Classic Wyckoff accumulation. Markup phase coming ! This video is an analysis on the Wyckoff accumulation setup. All aspects of the method are being checked off so it's just a matter of time before we get a breakout due to a "catalyst in the news". Obviously, good news for the vaccine sector will probably be bad news for the overall market.
Community ideas
The TradingView Show: Charting Big Rotations with TradeStationOur discussion will dive into the breakout charts of small caps, the ongoing chatter about interest rates, and the shift among Fed members towards a dovish stance. We'll also examine the implications of the slowing AI stock boom and the increasing participation of stocks in catching a bid in the broader market.
The TradeStation team actively shares their daily insights and research on TradingView, providing a rich platform for interactive learning. Their repository includes powerful trading scripts designed to equip traders with effective tools for market analysis and execution.
Understanding these market dynamics is crucial, especially during seasonal shifts like those often observed in summer, where distinct patterns in market behaviors, such as those seen in the S&P 500, emerge. Charting and research play pivotal roles in navigating these fluctuations, offering insights into potential opportunities and risks. By leveraging these tools, traders can make informed decisions aligned with evolving market conditions, enhancing their ability to thrive in dynamic trading environments.
Explore all TradeStation ideas on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com
As you follow the discussion, feel free to ask questions in the comments, share your feedback, and chart alongside us by typing the respective symbol into the symbol search.
The TradingView Show takes place monthly, spotlighting TradingView community members and focusing on educational and informational content. Join us to expand your knowledge and insights into equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more.
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Divergence: RSI vs. PriceHey everyone!
In my years of trading, I've really come to love Reversal Strategies and my favorite is in the form of a DIVERGENCE!
Today, I took some time to put together an Educational Video on:
1) What a Divergence Is?
2) How to Spot them!
&
3) How to Trade them!
I hope you find this helpful!
**Tips
- Divergence is never good enough to trade alone, YOU NEED CONFIRMATION!
- The longer the Divergence takes, the more reliable it is
- Change in Momentum is KEY!
The Semiconductor Bubble is Finally PoppingI believe it is time for one of the biggest bubbles in history to be popped. I'm talking about semiconductors here, but really I would call this entire situation an "everything bubble." i think it all starts with semiconductors though, once the bubble pops it's going to get ugly quick and shorts will pay. However, timing such a move is difficult, but with some good TA you can increase the odds quite a bit. As always, it's only worth risking so much, top picking is a fool's game. Don't short just because of me. If anything, it might just be best to reduce long exposure for the time being rather than shorting.
I go over some charts for SOXX NVDA and more, which I have individual ideas for also. All of these charts feature bearish patterns and major trend breaks. It is all adding up, every single semiconductor I see has a major downside break and NQ is on the edge of breaking its uptrend as well.
We'll have to see how it goes, if I knew what was going to happen for sure I'd be on my yacht right now.
Why Using Charts Can Help You with Your TradingImagine you've decided to buy a particular stock. Your position starts to make money, and you're thrilled. But what do you do now? Should you hold onto your position or cash it in? Has it made enough profit, or will it go further? It's painful to lose money, but it's also frustrating to take profits only to see your original investment quadruple in price after you've cashed out too early.
Is there something that can help you make these decisions? Yes, there is! It's called technical analysis. But what if you're a complete novice to technical analysis? It may look complicated and difficult, but don't worry.
The beauty of technical analysis is that it can help with your decision-making, and once you learn the rules, it's easy to apply.
I have attached a short video explaining the steps I go through when I first look at a chart. Do you know how to determine a trend? Do you know how to apply trend lines? Do you know what a momentum indicator is? Do you know why and how to use moving averages? Do you understand continuation and reversal signals?
Gold Hits Record Highs! Skyrocket Further or Sharp Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
BTCUSD - $63,000 - $65,000 Imminent... This weekend, i was expecting a selloff into $52,000 but wat happened was a low resistance liquidity run into premium arrays.
Looking at the daily order block array @ $63,866 as the first point of interest.
