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Oil

Crude clone called Euro?This also needs to be understand by those who think that are trading just euro...Funds lock their positions in EURUSD with those in crude oil! Understanding the OIL, EUR/USD Correlation Read - chigrl1.wordpress.com Most oil exporting countries trade assets in USD, meaning, these countries receive a significant portion of USD inflows from the proceeds of these sales. Thus the foreign currency reserve balances of these oil exporting countries, in a sense, is broadly reflected by the price of oil. We can see this as reflected in the chart below. Up to 2014, reserves increased notably, and then declined considerably as the price of oil fell. However, data also shows that they invest part of their reserves in EUR, as they sell a large share of their production to the Eurozone. Thus, when the price of oil falls, this means that a smaller portion of USD is transferred to EUR, thus contributing to a depreciation of the currency. Inversely, when the price of oil increases, a larger portion is transferred to EUR, contributing to the appreciation of the currency. For this reason, many funds lock their positions in EUR/USD with those in crude oil. Therefore, it is no coincidence that COT data shows crude oil and EUR in lock step.
Education
by ICFX
Part 2 4.4.20 Part 2 for NEW FOLLOWERS My purpose here is to give you an example of some of the lines I use and I got those lines from very large time frames where most traders will be searching. In addition to that, because of circumstances, when the market hit that line I would've already been filled on an OCO, so I missed that additional profit potential, but if I am following that market real time I know that line would be a good short for a smart scalper... with a relatively small risk and a fairly good reward if you understood market dynamics and how expanding markets with large volatility trade in both directions. It is worth drawing the simple lines, and I gave two more for you that may help you if the market moves higher. If the market doesn't move higher then they won't help you. What I'm really doing is trying to show you value, and to encourage you to draw some of these simple things that I'm showing you so that you can use them to help you read the markets and make decisions when it's time to take a trade. I am selling nothing, and I most likely will not do this indefinitely because I don't want to be a mentor, and because I want to do other things in my life before I lose my chance. The best way to learn is looking at real time set ups in the market while it is available. if you feel the videos have value, please give a thumbs up which will encourage me to make more videos.
TVC:USOILEducation
by ScottBogatin
1
CRUDE OIL (WTI) KEEP CALM! TREND IS STILL BEARISH! hey guys, reading news outlets and ideas on tradingview, the forecasts are all bullish right now! people are urged to buy from any level based on the fundamental news. be very careful! though we truly see a dramatic shift and strong bullish rally this week, don't forget that technically the trend remains bearish! moreover, currently, the price is trading on a key structure resistance level and for now buyers could not break above that and we see a negative reaction. the next safe opportunity to buy will come only after a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance, for now just patiently watch the reaction of the market. it is still possible that next week we may see a perfect signal to short. so no rush right now! good luck and have a great weekend!
FX:USOILEducation
by VasilyTrader
38
USOIL: #stayhome effect Oil prices have dropped more than 50% in March (yearly performance is around-62,1%). Is it the end or are we going to see more downside movement? Let's assume this is another opportunity for joining bears, based on technical analysis (thoughts) you can see on the chart. How much lower can the price go? Can it reach the lows of 1999? My answer is: why not? Most of developed countries are on quarantine #stayhome and the supply wasn't cut by OPEC. The major US indices, including DJI, S&P500 and Nasdaq, have fallen in the following order: 35%, 30% and 25%. While different sectors and industries in the US have the following yearly performance so far: 1. Energy minerals sector (931,2B MKT CAP): -58,04%, out of which e.g.: -Coal Industry: -69,17% -Oil & Gas production Industry: -62,67% -Integrated oil Industry: -57,05% -Oil Refining/Marketing: - 55,7% 2. Industrial Services Sector (515,96B MKT CAP): -36,09%, out of which e.g.: -Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry: -60,01% -Oil&Gas Pipelines Industry: -42,93% 3. Process Industries Sector (681,34B MKT CAP):-27,36%, out of which e.g.: -Pulp&Paper Industry: -50,05% -Chemicals: Major Diversified Industry: -49,87% -Agricultural Commodities/Milling: -41,45% 4. Non-Energy Minerals Sector (476,43B MKT CAP): -25,73%, out of which e.g.: -Steel Industry: -48,32% -Other Metals/Minerals: -40,16% -Aluminium: -39,87% 5. Transportation sector (569,48B MKT CAP): -23,84%, out of which e.g.: -Airlines industy: -49,2% 6. Finance sector (6038,64B MKT CAP): -23,12%, out of which e.g.: -Life/Health Insurance Industry: -37,69% -Real Estate Development Industry: -37,64% -Financial Conglomerates Industry: -34,83% -Major Banks Industry: -31,13% 7. Consumer Services sector (1481,09B MKT CAP): -21,53%, out of which e.g.: -Hotels/Resorts/Cruise Lines Industry: -43,78% -Casinos/Gaming Industry: -34,22% 8. Producer Manufacturing sector (1030,45B MKT CAP): -21,02%, out of which e.g.: -Auto Parts: OEM Industry: -34.64% -Metal Fabrication Industry: -33,09% -Industrial Conglomerates Industry: -31,72% It's quite interesting when and how these industries will be able to recover, but I am quite sure it's a great opportunity to start analyzing particular companies and building portfolio with these businesses. This is going to be my next step... // I would very much appreciate if you would support my work by hitting like.) Feel free to share your opinion/position via comment and follow me to stay updated.
FX:USOILEducation
by GIgor_021
review3.17.20 GOLD SILVER DXY COPPER ENPH OIL: I think it's important to know why the dollars going higher, and gold is going higher. when markets have very large corrections lower this forces commercial funds and other traders to sell the good and the bad to meet margin requirements. In 2007 or eight when the market took a nosedive gold went lower and the dollar went lower. The reason for this is that large funds will sell their goal position, and countries will sell their gold position to meet margin requirements or other requirements that are transacted in the dollar. So you may want to buy gold when the markets correcting from a high in the markets moving catastrophically lower, but you may be perplexed why the gold is going lower when everything appears to be so unstable. I misstated the description that you could hear from the fund manager of Brent Johnson of Santiago fund. if oil is in a bear flag and makes a new low, I would be looking for a buying tail to get long. I think silver will reverse and go higher and that this is a capitulation move even though it has not impressively moved off the recent bottom. I believe the price of silver is near or below the production cost for many of the silver mines, it is ridiculously low, and gold retested at 382 and bounced off of that and looks like it might be heading higher to me. When in doubt, stay out... but you can follow the market anyway. Copper traded the pattern beautifully and came to the support; I think of Copper is one of those markets you don't have to trade frequently which means you don't have to spend all day looking at it. I think ENPH is going to move higher from here.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by ScottBogatin
Frustrating times3.3.20 Oil. Everyone runs in to frustrating times when trading. Frustrations can be due to a number of reasons. Taking a break from training is one obvious solution, but I have some other solutions that are not so intuitive which of work for me. Since I only had 90 minutes for the video I had to scurry forward to cover the topics that I wanted to discuss, and I also wanted to read the markets on different time frames and related to how your trading can be affected. Probably too much information into little time, yet I think this video can be helpful in a number of ways if you listen carefully, and you take some time to draw some of these lines and work through the process on your own chart. Obviously I do not know all markets, but my belief is that these patterns are universal and that price action is due to human behavior, and that all you have to do is understand the thinking of other people, including those that have more influence on the market than you do and they can influence nonrandom behavior in the market. Even if you don't agree with every premise, my experience is that these patterns are highly repeatable and require some time and introspection regarding your own analysis, and this should have a beneficial effect.
TVC:USOILEducation
by ScottBogatin