Expect a Bearish Move from around 152.449 on USDJPY The USDJPY is approaching a premium level of price around 152.449.... which could be a Bearish sentiment and a opportunity for traders so therefore I'm going short when price gets to 152.449.
USDJPY_SPT trade ideas
HERE IS USDJPY TRIANGLE PATTERNHello Guys Here Is Chart Of USDJPY in 4-H AT
Entry Level: SELL Around 148.800
Resistance: 149.300
Target Will Be : 146.800
This analysis assumes the price respects the Triangle Pattern.
JPY/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgeIntroduction
The JPY/USD chart showcases a classic falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. This pattern is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating a weakening bearish momentum. Eventually, buyers stepped in, leading to a breakout to the upside. This analysis breaks down key elements, including support and resistance zones, trendlines, trading strategy, and risk management.
1. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern
A. The Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
A falling wedge is a bullish technical pattern that forms when the price consolidates within two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time. This signals that selling pressure is decreasing and a reversal may be near.
Downtrend Structure: The price was previously in a consistent downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows, which formed the wedge.
Breakout Confirmation: Once the price broke above the upper trendline, the pattern was confirmed, indicating the start of a bullish move.
Retest Possibility: Often, after a breakout, the price retests the upper trendline before continuing higher. If it holds, it strengthens the bullish outlook.
B. Key Levels Identified in the Chart
1. Support Zone (Buying Area)
The price found strong support in the 0.006291 – 0.006500 region.
Buyers stepped in, preventing the price from dropping further.
This support level coincides with the bottom of the wedge, further validating its importance.
2. Resistance Zone (Profit Target)
The 0.007100 – 0.007200 area is a major resistance level where sellers have previously dominated.
If the price reaches this level and consolidates, traders will look for either a breakout or a rejection.
A break above 0.007200 would indicate further bullish continuation.
3. Trendlines & Curve Formation
A curved trendline in the chart suggests a gradual transition from bearish to bullish momentum.
The dotted ascending trendline now acts as dynamic support, helping the price sustain its bullish move.
2. Trading Strategy & Risk Management
A. Entry Strategies
Traders have two primary ways to enter this trade:
Aggressive Entry:
Enter immediately after the breakout of the wedge.
Higher risk but captures early momentum.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a pullback to the trendline before entering.
Lower risk as it confirms trend continuation.
B. Take Profit Targets
Primary Target: 0.007117 (Resistance level from previous highs).
Extended Target: 0.007200 (Next significant resistance).
C. Stop Loss Placement
Below the recent swing low at 0.006291 to protect against false breakouts.
Ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
3. Market Sentiment & Confirmation Signals
✅ Bullish Confirmation
Breakout from the falling wedge
Price holding above the trendline
Higher highs and higher lows formation
Increased buying volume
⚠️ Bearish Risks & Invalidations
A break below the trendline would indicate weak momentum.
If the price fails to hold support, it could reverse downward.
Low volume on the breakout could signal a fake breakout.
4. Final Thoughts
This setup provides a high-probability trading opportunity following the breakout from a falling wedge pattern. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making it an ideal setup for trend-following traders. However, patience is key—waiting for a successful retest before entering can minimize risks. If the price maintains momentum, we could see a rally toward the 0.007100 – 0.007200 resistance zone in the coming weeks. 🚀
USDJPY(Review & Speculations for the next day)Simple Chart Analysis. I will advice u wait for the BUY I talk about in the Video..ENJOY!! And Don't Struggle with a Simple Profit
USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Potential Bearish RetestThe USD/JPY pair has been in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel for an extended period. Recently, price action has broken above the channel, but it is now facing resistance around the 150.35 level.
Retest Zone: The pair is currently retesting the broken trendline, and if it fails to sustain above this level, a rejection could lead to further downside.
Bearish Expectation: If the price fails to reclaim 150.35, a move towards the 147.00 support zone is likely.
Confirmation: A strong bearish candle from this level could indicate a reversal, confirming the downward move.
Traders should watch for price action signals at the retest level before making decisions.
USDJPY Long BOJ Dilemma and FED USDJPY getting stronger, interest rates differences between 2 currencies, FED policy to hold the interest rates,and dilemma of BOJ....
3 approches;" TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: extend the take profit target higher only, if signs of continuatioon.
USD/JPY Trade Setup & Analysis – Bullish Reversal from 200 EMAThe 200 EMA (blue line) at 149.701 acts as a strong support level.
The 30 EMA (red line) at 150.458 represents a short-term trend guide.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 150.120 (near the 200 EMA).
Stop Loss: Below 149.496, protecting against downside risk.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 150.287
TP2: 150.533
TP3: 150.886
Final Target: 151.377
Strategy:
Buy Position: The expectation is for the price to bounce from the 200 EMA and move upwards toward the targets.
