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Trading Lesson 👨‍🏫#2 - Understanding Consolidations in CryptoIn today's lesson I will explain the difference in consolidations. Some of you are new to the market and are probably wondering what's happening exactly when it's not moving in price and when it's moving down more than up but would later return to the last price it was. Well to best answer that question. It's called consolidation: It's a thing that happens in the crypto market where waves of prices fluctuate up and down calculating the sells and buys of the market until it meets a point of exit - after consolidating the actual price of the market you're in, and only has two places it can go. There are two types of consolidation. The first is where it does a price correction where you have rapid 📉drops or rapid 📈rises. An lastly is a repeated wave🏄🏼‍♀️ that can run in the same location for a few hours, sometimes days, give or take how many orders were made within the past few minutes - hours - days - weeks or months. Consider it like a balloon🎈 being blown into until it 💥pops!💥 Now this is where the problem begins - we don't know where it may go once it's done, could go up or down and when that balloon has popped it's rapidly going there. We could see the 0.00002000 - range within a few hours or just see 0.00000900 range within a few minutes, depending on the orders made for shib and the rest of the market as a whole, this can last for days, weeks depending on the amount of buys or sells. Also note these are when you get the same surprise jumps like we did in 2021. It started off from the 850's and jumped to the 0.00001300 within a day. However; right behind it, is a price correction waiting for a peak in the returns to meet its end. Once that happens it'll just fall or rise back to where the price actually suppose to be and starting the process all over again. You may not know it but there are all forms of consolidations on ever chart from 1 minute to 4 hours to 1 day to 12 months. You're in a consolidation right now and you don't even know it. Like the ones that occur on a weekly chart, This is what I call "a Seasonal Trend" the day, week, or month, is in a seasonal consolidation and is trending high or low. But note anything can stop a seasonal trend and disrupt the flow of it, but it will continue the process as long as the damage done was not to bad such as major crashes in a seasonal up trend due to outside interferences such as massive sell-offs, regardless it'll still attempt to rise back because it's in a wave that's trending up-word, if the wave was trending down then it would do way more damage than expected. But the worst thing to do in a consolidation day - is to sell while it's consolidating, the price may not go no higher or no lower, and if you sell while at a low price in a consolidation you will likely lost position and will have to wait for it to finish to get more shares let alone the original shares, that's if it drops, so best to hold while in a consolidation day, at least until closing. So I hope this answers anyone question as to why your crypto stock of choice is not moving anywhere, it may not move for hours or even days. you'll just have to wait for closing hour to see if it will pop - hopefully on a positive outcome. So Happy Trading Everyone
Education
by Grandmaster_Oz
Blueprint to Success: How to Master Trading Sessions & Planning👑 Pre-Trading Sessions & Planning: 🔥 Key Details + Concepts -------------------------------------- (Psychological, Technical & Concepts): 🟠 Psychological: - Don’t trade if your emotions aren’t aligning with what is on the screen. - If you’re not super happy about entering, and you don’t fully accept the loss, don’t take the trade. - Don’t ‘force’ something to work because it won’t. - Trade as if you are looking for buys and sells in your markup. This removes mental bias, and effectively emotion in trading. 🟠 Technical: - Cause is the most important factor in trading – find what caused the injection of volume (‘follow the money’). Did it get effectively mitigated? Did it leave imbalance? … Find that block of orders and don’t get liquidated - The more inducement respected, the more liquidity to take out, the bigger the move - Zones to trade from must have resting orders to mitigate. Make sure they have inducement above/below (or create it), and they are the cause of structural breaks, demand/supply fails etc - Start analysing on the daily first! Find the intention of price and follow it - Mark out S/R – (support becomes resistance levels vice versa) as that level will be liquidated to usually meet our orderblock above/below it - Previous daily/weekly highs/lows can act as strong structural inducement points - Price needs reason to move to certain levels – imbalance - Often when we have a low Phase 2 inducement, we will sweep it’s orderblock as a SMT because of the zone’s large imbalance = lack of inducement - If you don’t spot the buyers/sellers who got swept before entering, you’ll become liquidated - Mark out pullback zones too - If we break our LPOD/S, we are effectively going to run through all mitigated price until the next valid orderblock - Ensure you wait for your respective time-frame reaction (e.g., don’t look for a 1m reversal from a 4h zone) - If price taps the outside of a zone but doesn’t enter it, it can still be used as inducement - We don’t recommend stacking countertrend trades - A mitigation can be confirmed when price sweeps into its previous range over another small-range inducement. 🟠 Concepts - The demand/supply that took out the Phase 1 inducement then gets broken confirms a shift in market structure. If it is respected, we can trade a continuation. - A ‘slight mitigation’ is when price sweeps liquidity into a range, but doesn’t properly mitigate the orderblock where the high-volume orders lie. Even though we may react from there, we can come back to this orderblock and properly mitigate it, using the ‘slight mitigation’ level as a point of inducement. - It is important for the AR (automatic rally) to ‘fail’ in a reversal range after the B/SC (Buyers/sellers climax) as it often grabs the LPOD/S (the last point of demand & supply), so it is successfully mitigated - News candles can be targeted high/lows as they don’t have inducement - Price works with momentum. You will never see something shoot up or down randomly - Refine zones by excluding the inducement it swept before it – draw a line through the orderblock from the inducement it swept. This will refine your orderblock to the pure manipulation *has exceptions* - If an inducement phase isn’t very clean or only sweeps a small range, there will be another opportunity as more manipulation is needed to fuel a larger move - Weak highs and lows are determined after a leg has been properly mitigated; the 5-15m TF is best to determine an active zone - A high/low is likely to be targeted when it wicks the other side’s high/low (to sweep) instead of having a candle closing over (BoS) - The first part of a ChoCh is often formed from Phase 1 inducement getting swept, creating a slight pullback, then breaking it again to hit the refinement Used Word Definitions: - LPOD/S – Last point of demand/supply - ChoCh – Change of character (a sweep of liquidity then a break of structure) - BoS – Break of structure (a failure of supply or demand creating a price leg break) - OB – Orderblock (a valid zone to trade from) - FVG – Fair value gap (a form of inefficiency/price gaps in the market) - IMB – Imbalance (a form of inefficiency/price gaps in the market) - IPA – Inefficient price action (imbalance) - S&D – Supply and demand (the levels of buying and selling) - IFC – Institutionally funded candle (a candle created by institutions to push price to a certain area) - IPB – Inducement Pullback (The level where price pullbacks before a continuation) - PA – Price action (how price is moving) - B2S – Buy to sell (often seen as a wick to mitigate or sweep) - S2B – Sell to buy (often seen as a wick to mitigate or sweep) - AOI – Area of interest (an area of price that is reactive or tradable) - POI – Point of interest (a specific point where price is reactive or tradable) - IND – Inducement (placement of liquidity that is used to manipulate traders) - EQH/L’s – Equal highs/lows - SMT – Smart money trap (a zone that doesn’t have liquidity under/above it, and gets run, trapping SMC traders) - MSS - Market Structure Shift (a confirmed shift in the markets direction towards the next reversal zone) - Vectors – Large-bodied, impulsive candles that are to push price to its purposeful target - V-SR – V-Shaped Recovery (quick movement of price to enter and exit a zone) - TF – Time frame - FR – Failed Reaction (Internal supply/demand failure) - OF – Order-flow (the movement of money through the market) - True Zone – The actual orderblock that will be used which holds the high volume or orders - PDH/PWH or PDL/PWL – Previous daily/weekly high/low 🟠 Colour Codes: 🟠 Time and Price (Times in AEST): ASIA > FRANKFURT > LONDON > NEW YORK - Asia: – Asia is important to analyse as it can create the model for New York and London its purpose is to create liquidity above and below its session. Mark the bottom and top to create a range, as well as the midline. Often, price will aim to take a high/low or both (AWS) starting with Frankfurt + London Open. If Asia takes a form of liquidity and is impulsive, a continuation trade can be played. - Frankfurt: - Frankfurt often prepares London for its main movement of the day. It often does this by taking out the high or low of Asia to create an orderblock mitigation for London, creates more Phase 1 inducement for London to take out, or helps to move price to an already-made valid orderblock. - London: - When London opens, there is a volatility spike in price. London’s purpose is to attack the liquidity created during Asia. Often, London creates a continuation mitigation after 1.5 hours, but can also contribute to a larger liquidity build-up for New York. Entries that induce + mitigate can be taken at the open (sometimes +30). After 2 hours of opening, we often see a shift in direction. - Pre-NY: - Before New York opens, we often see an impulsive move that directly contributes to the New York session. Sometimes, we can create a valid zone for New York to play from by mitigating high-volume orders. Most often, we see an impulse in price to move into a higher timeframe orderblock to then become targeted liquidity, or we create more low timeframe reversal inducement to then be swept. - New York: –We open with a volatile shift of momentum. New York’s purpose is to attack the liquidity created during the London session, or to create a continuation from London. The New York trap usually starts 1 hour after opening and reverses. After 1.5 hours of opening (MMM), we often see a clean mitigation of the ‘correct’ orderblock and liquidate the opening move. Sometimes, New York Open can mitigate the high-volume orders and continue in the correct direction of the day. - London Close – mitigates the peak of NY open / Reversal for a continuation in NY open direction. Sometimes there is a mitigation-inducement before London Close. - Magic Minute Mitigations (MMM) - refer to high probability trading times that mitigate active continuation orderblocks. We can best see these 1.5 hours after London and New York Opens – rarely, we can see these 3.5 hours after these opens instead. In the next post I will continue with my 8-step daily markup process and my Asian session manipulation formulas. If you found this article helpful, please share it with your friends and leave a comment! Cheers!
