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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.48, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 145.11 a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.22, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY Continue Bearish TrendThis USD/JPY chart presents a short bias based on multi-timeframe analysis and structure: * **Trend Summary (Text on Chart)**: * **Weekly (W)**: Bearish * **Daily (D)**: Bullish * **12H**: Mixed (Bullish & Bearish) * **6H, 4H**: Bearish → Overall sentiment: **60–80% Bearish Bias** * **Technical Highlights**: * Price is forming a **rising wedge**, typically a bearish reversal pattern. * The pair is currently testing a **Daily Area of Interest (AOI)** near 144.665–144.963, suggesting potential resistance. * Price broke out of the wedge with a projected retest and continuation down. * Target zone is below **143.468 (Daily AOI)** and extends toward **142.823**, suggesting a potential short setup with a favorable risk/reward ratio. * Red and blue EMAs indicate price is below the 200 EMA and flirting with the 50 EMA, adding confluence to the short bias. This analysis implies an anticipated breakdown from the wedge with follow-through to the downside if bearish momentum continues. Multi-timeframe confluence is mostly bearish: Weekly, 6H, and 4H are clearly bearish. 12H is mixed, and only the Daily is bullish. This gives an overall 60–80% bearish bias. Rising wedge pattern: Price is forming a bearish wedge, typically signaling a reversal or breakdown. It's losing momentum near resistance. Price is near a Daily Area of Interest (AOI): The pair is testing a known resistance zone. It has failed to break and hold above it convincingly. Expecting a break and retest of structure: You're anticipating the wedge to break down, retest the structure or AOI, and then continue bearish. Target is aligned with a lower Daily AOI: You have a clear target near 142.800, where price previously reacted — offering good risk-to-reward for the short.
Short
by andreabiondo13
UJ correlating with the dollar?We see price creating LL's and LH's heading to the downside. Structure retested at a LH with a perfect bearish engulfing printing right after the retest of support which turned resistance! Counter trend line was broken. I was also looking at multiple brokers & it looks like the 4hr bearish engulfing only printed on a select few brokers . . Although we did align on a 15 min which is lower time frame. Trade management is key, we shall see what happens next!
Short
by EliSantiago
Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms supportAnalyzing the USD/JPY across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of price recovery after a significant drop, indicating a potential phase of accumulation by institutional players. The daily chart shows a recent decline followed by a stabilization and slight upward movement, suggesting a possible change of character (CHoCH) from bearish to bullish momentum. The 4-hour and 1-hour charts confirm this with a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a shift towards bullish sentiment. The 15-minute, 5-minute, and 1-minute charts display more granular price action, with recent bullish candles suggesting an ongoing push for higher prices. This could be a response to retail selling pressure being absorbed by institutional buying, a common scenario during early stages of a bullish reversal. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in the early stages of an accumulation phase, targeting liquidity above recent highs to trigger stop losses and fuel further upward movement. The presence of unmitigated order blocks (OB) on the 1-hour chart around 143.400 provides a potential area for re-entry, suggesting that price may revisit this zone to balance before continuing upwards. LEARNING POINT: "1H Order Block mitigation after liquidity sweep" - This scenario highlights how institutions often retest key levels where significant orders were previously placed, confirming their commitment to driving the price in the intended direction. SIGNAL: BUY SYMBOL: USDJPY ENTRY PRICE: $143.400 STOP LOSS: $143.200 TARGET PRICE: $144.000 CONDITION: Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms support. RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a bullish CHoCH on multiple timeframes, presence of a 1H OB, and the anticipation of a liquidity sweep above recent highs. STRATEGIES USED: 1H OB Mitigation, Liquidity Sweep Above Recent Highs URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.20, Reward=$0.60, Ratio=1:3.0 CRITICAL RULES: The analysis strictly adheres to Smart Money Concepts, avoiding traditional retail indicators. The decision is based on visible price action and institutional logic, ensuring a high probability of success. The risk/reward ratio exceeds the minimum requirement of 2:1, enhancing the trade's viability.
Long
by Mistermoriarty
Market next move 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bearish Alternative Scenario While the current setup points to a bullish continuation above the support zone (around 144.10–144.20) with a projected target near 144.60, here’s how a bearish disruption could unfold instead: --- 🔻 Bearish Disruption Possibility: 1. Failed Breakout / Bull Trap: Price may fake a move upward to trap breakout buyers near 144.40–144.50, then sharply reverse. This would indicate a false breakout and potential reversal setup. 2. Rejection at Resistance: Repeated failure to close above 144.40 may signal exhaustion. Bearish divergence could form on momentum indicators (like RSI) as price rises. 3. Break Below Support Area: A decisive break below the red support zone (around 144.10) may shift momentum bearish. That would confirm a lower high and suggest downside continuation. 4. Next Bearish Target: Initial support lies at 143.85, with further potential drop toward 143.60.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
The trend is more important than the exact high to shortCatching the precise high to short is a tough game. I prefer to leave this to the expert. In the day chart, we have a nice bearish candle and here in the 1H chart, you can see my short position is more than halfway from the exact fall (coz I really can't predict the market movement). So, I have two targets for those keen to short, the 2nd one upon breaking down from the bullish trend line. Again, I stressed the volatility of this pair so if you cannot stomach it, it is better to go for my EURUSD pair. See next chart.
