US Markets May Rally 60% to 100% On Strong Technical DataI posted a similar video yesterday, but it was taken down because I screwed up the content. So, I'll try to post this video without messing up the content.
The US markets (particularly the NAS100 - as shown in this video) will likely continue to move in a strong bullish price trend - even against the multiple divergences and other technical peak/exhaustion patterns over the next 3 to 4+ years.
Far too many people simply don't understand the dynamics at play right now, with the superheated US economy and the predatory Fed processes creating this parabolic Bullish price move.
Be prepared. Many people will be picking tops for the next 3~4+ years, and you are going to hear a lot of FEAR in their voices. You must attempt to understand the true market dynamics at play and stay away from group-think.
Hope you enjoy this video.
ES
Why Large Firms with Huge Cash? Small Firm Are Leading...Berkshire Hathaway, an investment company is not investing. What is the signal?
Why are they hoarding cash?
• Not much good investment opportunity ahead
• Preparing for tougher time
E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options
Ticker: ES
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $12.50
Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options
Ticker: MES
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
SP500, Game plan.ES/SP500/US100
Hello Traders, Welcome back to another market breakdown.
Today, I've got an exciting video for you as I dive into the current state of the S&P 500 and explore various strategies based on different market scenarios. Whether you're an experienced investor or just getting started, this video will help you better understand how to navigate the dynamic world of the stock market.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
How to trade correlations with the SP500? ES/SP500/US100
Hello Traders, Welcome back to another market breakdown.
Today, I've got an exciting video for you as I dive into the current state of the S&P 500 and explore various strategies based on different market scenarios. Whether you're an experienced investor or just getting started, this video will help you better understand how to navigate the dynamic world of the stock market.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
S&P500, 2024 outlook.ES/SP500/US100
Hello Traders, Welcome back to another market breakdown.
Today, I've got an exciting video for you as I dive into the current state of the S&P 500 and explore various strategies based on different market scenarios. Whether you're an experienced investor or just getting started, this video will help you better understand how to navigate the dynamic world of the stock market.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
Support and Resistance Es,SPX, NQSupport and Resistance
Back to Basics : and understanding the tool to interpret price action can get you small wins on a daily basis.
Here are a few examples how to use it in today price action.
Especially when all three markets are in alignment.
Is that simple!
Stay Frosty!
1/12 Weekly Plan. ES Futures March ESH24 Weekly Pivot is 4,8601/22 Weekly Plan. ES Futures March ESH24 Weekly Pivot is 4,860
Targets
4,882
4,900
4,927
Targets
4,740
4,792
4,746
Now trading at 4,880
Alerts
You will receive alerts in this channel every time ES hits (2M candle close):
Weekly opening 4,872
Weekly pivot at 4,860
Each weekly target.
Side notes
ES is currently OTFU in all timeframes (D-W-M), daily which would come to an end if 4,815 is breached during RTH session.
4750 Target met, trends in some conflict nowSo, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head.
That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
2Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
3Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
4Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
6Hr - 4759 Downtrend (12/20/2023) Higher Low
12Hr - 4762 Uptrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
So now the shorter timeframe trends are in some conflict with the longer timeframe trends, and being I capitalized well last week, I am in no rush to get between this fight.
Economic Data;
I could see the public debt today being a big issue, but the major one this week will be CPI data on Thursday, as covered in the video.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be a concern as well.
My sentiment is;
Shorter Term - Neutral
Short Term - Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral/Bullish
Long Term - Bullish
Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
Weekly Setup and 10 AM TRADEThis is a holiday abridged week. I expect market volume to taper off after Tuesday or so, with it coming alive following Monday. Thursday and Friday, the NYSE remains closed. Happy Thanksgiving!
My Weekly Scenarios
Scenario 1: I think if we are able to remain above 4510-4515 this week, there may be a tendency to test 4552 area. I do think there is a possibility of a range extension into 4586-4600 due to seasonality, mega caps etc.
ES Weekly Trade Plan
Inflection: 4508-4512
Upper Levels: 4545 / 4565 / 4606-4614 / 4634
Lower Levels: 4484 / 4467-4474 / 4423-4430 / 4400
ES Monday Trade Plan
Inflection: 4508-4512
Upper Levels: 4537 / 4545 / 4560-4566 / 4580
Lower Levels: 4500 / 4493 / 4474 / 4467
STAY FROSTY!
ES and SPX Trade Plan 10.13.23The primary level yesterday plan was 4430-4450 zone which was expected to be resistance for longer time frames as well as for the intraday session.
We could barely do any trading above this level and we traded down into 4400 even before the cash session opened for business. 4400-4410 has even an important level for past few sessions and I expected some support to come in here which was indeed the case as we saw about a 20 dollar rally from this level.
Eventually this level broke down, support became resistance and we traded down into 4350 in afternoon.
Scenarios for tomorrow
While I liked the action at 4430 as a longer term bear, I did not like the bounce from 4350.
For tomorrow’s session, both 4380 and 4350 could be important levels.....
Trade safe and Stay Frosty!
For more info on today Plan link below .
Dissecting SPY Price trends With Fibonacci Price TheoryHave you ever wanted to learn the one technique you can use on any chart, any interval, or any technical or price set up to help you become a better trader?