Education
by algoat
News-Based Trading: How News Acts as the Best Indicator Beginners diving into the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading often find themselves influenced heavily by news. Eager to anticipate trends and, obviously, earn big, they hang on to every piece of information. Here’s the twist: trading based on news, more often than not, ends in heartbreak and empty pockets. 📉 But what’s the reason? 🔑 KEY QUESTIONS: How can you navigate cryptocurrency trades using news? Can news truly be an effective indicator for cryptocurrency moves? Delving into the ripple effect of news on the crypto sphere. Crafting a winning strategy: Navigating news-based cryptocurrency trades. News: The Puppeteer Behind the Scenes🎭 On the surface, news might look like the golden compass for predicting market moves. However, the waters run deep. Big sharks - those with hefty wallets - often use news as their puppet strings to control the market. They capitalize on the knee-jerk reactions of retail traders. 🎣 Imagine: A piece of unfavorable news is released. Retail traders, gripped by panic, rush to sell their cryptocurrency, hoping to minimize losses. This is when the big players snatch up large amounts of cryptocurrency at bargain prices. Suddenly, the market takes an unexpected turn, soaring high, leaving those sellers scratching their heads in confusion. 🚀 On the flip side, when the headlines scream positive news, the actual price movement might surprise you. The real game-changer isn’t the news per se, but how traders respond to it. 1. Elon Musk & Bitcoin: When Musk revealed Tesla's embrace of Bitcoin, charts showcased this at the pinnacle of the market. Yet, the aftermath? A staggering 50% plunge. 😲 2. Salvador's Bitcoin Move: Despite the buzz and optimism around Salvador adding Bitcoin to its reserves, Bitcoin's price took a surprising dip. 📉 3. Meme Crypto’s Grand Debut: Post the grand showcase of the meme crypto, Shiba Inu, at Times Square, its value dwindled. The euphoria surrounding this news turned to disbelief as Bitcoin dropped by a whopping 70%, with altcoins plummeting by 90%. 😵 These narratives underline the power of news in the cryptocurrency arena, not always for the right reasons. News might ignite fear or trigger euphoria, but it's vital to stay grounded. 🧘 Recognizing the potential manipulative tactics of major players is key. Equipping oneself with a robust trading strategy and a sound risk management plan is your armor against the tumultuous world of cryptocurrency trading. 💡🛡️
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Three Driving Forces Behind the Ether-Bitcoin Exchange RateAt a glance: Higher tech stocks tend to boost ETHBTC, while a higher USD tends to depress it Bitcoin supply is perfectly inelastic, which contributes to its high volatility Together, ether and bitcoin account for over 60% of the total value of the world’s cryptocurrencies, but the exchange rate between the two has varied widely over time. So, what drives the Ether-Bitcoin exchange rate? The ETHBTC cross rate responds to many factors, but here are three of them. Technology Stocks On days when the tech heavy Nasdaq 100 index rallies, ether tends to rise versus bitcoin. This may be because ether, which is the currency of the Ethereum smart contract network, has more practical applications in the technology space than bitcoin, which is mainly held as a store of value and a medium of exchange. U.S. Dollar On days when the U.S. dollar is higher, ether tends to underperform versus bitcoin. Bitcoin Supply While ether can be supplied up to 18 million coins per year, bitcoin supply is limited to a maximum of 21 million coins ever, of which about 19 million already exist. Every four years, the supply of new bitcoin drops in half. In the past, halvings have often been preceded by large runups in bitcoin prices and tremendous increases in the amount of revenue that bitcoin miners are paid for matching transactions. Ether is both more volatile than bitcoin and highly correlated to bitcoin. As such, when bitcoin rises or falls versus the U.S. dollar, ether often moves to an even greater degree. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group *Various CME Group affiliates are regulated entities with corresponding obligations and rights pursuant to financial services regulations in a number of jurisdictions. Further details of CME Group's regulatory status and full disclaimer of liability in accordance with applicable law are available here: www.cmegroup.com **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CME:BTC1!Education
by CME_Group
CCI Made Easy:Comprehensive Guide on the Commodity Channel IndexHello TradingView Community, it’s Ben with LeafAlgo! Today we will explore a popular indicator with commodity traders - the Commodity Channel Index (CCI). The CCI is a powerful tool that has earned its place among traders due to its ability to identify potential trend reversals, overbought or oversold conditions, and price extremes. In this comprehensive guide, we will delve into the origins of the Commodity Channel Index, explain its components, outline its applications in commodity trading, and provide real-life examples. By the end of this article, you will have a solid understanding of how to leverage the CCI effectively in your trading endeavors. Let's dive in! Origin of the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Developed by Donald Lambert in 1980s, the Commodity Channel Index was initially designed to analyze commodities. However, over time, its application expanded to various financial markets. The CCI is a momentum oscillator, that measures the relationship between an asset's price and its statistical average. The indicator's ability to detect market conditions beyond standard price trends has made it popular among traders of all levels. Components of the Commodity Channel Index The Commodity Channel Index consists of four main components: Typical Price: The Typical Price is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices of the asset over a specified period. Simple Moving Average (SMA): The SMA is a moving average of the Typical Price over the chosen number of periods. The most common period used is 20. Mean Deviation: The Mean Deviation measures the average deviation of the Typical Price from the SMA over the selected period. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): Finally, the CCI itself is calculated using the formula: CCI = (Typical Price - SMA) / (0.015 * Mean Deviation). The standard period for the Commodity Channel Index is 20, but traders can adjust this parameter to suit their trading preferences and timeframes. Interpreting the Commodity Channel Index The Commodity Channel Index fluctuates around a zero line, which acts as a reference point for identifying overbought and oversold conditions. Positive CCI values indicate that the asset's price is above the average, signaling potential overbought conditions. Conversely, negative CCI values suggest that the price is below the average, indicating potentially oversold conditions. Applications of the Commodity Channel Index in Commodity Trading 1. Identifying Overbought and Oversold Conditions The Commodity Channel Index excels in spotting overbought and oversold conditions, making it valuable for commodity traders. When the CCI climbs above +100, it indicates overbought territory, suggesting that the asset's price may be due for a pullback or reversal. On the other hand, a CCI reading below -100 suggests oversold conditions, hinting at a potential bounce or reversal in the upward direction. 2. Divergence and Trend Reversals Divergence occurs when the price of the asset moves in the opposite direction of the CCI. Bullish divergence is when the price forms lower lows while the CCI makes higher lows. This can indicate a potential trend reversal to the upside. Conversely, a bearish divergence occurs when the price forms higher highs while the CCI makes lower highs, signaling a possible trend reversal to the downside. Divergence can provide early signals of trend changes and potential entry points for traders. Bearish Example: Bullish example: 3. Commodity Channel Index as a Trend-Following Tool The Commodity Channel Index can also be employed as a trend-following indicator. Traders can look for long opportunities when the CCI crosses above zero and short opportunities when the CCI crosses below zero. However, to avoid false signals, it is advisable to combine the CCI with other technical indicators or trend confirmation tools. 4. CCI and Price Extremes The Commodity Channel Index can highlight price extremes by measuring how far the asset's price deviates from its average. A high positive CCI value indicates an exceptionally strong uptrend, while a low negative CCI value indicates a substantial downtrend. Traders can use these extreme readings to assess the strength of the prevailing trend and potential exhaustion points. Utilizing the CCI with Other Indicators Combining the Commodity Channel Index with other indicators can enhance its effectiveness and provide traders with more robust trading signals. By using complementary indicators, traders can confirm CCI signals and gain deeper insights into market conditions. Here are a few indicators that work well with the CCI: 1. Moving Averages (MA): Moving averages can be powerful tools when used alongside the CCI. By adding a simple moving average to the price chart, traders can identify the overall trend direction. When the CCI provides a signal, such as overbought or oversold conditions, traders can cross-reference it with the moving average to confirm the prevailing trend. For instance, in an uptrend, traders may focus on CCI readings below -100 as potential entry points for long positions when the price is above the moving average. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is another popular momentum oscillator that can complement the CCI. When used together, these indicators can provide stronger signals and reduce the risk of false positives. If both the CCI and RSI signal overbought or oversold conditions while simultaneously diverging, it can increase confidence in a potential market reversal. 3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD is a trend-following indicator that also incorporates momentum analysis. When combined with the CCI, traders can get a more comprehensive view of trend strength and potential trend changes. For example, if the CCI shows overbought conditions, traders may wait for the MACD to generate a bearish signal before considering a long trade. 4. Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are volatility-based bands that expand and contract around a simple moving average. When the CCI reaches extreme values outside the Bollinger Bands, it can signal potential price reversals. Traders may look for price action confirming these signals, such as candlestick patterns or divergences, before making a trading decision. Conclusion Incorporating the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) with other indicators can significantly enhance its effectiveness in trading. By cross-referencing CCI signals with confirmation from other indicators, traders can improve the accuracy of their trading decisions. However, it is crucial to avoid overcrowding the chart with too many indicators, as this can lead to analysis paralysis. Instead, focus on a select few indicators that complement the CCI and align with your trading strategy. Remember, continuous learning and practice are key to mastering the art of using technical indicators effectively in your commodity trading journey. Happy trading! :)
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by LeafAlgo
11
A Comprehensive Guide to Order BlocksOrder Blocks Explained Now we'll look at one of the important concepts we utilize to find our precise entry points: order blocks. So, what exactly is an order block? An orderblock is a visible spot on the chart where a large order is being placed on the market. You'll notice the order being placed, followed by a quick move from that region, leaving behind imbalances and a structures would be broken The candle before that impulsive move is what we call an "order block," but I want you to remember that order blocks are essentially areas of supply and demand in the markets, and we'll go over that later in an other idea. Essentially, an order block is the fingerprint that market makers and institutions leave behind on the charts that informs us of their activity and intent which we can capitalise on. Unlike retail traders, the capital available to market makers and institutions is enough to move the market and affect price. For this reason, there are differences in the ways that market makers and retail traders go about trading in the financial markets. The first difference to understand is that market makers and institutions cannot simply place a buy or a sell trade. Due to the high amounts of volume behind each trade they place (millions of lots), a single buy or sell from institutions would crash the market. For this reason, they have to hedge each position. In other words, each time they place a buy, they have to place a sell at the same price, and vice versa. For example, if a buy is placed at 1.34610, and price moves up 100 pips, the buy trade will be 100 pips in profit, whereas the sell trade from the same price will be 230 pips in loss. Essentially there is an equal floating profit and loss. The second difference between retail traders and market makers is that market makers and institutions do not trade with a stop loss, therefore, the floating loss in the sell trade from the example above won’t close itself. Therefore, once the market is at a desirable high, market makers will close the buy positions in profit, let the price trickle back to their entry point, and close the sell trade at breakeven. Bullish Orderblock (Demand) Looking at this textbook example, we can see that the red block was the last bearish candle before the impulsive move, the candle would normally consist mostly body with very minimal wicks, This is what we call our bullish order block. To mark out our OB we draw a zone from the top of the candle to the bottom, but you may also include the wicks. Bearish Orderblock (Supply) Looking at this textbook example, we can see that the red block was the last bearish candle before the impulsive move, the candle would normally consist mostly body with very minimal wicks, This is what we call our bullish order block. To mark out our OB we draw a zone from the top of the candle to the bottom, but you may also include the wicks. Looking at this textbook example, we can see that the grey block was the last Bullish candle before the impulsive move, the candle would normally consist mostly body with very minimal wicks, This is what we call our Bearish order block. To mark out our OB we draw a zone from the top of the candle to the bottom, but you may also include the wicks. HOW TO TRADE USING ORDERBLOCKS First