Think Like a Pro: How to Be Your Own Trading PsychologistEver Felt Like Your Worst Enemy in Trading? Here’s How to Overcome it!
Have you ever been in that moment where you're staring at the screen, and every fiber of your being is screaming, "This trade is going south," but you still hold on?
It’s like watching a train wreck in slow motion—except you’re the conductor, and somehow, you’re glued to your seat.What if you could turn that inner chaos into clarity?
Imagine becoming your own trading psychologist, mastering the mental game to transform your trading experience. It’s possible, and it’s within your reach.
The Mirror Doesn’t LieThe biggest challenges in your trading aren’t just the volatile markets or the unpredictable news— they’re the emotions that cloud your judgment. Fear, greed, hesitation, overconfidence— these emotions can lead you to make mistakes that are both costly and frustrating.
But here’s the key: the problem isn’t the emotions themselves, but how you manage them. Recognizing this can help you see the market—and your trades—in a completely new light.
The Secret Sauce: Self-AwarenessThe first step toward mastering your trading psychology is learning to recognize your triggers.
What sets you off? Is it a losing streak? A sudden market spike? Maybe just a stressful day.
Identifying these triggers is crucial to controlling your trading behavior.Once you recognize your triggers, managing them becomes much easier.
It’s like seeing a storm on the horizon—you can’t stop it, but you can definitely prepare for it.
Setting hard rules for when to step away from the screen, and more importantly, when to stay focused, can make all the difference in your trading results.
Actionable Tips: Turn Insight into Action
So, how can you apply this in a practical way?
Here are a few strategies that can help you take control of your trading psychology:
Journal Everything : Start by journaling not just your trades, but your thoughts and emotions before, during, and after each trade.
You’ll begin to see patterns emerge, showing when you might be about to go off the rails.
Mindful Breaks: Set timers to remind yourself to step away from the screen for a minute or two. This gives you the space you need to reset, especially when things get intense.
The “Pause” Button: Before entering a trade, take a moment to pause and ask yourself, “Am I acting out of emotion, or is this a rational decision?”
This simple act can prevent countless bad trades.
Create a Pre-Trade Routine: Just like athletes have pre-game rituals, creating a routine to get into the right headspace before trading can be incredibly beneficial.
This might involve reviewing your journal, setting goals for the session, or doing a quick mental check-in.
Don’t Go It Alone: Trading doesn’t have to be a solo journey. Platforms like TradingView are excellent for connecting with other traders.
Whether you’re joining a chat, reading other traders’ ideas, or commenting on their posts, engaging with the community can provide valuable insights and feedback.
Sometimes, the best advice comes from others who’ve been in your shoes and can help you see things from a different perspective.
The Result? A Psychological EdgeBy mastering your trading psychology, you can stop sabotaging yourself.
Instead of reacting impulsively to the market, you can respond with clarity and purpose.
The challenges of trading will still be there—this is the market, after all—but with the right mindset, you can turn them into opportunities.
If trading psychology has been a struggle for you, know that you’re not alone, and there’s a way forward.
By looking inward, recognizing your patterns, and applying a few simple strategies, you can gain the psychological edge you need to succeed.
Trading isn’t just about reading the market; it’s about understanding yourself. And once you master that, the possibilities for your trading are endless.
Let me know what you think below:)
Psychology
"Know Thyself: The Ancient Greek Secret to Mastering the Markets "Know Thyself.’ This ancient Greek wisdom has echoed through time, and over the years in the markets, I’ve realized it holds the key to trading success. But most traders learn this lesson the hard way, often after years of frustration, losses, and self-doubt.
To become a successful trader, you must truly know yourself. The saying "know thyself," inscribed at the Temple of Apollo at Delphi, might seem distant from the world of modern finance, but it’s more relevant than ever.
The market is a mirror, reflecting who you are inside, and it has an uncanny ability to expose your deepest fears, negative emotions, and limiting beliefs.
We all have traits that hinder our success—whether it’s fear, greed, impatience, or overconfidence. But rather than addressing these inner challenges, many traders look for external solutions, never realizing that self-awareness is the real key to success.
In my years as a trader, I've come to understand that the most successful traders aren’t just experts in analyzing charts—they are experts in understanding themselves. They know their strengths and weaknesses and have the courage to face them directly.
They recognize their emotional triggers and have developed the discipline to manage them effectively.
Trading isn’t just about predicting market movements; it’s about understanding how you react under pressure, how fear can distort your decisions, and how greed can lead to costly mistakes.
The journey to becoming a successful trader is as much about mastering yourself as it is about mastering the market.
To truly master the markets, you must first master yourself. The market is a relentless feedback loop, constantly reflecting your inner state back at you, whether you realize it or not.
When a trade is going against you, losing money, and you’re feeling the surge of anger and frustration, the market is holding up a mirror. It’s not just about the loss—it’s reflecting something deeper about your emotional state and mental approach.
What are you seeing in that reflection? Is it impatience, fear, or a lack of preparation?
When you find yourself revenge trading after a losing position, what's really happening? The market is showing you your vulnerability—perhaps an unchecked ego or a desperate need to validate yourself.
It’s telling you what needs fixing, but only if you’re willing to stop and listen.
Consider those moments when you double or triple up on positions, trying to force the market to move in your favor. What’s being reflected back at you then? Is it overconfidence? Maybe it’s fear dressed up as boldness.
The market is giving you feedback—are you hearing it?
And what about when you abandon your rules, chasing the allure of a quick profit or avoiding the pain of a potential loss?
The market is exposing a deeper truth: a lack of discipline, or perhaps a failure to trust in your own system. It’s showing you exactly what you need to work on.
Even in the good times, when you’re in a winning position but close out too early, the market reflects back your fear of losing what you’ve gained, your inability to let go, or your craving for certainty.
Each of these reactions is a lesson in self-awareness.
This is why trading often appears deceptively simple at first glance—yet is incredibly difficult to master. The principles seem straightforward: buy low, sell high, manage your risk.
But the reality is that the market is not just a puzzle of price movements; it's a test of your inner world. It’s this challenge, this confrontation with your own psychology, that makes trading so demanding and why it takes years to truly master.
Most people are not prepared for this journey of self-discovery, which is why so few actually make it.
You might notice that many traders online focus almost exclusively on trade ideas and strategies, rarely discussing the inner battles that make or break a trader. This is because self-mastery is the hardest part of trading, and it’s often the least glamorous.
Yet, every successful trader I’ve met or read about shares one common trait: a deep understanding of themselves. When you listen to them, you’ll hear them talk about overcoming their own internal struggles as much as they discuss their market strategies.
