3/28 Daily Plan Please see attached videos for daily targets.
===========================================
03/27 Weekly Plan. ES Futures March
Weekly Pivot is 3,990
Targets
1. 4,038
2. 4,080
3. 4,130
Targets
1. 3,950
2. 3,890
3. 3,835
Now trading at 4,026
Alerts
You will receive alerts in this channel every time ES hits (2M candle close):
1. Weekly opening 4,008
2. Weekly pivot at 3,990
3. Each weekly target.
**Side notes: ***
1. Balance is daily timeframe
2. Balance in weekly timeframe; H4082.5, L3840.75, HB3962
3. Balance in monthly timeframe. H4208, L3814, HB4020.
4. When trading off weekly levels, each level will act as support and resistance, “no trade zones” do not apply to weekly plan.
Have a great week and trade safe. @everyone
ES
Weekly Plan Update. ES Futures June03/22/2023
==========================
03/20 Weekly Plan. ES Futures June
Weekly Pivot is 3,950 .
Targets
1. 3,988
2. 4,038
3. 4,090
4. 4,140
Targets
1. 3,898
2. 3,840
3. 3,794
4. 3,696
Now trading at 4033
Alerts
You will receive alerts in this channel every time ES hits (2M candle close):
1. Weekly opening 3,963.75
2. Weekly pivot at 3,950
3. Each weekly target.
Side notes:
1. OTFU in daily timeframe, ends at 3932.5.
2. OTFD in weekly timeframe; ends at 3999.
3. Balance in monthly timeframe. H4208, L3814, HB4020.
4. When trading off weekly levels, each level will act as support and resistance, “no trade zones” do not apply to weekly plan.
Have a great week and trade safe. @everyone
Weekly Plan Update03/20Weekly Plan. ES Futures June
Weekly Pivot is 3,950 .
Targets
1. 3,988
2. 4,038
3. 4,090
4. 4,140
Targets
1. 3,898
2. 3,840
3. 3,794
4. 3,696
Now trading at 3,975
Alerts
You will receive alerts in this channel every time ES hits (2M candle close):
1. Weekly opening 3,963.75
2. Weekly pivot at 3,950
3. Each weekly target.
Side notes:
1. OTFU in daily timeframe, ends at 3932.5.
2. OTFD in weekly timeframe; ends at 3999.
3. Balance in monthly timeframe. H4208, L3814, HB4020.
4. When trading off weekly levels, each level will act as support and resistance, “no trade zones” do not apply to weekly plan.
Have a great week and trade safe. @everyone
SP500, why you should be carefull on the current rally.SP500 / Multi-Time-Frame.
AUDUSD / 4H
Dear Traders,
I warmly welcome you to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis on SP500 pair.
From a weekly viewpoint, in my opinion, SPY looks remarkably bearish . A Double top formation with a previous high on the monthly time frame, and the downward trend has already begun as seen from last month's close.
Everything appears to be pointing towards the onset of the next bear move.
Currently, on the daily timeframe , we are experiencing a pull-back to the Broken support that might turn into resistance. Therefore, I am patiently waiting for my sell zone to be reached and will be looking on lower time frames for a good entry point in case I get my entry creteria validated.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
SPX - Prepare for bounceI think a bounce bounce to 4100 or more is coming as part of the larger triangle structure. RSI is quite low and the price action is choppy - like they are winding up for a move out of the channel. 4100 or more would certainly convince bulls that "all is well" and the uptrend WILL continue, but I don't think that would be the case. If anything, 4100 is an ideal short for a larger move down to 3700-3600.
Good luck!
SPY Daily Modeling turns BEARISH (RISK-OFF). PAY ATTENTIONMy advanced modeling and TV scripts recently turned BEARISH on the Daily SPY.
This means the markets have moved into a RISK-OFF mode - likely preparing for additional downside trending.
While the Weekly modeling continues to stay BULLISH, I'm writing this update to warn my followers that both the Rotational Modeling and the TT-3MACD strategies have turned BEARISH on the SPY.
My US real Estate Modeling shows an incredible bout of price weakness, seller desperation, and broad SHOCK taking place for US Real Estate.
This combined Real Estate and US stock market shock could lead to an incredible downside price trend if a credit/banking collapse unfolds (much like 2008-09).
You have been warned.
Follow my research. Move a good chunk of your capital away from risks. This is now a much more violent market event that could unfold in the near future.
The Fed MUST address the extended price collapse that is currently gripping the US/Global markets.
Things could turn UGLY very quickly if finance/banking/credit seizes up.
Follow my research.
MENT SPY DayTrader Page Update (2-22-23)I've been working on the TT-3MACD PineScript update for about 4+ days.
It seems every time I make a breakthrough, there is more to attempt to build into it.
PineScipt seems pretty cool so far. Documentation is great - but it is a process of learning how the engine processes things.
My goal is to build a TEACHABLE solution for my followers - allowing them to make their own decisions based on my research and other strategies.
