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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for March 7, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change USDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been strengthening in recent weeks due to the general weakness of the US Dollar (USD), maintaining the USD/JPY pair near its lowest level since early October, which was reached on Thursday.Speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates has put upward pressure on Japanese government bond (JGB) yields. The narrowing rate differential between Japan and other countries continues to support the low-yielding yen.Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on global economic growth continues to weigh on investor sentiment, as evidenced by weaker stock market performance. This is another factor supporting the safe-haven yen. However, USD bears seem reluctant to place new bets and prefer to wait for the release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which in turn limits USD/JPY losses. Trade recommendation: BUY 147.600, SL 147.000, TP 148.400
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY daily time frame , moving down to the support zone USD/JPY – 1D Chart Analysis (March 4, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Break of Uptrend: The pair had been in an uptrend but recently broke below a key ascending trendline, signaling a shift to a bearish bias. Support Zone Tested: Price recently dropped into the 145.50 - 146.50 demand zone, where buyers attempted to step in. Rejection from 152.14: A clear rejection occurred near 152.14, reinforcing this as a strong resistance zone. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis RSI at 36.89: Close to oversold but still has room for further downside. Bearish Momentum: The RSI has been making lower highs, confirming sustained selling pressure. 3. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 152.14 (Major resistance and previous rejection level) 150.50 - 151.00 (Local resistance from recent price action) Support: 146.00 - 145.50 (Key demand zone, recently tested) 143.50 - 144.00 (Next major support if price continues down) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios 📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price fails to reclaim 150.50, the pair could continue its downtrend toward 146.00 and possibly 144.00. Short Setup: Entry: 149.50 - 150.00 (on rejection) Stop-loss: Above 151.00 Target: 146.50, then 144.00 📈 Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability) If price reclaims 150.50 and finds support, we could see a retest of 152.14. Long Setup: Entry: Above 150.50 Stop-loss: Below 149.50 Target: 152.14 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bearish, favoring a move towards 146.00 - 144.00. Trade idea: Look for rejection near 150.00 to confirm shorts. Risk management: Keep an eye on 146.00, as a strong bullish reaction could invalidate the bearish setup. Would you like additional confirmation on lower timeframes (4H, 1H)? 📊
Short
by Forexbeats
USD/JPY 1H – Smart Money Outlook📈 USD/JPY 1H – Smart Money Outlook 🔹 Key Levels & Setup: ✅ Demand Zone: 150.115 - 150.307 ✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) suggesting bullish imbalance ✅ Fibonacci Levels aligning with entry confirmations 📌 Trading Plan: 🔹 Potential Long Entry near 150.115 - 150.307 🔹 Targeting liquidity at 151.308 🔹 Confirmation: Price respecting demand & bullish BOS #USDJPY #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #LiquiditySweep #FVG #BreakOfStructure #ForexTrading #PriceAction
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
USDJPY Massive Short! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 150.60 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 149.93 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPYYes, USD/JPY is following a strong downtrend, respecting the descending trendline. The break of the 148.000 support confirms further downside momentum. If sellers maintain control, the next key level to watch is 146.000, which aligns with previous demand zones and potential psychological support. Keep an eye on fundamental factors like U.S. Treasury yields, BOJ interventions, and upcoming economic data, as they can influence the speed of the decline. Are you looking to take a short trade on this move?
Short
by Pipsview_Analysis
Major Sell Zone in Sight! USD/JPY at Make-or-Break Level📉 Current Market View: Neutral to Bearish 🔹 Technical Analysis 🔸 Trend: Downtrend continuation 🔸 Key Resistance: 148.40 (FVG & 0.618 Fib) 🔸 Key Support: 146.97 (Previous Low) 📊 Positive Indicators: ✅ MACD – Bullish crossover, indicating short-term momentum shift. ✅ RSI (65) – Above neutral, suggesting strong buying pressure. ✅ OBV – Increasing, reflecting higher volume supporting the move. ⚠️ Negative Indicators: ❌ Stochastic (85) – Overbought, possible retracement incoming. ❌ Bollinger Bands – Price hitting upper band, signaling exhaustion. ❌ ADX (25) – Weak trend strength, move could lack conviction. 📈 Fundamentals Driving USD/JPY 🔸 USD Tariff Impact: Recent shifts in US trade policy causing uncertainty. 🔸 German Spending Surge: A major fiscal shift could impact Euro & risk appetite. 🔸 China’s Growth Pivot: Structural changes influencing global trade flows. 🔸 Stock Market Comparison: S&P 500 underperforming vs. Chinese & European markets. 🌍 Global trade expected to rebound in 2025, with forecasts predicting a 3.3% increase, following a 2023 decline.