Risk-Reward: Favorable, as the trade has multiple profit-taking levels.
USD/JPY H4 | Falling to pullback supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 149.97 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements.
Stop loss is at 149.10 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance.
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USDJPY Buy Setup – Breakout Confirmation & Seasonal TailwindTechnical: USDJPY has broken above a downtrend resistance line after finding support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 146.95 . This breakout suggests the corrective phase may have ended, signaling potential for further upside. Pullbacks toward 149.70 (a retest of the broken trendline) present an attractive entry opportunity. Upside targets are 152.74 and 157.10 in the short to medium term. The setup is invalidated below 147.97 , with a break below 146.33 negating further bullish expectations.
Fundamental: Commercial selling of the Japanese Yen and renewed dollar purchases indicate a shift favoring USD over JPY, supporting the bullish technical outlook.
Seasonal: Over the past 25 years , USDJPY has risen 76% of the time between March 25 – April 8 , with an average gain of 1.04% .
Trade Idea:
Entry: On pullbacks toward 149.70
Stop Loss: 147.97 (or 146.33 for extended risk management)
Targets: 152.74 and 157.10
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY (30M) Analysis – 25-03-2025📊 USD/JPY (30M) Analysis – 25-03-2025
📉 Current Price: 150.547
🟢 Demand Zones (Support):
149.851 - 149.955 – First potential reversal zone.
149.500 - 149.537 – Key support area.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance):
150.600 – Recent high acting as resistance.
📌 Market Outlook:
Price is rejecting the supply zone and showing signs of reversal.
Scenario 1: If price breaks below 150.500, expect a drop towards 149.851 (TP1) and 149.500 (TP2).
Scenario 2: If price holds above 150.500, bullish continuation may occur.
⚡ Trade Setup:
🔻 Sell Setup: If price breaks 150.500 with confirmation.
🎯 TP1: 149.851
🎯 TP2: 149.500
🛑 SL: Above 150.650
#FXFOREVER #FXF #USDJPY #Forex #SmartMoney #PriceAction
USDJPYUSD/JPY Fundamental Analysis for Next Week
Based on recent developments and market sentiment, here’s a breakdown of key drivers and potential price action for USD/JPY in the coming week:
Key Drivers
Fed Policy and US Economic Data:
Fed Rate Cuts: Markets expect two Fed rate cuts in 2025, which could weaken the USD. However, the Fed’s cautious stance (e.g., Powell’s emphasis on “unusually elevated uncertainty”) may limit immediate USD declines.
US Leading Economic Index (LEI): A forecasted rise to -0.2% (from -0.3%) could signal stabilizing growth, supporting the USD.
BoJ Policy and Japanese Data:
BoJ Rate Hikes: The BoJ maintained rates at 0.5% but faces pressure to hike further if inflation persists. Hawkish rhetoric from Governor Ueda could strengthen the JPY.
Japanese Inflation: February’s core CPI rose 3.0% YoY, down from 3.2% in January, reducing urgency for immediate BoJ action.
Geopolitical and Trade Risks:
Trump’s Tariffs: Reciprocal tariffs on April 2 could slow global growth, boosting safe-haven demand for the JPY.
Ukraine Peace Talks: Optimism about US-Russia negotiations may ease risk aversion, pressuring JPY.
Yield Differentials:
Narrowing US-Japan Yield Spreads: The downward trajectory of US-Japan yield spreads (e.g., 10-year Treasuries vs. JGBs) supports a medium-term USD/JPY downtrend.
Bearish Case: A break below 148.471 could target 146.499 driven by JPY safe-haven demand or BoJ hawkishness.
Bullish Case: A rally above 150.1-149.496 might test 151.8, but faces resistance from narrowing yield spreads and Fed dovishness.
BoJ Policy Guidance: Any hints of delayed rate hikes may weaken JPY, supporting USD/JPY.
Tariff Implementation: Markets will monitor Trump’s April 2 tariff deadline for trade war escalation risks.
Conclusion
USD/JPY is likely to remain volatile, with bearish bias dominating due to:
JPY Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical risks and trade tensions.
Narrowing Yield Spreads: Reduced USD appeal as US-Japan rate differentials shrink.
BoJ Policy Uncertainty: Hawkish rhetoric vs. delayed action.
USDJPY INVERTED HS PATTERN BREAKOUT 350 PIPS CAN BE EXPECTED
In the event that a head and shoulders pattern develops in USDJPY, please refrain from risking more than 2% of your capital investment. It is crucial to perform your own research before making any trading decisions. To ensure the pattern's accuracy, it is advisable to use the premium version of the TradingView Auto Chart Indicator, as the free version may not offer dependable indicators for this pattern. While the free version can be used to check the auto chart pattern, it may not display it correctly. Those with access to the premium version are invited to share their observations in the comments section.
