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Safe Haven Currency, How are they affected by global eventsHello everyone: Want to talk a bit more about safe haven currency in the market. Since the recent tension between Russia and Ukraine, the safe haven currency could strengthen as a result of such uncertainty in the world. We will take a look at some past history of these currency pairs, how they react to the market at the time, and what could we reasonably expect in the current market conditions. Safe Haven Currency USD JPY CHF It's in our interest to look for opportunities when a strong currency is paired with a weaker one. This generally will move the price very impulsively with strong momentum. Pair such as these below will potentially develop the best price action for good R:R trades. AUDUSD NZDUSD USDCAD GBPUSD AUDJPY NZDJPY CADJPY GBPJPY AUDCHF NZDCHF GBPCHF CADCHF Always have good risk management when it comes to entering. Don't enter all the pairs, don't open too many positions, and understand correlation between the currency pairs. Thank you DISCLAIMER: -My forecast and analysis are NOT trading signals nor financial advice, you should not enter trades and invest solely on this information. Jojo
Education
by jojofang0901
31
Conservative vs Aggressive Entries - Different ways to enter!There are different ways to enter trades - some opt for an aggressive approach while others opt for a conservative entry. Aggressive entries are taken at the first signs of reversal out of a supply/demand zone while conservative entries wait for more significant larger structure breaks in the trend. I almost always opt for the conservative take as I want structure to be with me all the way. By getting in with an aggressive entry you can achieve higher risk reward but you will also inevitably run into more losses because you are relying on the short term trend to confirm your higher timeframe intensions. It comes down to your risk tolerance: Conservative entries require patience and sometimes when they don't give an entry you'll need discipline to avoid getting burned - but they are the wiser option for risk averse traders. Aggressive trades will get you in on nearly every move you have planned but they'll also get you took out a fair amount more than conservative entries. How much pain can you take? I recommend choosing an approach and sticking to it - being a master of one approach is better than a novice at many!
Education
by jeafxtrading
3
Market Structure: Basic TrendsHey! Hope you are well! In this chart there is a display of a swing trend. In a downtrend, there is a characteristic lower low and lower high; however, the downtrend is not officially broken until the prior high is violated. In this chart, there are three lower bottoms; the tops are confounded; the second top partially violates the first; then, the rest of the tops are in the range of the prior swing consummating with the large wick. A similar micro example is found in this chart. This is a five minute chart exemplifying the same characteristics. Be well, and enjoy! Suggested Reading: Law of Vibration - Tony Plummer Michael Jenkins - Geometry of Stock Market Profits, Chart Reading for Professional Traders, Complete Stock Market Forecasting Course Scott M. Carney - The Harmonic Trader, Harmonic Trading Volume I, Harmonic Trading Volume II, Harmonic Trading Volume III H.M. Gartley - Profits in the Stock Market Bill Wiliams - Trading Chaos, New Trading Dimensions, Trading Chaos 2nd Edition J.M. Hurst - The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing, Cyclic Analysis: A Dynamic Approach Fabio Dreste - Quantum Trading Michael Jardine - New Frontiers in Fibonacci Trading The Wave Principle, Nature's Law Ralph Nelson Elliot Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets John J. Murphy A Complete Guide to Volume Price Analysis Anna Coulling Mastering The Elliot Wave Glenn Neely
Education
by UnknownUnicorn27791825
2
Bearish Entry ExampleThis kind of price action happens all the time, you just have to spot it while it's happening so that you can plan your trade and execute. I have put this together to give you an idea of the type of things I look for in the hope that it can help you too. Once price action has made a clear impulse to the upsides and taking out previous structure that's our first sign that the buyers are stepping in. Once we see some corrective price action we can place our fib from the high to low, mark out previous structure and identify the pattern that price is making to build a picture of where price is most likely to reverse giving us the best possible entry.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn26193975
3
How to analyze any market from scratch (Impulse & Correction) #2Hello everyone: I received positive feedback on the last video on how to analyze the market from scratch, and many have told me to make more of these similar contents. So here we go :) I will go through multiple examples of how I would analyze the market by following these simple steps: Multi-time frame analysis (Top Down Approach) Start from HTF to LTF Identify the Impulse Phase and Correction Phase Identify whether the Corrections is Continuation or Reversal HTF Bias > LTF Confirmation > LTF Entry Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :) Thank you How to analyze any market from scratch #1 DISCLAIMER: -My forecast and analysis are NOT financial Advice, you should not trade and invest solely on this information. -There are many scammers & fakers impersonating me, my channels/platforms to scam people. Be very careful as I will NEVER private/direct message you first no matter what.
