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Educational Series - Smart Money Concepts ( Liquidity )Hi there guys! I will be doing a short tutorial on Smart Money Concept's liquidity. What is it? - Liquidity acts as a driver to move the market in a specific price range. - We can find liquidity in areas where many people place stop losses and buy/sell stops. - Market makers will manipulate the price in order to break through these obvious zones and seize the liquidity. How to look for them - You will be looking for areas where price are of relative equal highs/lows. - Areas where price has not gone to swept the "stop losses" Why is it useful? - Helps to forecast where price might potentially head to - Potential areas for take profits upon clearing of liquidity - Avoid placing your stop loss at liquidity areas It takes some time to learn how to spot liquidity. If you do enjoy this tutorial, feel free to follow me and boost this post! :) Regards, Chen Yongjin
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by DogeStonks
4
November FOMC preview – where the risk to markets resides Time – 3 Nov 5am AEDT / 6PM GMT (Jay Powell speaks at 05:30 AEDT) Central bank meetings are just so important to sentiment and market structure – when we’re trading a major market theme, such as inflation and rising interest rates, this is the market’s chance to mark-to-market policy changes and how the collective in the bank guide our expectations for future meetings ahead. For traders, notably for those who have exposures sensitive to policy changes, they simply must assess the potential for big volatility, which could affect their positions – our job is to recognise the propensity for sizeable movement, the skew in the outcome distribution and if our stop placement is too close/far from the market. Do we reduce, exit or in some cases even initiate positions? For others, the central bank meeting will shape the trading environment and the market structure they work in - not just for that trading session, but for the following days ahead. Consider day traders who work within a specific timeframe and need to assess if price action constitutes a trending day, and therefore they look more closely at momentum strategies. Or is it more of a choppy, sideways, range-bound day, and therefore looking more readily at intra-day mean reversion strategies? ‘Environment recognition’ is key for day traders and scalpers and edge comes from being able to identify the regime we’re in – perhaps through the application of market profile, VWAP, Bollinger Band strategies (to name a few), as well as good old fashion price action. An overview of the November FOMC meeting As we know event risk seldom gets more important than an FOMC meeting, so this is a risk we need to manage. Trading these tier 1 events takes skill like no other – we must react to the statement, but then 30 minutes later we react to individual words and nuance in the press conference from chair Jay Powell. It’s always the high frequency algo’s that recognise the keywords first and we mortals are left trying to react according. Even once the presser has finished and the dust has settled, quite often we see the ensuing Fed members speaking over the coming week giving their own personal view, and often when we’ve seen violent moves on the day, they will walk back any extreme reaction. The first move is not always the right move. To some, this lively backdrop, especially when we consider reduced liquidity can be nirvana-type conditions. To others, this is the environment where they have no edge and see it best to stand aside and let price do its thing. A hawkish ‘step down’ on the cards We’ve been treated to a roller coaster in Fed ‘pivot’ expectations - Ranging from a WSJ article of an impending ‘step down’ in the pace of hikes starting at the December meeting. To dovish turns from the RBA, ECB and BoC – however, the Fed are their own boss and they see US labour market data that has been solid (as donated by the Employment Cost Index and JOLTS report) – US 5-year inflation expectations are rising and next week’s US core CPI print will likely be close to unchanged at 6.6% YoY - it seems highly unlikely that the Fed will want to promote a positive reaction in risky assets, and the risks to markets in my mind are skewed to a hawkish reaction – equity up, bond yields and the USD lower. In the Fed’s view, putting the US into a recession is still a lesser evil than not tackling entrenched price pressures. While traders would fall off their chair if the Fed didn’t hike by 75bp at this meeting, it’s the guidance for future meetings which is where we get a reaction in markets. We are likely to hear that the pace of hikes in the future will fall to a more conventional pace – this is the ‘step down’ many have focused on. But this narrative will be accompanied by strong conditionality, and the statement will be about giving the Fed maximum flexibility and optionality for the December meeting – that