This resonates deeply with my own experience; my biggest challenges have always come from within. But each time I’ve faced and overcome these inner obstacles, my trading has consistently improved.
The truth is, the market reflects all our worst fears and attributes, as well as our strengths. The secret to success is learning to listen and understand what it’s telling you about yourself.
Many traders fail because they’re unwilling to face these reflections. Instead of looking in the mirror and realizing the truth lies within, they blame the strategy, the market, the broker—anyone but themselves.
But true courage in trading, just as in life, comes from facing your demons head-on . The saying "Know Thyself" is not just a call for introspection—it’s a challenge.
The darkest hour is just before dawn , and it’s in those moments of greatest struggle that we’re given the opportunity to grow.
By understanding yourself—your fears, your weaknesses, your triggers—you gain the strength to conquer the market.
So next time you’re in a tough spot, remember the ancient wisdom: "Know Thyself." The market isn’t just a battlefield—it’s a mirror.
Master what you see in that reflection, and you’ll master the markets. True success in trading and in life comes not from conquering the market, but from conquering yourself.
Think in Probabilities Embracing Uncertainty Your Key To SuccessPicture this: You’re at your trading desk, eyes on the charts, heart pounding as the market swings unpredictably. Do you feel that fear creeping in?
Now, imagine knowing that this unpredictability doesn’t have to scare you. Instead, it can be the key to your success. Let's dive into why thinking in probabilities and staying calm in the face of uncertainty can turn trading from a gamble into a calculated path to consistent success.
Many traders struggle with uncertainty because they lack a solid, tested system. Trading randomly or without a proven strategy leads to anxiety and inconsistency. But once you have a reliable system that suits your lifestyle and mindset, and you fully understand your edge, you realize that while the outcome of each trade is random, the probabilities of your trading system will work out for you over time.
The Role of Probabilities in Trading
Trading isn’t about predicting the next big market move; it’s about understanding the odds and working them to your advantage. Each trade is a small part of a larger statistical framework, where the focus shifts from individual outcomes to the bigger picture.
Why Is Learning To Think In Probabilities So Important For Trading Success?
Reduces Emotional Bias : By thinking in probabilities, you understand that each trade is just one in a series of many. This helps reduce emotional reactions to individual losses or gains, such as revenge trading, doubling up on position sizing, or even smashing your new iPhone against the wall (been there, LOL).
For example, if you know that your strategy wins 60% of the time, you won't be devastated by a single loss. You'll see it as part of the statistical outcome.
Encourages Rational Decision-Making: Knowing your strategy has an actual edge helps you stick to your plan, even during losing streaks, and avoid impulsive decisions. To know your edge, you need to do plenty of backtesting and forward testing so you can gain confidence in the system.
For instance, if you experience a string of losses, understanding that this is normal and statistically probable helps you remain disciplined and not deviate from your strategy.
Builds Confidence in Your System : Confidence comes from knowing your strategy is backtested and has a proven edge over a large number of trades.
This knowledge helps you stay disciplined and focused on executing your plan. For example, if your backtesting shows a positive expectancy over 1,000 trades, you can trust your system even when short-term results are unfavorable.
Things That Have Helped Me Over the Years to Deal With the Uncertainty of Trading
Finding or Developing a System/Strategy That Suits You : As humans, we are all different, and this is especially true in trading. Some people are happy to be in and out of the market fast (scalpers) and have the ability to make big decisions quickly under pressure.
Others are slower thinkers and like to make decisions carefully, staying in the market for a longer period of time (swing traders).
You need to find what you're best at and stick to it. If you have a busy life with work and family, maybe swing trading suits you. If you’re younger and not as busy, then perhaps scalping is your style.
Playing Strategy Games and Games of Chance : This may not be something you've heard before, but I've met many traders, including myself, who have found that games like poker can really help your trading by teaching you to think in probabilities.
Another game I love to play is chess, as it encourages you to think ahead, and I’ve found it has helped me in my trading over the years.
Practicing Visualization : If you've ever read anything on the subconscious mind, you know it’s responsible for 95% of all your automatic behaviors, especially in trading. The subconscious doesn’t distinguish between what is real and what is imagined.
This is why visualization is such a powerful tool to help you embrace market uncertainty. By visualizing yourself placing trades confidently, managing risks well, and handling outcomes calmly, you prepare your mind for real trading scenarios.
This mental practice reinforces your belief in your system and prepares you for the market's ups and downs.
Books That Helped Me Think in Probabilities
Reading has been an invaluable part of my journey to understanding probabilities. Here are some books that have profoundly impacted my trading mindset:
"Thinking, Fast and Slow" by Daniel Kahneman
This book helped me understand how cognitive biases affect decision-making and how to overcome them by thinking more strategically.
"Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Taleb's insights into the role of chance and randomness in our lives and the markets were eye-opening and changed how I view risk and probability.
"Beat the Dealer" by Edward O. Thorp
Although this book is about blackjack, Thorp’s exploration of probability and statistics offers valuable lessons for trading.
"The Theory of Poker" by David Sklansky
Sklansky breaks down the mathematics of poker, showing how to make decisions based on probability, a skill directly applicable to trading.
"The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham
This classic on value investing emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking and understanding market probabilities.
"A Man for All Markets" by Edward O. Thorp
This autobiography offers a fascinating look at how Thorp applied probability theory to beat the casino and the stock market.
"Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind" by Yuval Noah Harari
Harari’s book provides context on human behavior and decision-making, offering insights into the psychological elements of trading.
"The Signal and the Noise" by Nate Silver
Silver’s exploration of how we can better understand predictions and probabilities is highly relevant to making informed trading decisions.
"Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction" by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan M. Gardner
This book teaches how to improve forecasting skills through careful analysis and thinking in probabilities.
Thinking in probabilities was a game-changer for me. It shifted my focus from trying to predict every market move to playing the long game. By embracing this mindset, I turned fear into confidence and uncertainty into strategy.
Remember, trading isn’t about guessing the market. It’s about responding with a clear, composed mind. Trust your strategy, know your edge, and let the probabilities work in your favor. This approach transformed my trading journey, and it can do the same for you. Happy trading!
Serious psychological barriersSerious psychological barriers
1) Fear of missing out
The first thing you should define is your trading plan, trading method
You should remember the main factors of your setup formation (Time&Price). At what time this setup is formed, the presence of a sequence (context). If you do not know when your trading idea/setup can be formed, then most likely - you do not have a trading plan or a trading setup. Remember that trading is a game of probabilities, but trading is not a game.
