Madhan_HMT_Ultimate_StrategyThis indicator is a trend-following strategy designed to identify buy and sell signals based on price action relative to dynamic channels and smoothing mechanisms. It uses two separate sets of parameters that adjust to market conditions, with each set of parameters acting as an independent trend filter. The indicator creates arrows on the chart to signal potential trade entries, with these arrows appearing when the price crosses certain thresholds established by the indicator's internal calculation.
The strategy can be customized with various parameters, including:
Stop loss and take profit levels based on multiple options: ATR (Average True Range), fixed points, or percentage-based values.
Trading mode options that allow the user to choose whether the strategy trades both long and short positions, or restricts trades to only one direction (long or short).
The indicator visually represents the entry levels, stop loss, and take profit levels, with backgrounds filling to highlight potential risk and reward areas. By adjusting the parameters, traders can tailor the indicator to suit different market conditions and their risk tolerance.
Momentumstrategy
Salman Indicator: Multi-Purpose Price ActionSalman Indicator: Multi-Purpose Price Action Tool for Pin Bars, Breakouts, and VWAP Anchoring
This indicator provides a comprehensive suite of price action insights, designed for active traders looking to identify key market structures and potential reversals. The script incorporates a Quarterly VWAP for trend bias, marks pin bars for possible reversal points, highlights outside bars for volatility signals, and indicates simple breakouts and pivot-level breaks. Customizable settings allow for flexibility in various trading styles, with default settings optimized for daily charts.
Outside Bars : Represented by an ⤬ symbol on the chart, these indicate bars where the current high is greater than the previous bar’s high, and the low is lower than the previous bar’s low, signaling high volatility and potential market reversals.
Pin Bars : Denoted by a small dot at the top or bottom of a candle’s wick, these are crucial signals of potential reversal areas. Pin bars are identified based on the percentage length of their shadows, with adjustable strictness in settings.
Quarterly VWAP : The light blue line on the chart represents the VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price), which is anchored to the Quarterly period by default. The VWAP acts as a directional bias filter, helping you to determine underlying market trends. This period, source, and offset are fully adjustable in the script’s settings.
Simple Breaks : Hollow candles on the chart indicate "simple breaks," defined when the current bar closes above the previous high or below the previous low. This is an effective way to highlight directional momentum in the market.
Bonus Pivot Breaks : The tilde symbol ~ appears when the price closes above or below prior pivot high/low levels, helping traders spot significant breakout or breakdown points relative to recent pivots.
Alerts
Simple Breaks : Alerts you when a breakout occurs beyond the previous bar’s high or low. Pin Bars : Notifies you of potential reversal points as indicated by bullish or bearish pin bars. Outside Bars : Triggers an alert whenever an outside bar is detected, indicating possible volatility changes.
How to Use
VWAP for Trend Bias : Use the Quarterly VWAP line to gauge overall market trend, with settings that allow adjustment to daily, weekly, monthly, or even larger time frames.
Pin Bars for Reversal Potential : Look for the dot markers on candle wicks, where the strictness of the pin bar detection can be adjusted via settings to match your trading preference.
Simple and Pivot Breaks for Momentum : Watch for hollow candles and the tilde symbol ~ as indicators of potential breakout momentum and pivot break levels, respectively.
This script can serve traders on multiple timeframes, from daily to weekly and beyond. The flexible configuration allows for adjustments in VWAP anchoring and pin bar criteria, providing a tailored fit for individual trading strategies.
SuperATR 7-Step Profit - Strategy [presentTrading] Long time no see!
█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy is a multi-layered trading approach that integrates adaptive Average True Range (ATR) calculations with momentum-based trend detection. What sets this strategy apart is its sophisticated 7-step take-profit mechanism, which combines four ATR-based exit levels and three fixed percentage levels. This hybrid approach allows traders to dynamically adjust to market volatility while systematically capturing profits in both long and short market positions.
Traditional trading strategies often rely on static indicators or single-layered exit strategies, which may not adapt well to changing market conditions. The SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy addresses this limitation by:
- Using Adaptive ATR: Enhances the standard ATR by making it responsive to current market momentum.
- Incorporating Momentum-Based Trend Detection: Identifies stronger trends with higher probability of continuation.
- Employing a Multi-Step Take-Profit System: Allows for gradual profit-taking at predetermined levels, optimizing returns while minimizing risk.
BTCUSD 6hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy revolves around detecting strong market trends and capitalizing on them using an adaptive ATR and momentum indicators. Below is a detailed breakdown of each component of the strategy.
🔶 1. True Range Calculation with Enhanced Volatility Detection
The True Range (TR) measures market volatility by considering the most significant price movements. The enhanced TR is calculated as:
TR = Max
Where:
High and Low are the current bar's high and low prices.
Previous Close is the closing price of the previous bar.
Abs denotes the absolute value.
Max selects the maximum value among the three calculations.
🔶 2. Momentum Factor Calculation
To make the ATR adaptive, the strategy incorporates a Momentum Factor (MF), which adjusts the ATR based on recent price movements.
Momentum = Close - Close
Stdev_Close = Standard Deviation of Close over n periods
Normalized_Momentum = Momentum / Stdev_Close (if Stdev_Close ≠ 0)
Momentum_Factor = Abs(Normalized_Momentum)
Where:
Close is the current closing price.
n is the momentum_period, a user-defined input (default is 7).
Standard Deviation measures the dispersion of closing prices over n periods.
Abs ensures the momentum factor is always positive.
🔶 3. Adaptive ATR Calculation
The Adaptive ATR (AATR) adjusts the traditional ATR based on the Momentum Factor, making it more responsive during volatile periods and smoother during consolidation.
Short_ATR = SMA(True Range, short_period)
Long_ATR = SMA(True Range, long_period)
Adaptive_ATR = /
Where:
SMA is the Simple Moving Average.
short_period and long_period are user-defined inputs (defaults are 3 and 7, respectively).
🔶 4. Trend Strength Calculation
The strategy quantifies the strength of the trend to filter out weak signals.
Price_Change = Close - Close
ATR_Multiple = Price_Change / Adaptive_ATR (if Adaptive_ATR ≠ 0)
Trend_Strength = SMA(ATR_Multiple, n)
🔶 5. Trend Signal Determination
If (Short_MA > Long_MA) AND (Trend_Strength > Trend_Strength_Threshold):
Trend_Signal = 1 (Strong Uptrend)
Elif (Short_MA < Long_MA) AND (Trend_Strength < -Trend_Strength_Threshold):
Trend_Signal = -1 (Strong Downtrend)
Else:
Trend_Signal = 0 (No Clear Trend)
🔶 6. Trend Confirmation with Price Action
Adaptive_ATR_SMA = SMA(Adaptive_ATR, atr_sma_period)
If (Trend_Signal == 1) AND (Close > Short_MA) AND (Adaptive_ATR > Adaptive_ATR_SMA):
Trend_Confirmed = True
Elif (Trend_Signal == -1) AND (Close < Short_MA) AND (Adaptive_ATR > Adaptive_ATR_SMA):
Trend_Confirmed = True
Else:
Trend_Confirmed = False
Local Performance
🔶 7. Multi-Step Take-Profit Mechanism
The strategy employs a 7-step take-profit system
█ Trade Direction
The SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy is designed to work in both long and short market conditions. By identifying strong uptrends and downtrends, it allows traders to capitalize on price movements in either direction.
Long Trades: Initiated when the market shows strong upward momentum and the trend is confirmed.
Short Trades: Initiated when the market exhibits strong downward momentum and the trend is confirmed.
█ Usage
To implement the SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy:
1. Configure the Strategy Parameters:
- Adjust the short_period, long_period, and momentum_period to match the desired sensitivity.
- Set the trend_strength_threshold to control how strong a trend must be before acting.
2. Set Up the Multi-Step Take-Profit Levels:
- Define ATR multipliers and fixed percentage levels according to risk tolerance and profit goals.
- Specify the percentage of the position to close at each level.
3. Apply the Strategy to a Chart:
- Use the strategy on instruments and timeframes where it has been tested and optimized.
- Monitor the positions and adjust parameters as needed based on performance.
4. Backtest and Optimize:
- Utilize TradingView's backtesting features to evaluate historical performance.
- Adjust the default settings to optimize for different market conditions.
█ Default Settings
Understanding default settings is crucial for optimal performance.
Short Period (3): Affects the responsiveness of the short-term MA.
Effect: Lower values increase sensitivity but may produce more false signals.
Long Period (7): Determines the trend baseline.
Effect: Higher values reduce noise but may delay signals.
Momentum Period (7): Influences adaptive ATR and trend strength.
Effect: Shorter periods react quicker to price changes.
Trend Strength Threshold (0.5): Filters out weaker trends.
Effect: Higher thresholds yield fewer but stronger signals.
ATR Multipliers: Set distances for ATR-based exits.
Effect: Larger multipliers aim for bigger moves but may reduce hit rate.
Fixed TP Levels (%): Control profit-taking on smaller moves.
Effect: Adjusting these levels affects how quickly profits are realized.
Exit Percentages: Determine how much of the position is closed at each TP level.