We also have a weekly array just above that area which spans upto FWB:65K
Gold analysis and trade idea 16 JulyConsolidation zone forming a bull flag pattern
Resistance area at 2449
Potential double top formation at 2445-50 level
Possibility of consolidation before breakout, with multiple attempts needed for a successful breakout
Buying opportunities seen for every dip within the channel
Resistance levels at 2434 and 2447 highlighted for potential selling opportunities.
Taking On Discipline In StagesOnce you have decided that you need discipline in your trading, knowing where to start can be difficult and overwhelming. There are many pieces to a trading plan, and it's easy to feel overwhelmed.
You can break the task into manageable sections and master one discipline at a time, or focus on the the discipline you need. This approach makes the process more manageable and ensures that each aspect of your trading strategy is given the attention it deserves.
Trading Plan Components: Each of these sections should have objective rules so there isn't any escape room.
Method Rules
Entry Rules
Stop Rules
trailing Stop Rules
Exit Rules
Journaling
Trade Plan for TME, COIN
Shane
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Why Are Bonds Still Crashing?Why are US, UK, and EU bonds still crashing since March 2020?
In this video, we are going to study the relationship between bonds, yields, and interest rates, which many of us find confusing. How can we understand them, and why are bond prices leading the yield, followed by interest rates this season?
10 Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Silver: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: Silver
Pattern – resistance stall, continuation
Support – $28.70
Resistance – $31.30
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Silver on the daily chart.
As per most reports, we have started looking out, highlighting the main trend and key points before moving into the current price action. Looking at the current break higher and resistance point, will we see the current continuation contnue?
We have run over what we are looking for to confirm this and some warning signs to watch out for as well.
Good trading.
How to Plot Head & Shoulders Pattern on TradingViewWelcome back, Traders!
We’re excited to have you here on TradingView where we share valuable trading insights and educational posts to help you succeed in the markets. Today, we’re diving into one of the most reliable chart patterns in technical analysis: the Head and Shoulders pattern. Understanding and identifying this pattern can significantly improve your trading strategy, whether you’re dealing with forex, stocks, or commodities.
What is the Head and Shoulders Pattern?
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that indicates a potential end to an uptrend and the beginning of a downtrend. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: The first peak followed by a decline.
Head: The highest peak followed by a decline.
Right Shoulder: A peak similar in height to the left shoulder, followed by a decline.
The neckline is the support line that connects the lows after the left shoulder and the head.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
Identify the Pattern: Look for the three distinct peaks with the head being the highest.
Draw the Neckline: Connect the lows after the left shoulder and the head to form the neckline.
Entry Point: Enter a short position when the price breaks below the neckline.
Target: Measure the distance from the head to the neckline and subtract this distance from the breakout point to set your target.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the right shoulder to manage your risk.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern signaling the end of a downtrend and the start of an uptrend. It consists of three troughs:
Left Shoulder: The first trough followed by a rise.
Head: The lowest trough followed by a rise.
Right Shoulder: A trough similar in depth to the left shoulder, followed by a rise.
The neckline is the resistance line connecting the highs after the left shoulder and the head.
How to Trade the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern:
Identify the Pattern: Look for the three distinct troughs with the head being the lowest.
Draw the Neckline: Connect the highs after the left shoulder and the head to form the neckline.
Entry Point: Enter a long position when the price breaks above the neckline.
Target: Measure the distance from the head to the neckline and add this distance to the breakout point to set your target.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the right shoulder to manage your risk.
Follow us on TradingView for more helpful ideas and educational posts!
Stay tuned as we continue to share insights that will help you on your trading journey. Happy trading! - BK Trading Academy
Setup SundayHello traders!
Here we are again with another Setup Sunday!
We had some amazing last 3 weeks, only profits!
For the next week there are a lot of great potentials again and yet again a nice profit on gold with my strategy :)
Check out the video and let me know what you think!
Good luck everybody!
Happy trading :D
TURN BY TURN: IS XRP A BITCOIN HEDGE?XRP, the digital currency created by Ripple Labs, is often discussed in the context of its potential as a hedge against Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ). Here’s a brief analysis of whether XRP can serve as an effective hedge.
What is XRP?
XRP is designed to facilitate fast, low-cost cross-border transactions. Unlike Bitcoin, which is primarily viewed as a store of value or digital gold, XRP focuses on enabling efficient payments and transfers between different currencies.