Thank you All
BUY opportunities on USD JPYRR 1:1 - conservative
RR 1:2 - aggresive
Please do not trade as my analysis might be incorrect.
I encourage constructive feedback.
If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another.
Explanations:
MIN - last minimum point
MAX - last maximum point
BOS - break of structure
SMS - shift in market structure
SL - stop loss
TP - take profit
RR - risk reward
OB - order block
OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
USDJPYUSDJPY got a 230 pips move towards the recent monthly open of March , completing a V shape recovery type of pattern.
Now that FOMC is over, volumes should kick in as it's been a boring last week in expectance of this news.
Weekly Forex Fundamental Overview - March 24 - March 28 2025Key Economic Calendar Events This Week:
Monday, March 24
AUD/JPY/EU/UK/US Flash Manufacturing & Services PMIs
BOE Gov Bailey Speaking (Taking Questions)
Tuesday, March 25
German IFO Business Climate
US S&P/SC Composite-20 HPI y/y
US Consumer Confidence
US New Home Sales
US Richmond Manufacturing Index
AUD CPI
Wednesday, March 26
UK CPI
UK Annual Budget Release
US Durable Goods
US FOMC Members Speaking
Thursday, March 27
US GDP
US Unemployment Claims
US Pending Home Sales
JPY CPI
Friday, March 28
UK Retail Sales
CAD GDP
US PCE
US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations
Deeper Dive:
- UK Inflation Trends
The UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, scheduled for release on Wednesday, will provide insights into the country's inflation trajectory. In January 2025, the CPI rose by 3.0%, up from 2.5% in December 2024. Monitoring whether this upward trend continues is essential for anticipating potential monetary policy adjustments by the Bank of England.
- U.S. Inflation Indicators and Federal Reserve Outlook
The PCE Price Index release on Friday is pivotal, as it's the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected reading could influence the Fed's monetary policy stance, potentially impacting the value of the USD.
- Housing Market Health
The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index and New Home Sales data will shed light on the U.S. housing sector's condition. These indicators are crucial for assessing economic stability, as housing trends can influence consumer wealth and spending behaviors.
- Consumer Confidence and Spending
The Consumer Confidence Index and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will provide insights into U.S. consumer optimism. High confidence levels typically correlate with increased consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth.
- Business Investment Trends
Durable Goods Orders data will reflect U.S. business investment levels. An increase suggests optimism about future economic conditions, while a decrease may indicate caution.
Market Outlook: Currency Bias for the Week
USD: Neutral/Bullish – Strong PCE data could bolster the dollar if it suggests higher or persistent inflation.
GBP: Neutral/Bullish – Anticipation of the CPI release may lead to increased volatility. Higher inflation could strengthen the pound on expectations of tightening policy.
EUR: Neutral – With limited high-impact Euro data, the Euro may trade in response to other factors like outside economic data releases or geopolitics.
JPY: Neutral/Bearish – Global risk sentiment and U.S. economic indicators could influence the Yen along with geopolitics.
AUD: Neutral – Commodity prices and global risk appetite will be key drivers.
USDJPY 1.2850 Long in Profit: Next Week's Take - Profit GuideThis week, the long position signal on USDJPY at the 1.28500 level has already started yielding profits. As we look ahead to next week, it is advisable to commence position closing once the price reaches the pre - determined target levels. Rest assured, I will persist in furnishing precise trading signals.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Yen Weakens Toward 150 on Weak DataThe Japanese yen weakened toward 150 per dollar, extending losses as disappointing business activity data overshadowed the BOJ’s hawkish stance. Japan’s private sector contracted in March for the first time in five months, with manufacturing shrinking for a ninth month and services slipping into negative territory.
While the BOJ kept its policy rate at 0.5% last week and maintained a careful tone before Trump’s predicted April 2 tariff announcement, the central bank is still expected to raise rates later this year due to steady inflation and wage growth. Ongoing external pressures also continued to weigh on the yen.
Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
Rebound that I expectThe market open created a gap around the 149.000 level, so I expect a rebound around that level, as a target I expect the 152.000 level to be tested this week. Based on this projection, I will try to play the following setup. Trade carefully.
USD/JPY - Playing the Retracement SmartThe 4H is locked in a bearish structure, breaking a major recent low—confirming downside intent. But before further drops, I see a play. Liquidity needs to be grabbed, and that means a bullish retracement is on the table.
Dropping to the 30M, I’m looking for confirmation to ride the bulls up into the 4H supply zone—the red zone where sellers are likely waiting. Precision over impulse, patience over noise. Let’s see how price delivers.
Bless Trading!
15 minute Trendline breakthe price broke a trendline and now has made a horizontal pullback, which suggest a bullish impulse
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