Effect: Higher percentages reduce exposure faster, affecting risk and reward.
Adjusting these variables allows you to tailor the strategy to different market conditions and personal risk preferences.
By integrating adaptive indicators and a multi-tiered exit strategy, the SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy offers a versatile tool for traders seeking to navigate varying market conditions effectively. Understanding and adjusting the key parameters enables traders to harness the full potential of this strategy.
70% rule strength/trend/reversalThis indicator tells you which candle closed strong for the day by identifying if the price closed above 70% of the candle's total height. this can help you identify reversals/new trends/ renewed strength in the current trend.
The indicator colors such candle green and if the candle closes with increase in price by 5% or higher then marks an asterisk under the candle.
HOPE THIS HELPS
Supertrend with EMASupertrend + EMA Indicator
This custom indicator combines the popular Supertrend and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicators to enhance trend analysis and signal accuracy. The Supertrend tracks price volatility to identify potential trend directions, while the EMA provides a smooth moving average to help refine entries and exits based on trend momentum.
Features:
Supertrend: Detects trend reversals by using price action and volatility, making it effective in trending markets.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Smoothens price fluctuations, helping you gauge the trend’s strength and filter out false signals.
Versatile for multiple timeframes and asset classes.
Ideal for traders looking to catch sustained trends and avoid false breakouts, this indicator offers an improved way to follow market momentum and confirm trend strength. Customize the Supertrend ATR multiplier and EMA length to suit your trading style and timeframe.
Range Tightening Indicator (RTI)The Range Tightening Indicator (RTI) quantifies price volatility relative to recent price action, helping traders identify low-volatility consolidations that often precede breakouts.
Range Tightening is calculated by measuring the range between each bar’s high and low prices over a chosen lookback period.
A 5-bar period is recommended for shorter-term momentum setups and a 15-bar period is recommended for swing trading. An option for a custom period is available to suit specific strategies. The default look back for custom is 50, ideal for longer term traders.
Other Key Features:
Dynamic Color Coding: The RTI line turns green when volatility doubles after a drop to or below 20, flagging significant volatility shifts commonly seen before breakouts.
Low-Volatility Dots: Orange dots appear on the RTI line when two or more consecutive bars show RTI values below 20, visually marking extended low-volatility periods.
Volatility Zones: Shaded zones provide quick context:
Zone 1 (0-5): Extremely tight volatility, shown in red.
Zone 2 (5-10): Low volatility, shown in light green.
Zone 3 (10-15): Moderate low volatility, shown in green.
The RTI indicator is ideal for traders looking to anticipate breakout conditions, with features that highlight consolidation phases, support momentum strategies, and help improve entry timing by focusing on shifts in volatility.
This indicator was inspired after Deepvue's RMV Indicator, but uses a different calculation. Results may vary.
Gabriel's Witcher Strategy [65 Minute Trading Bot]Strategy Description: Gabriel's Witcher Strategy
Author: Gabriel
Platform: TradingView Pine Script (Version 5)
Backtested Asset: Avalanche (Coinbase Brokage for Volume adjustment)
Timeframe: 65 Minutes
Strategy Type: Comprehensive Trend-Following and Momentum Strategy with Scalping and Risk Management Features
Overview
Gabriel's Witcher Strategy is an advanced trading bot designed for the Avalanche pair on a 65-minute timeframe. This strategy integrates a multitude of technical indicators to identify and execute high-probability trading opportunities. By combining trend-following, momentum, volume analysis, and range filtering, the strategy aims to capitalize on both long and short market movements. Additionally, it incorporates scalping mechanisms and robust risk management features, including take-profit (TP) levels and commission considerations, to optimize trade performance and profitability.
====Key Components====
Source Selection:
Custom Source Flexibility: Allows traders to select from a wide range of price and volume sources (e.g., Close, Open, High, Low, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4, VWAP, On-Balance Volume, etc.) for indicator calculations, enhancing adaptability to various trading styles.
Various curves of Volume Analysis are employed:
Tick Volume Calculation: Utilizes tick volume as a fallback when actual volume data is unavailable, ensuring consistency across different data feeds.
Volume Indicators: Incorporates multiple volume-based indicators such as On-Balance Volume (OBV), Accumulation/Distribution (AccDist), Negative Volume Index (NVI), Positive Volume Index (PVI), and Price Volume Trend (PVT) for comprehensive market analysis.
Trend Indicators:
ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures trend strength using either the Classic or Masanakamura method, with customizable length and threshold settings. It's used to open positions when the mesured trend is strong, or exit when its weak.
Jurik Moving Average (JMA): A smooth moving average that reduces lag, configurable with various parameters including source, resolution, and repainting options.
Parabolic SAR: Identifies potential reversals in market trends with adjustable start, increment, and maximum settings.
Custom Trend Indicator: Utilizes highest and lowest price points over a specified timeframe to determine current and previous trend bases, visually represented with color-filled areas.
Momentum Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Evaluates the speed and change of price movements, smoothed with a custom length and source. It's used to not enter the market for shorts in oversold or longs for overbought conditions, and to enter for long in oversold or shorts for overboughts.
Momentum-Based Calculations: Employs both Double Exponential Moving Averages (DEMA) on a MACD-based RSI to enhance momentum signal accuracy which is then further accelerated by a Hull MA. This is the technical analysis tool that determines bearish or bullish momentum.
OBV-Based Momentum Conditions: Uses two exponential moving averages of OBV to determine bullish or bearish momentum shifts, anomalities, breakouts where banks flow their funds in or Smart Money Concepts trade.
Moving Averages (MA):
Multiple MA Types: Includes Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Hull Moving Average (HMA), and Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), selectable via input parameters.
MA Speed Calculation: Measures the percentage change in MA values to determine the direction and speed of the trend.
Range Filtering:
Variance-Based Filter: Utilizes variance and moving averages to filter out trades during low-volatility periods, enhancing trade quality.
Color-Coded Range Indicators: Visualizes range filtering with color changes on the chart for quick assessment.
Scalping Mechanism:
Heikin-Ashi Candles: Optionally uses Heikin-Ashi candles for smoother price action analysis.
EMA-Based Trend Detection: Employs fast, medium, and slow EMAs to determine trend direction and potential entry points.
Fractal-Based Filtering: Detects regular or BW (Black & White) fractals to confirm trade signals.
Take Profit (TP) Management:
Dynamic TP Levels: Calculates TP levels based on the number of consecutive long or short entries, adjusting targets to maximize profits.
TP Signals and Re-Entry: Plots TP signals on the chart and allows for automatic re-entry upon TP hit, maintaining continuous trade flow.
Risk Management:
Commission Integration: Accounts for trading commissions to ensure net profitability.
Position Sizing: Configured to use a percentage of equity for each trade, adjustable via input parameters.
Pyramiding: Allows up to one additional position per direction to enhance gains during strong trends.
Alerts and Visual Indicators:
Buy/Sell Signals: Plots visual indicators (triangles and flags) on the chart to signify entry and TP points.
Bar Coloring: Changes bar colors based on ADX and trend conditions for immediate visual cues.
Price Levels: Marks significant price levels related to TP and position entries with cross styles.
Input Parameters
Source Settings:
Custom Sources (srcinput): Choose from various price and volume sources to tailor indicator calculations.
ADX Settings:
ADX Type (ADX_options): Select between 'CLASSIC' and 'MASANAKAMURA' methods.
ADX Length (ADX_len): Defines the period for ADX calculation.
ADX Threshold (th): Sets the minimum ADX value to consider a strong trend.
RSI Settings:
RSI Length (len_3): Period for RSI calculation.
RSI Source (src_3): Source data for RSI.
Trend Strength Settings:
Channel Length (n1): Period for trend channel calculation.
Average Length (n2): Period for smoothing trend strength.
Jurik Moving Average (JMA) Settings:
JMA Source (inp): Source data for JMA.
JMA Resolution (reso): Timeframe for JMA calculation.
JMA Repainting (rep): Option to allow JMA to repaint.
JMA Length (lengths): Period for JMA.
Parabolic SAR Settings:
SAR Start (start): Initial acceleration factor.
SAR Increment (increment): Acceleration factor increment.
SAR Maximum (maximum): Maximum acceleration factor.
SAR Point Width (width): Visual width of SAR points.
Trend Indicator Settings:
Trend Timeframe (timeframe): Period for trend indicator calculations.
Momentum Settings:
Source Type (srcType): Select between 'Price' and 'VWAP'.
Momentum Source (srcPrice): Source data for momentum calculations.
RSI Length (rsiLen): Period for momentum RSI.
Smooth Length (sLen): Smoothing period for momentum RSI.
OBV Settings:
OBV Line 1 (e1): EMA period for OBV line 1.
OBV Line 2 (e2): EMA period for OBV line 2.
Moving Average (MA) Settings:
MA Length (length): Period for MA calculations.
MA Type (matype): Select MA type (1: SMA, 2: EMA, 3: HMA, 4: WMA, 5: VWMA).
Range Filter Settings:
Range Filter Length (length0): Period for range filtering.
Range Filter Multiplier (mult): Multiplier for range variance.