Education
by jojofang0901
45
Cloudflare teaching moment. Meteoric rise = catastrophic dump.Hi everyone, Today I would like to share a piece of knowledge on parabolic growth and poor market structures. Let us take a look at NYSE:NET Cloudflare stock. This was an attractive buy back in 2020. As always, nobody saw that until everyone started screaming about this stock on Twitter. I saw an opportunity in investing into Cloudflare later in 2021 for a long-term. I did not know what's coming. At the beginning of October, after a decent sell-off something strange began happening. Stock rose TWELVE days in a row. And not just stayed barely positive, it gained insane 68% in price during this short period. Right there I knew this was not sustainable and price won't last up there for long. Yes, I sold at 175 . Yes, I missed a run up to 220 . But, really, did I? Noone can predict the top. But you can predict the inevitable downfall. The Lesson. Look at the chart. You see the price in the first box going parabolicly up. The price took off to the moon and was hovering up in the air. Thus, poor structure has been created. There is no single support level from 137 to 182 . The Market hates poor weak structures and it tends to repair them sooner or later. That is exactly what happened with Cloudflare stock. Price has been flushed from 204 down to 123 as fast as it flew up there back in October. You can see that in the second box. The structure has been repaired. A lot of data points were created in the process, which will help with the analysis in the future. This might be a rebirth of Cloudflare stock constituting healthy future movement. Trade wisely and good luck! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer!!! This is not financial advise
NYSE:NETEducation
by AyBe_Invest
2
How to analyze the market from scratch (Impulse & Correction)Hello everyone: Many have asked me about demonstrating how to analyze the chart from complete scratch. When looking at my chart and educational video, it all seems very simple, but many are telling me they are struggling to identify the market. Today I will go over how I analyze the chart, from the Higher time frame down to lower time frame by using multi-time frame analysis, top down approach. Specifically by identifying price action, impulse and correction phases of the market. 1. Start from the Higher Time Frame (HTF): HTF can be any time frame higher than the daily chart, such as monthly, weekly, daily. Personally I like to use daily as a go to time frame as it is widely used by traders. 2. Identify the impulse phase of the market. Understand the impulse phase is a period of fast momentum, price is either pushing up or down very aggressively, and not much consolidation visible on the HTF. 3. Identify a period of consolidations. Using trendlines, connect the swing highs and lows of the price. This is to identify the correction/consolidation phase of the market. Which is the most important aspect in price action analysis. You will need to be very knowledgeable on the type of continuation, reversal correction patterns/structures the market usually will form. (I will share many price action patterns/structures that I identify and use in the market below) 4. Once you identify the HTF phase of the market, you will then go down to the Lower time frames (LTF). LTF can be anything under 2/1 HR, 30/15 Min charts. It's not a specific time frame, rather “Multi time frame analysis”. You will also identify the impulse phases & Correction phases on the LTF and use trendlines to connect the swing highs and lows of the correction/consolidation phase, just like what we did on the HTF. 5. Now that you have both the HTF and LTF charts drawn out, the key here is to have both the HTF and LTF tell you the same direction/bias. They should align up and have the same bullish/bearish bias. This will strengthen your probability of success. I always make sure when I am about to enter any trades, I want the multi-time frames all telling me the same story. Same bias, same direction. 6. Now all that comes down to is forecasting the possible entries, which I have made many videos on this topic and I will share some below. Understand you would always want to make sure you are either entering during the impulse phase on the LTF, or the price is about to start the impulse phase to gain the upper hands in the market. You do not want to enter when the price is in a consolidation which is why many traders end up losing money, stuck in the correction and price isn't moving too much, rather just sideways. 7. Continue to work on analyzing the chart from scratch, get comfortable at identifying the impulse phase in the market, and do backtesting continuously so you identify the corrections in the market. This will make you see the chart and the market completely different than before, and you will have a much better probability of entering trades that work out in your favour. Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know. Jojo Below I will share many educational videos that will help you to understand more on price action analysis, impulse/correction phase, entry, forecasting, backtesting and more. Continuation and Reversal Correction Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis Multi-time frame analysis Continuation Bull/Bear Flag Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending) Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel Reversal Rising/Falling Wedge Reversal Double Top/Bottom Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern Reversal Impulse Price Action Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern Risk Management: 3 different entries on how to enter the impulsive phrase of price action Risk Management: How to Enter and set SL and TP for an impulse move in the market Risk Management: When/How to move SL to BE and to profit in a running trade ? How forecasting can benefit your trading journey Backtesting & Chartwork on Forex Market Backtesting & Chartwork on Indices Market Backtesting & Chartwork on Crypto Market How & Why I backtest:
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
40
Market Structure Simplified It is easy to get confused with overflowing information about market structure in the trading world. To simplify things we have come up with a way of analysing market structure simply by marking each high or low. In this particular example, you can see that higher lows were being created all the way down the bearish trend, so we knew that it was a seller's market UNTIL we got our break of structure . When the BOS became apparent, we began to shift our attention to the possibility of reversals and used our magic tool, the Fibonacci. This technique can be used in any trend, try it for yourselves! Please, support this post with a like and comment!