Having a trading plan is the key, trading time, session, waiting for a possible setup to form, take notes based on what happens in each session, and in the future, some patterns can help you. Even if you miss some setup, you should not worry about it, since you know +- time when a new one will form
2) Fear of losing
You need to remember that there is not a single setup with 100% or even 70% accuracy of execution! In fact, there is no point in even such a setup or searching for it! The question is always only in your risk management! Fear of losing - arises from the lack of a plan.
3) Impatience
This occurs in young traders, even with a strategy, successful capital management. But, sometimes, we enter a position before we should. This requires a lot of attention, develop discipline, following the rules of your trading method. All this is due to the fact that you do not want to spend enough time on trading experience, since in most cases, when you achieve success or make a profitable decision, you will want to experience this rush of emotions as quickly as possible, so you can fix your profit ahead of time, or open a position before your setup is formed. Do not follow your emotional impulses, do not try to prove your case, just wait for the moment
4) Fear of not being a good enough trader
This is a side effect of being on social networks. Social networks are the problem of the 21st century! Everyone lives by the principle of Fake it till you make it. If you think you are not as fast a learner as the guy on Twitter, and even if he says that everything is fine - remember, in reality, it is not. Most people try to pretend and distinguish themselves as "the smartest in the room". Don't let this bore you too much or make you feel inferior
The most important thing is to study your statistics, your data over time, remember where you started and determine if you have achieved results since then.
5) Fear of losing streaks and drawdowns
This is directly related to money management. You do not have a process, a sequence of actions, when you have a losing streak or drawdown, you must understand how to reduce the risk, how to act in this situation. This is where your trading strategy will help you, where all the risk management is described. State everything about managing your deposit, when you stop trading, when you reduce risk or when you stop trading
6) Lack of discipline and rules
Listen to your inner voice that tells you: "Don't do this" but you continue anyway, you want to see what happens next. Do this outside the market, there must be clear discipline and rules that must be followed. Discipline is achieved by forcing yourself to follow a set of rules and these rules must be strict, short and detailed
Mindset and Beliefs: The Foundation of Successful TradingAfter 16 years of trading, I have come to realize that mindset and beliefs are critical to achieving consistent success in the markets.
Through personal experience and countless hours of market analysis, I've discovered that the psychological aspect of trading often makes the difference between consistent gains and recurring losses.
Today we will explore how your mindset and beliefs shape your trading performance and provide practical exercises that I've personally used to develop a winning trading mentality.
Understanding Mindset and Beliefs - The Role of Mindset in Trading
Your mindset encompasses your attitudes, beliefs, and emotional responses towards trading. It influences every decision you make, from the trades you choose to enter to how you react to losses and gains.
A positive, growth-oriented mindset helps traders navigate the volatile nature of the markets, while a fixed, fear-driven mindset can lead to poor decision-making and emotional trading.
Reflecting Beliefs in Trading Results
One of the most profound realizations I've had is that the market will reflect your limiting beliefs back to you in the results you achieve. If you have negative beliefs about money, success, or your self-worth, these beliefs will manifest in your trading outcomes.
For instance, if you subconsciously believe you are not deserving of success or wealth, you may find yourself making decisions that lead to losses, reinforcing those beliefs.
Key Beliefs for Successful Trading
To become a consistently profitable trader, it's crucial to cultivate empowering beliefs. Here are the key beliefs that have transformed my trading journey:
The Market is Neutral: - The market does not act against you personally. It moves based on the collective actions of all participants. Believing the market is neutral helps you stay objective and not take losses personally.
Accepting Uncertainty: - Embrace the uncertainty of trading. Each trade's outcome is unknown and should be viewed as part of a probability game. Accepting this uncertainty reduces emotional reactions to market movements.
Deserving of Success and Wealth: - Develop the belief that you are deserving of success and allowed to make money. This positive self-concept can shift your actions and decisions, aligning them with wealth creation.
Focus on Process Over Outcome: - Successful traders focus on following their trading process rather than fixating on individual trade outcomes. This helps in maintaining consistency and emotional stability.
Practical Exercises to Develop a Positive Trading Mindset
These techniques are not just theoretical. They are exercises I have practiced over the years, transforming me from a consistently losing trader to a consistently profitable one.
Self-Awareness Journaling - Objective: Identify and challenge limiting beliefs.
Exercise:
Step 1: At the end of each trading day, write down any negative thoughts or beliefs you had during trading. For example, "I always lose money on Fridays" or "The market is out to get me."
Step 2: Challenge these beliefs by questioning their validity. Ask yourself, "Is this belief based on facts or emotions?"
Step 3: Replace negative beliefs with positive affirmations. For example, "I am continuously improving my trading skills" or "The market offers opportunities every day."
Frequency: Daily - This exercise helped me recognize and reframe the negative thoughts that were sabotaging my trading efforts.
Visualization Techniques - Objective: Build confidence and a positive mental image of trading success.
Exercise:
Step 1: Sit in a quiet place and close your eyes.
Step 2: Visualize yourself successfully executing trades. Imagine each step, from analyzing the charts to placing the trade and seeing it reach your target.
Step 3: Feel the emotions associated with successful trading, such as confidence and calmness.
Frequency: Daily for 5-10 minutes - Regular visualization has ingrained a sense of confidence and calm, enabling me to approach each trading day with a clear and focused mind.
Cognitive Reframing - Objective: Change negative trading experiences into learning opportunities.
Exercise:
Step 1: Reflect on a recent trading loss.
Step 2: Write down the negative emotions and thoughts associated with the loss.
Step 3: Reframe the experience by identifying what you learned from it. For instance, "I learned the importance of setting stop-loss orders."
Frequency: After every significant trading loss - By reframing losses as learning opportunities, I've been able to grow and improve my trading strategies continuously.
Meditation and Mindfulness - Objective: Enhance focus and emotional regulation.
Exercise:
Step 1: Find a comfortable sitting position.
Step 2: Close your eyes and focus on your breathing.
Step 3: If your mind wanders, gently bring your focus back to your breath.
Frequency: Daily for 10-15 minutes - Meditation has been a game-changer for maintaining emotional control and staying calm during volatile market conditions.
My Transformation in Trading Mindset
Early in my trading career, I struggled with a fixed mindset, believing I wasn't cut out for trading due to a few early losses. I often felt the market was against me and reacted emotionally to trades, resulting in a cycle of poor decisions and further losses.
My beliefs about money, success, and self-worth were reflected in my trading results. The market seemed to mirror my negative beliefs back to me, causing me to lose money consistently.