Correlation with Bitcoin
Market Trends:
Historically, XRP has shown a significant correlation with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies. This means that when Bitcoin's price rises or falls, XRP often follows suit. This high correlation reduces its effectiveness as a hedge against Bitcoin price movements.
Volatility:
Both Bitcoin and XRP are subject to high volatility. For a cryptocurrency to act as a hedge, it should ideally exhibit lower volatility or inverse price movements compared to Bitcoin. XRP's volatility is often comparable to or even exceeds that of Bitcoin, which further undermines its potential as a hedge.
Use Case Differentiation
Payment Systems:
XRP’s primary use case is in the realm of cross-border payments and financial institution settlements, which differs significantly from Bitcoin's use as a store of value. This fundamental difference in use cases could, in theory, provide some level of diversification for investors.
Regulatory Factors:
XRP's price is also influenced by regulatory developments specific to Ripple Labs and its ongoing legal issues with the SEC. These factors can lead to price movements in XRP that are independent of Bitcoin’s price dynamics, offering a potential, albeit limited, hedge.
Market Sentiment
Investor Behavior:
Market sentiment plays a crucial role in the price movements of both Bitcoin and XRP. During periods of high market optimism or pessimism, both cryptocurrencies often move in tandem due to overall market sentiment affecting the crypto space.
Conclusion
While XRP and Bitcoin serve different purposes within the cryptocurrency ecosystem, the high correlation and similar volatility patterns between the two mean that XRP is not an ideal hedge against Bitcoin. However, its unique use case in cross-border payments and the influence of specific regulatory developments on its price could offer some level of diversification for investors. For those looking for a hedge against Bitcoin, other assets such as stablecoins or traditional financial instruments might be more suitable.
10-Year T-Note vs. 10-Year Yield Futures: Which One To Trade?Introduction:
The 10-Year T-Note Futures and 10-Year Yield Futures are two prominent instruments in the financial markets, offering traders unique opportunities to capitalize on interest rate movements. This video compares these two products, focusing on their key characteristics, liquidity, and the differences in point and tick values, ultimately helping you decide which one to trade.
Key Characteristics:
10-Year T-Note Futures represent a contract based on the value of U.S. Treasury notes with a 10-year maturity, while 10-Year Yield Futures are based on the yield of these notes. The T-Note Futures contract size is $100,000, while the 10-Year Yield Futures contract size is based on $1,000 per index point, reflecting a $10 DV01 (dollar value of a one basis point move).
Liquidity Comparison:
Both 10-Year T-Note Futures and 10-Year Yield Futures are highly liquid, with substantial daily trading volumes and open interest. This high liquidity ensures tight spreads and efficient trade execution, providing traders with confidence in entering and exiting positions in both markets.
Point and Tick Values:
Understanding the point and tick values is crucial for effective trading. For 10-Year T-Note Futures, each tick is 1/32nd of a point, worth $31.25 per contract. The 10-Year Yield Futures have a tick value of 0.001 percent, worth $1.00 per contract. These values influence trading costs and profit potential differently and are essential for precise strategy formulation.
Margin Information:
The initial margin requirement for 10-Year T-Note Futures typically ranges around $1,500 per contract, while the maintenance margin is slightly lower. For 10-Year Yield Futures, the initial margin is approximately $500 per contract, reflecting its lower notional value and DV01. Maintenance margins for yield futures are also marginally lower, providing traders with flexible capital management options.
Trade Execution:
We demonstrate planning and placing a bracket order for both products. Using TradingView charts, we set up entry and exit points, showcasing how the different tick values and liquidity levels impact trade execution and potential outcomes.
Risk Management:
Effective risk management is vital when trading futures. Utilizing stop-loss orders and hedging techniques can mitigate potential losses. Avoiding undefined risk exposure and ensuring precise entries and exits help maintain a balanced risk-reward ratio, which is essential for long-term trading success.
Conclusion:
Both 10-Year T-Note Futures and 10-Year Yield Futures offer unique advantages. The choice depends on your trading strategy, risk tolerance, and market outlook. Watch the full video for a detailed analysis and insights on leveraging these products in your trading endeavors.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