call will be fully data-dependent. So, consider there is a lot of information between now and the 14 December FOMC meeting – we have 2 non-farm payrolls reports, the Oct CPI print (11 Oct) and the midterm elections. It’s no wonder the market is pricing 62bp of hikes for that meeting and hedging their bets of a 50 or 75bp hike – it's this pricing for the Dec FOMC meeting which I think is key for markets. Rates Review – we see market pricing for the Nov FOMC meeting at 75bp – then a step to 62bp in the Dec meeting. The holy trinity – the three markets to drive cross-asset volatility Pricing for the December FOMC meeting So part of the reaction will be seen in the pricing for the Dec FOMC meeting which currently sits at 4.41% – traders can see this on TradingView by typing ‘100-ZQF2023’ into the navigator. A dovish reaction would be to see this headed below 4.4%, where we would expect the USD to sell off and gold and equities to rally. A push towards 4.50% would see USDJPY push towards 150 and EURUSD through 0.9800. Terminal fed funds rates pricing We also look at the terminal rates pricing – this is the peak of market expectations for where the Fed can take rates, which currently sit in the May to June 2023 period at 5% – we can type in ‘100-ZQK2023’ into the navigator. A firm break above 5% would send risk lower. US 2-year Treasury I also look at US real rates and 2yr Treasuries (US02Y) closely as a driver for risk assets – If yields rise then we should see the NAS100 and gold fall and the USD spike, especially if we take out the 21 Oct high of 4.63% – conversely if yields fall/price rise then the USD will likely fall. As always around key events, the reaction in markets is a function of: • The outcome vs Expectations • Positioning • Hedging activity • Liquidity My own view is the risks are skewed for a hawkish reaction – USD higher, but I will recognise the moves in rates suggests the market is largely positioned for this outcome.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXEducation
by Pepperstone
2
GOVERNMENT BONDS YIELD. INVERTED CURVEWhat are GOVERNMENT BONDS YIELD? Bonds are Fixed Income instruments that allow investors to anticipate the flow of funds they will receive. What does an inverted yield curve mean? Put simply, this means that short-term US debt is more profitable than long-term debt. Economic theory says that in a “normal” situation, long-term lending should be more profitable than short-term lending. An inverted yield curve occurs when the yield on short-term bonds (US03MY, US06MY, US01Y) is greater than the yield on longer-term bonds (US30Y, US20Y) . This is bad for the economy and worse if it is the United States because it means that they are relying on the economy in the short term since the "normal" thing is that long-term bonds give better yields. Some economists and analysts see in this situation an indicator that a next economic crisis is coming, either in the form of a slowdown in GDP or even a recession.
TVC:US30YEducation
by Ed_Ale
📚Learn More💰Earn More - Inverse Head and Shoulders in UNIUSD📚 LEARN MORE 💰 EARN MORE Inverse Head and Shoulders Definition: A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation. It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder). A “Neckline” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal. This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in a downtrend, it signifies a major reversal. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance. In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern. How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern: ENTRY: we put an entry order above the neckline. TARGET : We can also calculate a target by measuring the lowest point of the head to the neckline. This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline. ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Education
by ForecastCity_World
2
Inflation & Interest Rate Series / Dollar and Gold I have started this inflation and interest rate series, in our last video, we discussed "Inverted Yield". Today will be discussing the relationship between: . Inflation . Interest rate . Dollar and . Gold Today's Content: • Why with higher interest rates, it strengthens the USD • Is USD the strongest currency? If not, then who? • Strategy to counter inflation • Interest rate higher, but a lower USD? Dollar Index: . Measure the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies. . These are: the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona. . With the increase of money supply over the decades, it causes currencies dilution. When currencies weaken, inflation follows. COMEX Gold 0.1 = US$10 1.0 = US$100 10 points = US$1,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Stay tuned for our next episode in this series, we will discuss more on the insight of inflation and rising interest rates. More importantly, how to use this knowledge, turning it to our advantage in these challenging times for all of us.
