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The Importance of Understanding the Commodities MarketIn this educational post, I'll be explaining the reason why both investors and traders need to understand the commodities market. The commodities market is a market in which raw, hard, and soft commodities are traded. Examples of commodity assets include gold, oil, wheat, grain, copper, and even livestock. While these aren't commonly traded markets among retail investors, understanding assets within the realm of commodities can provide an edge in trading and investing. Benefits to Investors - The primary reason that investors needs to understand the commodity market is because it helps provide an overall picture of the entire financial market. - For instance, in the case of Nickel, Copper, Zinc, and other industrial metals, the price action differs depending on the market cycle, and certain metals are sensitive to, and heavily affected by specific industries. - Popular commodities like Gold and Oil’s price action reflects the overall market trend and sentiment. - As such, a retail investor with a deep understanding in commodities is capable of looking at the stock market from a different angle. - Secondly, understanding commodities provides a huge advantage in terms of portfolio management. - How 'well' you have invested, isn't simply determined by your annual return. - Your sharpe ratio (your return divided by the volatility) tells a more accurate story. - In order to succeed as a retail investor, you need to focus on increasing your sharpe ratio, or your risk adjusted return. - And the best way to do so, is to diversify, specifically by looking at the correlation between certain assets. - There are a plethora of assets in the commodities market that provide a great hedge / means of diversification against the stock market. - Leveraging this knowledge will help investors design a portfolio that provides them great risk-adjusted-returns. Benefits to Traders - The commodities market can be a great opportunity for traders, as long as they spend their time getting used to the market. - Normally, when the stock market is overbought, or when it demonstrates sideways action, traders often make the mistake of overtrading. - Traders enter positions at suboptimal levels, because they have no option but to trade at the stock market. - However, understanding the commodity market gives them an edge. The best analogy to explain this, is like playing online poker. - When playing poker, the player waits for good hands to appear, so he can make a bet in his favor. - When he plays online poker, he can have multiple games going on at once, and play the game where he gets the upper hand. - In the same vein, when a trader knows how to trade commodities, instead of waiting for a good entry in the stock market, he can simply trade assets within the commodities market. - If you think stocks are overvalued, there’s a chance for you to move onto gold, silver, oil, or even industrial metals. - You can take a look at multiple assets, and find one that has a good risk/reward ratio right now. Conclusion The commodity market is a market that is huge in size, yet often overlooked my many, if not most retail traders and investors. However, understanding which assets are traded, their price action (in relation to other assets), can help both investors and traders acquire an edge.
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TVC:USOILEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
7
A "Welcome to" Pinescript codingThis simple idea is an intro to @TradingView & @PineCoders Nothing fancy or complex, if you are already coding - you can skip this. simple MA build walk through & adding a second MA. If you want to get into coding, then here's the basic introduction. FYI - I am not a coder, 21 years trading experience and know a bit about the instruments - but new to actual coding, especially in Pine. Hope it helps someone! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
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COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
49
The Basics - Trend LinesTrend lines are used in technical analysis to define an uptrend or downtrend. Traditionally, uptrend lines are made by drawing a straight line through a series of ascending higher troughs (lows). ... With downtrends, trend lines are formed by drawing a straight line through a series of descending lower highs. In an uptrend, the “imaginary line” acts as support and in a downtrend, the line connecting the points at swing highs become the resistance. Although we can go into what and why – the logic for trend line, is to keep it simple. It’s another subjective area and people like to spot patterns. It’s human nature. This shows in it's most basic form the concept of a trend line. In an uptrend we want to see, higher highs as well as higher lows as shown below; And in a down trend, the opposite is true - Lower highs & lower lows to create the pattern as per main image of this post. Many other techniques and indicators use this concept, and perhaps the most famous being Elliott waves. Here's a post on Elliott basics; This then all points back to Dow Theory - where markets have 3 cycles and 3 waves (another lesson for another time) in short; Here's also a post covering the Dow basics; You can also use Moving averages as part of "working out the trend" And her is another simple guide to MA's (moving Averages) We thought it would be interesting to post, more of a beginners post that our usual stuff. Hope this helps some of the newer traders. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
8
Crude Oil Spreads: A Quick Intro.Spreads are complex instruments. This is just an introduction and some ideas to get our brains ticking over. I had started writing a guide to understanding these three types of spreads, but it just got a little long. It might be easier to do it this way: What do you see above? Here are some observations to get started: 1 All spreads topped out well before June Crude Oil topped out. From about 17th Feb, those spreads stopped gaining. Could spreads be a way to take a contrary position as a trend exhausts itself, and have a little room for error? It certainly is here (although not always the case). 2 Look at the ATR for each. Spreads show lower volatility. 3 Correlations (the CC shows the spread correlation to the underlying June contract). Correlations seem strong during a trend then do their own thing at other times. Change creates opportunity. Constant correlations are not as fun. 4 Basic spreads: bull and bears – are directional. That is, they move closely with the underlying. More complex spreads, like the fly and condor seem to be suited to shifting sentiment along the forward curve. 5 Flies and condors are very similar. The condor tends to have a little more volatility than the fly. In this case, it’s not much. - It can be a complex subject, worthy of something closer to a book, than a comment here, but it’s a start. Just a warning – going down the spread trading path might change everything. - A couple of futures markets where flies and condors are often traded: Crude, Natural Gas, Grains, Eurodollars (and most other STIRs). Options - that's a totally different chat....
