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USD/JPY_SPT - USD/JPY

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USDJPY_SPT trade ideas

Yen slides on oil supply jitters after US attack on IranThe Japanese yen has started the week with sharp losses. In the European session, USD/JPY has jumped 1.2% on the day and is trading at 147.82. The yen has fallen to five-week lows against the US dollar. The fallout from the US attack on Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend is being felt in the currency markets. The Japanese yen, traditionally a safe-haven currency, continues to depreciate, in response to rising oil prices. Oil prices rose to their highest level since January on Monday after the US attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. Iran has threatened to close the Straits of Hormuz, a critical trade route through which 20% of the world's oil supply passes through each day. Oil prices have jumped about 10% since the Israel-Iran war started on June 13 and fears of a disruption to oil supply could further boost oil prices. As oil prices have climbed, the yen has lost ground, declining 3.0% since the Israel-Iran war started. Japan imports almost all of its oil and the rise in oil prices is hurting Japan's trade balance. Japan's core inflation rate climbed 3.7% y/y in May, up from 3.5% in April. Core CPI has accelerated for a third straight month and hit its highest level since Jan. 2023. This was above the market estimate of 3.6%. Headline inflation ticked lower to 3.5% from 3.6% in April, below the forecast of 3.6%. The rise in core CPI supports the case for the Bank of Japan to boost interest rates, but the uncertainty over tariffs and the Israel-Iran war will likely mean that the BoJ will stay on the sidelines in the coming months. There is resistance at 146.91. Next, USD/JPY is testing resistance at 147.61 146.51 and 145.81 are the next support levels
by OANDA
USDJPY ANalysis week 26Fundamental analysis The Fed kept interest rates unchanged and forecast only a small cut in 2026-2027 due to concerns about high inflation. The number of officials opposing a rate cut this year increased. The Israel-Iran conflict escalated, the US may attack Iran but is waiting for Tehran's response, causing the Japanese Yen to appreciate thanks to its safe-haven role. Japan and the US have not reached a trade deal, the risk of higher tariffs before the July 9 deadline. The US dollar is near a one-week high, supporting the USD/JPY pair, but investors remain cautious due to the lack of new economic data. Technical analysis USDJPY is rising quite strongly and reacting at the resistance zone of 146.200. There is a possibility of a price gap next week, so trading early will be quite risky. The trading range is expected to be clearer at the resistance and support zones. 146,800 and 147,700 are noted as the two important upper boundary zones. 145,400 and 144,400 will be important support zones with a very strong buyer force waiting. Trading Signals
by TVS-Trader
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live) Sell Limit 146.00 Stop Loss 146.80 Take-Profit 1 144.50 – if hit, move stop to breakeven Take-Profit 2 143.00 Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days 2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00) Sell Limit 145.20 Stop Loss 146.00 Take-Profit 1 144.00 Take-Profit 2 143.00 Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
Short
by tradercat2025
USDJPY 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured summary of your USDJPY trade setup: --- 📈 Trade Idea: Buy USDJPY Entry (Buy): 145.200 Stop Loss: 144.750 ✅ (Risk: 45 pips) --- 🎯 Take Profit Levels 1. TP1: 145.500 (Profit: 30 pips) 2. TP2: 145.930 (Profit: 73 pips) 3. TP3: 146.466 (Profit: 126.6 pips) --- 🔍 Trade Notes Risk-Reward Ratios: TP1: ~0.67:1 TP2: ~1.62:1 TP3: ~2.81:1 This is a layered take-profit strategy — you can close portions of the position at each level or trail the stop. Make sure to adjust lot sizes accordingly if you're scaling out at each TP. --- Would you like help creating a risk management plan or getting this formatted for MT4/5 or another trading platform?
Long
by Mrprofe21
USDJPY – Bearish Pressure Builds Amid Fed Dovish ExpectationsFX:USDJPY is trading around the 145.300 mark and showing signs of weakness, as the US dollar comes under pressure from growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates in September. This sentiment is fueled by recent soft US data, including weaker retail sales and industrial production. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is regaining some strength, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and possible intervention signals from the Bank of Japan. In the short term, I lean toward a corrective pullback scenario while awaiting clearer signals from the Fed.
