bearish structure.
🔍 Key Levels:
Sell Zone: Around 0.0066848 - 0.0066919, acting as resistance.
First Target: Around 0.006490, a strong support area.
Second Target: Around 0.0065692, marking a deeper level of bearish continuation.
Final Target: Around 0.0064632, a critical demand zone.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for sell entries on a possible pullback to the resistance zone.
Confirmation through rejection candles or continuation patterns could strengthen the bearish case.
⚠ Risk Management:
Stop loss above the previous resistance around 0.0067184.
Take profits gradually at key support zones.
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY UPDATE 19th MARCH 2025The price is currently rising as anticipated. I took partial profits already since price surpassed half of what I expected.
I also moved Stoploss to 149.443 to protect the remaining open position just incase.
I hope you guys took the trade too. If not, do not panic as the market always gives new opportunities. STAY ALERT
REMINDER
1.Never get to confident as the market can always surprise you in ways you can't even imagine, so always use proper risk management.
2. We learn everyday.
USDJPY Trading strategyThe USDJPY is currently at a critical level, with the price fluctuating around 149.00. The resistance level above is at 150.00, and if broken through, it may further test 151.00. The support level below is at 148.50, and if it falls below, it may drop to 148.00. Recently, the market has been focusing on the monetary policy trends of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The strengthening of the US dollar and the weakness of the Japanese yen may push USDJPY higher.
USDJPY Trading strategy:
buy@148.50-149.00
tp:150.00-150.50-151.00
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
Due to USD weakness, this pair presents a potential short opportunity. We have a valid supply zone, strengthened by liquidity presence.
🔹 Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Wait for a liquidity sweep before entering.
2️⃣ Let the price tap into the supply zone.
3️⃣ Switch to a lower timeframe (5M or 15M) for precise entry confirmation.
4️⃣ Look for a Mitigation Block or Fair Value Gap (FVG) as an entry trigger.
⚠️ Risk Management is Key:
Always manage risk, avoid greed, and never trade blindly.
Stick to your plan, and let the market come to you.
Wishing you all the best & happy trading! 🚀📊 Thank you!
Geopolitical Analysis and Impacts on Currency Markets
Hello, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about how recent geopolitical news is impacting the Forex market, analyzing the main currency pairs and providing a detailed technical picture.
Current Geopolitical Context
This week, the geopolitical landscape has been characterized by a series of significant events. Among them, tensions between the United States and Russia have dominated the scene, with a phone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin that has opened up the possibility of a negotiation in Ukraine. However, the situation on the ground remains critical, with Russian forces advancing in several Ukrainian regions2. Furthermore, uncertainty over gas supplies in Europe has led to significant volatility in energy markets, with the price of gas falling by 3%.
Impacts on the Forex Market
Geopolitical tensions have had a direct impact on the Forex market, influencing volatility and capital flows. For example:
EUR/USD: The pair has been showing a bearish trend, influenced by economic uncertainty in Europe and the strength of the dollar as a safe haven.
USD/JPY: The dollar has gained ground against the yen, thanks to the perception of economic stability in the United States.
GBP/USD: The British pound has been under pressure due to concerns about economic growth in the United Kingdom.
Technical Analysis
A technical analysis of the major currency pairs reveals the following trends:
EUR/USD: Technical indicators suggest a "sell" position, with key support at 1.0832 and resistance at 1.0862.
USD/JPY: The pair is showing "buy" signals, with an uptrend supported by resistance at 148.09.
GBP/USD: Indicators are mixed, with resistance at 1.2944 and support at 1.2920.
Conclusion
Geopolitical dynamics continue to play a crucial role in determining the movements of the Forex market. Investors should carefully monitor global developments and use technical tools to make informed decisions. The current volatility offers opportunities, but also requires careful risk management.
I hope this analysis has been useful to you in better understanding the connections between geopolitics and Forex. Stay tuned for more updates!
USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend.
Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario.
If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
USDJPY Tests Cup and Handle Formation Ahead of FOMCUSDJPY has formed a cup-and-handle pattern just below the 150 level. Today, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates steady at 0.50%. Wage negotiations so far indicate a 5.46% wage increase, which Governor Ueda described as "somewhat strong." Combined with rising food prices, the risk of further inflation has increased. Japan's inflation has remained above 2% since early 2022, and there’s no sign of that trend reversing anytime soon. In light of these factors, the BOJ is likely to consider a rate hike in May.
However, today’s market focus will shift to the FOMC. The Fed is expected to raise its inflation and unemployment forecasts while lowering its growth forecast due to the anticipated effects of new U.S. trade policies. These stagflationary pressures are likely to keep the Fed’s rates elevated for an extended period. If the dot plot shows only one rate cut this year (instead of two as projected in December), the dollar index may begin to recover.
The 150 level remains a key resistance for USDJPY. A confirmed breakout of the cup-and-handle pattern has the potential to push the pair towards the 153 level over the medium term. However, given the underlying fundamentals favoring BOJ rate hikes, any upward movement will likely be slower and more choppy, unless of course FOMC goes full hawkish.
On the downside, if the Fed is less hawkish than expected, 149 (and sliglty below)becomes the critical support to watch. A break below 149 would invalidate the bullish pattern and shift momentum to the downside for USDJPY.