Take Profit (TP) Settings:
TP Long (tp_long0): Percentage for long TP.
TP Short (tp_short0): Percentage for short TP.
Scalping Settings:
Scalping Activation (ACT_SCLP): Enable or disable scalping.
Scalping Length (HiLoLen): Period for scalping indicators.
Fast EMA Length (fastEMAlength): Period for fast EMA in scalping.
Medium EMA Length (mediumEMAlength): Period for medium EMA in scalping.
Slow EMA Length (slowEMAlength): Period for slow EMA in scalping.
Filter (filterBW): Enable or disable additional fractal filtering.
Pullback Lookback (Lookback): Number of bars for pullback consideration.
Use Heikin-Ashi Candles (UseHAcandles): Option to use Heikin-Ashi candles for smoother trend analysis.
Strategy Logic
Indicator Calculations:
Volume and Source Selection: Determines the primary data source based on user input, ensuring flexibility and adaptability.
ADX Calculation: Computes ADX using either the Classic or Masanakamura method to assess trend strength.
RSI Calculation: Evaluates market momentum using RSI, further smoothed with custom periods.
Trend Strength Assessment: Utilizes trend channel and average lengths to gauge the robustness of current trends.
Jurik Moving Average (JMA): Smooths price data to reduce lag and enhance trend detection.
Parabolic SAR: Identifies potential trend reversals with adjustable parameters for sensitivity.
Momentum Analysis: Combines RSI with DEMA and OBV-based conditions to confirm bullish or bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Employs multiple MA types to determine trend direction and speed.
Range Filtering: Filters out low-volatility periods to focus on high-probability trades.
Trade Conditions:
Long Entry Conditions:
ADX Confirmation: ADX must be above the threshold, indicating a strong uptrend.
RSI and Momentum: RSI below 70 and positive momentum signals.
JMA and SAR: JMA indicates an uptrend, and Parabolic SAR is below the price.
Trend Indicator: Confirms the current trend direction.
Range Filter: Ensures market is in an upward range.
Scalping Option: If enabled, additional scalping conditions must be met.
Short Entry Conditions:
ADX Confirmation: ADX must be above the threshold, indicating a strong downtrend.
RSI and Momentum: RSI above 30 and negative momentum signals.
JMA and SAR: JMA indicates a downtrend, and Parabolic SAR is above the price.
Trend Indicator: Confirms the current trend direction.
Range Filter: Ensures market is in a downward range.
Scalping Option: If enabled, additional scalping conditions must be met.
Position Management:
Entry Execution: Places long or short orders based on the identified conditions and user-selected position types (Longs, Shorts, or Both).
Take Profit (TP): Automatically sets TP levels based on predefined percentages, adjusting dynamically with consecutive trades.
Re-Entry Mechanism: Allows for automatic re-entry upon TP hit, maintaining active trading positions.
Exit Conditions: Closes positions when TP levels are reached or when opposing trend signals are detected.
Visual Indicators:
Bar Coloring: Highlights bars in green for bullish conditions, red for bearish, and orange for neutral.
Plotting Price Levels: Marks significant price levels related to TP and trade entries with cross symbols.
Signal Shapes: Displays triangle and flag shapes on the chart to indicate trade entries and TP hits.
Alerts:
Custom Alerts: Configured to notify traders of long entries, short entries, and TP hits, enabling timely trade management and execution.
Usage Instructions
Setup:
Apply the Strategy: Add the script to your TradingView chart set to BTCUSDT with a 65-minute timeframe.
Configure Inputs: Adjust the input parameters under their respective groups (e.g., Source Settings, ADX, RSI, Trend Strength, etc.) to match your trading preferences and risk tolerance.
Position Selection:
Choose Position Type: Use the Position input to select Longs, Shorts, or Both based on your market outlook.
Execution: The strategy will automatically execute and manage positions according to the selected type, ensuring targeted trading actions.
Signal Interpretation:
Buy Signals: Blue triangles below the bars indicate potential long entry points.
Sell Signals: Red triangles above the bars indicate potential short entry points.
Take Profit Signals: Flags above or below the bars signify TP hits for long and short positions, respectively.
Bar Colors: Green bars suggest bullish conditions, red bars indicate bearish conditions, and orange bars represent neutral or consolidating markets.
Risk Management:
Default Position Size: Set to 100% of equity. Adjust the default_qty_value as needed for your risk management strategy.
Commission: Accounts for a 0.1% commission per trade. Adjust the commission_value to match your broker's fees.
Pyramiding: Allows up to one additional position per direction to enhance gains during strong trends.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Historical Testing: Utilize TradingView's backtesting features to evaluate the strategy's performance over historical data.
Parameter Tuning: Optimize input parameters to align the strategy with current market dynamics and personal trading objectives.
Alerts Configuration:
Set Up Alerts: Enable and configure alerts based on the predefined alertcondition statements to receive real-time notifications of trade signals and TP hits.
Additional Features
Comprehensive Indicator Integration: Combines multiple technical indicators to provide a holistic view of market conditions, enhancing trade signal accuracy.
Scalping Options: Offers an optional scalping mechanism to capitalize on short-term price movements, increasing trading flexibility.
Dynamic Take Profit Levels: Adjusts TP targets based on the number of consecutive trades, maximizing profit potential during favorable trends.
Advanced Volume Analysis: Utilizes various volume indicators to confirm trend strength and validate trade signals.
Customizable Range Filtering: Filters trades based on market volatility, ensuring trades are taken during optimal conditions.
Heikin-Ashi Candle Support: Optionally uses Heikin-Ashi candles for smoother price action analysis and reduced noise.
====Recommendations====
Thorough Backtesting:
Historical Performance: Before deploying the strategy in a live trading environment, perform comprehensive backtesting to understand its performance under various market conditions. These are the premium settings for Avalanche Coinbase.
Optimization: Regularly review and adjust input parameters to ensure the strategy remains effective amidst changing market volatility and trends. Backtest the strategy for each crypto and make sure you are in the right brokage when using the volume sources as it will affect the overall outcome of the trading strategy.
Risk Management:
Position Sizing: Adjust the default_qty_value to align with your risk tolerance and account size.
Stop-Loss Implementation: Although the strategy includes TP levels, they're also consided to be a stop-loss mechanisms to protect against adverse market movements.
Commission Adjustment: Ensure the commission_value accurately reflects your broker's fees to maintain realistic backtesting results. Generally, 0.1~0.3% are most of the average broker's comission fees.
Slipage: The slip comssion is 1 Tick, since the strategy is adjusted to only enter/exit on bar close where most positions are available.
Continuous Monitoring:
Strategy Performance: Regularly monitor the strategy's performance to ensure it operates as expected and make adjustments as needed. A max-drawndown hit has been added to operate in case the premium Avalanche settings go wrong, but you can turn it off an adjust the equity percentage to 50% if you are confortable with the high volatile max-drown or even 100% if your account allows you to borrow cash.
Customization:
Indicator Parameters: Tailor indicator settings (e.g., ADX length, RSI period, MA types) to better fit your specific trading style and market conditions.
Scalping Options: Enable or disable scalping based on your trading preferences and risk appetite.
Conclusion
Gabriel's Witcher Strategy is a robust and versatile trading solution designed to navigate the complexities of the Crypto market. By integrating a wide array of technical indicators and providing extensive customization options, this strategy empowers traders to execute informed and strategic trades. Its comprehensive approach, combining trend analysis, momentum detection, volume evaluation, and range filtering, ensures that trades are taken during optimal market conditions. Additionally, the inclusion of scalping features and dynamic take-profit management enhances the strategy's adaptability and profitability potential. Unlike any trading strategy, with both diligent testing and continuous monitoring under the strategy tester, it's possible to achieve sustained success by adjusting the settings to the individual Crypto that need it, for example this one is preset for Avalanche Coinbase 65 Miinutes but it can be adjust for BTCUSD or Etherium if you backtest and search for the right settings.
GAP Momentum Oscillator
This function calculates GAP Momentum, a measure of momentum based on the gaps between opening and closing prices over several periods.
Gaps are calculated for defined periods (here, by default, 14 periods). It determines :
UpGaps: the sum of positive gaps, i.e. openings that are higher than the previous period's close.
DnGaps: the sum of negative gaps, i.e. openings below the previous period's close.
It then calculates the GAP Momentum as the ratio between the sum of the up gaps and the sum of the down gaps, multiplied by 100. If the total of the down gaps is zero, the ratio takes a default value of 1 to avoid division by zero.
Momentum Squeeze Scalper [M2S} [ITZS]Overview
The Momentum Squeeze Scalper is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential breakout opportunities in the market. It combines elements of momentum analysis with a "squeeze" concept based on Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels.
Key Components
1. Squeeze Detection
The indicator uses two types of squeezes:
a) Loose TTM Fire (Loose Squeeze): Represented by orange dots. This occurs when one side of the Bollinger Bands is inside the Keltner Channel.
b) Strict TTM Fire (Strict/Tight Squeeze): Represented by green dots. This happens when both sides of the Bollinger Bands are inside the Keltner Channel.
These squeezes can indicate potential breakouts in either direction (long or short).