stage is identifying your higher time frame directional bias. Whether you are looking for intraday or Swing entries you still need to understand which way the market is moving for the pair that you are focusing on. Essentially you want to identify Order blocks from weekly down to the hourly and work off there. However, the more experience you gain, you may find that you can trade intraday moves by having a short term directional bias from lower time frames and finding entries on an even lower time frames. Either way, the concept is exactly the same. From above we can see a clear break of structure, this is the first thing we look for before looking for OBs. Reason for this, we want to find the candle that created this move, this candle is our OB. The OB is generally the last opposing candle before the move. So if its a bearish break, the OB is a Bullish candle. However, we need to understand what kind of BOS we look for and how to refine our OBs. HOW TO REFINE ORDER BLOCKS There are a few ways to refine the OB. The easiest would be moving left from the OB until you find the candle before the impulse which is still within the OB candles range. Example: As we can see above, the green candle following the OB hasn't overly moved or broken the range of the OB. This is now our refined OB. You can do this on all time frames. Alternatively, you can locate your OB, and you can refine down the time frames and find a clear open OB within the OB. So here on the picture, that little candle with big wicks is our OB, however within that candle on a lower time frame, there is a clear OB and this is now our refined OB. You can go down by as many time frames as you like. TIP: If you are happy with the RR from a particular time frame OB, then Simply use that one. Don't get greedy and don't use lower time frames if it makes you anxious. UNDERSTANDING BREAK OF STRUCTURE (BOS) There are two types of BOS, we prefer a full body break. This is very simple to understand as shown below: HOW TO TRADE USING ORDERBLOCKS Safer entry Identify your Point of interest on the higher time frame. In this example it was the hourly, however as mentioned, this concept can be applied to any time frame. The higher time frames such as 4 hourly or daily are more more swing entries with hourly and lower being intraday. So here we can see our higher POI. Now from here, you can look deeper into that OB so you have an idea as to where price could potentially go before reversing. Once you find your OB, you can set an alert at the Open of your OB. This frees up your time, meaning you dont need to sit and stare at the screen. The reason we trade is to for our free time, so why waste time staring and waiting. Once price taps your higher time frame OB, go to a lower time frame. This is up to you and what you are comfortable with, some prefer 1 min some prefer 15 min its up to you. But what we look for is a BOS and an OB on the lower time frame. Once we find our OB we set a limit order at either THE OPEN of the OB or 50% of the OB. This again is up to you. Once we set the order and set our target to our higher time frame High in this example. The benefit of using a safer entry over a risk entry: - More confirmation for the trade - May get a better RR for the trade Cons: - More time consuming - Sometimes it may not form a BOS on the lower time frame and price may just shoot from the higher time frame OB. So you may miss trades. Risky entry This method is very simple. Once you locate your Higher time frame OB, you simply go down the time frames till you find an OB within the higher time frame OB which is clear. Once you find your OB, mark it out. Use an OB which gives you and RR you are comfortable with. Same as before you can set a limit order at the OPEN or the 50% mark of the OB with your stop loss below the low of the OB or the overall low and target the recent high or low depending on if you are buying or selling. With this style of entry, it is of course riskier. This method is ideal when there is high momentum in the direction you are aiming for. If its more within a consolidation period, it is not worth trying a risk entry. Either way you go about, you get similar results and its all dependent on your risk appetite and how you are comfortable trading. Trading is personal to you, you dont need to follow what everyone else is doing. You need to what you are comfortable with doing and how you are happy about going about it. PSYCHOLOGY This way of trading is all about precision and finding the market at the perfect time of reversal. However, don't get too greedy with the RR, there is nothing wrong with sacrificing a few PIPS and rr for a safer trade. having a pip stop loss, is not the goal, having a safe trade and saving capital is the main goal. Our percentages are always gonna be crazy even with a 10 pip stop, so dont always look for a smaller stop if there isn't one available. Focus on yourself and what you are comfortable with. Don't trade time frames that you are not happy trading. the goal is not to be replicas of Vertex traders. The goal is to be you and be yourself as a trader. Be selfish and think about yourself and your own growth. FAQ When do we delete orders? When TP is hit or if there is a new BOS leaving another OB Best timeframes? Any that makes you comfortable . if lower time frames make you anxious, don't use it. You want to be calm and relaxed when trading, not on edge. Best pairs? Main indexes or pairs.
Education
by algoat
2
BULL-BEAR-ACUMULATION IN THE MARKETS AND INTERNAL DYNAMICS /BTCBULL-BEAR-ACUMULATION PERIODS IN THE MARKETS and INTERNAL DYNAMICS OF CRYPTO MARKET These phases follow each other, although their duration is different. In this way, cycles are formed. Bitcoin has been following a 4-year halving cycle since 2008. 4 years constitute a cycle. Within 4 years, bull-bear-accumulation processes take place. As long as people and markets exist, these cycles will always continue. There will always be new winners and losers. This is the purpose of the stock market. For success: Firstly, you need to understand what the stock market is, its structure and periods. You should know that the falls and exits will end somewhere, you should know the trends. The crypto market is still the most risky market in the world. We all know that the losses are very big as well as the gains. People who cannot take this risk should not be in this market. I will also add parts of my old articles where relevant. ACCUMULATION (IN SHORT, TRANSITION PERIOD, MATURATION OR COMMODITY ACCUMULATION ZONE) A dull, no-earnings zone for new traders, following the sharp declines in the bear period and partly in the form of a more horizontal saw. For large investors, it is the pre-bullish period, when they gather goods at low prices without making much difference to the market. Depending on the internal dynamics of the market, this period may be longer or shorter than the bear Disbelief and suckers rally periods on Wall street cheet. It is the region where most small investors fall out of the game and get the last slap. There is an intense flow of bad news in this region. Those who do not know much about the market get fed up with them. In this period, which is already horizontal and unprofitable, a lot of shaking and reverse movements are made Those who can overcome this part are now on their way to earnings. Remember, the purpose of this part is to collect your goods cheaply in order to sell them more expensively in the future. So the market does not pity anyone here. Do not expect mercy !!! The best thing to do in the accumulation zone is this: to be patient and cost as much as possible. At this point, the thought of selling and buying a little lower can lead you to a mistake. You can see this from those who sell around 16-17-18k because it will fall to 10K When you reach 25k levels, thoughts of whether I missed it, whether it will go from here, whether I should enter will tire you out Do not try to look for a bottom point. Trend bottoms, turning points can be detected more or less. For example, bitcoin has been falling since $69K. You can say that it is appropriate to cost under 20k You have the chance to create costs under 20k for about 9 months, a very sufficient time. So far we have seen $ 15.5k as the lowest point. Purchases should have been made at those levels. Will 13 come? What if it comes, what difference will it make? You're trying to get rich with the $2,000 in between, you can't. The endeavour is pointless. Also, get to know a little bit about what you are investing in. Do not jump in with gas, with a moment of excitement, just because someone said so. Give importance to past experiences. Too much experience is important in the crypto market. Did the bull come? You always hear this question. This is a process and I will try to explain this process in my own way. The bull has started from the red candle at the bottom to the next green candle. The bull period is actually a sufficient process to make money. But the feeling it leaves in people is that it is very short. Firstly, we want it to last longer, we can't get enough :) secondly, it ends quickly because we join the majority towards the end. The rise periods of altcoins are relatively shorter than bitcoin. Reasons for this; their historical past is short, many of them are cyclical (trend) In the most glamorous last periods of the Taurus period, many phenomenal expert analysts emerge. Since their numbers are higher than quality people, the number of people they interact with is also high. New entrants have no chance to make this distinction In the end, they pay for it with their money. This is the same in Turkey, the USA and Japan. Within some limits (rules), the same situation is the same even in country stock exchanges. Look at the stock market right now, you can already understand directly It is the inevitable result of an environment where money is made from money. Manipulation, speculation is a must (I am not praising, I am stating the existing situation). Fast earnings high excitement easy money environment also breeds scammers and victims. For someone to make money, large groups must lose money. Usually the big losers are uninformed new investors. In order for the last losers to win, new last comers must enter the market (new cycle). The bull period is why novices are more courageous and earn more at that stage. Because they have no previous negative experiences and they have started their transactions in a positive environment, everything is rosy Whatever you put your hand on, it's going up. So the market allows it. The person who has experienced the bear market for a long time cannot show this courage because he has been burned once. He approaches every project cautiously, does not trust easily. He is overprotective. His first aim is to protect his money, whether he realises it or not. It is not easy to get out of the psychology created by prolonged declines. This psychology may continue until the increases are finalised and the bull trend is accepted. The biggest motivation of the bull period is to lock as many people as possible at peak prices. The bear season is to buy back the goods locked at the lowest prices. That's why great news comes at the top and the worst destructive news comes at the bottom. It's infallible. Stock market bankruptcies, sinking coins. Hacking incidents, country bans, delist fury, etc. You have to wait. If you entered at the end of the bull market and you are going to continue, you have to. But by taking advantage of this wait. You don't have to learn everything. Even if you learn 2 indicators in great detail is enough. It is difficult to become a master in a short time, experience requires experience, but if you learn to use 2-3 data in the best way, your success will increase. It is not important to win in a month in a week. It is important to be able to earn and protect it in a year or two years. Consider it as investment and savings, not gambling. What needs to be done to win is plain and simple, the difficult thing is to apply them BEAR People who enter the market at the tail end of the upturn usually lose, and then spend the prolonged downturn (bear period) in a bad psychological state and move away from the market. Crowded groups come to the market when the price is at its highest, everyone is talking about the market, advertisements and good news are abundant and enthusiasm is at its peak. This period is the last stages of the rise. There is no one left to enter the market anymore At first it is not recognised that this is the top. The decline deepens over time. As the price falls, the new investor starts buying at unsuitable points in order to reduce costs. As the decline period extends, the loss grows. The belief that it will never rise again increases. What has happened has happened and the investment has melted. Depression and anger vary according to the loss. Most people leave the market at this point with great loss. Coins that they have been holding without selling since the peak, usually sell angrily at the bottom levels. Some also lose hope and interest. Because the money has fallen so much that its increase will not mean anything. Maybe you are saying this right now: I wish I had bought bitcoin at $3000 in the past. When I first entered, I wish I had bought it at $ 100. It wasn't that easy. It was not that day either. In that $ 3000 you said you would have bought, people were sinking and crying blood. It was as bad that day as it is today. I would even say that 2018 was a worse year than that. No one can promise you that the market will turn from this or that point We can make mathematical predictions with all the data we have. Although the idea that it returns from this point and I will make the purchase from there seems appropriate at first, it is an incomplete approach. Our emotions can be manipulated, but so much technical data, graphics, indicators cannot be manipulated. Read, analyse and try to trade by leaving your emotions aside. It is difficult for someone who is constantly experiencing losses to think objectively. But somewhere it is necessary to reset the mind and look from the outside. This is what must be done to win. After all, the money was somehow lost We'll draw a line in the past and look to the future. From now on, you will think that you are starting from scratch with the money you have left, you will adjust your psychology in this way. Past mistakes will only remain as a lesson. Especially near the bottom, the number of people who say that there is much lower increases considerably. Because trust has been lost. The investor cannot think without being affected by the market. (As it will go further as it rises, it will go further as it falls). It is difficult to overcome once you lose and get out of this psychology. Emotions come into play. You can be a prisoner of ambition and anger Bottom points have to be like this. Old excitements and targets are forgotten. despair and apathy take over the small investor (us). The 10x 100x's said at