By incorporating the exercises above, I gradually shifted my mindset:
Self-Awareness Journaling helped me identify and challenge my belief that I would never be a successful trader. I replaced negative thoughts with affirmations of continuous improvement and opportunity.
Visualization Techniques built my confidence by allowing me to mentally practice successful trades, which in turn manifested in real trading scenarios.
Cognitive Reframing turned my losses into valuable learning experiences, reducing my emotional reactions and helping me grow as a trader.
Meditation and Mindfulness enhanced my focus and emotional control, helping me stay calm during volatile market conditions.
Over time, I developed a more positive, growth-oriented mindset. I started to see losses as part of the learning process and focused on following my trading plan diligently.
This transformation in mindset led to more consistent trading performance and increased profitability. The market began to reflect my new, positive beliefs back to me in the form of consistent trading gains.
Conclusion
Your mindset and beliefs form the foundation of your trading success. By developing a positive, growth-oriented mindset and challenging limiting beliefs, you can enhance your trading performance.
The practical exercises outlined above provide a roadmap for transforming your mindset and achieving greater consistency and success in trading.
Remember, the journey to mastering trading psychology is continuous. Stay committed to these practices, and you'll gradually build the mental resilience and confidence needed to thrive in the markets.
These techniques have been instrumental in my journey from a consistently losing trader to a consistently profitable one. I believe they can do the same for you.
Unlock the Secrets of Gold Trading: Pericles' Ancient WisdomIn this video, we explore the profound perspectives on fear from historical figures like Pericles and modern thinkers like Ryan Holiday. Pericles, the esteemed Athenian statesman, saw fear as a natural emotion that should not paralyze us. He believed in confronting fear with courage, rational thought, and strategic planning, using it as a tool for effective decision-making.
Ryan Holiday, drawing on Stoic philosophy in his works, echoes these sentiments with stories of historical figures who turned fear into fuel for success. He recounts how John D. Rockefeller faced market crashes with calm calculation and how Theodore Roosevelt overcame health challenges by embracing adversity.
Both Pericles and Holiday teach us that fear, when managed correctly, can become a powerful ally. By acknowledging fear, confronting it with rationality and courage, and using it to sharpen our focus and strategy, we can transform challenges into opportunities for growth and success. This approach is especially relevant in the realm of trading, where mastering fear can lead to better decision-making and greater resilience.
Key Levels and Patterns:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL):
The chart shows a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating an overall uptrend. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is still in play.
Ascending Channel:
There is a well-defined ascending channel where the price has been moving upwards within parallel trendlines. This channel can act as a guide for potential support and resistance levels.
Reversal Points (LQZ):
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,429.190. This level is a potential area where price may reverse or find support.
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,391.394. This level also serves as a significant support zone.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2,319.385
TP 2: 2,288.085
TP 3: 2,265.369
Recent Price Action:
The price recently reached a higher high at around 2,458.755 and then pulled back slightly, indicating a potential short-term correction within the overall uptrend.
The ascending channel suggests that if the price remains above the lower boundary of the channel, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If the price breaks below the 1-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,429.190, it could test the 4-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,391.394. A further breakdown below this level might lead to the next support at TP 1.
Analysis Summary:
Bullish Scenario: The price could bounce from the current levels or the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aiming for new highs. Traders might look for buying opportunities near the support levels of the channel and reversal points.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the identified reversal points and the ascending channel, it might signal a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the TP levels for possible buying opportunities at lower prices.
By applying Pericles' wisdom of confronting fear with rationality and Ryan Holiday's insights on turning fear into strategic advantage, traders can approach these levels with a clear, disciplined mindset, making informed decisions even in volatile market conditions.
The Psychology of Mass Behavior in Trading and How to Overcome
Hello Traders,
Understanding the psychology of mass behavior in trading is crucial for success in the markets. This post delves into key psychological phenomena and provides strategies to overcome these biases.
Key Psychological Phenomena
1. Herd Behavior: Traders often follow the crowd without independent analysis. This can lead to bubbles and crashes.
2. Emotional Contagion: Emotions like fear and greed spread rapidly among traders, driving irrational market behavior.
3. Overconfidence and Optimism Bias: Traders overestimate their ability to predict market movements and believe they are less likely to face negative outcomes.
4. Information Cascades: Decisions are based on the actions of others rather than personal analysis.
5. Confirmation Bias: Traders seek out information that confirms their beliefs, ignoring contradictory data.
6. Availability Heuristic: Overestimating the likelihood of events based on recent news or experiences.
7. Loss Aversion: The pain of losses is felt more acutely than the pleasure of gains, leading to irrational decision-making.
8. Social Proof: Looking to others’ actions for cues in uncertain situations.
9. Fear and Greed: These emotions drive market movements, often leading to panic selling or speculative bubbles.
How to Overcome These Biases
1. Risk Management: Implement strict risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders and position sizing, to protect against irrational market moves.
2. Contrarian Investing: Consider taking positions contrary to prevailing market trends when there is a strong indication of herd behavior.
3. Diversification: Spread investments across different assets to reduce the impact of market volatility driven by mass behavior.
4. Continuous Learning: Stay educated about market psychology and remain aware of your biases.
5. Emotional Discipline: Develop a trading plan and stick to it, regardless of market noise. Meditation and mindfulness can also help maintain emotional balance.
6. Independent Analysis: Conduct thorough research and analysis before making trading decisions. Rely on your judgment rather than following the crowd.
7. Seek Feedback: Engage with a trading community or mentor to gain diverse perspectives and avoid confirmation bias.
By understanding and mitigating the effects of mass behavior in trading, we can make more rational, informed decisions and improve our trading performance. Let’s strive to be mindful of these psychological factors and continue to learn and grow as traders.
Happy trading!
Psychology: Trade Smart - Focus on Facts, Not wishes!See the Truth: Trading Without Bias
Discover the critical importance of objective analysis in trading.
Learn how to avoid emotional biases, stay neutral, and focus on what the market truly shows you. This guide will help you improve your trading strategies and achieve more consistent results.
Recommendations for new tradersNo matter the size of your deposit, begin trading with small amounts: $10, $100. As you gain experience, you can increase your deposit, but be ready to lose it. This will help you understand market participant behavior.
- Trade only with funds you can afford to lose; losing them shouldn't affect your quality of life.
- Don't rush to leave your main job; let trading be a hobby initially. It might turn into something more over time, but that's not guaranteed.
- More trades don't equal more profit. Sometimes fewer trades can be more profitable than many daily trades. Without experience, it can be challenging to know when to stay out of the market.
