Community ideas
Valuation is truth: stocks vs gold and stocks + goldWe live in a dollar matrix, a world we can feel but have trouble understanding.
We have learned that things go up over time, but we don't know why.
Why do things go up and sometimes also go down.
Valuation is a lie detector.
We should seek truth.
Stocks dont always go straight up.
Gold is just scare shiny rock.
Dollars are debt instruments and promises for money.
GLD PSLV GOLD CBOE:SPX SP:SPX TVC:SPX FRED:CPIAUCSL FRED:M2SL FRED:PCE FRED:GDP
Interest rate up to at least 6.5% in 2023, why?The Fed chairman has given the market a very important clue on 13 Dec 22.
At what level will he consider an interest rate cut?
He said “I wouldn't see us considering rate cuts until the committee is confident that inflation is moving down to 2% in a sustained way,” meaning only if CPI is heading nearing 2% then it is hopeful to see a rate cut.
Market consensus for CPI to range between 5% to 8..9% for this year. If this is true, the Fed is likely to continue to hike the rate moderately at 0.25% in each meeting just to bring inflation down.
I am seeing this as the best case scenario.
Today’s content:
Strategy in an inflationary environment:
i. Commodity – Buy them
ii. Stock market – Trade them
Can inflation be hedged and can we trade into the interest rate uptrend?
CME Micro 30 Year Yield Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.001 point = $1
0.01 point = $10
0.1 point = $100
1 point = $1,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Best investing advice to myself if the financial panic comesIve seen this movie before, and I love thats its playing again. The economy goes through cycles and its rhyming like other times. Its never the same, lets be clear about that. But expensive things get cheaper when the economy slows down because people will need their money for the hard times that may come. Its that simple.
Learning to read financial statements and metrics is like learning your ABCs but for investing. Trading off a chart is good, but learning what is behind the chart will help in uncertainty. "deep faith eliminates fear". The chart wont tell you if a company is losing money or if there are more assets than the marketcap is reflecting.
Buy decade growers for the best deal you can, and let them work. Best advice to myself. see you in 20 years.
Silver Analysis 01.01.2023Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Educational Options Video Strangle v Capped Strangle Jade LizardConceptual view of how to trade non directional or semi directionally using strangles and capped strangles, also known as Jade Lizard option spreads.
Non directional option trades attempt to benefit from sideways markets or markets where options are are pricing more implied movement than is realized in the underlying asset.
Combing a vertical on top with a cash secured put on bottom, creates a range trade. Selling on both sides for credits helps either reduce the cost of buying shares or creates income while the stock trades sideways without direction.
DIA SPX QQQ VIX NYSE:PLTR SNAP
CHFJPY I Swing short from resistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
The Exit - How to take profitsToday’s content:
1. Why each exit is within 3 months?
2. Why I turn from investing to trading the US markets since Jan 2022 and onwards
If you have been following, today’s is the 6th tutorial in our Trading Series:
1. “The buy strategy”
2. “The sell strategy”
3. “Developing long & short-term view”
4. “Choosing between the time frame”
5. “The entry”
6. “The exit”
Refer to the links below or check the previous 5 videos.
E-Mini Nasdaq Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 point = $5
1 point = $20
10 points = $200
100 points = $2,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Apple Analysis 21.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis:
Understanding Trends In Markets: Why They DevelopThe prime example of a Trend on the S&P will help you understand and be ready for any future move..
Especially when you are looking at it the right way.
In this video we go from the very start to where we are now to understand how the market develops based on market news and sentiment and what to look for in the future.
Trade Small and Trade Safe.
Daily Bitcoin Update - Will key support level hold $16572Afternoon all,
Remember to BOOST
Full TA in the video as usual. Some notes:
- Further break down from the pattern
- Bearish retest confirmed
- .618 golden fib acting as support
- Limited trading volume under this level so if the price does break down i am expecting a quick move down to 16300 area
- Bullish scenario would be a break above 16919 but beware of that head and shoulders!
- Bearish scenario is a bearish retest of the .618 golden fib $16574
- Measure move $16326
- Further support $16083.786 fib.
- Lack of volume right now and bears are in control
- SPX and NASDAQ hit hard yesterday and pre-markets are negative 1% if it stays like that then the SPX and NASDAQ would open below current support which could result in more downside.
Be patient and stick to your strategy!
Please hit the boost button if you like this update.
Back tomorrow.
Thanks
SIMON BPOI
ADX: How to use this under-the-radar tool.Hey everyone! 👋👋
In this video, we're taking a look at the ADX Indicator. We break down how it works, how to interpret its output, common uses for it, and ways that it can help you find and screen for opportunities you like.
Feel free to drop some questions below in the comments!
Remember - nothing in this video constitutes advice, our only goal is to educate you about the markets and how to use our platform more broadly.
Cheers!
-Team TradingView ❤️❤️
Check out more information about the ADX in our help center here .
The Entry - Sell Today, we will do a few case studies on how we can make a market entry, this technique can be applied both the long-term or the short-term trades.
Today’s content:
1. 25 Nov 21 - Entry signal to short (transiting into today’s bear)
2. 13 Oct 22 - Entry signal to go long (for this bear rebound)
3. Today – Entry signal – Sell
If you have been following, today’s is the 5th tutorial in our Trading Series:
1. “The buy strategy”
2. “The sell strategy”
3. “Developing long & short-term view”
4. “Choosing between the time frame”
5. “The entry”
E-Mini Dow Jones Futures
Minimum fluctuation
1 point = $5
10 points = $50
100 points = $500
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
How Did You Handle The News.. EURUSD UpdateSo we just had CPI data come out with a 7.1% Showing... Market heavily affected with USD further weakening. For many this gave the way for EXITS on any former light longs and an idea of where we can look to short...
But the main point is this provides opportunity to Trade News Events the right way... By not guessing.
Use the market RE action. Not the market action.
Trade safe Trade small and watch on and learn..