the top are replaced one by one by targets lower than the level we are at. What you see around you right now. Have you ever heard of targets like 12k- 9k- 7.5k last year? At least I didn't hear from anyone when I was over 45k. The markets we need to examine are not just altcoins and even btc. past data will be light ahead of us. what I mean by the past, world stock markets. especially nasdaq, dow, dax, nikkei should be examined. Let's go back to emotions. I see this a lot in the market, there are those who talk about coins with enthusiasm and those who hate coins. These are inanimate beings, do not approach with hate or love. Losing from a coin is bad, winning does not make it good. #altcoin Or the fact that a coin has not increased for a long time does not mean that it will definitely not increase in the future. There is no certainty at this point. Yes, it may be a finished project or it may just be waiting for its time to come. We stay away from positive or negative certain judgements. Flexibility gives you an advantage. Now let's see how many days the rise and fall periods lasted between 2009-2023 in btc. As I mentioned before, there is never innocence in the stock market and making money from money. The market is never free. "But this time it's different" has been said by every person in every period. And it has always failed. People who have experience in the markets for a long time know this very well. Each period creates its own special conditions. But the result has never changed. At some point, the market ends its decline and starts its new cycle. With new rises, the bad news is immediately forgotten. The loser loses and the market continues on its way. The market is never innocent. There is no emotion. There are always winners and losers. It will be the same in the future. Well, I told so many negative things. Is it so hard to win, does everyone have to lose? No, my purpose in telling you these things is not for you to despair. You need to know what you are in for and you need to understand the rules of the game. Certain rules for winning. There are multiple ways of earning. But not for everyone -Swing -Margin (pro) -Lie down for a long time -News orientated trade I do not do margin trading (I do not recommend it to anyone who is not a professional). I can say that I am a trend follower. I come to the market at the bottom areas, create an average cost, and slowly sell and exit at the top where the hype is experienced. In most of the BTC and total marketcap charts, I show buying and selling points in the long term. I never try to buy from one place and sell from one point. I know this is futile. I aim to increase the amount of coins I have in the trend by cross trading with each other or with usd. I am never in a hurry. I know what my goals are. I also leave flexibility to positive and negative extremes. The rest is only a matter of time. I create more than one option for myself so that I do not remain empty-handed in case some possibilities do not materialise. Remember, making money from Bitcoin is becoming increasingly difficult, the profit rate is decreasing, it is becoming more stable. When we examine the old btc movements and structures; while exhibiting simple and relatively more predictable movements, As time passes, these structures become complex and difficult to predict in the short term. Also, do not buy coins because no one says so, do not enter the transaction Know why you do what you do and be aware of the consequences. These may sound like clichés, but these are the facts. Words like 50x-100x may sound very attractive to you, but no one is a magician. No one has a secret 100x information. These are things that are put forward to attract attention for interaction. Of course, there will be coins that will make 100x, but you can't hear them from somewhere by chance. Finding a coin with 100x potential is only possible with very good fundamental analysis. And it takes a lot of patience to get it. In the past, many beautiful projects have done such xs. And this business is becoming increasingly difficult. There are always tips in both the stock market and the crypto market. And most of them are born and spread as a result of speculation. You can't make sustainable profits on tips. Listen, but don't plan on tips (as in don't believe in fortune telling but don't do without fortune telling) Stock investment is not a match where every shot is a goal. You don't need to hit every ball. You can be patient and bide your time. -Warren Buffet Do not deify anyone in this market. You should get the information you need and move on. The story starts like this: Too many people are following this person, so if I'm in the market, I might as well listen to them. #btc #btc I almost don't know anyone in the stock market who doesn't follow someone on social media. Everyone's path is definitely falling. ''The general public has no idea what is going on, and is even unaware that it has no idea." Noam Chomsky. We can definitely use this word for the crypto market. PSYCHOLOGY Prices and indicators are not the same for everyone. I mean this; we look at the same chart at the same time and think different things. This is because of the positive and negative experiences of those people. Seeing the bitcoin chart below 20k, some see it as an opportunity and some see it as a great destruction. The same way that the price below the 200-week average in btc is a great opportunity for some and a fear indicator for others. If the person is not suitable to understand this, you cannot convince even if you present 10 evidence. Price movement should not be looked at as a belief, it is mathematics. sooner or later, whatever the target is, it will be realised. Since prices do not move according to people's feelings, those who are disbelief at the beginning of the bull and overconfident when the trend ends lose. Your emotions will only mislead you in this market. you have to be a robot. when buying a coin, remember this: you should do good technical and fundamental analysis. you should calculate not only cost but also time. Why did you buy that coin? I don't know, he said, he said buy it, so I bought it, it fell. I couldn't sell it. There can be no gain in this way. At least from your point of view =) In this market, luck laughs at you very little. Everything else is knowledge, experience + patience. NEWS Sometimes news is also used when the time comes to change the direction of movement. For sharp turns and sudden price increases, it is necessary to give people big news to talk about. Sudden drops and exits without a reason cause the system to be questioned and undermine confidence for no reason. But if people believe in a reason, the game continues. In other words, if people can make sense of the stake, there is no problem for the market maker. People want to hear something. The media is ready there immediately. Why it fell: this and that happened, that's why it fell. Most of the time it's not even relevant. The mainstream media never talks about the facts, what is going on behind the scenes, technical analysis, things that are useful for us. At the lows, bad news is pumped in to discourage you even more, and at the peaks, good news is pumped in to attract more new investors and to lock up goods from the top. This is how the market is managed by media power. Paris hilton's laser eye, then it turned into a trend. harry potter author tweeting about btc. Elon musk-tesla Elon-doge Celebrities suddenly becoming bitcoiners and sharing it on the internet Look at BTC trend analyses on Google, how similar the charts are! Remember, the stock market is not just an investment. It is a kind of struggle to make money. The crypto market is literally a stock market. In fact, according to me, it is the most difficult stock exchange in the world. There are no prohibitive rules for those who want to take your money from your hands. No one pities you. They take your money without seeing and recognising you. -Who can't win in the bullfight. Those who hurry too much in profit those who enter pump-dump organisations from the top Those who say that they can't go and constantly change coins and miss what they have Those who tie all their money to a coin Those buried in more altcoins than they can manage Those who are constantly chasing signals left and right, waiting for tips from fake masters they do not know in paid private groups. Those who consume all their money in scams while chasing gem. In addition, those who cannot take risks, very stressful and cowardly investment, those who drown in detail cannot win (or win little) in the bull. Those who do not take adequate precautions in security and are hacked. That's all for now. Thank you.
Education
by Cryptollica
2
Cryptocurrencies and Market Psychology (long Review)How do we determine whether the Cryptomarket will rise or fall, at what point of the trend? I will share my past experiences, thoughts and information I have compiled and evaluate the subject in terms of market psychology. While explaining these as much as I can, I will make use of a lot of data and resources. Roughly speaking, market psychology is the whole of the phenomena that we feel emotionally in the face of the movements experienced and enable us to make decisions in line with them. In other words, it is what we feel in response to price movements. Hence the enthusiasm we feel in response to rising prices in the market and the anger we feel in response to falling prices and losses. Crowds, masses, groups, whatever you call them, act on emotions and impulses. They have a common collective behaviour, separate and distinct from what they feel individually. This is whatever the direction of the market is. Except for exceptions and a certain minority, it is not possible for investors to get rid of this and think differently. You can sense this both from yourself and from your surroundings. When the markets are at their peak, investors are very happy, they invite everyone to join them in this happiness, their faces are smiling, and they believe that they will earn even more in time. ''After an event is repeated two or three times in a row, the "arterior cingulate" and "nucleus accumbens" parts of the human brain automatically expect it to be repeated. if it is repeated, a natural chemical "dopamine" is released and your brain is covered with a soft happiness. So when a stock goes up several times in a row, you expect it to continue, and your brain chemistry changes as the stock goes up, making you feel very happy, so you become addicted to your predictions. But when stocks fall, the resulting monetary losses activate the "amygdala" part of your brain - the part of the brain that drives fear and anxiety and activates the famous "fight or flight" response that occurs in all cornered animals. Just as you can't stop your heart rate from rising when a fire alarm goes off, and you can't stop running backwards when a snake crosses your walkway, you can't stop being scared when stock prices fall.'' behavioural economics after an event is repeated two or three times in a row, the "arterior cingulate" and "nucleus accumbens" parts of the human brain automatically expect it to repeat. if it repeats, it is a natural person. This period of making easy and fast money makes people feel very good. People think that they are very successful and that this will continue. But this is an illusion. The reason why the masses make big and fast money during this period is not their own success, but because the market allows it. The end of these events is usually full of bitter experiences. The 2001 nasdaq crisis, the 2008 crisis, the cryptocurrencies in the last months of 2017, the 2021 bitcoin rally, and the current Turkey's stock are examples of this. Of course, before evaluating these, it is necessary to know what the stock market is, who wins, what is its real face. One of the biggest misconceptions about the stock market is that the new entrant or the less experienced person makes the evaluation only within the period he entered. This is a mistake, what should be done is to analyse the relevant market with its entire history. You've heard the saying, "It's increased 30 times in 2 years, if it goes another 10 times from here. Probably not. This 10 times more thought has been formed in line with the above-mentioned and is not rational. ''If we had bought that coin or stock in time, we were rich now.'' This phrase is also very familiar. Those who invest uninformedly with the discourses of others, people who think that they are distributed free of charge on the stock exchange, crypto, those who think it is a place of easy fast money folding are always in the last link of the chain and are doomed to lose. What has invited these people to the stock market recently is the enthusiasm experienced in the markets. Think about the motivation of people jumping from the top of the shares. It's going up, so let me get in and win. From Daniel Kahneman's book Thinking fast and slow: ''People have the illusion that they are 'making accurate predictions'.'' One of the relevant chapters is below: "So the success of a buy-sell is not due to skill, but to luck. And even when they are presented with evidence of this fact, they ignore it and continue to live the same way. The rest of the story is even more interesting. Algorithms that use only 2 parameters in predictions that largely depend on luck are more successful against people who are fed with more parameters/information. Because human thoughts vary too much according to their body chemistry, and as they are fed with more information, their self-confidence and therefore the risks they take increase and they lose more easily. That means this, For example, when betting between teams x-y, a simple algorithm that calculates the probability of team x winning based on x's score in the last 5 matches and the score in the last 5 seasons against team y, In the long run, it is more successful than a person who knows these two pieces of information and the number of injuries, the weather, the number of fans and who the referee is in that match. Therefore, algorithms using Markov chains make money, while amateurs who are influenced by the sunny weather and make more optimistic choices lose money all the time. Another conclusion to be drawn: Machines are more successful with less information. This makes them superior to humans. Humans are still incapable of comprehending - accepting - even the statistical facts that are shown to them. we are still prisoners of the illusions that our minds play on us.'' People are psychologically influenced by their environment. Explanation: when the stock market was at 1000 points, no one was interested, but now everyone has the desire to become an investor. The same goes for bitcoin. People who I could not convince to buy in the $ 3000-5000 USD range started to ask if it would go between 50-69k USD. The same people now think that bitcoin should never be bought at 16 thousand. All these are not calculated