- Traders spend 90% of their time analyzing instruments and circumstances. Forget rushing; opportunities appear and disappear daily. Learn to wait. Begin with paper trading to get accustomed to the process.
- Note the time spent as well as profit or loss. Regardless of your preferred timeframes, start with longer ones like monthly, weekly, and daily charts for an overall view.
- Markets are cyclical; they don't rise or fall indefinitely. Reversals often happen unexpectedly. Base decisions on a well-thought-out plan, not emotions.
- Develop your own strategy based on your data and temperament. Don't ask others where to buy or sell; they don't know. If an instrument has risen several hundred percent from the bottom, entering without stops is irrational.
- If it has gained several thousand percent, avoid entering without waiting for a significant pullback. Even if indicators suggest a specific direction, always consider a 1% chance of the opposite happening to avoid significant losses. Always manage risks.
- Regularly withdraw a portion of your profits. Understand why you're investing your time. Ideally, withdraw all your initial investment over time to make operating the deposit easier psychologically.
- There are no universal strategies. Your strategy should be proven but flexible to market conditions. What works in a rising market may not work in a falling one, and vice versa. Adapt quickly and manage risks skillfully to make money.
Seeing others make profitable trades can lead to envyFor new traders, market decisions are often driven by emotions like fear and greed, rather than well-established trading strategies. While much has been written about this, there are other significant factors that influence traders' decisions:
Social Pressure: Traders often make trades based on the opinions and actions of others, rather than their own strategies and the real market situation. This social influence can come from chat rooms, online communities, or social media, where opinions are frequently voiced by other inexperienced traders.
Envy: Seeing others make profitable trades can lead to envy. This emotion pushes traders to make impulsive decisions, such as entering trades without proper analysis, hoping to replicate others' successes. Instead of waiting for their own signals, they act on impulse and lose control.
Common Mistakes Among New Traders:
Reacting to News and Opinions: Rather than following their own trading vehicle (strategy), novice traders often react to news or opinions from others. This leads to decisions that are not grounded in their own analysis.
Overactivity: Many mistakes stem from the feeling of needing to always be active in the market. New traders see others trading successfully and feel pressured to do the same. This can result in excessive trading and taking positions without proper signals.
Paralysis from Fear: When a genuinely good opportunity arises, traders who have been overly active may be too paralyzed by fear to act. Their energy is wasted on meaningless transactions, and negative emotions cloud their judgment.
Impact on Trading Performance:
Wasted Energy: Excessive, impulsive transactions deplete a trader’s energy and focus, leading to poor decision-making when real opportunities present themselves.
Negative Emotions: Constantly reacting to others and not following a personal strategy can result in frustration and dissatisfaction, which negatively impact self-esteem and confidence in one’s trading vehicle.
Loss of Control: Acting out of fear, greed, social pressure, or envy leads to a loss of control over trading decisions, causing more losses and missed opportunities.
Key Takeaways for New Traders:
Develop a Personal Strategy: Rely on your own trading plan and analysis.
Stay Patient: Wait for your entries and avoid impulsive trading.
Manage Emotions: Keep emotions like fear, greed, envy, and social pressure in check to maintain control over your trading decisions.
Focus on Long-Term Success: Avoid excessive trading and focus on making informed, strategic trades.
By being aware of these psychological factors and actively working to mitigate their impact, new traders can make more informed and rational trading decisions.
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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How to go through a LOSING STREAK better?
🍏1. Everything starts with preparation and true expectations. Losing streaks will happen from time to time, accept it if you want to be a good trader. Even the best traders on the planet have them. But it’s the reaction to them that separates good and bad traders.
Know your probability of losing streak, based on your own backtesting and accept them before they even happen. Keep longterm focus!
🍋2. Make sure you’re practicing process based trading, not outcome based. Before every trade, ask yourself if anyone in the whole worlds can say the outcome of any individual trade? The answer is obvious - no one can do it. So is it rational to build expectation of a specific market moves in this individual trade, or nearest several trades - that they are completely uncertain and you are working with random distribution of your edge.
🥥3. Once in a streak, remind yourself about your testing. See that over the past 200 or more trades, you were profitable, at least RR wise. These 5-6 losing trades you’re having now are just a very small part of a huge data collection you did before, and they are part of random distribution.
🍈4. In a losing streak, there’s usually an urge to trade more to earn the lost $ amount back. It’s a mistake, as overtrading will lead to only one outcome - even more loss in short or longterm perspective.
🍎5. In the past, I wanted to reach some state of unbreakable consistency, "once and for all", and when I thought I did it, I started to expect things to be easy from now on and not to struggle or put effort, cause now I'm fully consistent. And that was exact moment when everything fell apart.
The truth is, at least for me and for now, is that I need to make good decisions - mentally and technically - EVERY DAY and EVERY MOMENT, to actually prove I'm consistent. And consistency is dynamic, I'll continue to work on it, it's like gardening, when you need to put some effort everyday and it's never fixed or done, at least for me.
Control of EmotionsTrading in the cryptocurrency market often resembles a marathon where everyone aims to be the first. Unlike running, where there's only one winner, multiple traders can succeed in the crypto marathon. However, success in trading involves serious psychological work, which we'll discuss today.
Everyone aspires to achieve their goals and be successful. Beginners in any field need to go through a learning curve, gradually honing their skills. The crypto market is not about luck; it requires constant self-improvement, learning from mistakes, and analyzing actions. The psychology of crypto trading involves a set of rules, methods, and actions to ensure successful trading, profit-making, and minimizing unavoidable failures.
A professional trader approaches trading with a focus on results and a realistic assessment of risky situations. Financial success, in the form of net profit, is the ultimate goal.
Let's explore the basic psychological tools used by professionals for successful trading:
Always at Hand
The whole world of cryptocurrencies is in your pocket.
Don't Think About Defeat
When starting a trade, don't focus on potential losses. Such thoughts set you up for failure from the outset. Be confident and avoid dwelling on the fear of making mistakes. While mistakes will happen, treat them as valuable lessons and continue improving your trading skills.
Visualize
Although not a scientific method, psychologists emphasize the importance of visualization. By visualizing success, you can block out fears of making mistakes and focus on achieving your goals effectively. Visualize yourself executing your strategy professionally and accurately, then act accordingly.
Be a Recluse
Cryptocurrency trading is a solitary activity. Ignore other people's opinions and avoid external interference. Your forecast accuracy will improve when you analyze market situations independently, without relying on others' advice.