NYMEX:CLU2021Education
by TheTradarien
You Can't Predict Which Trade Will Succeed. How To Deal?This is why I prefer to open many small positions - you never know which one will be successful! --- How to understand price action. It is very easy to read price action if you have a reference point. These support/resistance lines are there to help you read where the buyers and sellers are likely to make a stand. You can also think of these indicators as moving pivot points . MasterChartsTrading Price Action Indicators show good price levels to enter or exit a trade. The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter. If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long (buying). For commodities and Forex, when your trading instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting (selling). For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts ). A stock has to close below the Yellow line first, then rally towards the Red line and top out there. This is where I would short it. Be sure to hit that Follow button! Please find me on social networks via the link on my profile page for more ideas from @MasterCharts!
NYSE:WTIEducation
by mastercharts
2
📚 What To Look for When Charting Here is a chart of EURCAD. There were various opportunities available both short term and long term. Once you can identify chart patterns, you can easily anticipate where price will go next. A great chart pattern that I always use is flags - Bull Flags and Bear Flags. In the chart you can see that many times price impulsed and then created a flag and then carried on with the move. Flags can be found both in higher timeframes as well as lower time frames. Be sure to look out for them!
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Education
by WicktatorFX
12
Inter-market analysis, MARKET CRASH vs. CORRECTION Market crash usually have a devastating effects on prices in commodities and energy market. As you see in the charts, we see how .com bubble, housing bubble, burst and COVID-19 pandemic affected oil price in the past. What we see started since early February 2021 in the market has not the defined criteria of a market crash, and seems to be a correction. Although the stock market is in the red zone, we see slight changes in prices in commodities and energy market. In conclusion, whether it is a correction or early market crash, it would be better to sit out, monitor and reevaluate the situation. Keep in mind the future outlook is pretty much different from Feb-March 2020, when a pandemic was just started(once in a lifetime experience). IMO: soon recovery phase will start in most developed countries followed by developing countries. The future outlook is actually bright and United States market could experience an economic boom because: A: a year from now, most of the population will be vaccinated and ready to back to business! B: Expansionary Monetary policy will enhance exports, stimulate the demand, and cause inflation. *** some sector like commercial real state & fossil fuels will not fully recover because their outlook is compromised by e-commerce and clean sustainable energy companies.
TVC:SPXEducation
by Moshkelgosha
4
OIL10.4.20 I am generally satisfied with the video, but I wasn't clear at the end because I was worried about upload failures for the video. Please read this for a minute so the end of the video will be more clear: oil has traded lower to a support area, but it closed near the low of the daily bar. There will be some traders who think in terms of probabilities... think that the market is likely to move lower because it's a bearish swing that closed near its low>>>and they might be correct. From a risk reward point of view, you can find a relatively close structural stop... and because of this, even knowing that the market may have a slight edge for sellers... you may be willing to take the long trade. On the other hand, even if the market favors the price moving lower, there is no nearby structural stop to manage a short trade... and that may be enough to walk away from the trade. It is for me, personally. Bad R:R filters out lots of trades for me, personally. This is because I have a core belief that I will find better trades, and I don't need to settle for this trade.
NYMEX:CLZ2020Education
by ScottBogatin
3
Bitcoin set to smash ATH in the next 8 to 12 WKS thanks to......Astronomical returns possible: Bitcoin set to smash ATH in the next 8 to 12 WKS thanks to "Big Oil" signal after SPX setting ATH's >> WK 16 DEC 19 63% 8 WKS >> WK 25 SEPT 18 437% 11 WKS >> WK 28 JAN 13 1383% 10 WKS. The only time signal did not work was when bitcoin MACD histogram was in red. CAVEAT: WTI Crude Oil Weekly MACD line (source HIGH) has not yet closed >0. Big Oil signal still needs to confirm. NOT ADVICE. DYOR.
TVC:USOILEducation
by Felix000
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Weakening Market & Consolidation Crude oil is becoming weaker and weaker. though many fundamentalists promised a quick return to "normal" price levels after the lockdown removal, it looks like things are much more complicated than that. if you are a swing trader and you are looking for an opportunity to jump in in the market, I guess it is not the best moment. for the entire month, we could not set a new high. ATR drops as crazy and volatility is missing:) let the market start moving. let it pick the direction and then just act accordingly. swaps are now very expensive on oil, so no need to incur these losses.
FX:USOILEducation
by VasilyTrader
13
If BTC is Steady, We Are Steady in Small Caps BoiCheck out the latest blog post for more boi: www.derzzycharts.com Same deal, short weakness, buy strength. When BTC is giving the market room to breath, we own altcoins. It works every time. We don’t need to know why, we just know that it does. So what did we do today? We looked at the top 500 coins, and picked some charts to buy. Let’s have a look. Here we have WTCUSDT and FTMUSDT. You don’t even need to know what they are, just that they have strong charts. That is the beauty of technical analysis, it could be anything! It could be corn, it could be soybeans, it could be any altcoin out there. If the chart looks good, we put in an order. We bought WTCUSDT earlier, but we are waiting for the pullback in FTMUSDT. So how did we pick these out of all of the charts? Good question… well we didn’t want bearish divergences on the RSI, we wanted a good cloud, and a MACD that had room to run. A lot of coins have pumped, but you don’t want to hold bags in crypto. So you have to pick positive charts. Don’t chase bro! For a look at the indicators and the decisions, see the linked post. Happy Trading! Brandon Anderson brandon@derzzycharts.com @derzzycharts www.derzzycharts.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by derzzycharts