thoughts, they are purely impulsive behaviours. The result of these behaviours is to lose. As long as people and markets exist, these cycles will always continue. There will always be new winners and losers. This is the purpose of the stock market. Now, what are the above-mentioned things useful for us? With all this information, we are trying to find out where we are in the market relative to the peak and when we should exit. In other words, when to buy and when to sell, to find the time to sell. When does the bear market (bear period) start? It starts 1 candle after the peak candle. It is the best selling place. That is, the peak. We use technical analysis, the internal dynamics of the market and the psychology of this market to identify the peak areas (i.e. the best selling points). Remember, we are not trying to analyse point by point. We are just trying to more or less predict the zones and maximise our own profits. Trying to find peaks and troughs is unnecessary and foolish. Buying at average cost and selling at average cost will give you the most effortless profit. Some wrong moves and behaviour patterns that prevent winning: -Rushing to win. -Not having information about the market, not learning. -Being hopeless and negative due to constant losing (not looking objectively). -Looking for back doors, trying to pull the gain forward (emotional or sentimental trade, or margin) -Constantly listening to others without doing enough research, losing and blaming them for mistakes, -Excessive enthusiasm at the top, excessive fear and anger at the bottom. Those who follow the whole market only news-oriented. These can multiply even more. People with these behaviour patterns cannot make money from the market. You have heard it everywhere: "The stock market is a means of transferring money from impatient people to patient people". You will realise the truth of this saying as your experience increases. Of course, this alone is not enough, there are many factors such as the right timing, the right stock coin selection, the moves you will make in the uptrend. But one of the basic disciplines you need to have is patience. Let's go back to psychology and emotion. The masses in the stock market (small investors); are guided and manipulated through emotions. In other words, it is to get your consent on an action that you will not do and to make you take that action. Manipulation is to persuade you for a transaction that is to your detriment. Through various methods, the money in the hands of small investors is collected in the hands of large investors, capital groups, new rich people. In other words, wealth transfer takes place. Thanks to many stock exchanges, commodities, cryptos, parity in the world, these wealth transfers are taking place at any moment. Examine all world markets from past to present, it will be more understandable. Why am I telling so many negative things? Because in order to win the game, we need to know what the game is, what the rules are. You can get away from the news, fuds, psychological attrition movements, manipulations, knowing the rules of the game. It's a kind of self-protection. Once you lose, it's hard to overcome the psychology of it. Emotions come into play. You can be a prisoner of ambition and anger. So you can know these and try not to lose from the beginning or try to get out with less damage. The stock market is an environment where the right information is very valuable, because we come across the most information pollution, ignorant comments, and directive content on the stock market. Even twitter alone is enough for this hollow content. I mentioned the part about the peaks. Enough of this negative information. I apologise that the topics may be a bit intertwined. If we come to the bottom points, the opposite of these are experienced. I have talked about them at length before, they can be read. Let me make a few recommendations. Choose the people you care about carefully. No one has a magic wand or secret information that will make you 100x. Stay away from dishonest people, ignore duplicate scam accounts. There are plenty of paid and unpaid trainings (stock market, crypto) on the internet, spend time on them. Browse books written about the stock market. Try to fill yourself with knowledge. On fundamental and technical analysis, investor psychology, Try to learn about behavioural economics (economics), about the basics of the stock market. Don't depend on anyone, but try to get information from everyone. Also, get to know a little bit about what you are investing in. Do not jump in with gas, with a moment of excitement, just because someone said so. Give importance to past experiences. A lot of experience is important in the stock market. Think medium and long term, not short term. It is not important to earn in a month in a week. It is important to be able to earn and protect it in a year or two years. Consider it as investment and accumulation, not gambling. What needs to be done to win is plain and simple, what is difficult is to apply them.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by Cryptollica
4
Market Makers Buy And Sell ModelThe market Makers' Buy and Sell Model is a strategy that reveals the market maker algorithm model for price delivery. Basically, there are 3 things market makers' algorithms do with price in every trading session, day, week, and month Those 3 things are; Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution. AMD: A: Accumulation M: Manipulation D: Distribution 1. Accumulation: They accumulate liquidity through the delivery of a ranging market. The purpose of delivering a ranging market is to induce both buyers and sellers to enter the market thinking that price will go in their direction. How to Identify a Ranging Market: You know price is in a ranging market when you see obvious relative equal highs and lows price range. In a ranging market, price swing points have relatively equal highs and lows, that is, the price is neither delivering a higher high nor a higher low. 2. Manipulation: After accumulating both buy and sell orders, they then manipulate the market to further induce another set of traders which are breakout traders. But, that particular manipulation move is not their intended direction for the day. They only use it to gather liquidity, Which will then lead them to the next action which is to move and distribute prices in their real direction for the day. Usually, when price breaks out of a ranging market, the break-out is a manipulation to further induce a new set of traders to enter the market, further proving liquidity for market makers' real intended direction. 3. Distribution: After manipulating the price to a particular direction different from their plan, they then distribute the price to their original intended direction. e.g to buy, they will first sell the market and then buy at the discount price level. You know a price distribution through clean candles that left imbalances behind and then break market structure away from the previous manipulation move structure high or low to form a new structure. Example of Market Makers Buy and Sell Model as described on the chart. AMD: A: Accumulation M: Manipulation D: Distribution Accumulation: Price range for some time, accumulating liquidity on both sides of long and shorts. Manipulation: Price broke the high of the accumulation to take out Buyside liquidity and then create a new higher high and higher low. But it's a manipulation move. Distribution: Price moves away from the FVG leading to a shift in market structure, plus a short pullback, follow by a massive move to the downside to take out sell-side liquidity below. Entry: Your entry should be inside the FVG created by price before the shift in market structure, you can set a limit order inside the fvg and place your stop loss at the high of the swing high created prior to the fvg and shift in market structure. The same thing applies to a bullish market. Basically, Marker makers push prices higher so they can sell the market at a premium, while they sell the market to lower prices so they can buy that market at very discount prices This strategy can be used in any time frame and all markets including forex, crypto, stocks, future etc. Follow me for more updates. Feel free to ask me any questions in the comment.
Education
by Elijahenoch7
Ninja Talks EP 20: The Book of Five RingsAs a martial arts enthusiast I found myself reading (again) my favourite book of all time, "The Book of Five Rings" by Miyamoto Musashi. TLDR; A 16th Century Samurai who had 64 duels to the death, never lost and wrote down all his techniques, thoughts and insights shortly before he died atop Mount Iwato. Yeah I know, crazy, but true. Anyway, I found myself reading this book again and I got to the chapter on Footwork where Miyamoto states something super important that relates to trading massively and something that will 100% help you in your finance career. He said, "Tred strongly on your heels and allow leeway in your toes." Essentially this is how I saw it as a trader. The heel is the first principles of trading - aka the core fundamental rules you must follow to build your trading career. The Toes are redundant techniques, noise, other peoples opinions, fake news and basically anything that isn't fixed, but constantly changing instead. Here's how I see it, as traders we need to "Tred strongly on our First principles" and not get lost in frivolous escapades to find the perfect strategy - it doesn't exist, nor does it need to - because first principles are the building blocks of a successful career, not temporary dopamine Toes the majority of traders chase each day. The first principles? + Psychology before, during and after a trade. + Win Rate + Risk + Reward + Entry/Exit technique(s) + Intuition (gained from experience, screen time and age) + Money Management and Compounding Tactics + Awareness (The core core) Does this make sense Ninjas? Operating from first principles allows you to focus on what's real and lasting, not things that are illusory and temporary. That's all for this episode! If you like this then consider giving a follow for more Ninja Talks. Keep your blades sharp! Nick
Education
by NinjaTradingServices
CANDLESTICK PATTERNS CHART SHEETCandlestick patterns need to be one of your trading arsenal's most effective weapons. We can determine the direction of the market using several candlestick patterns. All timeframes exhibit these patterns, but the daily candlestick patterns seem to be the most reliable. Once you recognize these patterns, you may be ready for your next move and use other tools to join the market, including the previously discussed MA approach and flag patterns (see attached charts). This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
14
BIASES THAT EXPLAIN WHY TRADERS LOSE MONEYHello traders, today we will talk about WHY TRADERS LOSE MONEY BIAS WHAT IT MEANS… HOW IT INFLUENCES TRADERS Availability People estimate the likelihood of an event based on how easily it can be recalled. Traders put too much emphasis on their most recent trades and let recent results interfere with their trading decisions. After a loss, traders often get scared or try to get back to break even. Both mental states lead to bad trading quickly. After a win, many traders get over-confident and trade loosely. You must be aware of how you react to recent results and trade with a high level of awareness. Dilution effect Irrelevant data weakens other more relevant data. Using too many tools and trading concepts to analyze price could weaken the importance of the core decision drivers. I wrote about redundant signals and how to combine the right tools here: click here Gambler’s fallacy People believe that probabilities have to even each other out in the short term. Traders misinterpret randomness and believe that after three losing trades, a winning trade is more likely. The probabilities don’t change based on past results. Even after 10 losses in a row, the next trade does not have a higher chance of being a winner. Anchoring Overestimating the importance of the first available piece of information. Upon entering a trade, people set their whole chart and analysis in reference to their entry price and don’t see the whole picture objectively anymore. You must always have a plan BEFORE you enter a trade. Insensitivity to sample size Underestimating the variance for large and small sample sizes. Traders too often make assumptions about the accuracy of their system based on just a few trades, or even change parameters after only a few losers. A decent sample size is 30 – 50 trades. Do not alter anything about your approach before you have reached this number. And make sure that you follow the same rules to get an accurate picture of your trading within the sample size. Contagion heuristic Avoiding contact with objects people see as “contaminated” by previous contact. Traders avoid markets/instruments after having a large loss in that instrument, even when the loss was the fault of the trader. Hindsight We see things that have already occurred as more probable than they were before they took place. Looking back on your trades and fishing for explanations why the trade has failed, even though those signals weren’t obvious at the time. Do not change your indicator or setting after a loss to come up with explanations or excuses. Accept that losses are normal and always follow your plan. Hot-hand fallacy After a successful outcome on a random event, another success is more likely. Traders believe that once they are in a winning streak, things become easier and they can “feel” what the market is going to do next. I wrote about the hot-dand-fallacy in trading before: click here Peak–end rule People judge an event based on how they felt at the peak of the event. Traders look at a losing trade and only see how much they were in profit at the maximum, but don’t look at what went wrong afterwards. Do not change your reference point when in a trade and have a plan for your trade management and when to exit before entering a trade. Simulation heuristic People feel more regret if they miss an event only by a little. Price that missed your target only by a little bit, or a trade where you got stopped out just by a few points can be more painful than other trades. The outcome is out of your control and you cannot influence the price movements. The only thing you can do is manage your trade within your rules. Social proof If unsure what to do, people look for what other people did. Traders too often ask for advice from other traders when they are not sure what to do – even when other traders have a completely different trading strategy. You must take responsibility for your actions and results. And not rely on someone else. Framing People make decisions based on how it is presented; a gain is more valuable than a loss and a sure gain is more valuable than a probabilistic greater gain. Traders close profitable trades too early because they value current profits more than a potentially larger profit in the future. Cutting winners too soon is a huge problem. If this is an issue for you, reducing screen time can be helpful. Do not watch your trades tick by tick. Sunk cost We will invest in something just because we have already invested in it. before Adding to losing trades because you are already invested, even though no objective reason to add exists. You must define your stop loss in advance and then execute it without hesitation when it has been reached. Confirmation Only looking for information that confirms your beliefs, ideas and actions. Blanking out reasons and signals that don’t support your trade and just looking for confirmation. Especially when traders are in a loss, they only look for supportive information. Stay objective! Overconfidence People have a higher confidence than what their level of skill actually suggests. Traders misjudge their level of expertise and skill. Consistently losing traders don’t see that it’s their fault. Analyze your results objectively and get a trading journal to add even more accountability. Selective perception Forgetting those things that caused discomfort. Traders forget easily that their own mistakes and wrong trading decisions caused the majority of their losses. Do not blame the marjets, unfair circumnstances, your broker or any other outside event. You are the one who is responsible for making it work. It’s totally up to you and blaming others won’t help you make progress. Which bias is the one that is causing you the greatest troubles? What are you workin on right now? Let me know in the comments below and I will answer with tips and ideas on how to overcome your struggles. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
