You Can't Predict Which Trade Will Succeed. How To Deal?This is why I prefer to open many small positions - you never know which one will be successful!
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How to understand price action.
It is very easy to read price action if you have a reference point. These support/resistance lines are there to help you read where the buyers and sellers are likely to make a stand.
You can also think of these indicators as moving pivot points .
MasterChartsTrading Price Action Indicators show good price levels to enter or exit a trade.
The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter.
If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long (buying).
For commodities and Forex, when your trading instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting (selling).
For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts ). A stock has to close below the Yellow line first, then rally towards the Red line and top out there. This is where I would short it.
Be sure to hit that Follow button! Please find me on social networks via the link on my profile page for more ideas from @MasterCharts!
Energy Commodities
📚 What To Look for When Charting Here is a chart of EURCAD. There were various opportunities available both short term and long term. Once you can identify chart patterns, you can easily anticipate where price will go next.
A great chart pattern that I always use is flags - Bull Flags and Bear Flags. In the chart you can see that many times price impulsed and then created a flag and then carried on with the move. Flags can be found both in higher timeframes as well as lower time frames.
Be sure to look out for them!
Inter-market analysis, MARKET CRASH vs. CORRECTION Market crash usually have a devastating effects on prices in commodities and energy market. As you see in the charts, we see how .com bubble, housing bubble, burst and COVID-19 pandemic affected oil price in the past.
What we see started since early February 2021 in the market has not the defined criteria of a market crash, and seems to be a correction. Although the stock market is in the red zone, we see slight changes in prices in commodities and energy market.
In conclusion, whether it is a correction or early market crash, it would be better to sit out, monitor and reevaluate the situation.
Keep in mind the future outlook is pretty much different from Feb-March 2020, when a pandemic was just started(once in a lifetime experience). IMO: soon recovery phase will start in most developed countries followed by developing countries.
The future outlook is actually bright and United States market could experience an economic boom because:
A: a year from now, most of the population will be vaccinated and ready to back to business!
B: Expansionary Monetary policy will enhance exports, stimulate the demand, and cause inflation.
*** some sector like commercial real state & fossil fuels will not fully recover because their outlook is compromised by e-commerce and clean sustainable energy companies.
OIL10.4.20 I am generally satisfied with the video, but I wasn't clear at the end because I was worried about upload failures for the video. Please read this for a minute so the end of the video will be more clear: oil has traded lower to a support area, but it closed near the low of the daily bar. There will be some traders who think in terms of probabilities... think that the market is likely to move lower because it's a bearish swing that closed near its low>>>and they might be correct. From a risk reward point of view, you can find a relatively close structural stop... and because of this, even knowing that the market may have a slight edge for sellers... you may be willing to take the long trade. On the other hand, even if the market favors the price moving lower, there is no nearby structural stop to manage a short trade... and that may be enough to walk away from the trade. It is for me, personally. Bad R:R filters out lots of trades for me, personally. This is because I have a core belief that I will find better trades, and I don't need to settle for this trade.
OIL (VIDEO IDEA UPDATED) - AMAZING RESULT Last night video idea ended up being a HUGE success.
Oil did drop up to 6% at some point and closed the day at a 4% minus!
Take a look at yesterday's video and notice how the price of Oil did drop indeed and how it rebounded and stopped at our previous support which now became a resistance.
Technical analysis for a seminar!
Bitcoin set to smash ATH in the next 8 to 12 WKS thanks to......Astronomical returns possible: Bitcoin set to smash ATH in the next 8 to 12 WKS thanks to "Big Oil" signal after SPX setting ATH's >> WK 16 DEC 19 63% 8 WKS >> WK 25 SEPT 18 437% 11 WKS >> WK 28 JAN 13 1383% 10 WKS. The only time signal did not work was when bitcoin MACD histogram was in red. CAVEAT: WTI Crude Oil Weekly MACD line (source HIGH) has not yet closed >0. Big Oil signal still needs to confirm. NOT ADVICE. DYOR.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Weakening Market & Consolidation
Crude oil is becoming weaker and weaker.
though many fundamentalists promised a quick return to "normal" price levels after the lockdown removal,
it looks like things are much more complicated than that.
if you are a swing trader and you are looking for an opportunity to jump in in the market,
I guess it is not the best moment.
for the entire month, we could not set a new high.
ATR drops as crazy and volatility is missing:)
let the market start moving.
let it pick the direction and then just act accordingly.
swaps are now very expensive on oil, so no need to incur these losses.
If BTC is Steady, We Are Steady in Small Caps BoiCheck out the latest blog post for more boi:
www.derzzycharts.com
Same deal, short weakness, buy strength. When BTC is giving the market room to breath, we own altcoins. It works every time. We don’t need to know why, we just know that it does. So what did we do today? We looked at the top 500 coins, and picked some charts to buy. Let’s have a look.
Here we have WTCUSDT and FTMUSDT. You don’t even need to know what they are, just that they have strong charts. That is the beauty of technical analysis, it could be anything! It could be corn, it could be soybeans, it could be any altcoin out there. If the chart looks good, we put in an order. We bought WTCUSDT earlier, but we are waiting for the pullback in FTMUSDT. So how did we pick these out of all of the charts? Good question… well we didn’t want bearish divergences on the RSI, we wanted a good cloud, and a MACD that had room to run. A lot of coins have pumped, but you don’t want to hold bags in crypto. So you have to pick positive charts. Don’t chase bro!
For a look at the indicators and the decisions, see the linked post.
Happy Trading!
Brandon Anderson
brandon@derzzycharts.com
@derzzycharts
www.derzzycharts.com