ICEUS:DX1!Education
by konhow
6
📚Learn More💰Earn More - Inverse Head and Shoulders in NEARUSD📚 LEARN MORE 💰 EARN MORE Inverse Head and Shoulders Definition: A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation. It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder). A “Neckline” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal. This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in a downtrend, it signifies a major reversal. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance. In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern. How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern: ENTRY : we put an entry order above the neckline. TARGET : We can also calculate a target by measuring the lowest point of the head to the neckline. This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline. ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Education
by ForecastCity_World
8
USD/CHF -8/9/2022-• Triangle pattern explained + measurement method • On the weekly chart, while ago, a triangle formation can be seen • Breakout can be either way • In the above case, the breakout was to the upside, supported by strong fundamentals in favor of the dollar • Traders should wait for a successful breakout before placing any trade • Breakout was confirmed by several bars above the upper trend line resistance • Buy order is placed upon the breakout, and the measurement method is applied for profit taking • What is the measurement method? • It is the distance between the lowest point in the triangle and the first high, the widest distance in other words • In this case, the length is 700 pips, so we project this distance from the breakout point • We get the target around parity, which was reached accurately at a later stage
Education
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT
The concept of trend lines, support and resistance Today, I am going to explain the concept of trend lines, support and resistance. Above is the weekly chart of the EUR/USD, period between 2017 and 2022. The resistance or support level is where the price gets rejected at least twice. After that, traders can draw a line connecting those swing highs/lows, which later turn to be the resistance or support. This line can be horizontal or sloping, thus called trend line. A trend line connecting 2 lower highs or more is called descending and considered a resistance. A trend line connecting 2 higher lows or more is called ascending and considered support. Broken resistance becomes a support level and vice versa. Let's take the example chart above and explain the drawings for a better understanding: 1) In January 2017, EUR/USD bottomed at 1.0350 and has been trading above that level since then, until 2022. In the current year, the pair tested the mentioned price more than twice and bounced again. But eventually, sellers were able to break through this support, which later on in July, turned to be a resistance. Buyers tried to break through that level but failed to do so, and the price kept on going further down. 2) During the pandemic in March 2020, demand for safe assets surged, causing the Euro to trade as low as 1.0630 where buyers were met and made a quick rebound. In 2022, the Russia-Ukraine war has put a huge pressure on the EUR/USD, resulting in a strong bearish move. Sellers were able to break the 1.0630 level successfully, which later turned to a resistance level. 3) I highlighted the main 3 parallel trend lines/channels throughout the 2018-2022 period 1: A very clear lower highs/lower lows pattern indicating a bearish trend. 2: Once the 1.0630 support was met, buyers were able to create a higher highs/higher lows pattern indicating a bullish trend reversal. 3: However, in summer 2021, the pattern was broken and we started to notice trend exhaustion indicated by a failure to make higher highs and the market entered a bearish trend again inside a descending channel till present. I hope the drawings and explanations are clear. Will be happy to answer any question. Thank you
Education
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT
Learn What is U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 💵💲 Hey traders, I share my analysis, signals and forecasts on Dollar Index occasionally. Quite often I receive questions from you asking me to explain what exactly that index means and why it is so important. Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the value of the United States Dollar against a weighted basket of major currencies. This basket consists of 6 following currencies: 🇪🇺Euro (EUR) - 57.6% share 🇯🇵Japanese yen (JPY) - 13.6% share 🇬🇧Pound sterling (GBP) - 11.9% share 🇨🇦Canadian dollar (CAD) - 9.1% share 🇸🇪Swedish krona (SEK) - 4.2% share 🇨🇭Swiss franc (CHF) - 3.6% share The selection of the following basket of currencies and their weight is determined by the significance of a trading partnership between the countries. The index value is calculated with the formula: USDX = 50.14348112 × EURUSD ^ -0.576 × USDJPY ^ 0.136 × GBPUSD ^ -0.119 × USDCAD ^ 0.091 × USDSEK ^ 0.042 × USDCHF ^ 0.036 The index was launched in 1973 and had an initial value of 100. When the U.S.D is gaining strength against the above-mentioned currencies, the index is growing, while its weakness against them leads to a decline of the index value. To conclude, the Dollar Index reflects a fair value of the Dollar and its dominance in global markets. Its analysis may help to make more accurate predictions of the future direction of the dollar related instruments. Do you analyze DXY? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
