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Overtrading Overtrading is a common issue in trading and can lead to significant losses. It occurs when a trader excessively opens and manages positions, often due to psychological and emotional factors. To avoid overtrading, consider the following strategies: Establish a Solid Trading Plan: Having a well-defined trading plan is crucial. Your plan should outline entry and exit strategies, risk management rules, and criteria for position sizing. Stick to this plan and avoid deviating from it due to emotional impulses. Risk Management: Limit the amount of capital you risk on each trade. A common guideline is not to risk more than 1-2% of your total trading capital on a single trade. This approach helps protect your capital from significant losses. Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid putting all your capital into a single trade or asset. Diversifying your investments across different assets can help spread risk and reduce the temptation to overtrade a single asset. Set Trading Hours: Define specific trading hours or sessions during which you'll be actively trading. Outside of these hours, avoid opening new positions or making impulsive decisions. This approach can help maintain discipline. Emotional Control: Recognize the emotional triggers that lead to overtrading, such as desperation, overconfidence, or impatience. When you feel these emotions, take a step back from trading, focus on your trading plan, and practice mindfulness techniques to manage emotions. Monitor Your Trading Frequency: Keep track of the number of trades you execute in a day or week. If you notice you're trading excessively, it's a warning sign of overtrading. Review your trading activities and identify what drove you to make those trades. Limit the Number of Open Positions: Setting a maximum number of concurrent open positions can prevent overtrading. This restriction forces you to be selective and prioritize quality over quantity. Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders: Implementing stop-loss and take-profit orders can automate your exit strategy. This reduces the temptation to constantly monitor and adjust trades, which can lead to overtrading. Trade Size: Be mindful of your position size relative to your account balance. Avoid increasing position sizes disproportionately after a series of wins. Stick to a consistent position sizing strategy that aligns with your risk tolerance. Take Regular Breaks: Trading for extended periods can lead to fatigue and emotional decision-making. Schedule breaks to clear your mind and refocus your trading strategy. Remember, trading is a long-term endeavor, and success is not determined by individual trades but by your overall performance. Avoid the allure of quick profits and stay disciplined in following your trading plan to mitigate the risks associated with overtrading. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

Education

by Crypto4light

The psychology of trading The psychology of trading presents one of the most significant challenges, especially for day traders. Initially, when individuals enter the world of trading, they primarily focus on profit. Their thoughts are consumed by calculating how much they can earn. This focus on profit is entirely valid, as trading is, ultimately, a means to make money. However, the real trick lies in developing the mindset of a speculator. Over time, traders must shift their focus from profit to potential risk. The "Risk/Reward" calculator should be constantly running in their minds. If the potential for profit in a particular trade is low, then it's usually best to avoid it. However, for beginners, it often doesn't work this way. Their unaccustomed brains are constantly bombarded by new emotions, with the primary culprits being greed and fear. These emotions lead to continuous, uncontrollable reactions. To become a professional trader, one must learn to set aside these emotions. This is easier said than done. Everyone emphasises removing emotions from trading, but the reality is that emotions are deeply rooted in the subconscious, often overriding conscious efforts. To address this problem, a deeper understanding is needed, looking at the fundamental aspects. Fear: Fear arises when confronted with the unknown. Take the example of children's fear of the dark. Darkness was a historic human adversary because it harbored predators that could potentially harm people. For a long time, human civilization lacked the technological means to repel these predators. In our instincts, fear equates to death. This explains the intense reaction generated by fear. In modern times, cities are illuminated day and night, and predators are scarce. However, fear persists as if it's programmed into us. Why aren't adults afraid of the dark? They know there is nothing there. They are familiar with the situation, and this knowledge breeds confidence, mitigating fear. Greed: Understanding the roots of greed is a more intricate task. In essence, greed can be traced back to a form of fear. Imagine that our ancestors spent hundreds of thousands of years in conditions of resource scarcity. Food, clothing, warmth, and more were essential for survival. Life depended on securing these resources. If you couldn't feed yourself, you'd perish; if you were cold, you'd die. Death, in this context, is equated with fear. To save your life, you needed more resources. To ensure an abundance of resources, you had to strive tirelessly. Over millennia, for the sake of practicality and daily life, humanity introduced money as a means to acquire these resources. That's when greed became linked to money. In modern times, there is no resource shortage, but this deeply rooted emotion persists as part of our nature. Excessive greed typically leads to impulsive actions. While impulsiveness can be advantageous in some areas, it is detrimental in trading, where it often results in errors and losses. So, what can traders do to address these challenges? As previously discussed, it all boils down to fear, which can be conquered through familiarity. Familiarity, in this context, refers to understanding the relationships between different trading actions and their corresponding outcomes. Our field is entwined with probabilities. Mathematics underpins virtually every aspect of trading. To be profitable, traders must strive for more positive outcomes. Therefore, the key is to identify the chain of actions and consequences that leads to favorable results.

