USDJPY_SPT trade ideas
Sentiment Extreme on the Yen Could Bode Well for Commodity FXI take a closer look at the Japanese yen futures market to highlight why I think the Japanese yen has reached an important inflection point. And that could further support the bounce of yen pairs such as AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY and NZD/JPY - alongside USD/JPY should the Fed not be as dovish as many hope.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City index and Forex.com
USDJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 150.60
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 149.93
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY S&R IN 1-H AT MUST WATCH OUTHello Guys Here Is Chart Of USDJPY in 1-H AT
Entry Level: BUY Around 148,300 - 148,000
Target Will Be : 149,300
Support: 148,000 The yellow circles highlight previous points where the price respected this trendline as support
However, if the price breaks below the trendline, the bullish scenario may be invalidated.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis & Trade Outlook – March 16, 2025Current Price: 148.618
EMA (30): 148.545 (short-term trend)
EMA (200): 148.286 (long-term trend)
Resistance Zone: 149.233
Support Zone: 148.286
Analysis & Price Action:
The price is trending upwards, forming higher lows, indicating bullish momentum.
The price is above both the 30 EMA and 200 EMA, which suggests an ongoing uptrend.
A support level around 148.286 is holding, reinforcing a bullish bias.
Forecast & Trade Plan:
A potential breakout above the minor resistance could push USD/JPY towards the 149.233 target.
If price retraces, a bounce off 148.286 would present a buy opportunity.
If price breaks below 148.286, the bullish outlook weakens, and further downside may follow.
📌 Bias: Bullish towards 149.233
📌 Confirmation: Watch price action at support and resistance levels
📌 Risk Management: Consider stop-loss below 148.200 to protect downside.
Would you like further details on trade entry points?
Yen Gains on Rate Hike ExpectationsThe Japanese yen traded around 148.6 per dollar on Monday, near a five-month high, as expectations for BOJ rate hikes remained strong. However, the central bank is expected to keep its policy unchanged in this week’s meeting.
Major Japanese firms approved wage hikes for the third year, boosting consumer spending and inflation, and potentially allowing future rate increases. The yen also gained from dollar weakness as US economic concerns and trade policies pushed investors toward safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
UsdJpy bullish continuation I was patiently waiting for price at 147.842 last week but it didn't come to my point of interest.
Nothing spoil, I'll watch how price reacts at 148.033, that's my assumed poi for the bullish continuation. If price didn't respect that zone then I'll be expecting price at 147.842
My draw on Liquidity 🧲 is the current higher high 149.193.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
Long I opened two long positions for USDJPY pair:
My overall bias for USDJPY is bearish so I have been mainly shorting the pair but I saw a good set up wroth while to go long.
Trade set up:
Entry - 148.272 (black line in 4H chart)Target 1 - 149 (previous high and previous week mid price) - Green line in 4H chart)Target 2 - 149.82 (Green line in 4H chart)Stop loss- 147.38 (red line in 4H chart)
Reasons for this trade:
1) All momentum indicators have entered bull territory in 4H chart.
2) All daily momentum indicators are showing positive divergence.
3) All daily momentum indicators are still deep in the bear territory but have crossed to the upside, so it indicates the beginning of the potential corrective move to the upside.
4) The price has dropped to Fib 0.618 level and are boucing up to the upside in the daily chart
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated between moderate gains and minor losses against its US counterpart during Monday's Asian session amid mixed fundamentals. Optimism driven by China's stimulus measures announced over the weekend is evident in the overall positive tone in Asian stock markets. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor undermining the safe-haven yen.
Nevertheless, a significant yen depreciation remains elusive amid diverging policy expectations between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). In addition, geopolitical risks and concerns over the economic impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs are supporting the yen. In addition, bearish sentiment around the US Dollar (USD) should restrain the USD/JPY pair.
Traders may also refrain from aggressive directional bets and prefer to step aside ahead of this week's key central bank events - the Bank of Japan and Fed decisions on Wednesday. This calls for caution from the yen bears and positioning for a continuation of the recent rebound in the USD/JPY pair from the multi-month low around 146.550-146.500 reached last Tuesday.
Trading recommendation: BUY 148.900, SL 148.400, TP 150.100
Dollar weakness and Yen strengthThe dollar has been getting weaker and weaker. Yen are looking to hike interest rates.
Downwards daily channel.
Strong daily resistance.
Strong fundamental backing to go short.
Price would have to go 200 pips which is more than its current daily ATR to get to the next strong daily support/resistance further up if this structure isn’t strong enough but I don’t feel dollar has the strength to get up there.
Once London and US market open I do believe we will see selling to the downside.
Potential longs on USDJPYUSDJPY has surged higher following the release of lower-than-expected CPI and PPI data over the past two days. The pair is currently heading into a resistance zone at the 149.2 level. If it manages to close above that level, then it could retest 150 and then eventually to 151.2.
For shorts, I would not be thinking about shorting it at the moment and would only consider it if it manages to close below 148.2 and fails to break above it.
Happy weekend and happy trading guys! Please do not forget to like and subscribe so that I can continue bringing more free analysis to you on a daily basis.