12
How To Make Your Trading Plan In 7 Steps !How To Make Your Trading Plan In 7 Steps ! ➡️ Choose The Correct Time Frame All traders know what time frames are, but few know that each time frame has a specific way of working. Time frames from 15 minutes to 60 minutes fall under the name of day trading, meaning that all deals will be closed on the same day, whether with profit or loss, and traders call it the name "Scalping" On the other hand, there is a time frame from 4 hours to the daily frame, which are considered long deals and traders call them “swing” Time frames higher than the daily are considered investment centers and are not suitable for small capitals —————————————————— ➡️ Risk Management Most traders make a fatal mistake, which is not choosing a risk ratio for each trade, and this exposes the entire account to a loss. The best traders in the world believe that the reasonable risk ratio is between 1% to 3% for each trade. —————————————————— ➡️ Conditions You Must Choose Between " Ranging " Or " Trending " —————————————————— ➡️ Markets In Stock Markets We Have 4 Market ,, - First One Is Option Option or binary options is a currency, commodities and stock market that simulates the same conditions as the real markets, but you can set a time for the transaction and bet on the direction within a minute or two and you can win up to 90% of the bet amount, but in the event of a loss, you lose the entire bet amount and some believe that The option market has a lot of suspicions and scams - Second Type Is Equity - Third Type Is Futures - Forth Type Is Forex - Fifth Market Is Crypto Currency —————————————————— ➡️ Type Of Your Entries - Pull Back - Break Out - Cross Over —————————————————— ➡️ How To Put Your Stop And Targets ? —————————————————— Print It And Don't Forget Any One From The 7 Steps To Be Successful Trader ❤️❤️
Education
by Fx_Vanguard
Most Popular Types Of Candles How to Read Candlestick charts? Candlestick charts were originated in Japan over 100 years before the West had developed the bar charts and point-and-figure charts. In the 1700s, a Japanese man known as Homma discovered that as there was a link between price and the supply and demand of rice, the markets also were strongly influenced by the emotions of traders. A daily candlestick charts shows the security’s open, high, low, and close price for the day. The candlestick’s wide or rectangle part is called the “real body” which shows the link between opening and closing prices. This real body shows the price range between the open and close of that day’s trading. When the real body is filled, black or red then it means that the close is lower than the open and is known as the bearish candle. It shows that the prices opened, the bears pushed the prices down and closed lower than the opening price. If the real body is empty, white or green then it means that the close was higher than the open known as the bullish candle. It shows that the prices opened, the bulls pushed the prices up and closed higher than the opening price. The thin vertical lines above and below the real body is knowns as the wicks or shadows which represents the high and low prices of the trading session. --------------------------------------- 1- Hammer Candle Hammer is a single candlestick pattern that is formed at the end of a downtrend and signals a bullish reversal. The real body of this candle is small and is located at the top with a lower shadow which should be more than twice the real body. This candlestick chart pattern has no or little upper shadow. The psychology behind this candle formation is that the prices opened, and sellers pushed down the prices. Suddenly the buyers came into the market and pushed the prices up and closed the trading session more than the opening price. This resulted in the formation of bullish pattern and signifies that buyers are back in the market and downtrend may end. Traders can enter a long position if next day a bullish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the low of Hammer. ----------------------------------------- 2- Hanging Man Hanging Man is a single candlestick pattern which is formed at the end of an uptrend and signals bearish reversal. The real body of this candle is small and is located at the top with a lower shadow which should be more than the twice of the real body. This candlestick pattern has no or little upper shadow. The psychology behind this candle formation is that the prices opened and seller pushed down the prices. Suddenly the buyers came into the market and pushed the prices up but were unsuccessful in doing so as the prices closed below the opening price. This resulted in the formation of bearish pattern and signifies that seller are back in the market and uptrend may end. Traders can enter a short position if next day a bearish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the high of Hanging Man. ----------------------------------------- 3- Three