Long Squeeze: Occurs when prices are compressed at a low level, potentially leading to an upward breakout.
Short Squeeze: Happens when prices are compressed at a high level, possibly leading to a downward breakout.
2. Momentum Line
The Momentum Line is a key feature of this indicator. Its color changes based on specific conditions:
Color 0 (White): Default color, indicating neutral momentum.
Color 1 (Green): Indicates positive momentum. This color appears when:
1. The histogram is positive and increasing, or
2. The momentum is increasing during a squeeze (loose or strict), or
3. There's a strict squeeze in place.
Color 2 (Red): Indicates negative momentum. This color appears when:
1. The histogram is negative and decreasing, or
2. The momentum is decreasing during a squeeze (loose or strict), or
3. There's a strict squeeze in place.
The changing colors of the Momentum Line help traders quickly identify shifts in market momentum and potential trading opportunities.
3. Signal Line
The orange line is the signal line, which is a smoothed version of the momentum line. It can help confirm trend changes when it crosses the momentum line.
Inputs and Their Effects
1. Momentum Period (default: 17):
Purpose: Determines the lookback period for momentum calculation.
Effect: A longer period makes the indicator less sensitive to short-term price changes, resulting in smoother momentum lines but potentially slower signals. A shorter period will make the indicator more responsive to recent price action but may increase noise.
2. Signal Period (default: 8):
Purpose: Sets the smoothing period for the signal line.
Effect: A shorter period makes it more responsive to recent price action, potentially providing earlier signals but with a higher chance of false alerts. A longer period creates a smoother signal line, reducing false signals but potentially delaying entry/exit points.
3. Smooth Momentum (default: false):
Purpose: Determines whether to use EMA smoothing on the source price before momentum calculation.
Effect: When true, it can reduce noise in the momentum calculation, potentially providing clearer signals in choppy markets. When false, it responds more quickly to price changes.
Smoothing Period (default: 1):
Purpose: Sets the period for EMA smoothing when Smooth Momentum is true.
Effect: A higher value creates a smoother momentum line, potentially reducing false signals but also increasing lag.
BB Length (default: 7):
Purpose: Defines the period for Bollinger Bands calculation.
Effect: A shorter length makes the bands more sensitive to price changes, potentially identifying squeezes more quickly but also increasing the chance of false signals. A longer length creates more stable bands but may delay squeeze identification.
StDev (default: 1.0):
Purpose: Standard deviation multiplier for Bollinger Bands.
Effect: Higher values create wider bands, making squeezes less frequent but potentially more significant. Lower values create tighter bands, increasing the frequency of squeezes but potentially reducing their reliability.
Keltner Length (default: 1):
Purpose: Sets the period for Keltner Channel calculation.
Effect: A longer length creates a wider, more stable channel, reducing the frequency of squeezes but potentially making them more reliable. A shorter length creates a tighter channel, increasing squeeze frequency but potentially reducing significance.
Multiplier (default: 0.5):
Purpose: Multiplier for Keltner Channel width.
Effect: Higher values create a wider channel, making squeezes less frequent but potentially more significant. Lower values create a tighter channel, increasing squeeze frequency but potentially reducing their reliability.
KC Smoothing Period (default: 10):
Purpose: Determines the smoothing period for the momentum histogram.
Effect: A longer period creates a smoother histogram, potentially reducing false signals but increasing lag. A shorter period makes the histogram more responsive but potentially noisier.
Smoothing Type (default: None):
Purpose: Allows selection of different smoothing algorithms for the momentum histogram.
Effect: Different smoothing types (e.g., ALMA, DEMA, EMA) can affect how quickly the histogram responds to price changes and how smooth the resulting line is. This can impact the timing and frequency of momentum color changes.
How to Use the Indicator
Look for squeeze dots (orange or green) to identify periods of low volatility.
Pay attention to the color of the Momentum Line:
1. Green suggests potential bullish momentum
2. Red suggests potential bearish momentum
Use the histogram for additional confirmation of momentum strength and direction.
Consider entering trades when the squeeze dots disappear and the Momentum Line shows a strong color signal (green for long, red for short).
How to Adjust the Indicator
1. For More Frequent Signals: Decrease the Momentum Period, Signal Period, BB Length, and Keltner Length. Increase the StDev and decrease the Multiplier. This will make the indicator more sensitive but may increase false signals.
2. For Fewer, More Reliable Signals: Increase the Momentum Period, Signal Period, BB Length, and
Keltner Length. Decrease the StDev and increase the Multiplier. This will reduce sensitivity but may miss some opportunities.
3. To Detect Stronger Squeezes: Increase the StDev for Bollinger Bands and decrease the Multiplier for Keltner Channels. This will make it harder for squeezes to occur, potentially identifying stronger setups.
4. To Reduce Noise: Enable Smooth Momentum and increase the Smoothing Period. Choose a smoothing type like EMA or DEMA for the histogram. This can help in choppy or ranging markets.
5. For Faster Response: Decrease the Momentum Period and Signal Period, and choose a responsive smoothing type like EMA for the histogram. This can be useful in fast-moving markets but may increase false signals.
Interpretation and Trading
1. Squeeze Formation: When you see orange (loose) or green (strict) dots, it indicates a potential buildup of energy in the market. This compression often precedes a significant move.
2. Momentum Direction: Watch the Momentum Line color changes:
Transition to Green: Suggests increasing bullish momentum, especially during a squeeze.
Transition to Red: Suggests increasing bearish momentum, especially during a squeeze.
White: Indicates neutral momentum or no clear direction.
3. Confirmation: Look for the Momentum Line (colored) to cross above the Signal Line (orange) for bullish confirmation, or below for bearish confirmation.
4. Exit Signals: When the squeeze dots disappear and the Momentum Line color changes, it often indicates that the compressed energy has been released, and the strong move may be ending.
5. Trend Strength: The distance between the Momentum Line and the Signal Line can indicate trend strength. A wider gap suggests a stronger trend.
Remember, no indicator is perfect. Always use this tool in conjunction with other forms of analysis and proper risk management. It's recommended to backtest and practice with this indicator on historical data before using it in live trading. Adjust the inputs based on your trading style, timeframe, and the specific characteristics of the asset you're trading.
Trend Signals with TP & SL [UAlgo] StrategyThe "Trend Signals with TP & SL Strategy" is a trading strategy designed to capture trend continuation signals while incorporating sophisticated risk management techniques. This strategy is tailored for traders who wish to capitalize on trending market conditions with precise entry and exit points, automatically calculating Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels based on either Average True Range (ATR) or percentage values. The strategy aims to enhance trade management by preventing multiple simultaneous positions and dynamically adapting to changing market conditions.
This strategy is highly configurable, allowing traders to adjust sensitivity, the ATR calculation method, and the cloud moving average length. Additionally, the strategy can display buy and sell signals directly on the chart, along with visual representation of entry points, stop losses, and take profits. It also features a cloud-based trend analysis using a MACD-driven color fill that indicates the strength and direction of the trend.
🔶 Key Features
Configurable Trend Continuation Signals:
Source Selection: The strategy uses the midpoint of the high-low range as the default source, but it is adjustable.
Sensitivity: The sensitivity of the trend signals can be adjusted using a multiplier, ranging from 0.5 to 5.
ATR Calculation: The strategy allows users to choose between two ATR calculation methods for better adaptability to different market conditions.
Cloud Moving Average: Traders can adjust the cloud moving average length, which is used in conjunction with MACD to provide a visual trend indication.
Take Profit & Stop Loss Management:
ATR-Based or Percent-Based: The strategy offers flexibility in setting TP and SL levels, allowing traders to choose between ATR-based multipliers or fixed percentage values.
Dynamic Adjustment: TP and SL levels are dynamically adjusted according to the selected method, ensuring trades are managed based on real-time market conditions.
Prevention of Multiple Positions:
Single Position Control: To reduce risk and enhance strategy reliability, the strategy includes an option to prevent multiple positions from being opened simultaneously.
Visual Trade Indicators:
Buy/Sell Signals: Clearly displays buy and sell signals on the chart for easy interpretation.
Entry, SL, and TP Lines: Draws lines for entry price, stop loss, and take profit directly on the chart, helping traders to monitor trades visually.
Trend Cloud: A color-filled cloud based on MACD and the cloud moving average provides a visual cue of the trend’s direction and strength.
Performance Summary Table:
In-Chart Statistics: A table in the top right of the chart displays key performance metrics, including total trades, wins, losses, and win rate percentage, offering a quick overview of the strategy’s effectiveness.
🔶 Interpreting the Indicator
Trend Signals: The strategy identifies trend continuation signals based on price action relative to an ATR-based threshold. A buy signal is generated when the price crosses above a key level, indicating an uptrend. Conversely, a sell signal occurs when the price crosses below a level, signaling a downtrend.
Cloud Visualization: The cloud, derived from MACD and moving averages, changes color to reflect the current trend. A positive cloud in aqua suggests an uptrend, while a red cloud indicates a downtrend. The transparency of the cloud offers further nuance, with more solid colors denoting stronger trends.