Self-Realization Comes First
While trading in the crypto market is finance-related, view it as a creative process that should bring you satisfaction. Be confident in yourself and your success, and see trading as a means of self-fulfillment. This mindset will help you navigate the chaotic and unpredictable market as a tool for success.
Think About the Risks
Never risk funds you aren't prepared to lose. Consider potential losses when creating your strategy. Stick to your loss limits, even if the temptation for larger trades is high. Sometimes, multiple small trades can be more profitable than one big trade.
Discipline
Avoid reacting to sudden emotions or news. Trade according to your pre-developed plan without deviation. In trading, discipline is synonymous with success. This is particularly crucial for novice traders, as the volatile market often puts psychological pressure on them.
Control of Emotions
Monitor your emotional state and avoid trading when influenced by certain news or events. Emotional trading leads to losses. If you notice impulsive decision-making, take a break to calm down.
Vacation
Everyone needs breaks. If emotions and feelings drive you, take a break and avoid thinking about trading, assets, or cryptocurrencies. Engage in activities you enjoy and spend time with loved ones to recharge.
Statistics
Keep detailed statistics. This advice is valuable for both beginners and experienced traders. Record the number of transactions per day, profit and loss balance, positions, and other indicators. Analyze this information weekly. Statistics are a great way to create an effective strategy.
By incorporating these psychological tools, traders can navigate the cryptocurrency market more effectively, enhancing their chances of success and minimizing losses.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Social Media - and its danger!Social Media... the part of the Internet that is very dangerous when it comes to promises, money, and wealth.
We've all seen it: on social media, you can supposedly make millions in under 15 minutes. Pictures with a Lamborghini and a TradingView chart above it...
Let's go through some thoughts new traders may not be aware of and how to look at them with a critical mind!
(🚩 -> Red Flag)
📍 MetaTrader / Think or Swim / NinjaTrader / cTrader 📍
There are more, but let's focus on the more popular ones.
Pictures of winning trades are useless when it comes to trading. Trading is done over years in a consistent manner, not over a few trades.
Pictures of MT5, NT, or any other platform can easily be faked.
You can set up your own little server for MetaTrader, play it out, and you have your fake trades.
📍 Fancy Cars / Travels / Houses 📍
Showing a fancy lifestyle is another big 🚩.
All those people with fancy cars have leased or rented them for the image of being successful. It's to lure you in with false promises!
(Although trading can be very fulfilling if you are willing to put in the work!)
📍 New Setup Every Few Weeks 📍
If a channel has a new setup every few weeks, this is only made for scamming new traders, not to have a setup that works.
(Think about it, if you have a setup that works, why would you change?)
Explore their profile, look for this pattern, and sometimes you will find it. Simple step :)
📍 Selling Courses / Mentorship 📍
You can learn all of trading for free.
TradingView has a very nice paper trading feature that you can use and a very unique ideas section where you can find all the information you need!
Here we come to a golden rule when it comes to starting trading: NEVER buy a course or mentorship. Never! You don't need it!
(And also, TradingView's paper trading is free!)
📍 Very Basic Information Available Only 📍
Trading is hard; trading needs a lot of concepts fitting together like RR-System, Money Management, Multi-Timeframe Analysis.
If you see a social media post with 1 chart with some boxes and another picture with a money screenshot, this is 100% fake.
You need A LOT more than 1 chart and a lot more knowledge than you can ever show on even 3 charts.
📍 AI 📍
Oh, we all love AI, but I'm afraid that AI is not in the picture (yet).
Pine can't code it, and the current state of "AI" is a "guessing" game.
(AI just guesses what comes next, in the form of vectors... it's extremely complex, but it doesn't exist in trading.)
📍 Indicators 📍
Indicators are a very nice thing to have AFTER you have your strategy down, not before.
There is no indicator that works on its own; you plug it in and it makes money... that doesn't exist!
(Think about it critically: if that existed, why wouldn't we solve world hunger?)
📍 Typical Selling Point Sentences 📍
"Learn trading in 15 minutes" or "This is all you need" or "Only trade for 10 minutes a day" are the typical scam titles that you see, and with those, you know 100% they are fake.
Trading is not done in 15 minutes, trading is hard work, and trading takes a long time to learn. There are no shortcuts.
📍 Things You Can Ask Them 📍
Typically speaking, they will not answer any of these questions because they can't.
Like "How do you calculate your position size with your current RR setup?" This means they studied this, and you can be sure they didn't :)
Or "How does leverage exactly work?" and like 99.99% of the YouTubers got it wrong.
But a very nice thing to ask is a simple "Can I have a broker statement of your account?" and boom, they are gone.
🏆 Golden Rules 🏆
Never buy anything (you can learn 100% everything for free).
Ask critical questions and follow up on them.
Trading is hard; there is no 15-minute setup.
Trading can't be 100% automated.
Odds and Psychology.Based on "Think fast and slow", people have two system thinking. System-1 is autonomous, always working in background (ie unconsciousness), lazy, intuitive, fast, has stereotypes. System-2 is rational, hard problem solving, takes effort and energy, cuts trough the BS, etc (ie consciousness).
Based on another book called "superforcasters" and some dude I forgot his name, best approach for odds is to have simple system; where 100% certain. 93% almost certain. 75% probable. 50% about even (or maybe). 25% probably not. 7% almost certainly not. 0% impossible. All forecast are subjective guesses.
The catch; If you think something is 100% - you would go allin with max lever. (If you dont) your beliefs or opinion go against your actions. If you dont believe it's wise to go allin - then odds are not actually 100%. If you are stressed about 93% spot, then maybe it might not be 93% after all. (1:14).
In key SPX areas, based on business cycle and TNX, logic says one odds (or System-2) and your intuition (or feel) says differently. You are either too bearish or too bullish.
This is a simple representation of concept.
Another key concept is that TIME <----> PROBABILITY are at opposite sides of coin. The closer or far away in time something - more or less risk, ie higher or lower probability.
BARBEQUE NATION: The Psychology of YOUR tradesEmotions play a significant role in trading and can have a profound impact on decision-making and overall trading performance. Here are some common emotions that traders experience and how they can influence trading behavior:
1. Fear:
Fear is a powerful emotion that often arises when traders face unexpected market movements or potential losses. It can lead to impulsive decisions, such as closing a position prematurely or avoiding new trades altogether. Fear can prevent traders from sticking to their trading plans and strategies, ultimately hindering their ability to make rational choices.
2. Greed:
Greed is the desire for excessive profits and can lead traders to take unnecessary risks. It often emerges during bullish market trends when traders become overly confident and start making impulsive trades. Greed can cloud judgment and cause traders to hold onto positions longer than they should, leading to significant losses when the market reverses.
