S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX) forum
US500 US500 (S&P 500) Weekly Outlook 🔹 Market Bias📊 Weekly/Daily: Long-term bullish trend intact, but price pulling back from 6125–6130. Holding above 50-day SMA (~6004), but momentum is weakening.
📊 4H/2H: Short-term bearish correction, price below key SMAs. RSI oversold, MACD negative.
📌 Key Zone: 6000–5980 support vs. 6050–6060 resistance—decision point for next move.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
📍 Support:
• 6000–5980: 50-day SMA, Fib retracement, lower Bollinger Band.
• 5950: 100-day SMA & Ichimoku Cloud top.
📍 Resistance:
• 6050–6060: Broken support turned resistance.
• 6100–6125: Major resistance near recent highs.
📈 Bullish Scenario: Continuation Above 6000
• Aggressive: Buy 6000–5980 on intraday bounce signals.
• Moderate: Enter above 200 SMA (~6020) with confirmation.
• Conservative: Wait for Daily close above 6050–6060.
🎯 Targets: T1: 6050–6060, T2: 6100–6125.
📍 Stop-Loss: Below 5980 (tight) or 5950 (conservative).
📉 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown Below 6000
• Aggressive: Short 6050–6060 retest or break below 6000.
• Moderate: Enter on 4H close below 6000 with RSI <50.
• Conservative: Enter on Daily close below 5950.
🎯 Targets: T1: 5980–5950, T2: 5900.
📍 Stop-Loss: Above 6050.
🔹 Final Summary
📊 6000–6050 is the key decision zone. Breakout above 6050 leads to 6100+, while loss of 6000 targets 5950–5900. Trade with confirmation & manage risk accordingly.
BABA Alibaba's revenue increased by 8% year-over-year to $38.4 billion, surpassing expectations by $130 million, marking its fastest growth since 2023. The company's cloud revenue growth picked up pace, rising 13% year-over-year (compared to 7% in the previous quarter), driven by six consecutive quarters of strong AI growth. Alibaba is heavily investing in AI, with CEO Eddie Wu stating that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is the company's "primary objective."E-commerce also saw a recovery, with Taobao and Tmall revenue growing by 5%, including a 9% increase in customer management revenue, indicating stronger monetization. International commerce experienced a 32% jump, led by AliExpress and Trendyol.
Alibaba’s renewed focus on AI and infrastructure, along with a partnership with Apple to integrate its AI into iPhones in China, has contributed to a $100 billion rise in market capitalization in 2025. Despite intense competition from PDD and ByteDance, Alibaba’s strategy is proving successful.
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BTCUSDT eXch, the coin mixer platform used by North Korean hackers, rejected Bybit's request for cooperation. SlowMist pointed out that eXch was involved in multiple security incidents, exposing the personal information of industry security personnel, and all platforms should improve their risk control level for funds from eXch. BTCUSD 
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SPX NDXETHUSDT Ethereum developer Tim Beiko said that unlike the TheDAO hack in 2016, the attack on Bybit did not violate the Ethereum protocol rules, and a rollback would lead to widespread and difficult-to-repair chain reactions, and could even bring more destructive consequences. The cost of a rollback could be far more than $1.5 billion.ETHUSD BTCUSD BTCUSDT SPX
Guys, take a look at the SPX monthly chart—the RSI is showing bearish divergence since 8 years ago!!! For those unfamiliar, this happens when the price makes a higher high while volume declines, signaling a potential reversal. This could indicate an upcoming recession, which I believe will begin in January 2026. My plan is to sell everything in November and December 2025 and wait patiently.
Don’t get caught up in euphoria thinking this time is different. Make as much as you can this year, but don’t forget to take profit! No one has ever gone broke taking profit. My friends in crypto—
XRPUSD , BTCUSD —you’ve been warned. Take profit twice this year: once in the spring (“Sell in May and go away!”) and again in the fourth quarter (November/December). If it stretches into the first few days of January, I don’t want to hear, “I should’ve waited!” Take profit and wait patiently—at least one year!
Don’t jump back in on the first bounce; wait patiently! I can’t stress this enough. And if I were to guess, Warren Buffett saw what I’m seeing.
SPX monthly chart—the RSI is showing bearish divergence since 8 years ago!!! For those unfamiliar, this happens when the price makes a higher high while volume declines, signaling a potential reversal. This could indicate an upcoming recession, which I believe will begin in January 2026. My plan is to sell everything in November and December 2025 and wait patiently.Don’t get caught up in euphoria thinking this time is different. Make as much as you can this year, but don’t forget to take profit! No one has ever gone broke taking profit. My friends in crypto—
XRPUSD , BTCUSD —you’ve been warned. Take profit twice this year: once in the spring (“Sell in May and go away!”) and again in the fourth quarter (November/December). If it stretches into the first few days of January, I don’t want to hear, “I should’ve waited!” Take profit and wait patiently—at least one year!Don’t jump back in on the first bounce; wait patiently! I can’t stress this enough. And if I were to guess, Warren Buffett saw what I’m seeing.
XRPUSD 📊 Market Update: February’s Misery is Almost OverThe end of February has been brutal in recent years, and this one is no different. But the good news? It’s almost over. Historically, February is the worst month of the year, full of shakeouts, so it’s always best to sit in spot and ride it out.
Ignore the noise—yes, there was a hack, but it’s just coincidence that it happened during a bearish cycle. It’s not about news or fundamentals—it’s all math. Time and time again, historical data proves this. Remember when I called for high probabilities and we hit all-time highs? And when I called low probabilities, we hit lows? I didn’t need to know any news—just the probabilities.
Markets run on probability, not certainty. Some things are possible, but we focus on what’s most probable. Here’s what’s coming next for
SPX :📉 Monday, Feb 24 – 33.3% chance of climbing → Bear day. 🐻
📈 Tuesday, Feb 25 – 57.1% chance of climbing → A likely bounce after Monday’s drop.
⚖️ Wednesday, Feb 26 – 57.1% chance of climbing → Similar to Tuesday, likely consolidation.
🤷 Thursday, Feb 27 – 52.4% chance of climbing → A slight bullish edge, but still a coin flip.
🚨 Friday, Feb 28– 28.6% chance of climbing → Another big bear day. This lines up with February’s usual pain. 🐻
Now, here’s a sneak peek into March:
📊 Monday, March 3– 61.9% chance of climbing → More probable to go up. The first trading day of March has been up 17 of the last 25 years.
Also, take note of how some bullish news dropped recently, yet the market didn’t react the way most expected. This further proves that the market doesn’t care about the news—it’s all based on math and probability.
We’ll likely see another shakeout in March—but we already know that. I’ll update again next week. Stay levelheaded, and remember: This is for educational purposes only—not financial advice.
📌 Note: This data is specifically for the S&P 500, which is heavily comprised of tech stocks. The crypto, Bitcoin and XRP market tends to follow the S&P 500, making this data relevant for us crypto traders as well.
BTCUSDT Bybit has now officially launched the "Bounty Recovery Program". Contributors who successfully recover funds will receive a 10% reward. If all funds are recovered, the total bounty may be as high as $140 million. "We have shared in a dark moment of crypto history, and we’ve proven we are better than the malicious actors."SPX DXY BTCUSD ETHUSDT