4
THERE IS NO PERFECTION IN TRADINGToday, I want to provide with you an essay that will clarify just how far you should push your trading perfectionism. There is no ideal trading technique, to put it succinctly and painfully. Losses will be a part of life. Yes, there are High Frequency Trading (HFT) outfits that have been producing successful days after successful days for the past five years, but let me let you in on a little secret: you are not an HFT outfit. Additionally, these HFTs lose money; it's only that because they execute a million trades every day, their advantages soon disappear. Therefore, give up hoping and begin understanding that you will lose. The ideal trading strategy is one that generates profits over the long term; a strategy that generates profits on each trade would be utopian. Additionally, you won't begin making money until you acknowledge that you will also lose money. I know it's an old story, but this is one of the factors to consider if you aren't yet profitable. You still believe you are superior to the market, and you are still searching for a trading method that guarantees a 100% win rate, deep inside your reptile brain. Curve Fitting Is Asking For Disaster If you still want to develop your trading strategy after it has proven to be profitable, you must proceed with extreme caution. Your winrate and reward:risk ratio will change whenever you alter a parameter in a trading system because it is such a delicate construction. Your variance, average drawdowns, average updraws, and so forth will all increase. A trading system should only undergo subtle, gradual changes based on reliable data. If you keep trying to improve, curve fitting is what you'll finally do. As a result, there will be no room for any future changes in market behaviour because your approach will be too firmly tied to the past. However, markets are alive and continuously changing, as we all know. Every backtest faces the very real challenge of costing a lot of money by designing a system that is too tightly based on historical data. In addition, if you have three years of data, create your system on the first two years then test it on the third year without making any alterations, regardless of the third year's results. This is why you should always utilise an outsample while backtesting. You must eventually decide where you stand as a trader and prepare to lose. You may already be using a winning trading strategy, but are unaware of it since you constantly try to make adjustments to your system in an effort to minimise losses. This will, however, need a change to your current setup and expose it to new risks of loss. You will eventually just have to accept that your trading system will occasionally make bad trades because that is how trading works. Nobody would ever think consider trying to win every hand they play in poker; it is a stupid and insane idea. Most traders ruin good systems by striving to turn them into perfect systems. Accept this as who you are and your trading strategy, with all of its advantages and disadvantages. Accept that losses are a part of it and learn to love it. What more could you ask for when you know that you have a good outlook on life and that the system generates income for you? You already outperform around 95% of everyone who has ever entered this industry. You must aim for excellence rather than perfection. If you cannot fulfill your dream of creating the “Magic Strike Rate Trading System”, what is left? Excellence! It is your job to make sure to follow your system 100%. Not even the slightest deviation is allowed. Make sure you are always trading at the peak of your performance. Strive for excellence and make every trade count! Every trade that you take outside of your trading system is an insult to yourself, to the time and effort you put into trading, and to your self-respect. Excellence really comes down to respecting yourself in the end. Once you come to respect yourself and trust your abilities and your system, it will become easier and easier for you to follow your system. If you go on a losing streak, find out if you completed each trade well, and if so, whether the market conditions changed or something else occurred. When you are on a losing streak, it is crucial to keep going and stick to your plan while also comprehending why you are losing. It's good if there is nothing to be done. This is how a process-oriented approach should be adopted by every professional trader. You can weather the storm if you take pride in your losing streak, preserve your money, and trade expertly every time. Instead of endlessly optimising one setup, focus on mastering another setup or the market. It's really quite simple: If you follow your method perfectly for a time (let's say 50 transactions) and you are still losing money, you can say with a high degree of certainty that the system is the issue. You can then make adjustments, but if you don't use your system in the first place, you won't ever know if it works or not. Demo accounts and backtests are used for just that. And believe me, the more focus you place on strictly adhering to your system, the quicker it will become a winning system that complements your lifestyle and personality, which is crucial. But wow, if all of a sudden you are outperforming a sample of 50 trades. This might be it. You might have a successful strategy. Why make a change now? You are getting paid. Trade the system till you can follow it without thinking every day while doing flawlessly. Go for it if your trading log indicates that there is a LOT of potential in a particular location. Naturally, test the modified system first on a demo. If you are successful, though, and you can't locate any significant leaks, leave it alone. Don't curve fit once more. It's fantastic if you get bored! Monotony is a sign of successful trade. Congratulations, you have mastered your setup. You can now create a different configuration using the same technique to smooth your equity curve and diversify your revenue sources. Your equity curve will appear virtually perfect over time if you master 2-3 setups to locate trades in all market conditions, but there will still be a lot of losers among your winners, of course. Your strike rate, average risk-to-reward ratio, and risk tolerance are all important factors. Be disciplined Be flexible Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
7
HOW TO MANAGE YOUR LIFE AND TRADINGHello traders, today we will talk about how to manage your life and trading Hey! When we all started, we encountered some trading challenges. These issues typically arise in the first year of trading. By year's end, the majority of traders had lost all of their money and had given up forever. In essence, this was brought on by excessive trading and a lack of knowledge. Trading requires certain skills and techniques, much like many other professions, which you can learn and use to achieve success. But if you're just starting off, you probably don't even know where to begin. PROBLEMS: Constantly worried about deals. This point greatly depresses you and diverts your attention away from other vital matters. - Personality and emotional losses When you start losing money too much, it might be difficult to recover, and attempting to do so will just result in further losses. - Confusion of mindset Like every sadness we experience in life, this one clouds our ability to think clearly. Rushing into new professions Overtrading is a mistake that many traders and investors make, and often results in significant losses. - Investing all of your money in assets. Write me a comment if you've ever tried trading with all of your money! Due to this issue, trading has turned into gambling and new traders are losing too much money. Solution: Schedule your trades. Concentrate on upcoming trades, plan your entries, take profits, and halt losses. It should be planned, and if something doesn't work, you need to fix it and try again, just like in any other firm. - Make modest deals Start with little trades when trading; don't hurry things if you won't be wealthy until the end of the year. But first, master trading, and make sure you've gained knowledge from both losses and triumphs. - Emphasis on manageable risk Yes, only 10% of traders make money each month; the other traders struggle somewhere in the middle. Before starting any new trades, attempt to understand your risks to ensure that you will be among the 10% winners. - Implement trading system You must experiment with many techniques and tactics before you can determine which trading criteria work best for you. Your trading system should fit your personality. You will be fine and closing months in substantial profits once your trading method is set up, though. - While trading, take pauses. When there is nothing to do on the market, take a deep breath and relax. Make sure you have time for other things. Try to arrange your trading time. The market is here to stay: This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
BEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
TRADING IS HARDER THAN YOU THINK: THE COMPLEXITY OF TRADINGHello traders, today we will talk about THE COMPLEXITY OF TRADING THE FIRST DECISIONS ABOUT YOUR TRADING STRATEGY People who are unfamiliar with the financial sector may find it daunting to have to respond to several questions before they can even make their first trade. However, because each element and idea is interconnected with the others, leaving out even one will cause your otherwise flawlessly constructed trading strategy to fall apart. Each and every one of the financial markets is significantly dissimilar from the others and requires a completely unique skill set and perspective. Do you prefer trading less leveraged equities that require a larger account to the 24/5 forex market where leverage allows traders to potentially make large gains with as little as a few hundred dollars? Are you more interested in trading on the simple spot market or the more complicated. If you have to balance trading with your everyday life, time and time horizon are the main determining elements, and this directly relates to questions regarding your trading approach. The question of whether you want to be a day trader or a swing trader who holds positions for a longer period of time is related to the timeframes you want to trade and affects how long you keep positions. If you don't currently trade full-time, you will also need to figure out how to fit trading into your daily life. Additionally, you must choose your trading instruments, such as price action patterns and/or indicators. Which one you like is a matter of personal preference, but the fact that there are thousands of self-described trading experts TRADING DECISIONS BEFORE YOU TAKE A TRADE You are prepared to proceed to the next level once you have provided answers to the questions above. Once your trading strategy has been determined, you should be extremely clear about the entrance criteria, the significance and order of each entry condition, and whether or not the various entry criteria have an impact on your win rate. Then, be completely honest with yourself and determine if you actually possess an advantage. Have you backtested your trading method without lying to yourself or cheating? If it's even conceivable, did you demo trade and handle demo trading as you would real money trading? Are you able to gauge whether markets have altered and are you ready to respond to them? Additionally, you will need to have an organised and well-considered risk management strategy. Your trading performance is significantly impacted by the size of your account alone. If your account is too huge, fear and greed will dictate your trading choices, as opposed to your trading being very sloppy if your account is too small. What is your position sizing strategy, secondly? Do you utilise a fixed % amount for each trade, or do position sizes change depending on the strength of setups? Last but not least, how much exposure are you ready to take on for all open trades, and do you take correlations into account when making new trades? TRADING DECISIONS WHEN YOU ARE IN A TRADE You are prepared to make a deal once you have answers to all the previously asked questions. However, once you enter a trade, you are forced to handle a completely different set of issues while feeling the strain of actual market exposure. As a result, it's crucial that you have all the answers before making any transactions so that you can carry out your trading strategy without having to think too much.carry out your trading strategy without having to give it any thought. Scaling in and scaling out, increased risk, and having to deal with comparable trading decisions if you have open positions in linked instruments are some of the ideas connected to risk management that come up in the questions. Do you also monitor how your risk-to-reward ratio changes throughout the course of a trade? Your risk management strategy will also influence how you respond to challenges like news events, unforeseen political and geopolitical developments, and making trades over the weekend. The principles of risk are very intimately related to issues of trade management. Stop loss and take profit management are the two most crucial aspects of trade management. When a trade goes in your favour, do you actively move your stop loss order? If the answer is yes, develop a complex and tried-and-true stop loss technique rather than hopping around stops. For your take profit orders, the same is true. The reason why most traders take profits too soon is because they confuse a small pullback with a trend change. In order to improve, write down your stop loss and take profit management rules, test them, and evaluate their results. Furthermore, non-chart events are just as significant as your active trading choices on your price charts. The difference between a competent, lucrative trader and a continually losing amateur trader is a sound trading strategy, where you map out potential trading scenarios beforehand and prepare your trades before they take place. His trading journal is the trader's second-most crucial instrument. A trader keeps a record of all of his previous trades in a trading notebook in an effort to identify weak points and improve his edge. Because it takes a lot of discipline and effort, yet will mean the difference between continually losing and making profits, it is surprising how few traders have neither of the two. CONCLUSION: BEING A TRADER MEANS MAKING DECISIONS Despite the fact that trading initially appears to be relatively straightforward, being a successful trader demands a very professional mindset and approach. A trader has to come up with sophisticated and tried methods to manage his deals before, during, and after they occurred. He must deal with a number of extremely difficult issues on a regular basis. This article's objective is not to scare you away, but to inform you of the complexity of trading and provide you with a rule to follow in order to maximise the effectiveness of your trading strategy. Be disciplined Be flexible Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