3. Hope:
While hope can provide optimism, it becomes problematic when it's not based on logical analysis. Traders may hold onto losing positions hoping for a turnaround, ignoring warning signs that indicate the trade is unlikely to recover. Balancing hope with realistic assessments of market conditions is crucial to avoid capital erosion.
4. Regret:
Regret can arise from missed opportunities or poor decisions. Traders may feel remorse for not entering a trade that subsequently turns profitable, or they may regret entering a trade that results in losses. Regret can lead to impulsive actions, such as chasing trades or deviating from the trading plan to make up for perceived missed opportunities.
5. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
FOMO can lead traders to make rushed decisions in an attempt to catch up with perceived profitable opportunities. This can result in impulsive trading and following the crowd without proper analysis. FOMO-driven actions often disregard risk management and trading strategies, leading to poor outcomes.
6. Ego:
Ego can arise from both winning and losing trades. A trader with a big ego may become overconfident after a string of successful trades, leading to complacency and neglect of risk management. Conversely, a trader who experiences losses may let their ego drive them into revenge trading, seeking to prove themselves and recover losses without a sound strategy.
Successful traders learn to manage these emotions through discipline, self-awareness, and a well-defined trading plan. They understand that emotions can cloud judgment and lead to impulsive decisions, so they prioritize rational analysis and risk management to achieve consistent and profitable trading outcomes.
Should we also post on the set of practices we personally follow to build disciplined psychology?
It takes a lot of time and effort to compile such posts. If it was worth your time, Would you give us a boost?
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? DM us or comment below.👇
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
Special words for gold trading
We often see these words when trading. If you understand them, trading will be easier.
Including "deposit, withdrawal, position, closing, take profit, stop loss", etc.; they mean:
Deposit: remit personal funds to the trading account for trading;
Withdrawal: transfer part or all of the balance in the trading account to a personal bank account;
Position: the name of the trader buying and selling contracts in the market; establishing a trading order is called "establishing a position", a buy order is called a "long position", and a short-selling order is called a "short position"
Closing: ending a held buy order or sell order;
Take profit: the trading order finally achieves the profit target and leaves the market with a profit;
Stop Loss: When the order loss reaches the maximum tolerable amount, admit the loss and leave the market;
In addition to the commonly used terms, there are also some special terms involved in the trading market;
For example: heavy position, light position, carry order, lock position, liquidation
Heavy position: Most of the funds in the trader's account are involved in order transactions
Light position: The trader only uses a small part of the funds in the account to participate in the order;
In trading, there is a most basic principle that "don't put all your eggs in one basket"
There are always risks in the financial market, and traders should remember one sentence:
Avoid risks, trade with light positions, and never hold heavy positions.
Light position standards:
Total loss of holding positions ≤ one-tenth of the account amount
The number of lots for a single transaction of 10,000 US dollars is not more than 0.5-1 lot
Carry order:
When traders encounter losses, they have no stop-loss strategy, do not know how to stop losses and choose opportunities to start over, but always hold losing orders and bet everything on the rise and fall of the market. This is a behavior that should be avoided in trading.
Locking:
Similar to "carrying orders", when traders encounter losses, they do not implement stop-loss strategies, but establish reverse orders while holding loss orders. Locking can only allow traders to temporarily stop further losses, but cannot get rid of losses. If the net value is not enough, a "black swan event" will occur, and the short-order spread will increase instantly, which will also lead to a margin call.
Margin call:
When the funds in the trader's trading account are not enough to trade, it is a margin call; margin call means the loss of all principal.
If you are a novice, these must be helpful to you! I will share trading knowledge from time to time, and you can follow me if you need it.
A few points that I often repeat to myself to sober myself upEveryone has noticed that after a profitable position, emotions of joy pass quickly than in a situation with a loss. Mostly we all know the instruments, we all use same tools, we can watch,read million sources about trading. So why less than 3% profitable on a distance?
⌛️Psychology
A few points that I often repeat to myself to sober myself up
- Your expectations, your problems! Just because it seemed to you that the price should have gone in your direction, does not mean that the market is against you! I understand that there will ALWAYS be losses! Therefore, I came to terms with this fact and simply treat trading as a job! If you open any other offline business, you will have costs and expenses, losses! It's the same story with trade!
- I conducted a survey and see that the majority are trading from liquidation! I try to balance with 1% trades! Of course 0.5 is better. Plus you need to determine the amount of loss you can afford per day! It is best to stop at 2 unprofitable trades per day! Then you just want to win back again and again!
- Pauses! You definitely need to take breaks! The number of trades absolutely does not determine success! Although I used to think that if I don’t trade today it means I’m not working! Not really, quality is more important than quantity.
- Probably the most important thing is that victories or defeats in the market cannot and should not in any way affect my attitude towards life in general, my family, my health! It's just a job in which there is no limit to learning!
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Mastering the Trader Skillset: Building a Strong PyramidIn the dynamic world of trading, success hinges on a robust skillset. Imagine this skillset as a pyramid, with each level representing a crucial component that traders must master to achieve consistent profitability. At the base, we have Technical Analysis, followed by Risk Management in the middle, and Discipline and Patience at the top. Additionally, Automation plays a pivotal role, integrating seamlessly across the entire structure. Let's delve into each of these elements and understand how they contribute to a trader's success.
The Base: Technical Analysis
The foundation of the trader's pyramid is Technical Analysis. This involves studying price charts, patterns, and various indicators to make informed trading decisions. Mastering technical analysis is crucial because it:
1. Identifies Trends and Patterns: Recognizing market trends and chart patterns allows traders to predict future price movements, making it easier to enter and exit trades at optimal times.
2. Utilizes Indicators: Tools like moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and Bollinger Bands provide insights into market momentum, volatility, and potential reversals.
3. Supports Strategy Development: Technical analysis forms the basis for creating and refining trading strategies, whether they are short-term or long-term.
The Middle: Risk Management
Sitting at the middle of the pyramid is Risk Management, a critical component that ensures long-term survival in the market. Effective risk management includes:
1. Position Sizin: Determining the appropriate size for each trade to limit exposure and avoid catastrophic losses.
2. Stop-Loss Orders: Implementing stop-loss orders to automatically close losing positions before they can significantly impact the trading account.
3. Diversification: Spreading investments across different assets or markets to reduce risk.
By prioritizing risk management, traders can protect their capital and remain in the game, even during periods of market volatility.
