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ETHUSD trade ideas

Ethereum - bearish divergence alert - Dec 19th, 2024** Trigger warning - the following post may cause skin irritation and involuntary expletives ** The entire market is bullish on Ethereum. All of social media is bullish on Ethereum. The Motley Fool is even bullish on Ethereum (Huge red flag!!) “Ethereum looks undervalued relative to its potential” source: www.fool.com ===================================================== The TA: Your only source of news should be the chart. The chart has a headline for you to read: “Strongest bearish divergence print since the 90% and 80% crashes of 2018 and 2021” Yes, the same specific settings used to track market pivots with divergence on Ethereum price action has printed once more. On the above 8 day chart price action prints negative divergence with multiple oscillators over an 80 day period. The bear flag forecasts price action to correct until $700. If you’re bullish on price action you have to reason why… why is this time different? (Trump said... yes, would never mislead that one) If you’re neutral on price action and considering a long entry, look left, is now that moment? If you’re bearish on price action, well then you’re in poor company and public enemy number one. Welcome to my world! Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure! We’re in a bull market, din’t you get the memo? Is it probable? No. Ww
INDEX:ETHUSDShort
by without_worries
6
ETHUSDObservations and Analysis: Trend Analysis: The current uptrend is evident as Ethereum (ETH/USD) is making higher highs and higher lows. The current price is around $3,935, reflecting a strong upward trend. Key level to watch: $4,000–$4,050 as the next significant milestone that aligns with previous highs. Key Levels: Premium Zone (Resistance): Around $4,000–$4,100. This area represents potential resistance, where profit-taking or increased selling pressure may occur. Equilibrium Zone: Around $3,500–$3,600. A strong support zone; if the price retraces, this could act as a buying opportunity. Discount Zone (Strong Support): Around $3,000–$3,200. This represents the lower range where buyers may aggressively step in. Indicators: The upward-sloping Moving Average supports continued bullish momentum. Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) signals near $3,700–$3,800 confirmed a transition to a bullish market structure, further reinforcing the uptrend. Volume: High trading volume during the recent rally above $3,800 shows strong buying interest, particularly near key breakout levels. Conclusion and Recommendations (USD-specific): Current Price: $3,935. The instrument is showing an uptrend with strong bullish momentum. Resistance Zone: If the price moves toward $4,000–$4,100 (premium zone), there might be resistance and potential consolidation or a short-term pullback. Support Zones: Look for strong support at $3,500–$3,600 (equilibrium zone) if the price retraces. Deeper retracement could find buyers at the $3,000–$3,200 level (discount zone). Trading Recommendations: For Long Positions: If price breaks above $4,100, this could confirm continued bullish momentum, offering a long entry with a target of $4,200+. Alternatively, wait for a retracement to the $3,600 level (equilibrium) for a safer entry. For Short Positions: Watch for reversal signs (e.g., bearish candles or volume divergence) near the $4,000–$4,100 resistance zone.
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by tt_blue_horseshoe
6
Does ETH is gaining momentum?During the last couple of days we encounter some inflow into the coin. However, we see quite a resistance around the 3500-3550 Looking at the weekly chart, we can see two cups and handles that already completed their formation but yet to fully execute. The smaller one (yellow) tried to break the 4100 resistance but didn't, and the price pulled back heavily after a major double top. As for now - if there will be another try, it will need to be strong, very strong, in order to move further up. Next key levels: around 3700, then 3900 and then the strong barrier - 4100. if it will go sky high, then the sky is the limit, and we can the steps of the fibos of the short term and the long term. Unless the bulls will take charge, we can face a decline to the 3100 level, then strong support around 2900. Personally i use a combination of CMF to estimate what's the market sentiment. Long term (up to 3 months): Still bullish - but weakened a bit. Mid term (up to 1 month): Bearish but still in-deceive Short term (up to 1 week): bulls and bears are in a dog-fight. However, something interesting that i see a possible hidden bullish divergence in the Mid term, signaling a possible break up. Not Advice, Stay safe
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by aloni-ta
ETHUSD 6 MONTHLYSince its inception, ETH has moved up in a 5-wave pattern, which is now being followed by an ABC correction. Wave A occurred during the last bear market. Currently, we are in wave B, and the market is showing a lot of strength. Wave B should retrace the 5th wave completely and move higher. A move higher than wave 5 will indicate a strong B wave. Depending on where wave B finishes, it will determine whether wave C retraces wave A or not. If the B wave falls between 101-123.6% of wave A, there is still a relatively good chance that wave C will completely retrace wave B. If the B wave exceeds 123.6% of wave A, there is little chance that wave C will retrace all of wave B. If it does, it will still be an irregular pattern. When the B wave exceeds 138.2% of wave A, there is no chance that wave C will retrace all of wave B. I personally can see ETH reaching around $7,000 to $9,000 very soon This is all I can say based on the 6-monthly chart.