White Soldiers The Three White Soldiers is a multiple candlestick pattern that is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. These candlestick charts are made of three long bullish bodies which do not have long shadows and are open within the real body of the previous candle in the pattern. ----------------------------------------- 4- Inverted Hammer An Inverted Hammer is formed at the end of the downtrend and gives a bullish reversal signal. In this candlestick, the real body is located at the end and there is a long upper shadow. It is the inverse of the Hammer Candlestick pattern. This pattern is formed when the opening and closing prices are near to each other and the upper shadow should be more than twice the real body. ---------------------------------------- 5- Piercing Pattern Piercing pattern is a multiple candlestick chart pattern formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. Two candles form it, the first candle being a bearish candle which indicates the continuation of the downtrend. The second candle is a bullish candle which opens the gap down but closes more than 50% of the real body of the previous candle, which shows that the bulls are back in the market and a bullish reversal is going to take place. Traders can enter a long position if the next day a bullish candle is formed and can place a stop-loss at the low of the second candle. ---------------------------------------- 6- White Marubozu The White Marubozu is a single candlestick pattern that is formed after a downtrend indicating a bullish reversal. This candlestick has a long bullish body with no upper or lower shadows which shows that the bulls are exerting buying pressure and the markets may turn bullish. At the formation of this candle, the sellers should be caution and close their shorting position. Don't Forget To Like And Follow To Next Part
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Fx_Vanguard
How To Analyze Any Chart From Scratch - Episode 4Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. Today we are going to go over a practical example on US100, but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument. Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode. You can find the previous two episodes below "Related Ideas" Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
UEducation
by TheSignalyst
13
‼️ Economic calendar week 02.05-06.05 As usual, at the beginning of the month we have a busy week from a fundamental point of view, with presentations of reference rates, NFP, etc. As well, on Monday we have bank holiday on GBP and Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday on JPY, so we can see less volatility on pairs with these currencies. Seems we could see an increase rates on AUD, USD and GBP, but I think we saw bullish price action on these currencies during last weeks and I expect now a retracement. My recommendation is to avoid trading during these news events. Take care!
Education
by Snick3rSD
Why We Must Use Stop Loss ?! And What The Stop Loss Mean What Is a Stop-Loss Order? A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a specific stock once the stock reaches a certain price. A stop-loss is designed to limit an investor's loss on a security position. For example, setting a stop-loss order for 10% below the price at which you bought the stock will limit your loss to 10%. Suppose you just purchased Microsoft (MSFT) at $20 per share. Right after buying the stock, you enter a stop-loss order for $18. If the stock falls below $18, your shares will then be sold at the prevailing market price. Stop-limit orders are similar to stop-loss orders. However, as their name states, there is a limit on the price at which they will execute. There are then two prices specified in a stop-limit order: the stop price, which will convert the order to a sell order, and the limit price. Instead of the order becoming a market order to sell, the sell order becomes a limit order that will only execute at the limit price (or better). Stop-Loss Orders Are Also a Way to Lock In Profits Stop-loss orders are traditionally thought of as a way to prevent losses. However, another use of this tool is to lock in profits. In this case, sometimes stop-loss orders are referred to as a "trailing stop." Here, the stop-loss order is set at a percentage level below the current market price (not the price at which you bought it). The price of the stop-loss adjusts as the stock price fluctuates. It's important to keep in mind that if a stock goes up, you have an unrealized gain; you don't have the cash in hand until you sell. Using a trailing stop allows you to let profits run, while, at the same time, guaranteeing at least some realized capital gain. Continuing with our Microsoft example from above, suppose you set a trailing stop order for 10% below the current price, and the stock skyrockets to $30 within a month. Your trailing-stop order would then lock in at $27 per share ($30 - (10% x $30) = $27). Because this is the worst price you would receive, even if the stock takes an unexpected dip, you won't be in the red. Of course, keep in mind the stop-loss order is still a market order—it simply stays dormant and is activated only when the trigger price is reached. So, the price your sale actually trades at may be slightly different than the specified trigger price.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Pharaon_Academy