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Education
by AlkalineFX
84
When/How to move SL to BE and to profit in a running trade ?Hello everyone: Today I want to discuss a topic in Risk Management, specifically on when and how to move your STOP LOSS to BREAKEVEN or in PROFIT when you have a running profit trade/position. In an impulsive phase of the market, we want to make sure to protect our entry as well as secure profits. In this example of EURUSD, I managed to get 2 entries in, and manage it to my best ability and secure profits Trade close down for +7.9% profit Original Trade Forecast and Analysis: This is a topic that will have various answers across traders, as this is certainly up to each individual trader’s strategy, style, and management approach. So understand there is no right or wrong, “holy grail” kind of decision. It's up to you individually as a trader. I will share my management, and why I choose to go with these types of approaches, and you can certainly use them to your advantage to tweak/modify them to fit your strategy. Few things to keep in minds are: 1. Moving the SL to BE or/and in profit is a way to protect your entry, as well as secure profit. 2. Sometimes moving the SL too early may “choke” the price, and you can get stopped out for BE or small profit. Then watch the price take off in your desired direction, which can create negative emotion. 3. Whereas sometimes if you don't move SL to BE or in profit, you can watch a trade that hits 3:1 RR or more, end up reversing down, passing your entry point and to your actual SL of -1%, which can also create negative emotion. 4. No perfect scenario or management when it comes to the aspect of trading, as every trade is unique, and different outcomes may happen, since the market itself is not perfect, and can do whatever it wants to do. Now, I will explain my own management when it comes to moving SL to BE or/and in profit. Certainly this is NOT the only way, nor it will be the best way, but over the years of backtesting & chartwork have given me reassurance on these types of management ways. I will then show some real live examples on the trades that I closed down, and how I manage them as well. CADJPY - Original Trade Forecast and Analysis: GBPJPY - Original Trade Forecast and Analysis: CHFJPY - Original Trade Forecast and Analysis: NASDAQ - AUDNZD - Original Trade Forecast and Analysis: First, a general rule of thumb for me. IF the price has hit about 1:1 RR or so, and has broken past the previous recent lows, I will move my SL to BE. There is no exception in this rule. Again, I explained earlier that sometimes this will help you to protect your entry when price reverses, and sometimes it will choke the price. In this case, I would rather take a BE first, and re-look for entry again in the same position, as long as the bias and the price action is still valid on both the higher time frame and lower time frame. Second, once the entry is in some profit, say 2:1 or higher, I generally will move the SL up to about +0.5% profit or so. Just want to secure a little profit while not choking the price entirely. Third, once the entry is in 3:1 profit, then I will move my SL to +1% profit. This is where I generally will decide whether I should take full profit here, or hold the trade for a mid-long term if the higher time frame has given me the bias. Fourth, since the trade has already been in 3:1 profit or higher, generally we can expect a continuation correction to form now after the impulse phase. If it's a smaller correction and price isn't reversing up sharply right away, I will move my SL to about +1.5% profit, set my alert above the continuation correction and observe the development of the correction. This is generally a point where I can decide to hold the trade longer, or if it reverses up from the continuation correction, then exit the trade for profit. Fifth, if we start to see a possible reversal development, then I will move down my SL to the recent swing highs/lows, or just above the reversal correctional structure, and will let the trade tag me out for profit if it reverses. Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :) If you enjoy these contents, and the educational lessons are helpful, please press like, subscribe and follow for more. Jojo
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Education
by jojofang0901
89
How to use trendline to identify price action structure/patternHi everyone: Many have asked me about how to properly use trendlines to identify price action structures and patterns. So in today’s educational video, I will go over this topic in more detail. First, I use the trendline as a “frame” to identify structures and patterns, and NOT use it as a Support/Resistance. What I do is to put in the trendline for the highs and lows of the price action that can help me to pinpoint what the price is doing, what kind of a correctional structure that it is currently in. Typically after an impulse phase of the market, then we start to identify a structure/pattern by connecting the swing highs and lows. Second, as I always point out in my videos/streams, a structure/pattern needs at least 2 swing highs and lows to classify as a structure. Certainly more swing highs and lows are good, but it's not necessary. Often I get asked about the “third touch” or more. To me it's not necessary, but if price does form the third touch, I would proceed the same as the price has a second touch. Third, we are identifying the price action correctional structure, and sometimes the market is not perfect, it will not give you a textbook looking bullish flag as an example. Hence the backtesting and chartwork from each trader is important to get your mind familiarized with the market and its “imperfect” development of the price action. After identifying the impulse phase, then look to see what the market is doing. Is it falling into a consolidation ? Not much movement except sideway price action, or ascending/descending like consolidation will give you a clue on whether the price is correcting to continue, or correcting to reverse. Take a look at the educational videos I have made in the past regarding the type of correctional structures we typically see in the market. All the videos are down below. Continue to backtest and do chart work to get familiar with drawing in the structures/patterns. The more you do these, the better and easier it is for you to identify them in your trading journey. Remember, the market is not perfect, so not all the structures/patterns will be “Textbook” like on the real, live market. Learn to deal with the “imperfect” market, so you can better utilize price action analysis to your advantage. Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :) Thank you Below are all my price action structures/patterns videos on different type of corrections. Continuation and Reversal Correction Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis Impulse VS Correction Multi-time frame analysis Continuation Bull/Bear Flag Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending) Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel Reversal Rising/Falling Wedge Reversal Double Top/Bottom Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern Reversal Impulse Price Action Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