Entry and Exit Management: Once a trend signal is generated, the strategy automatically sets TP and SL levels based on your chosen method (ATR or percentage). The stop loss and take profit lines will appear on the chart, showing where the strategy will exit the trade. If the price reaches either the SL or TP, the trade is closed, and the respective line is deleted from the chart.
Performance Metrics: The strategy’s performance is tracked in real-time with an in-chart table. This table provides essential information about the number of trades executed, the win/loss ratio, and the overall win rate. This information helps traders assess the strategy's effectiveness and make necessary adjustments.
This strategy is designed for those who seek to engage with trending markets, offering robust tools for entry, exit, and overall trade management. By understanding and leveraging these features, traders can potentially improve their trading outcomes and risk management.
🔷 Related Script
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Gaussian Kernel Smoothing MomentumOverview:
The Gaussian Kernel Smoothing Momentum indicator analyzes and quantifies market momentum by applying statistical techniques to price and returns data. This indicator uses Gaussian kernel smoothing to filter noise and provide a more accurate representation of momentum. Additionally, it includes a option to evaluate the absolute score of the momentum to determine if the beginning of a "trend" is likely or if you can expect a "trend" to come to an end.
Kernels and Their Role In Time Series Analysis:
In statistical analysis, a kernel is a weighting function used to estimate the properties of a dataset. Kernels are particularly useful in non-parametric methods, where they serve to smooth data or estimate probability density functions without assuming a specific underlying distribution. The Gaussian kernel, one of the most commonly used, is characterized by its smooth, bell-shaped curve which provides a natural way to give more weight to data points closer to the target value and less weight to those further away.
Uses of Kernels in Time Series Analysis
Kernels play a significant role in time series analysis, especially in the context of smoothing and filtering. With kernel functions, you can reduce noise and extract the underlying systematic component or signal from the data. This process is essential for identifying long-term patterns in the data, which is often obscured by short-term fluctuations and random noise.
Kernel Smoothing
Kernel smoothing is a technique that applies a kernel function to a set of data points to create a smooth curve, effectively reducing the impact of random variations. In time series analysis, kernel smoothing helps to filter out short-term noise while retaining significant trends and "patterns". The Gaussian kernel, with its emphasis on nearby points, is particularly effective for this purpose, as it smooths the data in a way that highlights the underlying structure without overfitting to random fluctuations.
Additionally, kernels are used in non-parametric volatility estimation, option pricing models, and for detecting anomalies in financial data. Their flexibility and ability to handle complex, non-linear relationships make them well-suited for the often noisy data encountered in financial markets.
Momentum Component
The momentum component of the indicator is designed to quantify the directional movement of asset prices by applying the Gaussian kernel smoothing to the expected return of the price data. The data then has the variance stabilized and normalizes the distribution of price changes to be able to more efficiently analyze the momentum.
The Gaussian kernel smoothing function serves to filter out high-frequency noise, isolating the underlying systematic component of the momentum. This is achieved by weighting the data points based on their proximity to the current observation, with closer data points exerting a stronger influence. The resulting smoothed momentum provides a clearer of the directional bias in the market, devoid of short-term volatility.
Absolute Move Component
The absolute move component is a extension of the momentum analysis, focusing on the magnitude rather than the direction of the price movements. This component captures the absolute score of the smoothed momentum series, providing a measure of strength or intensity of the price movement, independent from its direction. The absolute move component also incorporates a Kalman filter to further smooth and refine the signal. The Kalman filter dynamically adjusts based on the observed variance in the data, to reduce the impact of outliers.
What to make of this indicator
The smoothed momentum line helps determine whether the market is experiencing upward and downward momentum. If the momentum line is above zero and rising, this suggest a positive expected returns. Conversely, if the momentum line is below zero and falling, it indicates negative expected returns.
You should also pay attention to changes in the slope of the momentum line and the moving average of the smoothed momentum(weighted with an optimal sampling size algorithm). A flattening or reversal of the slope may signal a potential shift in market direction. For example, if the momentum line and moving average transitions from rising to falling, it means that the expected return is going from positive to negative so you can see the "trend" as weakening or forming a trend of negative expected returns.
The absolute move component is designed to measure the intensity or strength of the current market movement. A low absolute move value, especially when they are negative or at the lower end of their band, indicates that the momentum and expected return is close to zero, which suggest that the market is experiencing minimal directional movement, which can be a sign of consolidation. High absolute values signal that the market is undergoing a significant price movement. When the absolute move is high and/or rising, it indicates that the movement of the momentum is strong, regardless of whether it is bullish or bearish.
If the absolute move reaches unusually high levels, it could indicate that the market is experiencing an exceptional price move, which might be unsustainable. Traders can anticipate potential reversals or profit taking targets. However, you should avoid trying to trade reversals as exceptionally high values in a time series do not guarantee an immediate reversal. This high values often occur during periods of strong trends or significant events, which can continue longer than expected, and you cant time when it will return to its mean. The mean-reverting nature of some statistical models can suggest a return to the mean, but this assumption can be misleading in financial markets, where trends can persist despite overextending conditions.
Price & Momentum Reversal Indicator [TradeDots]Price & Momentum Divergence Indicator is a variant of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO), designed to identify reversal patterns in overvalued and undervalued markets. This indicator aims to mitigate the common problem of all oscillating indicators: false buy/sell signals during prolonged market trends, by incorporating a volume-weighted approach and momentum analysis.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
Price Extremeness Calculation
The indicator evaluates the extremeness of the current price by analyzing price changes over a fixed window of candlesticks.
It separates the price changes into positive and negative changes, then multiplies them by the bar volume to obtain volume-weighted values, giving higher significance to bars with larger volumes.
Extremeness Ratio
The ratio is calculated by taking the difference between the total positive changes and total negative changes, and then dividing this result by the sum of the total positive and negative changes.
The result is then smoothed to reduce market noise and rescaled to a range between -100 to 100, where 100 indicates all price changes within the window are positive.
Momentum Analysis
Momentum is calculated by measuring the rate of change of the smoothed extremeness ratio, indicating whether market extremeness is slowing and showing signs of reversion.
Reversal Signal Confirmation
For an asset to be considered a reversal, it has to be in the overvalued or undervalued zone (exceeding the overvalued & undervalued threshold). It must then show a slowed momentum change and a price reversion.
Lastly, candlestick analysis is used to confirm the reversal signal, ensuring there is no room for further breakout price movement.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
Candlestick Visualization
Candlestick bodies are painted with gradient colors representing the smoothed price extremeness (OBOS Index), ranging from -100 (solid red) to 100 (solid green). The exact value is displayed in a table at the bottom right corner.
Slowing price momentum is indicated with blue (bearish) and purple (bullish) colors, showing market pressure from the opposite side.
Reversal Confirmation
A decrease in price momentum combined with a price reversal triggers a signal label on the candlestick, indicating a potential pullback or reversal. This can serve as a reference for better entry and exit points.
⭐️ Premium Features
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Analysis
The indicator includes a feature to apply the same algorithm to a selected higher timeframe, ensuring trend alignment across multiple timeframes.
Alert Functions
Real-time notifications for overvalued and undervalued conditions, allowing traders to monitor trades and reversal signals anywhere and anytime.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Accuracy decreases in volatile and noisy markets.
Extended bullish or bearish market conditions may affect performance.
See Author's instructions below to get instant access to this indicator.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Momentum Candles by @PipsandProfitFXThe High Momentum Candles indicator highlights price bars with exceptional price movement and strong volume. It identifies candles with significantly long bodies relative to their shadows, indicating rapid price changes. Additionally, the indicator filters for candles with above-average volume to confirm the strength of the price movement.
Dark red: bearish momentum
Orange: bullish momentum
(You can easily change the momentum candles to whatever color you want in the indicator settings.)
By visually emphasizing these high momentum candles, traders can potentially identify potential trend reversals or continuations, as well as potential entry and exit points.
Key Features:
Identifies candles with large bodies relative to their shadows
Filters candles based on volume to confirm strength
Highlights high momentum candles with a distinct color
Let me know if you'd like to see any updates on this indicator.
Note: This indicator is a visual tool and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis techniques for making informed trading decisions.
Supply & Demand Trade Analyzer by NYTCSupply and Demand Trade Analyzer
Automatic Zone Identification
• Identifies high quality supply and demand zones on multiple timeframes
• Shows the prices for each zone so the user may easily identify actionable prices to buy or sell
• Once a zone is no longer valid, it is automatically removed from the chart to keep the workspace clean.
• Includes all 4 zone formations: DBR, RBR, RBD and DBD
What are supply and demand zones?
Supply and demand zones are visual representations of areas where there has been a price imbalance. Whenever a demand imbalance is detected, the indicator will plot a green demand zone which may be used as an area to buy under the right market conditions, such as an uptrend or to take profit on a short position. Also, whenever a supply imbalance is detected, the indicator will plot a red supply zone which may be used as an area to sell under the right conditions such as a downtrend or to take profit on a long position.
