The week of May 5–9 played out almost exactly in line with the probabilities—no surprises there. Now here’s what the upcoming week looks like based on historical data:
📈 Monday, May 12 – 57.1% chance of climbing → Slight bullish edge. Note: Monday after Mother’s Day – Dow has been up 18 of the last 30 years. Also the Monday before May monthly expiration – Dow up 26 of the last 37, but down 8 of the last 14.
📉 Tuesday, May 13 – 28.6% chance of climbing → Considered a bear day.
📉 Wednesday, May 14 – 42.9% chance of climbing → Still not looking great.
📈 Thursday, May 15 – 57.1% chance of climbing → Leaning bullish.
⚖️ Friday, May 16 – 52.4% chance of climbing → Slight bullish bias. Note: May monthly options expiration day – Dow has been up 16 of the last 24.
Let’s see if the market continues to respect the probabilities this week too.
XRPUSD & BTCUSD followed it to the T, will it continue to follow the stock market?
Morning all, S&P is back into key resistance today, testing familiar levels as we round out the week.
🧭 Market Overview: Broad strength across indices — SPX, NAS100, DJI, and RUS2000 all climbing. DXY remains tame, and VIX is compressed. Titan’s volatility profile continues to support a calm, bullish environment for now.
💡 Sector Flow: Industrials, discretionary, and tech are leading. Semiconductors remain a bright spot. Defensive sectors still lagging — confirming the risk-on flow flagged by Titan’s sector rotation model.
🎯 Price Action: Price is pressing into the 5,680–5,720 resistance zone, right at the upper guide bands and top of the down‑channel. This is where previous rallies have stalled.
🔍 What I’m Seeing: Context: At channel resistance Sentiment: Ultra‑Consensus Long (Titan) Trend: Strong and aligned Macro Checklist: Fully green Momentum: Holding cleanly
📍 Key Levels:
5,700–5,720 = breakout zone
5,660–5,645 = near-term support
5,528–5,460 = macro pullback zone if trend breaks
🧠 My Plan: Staying long-biased while above 5,645. Will look to scalp long only on a clean break and hold above 5,720. Short scalp only if we reject hard or break 5,645 without reclaim.
🌐 Macro View: US–UK trade deal supportive. Semis remain strong. CPI next week is the next scheduled macro test.
🔚 Final word: Structure is clean. Bias remains up. Don’t chase — let price confirm. It’s Friday, so protect gains and stay sharp.
Both NASDAQ and S&P are sitting at critical resistance with strong, clean structure and no breakdown yet. We’re coiled. The next move matters.
There’s no need to force trades into a Friday close. Let price break first — then follow. Avoid the chop. Focus on confirmation, and protect what you’ve built this week.
Trade safe. Take profits, not chances.
This isn’t financial advice — just how I’m reading and managing my own book using Titan Protect. Wishing you clear eyes and clean trades today.
SPX Market Update: Week of May 12–16
XRPUSD & 
BTCUSD followed it to the T, will it continue to follow the stock market?