61
Closer look into Rising/Falling Wedge, Reversal Price Action Closer look into Rising/Falling Wedge, Reversal Price Action structures/patterns Hi traders: Today I will go more in detail on rising/falling wedge correction in price action structures/patterns. You might have already heard about these types of correctional structures, and many traders who utilize them. Certainly there are many ways of traders identifying them and taking advantage of these kinds of price action, so it's ideal for you to understand them in your analysis. We first need to understand that a rising/falling wedge is a REVERSAL price action. Meaning when the correction completes, there's a higher probability of the price to reverse. You might have already seen multiple price action videos from me that go over all sorts of continuation and reversal price action (I will share links below), and I always talk about when combining multiples of different price action structures/patterns will give you a better edge at entering positions that work out in your favor. Same idea here, so let's take a look at how rising/falling wedges are, how to identify them, and how to effectively use them in your analysis. Rising/falling wedge, just as the name suggests, is an ascending/descending type of correction where the price is getting squeezed into a “wedge”. As the price gets narrower and narrower, there's a higher probability of the price to “reverse” from the wedge. Now about entries, certainly many traders have their own method of entering, so I will share my point of view and the way how I like to enter them. Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :) Thank you Risk Management: 3 different entries on how to enter the impulsive phrase of price action Multi-time frame analysis Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis Continuation and Reversal Correction Continuation Bull/Bear Flag Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending) Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel Reversal Double Top/Bottom Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern Reversal Impulse Price Action Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
TVC:DXYEducation
by jojofang0901
47
Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures In-depth look at Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures/patterns Hi everyone: Today I want to revisit the fundamental aspect of trading impulsive and corrective phases in Price Action Analysis. As you all know I focus on multi-time frame analysis and forecasting/anticipating the next impulsive move in the market. To me, the most important part of identifying the next impulsive phase of the market, is to understand how correction works. An impulse phase usually happens after a correction has finished correcting, so the key is to identify and understand how a corrections structure will complete so we anticipate the next impulsive move. You may have seen my videos on this topic, but today I will go more in detail on this, and explain the 2 types of correctional structure the market can create. The market can only be in 2 phases, impulsive phrase or corrective phrase. In addition, the corrective phrase can only be continuation, or reversal. So to fully have an edge in the market, is to understand what the correctional structure the price is currently making, whether a continuation/reversal, then forecast the possible price outlook, and go down to the lower time frames for possible entries. Now, it's important to understand that different traders/strategies/styles will call these patterns/structures in varies names. What they are called or identify isn't important, but the important aspect is to understand whether they are continuation, or they are reversal. In addition, simply seeing price action structures/patterns by itself, is not a good enough entry criteria for me. You want to combine multi- time frame analysis, top-down approach, and with multiples of these price actions all happening so it adds extra confluence for you to enter a particular trade. Seeing a H and S pattern, on a 5 minute chart, without considering the overall HTF and other factors, will not be a consistent move in the long run. Continuation Correctional Structure/Pattern Bullish/Bearish Flag Bullish/Bearish Pennant Parallel Channel Reversal Correctional Structure/Pattern Ascending/Descending Channel Rising/Falling Wedge Double Top/Bottom Head & Shoulder Pattern/Inverse H and S “M” and “W” style pattern Reversal Impulse Price Action I will forward all the price action structures/patterns videos I have made in the past to help you understand each of the structures more. Impulse VS Correction Multi-time frame analysis Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis Continuation Bull/Bear Flag Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending) Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel Reversal Double Top/Bottom Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern Reversal Impulse Price Action Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :) Thank you Jojo
Education
by jojofang0901
40