3
Exploring Bitcoin and Altcoin DominanceIntroduction The dynamic landscape of cryptocurrency trading is filled with a multitude of variables that traders need to comprehend to navigate the financial waters successfully. One such vital aspect of understanding is the relationship between Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and Other Cryptocurrencies Dominance (OTHERS.D). This article aims to provide an in-depth insight into this relationship and its long-term trends. Bitcoin Dominance: What is it? Firstly, to understand the relationship between these two, we must grasp what Bitcoin dominance implies. Essentially, Bitcoin dominance illustrates the ratio of Bitcoin's total market capitalization relative to the aggregate market capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market. Expressed as a percentage on a scale from 0 to 100, it signifies the proportion of Bitcoin's capitalization compared to the total market capitalization. Other Cryptocurrencies Dominance (OTHERS.D) Similarly, Other Cryptocurrencies Dominance (OTHERS.D) represents the total market capitalization of the top 125 altcoins, excluding Bitcoin and some other leading cryptocurrencies. It reflects how the altcoins are faring against the total market cap in the crypto market. Correlation Between BTC.D and OTHERS.D Now, the crucial question is, why should we care about these percentages? The significance of this relationship is revealed through the Correlation Coefficient indicator, which quantifies the degree to which these two indices move in relation to each other. A Correlation Coefficient value of +1 indicates a strong positive correlation, signifying that both instruments tend to rise or fall simultaneously. Conversely, a correlation coefficient of -1 represents an inverse relationship, meaning when one instrument rises, the other falls. A coefficient of 0 suggests no apparent correlation, implying that the two instruments move independently of each other. Historical data reveals that the correlation between BTC.D and OTHERS.D is often around -0.9. This suggests an inverse relationship where an increase in Bitcoin dominance typically corresponds to a decrease in altcoins dominance, and vice versa. This correlation is significant as it guides traders on whether to shift their focus towards Bitcoin or altcoins. Long Term Trends When we delve deeper into the long-term trend analysis of BTC.D and OTHERS.D, a broader picture begins to emerge. This broader view becomes more apparent when we visualize these trends, with Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) represented in orange and Others.D in red, which allows for a clear discernment of an inverse correlation trend. Over time, Bitcoin dominance, as depicted by the orange trend, has tended to display a downward trajectory. This indicates that Bitcoin's proportion of the total market cap has been steadily diminishing. In stark contrast, Others.D, represented in red, has shown a long-term upward trend. This indicates that the dominance and capitalization of altcoins are gradually rising relative to the total market cap. Conclusion Understanding the symbiosis between Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and Other Cryptocurrencies Dominance (OTHERS.D) is instrumental for navigating the cryptocurrency trading landscape effectively. A clear trend, observable over the long term, shows a steady decrease in Bitcoin dominance juxtaposed with a corresponding increase in altcoin dominance. This evolution might be attributed to several factors. One of these could be the proliferation of new cryptocurrencies entering the market. Another factor could be the progressive advancement of blockchain technology, which is steadily pushing the envelope of modernization. It is essential, therefore, to regularly analyze and monitor the BTC.D and OTHERS.D charts. Spotting a distinct trend in either direction could offer valuable insights for your investment strategy. Attempting to follow these trends can potentially provide advantageous trading opportunities. The beauty of Bitcoin's design lies in its transparency. Nowhere else is the flow of capital as visible as in Bitcoin. This visibility lends a unique perspective, providing traders a strategic edge. By embracing this, you can bolster your understanding of these market dynamics, facilitating more informed and effective trading decisions in the fluctuating world of cryptocurrency. Thank you for reading this article. I hope it has provided you with a useful insight into the relationship between Bitcoin Dominance and Other Cryptocurrencies Dominance, thereby enhancing your understanding of cryptocurrency trading. Your pursuit of knowledge in this ever-evolving field is commendable. Stay informed, stay ahead! Best Regards, Karim Subhieh
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DEducation
by KarimSubhieh
3
🔗 What is a Blockchain? (simple guide)📍What is blockchain? The blockchain is a distributed ledger that offers transparency decentralization and data integrity. 🔹 Digital Ledger: A Blockchain is a digital ledger which keeps records of all transactions taking place on a peer to peer network. 🔹 Encrypted Information: All information transferred via blockchain is encrypted and every occurrence recorded, meaning once the block is created and added to the chain, it cannot be altered. 🔹 Peer to Peer: Lets you interact or send transactions with a peer, without an intermediary. Removes the middle man. 🔹 Data Sharing: The blockchain can be used for more than the transfer or currency. It can also be used to share contracts, records and any other type of data. 🔹 Decentralization: The blockchain is decentralized, so there isn’t a need for a central, certifying authority. 📍What are the Blockchain Core Components? 🔸 Blocks can be written and read by certain participants and entries are permanent, transparent, and searchable. 🔸 Transactions are recorded in chronological order on a continuously growing database. 🔸 A system of computers, connected via the internet, in which users at any computer can receive or send value to another computer. 🔸 Data is replicated and stored across the system over a peer-to-peer network. 🔸 It facilitates peer-to-peer transfer of value without a central intermediary, e.g. a bank. 🔸 Digital signatures and cryptography are used to secure the transfer. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
3
How you can make 6 figures a month using prop fundsFirstly you need to be able to acquire one account such as a 100k account. Assuming your target is $110000 you start by risking $500 a trade until you reach $3000. if you take losses you continue risking the same until you're back at the starting point. once you reach $3000 of profit you now up your risk to $1000 until you get to $6000 and then $2000. This should easily allow you to pass phase 1 of the challenge, you then repeat the same for phase 2. Once you receive your first funded account, you are now going to purchase another challenge and copy trade your funded account (master acc) onto the challenge. Repeating the above and considering you have a strategy with a good win rate, you are now able to make money while passing the challenges without having to trade 2 accounts manually. You continue this process and max your funding with one prop fund, and then move on to a second and so on until you have 7 figures in funding under your belt. The key is to remain focused and have your psychology and mindset on point. making a mistake on your master account is going to reflect on all accounts. The same goes with profits however. If you have 1 mill in funding and make 1% in a week on one of your 100k accounts, then the other 9 will also make 1% bringing you to a total of 10% ($100000) in one week. My favourite prop fund atm is properfunded.com
Education
by opes_trading_group
3
My secret to being a profitable Swing Trader: The TPIA Quick Reminder! It's important to have a good list of alt coins with good fundamentals, when you want to pivot over to hold altcoins like I show here! The Trend Probability Indicator (TPI) is a powerful tool utilized in modern portfolio theory to assess whether a market is experiencing a bullish or bearish trend. By integrating multiple systems, including machine learning algorithms, the TPI provides valuable insights into market conditions and helps investors make informed decisions. The TPI integrates eight systems, including a machine learning algorithm based on a kernel regression model. It analyzes market trends and determines the overall market structure (bullish, bearish, or neutral). The TPI value ranges from -1 to +1, with -0.2 to +0.2 indicating a neutral or ranging market. Positive TPI values indicate bullishness, negative values suggest bearishness. The TPI incorporates machine learning to predict future market movements. Investors can use the TPI to evaluate trend probability and make informed portfolio decisions. By using the TPI to compare the strength of cryptocurrency pairs, investors can gain valuable insights to make strategic investment decisions and optimize their portfolio performance while managing risk effectively. It gives you these additional super-powers to scan the market: The TPI helps gauge the relative strength between two cryptocurrencies, indicating which one has a stronger bullish or bearish trend. By comparing the TPI values of different cryptocurrency pairs, investors can identify favorable trading opportunities where one crypto is likely to outperform the other. Based on the TPI analysis, investors can allocate their portfolio in a way that maximizes returns by favoring the crypto with a stronger trend while minimizing risk. Timing Entry and Exit Points: The TPI assists in determining optimal entry and exit points for trading a particular crypto pair, improving the timing of transactions and potentially enhancing profitability. By considering the TPI values of different crypto pairs, investors can make more informed decisions regarding risk management, such as adjusting position sizes or diversifying holdings. The Based Algo The Based Algo is a mean-reversion tool that uses funding, adaptive moving average lines and funding + volume to detect tops and bottoms. Let me know if you have any questions! I linked a video that explains how we allocate between BINANCE:BTCUSDT and $BINANCE:ETHUSDT. Give it a look!
Education
by IkkeOmar
10
Wealth Unleashed: Wedge Pattern Power - Hidden Gem Revealed!Introduction : Are you looking to skyrocket your trading profits? Look no further! Today, we will uncover the hidden gem of trading patterns: the Wedge Pattern. This powerful tool has the potential to transform your trading strategy and help you achieve financial success. Let's dive into the world of wedge patterns and explore how you can capitalize on their power. What are Wedge Patterns? Wedge patterns are popular among traders due to their high probability of forecasting trend reversals. These patterns appear when the price of an asset consolidates between converging support and resistance lines. There are two primary types of wedge patterns: the rising wedge and the falling wedge. Rising Wedge: In an upward trend, the rising wedge is considered a bearish pattern. It forms when the price consolidates between an upward-sloping support line and an upward-sloping resistance line that are converging. As the price approaches the apex of the wedge, the upward momentum weakens, signaling a potential trend reversal to the downside. Falling Wedge: Contrary to the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish pattern. It appears in a downward trend when the price consolidates between a downward-sloping support line and a downward-sloping resistance line that are converging. As the price nears the apex of the wedge, the downward momentum loses strength, indicating a possible trend reversal to the upside. Trading Strategies: To capitalize on the power of wedge patterns, follow these steps: ✅Identify the pattern: Observe the chart for converging support and resistance lines to spot a rising or falling wedge pattern. ✅Confirmation: Wait for a breakout from the wedge pattern, either above the resistance line (for falling wedges) or below the support line (for rising wedges). ✅Entry point: Open a long position after a breakout above the resistance line in a falling wedge, or a short position after a breakout below the support line in a rising wedge. ✅Stop-loss and take-profit: Set your stop-loss order below the breakout level (for falling wedges) or above the breakout level (for rising wedges). Establish your take-profit target at a level that aligns with your risk-reward ratio and trading plan. Conclusion: The wedge pattern is a hidden gem that can potentially boost your trading profits when used correctly. By mastering the art of identifying and trading wedge patterns, you can strengthen your technical analysis skills and increase your chances of success in the market. Remember, no single tool guarantees success, so always use additional technical indicators and maintain a disciplined approach to risk management. Happy trading!
