USDJPY_SPT trade ideas
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY 4HR TIMFRAME BIASOn the 4hr timeframe, price created divergence right at the major zone indicating reversal and price went further to break the 4hr trendline signaling bullish and rhyming with the monthly/weekly/daily established bullish bias hence we established a possible entry long on the USDJPY pair.
The Consolidation Zone and the UncertaintyIn this trade, I’m going to enter with a short position.
Analyzing the pair on the higher time-frames, it has reached a reversal zone for the second time, previously located around the 158.874 price level.
Moving to the daily time-frame and after the pair hit that same area twice again, there’s the possibility of opening a sell position — but a few points should be considered:
**1st point: Pay attention to the reversal the pair is currently making after reaching the area near 139.576 *and try to understand whether a future pullback might occur, which would strengthen the case for the sell (a Fibonacci tool can be used as support for this).
*Something similar happened between January 16, 2023 and December 28, 2023.
**There’s also the chance that the pair might continue its downward movement without making a reversal or pullback.
2nd point: There’s also a possibility that the pair is in a consolidation zone and could later make a strong bullish move, breaking through the reversal zone around 158.874 and invalidating the selling opportunity.
Taking everything mentioned above into account — and despite the uncertainty around this pair’s future movement — it’s possible to consider both buying and selling at different moments. That’s why it’s important to closely monitor all the movements and try to time it right, because I believe that when the pair chooses a direction, it’ll move with strength.
In this analysis, several moving averages and a Parabolic SAR were also used, and they should be given close attention.
USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers,
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Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated that if China does not negotiate, "the United States will make the decision and set the tariff rates," while White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said, "Negotiations with China are going very well."
- Regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, President Trump said, "I have no intention of firing him, but I hope Chairman Powell will be more proactive about the idea of a rate cut."
- The Russian side explained that when the President mentioned the possibility of bilateral talks to ban attacks on civilian targets, it was with negotiations and discussions with Ukraine in mind.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 23: U.S. April Manufacturing PMI, U.S. April Services PMI
USDJPY Chart Analysis
Contrary to expectations, the pair showed a downward movement and formed a bottom around the 140 level. A rebound is occurring in this zone, suggesting the potential for a short-term rise. The 144 level is a likely target for the next peak. However, if the 140 level is broken downward, there is a possibility of a decline toward the 135–136 range.
USD_JPY SWING LONG|
✅USD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 139.559
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 141.384
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/NZD Short and USD/JPY ShortEUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USDJPY Weekly Rejection at Support-Revisit Bearish Order Block?USDJPY pair last trading week got rejected at the same level that the pair has previously acted as a support level. Will this rejection cause USDJPY to rally towards a bearish order block above 147.50?
Risk Zones: 146.50
N.B!
- USDJPY price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
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USDJPY Analysis week 18🌐Fundamental Analysis
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered to near 99.75 after a correction on Thursday. President Donald Trump said trade talks are progressing well and a deal with Japan is close.
US-China trade relations have been thrown into uncertainty by conflicting statements: Trump said President Xi Jinping called him, while China denied any talks were taking place. Tokyo's April consumer price index (CPI) beat expectations at 3.4%, bolstering expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates.
🕯Technical Analysis
Prices are heading towards the resistance zone of 144,900, with the possibility of an uptrend resuming. This resistance zone is likely to act as a retest for a rally towards 148,000. Pay attention to the BUY zones of 142,300 and 141,000 for retests of this pair.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 141.000-140.800 Stoploss 140.500
USDJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 143.69pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 141.93
Recommended Stop Loss - 144.60
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 23 April 2025
- USDJPY reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 144.65
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the long-term support level 140.00 (former multi-month low from September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous sharp downward impulse wave 3 of the higher impulse wave (3) from February.
Given the strength of the support level 140.00 and the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 144.65 (former support from the start of April).
The beginning of the carry trade unwind part 2?If we look at the chart, the current structure looks very similar to what happened right before the market decline in August.
We've formed a head and shoulders (albeit not perfect as it's slanted), and price seems to be breaking down.
If price action accelerates to do downside, it's likely to take the market with it just like it did the last time.
Paying attention to this over the coming weeks.