How to manage & deal with consecutive losses in trading ? Trading Psychology: How to manage & deal with losses/consecutive losses in trading ? Hi everyone: Today I want to go over a very key trading psychology lesson on how to deal with losses, especially consecutive losses. This is bound to happen to any traders, whether you are new or experienced. ITs something all professional traders will have to deal with on a regular basis. Understand that, dealing with losses psychologically is the key factor in the success of a trader. This is because losses are inevitable, and trading is a probability, which trades that you take will end up both in wins and losses. However, traders usually can not accept losses, due to their ego, greed and other emotional factors. Aside from having a good risk management, trading plan, and trading strategies, traders can still experience the psychological emotions of losing. This is due to the fact that we are humans and we are an “emotional” animal. We don't want to be wrong, at all. Taking a loss is like getting slapped in the face by the market, which we have egos to fight against. What ends up after taking losses or consecutive losses, it puts traders at a disadvantage where their emotion is high, and likely to “revenage” trade to chase back losses, which end up in a deeper hole. To deal with such psychological phenomena, take a step back and observe your situation: First, did you follow your trading plan/strategy on how to enter, set SL/TP, and management ? Second, did you take an emotional trade due to greed or fear of missing out ? Third, have you journal down your losses and review them to make sure they are trades you really want to risk your capitals on ? By now you will see why we need to review these. Trading is a probability, not right or wrong. It's a random variable that you are putting your $ at risk. So if you understand the rules and plans that you follow and execute a trade accordingly, then there should NOT be any negative emotions towards the outcome of the trades, whether they are winners or losers. When I discuss the trades I entered every week in my trade recaps videos, I am always happy to enter a position, even if it goes to a loss. This is because I have done enough backtesting, chart work, and plan to enter a position. I understand strictly from a probability point of view, I could have a higher strike rate, and more often the trades will end up as a winner rather than a loser. However, I also understand and acknowledge that some trades will end up in a loss, disregard mine technical analysis or other’s fundamental analysis. It is what trading is all about. When I have consecutive losses, I will always review the 3 points I mentioned above and make sure they are all valid for me. Then I simply will take 1 day off from the market, chart, phone, and just get your mind clear. Come back strong after 1-2 days of rest, and have a positive mindset. What traders often do when they have consecutive losses is to right away re-enter back into the market and try to chase back their losses. This has always been the downfall of losing and it creates anxiety in traders’ minds. Such a negative experience is going to stay in the traders’ mind longer and deeper, compared to consecutive winners. So wise we understand that is the case how our brain is "programmed” into thinking, then it's up to us to do the opposite, and fight the urge to “revenge” our losses. At the end of the day, no one is trading your trading account, except yourself. Taking ownership of your account, learning to control our emotions, understanding the probability side of trading, and learning to let go, drop our ego will help us in the long run in this industry. I hope these pointers can help some traders who are still struggling with this concept. It's impossible not to take losses, but professional traders deal with it on a regular basis and still remain consistent in the long run. Thank you I will forward some Trading Psychology educational videos below on some of the topics explained today. Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading Trading Psychology: Is there Stop Loss Hunting in Trading ? How to deal with it ?
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
58
How to trade based on a Multi-Timeframe Analysis?Good morning, traders! Today we will do an explanatory post on how a Multi-Timeframe Analysis (Weekly-Daily-4H) can be used to take a trade. The benefit of this is that we will be trading taking into account the short, medium, and long-term behavior of the price, which gives us a higher success rate. Many times, we take a trade focusing only on one timeframe, and we are missing relevant information of higher temporalities, such as areas that we are not seeing. Let's see how it would look in practice: 🔸The first thing is to start with the chart with the higher temporality, in this case, the Weekly: - We see here that the price is in a range and bouncing in the support zone where a strong bullish momentum was previously generated. This gives us a first bullish hint. 🔸Then, in the Daily chart (published), we see that the price bounces off the previously marked zone and breaks the downtrend channel. This is the second bullish sign. - In addition, in this chart, we proceed to mark the potential targets of the movement. 🔸Finally, in the 4H chart is where we will look for our entry into the market: - After the break of the bearish channel, the price begins a corrective process at the edge of the trend line. When the breakout of this structure happens, the optimal thing is to place an income above the last lower high of the structure to avoid potential fakeouts.
Education
by ThinkingAntsOk
6
BASIC BULLISH MARKET STRUCTUREWhat is Market Structure? Market Structure is the technical structure of any market that appears over time as one primary position holds the majority of the strength (buyers or sellers). Market structure is a key technical understanding to be able to identify what the market has been doing in the past and what it has the potential to do in the future. Market Structure is the continuous series of higher highs and higher lows (bullish market structure) or the continuous series of lower highs and lower lows (bearish market structure). When market structure is non relevant and there are no higher highs or lower lows, this is a time of consolidation. So, what is bullish market structure? As stated above, bullish market structure is a series of higher highs and higher lows in the markets. We can identify this series by seeing 2 or more sets of higher highs and higher lows. Of course market structure is not EXACT, which is why trading is so hard, there is no EXACT path that price will take EVERY time, but you must understand the overall concept and be able to adjust to market conditions.