Short
by Edward_TradingFX
6
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead?📈 USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead? 🚀💹 The USD/JPY pair is currently approaching a critical resistance zone (145.800 - 146.000), which has acted as a strong supply area in the past. The price has shown bullish momentum as it builds higher lows and heads toward this resistance. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔵 Resistance Zone: Clearly marked and tested multiple times. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish continuation. 📊 Bullish Structure: The pair is forming a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe. 🔄 Retest Scenario: Chart suggests a potential breakout above the resistance, followed by a bullish retest before continuing toward the target zone at ~148.900. 🟢 Upside Target: 148.900 (Previous swing high) – a potential gain of over 300 pips from breakout point. 📌 Trading Outlook: ✅ A confirmed breakout and retest of the resistance zone could offer a high-probability long setup. ❌ A failure to break and hold above the resistance may result in short-term consolidation or reversal. 📅 Watch Levels: Resistance: 145.800 – 146.000 Support (breakout retest): 145.200 – 145.500 Bullish Target: 148.900 📢 Conclusion: Bulls are in control as long as price sustains above the resistance zone. A clean breakout followed by a retest could offer an attractive buying opportunity with a well-defined risk-to-reward setup. 🔥📊
Long
by VikingFx-Community
4
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 145.574. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.101. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPYUSD (DXY-based futures): ➤ +1,402 → modest net-long position (buying bias) JPY (Japanese Yen futures): ➤ +144,595 → extremely net-long, near record levels What This Means: USD +1,402 = Mild bullish sentiment — large traders are slightly buying USD, but not aggressively. JPY +144,595 = Very strong bullish sentiment — hedge funds and institutions are heavily buying JPY, suggesting they expect it to strengthen. This gives a bearish bias for USD/JPY: If JPY buying continues, USD/JPY may decline. Bias: Short USD/JPY
Short
by Primus0725
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY. Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses. Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term. Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY 30M ChartUSDJPY is trading within an ascending triangle pattern on the 30-minute timeframe. Price is testing a key horizontal resistance zone near 145.40, while maintaining higher lows — suggesting potential breakout pressure building. 🔍 Possible Scenarios: 🔺 Bullish Breakout: Above 145.40 — Expect a move towards 146.50/147.50 (TP marked). 🔻 Bearish Breakdown: Below 145.00 — Potential drop towards 143.00/142.50 (TP marked). Both entry points and target levels are highlighted for clarity. Ichimoku Cloud supports this setup with a light trend indication. Waiting for clear breakout confirmation before taking any position is advised. — Not financial advice. For educational and analytical purposes only.
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
USD/JPY(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 145.32 Support and resistance levels: 146.35 145.96 145.72 144.93 144.68 144.30 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.72, consider buying, and the first target price is 145.96 If the price breaks through 145.32, consider selling, and the first target price is 144.93
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
1
Fake breakout, support, trend line and stop loss for USDJPYI am still bearish on USDJPY. However, you can see from the shorter time frame, there are multiple occasions where fake breakouts happen. This usually stops out the traders with tight SL. Unless you have a clear strategy, after being stopped out from this pair, it is highly likely that you will move on to other pairs/asset classes to find your next pot of gold. But if you are persistent and have the patience, you will notice this fake breakout patterns. It is getting shorter and shorter. Now, with the support at 142.472, a breakdown will be great as it sends the price to 140 level. If you wants to short now, it would be better to have a wider SL, say 145.60 , the previous peak where it is more likely not to surpass. A higher SL will mean you cannot be greedy in your position size initially to rein in the gains if it moves in your favour. It is better to have a small position and the market agrees with you than to go on an aggressive mode of say 5-10 contracts position size and shortly market moves against you. The stress would be too much to bear seeing the losses running........ Find one strategy that suits your personality , risk profile and work on it tirelessly.
Short
by dchua1969