SPYES1! Yesterday was bearish and in line with the uptrend breakdown and retest I've been talking about in Premarket since Thursday. If I had millions and millions to trade with, and was trying to play the 550 gap fill, where would I want to get involved short?
1. We've got a big gap and supply area over the past week up at 572. This would also be a gap fill and easy lower high. Great entry. 574 risk for 550 reward. $2 vs $22 is greater than 10:1 odds.
2. We had supply at yesterday's action at 570 on the 62% retrace. $4 vs $20. 5:1 odds
3. Immediately. If the play is 568 down to 550 with a risk level at 572, that's a $13 move with a $4 risk. 3:1 is good enough odds to invest immediately.
So, my plan today is 1) short only, and 2) to play futures rather than 0DTE options since prices there are gonna be silly. I'll spend one bullet immediately. In at 5753 at the top of the premarket descending wedge. Then, look at how things react to 569 at the open. If we blow up through it, I'm spending another at both 570 & 571. And saving my last two shots for 572. If we selloff immediately, everything moves down one, so I'd buy at open, 569, 570, and 2x571.
Take profit levels are 565, demand+aVWAP from the low. Then 558 and golden pocket fib level + demand zone at 555. The most we would reasonably expect to see for an intraday selloff (-4.4%) is 542, so I'll keep that level visible on my charts for perspective, to keep from thinking $0.30 is a big move, but I don't think we'd drop any lower than 553 on a continuation day. A measured move would be 559 or 563 depending on how you do it.
SPYES1! Uptrend in the futures market on the 5-15 minute, until this trendline is broken. Best entries are long at the trendline or short after it breaks through the trend and then retests the supply zone and trendline. Patience now.
ES1! I just bought the real time data description on here and I'm logged in to my live broker I'm trying to figure out why does it say non tradable symbol
Technically we've completed the wedge pattern on the daily at key resistance. If we are to head higher extended the flag pattern $6,000 areas could be the next stop!