Short
by dchua1969
LONG - USD/JPYCurrently in the 4H timeframe I can see that the price itself has given me a shift of momentum and this indicates that there could a chance for a possible bullish movement. Now I have marked my zones base on fibonacci levels and gotten my zones to participate in the market. Base on the market structure we can see that the price has now shifted its direction coming from a bearish momentum and now is pushing into a bullish momentum. This is where we can try to look for an opportunity to buy within those zones. Why I am looking for a buy is because the price has already touched our support zone and respected the zone itself. Combining it together with Market Structure there seems to be a much more clearer view of how the market is moving. Entry Point - 144.341 Stop Loss - 142.387 Take Profit - 148.585
Long
by ilyasmuzaffar
back to daily support USDJPY touched 148 this morning ahead of US PMI. According to methodology 1. Resistance Zone: • The 0.125 level (147.820) acted as a resistance point where selling pressure overwhelmed buying pressure, causing the price to reverse downward. Since the price reached 148.000 (just above 147.820), it tested and failed to sustain above this level, reinforcing its role as a barrier. 2. Daily Support •The daily support trend line (yellow box) has been an area to watch as price continues to try and get over the 148 hump. Until then, this pair is going to wedge until a break confirmation.
by SlattYSL
1
Heading into pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 146.77 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 148.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 145.31 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 144.27 occurred when the RSI indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, but the strong U.S. labor market data offered a high probability of the dollar strengthening against the yen, which I decided to take advantage of. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 145.06. The confident growth in U.S. non-farm employment recorded in May exceeded experts' expectations' causing noticeable fluctuations in currency, markets. The publications of data showing the creation of 139,7000 new jobs versus the forecasted 127,000 instantly strengthened the U.S. dollar, putting pressure on the Japanese yen. The yen's reaction to the news was immediate: the currency weakened significantly against the dollar. Investors perceived the data as a signal of the strength of the U.S. economy and the likely continuation of Federal Reserve's tight monetary policy. Furthermore, the stable unemployment rate in the U.S. recorded at 4.2%, also reinforced the market's optimistic sentiment. Today's data shows that Japan's GDP for the first quarter was revised upward, which helped the yen recover slightly from Friday's losses against the U.S. dollar. However, despite the positive revision, Japan's economy still faces serious challenges. Weak domestic demand and an aging population continue to pressure growth, while geopolitical uncertainty poses additional obstacles. The Bank of Japan maintains a wait-and-see approach and has no plans to raise interest rates for now, which had previously provided good support to the the yen. Strong growth in bank lending also contributed to increased demand for the yen.
Short
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
20
USDJPY Will Go Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 145.018. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.793 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Trading Ideas USDJPY 4H [Disc On]Technical Analysis: The presence of a Hidden Bullish Divergence on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a strong likelihood of bullish trend continuation. Additionally, the price has broken through a key support level on the 1-hour chart, with upside potential targeting the Fibonacci cluster at the psychological zone of 144.500–145.000 . Conclusion: A BUY opportunity is favored, with entry consideration around the 144.500–145.000 Fibonacci cluster zone. Suggested risk management includes a stop loss at 142.000 and a take profit target at 150.000. 技术分析： 在4小时周期中出现隐藏的看涨背离，表明上涨趋势有较大延续的可能性。同时，价格已突破1小时图中的关键支撑位，上行目标指向 144.500–145.000 的斐波那契密集区域（心理价位区间）。 结论： 当前倾向于寻找BUY机会，入场参考区域为斐波那契密集区144.500–145.000。建议设置止损位于142.000，目标价为150.000，以控制风险并优化利润空间。 OANDA:USDJPY
Long
by Jerico_iko
1
USD/JPY) Bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY 3-hour chart suggests a bearish reversal setup, based on smart money concepts (SMC), resistance rejection, and price action structure. Here's a full breakdown: Technical Breakdown – USD/JPY Big Resistance Zone (~145.800–146.300): Price has tapped into a major resistance zone (yellow box) twice (highlighted with red arrows). Both rejections indicate strong seller interest. The latest candle structure shows clear rejection wick, signaling weakness at resistance. --- Bearish Bias Confirmation: Bearish structure forming after the second rejection. Break of the rising trendline could accelerate selling pressure. A measured move projection (-2.58%) aligns the downside target with the support level at ~142.144. --- Support Zone (~141.800–142.400): Marked as the likely target zone. Historically acted as a strong bounce area (visible from late May to early June). Completion of ABC bearish structure aligns here. --- Indicators & Tools: 200 EMA (144.419): Price currently slightly above it — watching for a close below to strengthen bearish view. RSI (14): Shows signs of bearish divergence and cooling off from overbought (was above 70 previously). Volume spike during the rejection suggests institutional selling. Mr SMC Trading point --- Forecast Summary: Bias: Bearish toward 142.144 Entry Idea: Look for confirmation of breakdown below trendline (~145.00) Invalidation: Strong bullish close above 146.300 would break this idea. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
8
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 145.80 1st Support: 144.54 1st Resistance: 146.74 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Major resistance ahead?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. The price could reverse from this level towards our take profit. Entry: 145.90 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 146.78 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 144.62 Why we like it: There is a pullback. support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY Breakout Fake Out - 148 RejectionBulls had an open door to make a run after this week's open but, so far, they've failed at the same 148.00 handle that snared buyers back in May. The daily bar at this point is brewing up a gravestone doji but there's still a couple hours left until the close of trading for the day, and this could end up as a pin bar. Behind the push is rate cut potential in the U.S. After Powell sounded cautious around tariffs last week, the potential for geopol risk and higher oil prices brought another inflationary factor to the fold. But shortly after the U.S. open this morning Michelle Bowman said she was ready to cut rates in July, and that prodded a sell-off in the USD that has made a noticeable dent in USD/JPY. Bulls aren't completely out of the equation yet, however, as supports exist at 145.92 and the 144.86-145.00 zone. If sellers sink through that, however, topside potential would dim. But, notably, chasing breakouts in USD/JPY, in either direction, continues to be a challenging way of dealing with the pair. - js
by FOREXcom
1