INDEX:ETHUSD
by thekidtrader11
ETH Sell Strategy for Long Term PositionsThis post details how I plan to sell into the FOMO or take profit into the pumps and bubbles. The overall Selling Strategy has 4 parts. 1. TWAP Selling (Time Weighted Average Price)- means you sell over a defined period of time. (30%) 2. Price Level Selling- you sell at specific price levels. (40%) 3. Event Discretionary Selling- you sell based on TA, FA, news catalysts (30%) 4. Event Stop Loss Selling- you sell to protect your remaining capital. Step 1 to Step 3 can occur simultaneously. There are reasons to sell based on Time, Price and Event. I distribute the % allocated to each category based on gut feeling of accuracy in catching the top. Use Fixed Range Volume Profile to find Whale accumulation levels. June 2022 to October 2023 is $1600 Aug 2024 to Nov 2024 is $2600 Whale Sell Levels have a confluence of targets around $8k to $13k. The most recent accumulation levels of $2600 in Q2/Q3 2024 are the most important because the whales there are the least likely to have sold. The accumulation prior to that have had more opportunities to sell into the most recent pumps. The second major resistance area of confluence is around $16k. Market Cap key levels are MIL:1T , $2T $8.3k $16.6k Big Round number levels are $10k $20k Elliot Wave 5 targets: tradingfives.com W5 1.27 extension is $10.4k W5 1.38 extension is $11.8k W5 1.61 extension is $15.7k W5 2.0 extension is $24.7k Reverse log fib extension 1.27 is $7750 Reverse log fib extension 1.38 is $9300 Cup & Handle log target is $18k Take the low point to the top of the trend line. Extrapolate that at the breakout point which we had today on 12/8/2024. Orange vertical arrow. I further subdivide the target into log fib zones. Top half above $8.4k is premium zone. $6500 is the minimum target this will hit. $18k will be the upper bound based on the triangle thrust target. If you want to be conservative and use a linear chart. the Cup & Handle linear target is $7500. There is heavy confluence of targets at $8k, $10k and $12k. Price/MA ratio 200 Day indicator > 1.7; as of 12/8/24 200D MA is $3,002 x 1.7 = $5.1k (average bubble top length after this point?) DCA out ideally between 2/3/2025 to 5/1/2025, has confluence with bullish seasonality Price/MA ratio 200 Day indicator > 2.0; as of 12/8/24 200D MA is $3,002 x 2.0 = $6k set alert on Tradingview Price/MA ratio 200 Day indicator > 2.8; as of 12/8/24 200D MA is $3,002 x 2.8 = $8.3k (high probability target) ratio is 1.33 as of 12/8/24 My trigger for TWAP selling will be when price goes above $6.5k. The duration of TWAP will be until early May 2025. That aligns with the seasonality of the bullish Q1 from Feb to mid April plus a 1 month extension for alt season. Take 30% of the initial position size and divided it by number of trading days until 5/1/2025 to get the daily TWAP selling position size. Event Stop Loss Selling will be based on chart pattern, price action and breaking under the 10W SMA. These are my notes on criteria I use for selling. Step 1: TWAP Selling: price > $6.5k. DCA out until 5/1/2025 (30% of initial position size) Step 2: Price Level Selling: $6.5k, $7k, $7.5k, $8k, $8.5k, $9k, $9.5k, $10k, $10.5k, $11k, $11.5k, FWB:12K , $12.5k, GETTEX:13K (40% of initial position size) Step 3: Event Discretionary Selling: will be based on TA, FA, news catalysts. (30% of initial position size) Step 4: Stop Loss Selling: (% whatever is remaining) 1 day price < 10W MA Livermore 1D reversal candle 1D M.S. break down Size of down red candle is larger than up green candles in the uptrend, for weekly and daily candles. ***If you are trading ETHA 0.30%↑ (Blackrock Ethereum ETF) like I am, just use the price of spot BITSTAMP:ETHUSD as a reference point. It should be a 1 to 1 correlation anyways. See link in my signature for more detailed trade strategies.
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by yomofoV
2
The Road Map to 50K ETHI believe Ethereum will be the tokenization network of the future and the road map to 50K by 2026 is intact. Ethereum's development roadmap presents a bullish outlook, emphasizing scalability, sustainability, and security. The shift to Proof-of-Stake (The Merge) reduces energy consumption by 99%, appealing to eco-conscious stakeholders. Upcoming milestones like Danksharding and rollup-centric scaling aim to massively increase transaction throughput while lowering costs, ensuring user adoption. Enhanced security with features like withdrawal credentials and MEV resistance fortify the network. Ethereum's continuous evolution, developer engagement, and dominance as the foundation for DeFi, NFTs, and Web3 applications position it as a cornerstone of the blockchain future. ethereum.org I still believe Ethereum could surpass bitcoin market cap in the next 10-20 years due to real yield, network volume, and deflationary supply projections. The future is still bright and it's very early.
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by Audacity618