The Peak: Discipline and Patience
At the pinnacle of the pyramid are Discipline and Patience, the traits that distinguish successful traders from the rest. These qualities are essential for:
1. Adhering to Strategies: Sticking to predetermined trading plans and strategies, even in the face of emotional challenges and market noise.
2. Avoiding Overtrading: Exercising restraint to prevent impulsive decisions and overtrading, which can erode profits and increase risk.
3. Waiting for the Right Opportunities: Having the patience to wait for high-probability setups, rather than forcing trades.
Discipline and patience ensure that traders remain consistent and rational, avoiding the pitfalls of emotional trading.
The Integrative Element: Automation
Automation in trading acts as an integrative element that enhances every level of the pyramid. It involves using algorithms and trading bots to execute trades based on predefined criteria. Automation benefits traders by:
1. Eliminating Emotional Bias: Automated systems follow strategies without being influenced by fear or greed, ensuring objective decision-making.
2. Enhancing Efficiency: Automation can analyze vast amounts of data quickly and execute trades with precision, improving overall trading efficiency.
3. Consistence: Automated strategies maintain consistency in trading, sticking to the plan without deviation.
By incorporating automation, traders can optimize their technical analysis, streamline risk management, and uphold discipline and patience.
The trader skillset pyramid provides a comprehensive framework for achieving trading success. Technical Analysis forms the sturdy base, enabling traders to understand market behavior and develop strategies. Risk Management, positioned in the middle, safeguards their capital and ensures longevity. Discipline and Patience, at the top, are the hallmarks of professional trading, allowing traders to execute their plans effectively. Automation, interwoven throughout, enhances each component, providing a modern edge in the fast-paced trading environment.
By mastering each level of this pyramid, traders can build a resilient and profitable trading career, equipped to navigate the complexities of financial markets with confidence.
The art of trading in favor of the TrendWe have a clear bias of a psychological nature that basically consists of going against everything that experiences a movement in favor.
When a trend is established, it always tends to last longer than we expect:
_ It’s going to turn around now!, it’s going to turn around now! but it never does.
All that time you’re waiting for a market to turn is precious time you’re losing to go in favor. You’re missing multiple opportunities by waiting for just one, the turn.
And what’s worse, you’re probably even entering the market against it, with its consequent “bites” to your account.
When there is an established trend, the best thing you can do is wait for a retracement of it to enter in its favor.
Therefore:
- Every time there is a trend, for example bullish, if you go against it at every resistance you find, you are trading counter-trend.
- Likewise, if you go against it at every support, in a bearish trend, you are trading counter-trend.
Many times prices stop at supports and resistances, and you may get a “pinch” but by doing so you are not trading in the correct way but as the market wants you to do.
When Are You READY to Trade with REAL MONEY?Hello hello, R2F here with another discussion.
Today, I'd like to go over the question, 'when do you know you are ready to trade with real money?'
Too many traders rush into trading with real capital before they are ready, and end up losing more money than neccessary on learning journey. People are generally impatient creatures and want to get into actions as soon as possible. Perhaps they want to find out if they are magically a trading savant before wasting time on all the usual work that is required.
However, trading is extremely simple, albeit not easy. The difficult part comes in the form of the investment of time and experience, and refining yourself as a person. Once you had that in the bag, trading offers the potential for generational wealth that comes with the freedom of time.
Without further ado, I share my thoughts on how to approach this burning question.
- R2F
HOPE TRADING: This is how you lose big money in tradingHope Trading: How Traders Lose Money in Trading
This image shows how traders lose their money in trading due to hope. Hope is good but also you should believe in your analysis if your SL hits then accept that you are wrong now and should not hope in the wrong direction.
In the world of trading, hope can be both a friend and a foe. While optimism is essential, relying solely on hope can lead to significant losses. Let's explore why:
1. The Power of Hope:
- Hope keeps traders motivated and optimistic.
- It encourages persistence during challenging times.
- However, hope alone is not a winning strategy.
2. The Danger of Blind Hope:
- Traders often cling to hope even when their analysis suggests otherwise.
- Ignoring stop-loss (SL) levels due to hope can be disastrous.
- Hope can blind us to market realities.
3. Balancing Hope and Analysis:
- Believe in your analysis, but remain open to adjusting your strategy.
- If your SL is hit, accept that you were wrong and cut your losses.
- Avoid hoping for a miraculous turnaround.
4. Risk Management:
- Set clear risk limits and stick to them.
- Use SL orders to protect your capital.
- Hope should never override risk management rules.
Remember, hope is valuable, but it must be grounded in sound analysis and risk management.
Thanks
Happy Trading
Trading is execution - USD/JPY Live trading exampleThis is a short mentoring/educational session.
The USD/JPY is the pair we are trading this evening, I analyse this based on the mtf wave structure.
I explained the importance of the secondary trend, as a determinant tool or information for what may happen in the future.
I also shared one of my waves of success strategy using the DMI and the VMP for trade execution.
Finally, after taking the trade, I explained late Mark Douglas probabilistic principles which acts as a solid foundation of our behaviour and interaction with the market.
The Value of an Unbiased BiasHi everyone,
In this video I would like to discuss the value of having an unbiased bias when it comes to your analysis. It’s a dry subject with only a little chart illustrating near the end, but the boring stuff usually tends to be the most important topics when it comes to making it in this industry.
I think most of us are familiar with the word ‘bias’. For those that aren’t, basically, in the context of trading, all it means is being in favour of the market moving either to the upside or downside. Your bias comes by means of your analysis and can be related to any timeframe. For example, I could have a bullish bias on a higher timeframe monthly chart, and a bearish bias for the lower timeframe daily chart.
Now, you don’t HAVE to always have a bias. If you don’t know, then you simple don’t know, and there is nothing wrong with that, it would be unreasonable and nonsensical to think otherwise. But, sometimes your bias is wrong, which leads me to the topic of this video.
I believe even for traders who don’t know how to form a technical bias, do so anyway in the form of psychological bias. Most of the time, we think the market is either going up or down, hence why we would even get into a long or short position. The tricky part is being flexible and changing your bias when the market is indicating you are clearly wrong.
Smart Money knows how we think, and they know how to create sentiment in the marketplace. This is why its crucial to be able to change your bias on a dime, WHEN it is applicable, WHEN your analysis is showing you, and NOT for any other reason. The later you are to the party, the less pips you can catch, and the less likely your trades will win.
As humans, we tend to cling to our beliefs. We block out any evidence indicating that we may be wrong about them. And when the market is showing us that we may be wrong, we just tell ourselves “Well now the market is offering me more pips, I have to get in on this move!”, hence one reason how you get long or short squeezes.
- R2F