📚Learn More💰Earn More - Head and Shoulders in DOTUSD📚 LEARN MORE 💰 EARN MORE With ForecastCity Head and Shoulders Definition: A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation. It is formed by a peak (left shoulder), followed by a higher peak (head), and then another lower peak (right shoulder). A “Neckline” is drawn by connecting the lowest points of the two troughs. Neckline support does not need to be strictly horizontal. This illustrates that the upward trend is coming to an end. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in an uptrend, it signifies a major reversal. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline support In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern. How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern: ENTRY: we put an entry order below the neckline. TARGET: We can also calculate a target by measuring the highest point of the head to the neckline. This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline. ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Education
by ForecastCity_World
9
📚Learn More💰Earn More - Head and Shoulders in DOTUSD📚 LEARN MORE 💰 EARN MORE With ForecastCity Head and Shoulders Definition: A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation. It is formed by a peak (left shoulder), followed by a higher peak (head), and then another lower peak (right shoulder). A “Neckline” is drawn by connecting the lowest points of the two troughs. Neckline support does not need to be strictly horizontal. This illustrates that the upward trend is coming to an end. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in an uptrend, it signifies a major reversal. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline support In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern. How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern: ENTRY: we put an entry order below the neckline. TARGET: We can also calculate a target by measuring the highest point of the head to the neckline. This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline. ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Education
by ForecastCity
4
DXY - Elliott Wave Breakdown ✅Following on from our last post on DXY, we have moved up a considerable amount. In our last post we identified the higher timeframe impulsive move and waited for a catalyst, NFP, to move the market in our direction. See our previous post below: In Elliott Wave Theory, the impulsive wave can be broken down into the following 5 waves: Wave 1 - is made up of 5 subwaves (impulse) Wave 2 - Is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (ABC correction) Wave 3 - is another impulse wave made up of 5 subwaves (impulse) Wave 4 - is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (ABC correction) Wave 5 - Can be either an impulse or a correction - But its made up of 5 waves. In this scenario, the 5th wave is appearing to be an impulsive move. We have a channel which we will be using as a guide to help us identify when the 5th wave will finish. The way to use DXY is by doing the following: Bullish DXY = USD Strength. Bearish DXY = USD weakness 1. Analyse DXY for reversal zones and identify what the next move is 2. In our last post, we identified a reversal zone and we were waiting for NFP to be the catalyst to get the market moving (FEB 4th) 3. When DXY approaches the reversal zone, we go on to USD pairs and analyse them 4. Find a pair where you think USD will bounce/reject (depending on whether you're trading USD/XXX or XXX/USD) e.g. in the VIP, we correlated DXY with EURUSD. We identified that we were bullish DXY = Bearish EURUSD. We had a trade setup ready and we were waiting for confirmation. See below for the the VIP setup we had. Went into 10pip drawdown and hit TP of over 500pips = 1:50 RR. Hope this post helped a little! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
TVC:DXYEducation
by WicktatorFX
5
Timing the Market Using Tether DominanceI always emphasize that time in the market beats timing the market, but I want to share an interesting approach that you can consider taking when timing the cryptocurrency market, especially when it comes to Bitcoin's overall direction. This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only. Tether Dominance - Just as Bitcoin dominance refers to Bitcoin's market cap relative to that of the entire market cap, Tether dominance is no different. - It refers to how much capital is parked in stablecoins, specifically Tether, at any point in time. - Since Tether (USDT) is a stablecoin that tracksthe USD, an increase in Tether dominance suggests a pullback or correction in cryptocurrencies. - A simple way to understand it is to think of USD flowing in and out of the market. - On the other hand, if Tether dominance drops, it means that more capital is being deployed to purchase cryptocurrencies, which is bullish overall for the market. - If you look at the graph above, you'll clearly see the inverse correlation between Bitcoin (orange) and Tether dominance (black). - Key support and resistance zones for Tether dominance are marked as well. - As we're currently trading slightly above local support, marked in green, if we see Tether Dominance fall below those levels, we could expect Bitcoin to continue rallying upwards. Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis - We've tested Bitcoin's yearly open price at $47.2k, and failed to break above the 200 simple moving average (purple). - Bitcoin has retraced to $45-46k levels, which is a completely anticipated move considering that pullbacks can take place upon breakouts. - As the overall structure remains bullish, and we see the moving averages cross again, aligning in order for a bull rally, I expect us to retest $50k ranges again. - Whether we get rejected at those levels, or break through it is unclear, but we'll take it by levels as we always do. Conclusion With Tether dominance currently barely holding local support, I think there's a high probability that we see those support levels break down, and see Bitcoin rally upwards once again. This is definitely an indicator that you want to continuously refer to as you trade. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DEducation
by Michael_Wang_Official
38
GOLD'S NEXT MOVE?Little educational post for you guys! If my analysis is correct & the current uptrend is Wave 5, an effective way to estimate how far this last bullish cycle will go is to go back & look at Wave 1, when Gold first started its uptrend in 2006. Wave 1 & Wave 5 tend to be very similar in how many PIPS they move, with a few hundreds PIPS difference which is very accurate for higher TF analysis. I have done this on my chart & it shows me where Wave 5 will possibly end before correcting itself over the next few years! Do this for yourself & you'll find the results you're looking for. I have covered out the price it could go to as it'll only be exclusive on the Market Breakdown Report for Investors. Markets are looking juicy for the foreseeable future🦾
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by BA_Investments
Stochastic Retracement Lines Welcome Back Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. ********************************************************** Hello.... after I tested this new indicator a lot .. and i found it very useful to find the best key lines on the chart I decided to share it here.... the indicator is depending on stochastic momentum to collect the strongest lines on the chart and draw the lines depending on it .... and I found this stochastic retracement on this level: 0.9 0.5 0.2 0 -0.2 -0.5 -0.9 and this levels can lead us to get that confirmation to open our new positions.... =========================================================================== and it works with all time frame ....
Education
by MOHAMAD-KL
6
Most of the time, you will observe a correction.Today we will go through a simple trading lesson, but an effective one. The example I will be using today in terms of timeframes is mainly focused on Swing Traders; however, these principles remain valid for any timeframe because of the fractal characteristic of the market. Also, this will be a bullish example, but the same principles apply to bearish examples. Here, you will have a 4 step process to understand how to improve your executions on any asset. 1)Major Daily Trendline: This is the main structure I have as context. The structure or trend must be evident, such as 300 days bearish trend, where we can draw a descending trendline. It's crucial when looking at these structures to see if they are close to a "major" support zone or if they have already made contact with them. That would be optimal! (Here I would use the weekly timeframe) 2)Breakout: Assuming that the previous conditions on item 1 were fulfilled, now we are in a situation where we can expect a change in direction, and we are interested in developing a setup on the new "expected impulse." Most people fail in developing a good setup because they trade the first breakout of the structure, thinking that the price will skyrocket. As a general rule, consider this: "Never trust the first breakout" This takes us to the next item. 3)Correction: After the breakout of a major structure like the daily trend of the last 300 days or more, we want to see a correction! Here corrections will tend to show some proportion to the previous structure the price is coming from. I draw an ABC pattern on this template, but the main idea is that you want to observe a clear retracement from the breakout where the price tests the broken trendline again or at least makes a clear consolidation of a few days. 4) Setup: Now that we observed all the previous sequences, we can easily develop setups: Pending Stop order for our Entry-level above "B" on the flag pattern. Then, stop loss below "C" or, in other words, below the correction. Finally, take profit on the next MAJOR resistance level. Why do this? Because you are adding filters before trading, and that way you need the price to fulfilled certain conditions which will have three major improvements: Increase the odds of engaging on a high-quality setup and the 2nd one avoid low-quality scenarios or fakeouts. Also, you will avoid overtrading because you need CONTEXT. Thanks for reading, feel free to ask all your questions or more information related to this in the comments ;)
Education
by ThinkingAntsOk
3