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S&P 500 charts showing bullish momentum, closing at fresh record highs after a strong jobs report. The index surpassed 6,280, driven by a decline in the unemployment rate to 4.1%. Going long, targeting the 6,325 level.

US500.F 6327 shot standard & poori idli vada bhav now 6278 book partially rest trailing stop loss thank you followers ๐Ÿ™

๐ŸŒ€ NFP Beat Masks Fragile Undercurrent โ€” Services PMI Adds Rebound Hopes
๐Ÿ“† Friday, July 04, 2025 | โฐ 10:47 London / 05:47 NY SPX NDX
๐Ÿ“ฆ Market Context: Payrolls beat, but soft wages and private hiring signal caution

๐Ÿ“‰ Data Recap:
โ€ข Non-Farm Payrolls (JUN) โ†’ 147K vs 100K forecast โ†’ ๐Ÿ”ผ Beat headline, weak internals
โ€ข Avg Hourly Earnings YoY โ†’ 3.7% vs 3.9% forecast โ†’ ๐Ÿ”ฝ Cooling wage pressure
โ€ข ISM Services PMI โ†’ 50.8 vs 49.7 forecast โ†’ ๐Ÿ”ผ Modest rebound in services

๐Ÿ”Ž Todayโ€™s Calendar Highlights:
โ€ข None โ€” Market digesting macro signals into weekend
โ†’ Expected Bias: Position trimming ahead of next weekโ€™s CPI + FOMC Minutes

๐Ÿ“Š Reactions to Watch:
โ€ข SPX: Holding 6,200+ โ€” short-term bullish tone holds
โ€ข NDX: No strong confirmation โ€” structure still neutral
โ€ข Gold: Holds breakout above 3,300 โ€” hedge flows remain active
โ€ข USD: Weak tone โ€” DXY below 96.60 risks further slide
โ€ข BTC: Needs close above 108K to confirm long re-engagement
โ€ข Oil: Mid-range compression โ€” waiting for catalyst

๐Ÿ” Flow Notes:
โ€ข SPX: ๐ŸŸข Regained footing above 6,200, flow supports higher grind
โ€ข NDX: โš–๏ธ Neutral โ€” no breakout momentum above 23K
โ€ข BTC: โš–๏ธ Coiling โ€” above 108K triggers renewed energy
โ€ข Gold: ๐ŸŸข Macro support intact โ€” yields rising but flows steady
โ€ข USD: ๐Ÿ”ป Bear flag continues โ€” USD softness opens metal upside

๐Ÿ“ˆ Trade Ideas for Today
โ€ข ๐ŸŸข Long Bias: SPX โ€” continuation while above 6,200, tailwind from earnings and calendar slope
โ€ข ๐Ÿ”ด Short Bias: USD/DXY โ€” bear flag, weak reaction to data despite NFP beat
โ€ข โš–๏ธ Neutral: BTC โ€” needs close above 108K for risk-on trigger

Best Wishes and Success to All
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Take Profits, Not Chances.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Manage Risk to Accumulate.
๐ŸŽฏ React with Clarity, Not Hope.
๐ŸŒŠ Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.

โš™๏ธ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
๐ŸŽฏ Summary posts only. Full context via DM

โš ๏ธ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
๐Ÿ“‰ Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 04 (reported July 04)

๐Ÿ“ฆ Reference Tag: EconomicCalendar040725
Snapshot


SPX SPY

Well, happy 4th of July tomorrow! Enjoy the long weekend.

I walked out of the market today with a small loss of -$52, which actually feels like a big win for me. I entered too early on the trend with an SPX short call spread (yes, fighting the trend like a true liquidity provider), influenced by the idea of the early market close.

The final drop of SPX below 6272 saved me from a potential $4,900 loss. I had been waiting for that drop for hours, and it finally came in the last 10 minutes.

Thank you, God, for todayโ€™s lessons and for guiding me to avoid a major loss and for giving me the strength to trust my faith over my fear.

Today is a green day for me. ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿป


ATH or Fade? SPX500USD
๐Ÿ“† Monday, June 30, 2025 | โฐ 16:15 London/BST / 11:15 NY/EDT
๐Ÿ“ฆ Status: Structure Holds โ€“ Pre-Holiday Clock Pressure Builds

๐Ÿ” NAS100USD | 22,874
Structure: โœ… Trend intact above 22,800
Flow Bias: ๐Ÿ”ผ Bulls remain in control
Watch: ๐ŸŽฏ 23,000 remains the magnet โ€” but liquidity may thin post-London
๐Ÿ“Œ No need to fight the flow โ€” just respect the timing.

๐Ÿ” SPX500USD | 6,283.7
Gamma Map: โœ… Above flip, inside continuation zone
Risk: ๐Ÿงญ Dealer support fading into close
๐Ÿ“Œ Compression breakout respected โ€” but extension risk increases

๐Ÿ” BTC, DXY, Yields
BTC: ๐ŸŸฅ 109,598 โ€” lagging tech, risk proxy softening
Gold: ๐Ÿ”ฝ 3,325 โ€” failed breakout
DXY/Yields: ๐Ÿ”ผ Nudging higher โ€” may cap risk-on momentum
VIX: ๐Ÿ”ฝ 16.42 โ€” masking underlying tension

๐ŸŽฏ Takeaway:
Levels mapped. Markets respected them.

But with London close nearing and US holiday ahead, the clock now matters more than the price.

๐Ÿ“ NAS100USD โ†’ 22,874
๐Ÿ“ SPX500USD โ†’ 6,283
๐Ÿ“ BTC โ†’ Still lagging at 109K
๐Ÿ“ Gold โ†’ Rejected off highs
๐Ÿ“ VIX โ†’ Slipping, but risk rising
๐Ÿ“ Yields + DXY โ†’ Nudging up = caution

๐ŸŽฏ Summary Insight:
Donโ€™t fight the structure โ€” but do respect the clock.
๐Ÿ•’ London close is near, and holiday de-risking can reverse intraday drifts.
Momentum favours bulls โ€” but itโ€™s thin ice above.

Best Wishes and Success to All
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Take Profits, Not Chances.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Manage Risk to Accumulate.
๐ŸŽฏ React with Clarity, Not Hope.
๐ŸŒŠ Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.

โš™๏ธ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
๐ŸŽฏ Summary posts only. Full context via DM

โš ๏ธ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
Snapshot


SPX500 These bulls want to take as much as they can before the market closes

SPX Huge gap on the chart at $6227. Market will turn red next week.