Education
by MonsunAsia
EDUCATION - Moving Average Trading Tutorial ⚡⚡What is a Moving Average? In technical analysis, there’s an indicator called moving average which calculates the average closing price over a set period of time. If the market is too choppy, often a moving average can help smooth things out and provide a clearer visual of what’s going on in the market and an indication as to where the momentum is whether it’s a bear market or a bull market. How is moving average calculated? A moving average is calculated by calculating the closing prices and then divided by the set number of days e.g. 100 day moving average takes into account the closing prices for the last 100 days and then divides it by 100 to give you the moving average. Once you have enough data, you will be able to plot a smooth line which you can use to help with your analysis. How do you use moving average? In very simple terms: if the price is above the moving average, you can assume that the market is bullish. If price is below the moving average, you can assume that the market is bearish. The way we use the moving average is that we see it as dynamic resistance/support. Dynamic support – When price is above the moving average and approaches it, the moving average will act as a support base where price could potentially bounce off. Dynamic resistance – when price is below the moving average, price may come up to reject the moving average before moving lower. Transition from bearish to bullish (vice versa) We found that one of the most probable moments where the moving average acts as a dynamic support/resistance is when price impulses through the moving average and then retests it. It is possible to gain an entry on the retest provided there are other confluences playing a part such as previous structure or price action. What moving average do we use? 100 and 200 moving average. Examples
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Education
by Altsignals
24
CAD/JPY Short - 01 June 2021 | Hybrid Move Result: +3.00%Hey all, Another quick breakdown of a Hybrid setup taken this month.. The trade initiated from a Sr. Daily Zone which was created all the way back in January 2018, where price showed a beautiful trendline break and a huge crash in price. Overall the monthly time-frame was sitting at major value as well together with the weekly chart being in need of a reversal after the strong 2020 and 2021 volatility in the markets. The 4hour started to top out here after the daily showed a clearly over-extended run. When the double top formed at the 4hour chart, price confirmed the bearish bias with a clean 4hour star formation to the downside and a clean move later on. The orange candles at my chart are from our unique entry indicator developed to be optimal for our supply and demand zones. If you have any questions, feel free to comment below! Kind regards, Max Nieveld
Education
by newcapitalfx
NZD/CHF Long - 21 May 2021 | Hybrid Move Result: -1.00%Hey All, The trade initiated from a Daily Counterzone stacked with a clean area of weekly demand as well perfect in my opinion with the main idea to break the daily trend and continue the higher-timeframe bias to the upside. Overall the setup was pretty complex due to the Counterzone analysis, yet clear enough to find and edge. The 4hour strategy was executed after price formed a clean star formation and exploded to the upside after some more deceleration. The 4hour started to create a small double bottom formation with our automatic Hybrid Strategy entry when the 4hour star closed. At the daily time-frame prices reached the downward sloping trendline formation which was never broken to the upside, instead price moved towards the downside creating a deeper daily lower low and continue the trend. Good trade, good edge.
Education
by newcapitalfx
How to read a Chart - Part IV: Perspectives on PoIPoints of Interest Introduction One of the most common mistakes in trading ist the trading somewhat somewhere in the nowhere, which in general results in a bad trade location, wide stops, being stopped out very often or being right while being wrong. Thus, in trading it is paramount to wait patiently for your setup to appear, and not every setup is of the same quality. Even though high quality setups are not appearing on a 1-minute-, 5-minute- or 60-minute-basis, waiting will actually not only save you money, but also result in higher profits, higher trading confidence and less stressful decision-making. Even if you’ve already heard of the basic principles, they are just right. A. Highs and lows As I’ve pointed out in my previous article “How to Read a Chart Pt. III”, the highs and lows on a daily chart are building the overall structure. Don’t get me wrong: the weekly has some nice perspectives too, but you should watch it if you are an investor going in for 10+ years. The highs and lows on a weekly chart still do have importance on lower time frames, but you shouldn’t make a decision on trading entries for a plus 5 years investment opportunity on a 1-minute- or even a 1-second chart. Why are highs and lows important? They are used as reference for past and thus future resistance. Does this always apply? No for sure, that's why structure is important. So before we’re diving deeper into this subject, let's have a quick comparison of weekly and daily highs and lows. I’ve marked the high and low of the weekly chart in thick red, just to show that everything you might see on a weekly basis you're also able to see on a daily basis. In orange is the range of the past week and in blue the range of the current week. So in general: if we’re trading above the previous week’s range, we are in general long biased, if we’re trading below the previous week’s range, we are short biased. Does this always apply? No! But when does this apply? When the big fishes, the “whales” are showing interest in selling or buying at those specific points. Something we can derive from the chart above is the following: the previous week’s low got rejected, but the value is shifting down; this means, that if we’re trading above the current week’s high there are two scenarios: either we’re going up fast, breaking the previous weeks high or we are being rejected and shifting down again - at least to the bottom of the range. If we're going below the low, it might go quick, fast