Automatic Trend Analysis
Proper trend analysis is one of the most important steps in successfully trading or investing in the financial markets as it helps the trader determine which side of the market, he/she wants to take: long or short. For this reason, we decided to also include in this indicator our unique trend analysis technique that utilizes highs and lows to detect when trends begin, how they continue and when they end. The indicator is able properly identify uptrends (Higher Highs and Higher Lows), downtrend (Lower Highs and Lower Lows), and sideways trends (relatively equal highs and lows, higher highs but lower lows or lower highs but higher lows).
• The trader can toggle this feature on or off as needed.
• Our unique trend indicator is located at the bottom of the chart so, as not to interfere with the candles and hide important information.
• When the indicator shows green, the trend is up, when it shows red, the trend is down and sideways when the indicator shows grey.
How it works
Being that supply and demand zones are areas of potential imbalance, under the right conditions price may reverse at these zones. Use them in conjunction with your entry and exit rules to maximize efficacy and minimize risk.
User Inputs
In the settings menu you will find the following functions:
• Zone Count: Allows the trader to determine how many zones are shown on the chart
• Zone-on-Zone: Give the trader the option to also see overlapping zones
• Minor Zones: While the indicator plots major zones by default, this function gives the trader to see all zones in real time as they are being formed.
• HTF Trend: Give the trader the option to turn on our unique trend identification tool
• LTF Momentum: Allows the trader to toggle on or off our unique lower timeframe momentum finder. This tool is best used during the Globex of the Futures session for short-term trading (scalping)
Instruments
Our Trade Analyzer works across all asset classes and on all instruments, including:
Stocks
Futures
Forex
Cryptocurrencies
Summary
The Supply and Demand Trade Analyzer offers traders a quick and easy way of identifying supply and demand or support and resistance areas on a chart. It provides:
• Zone Identification: Proper zone identification on multiple timeframes
• User-Friendly Customization: With a variety of user inputs, you can tailor the analyzer to fit your unique trading strategy.
• Cross-Asset Compatibility: Works seamlessly across all major asset classes and instruments.
• Clean Workspace: Automatic removal of invalid zones keeps your chart organized and focused on the most relevant information.
• Real-Time Insights: Stay ahead of the market with real-time zone plotting and trend analysis, enabling timely and strategic trades.
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
Daily Range AnalysisThis indicator helps quickly identify if a stock is making a "price expansion" or a "price contraction". If today's range is larger than yesterday, then the stock is having a price expansion. This will be represented with a positive number. If today's range is smaller, the stock is making a contraction, and the indicator will display a negative number.
Indicator Features:
1. **Dark and Light Themes**: Users can choose between dark and light themes based on their preference. Dark themes are easier on the eyes in low-light conditions, reducing eye strain, while light themes are more suitable for well-lit environments.
2. **Customizable Text Colors**: Users can customize the text color for each data element displayed in the table. Customization allows users to tailor the appearance of the indicator to their liking and enhance readability.
3. **Show/Hide Data Options**: Users have the flexibility to show or hide each data element in the table individually. This feature enables users to focus on specific information they find most relevant, decluttering the chart and improving readability.
4. **Daily Range Analysis**: The script calculates and displays important metrics related to the daily price range of a financial instrument. These metrics include:
- Closing Range: Percentage indicating how close the closing price is to the daily low relative to the daily range. Helps traders assess where the closing price lies within the day's price action.
- Range Expansion: Percentage indicating the change in the daily price range compared to the previous day. Useful for identifying potential volatility shifts and trend continuation or reversal.
- StopH: Price level representing the midpoint between the day's open and close, commonly used as a reference for setting stop-loss orders.
- StopL: The low of the day, providing information about the lowest price reached during the trading session. Some traders like to use the Low of Day as a Stop Loss.
Overall, this script provides traders with essential insights into daily price movements, enabling them to make more informed trading decisions based on key price action metrics. The customization options enhance user experience and adaptability, catering to individual preferences and trading styles
Weighted Average Volume Depth [QuantraSystems]Weighted Average Volume Depth
Introduction
The Weighted Average Volume Depth (𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓) indicator is calibrated to provide extensive insights, calculated using volumetric price action and volume depth, and provides dynamic adjustments based upon historical volatility.
This indicator is a valuable asset for traders and investors, aiming to capture trends, measure dynamic volatility, and provide market reversion analysis in a systematic way.
Legend
Volumetric Top Cap: Plotted at y = 0, this line represents the probabilistic maximum value, or ‘cap’ for the signal line. It is colored using a binary color scheme, and indicates the dominant trend direction - green for an uptrend and purple for a downtrend.
Base Line: Calculated using a volume-weighted volatility measurement, this line is used as the benchmark to calculate momentum in the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator.
Signal Line: The signal line represents the volume and volatility weighted measurements, and oscillates between the Base Line and Top Cap. Its position between these levels provides the depth of insights available in this script.
When the signal line is remaining in close proximity to the base line, this is indicative of a low volatility market environment. These periods are also reflected as muted bar coloring when the ‘Trend Intensity’ setting is enabled.
Conversely, when the signal line approaches, or even breaks above the Top Cap, this is characteristic of an unsustainable trending action - and probabilistically speaking, a reversion or consolation is likely to occur at these levels.
Highlighting: When this setting is enabled, background coloring is applied when the Signal Line breaks above the Top Cap. This highlights green as an oversold zone, and purple as an overbought zone.
Reversal Signals: When price begins to reverse from a zone of overextension, a signal is plotted when this reversion occurs from a high probability zone.
Circle - Shows a possible bullish reversal.
Cross - Shows a possible bearish reversal.
Case Study
In the above image, we showcase three distinct trades in short succession, showcasing the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓’s speed and accuracy under the right conditions.
The first long trade was initiated upon receiving a bullish reversal signal. The trade was then closed after the price experienced a sharp upwards movement - and an overbought signal was indicated by the purple shading.
The second, short trade was entered on the next bar, after a bearish reversal signal was printed by the indicator (a white cross). Similarly, this trade was closed upon the oversold signal.
Once again, a reversal signal was indicated by the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator. This time a bullish signal (a white circle), and hence a long position was opened. However, this trade was held until a negative trend confirmation (signaled by the Top Cap’s shift in color). This makes apparent the indicator’s flexible nature, and showcases the multiple signaling types available for traders to use.
Recommended Settings
The optimal settings for the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator will vary upon the chosen asset’s average level volatility, as well as the timeframe it is applied to.
Due to increased volatility levels on lower timeframes, it is recommended to increase the 'Top Cap Multiplier' to take into account the increased frequency of false signals found in these trading environments. The same can be said when used on highly volatile assets - a trader will likely benefit from using a higher 'Top Cap Multiplier.'
On more price-stable assets, as well as any asset on higher timeframes, there is merit to tightening the length of the 'Top Cap Multiplier,' due to the slower nature of price action.
Methodology
The 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 starts with calculating the volume weighted average price and the volume weighted variance - which is the expectation of the squared deviation of a variable from its mean, giving insights into the distribution of trading volume.
Using the volume weighted variance, a standard deviation value is calculated based on user input. This value acts as the ‘Volumetric Top Cap’ - seen in the 𝓦𝓐𝓥𝓓 indicator window as the zero line.
The signal line is calculated as the difference between the current price and the theoretical upper or lower VWAP deviation bands. This line acts as the trigger for identifying prevailing trends and high probability reversal points.
The base line serves as a reference point for historical momentum. It is calculated using an exponential moving average of the lowest signal line values over a defined lookback period. This baseline helps in assessing whether the current momentum is high or low relative to historical norms.
Notes
Bar coloring can be turned off - especially useful when stacking multiple indicators as recommended, or set to 'Trend Intensity,' or 'Binary Trend' (which reflects the top cap coloring).
It is always recommended to never rely on a single indicator - and instead build and test multiple strategies utilizing more than one indicator as confirmation.
FX DispersionThis script calculates the dispersion of a basket of 5 FX pairs and then calculates the z-score the z-score is then made into a composite using the 30 and 60 ema of the z-score to smooth any noise. It must be used on one of the FX pairs in the basket and on the 1-minute timeframe as it has been hardcoded for 1 min use below.
Interpretation - Dispersion is a component of volatility - the dispersion of the underlying basket increases above 0.5 and decreases below 0.5.
Although increased dispersion is beneficial to momentum and trend-following strategies on the monthly and weekly timeframes. Observe this on the 1-minute timeframe and how dispersion crossing above/ below 0.5 it can signal reversion or momentum for the next period.
EXOFADEEXOFADE is an incredible trading indicator designed help give traders a visual clue of price momentum by combining Linear regression calculations with volume.
Overview:
ExoFade is a unique and dynamic trading indicator designed for both beginner and professional traders. At its core, it uses a sophisticated blend of multiple linear regression analysis, incorporating price, time, and volume-weighted moving average (VWMA) to predict potential price movements. By analyzing these key factors, EXOFade offers an innovative approach to understanding market trends and identifying trade opportunities.
Why It Works:
ExoFade works by calculating a regression line that adapts to market conditions, factoring in both price trends and trading volumes. This approach provides a more nuanced view of market momentum, going beyond traditional price-only indicators. The inclusion of time as a variable offers unique insights into market dynamics, making ExoFade a valuable tool for various trading strategies.