Short
by FaithdrivenTrades
Yen Benefits from Dollar's Broad RetreatThe Japanese yen held around 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from the dollar’s decline on a stronger euro and Trump’s tariff policies. His selective tariff exemptions and retaliatory measures weakened the dollar further. Domestically, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida suggested possible rate hikes if economic projections align but emphasized that Japan’s monetary conditions remain highly accommodative, with only minimal reductions in government bond holdings. Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 147.10, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
by ChartMage
ANALYSIS OF USDJPYFundamental View Earlier on Wednesday, during a news conference, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stated that the central bank has no immediate plans to sell its large holdings of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). He also reaffirmed that the BOJ’s monetary policy is not intended to manipulate currency rates. He however declined to comment on U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks on Monday criticizing Japan and China as intentionally weakening their currencies. For the rest of the week, the economic calendar is packed with high important events that could drive significant market movements. Later Today at 5:15PM GMT+4, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change will be released, providing insight into private sector job growth. Meanwhile, 141k has been forecasted denoting a 42k decrease from the previous month of February. While At 6:45 PM GMT+4, the Final Services PMI is set for release, with expectations that it will remain unchanged from the previous month of February. Shortly after, the ISM Services PMI will be in focus, with a forecast of 52.5, slightly lower than the previous 52.8. On Thursday, markets will turn their attention to the U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims, a key indicator of labor market health. Finally, on Friday markets attention would be shifted to the U.S. Jobs Report for February, a crucial release that could set the tone for future Federal Reserve policy decisions. These data points have the tendency to drive markets hence causing volatilities, accompanied with potential risk and reward. Technical View The USD/JPY remains supported around the key 149 level, acting as a strong barrier. In the previous session, the pair briefly dipped to 148.09, but buyers pushed it back toward the 149 zone. A decisive break below this critical support could be triggered by a fresh market catalyst. Given the upcoming high-impact news releases in the cause of the week, if the United States dollar losses momentum further, bears could take advantage of this, hence driving the pair toward 147.36, followed by the 145 psychological level. Further downside pressure could see a move toward the 142 zone. Conversely, if the U.S. dollar strengthens, the pair could rally, with bulls targeting 151, a level where price previously faced rejection. A successful break above this resistance could open the door for a push toward 154. Breakouts beyond these levels remain possible, depending on market dynamics. Meanwhile, the RSI sits at 38.24, just above the 30 oversold thresholds, suggesting there is still room for downside movement before testing overbought conditions. For now, the market remains relatively quiet, awaiting the next catalyst.
by CFI
USD/JPY: Short-Term Bullish Opportunity with Conservative RiskTrade Setup: Symbol: USD/JPY Direction: LONG Entry: 149.95 Stop Loss: 149.65 Target 1: 150.40 Target 2: 150.80 Risk:Reward: 1:1.5 (primary) / 1:2.8 (extended) Analysis: USD/JPY is showing signs of bullish momentum after consolidating near the 149.80 level. Price action on multiple timeframes indicates a potential upside break. The recent higher lows on the 15-minute chart, combined with decreasing bearish momentum on larger timeframes, create a favorable entry opportunity with controlled risk. Strategy: Enter long on a break above current consolidation, just below the key 150.00 psychological level. This conservative entry aims to catch the early momentum while maintaining tight risk parameters. The 30-pip stop loss protects capital while still respecting visible technical support levels. Risk Management: Move stop to breakeven after 20 pips of favorable movement. Consider splitting your position to secure profits at the first target while allowing the remainder to reach the extended target. Always be ready to exit if strong reversal patterns emerge, regardless of stop placement. Key Levels to Watch: 150.00: Psychological resistance 150.40: First resistance target 150.80: Second resistance target 149.65: Key support level Trade within your risk tolerance and adjust position sizing accordingly. Good luck!
Long
by ShlomoYahbes
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET COMPLETE This chart represents a technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's what it indicates: 1. Selling Zone (Yellow Area - Around 151.331) This is a resistance area where sellers are expected to take control, leading to price rejection and a possible downward move. 2. Buyer's Zone (Pink Area - Around 148.800 - 149.000) This is a support area where buyers are likely to step in, causing price to bounce back up. 3. Market Movement & Prediction The price moved up towards the Selling Zone, where it faced resistance and reversed downward (black arrow). It then dropped to the Buyer's Zone, where the trade hit its Target Win (blue arrow with "💪"). The chart suggests a successful short trade from the Selling Zone to the Buyer's Zone. Summary: This analysis shows a successful sell trade from the resistance (151.3) down to support (148.9), hitting the target profit level. It highlights price action behavior around key zones and a well-executed strategy.
Short
by afzalforex110
USDJPY - Potential upside from here?USD/JPY is currently consolidating within a range after a sharp downtrend from the 159.00 level. The price has established support around 148.50-149.00, forming a clear pattern. We're now waiting for a decisive break above the current consolidation area, which would signal renewed bullish momentum. Once we see this breakout, expect a minor retracement to retest the broken resistance as new support – this will be our key buying opportunity. With the descending trendline already broken and the forecast indicating potential upside to the 154.00 area, traders should focus on buy positions following this retracement, with stops below the support zone.
Long
by financialflagship