and harsh. B. High and low of the previous day Applying this principle from chapter A to intra-day trading, it goes alike: in general, if we are trading above the previous day’s high, at large we are long and if we are trading below the low of the previous day, we are short. Let’s unfold this beauty of perspectivity: In the picture above I’ve used a random high/low indicator - displaying the highs and lows of the previous day's session - as there are hundreds and hundreds to be found on @TradingView and the reason why is quite obviuos and well justified. I’ve also added “setups” to show you what to expect if you would have traded blindly every single break above the high or below the low. Even if you would have no specific view on the market, no bias or any idea of the markets direction you still would have made 4X (40 times your risk ! ) at win ratio of 56% - which most people would say is "not good". C. Ranges So what are the zones between a day's high and low? It's nothing else than the day's range. You may find ranges on bigger and smaller scales, on a 1 minute to 1 year time frame. What are these ranges? They are zones of congestion, zones of consolidation and zones of value, but mainly they are battlefields. Let's have a look on a chart: I've just plotted some of these zones to point out one thing: if you're trading within the zone, you're lost and you will most likely lose money even if you're right about the direction. You need an edge in trading, and the easiest thing is to trade from one edge to the other edge until a breakout has been confirmed. D. Big Bars / Big Fat Candles Don't mistake me: this is not about day drinking, romantic candle light dinner or something like this; it is about big fat candles on a chart and what happened there and what is likely to happen. Some should note that a range on a lower time frame is nothing else than inside bars on a higher time frame. Usually a big fat candle appears if stops have been triggered and thus the sentiment has shifted. So, somewhere within this big fat candle there is support or resistance and it depends on volume and sentiment if we're about to move further in this direction or not, but mostly it is indicating momentum. If you want to trade pullbacks, you need to figure out where the breakout has happened; usually it has happened before the top or bottom of the corresponding range. Additionally, if a big fat candle got retraced to 100 percent, something is fishy, whilst a strong breakout should indicate only a partial retracement if the traders are committed to push prices further in their direction. E. Value areas and Points of No Interest As I'm using the free version of @TradingView , I would've attached an image from my order flow software, because there is no decent free volume profile indicator displaying value areas (if I'm wrong, post a link in the comments), but it seems that the image upload didn't work, but anyway. The point I'm trying to make ist this: value areas are showing zones where price is seen as fair and thus the most volume has been traded. If you're using a market profile (tpo or monkey bars), it is showing where price has been traded most of the time. Outside of this range, price is considered unfair, and this is - exactly as ranges overall - where your edge is. Zooming out and seeing the bigger picture is extremely helpful to not get caught in war zones of higher time frames and big players. On this chart above I'm using the 200 period volume profile of @LuxAlgo ,visually a beautiful piece of art. Furthermore, it is displaying somewhat similar to a value area and - even more interesting - the valleys in the profile, also called low volume nodes. To use these valleys as reference, you should not make the mistake and look where price has not been traded at all, but where supply and demand have diminished; this is blatantly simple: if there haven't been buyers or sellers at all, price will move on; so you need at least a certain threshold of trading activity. In grey I've plotted the borders of the range. As you can see, as soon as the price has reached these areas, a reaction has happened. On the upside, it was a head fake, false breakout, emerging head and shoulders pattern or simply: no more buying interest. When price broke down you could have easily entered at the rejection or at the pullback. Another zone of no interest is the light purple area, which has been established by big bars breaking through it and where one side has been swept. When price broke through and traded above, you could've used the pullback to go long (in the middle of the range though) or when it broke below to go short or to finally close your losing long position. Quick cheat number 1 on applying support and resistance: Switch to a line chart, check for the prominent highs and lows, switch back to candle or whatever your preference is and adjust (or don't ;) ). 3 different types of charts, all displaying the same. It is not perfect, it is not a pin point "you will always win and never lose" system, but markets consist of humans which aren't perfect either; and as long as machines are made by men, they aren't neither. And this is the reality of trading: nothing is a one-shot, a bullseye; nothing is perfect. At last, there is more to trading than placing a limit order into a chart and get rich quick. Quick cheat number 2 (that no one will tell you because it is too simple to sell it): Look to the left! Markets have memories, because - and I'm repeating - markets consist of humans, and the only reference points others may use are not any calculations, extensions or fantastic AI structures: at the end it is all derived from history. How did price react at the last reference point? What happened next? Let's quickly example this: Think of it yourself: do you want to re-evaluate every tick hunting for signals on a vast amount of indicators or are you just keeping it simple (stupid)? Key Takeaways Don’t trade somewhere in nowhere! Future price action depends on past action! Switch your perspective if a change has become evident! Trade less, earn more! ___ Note: As I’m writing a book about reading a chart, I am going to post a couple of short articles on this topic and others related to it, e.g. trend, volume , Dow theory, auction theory and behaviorism. If you are spotting some errors or if you like to add something, feel free to comment or pm. Cheers, Constantine - p.s.: This article is not intended as any kind of trading advice. If anything concerning this topic remains unclear, drop a message or a comment. I've also linked a previous analysis of a trade where you can see a walk-through of the principles as described above