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
5 IMPOTANT TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS!Zigzag patterns are sharp declines in a bull rally or advances in a bear rally that substantially correct the price level of the previous Impulse patterns. Zigzags may also be formed in a combination which is known as the double or triple zigzag, where two or three zigzags are connected by another corrective wave between them.‘ 4. Flat: The flat is another three-wave correction in which the sub-waves are formed in a 3-3-5 structure which is labelled as an A-B-C structure. In the flat structure, both Waves A and B are corrective and Wave C is motive having 5 sub-waves. This pattern is known as the flat as it moves sideways. Generally, within an impulse wave, the fourth wave has a flat whereas the second wave rarely does. On the technical charts, most flats usually don’t look clear as there are variations on this structure. A flat may have wave B terminate beyond the beginning of the A wave and the C wave may terminate beyond the start of the B wave. This type of flat is known as the expanded flat. The expanded flat is more common in markets as compared to the normal flats as discussed above. 5. Triangle: The triangle is a pattern consisting of five sub-waves in the form of a 3-3-3-3-3 structure, that is labelled as A-B-C-D-E. This corrective pattern shows a balance of forces and it travels sideways. The triangle can either be expanding, in which each of the following sub-waves gets bigger or contracting, that is in the form of a wedge. The triangles can also be categorized as symmetrical, descending or ascending, based on whether they are pointing sideways, up with a flat top or down with a flat bottom. The sub-waves can be formed in complex combinations. It may theoretically look easy to spot a triangle, but it may take a little practice to identify them in the market. Bottomline: As we have discussed above Elliott wave theory is open to interpretations in different ways by different traders, so are their patterns. Thus, traders should ensure that when they identify the patterns. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
6
Fibonacci Levels and How They Can Be Used in TradingGreetings, @TradingView community! This is @Vestinda, bringing you a helpful article on the topic of Fibonacci Retracements and how to effectively utilize them in your trading strategies. Fibonacci retracement levels are helpful for traders and investors in financial markets. They're horizontal lines on price charts that can show where price may reverse direction. These levels are based on the Fibonacci sequence, which is a series of numbers that occur in math and finance. Use case: The first thing to understand about the Fibonacci tool is that it is most effective when the market is trending. In an upward trending market, traders commonly use the Fibonacci retracement tool to identify potential buying opportunities on retracements to key support levels. Conversely, in a downward trending market, traders may look for opportunities to short sell when the price retraces to a Fibonacci resistance level. Fibonacci retracement levels are regarded as a predictive technical indicator because they attempt to forecast where the price will be in the future. Based on the theory, when trend direction is established, the price tends to partially return or retrace to a previous price level before continuing to move in the direction of the trend. How to Find Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels can be found by identifying the key Swing High and Swing Low points of an asset's price movement. Once these points are established, you can use the Fibonacci retracement tool, which calculates the potential levels of support and resistance based on the ratios between the key points. To apply the Fibonacci retracement tool, click and drag from the Swing Low to the Swing High in a downtrend, or from the Swing High to the Swing Low in an uptrend. This generates a set of horizontal lines at predetermined Fibonacci ratios, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Are you keeping up with me? ;) Now, let's explore some examples of how Fibonacci retracement levels can be applied in cryptocurrency trading The Uptrend: In this instance, the Fibonacci retracement levels were plotted by selecting the Swing Low and Swing High points, which were observed on January 8th, 2021 at a price of $41,904. The Fibonacci retracement levels were $33,521 (23.6%), $29,197 (38.2%), $26,114 (50.0%*), $23,356 (61.8%), and $19,925 (76.4%), as shown in the chart. Traders anticipating that if BTC/USD retraces from its recent high and it will likely find support at a Fibonacci retracement level. This is due to the tendency of traders to place buy orders at these levels as the price drops, creating a potential influx of buying pressure that can drive up prices. While the 50.0% ratio is not officially recognized as a Fibonacci ratio, it has nonetheless become widely used and has persisted over time. Now, let’s look at what happened after the Swing High occurred. Price bounced through the 23.6% level and continued to fall over the next few weeks. Two times tested 38.2% but was unable to fall below it. Subsequently, around January 28th, 2021, the market continued its upward trend and surpassed the previous swing high. Entering a long position at the 38.2% Fibonacci level would have likely resulted in a profitable trade over the long run. The Downtrend Next, we will explore the application of the Fibonacci retracement tool in a downtrend scenario. Here is a 4-hour chart depicting the price action of ETH/USD. As you can see, we found our Swing High at $289 on 14 February 2020 and our Swing Low at $209 later on 27 February 2020 The retracement levels are $225 (23.6%), $236 (38.2%), $245 (50.0%), $255 (61.8%) and $269 (76.4%). In a downtrend, a retracement from a low could face resistance at a Fibonacci level due to selling pressure from traders who want to sell at better prices. Technical traders often use Fibonacci levels to identify areas of potential price resistance and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Let’s take a look at what happened next. The market did make an attempt to rise, but it briefly halted below the 38.2% level before reaching the 50.0% barrier. The placement of orders at the 38.2% or 50.0% levels would have resulted in a profitable trade outcome. In these two instances, we can observe that price positioned itself at a Fibonacci retracement level to find some temporary support or resistance. These levels develop into self-fulfilling support and resistance levels as a result of all the people who utilize the Fibonacci tool. All those pending orders could affect the market price if enough market participants anticipate a retracement to take place close to a Fibonacci retracement level and are prepared to enter a position when the price hits that level. In conclusion: It's important to note that pricing doesn't always follow an upward trajectory from Fibonacci retracement levels. Instead, these levels should be approached as potential areas for further research and analysis. If trading were as simple as placing orders at Fibonacci retracement levels, markets wouldn't be so volatile. However, as we all know, trading is a complex and dynamic process that requires a combination of knowledge, skill, and experience to succeed. We are truly grateful for your attention and time in reading this post. If you found it insightful and beneficial, we would be thrilled if you could show your support by clicking the <> button and subscribing to our page. We are excited to share that our upcoming post will showcase what occurs when Fibonacci retracement levels do not perform as expected. Stay tuned for an informative and professional read.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Vestinda
22
5 TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS Hello traders, today we will talk about 5 TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS ( FIRST SOME BASIC INFO ) What is Elliott Wave Theory? The Elliott Wave Theory suggests that stock prices move continuously up and down in the same pattern known as waves that are formed by the traders’ psychology. The theory holds as these are recurring patterns, the movements of the stock prices can be easily predicted. Investors can get an insight into ongoing trend dynamics when observing these waves and also helps in deeply analyzing the price movements. But traders should take note that the interpretation of the Elliot wave is subjective as investors interpret it in different ways. (KEY TAKEAWAYS) The Elliott Wave theory is a form of technical analysis that looks for recurrent long-term price patterns related to persistent changes in investor sentiment and psychology. The theory identifies impulse waves that set up a pattern and corrective waves that oppose the larger trend. Each set of waves is nested within a larger set of waves that adhere to the same impulse or corrective pattern, which is described as a fractal approach to investing. Before discussing the patterns, let us discuss Motives and Corrective Waves: What are Motives and Corrective Waves? The Elliott Wave can be categorized into Motives and Corrective Waves: 1. Motive Waves: Motive waves move in the direction of the main trend and consist of 5 waves that are labelled as Wave 1, Wave 2, Wave 3, Wave 4 and Wave 5. Wave 1, 2 and 3 move in the direction of the main direction whereas Wave 2 and 4 move in the opposite direction. There are usually two types of Motive Waves- Impulse and Diagonal Waves. 2. Corrective Waves: Waves that counter the main trend are known as the corrective waves. Corrective waves are more complex and time-consuming than motive waves. Correction patterns are made up of three waves and are labelled as A, B and C. The three main types of corrective waves are Zig-Zag, Diagonal and Triangle Waves. Now let us come to Elliott Wave Patterns: In the chart I have mentioned 5 main types of Elliott Wave Patterns: 1. Impulse: 2. Diagonal: 3. Zig-Zag: 4. Flat: 5. Triangle: 1. Impulse: Impulse is the most common motive wave and also easiest to spot in a market. Like all motive waves, the impulse wave has five sub-waves: three motive waves and two corrective waves which are labelled as a 5-3-5-3-5 structure. However, the formation of the wave is based on a set of rules. If any of these rules are violated, then the impulse wave is not formed and we have to re-label the suspected impulse wave. The three rules for impulse wave formation are: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 can never be the shortest of waves 1, 3, and 5. Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1. The main goal of a motive wave is to move the market and impulse waves are the best at accomplishing this. 2. Diagonal: Another type of motive wave is the diagonal wave which, like all motive waves, consists of five sub-waves and moves in the direction of the trend. The diagonal looks like a wedge that may be either expanding or contracting. Also, the sub-waves of the diagonal may not have a count of five, depending on what type of diagonal is being observed. Like other motive waves, each sub-wave of the diagonal wave does not fully retrace the previous sub-wave. Also, sub-wave 3 of the diagonal is not the shortest wave. Diagonals can be further divided into the ending and leading diagonals. The ending diagonal usually occurs in Wave 5 of an impulse wave or the last wave of corrective waves whereas the leading diagonal is found in either the Wave 1 of an impulse wave or the Wave A position of a zigzag correction. 3. Zig-Zag: The Zig-Zag is a corrective wave that is made up of 3 waves labelled as A, B and C that move strongly up or down. The A and C waves are motive waves whereas the B wave is corrective (often with 3 sub-waves). Zigzag patterns are sharp declines in a bull rally or advances in a bear rally that substantially correct the price level of the previous Impulse patterns. Zigzags may also be formed in a combination which is known as the double or triple zigzag, where two or three zigzags are connected by another corrective wave between them.‘ 4. Flat: The flat is another three-wave correction in which the sub-waves are formed in a 3-3-5 structure which is labelled as an A-B-C structure. In the flat structure, both Waves A and B are corrective and Wave C is motive having 5 sub-waves. This pattern is known as the flat as it moves sideways. Generally, within an impulse wave, the fourth wave has a flat whereas the second wave rarely does. On the technical charts, most flats usually don’t look clear as there are variations on this structure. A flat may have wave B terminate beyond the beginning of the A wave and the C wave may terminate beyond the start of the B wave. This type of flat is known as the expanded flat. The expanded flat is more common in markets as compared to the normal flats as discussed above. 5. Triangle: The triangle is a pattern consisting of five sub-waves in the form of a 3-3-3-3-3 structure, that is labelled as A-B-C-D-E. This corrective pattern shows a balance of forces and it travels sideways. The triangle can either be expanding, in which each of the following sub-waves gets bigger or contracting, that is in the form of a wedge. The triangles can also be categorized as symmetrical, descending or ascending, based on whether they are pointing sideways, up with a flat top or down with a flat bottom. The sub-waves can be formed in complex combinations. It may theoretically look easy for spotting a triangle, it may take a little practice for identifying them in the market. Bottomline: As we have discussed above Elliott wave theory is open to interpretations in different ways by different traders, so are their patterns. Thus, traders should ensure that when they identify the patterns. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
8