Ideally - it is about teaching others when and how to trust their own intuitions.
This video update shows you the FOUR components of my strategy so far:
- The TT-3MACD Strategy (including entries/targets/reversals) - Running on a Heiken-Ashi chart
- The Standard Candlestick chart - running the Linear Regression tool
- The 3D Wave indicator
- The Donchian Ribbon Indicator.
Using these in combination with Fibonacci price theory (Higher Highs/Lows in an UPTREND - Lower Highs/Lows in a DOWNTREND) - should be just about everything any SPY Daytrader could want to learn to get started.
It really is THIS SIMPLE.
The only other thing you need to learn is position sizing techniques. In other words, when to be more aggressive and when to be patient (trading smaller position sizes).
Follow my research and let's see if we can get all of my followers into a better place to start profiting from SPY price swings.
I will post another update/video when I publish the MENT TT-3MACD strategy for all to use.
The opposite Side Of A Wave-5 Rally - Plan BI received a question from someone watching my videos/research. The question was, "what is the downside risk for the markets if my bullish resolution fails".
So, I created this video.
This explains why the downside risks appear to be less than 35% right now compared to a 65% to 75% upside price resolution.
Still, using Elliot Wave, we can't be 100% confident in the true future of price structure or wave structure. All we can rely upon is Fibonacci Price Theory which tells us if price is currently Bullish or Bearish.
Right now, on this weekly chart, Fibonacci Price Theory suggests a bullish price trend is in place and recent Unique Low levels are the final defense of support (near $348).
Follow along to better understand how I see/use Fibonacci Price Theory in all of my research as a method of letting price tell me what to expect in the future.
The one other thing I would like to add is all previous market collapse events have aligned with cataclysmic economic events (9/11, Global Banking Crisis, Foreign Economic Crisis, Isolated Credit Risks).
Without some cataclysmic economic event happening, it is very unlikely that US markets would contract extensively without some impulse event. So keep that in mind as we move forward.
Follow my research.
SPY Cycle Patterns: Resolving volatility into March 2023This example video will help you understand how I use my predictive SPY Cycle Patterns in combination with traditional TA (Fibonacci and others) to prepare/plan for GAPS, trends, and opportunities for trading through the week.
I'm a strong believer that you don't need to trade every minor trend. Taking 2~4 good trades a week across one or two symbols is all that is required to be able to generate 50% to 100% profit every week (using options).
Just last week one of my friends used my SPY Cycle Patterns (and his own skills) to make over 700% ROI. It does happen.
Watch this video. Next week will be very volatile in my opinion. Once we clear the upper resistance level, we should continue to trend up to $435 or higher.
The burst of volatility will likely make for great trade setups - if you know what you are doing.
Follow my research.
SPX reversal?Looks like it as of now as they have lost the 18 daily ma. Bias is down.
Strong support at 4k, but at that point any bounce would likely be sold into quickly. If they test the 18ma tomorrow it's an ideal shorting opportunity. Remember there is a long weekend ahead as well - another wild card.
Good luck!
SPY Example Setup For DaytradersHere is an example dual-chart setup for SPY daytraders.
I set this up to help my followers understand how to perceive price action as we attempt to transition through the $405 SPY Support level.
If my analysis is correct, we'll see a fairly strong reversion (upside) price trend as long as the $404~405 level holds.
This chart includes a number of TradingView PUBLIC SCRIPTS and a dual-chart layout.
Both Heiken-Ashi and traditional Candlestick charts are used.
Learn to better TIME/ENTER your trades and learn to use price structure/Fibonacci retracements to develop target levels.
Follow my research.
SPX - The grind continues - plus AAPL, TESLA, AI, GEO, Nat GasDidn't get what I wanted to see today, that's trading for you. The possibility that we keep grinding higher for a week or more is certainly viable after today. Above we have the following - daily BB at 4190, Weekly BB at 4180, 100 weekly ma at 4215 and Monthly 18/20 at 4190 and 4210 respectfully. Some stocks like Tesla and AAPL seem to want to go higher after today and other stocks I'm watching also want to get a bounce. So there you have it, I was expecting something more but the market is simply not ready to drop. More grind will likely continue, even if we sell off tomorrow. I will keep watching and waiting for a definitive move down.
Good luck!
2/16 SPY Cycle Patterns, Fib, Flagging - Volatility into a RALLYAre you following my SPY Cycle Patterns yet?
If not, here is a list of the SPY Cycle Patterns for this week and beyond...
2/6/2023
2/7/2023 Inside-Breakaway
2/8/2023 Harami-Inside
2/9/2023 CRUSH
2/10/2023 GAP Potential
2/11/2023 GAP Potential
2/12/2023 GAP-Reversal
2/13/2023 Rotation
2/14/2023 Top/Resistance21
2/15/2023 Consol-210
2/16/2023 Inside-Breakaway
2/17/2023 Break-Away
2/18/2023 Carryover
2/19/2023 CRUSH
2/20/2023 Flat-Down
2/21/2023 POP
2/22/2023
2/23/2023 BaseRally301
2/24/2023 Harami-Inside
2/25/2023 CRUSH
2/26/2023 Bottom-004
Why are these so important? Because these SPY Cycle patterns help you understand how to trade intraday price swings and what to expect every day - going out weeks and months in advance of today's trading activity.
