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SPX After a strong rebound from the 4,495 support zone, the SPX posted an impressive bullish candle this week (+4.59%). The price is now approaching key Fibonacci retracement levels, with important zones at 5,208 (0%) and 5,528 (61.8%).

📊 Key highlights:

Critical support: 4,495

Current resistance: 5,528 (61.8% Fib level)

Weekly RSI recovering, moving out of the oversold zone.
Snapshot

SPX Market Probability Outlook:
Week of April 28 – May 2

📈 Monday, April 28 – 57.1% chance of climbing → Leaning bullish.

📈 Tuesday, April 29 – 71.4% chance of climbing → Strong probability. Could see a dip Monday followed by a sharp move up Tuesday, which has been the recent pattern.

📉 Wednesday, April 30 – 33.3% chance of climbing → Very low probability, setting up for a likely dump—even though Wednesdays are typically bullish days.

📈 Thursday, May 1 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Start of a new month with bullish seasonal bias.

⚖️ Friday, May 2 – 52.4% chance of climbing → Coin toss.

Key Reminders:
If the market doesn’t rally as expected during bullish seasonal periods, it’s a warning that underlying forces are stronger. Once the seasonal window closes, those forces will likely show their true impact.
If everyone is sitting and waiting for a pullback to buy, either the market won’t give them a pullback—or if it does, it might not be the smart move to jump in.

Stay sharp! BTCUSD and large caps like XRPUSD tend to follow the stock market now, especially with banks heavily involved in crypto. Like it or not, we’re playing by their rules.

Hey guys. I'm gonna bring my logic to you so you can see this point of view.
Do you see the HUGE candle we saw on Wednesday 4/9/25? Well, that makes me believe people is waiting desperately to buy. Why? Because this bearish trend is man made. Despite the fact that tariffs context has not finished, we can see bullish indicators that can show us people is getting bored of tariffs. Nvidia and Tesla's inverse head and shoulders are an indicator of a trend reversal. Indexes have broken downtrends.
Also think as If you were a huge investment fund manager. What would you do? Would you invest in all time highs or would you invest a ton of money in every drop of the market? We've seen big corrections. It is clear that we'll see more drops in the near term but I believe market will recover very fast in the short term. This are clear signs we will see a strong FOMO trend short term. Nevertheless, it is crucial that you manage your risk, be careful and stay informed. Context can change everything.

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US500 A month ago, I predicted the US$500 would be at this price level. Today? I expect a small pullback as a buy option. There could be several reasons, but I'd like to think it will happen because China will get fed up with Trump saying there are talks and them saying there aren't.

In the next month, we'll be $200 higher, and after that, we'll hit $6,000.



SPY SPX AAPL TSLA NVDA Good morning, traders! I hope everyone is doing well. On April 1st, I posted an idea titled "FULL MOON and SPY," where I explained how I discovered an interesting relationship between the full moon date and SPY's behavior. I also recommended buying call options at the close of the April 11th session—and interestingly, the theory proved right once again, as SPY opened with a gap-up of approximately 8–9 points on April 15th, the next trading session. Nature is beautiful and full of patterns—you just need an eye that can see them. Good luck, everyone!

BTCUSD SPX BREAKING: President Trump says he would sign a ban on congressional stock trading.

Is Nancy selling? 🤣