Key Features to Look Out For:
Regression Line: The heart of ExoFade, offering visual cues about the market's direction.
ATR-Based Fade Levels: Utilizes Average True Range (ATR) to set dynamic levels that signal potential reversals or continuation. The indicator comes with three fade levels, which are described below
Alert Conditions: You can set up for alerts for when any of the fade levels have been been reached, indicating potential entry points.
What Are Fade Levels And How To Use The Enter Trades:
The exofade line always moves with price, this indicates that the current volume is moving in the same direction.
When you see the exofade start to move ahead of price. For example, in an Uptrend, if price stops making new highs and you see the exofade line continue moving up ahead of price as price stagnates, this is the first time that you should be expecting pull back or reversal. When the line starts to visibly curve, this when you want to enter the trade.
Sometimes, the exofade line will move just a little bit ahead of price, and sometimes it will move a clear distance ahead of price.
From my experience, the further ahead it moves from price without price keeping up, the higher the probability of a pullback or reversal.
The actual pullback then starts when the exofade line starts to curve, which signifies the start if the actual pullback.
Since we cannot sit and watch for when the line has either moved further ahead enough or started to curve, thats why i figured to use ATR as the best way to measure the distance the exofade line moves ahead of price and the ATR also happens to measure Volatility, which makes it a perfect match.
From forward testing this for months, i have found the pullbacks typically start when the exofade line has moved ahead of price by atleast 2 ATR's. A distance of 2 ATR and above are the ones i consider the best setups. This also marks the point for your stop loss, since 2 ATR is generally used stoploss level.
To catch and sell a pullback in an uptrend, you can set alert for one or both of these alerts
Fade Level 2 abv price - This alert will trigger once Exofade line reached 2 ATR ABOVE price (Just means it has reached 2 atr, dosent mean it has started curving yet)
Curve lvl 2 - SELL - This alert means the exofade line has started to curve at 2 ATR
To buy pullbacks in a downtrend you set the opposite alerts of the one above for curve below price
There are also same alerts for level 3 as well, which is 2.5 ATR
IMPORTANT NOTES - DONT SKIP THIS
For daily and intra-day swings - Use this on 1hr trend upwards - The exofade line much slower on higher timeframe, so when you get a curve on a high time frame, like the 4HR or Daily timeframe, those are excellent signals
For scalpers trading 1hr below - The exofade moves faster on lower timeframes, so more caution should be used with these on lower timeframes , you this with other confluences like a good momentum oscillator oversold/overbought regions StochRSI, MACD etc
EXTRA TIPS
- Since the curve forms slower on higher time frames, it means getting a curve the on daily and weekly chart can help in your trend analysis to detect early signs of potential trend reversals
-I typically pair this with my customized version of Nadaraya watsons envelope ( a free indicator on tradingview) It will further improve your entry and winrate. Biggest advantage is for setting a profit target. In a buy trade for example, you buy the curve below price and set your profit target for the top band of the nadaraya watson envelope. Very efficient for scalping
- Unique areas were you want to pay attention to the exofade is when price enters points of interest, this depending on your trading style could be a
-FVG - fair value gaps
-Order blocks
- Supply / Demand areas
-Volume profile Value area High and Value area Low
The are two scenarios i would like you to be cautious of
1. As with every indicator and strategy, i most definitely wouldn't use this during high impact news.
2. If price is trending very strongly in one direction only, such that even barely gives any decent pull backs at all. Most especially if that strong push is happening between the 4hr to Daily time frame. Do not attempt to counter those trends unless you know what you are doing. Its not advisable.
Instead i'll recommend using the Exofade to catch an entry in the direction of the trade for a continuation.
And Lastly
Since this indicator uses VOLUME data as part of its calculations. It will not work on any pairs that tradingview does not provide volume data for, like Gold. But it will work normally on Gold Futures, since that has volume data
TASC 2023.12 Growth and Value Switching System█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a rotation system for trading value and growth ETFs, as developed by Markos Katsanos and detailed in the article titled 'Growth Or Value?' in TASC's December 2023 edition of Traders' Tips . The purpose of this script is to demonstrate how short-term momentum can be employed to track market trends and provide clarity on when to switch between value and growth.
█ CONCEPTS
The central concept of the presented rotation strategy is based on the observation that the stock market undergoes cycles favoring either growth or value stocks. Consequently, the script introduces a momentum trading system that is designed to switch between value and growth equities based on prevailing market conditions. Specifically tailored for long-term index investors, the system focuses on trading Vanguard's value and growth ETFs ( VTV and VUG ) on a weekly timeframe.
To identify the ETF likely to outperform, the script uses a custom relative strength indicator applied to both VTV and VUG in comparison with an index ( SPY ). To minimize risk and drawdowns during bear markets, when both value and growth experience downtrends, the script employs the author's custom volume flow indicator (VFI) and blocks trades when its reading indicates money outflow . Positions are closed if the relative strength of the current open trade ETF falls below that of the other ETF for two consecutive weeks and is also below its moving average. Additionally, the script implements a stop-loss when the ETF is trading below its 40-week moving average, but only during bear markets.
The script plots the relative strengths of the value and growth equities along with the signals triggered by the aforementioned rules. Information about the current readings of the relative strength and volume flow indicators, along with the current open position, is displayed in a table.
█ CALCULATIONS
The script uses the request.security() function to gather price data for both equities and the reference index. Custom relative strength and volume flow indicators are calculated based on the formulas presented in the original article. By default, the script employs the same parameters for these indicators as proposed in the original article for VTV and VUG on a weekly timeframe.
Gorb DNAIntroduction:
Gorb DNA is a versatile indicator using classic technical analysis components such as moving averages, stochastic oscillator, and histogram blending call/put flow analysis with our proprietary DNA algorithm. This indicator is designed to provide traders with useful market direction, volume, and momentum change visual cues.
Overview:
The Gorb DNA Indicator isn't just another momentum tool; it's a complex integration of innovative market analysis techniques.
By combining moving averages, stochastic oscillator, with proprietary algorithms, this indicator offers a multi-layered view of market trends, by merging call/put flow analysis with traditional market flow assessment.
This is designed for all kinds of traders, using a simple method to deliver visual changes in flow, volume, and momentum.
Core Features: Call/Put Flow & DNA
Call/Put Flow Analysis: This component examines the strength of market buying and selling pressures. It analyzes call (buying) and put (selling) flows using price range movements, providing insights smoothed over a defined period for analysis of market sentiment.
DNA Algorithm: A central feature of this indicator, the DNA algorithm utilizes a specialized moving average and oscillator technique to discern market trends. It presents an innovative approach, calculating the difference between bullish and bearish indicators to offer a detailed analysis of market momentum.
Visualization and Color Coding: The indicator employs a color-coded system for ease of interpretation, with distinct colors indicating different market conditions: white for upward/bullish movement and purple for downward/bearish movement. This feature translating complex data into a visual format that is simple to understand.
How Call/Put Flow Works:
Moving averages are used with volume and candlestick highs/lows over a specific range to help determine the overall flow. It then plots a colored line area that looks like a colored wave using just two colors to provide traders with a visual of the current market flow. This can help traders identify changes in sentiment with simple color cues.
How DNA Works:
A stochastic oscillator is used to measure the current price level relative to its price over a specific range period to analyze the momentum for the two DNA strands. Additionally moving averages are used to confirm trend and identify any divergences relative to the momentum. This is then plotted as two lines(DNA Strands) following the same color scheme as Call/Put Flow. When momentum is picking up in a specific direction, the lines will change colors and cross each other, this gives a visual of momentum now being fully on one side until it starts to change colors and flip that direction.
Custom Algorithm Elements:
Gorb DNA isn't just common tools combined into one indicator. It includes proprietary algorithmic elements tailored to enhance technical analysis and timing. These are the reasons what set this indicator apart from common momentum, sentiment, and volume methods.
We recommend experimenting with these features to choose what best suits your trading style.
Settings:
All skill-level friendly presets, easy to enable features with one-click
Call Flow: allows the user to plot a colored area that looks like waves showing increases/decreases in bullish volume (not to be followed blindly)
Put Flow: allows the user to plot a colored area that looks like waves showing increases/decreases in bearish volume (not to be followed blindly)
DNA Strand 1: allows the user to plot one of the algorithm lines to visualize momentum direction (not to be followed blindly)
DNA Strand 2: allows the user to plot one of the algorithm lines to visualize momentum direction (not to be followed blindly)
DNA Strength: allows the user to a histogram displaying momentum volume bars in the background
Flow Threshold: allows users to plot a dotted line to identify when call/put flow is now above average flow range
All colors are changeable for the user to customize to their liking
Call/Put Flow & DNA Demonstration
In the image below, we can see a basic illustration of how these core features function.
As stated above, call/put flow carefully monitors changes in moving averages, volume, and price action. If the market sentiment is shifting one direction, the call/put flow will plot those changes. If market is bullish, call flow should rise and put flow should decrease. The same goes for the opposite if the market is bearish.