See the "BaseRally301" on 2/23 - that means the SPY should attempt to setup a base/bottom within the 48 hours spanning 2/23.
See the 2/25 CRUSH leading to the 2/26 BOTTOM - that means the SPY may be extremely volatile while attempting to setup/confirm the 2/23 bottom
Today and tomorrow are calling for an Inside-Breakaway & a Breakaway. My research suggests we may see a broader downside price trend establishing a Wave-D Flagging setup (near $405) in the SPY before we move into the Rally/Bottom phase near 2/23.
Watch my video and learn how you can use my research to become a better intraday/swing trader.
Stay cautious of a PEAK/TOP in the markets today.My SPY Cycle Patterns suggest the markets will establish a PEAK/TOP today - then trend downward.
I created this video to help my followers stay aware of the short-term nature of price in a reactionary price trend - like today.
If you are chasing this rally, stay very cautious of risks related to my SPY cycle patterns. Overall, I expect the markets to peak, stall, then trend downward over the next 48 hours.
Take quick trades with targeted profit targets. This is not a friendly market uptrend in my opinion.
I believe the $408 level is a likely downside price target for the SPY by Thursday.
Follow my research
Trends showing lower highs; forming a funnel down?So we are hitting a 2hr uptrend right here at 4114. This is going to be a lower high 2hr uptrend. We have already had a lower high 30m and 1hr uptrend signal also. Having cashed out on my last trade, I might look at anything around the 2hr uptrend if it closes up here and causes that signal, as a short position.
However, I am also aware that tomorrow is CPI data. So I may just sit out until that data shows some direciton in the market. There is some discussion that CPI inflation data is going to come in higher with headline Month over Month data, and that even Core Month over Month will be flat. The market may not respond well to that information if that happens.
All in all, the trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots
30m - 4143 Uptrend (2/10/2023) Lower High
1Hr - 4100 Uptrend (2/10/2023) Lower High
2Hr - 4105 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Lower Low
3Hr - 4092 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Higher Low
4Hr - 4093 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Higher Low
6Hr - 4064 Downtrend (2/10/2023) Higher Low
12Hr - 3993 Uptrend (1/11/2023) Lower High
Daily - 4084 Uptrend (1/27/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4366 Downtrend (2/14/2022) Higher Low
Earnings;
Lots of earnings this week as it is still earnings season, but nothing major in terms of today.
Economic Data;
Not much for today; CPI data is tomorrow morning (EST).
My sentiment into today;
Shorter Term - Neutral/Bearish
Short Term - Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral/Bearish
Long Term - Neutral
Safe trading, and remember your risk management plan.
Is the FOMO rally over? Pressures pushing the market lowerSo I'm sitting short from 4150 and still holding to see things go lower. Quick tidbit, the overnight plunge was likely spurred in some part by Russia reducing oil production by 500,000 barrels a day as punishment for sanctions. This is why oil prices spiked overnight also, although they've fallen back to under 1% (they were over 2% for a bit there).
In terms of trends, we got a lower low on the 30m/1hr/2hr, and then we've started hitting the resistance of a higher low on the 3hr/4hr/6hr. Thus far it appears that the higher low of the 6hr could cause a momentary rally. I'm looking to see if it sticks and stays higher and then if it does I will cash out and wait and watch to see if we get an uptrend that is a lower high that we can use to swing down past it.
The trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots
30m - 4143 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Lower Low
1Hr - 4134 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Lower Low
2Hr - 4105 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Lower Low
3Hr - 4092 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Higher Low
4Hr - 4093 Downtrend (2/9/2023) Higher Low
6Hr - 4064 Downtrend (2/10/2023) Higher Low
12Hr - 3993 Uptrend (1/11/2023) Lower High
Daily - 4084 Uptrend (1/27/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4366 Downtrend (2/14/2022) Higher Low
I see us easily heading lower if we don't get up past the 4084 level of the Daily uptrend, at least to that 3900 level I have been calling for.
Economic Data;
We have some consumer confidence data today. I don't see it driving the market, but might at least pull us back to 0 if it is decent or confirm the lower movements if it is bad.
Earnings;
Not much today, like most Fridays.
My sentiment for today is;
Shorter Term - Neutral
Short Term - Neutral/Bearish
Medium Term - Bearish/Neutral
Long Term - Neutral
SPX - the alternate is downAll in the video - it's very possible the top was in fact, last week. Watch the high from yesterday on SPX or ES, if we get over it we likely go to 4200 + but if we don't, there's a good chance we keep falling to 4k. The market is quiet and complacent at the moment but that could change today with the Fed speakers and Jobs data tomorrow.
Good luck!