Education
by constantine_trading
Power of compounding interest, but why do traders still fail ? Hello everyone: Welcome to this quick educational video on Compounding interest in trading. Today I want to break down the benefits of compounding a trading account while keeping good risk management at bay. The reason why compounding interest is so lucrative is due to investing interest on top of interest, and your trading account can grow much faster than traditional investment returns. The important note is that, by having strict risk management rules, proper trading plan, the account can grow over time. But why do many traders fail to do so ? Let's take a deeper look into this: Many new/beginner traders often get involved in trading due to its profitable potential. However, most of them do not learn about risk management, trading psychology on mindset and emotions. They tend to over trade, over leverage their accounts in hope to double it in a short period of time. This almost always leads to traders to blow their accounts, and re-deposit more money to “chase/revenge” their losses, and the cycle continues. The truth is, growing the account by compounding can eventually double a trading account, but only in time and with strict risk management rules. However, the greed, emotion and mindset often become the tread stone for the traders’ success. It's important to understand that having a consistent, sustainable approach in trading can lead to profits and growth over time, but it's not something that is instantaneous, which is what most new/beginner traders often misunderstood. This can be due to social media, and lots of typical trading “guru” out there promising guaranteed results and easy money. Take a step back and think about compounding interest in time and scale. 5-7.5% return per month may not seem much for a small trading account, but it is sustainable and consistent by not over-risking and over-trading. In time when the account is at a larger scale, a few % return with compound effect in a year can generate very sizable return and growth. In today’s trading industry, there are many prop firms out there that allow you to trade their funds, if you can be consistent and sustainable. Understand these firms are not looking for traders to double their larger capital, rather, to have consistent return and proper risk management. When you can prove you can be consistent to compound a small account, then when you actually do trade a larger account, the % return would be the same. Last Note: Build up the right habits from the start. Your job in the beginning of trading is not to make massive returns, rather to focus on risk management, control emotion, and understand trading psychology. Once all these are checked, then you will be miles ahead of other traders who are still struggling to understand the concept. Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know. Thank you Jojo
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Detail Look into Parallel Channel In Price Action Analysis Hello everyone: Let's take another detailed look into some parallel channels structures/patterns in price action analysis. Recall my previous educational video on Ascending/descending channel correction, they are higher probability reversal price action structures/patterns. Today I want to go over the horizontal parallel channel structures/patterns as well where they are more neutral, more advanced to analyze and forecast the potential direction of the impulse phase following after. Let's take a look into some of these horizontal parallel channel corrections, and break them down more. In my opinion, the longer, deeper these types of parallel channels go, the stronger the next impulsive phase will be. Although they can be tricky depending on whether they are continuation or reversal correction. I will go over for examples in different markets to pinpoint some of these price action structures/patterns. Below are some of the important topics that I mentioned in the video. Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel Risk Management: 3 different entries on how to enter the impulsive phrase of price action Multi-time frame analysis Identify a correction in price action analysis Continuation and Reversal Correction Any questions, comments, or feedback welcome to let me know thx :) Jojo
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How to identify a correction for the next impulse move ? How to identify if a correction is finished/completed and ready for the next impulse move ? Hello everyone: In this educational video I will go over how to properly identify a correction in price action analysis. I recently made a price action workshop live stream video that went over everything on impulse - correction, structures/patterns, continuation and reversal corrections, but I still get a lot of questions on identifying corrections itself. How to draw, use the trendlines to identify a correction, and how to understand they are going to complete/finish. In my opinion this is the most important part in technical analysis. We need to understand that the market moves in phrases, it can only be in the impulsive phrase or corrective phrase. The key to trading is to understand when a correction finishes, we are going to get the impulsive phrase which will give us traders a better edge in the market to enter, where the momentum is strong. I have made many educational posts on price action analysis, specifically on continuation or reversal correction, which I will put the links below. Any questions, comments, or feedback welcome to let me know. Thank you Jojo Price Action Workshop www.tradingview.com Impulse VS Correction Continuation and Reversal Correction Multi-time frame analysis Continuation Bull/Bear Flag Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel Reversal Double Top/Bottom Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern Reversal Impulse Price Action Expanding Structure/Pattern
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