As is the same for the DNA strands, if markets momentum is becoming bullish, the lines will change color and then cross to signify a change in momentum and the call flow in the background should match this change. This creates two layers of confluence in an easy understandable visual method.
Using Call/Put Flow
In the image below, we disabled everything but call flow to demonstrate usage.
On the left side of the image, you can see call flow matched price increase, then started to decline. This created a flow divergence, identifying a possible change in price action coming. This happened once flow crossed back below the threshold line and price then beginning to move lower. On the right side of the image, you can see call flow rising and price increasing. This is a good confluence showing there is bullish sentiment building in the market.
In this next image, we disabled everything but put flow to demonstrate usage.
The left side shows a put flow divergence. Put flow is slowly rising just like price is, this can help a trader identify a possible shift in sentiment coming. And on the right side, we have put flow rising above the threshold line and price beginning to decrease. Now we have confluence of bearish sentiment building in the market.
The image below shows only call & put flow enabled, to display what the above two images combined look like.
As you can see in the image above, these flow visuals help identify the underlying market sentiment. And when they cross, it leads to a change in price action in the direction of the sentiment over the threshold line.
Using DNA Strands
The image below has just DNA strands enabled to demonstrate usage.
On the left is a box highlighting bearish momentum cross. In the circles is the change in momentum shifting from bullish to bearish. The move gets stronger as the DNA strands get closer to cross over signifying strength in the move. On the right side is a box highlighting a bullish momentum cross. The circles again, show the change from bearish to bullish momentum. Like previously said, the move gets stronger as the DNA strands get closer to crossing over, signifying strength in that direction.
The next image shows call/put flow and DNA strands enabled for a full complete picture.
The circles labeled (1) are showing the change in momentum from bullish to bearish. Circle (2) shows call flow decreasing and put flow rising above calls. Finally the arrow points to the DNA strands crossing over and put flow rising above the threshold line. This is 3 levels of easy visual confluence showing a change in sentiment, volume, and momentum to the downside.
The next image will be showing the bullish side with call/put flow and DNA strands enabled.
The circles that are labeled (1), show the visual change in momentum on the DNA strands from bearish to bullish. Circle (2) is the crossing of call flow over put flow and the arrow points to the DNA strands crossing over and call flow above the threshold line. Three simple to use visual confluences to identify change in sentiment, volume, and momentum to the upside.
Conclusion:
Our goal is to provide a unique, yet simple approach to market sentiment & momentum analysis. It's a tool developed for traders seeking user-friendly and easy to use tools that provide easy visual insights of market dynamics. We believe in simplicity, effectiveness, and creating tools to support decision making for all traders.
How to get access:
You can see the Author's instructions to get access to this indicator
RISK DISCLAIMER
All content, tools, scripts & education provided by Gorb Algo are for informational & educational purposes only. Trading is risky and most lose their money, past performance does not guarantee future results.
Absolute Momentum (Time Series Momentum)Absolute momentum , also known as time series momentum , focuses on the trend of an asset's own past performance to predict its future performance. It involves analyzing an asset's own historical performance, rather than comparing it to other assets.
The strategy determines whether an asset's price is exhibiting an upward (positive momentum) or downward (negative momentum) trend by assessing the asset's return over a given period (standard look-back period: 12 months or approximately 250 trading days). Some studies recommend calculating momentum by deducting the corresponding Treasury bill rate from the measured performance.
Absolute Momentum Indicator
The Absolute Momentum Indicator displays the rolling 12-month performance (measured over 250 trading days) and plots it against a horizontal line representing 0%. If the indicator crosses above this line, it signifies positive absolute momentum, and conversely, crossing below indicates negative momentum. An additional, optional look-back period input field can be accessed through the settings.
Hint: This indicator is a simplified version, as some academic approaches measure absolute momentum by subtracting risk-free rates from the 12-month performance. However, even with higher rates, the values will still remain close to the 0% line.
Benefits of Absolute Momentum
Absolute momentum, which should not be confused with relative momentum or the momentum indicator, serves as a timing instrument for both individual assets and entire markets.
Gary Antonacci , a key contributor to the absolute momentum strategy (find study below), emphasizes its effectiveness in multi-asset portfolios and its importance in long-only investing. This is particularly evident in a) reducing downside volatility and b) mitigating behavioral biases.
Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen document significant 'time series momentum' across various asset classes, including equity index, currency, commodity, and bond futures, in 58 liquid instruments (find study below). There's a notable persistence in returns ranging from one to 12 months, which tends to partially reverse over longer periods. This pattern aligns with sentiment theories suggesting initial under-reaction followed by delayed over-reaction.
Despite its surprising ease of implementation, the academic community has successfully measured the effects of absolute momentum across decades and in every major asset class, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and foreign exchange (FX).
Strategies for Implementing Absolute Momentum:
To Buy a Stock:
Select a Look-Back Period: Choose a historical period to analyze the stock's performance. A common period is 12 months, but this can vary based on your investment strategy.
Calculate Excess Return: Determine the stock's excess return over this period. You can also assume a risk-free rate of "0" to simplify the process.
Evaluate Momentum:
If the excess return is positive, it indicates positive absolute momentum. This suggests the stock is in an upward trend and could be a good buying opportunity.
If the excess return is negative, it suggests negative momentum, and you might want to delay buying.
Consider further conditions: Align your decision with broader market trends, economic indicators, or fundamental analysis, for additional context.
To Sell a Stock You Own:
Regularly Monitor Performance: Use the same look-back period as for buying (e.g., 12 months) to regularly assess the stock's performance.
Check for Negative Momentum: Calculate the excess return for the look-back period. Again, you can assume a risk-free rate of "0" to simplify the process. If the stock shows negative momentum, it might be time to consider selling.
Consider further conditions:Align your decision with broader market trends, economic indicators, or fundamental analysis, for additional context.
Important note: Note: Entering a position (i.e., buying) based on positive absolute momentum doesn't necessarily mean you must sell it if it later exhibits negative absolute momentum. You can initiate a position using positive absolute momentum as an entry indicator and then continue holding it based on other criteria, such as fundamental analysis.
General Tips:
Reassessment Frequency: Decide how often you will reassess the momentum (monthly, quarterly, etc.).
Remember, while absolute momentum provides a systematic approach, it's recommendable to consider it as part of a broader investment strategy that includes diversification, risk management, fundamental analysis, etc.
Relevant Capital Market Studies:
Antonacci, Gary. "Absolute momentum: A simple rule-based strategy and universal trend-following overlay." Available at SSRN 2244633 (2013)
Moskowitz, Tobias J., Yao Hua Ooi, and Lasse Heje Pedersen. "Time series momentum." Journal of financial economics 104.2 (2012): 228-250
Alpha Momentum Trade - AMT (QUAD Financial)The "Alpha Momentum Trend" indicator was conceived by Tiago Friedrich and programmed by Conrado Villaça.
The indicator description applies to the daily chart. When used on other timeframes, the indicator also changes its signals based on the timeframe used.
It has five fields, from top to bottom:
1. "ATR Multiple MA" greater than multiple: shows how many candles the asset stayed 7 times the ATR (average true range) above the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) in the last 126 candles. The purpose is to identify the strength of the asset because the more times it stayed at this distance from the SMA 50, the greater the acceleration of its prices tends to be, indicating a high momentum asset. You can change the period of the SMA in the indicator settings.
2. ATR% Multiple from MA: shows the multiple of ATR that the asset is from the same SMA as in the upper field. The default is the SMA 50, and the indicator helps identify interesting regions to take profits from long positions. When the asset is more than 7 ATRs above the SMA 50, the asset is considered "stretched," and a correction or price consolidation becomes likely. For high beta assets with a very strong trend, you can use a multiple of 10 ATRs for this purpose.
3. ATR% Multiple from 52w Low: shows the multiple of ATR that the asset is in relation to the 52-week low price. The higher the number, the more the asset has risen relative to its volatility standards, indicating a stronger trend. For momentum traders, it's ideal for the asset to be at least 15 ATRs above the minimum for this period to ensure that it's in a strong uptrend and far from the lows.
4. Longest streak above SMA: within the last 126 candles, it shows the longest streak of days when the asset didn't close below a specific simple moving average. The default definition is with the 10-day SMA, but you can change it in the indicator settings. The more consecutive days the asset can stay above the SMA10, the sign that its trend is consistent and not very volatile, which is desirable. Ideally, an asset should have previously formed an uptrend by staying at least 20 consecutive days above the SMA10.
5. Longest streak above EMA: within the last 126 candles, it shows the longest streak of days when the asset didn't close below a specific exponential moving average. The default definition is with the 21-day EMA, but you can change it in the indicator settings. The more consecutive days the asset can stay above the EMA21, the sign that its trend is consistent and not very volatile, which is desirable. Ideally, an asset should have previously formed an uptrend by staying at least 35 consecutive days above the EMA21.
It's also possible to visualize on the chart the moving averages used for the calculation of the "ATR Multiple MA," "Longest streak above SMA," and "Longest streak above EMA". In the default configuration, this results in a simple 50-day moving average, a simple 10-day moving average, and an exponential 21-day moving average being displayed on the chart, respectively.