Let me show you the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory and how to use it.
Price is always seeking new highs or new lows - ALWAYS.
You'll hear others talking about price filling voids or moving through accumulation/distribution phases - which is all true. Price moves through these support/resistance levels or quickly through price voids to reach new highs or lows. This is all part of Fibonacci Price Theory.
When you learn to understand various intervals using this technique (Weekly, Daily, 30 Min, or others), you'll quickly be able to identify short-term, long-term, and intra-day trends like a pro.
It is not about catching every trend reversal/setup. This technique is about teaching you to stay on the right side of trend and to target the Sweet Spot in the middle of breakaway/breakdown trends.
Follow my research. Learn how I can help you become a better trader.
SPY Cycle Patterns CRUSH Day Leads Bearish TrendingMy proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns are an advanced predictive modeling system based on Fibonacci, Gann, and price cycles.
The most incredible thing about these patterns is they predict future price action/trends many days, weeks, and months in advance - very accurately.
The accuracy ratio of the SPY Cycle Patterns is usually about 85 to 90%. There are times when it is wrong.
My proprietary research suggests we have entered a very dangerous new crisis phase. The SPY will likely target $404 or lower (possibly $393).
I'm posting this short video to help you prepare for what comes next.
Follow my research.
Navigating the S&P500 for different market scenarios ES, SPY, Multi-time frame analysis.
Welcome back to another market breakdown.
Today, I've got an exciting video for you as I dive into the current state of the S&P 500 and explore various strategies based on different market scenarios. Whether you're an experienced investor or just getting started, this video will help you better understand how to navigate the dynamic world of the stock market.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
Learn To Trade Breakout/Flags More Efficiently - Part IIn my first tutorial, I tried to show how price channels can be used to identify and validate strong trade setups. Additionally, I attempted to show you how to identify better trade setups from what I consider invalid trade setups.
Understanding and maintaining at least a 2:1 Reward-to-risk factor for any trade you consider taking is essential. Secondly, it is essential to understand and use proper allocation levels for trades.
The simple way to understand allocation levels is to focus on the RISK amount. If your trade risks $5 per share and you can't afford to risk $500 on this trade, then you should NOT attempt to trade 100 shares of this stock.
Set your risk level based on how much you intend to risk for the trade - nothing more.
If you can only risk $250, then you would only trade 50 shares.
If you can only risk $125, then you would only trade 25 shares.
Learning to find and identify proper trade setups on Daily and Weekly charts is critical for success in the long run. I firmly believe price tells us everything we need to know about a chart, and indicators reflect price.
As you continue to learn some of the techniques I use in various price chart setups, I hope you can refine your techniques to become better traders.
I will likely create a PART II and PART III version of these types of advanced trade setups.
Hope you enjoy.
SPX head and shoulders possibly complete - Larger C may be nextLooking at the futures charts today and I wanted to convey my thoughts for the week and also what I think may be coming for the next few months. There are a few other charts I've been talking about which seem to point to this idea as well (IWM, SOXX, XLF). A further bounce back up would not change this idea but getting over the summer's high would invalidate it for sure.
Good luck!
Weekly Plan ES Futures /2708/28 Weekly Plan. ES Futures September
Weekly Pivot is 4,402 [top of the spike from 8/24
Targets
4,425
4,469 [5 days balance top)
4,505
Targets
4,350
4,313
4,289
Now trading at 4,418
Alerts
You will receive alerts in this channel every time ES hits (2M candle close):
Weekly opening 4,418
Weekly pivot at 4,402
Each weekly target.
Side notes:
5 Days Balance in daily + monthly. We are One Time Framing Down in Weekly Chart, weekly OTFD ends if 4468.75 is breached in RTH (balance top). 5 days balance zone is
When trading off weekly levels, each level will act as support and resistance, “no trade zones” do not apply to weekly plan.
Have a great week and trade safe.
Psychology of Price Action Analysis | NASDAQ and ES Futures- NASDAQ and ES futures confirmed a hourly downtrend i want to see it confirm on market cash open on QQQ and SPY to be more convincing
- the size of this pull back will determine if we can short a daily lower high if its a shallow pull back then bulls are still in completely control
FRC Reminder | Weekly Outlook NASDAQ and SPX at KEY Resistance |- Both SPX and NASDAQ close right under resistance
- NYSE:FRC potentially get take over by government that means it would likely get delisted meaning goes to 0
- currently neutral daily trend for SPY & QQQ need to see consolidation soon. retracement size will be key here
How to Day Trade or Swing Trade S&P500 Futures No IndicatorsHey Traders,
So over the years I bout alot of courses about trading the markets. In one course I took I learned about a reversal strategy using candlesticks on daily charts. Although in the past I didn't consider myself a Day Trader I found this strategy to be appealing for it using the Stock Index futures. So now I sometimes do day trade the market if I get the right setup. The good thing about his strategy is that you only need to check the market once a day to see if there is a setup. Then you just place your stop orders and limit orders according to your risk management or you can also use options.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
SP500, All you need to know right now.S&P5OO, Emini, ES, US500
Hello traders, welcome back to another marjet breakdown.
In this video, I speak about the recent price action on the SP500 and what we could expect in the coming weeks.
With every bar printed, new information is showen that can change the probability of each event.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.