Education

by Crypto4light

10 Proven Tips for Traders In the fast-paced world of day trading, staying ahead of the curve is essential. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜 Here are ten time-tested strategies to guide your journey towards trading success: 1. Craft a Concrete Plan: A meticulously planned strategy is your foundation. Clearly define what, how much, and when you will trade. Rushing into trades without a plan can lead to costly mistakes. 2. Prioritize Risk Management: Risk management is paramount. Establish a robust strategy, including stop-loss levels and trusted brokers. Safeguarding your capital ensures longevity in the trading game. 3. Leverage Technology: Embrace cutting-edge tools. Utilize charting platforms for market analysis and backtest your strategies against historical data. Mobile apps offer real-time market access, empowering you to make informed decisions. 4. Embrace Continuous Learning: Stay nimble by staying informed. Keep up with news, trading literature, and emerging market trends. Adaptability is key in evolving markets like cryptocurrencies. 5. Rely on Facts, Not Emotions: Base your decisions on cold, hard facts. Emotional impulses can cloud your judgment. Trust your data-backed strategies, preventing impulsive and regrettable actions. 6. Set Entry and Exit Rules: Discipline is your ally. Stick unwaveringly to your predefined entry and exit points. Deviating from your plan risks unnecessary losses. 7. Strategy Over Money: Focus on strategy execution, not profits. Concentrating solely on money can lead to hasty, ill-informed decisions. Trust your strategy; profits will naturally follow. 8. Own Your Decisions: Accept responsibility for both wins and losses. Learn from mistakes constructively. Pinpoint errors, adjust your approach, and fortify your strategy for future trades. 9. Maintain a Detailed Trade Journal: Record every trade meticulously. Modern software simplifies this process, offering insights into your past trades. A trading journal is your compass, guiding you towards informed decisions. 10. Recognize When to Pause: Acknowledge when your strategy falters. Avoid chasing losses; instead, recalibrate your approach. Knowing when to step back is a hallmark of a seasoned trader. Continuously refining your skills with these principles can elevate your day trading prowess. Stay disciplined, adapt to the markets, and success will undoubtedly follow. Happy trading! 💜

Education

Market narratives When analyzing the crypto market, we often use the concept of a "market narrative." However, it's essential to understand that these narratives are not solely shaped by price movements and chart manipulations but are also influenced by external factors. In the world of cryptocurrencies, this market is significantly different from traditional financial markets. It is particularly susceptible to a wide range of influences from various sources, including news, social media, online communities, and the development trajectories of Tier-1 projects. Event-Driven Influence: The crypto market's relatively low liquidity makes it prone to sudden changes in prices triggered by various events. These events encompass exchange hacks, regulatory alterations, technical updates, and other news that significantly influence market narratives and participant activity. Social Media Impact: Popular social media platforms play a pivotal role in shaping market narratives. These platforms enable the formation of communities where opinions are shared, rumors spread, and public sentiment is influenced. Notably, the initiation of verbal battles and provocations within comment sections can manipulate public opinion. These conversations often seek to confirm existing beliefs and reinforce the primary narrative, sometimes even at a subconscious level. Media and Blogs: Thematic news websites and blogs, along with influencers, can wield considerable influence over market narratives through articles, reviews, research publications, interviews, and commentary. It's worth noting that some individuals and companies conduct paid PR campaigns for projects, and these campaigns may sometimes involve deceitful practices. Institutional Participation: Actions taken by significant players, such as institutional investors, cryptocurrency companies, funds, and media figures, can escalate interest in the information sphere. For instance, news of a major investor or fund purchasing tokens from a specific project can lead to increased interest, heightened volatility, and price fluctuations. Narratives surrounding developments like ETF adoption or Bakkt can serve as hype builders, even though underlying issues within the industry may still loom large. Guidelines for Interacting with Market Narratives: Research and Verification: Avoid accepting information at face value. Conduct thorough research and cross-verify news from multiple sources before making any decisions. Risk Assessment: Acknowledge the extreme volatility in the crypto market and objectively calculate risk-reward ratios. The size of positions should be determined based on an assessment of fundamental indicators and project metrics. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Develop Your Investment Strategy: Define an investment strategy that aligns with your goals, timeframes, and risk tolerance. Understanding the fundamental aspects of blockchain projects and technology is vital, as it goes beyond market narratives and can be the key to informed investment decisions. Connect with Like-Minded Individuals: Given the vastness of the industry, it's challenging to track every change and update by yourself. Engage with a community of peers to quickly access necessary information and learn from the experiences of others, which can directly impact your investment strategy. Embrace Long-Term Goals: Instead of trying to predict short-term price changes or immediate hype-driven surges, adopt a long-term perspective of the crypto market. Long-term plans and strategies are less susceptible to volatility and associated risks. Understanding a project's fundamentals and metrics can provide insights into its long-term potential, which often provides more valuable information than short-term market fluctuations after a listing on a cryptocurrency exchange. In summary, to navigate the crypto market effectively, it's vital to be cautious, well-informed, and maintain a long-term perspective, all while actively participating in the crypto community to stay updated and share experiences. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

Education

by Crypto4light

20 trading rules 1. A bad trade or a string of bad trades doesn't mean anything. 2. Don't focus on the last deal: it has nothing to do with the next one. 3. Always follow the trading plan: in good and bad times. 4. Focus on one trading pair. 5. In this business, losses are inevitable: in order to succeed in trading, you need to learn to accept risks. Reducing risks will help eliminate anxiety and a source of stress. 6. You need to understand what kind of trader you are: which trading discipline is best for you. If you are slow to react to price movements, then short-term or swing trading may be better for you. If you are able to quickly respond to price movements, intraday trading is probably suitable for you. 7. Trading without a plan and without using a protective stop loss order, excessive use of a deposit - all this can bury you as a trader. 8. Never make anything absolute in trading - we work with probabilities. Every transaction must be considered in terms of probabilities. Nobody knows where the price will go. Give up perfection in trading. You can't be right all the time. If we have a sound trading model and the ability to manage risk, the outcome of a trade should not weigh so heavily on our psyche. 9. You need to leave your ego out of the market. 10. Lower time frames narrow the picture and create a misleading picture of the current state of the market, so you should focus on long-term charts even if you are a day trader. 11. Expectations should be down to earth: there is no need to set inflated goals, this can lead to rash decisions and unsuccessful transactions. If you cannot achieve an inflated goal within a week , then this may cause a deviation from the plan and force events. 12. Success in trading requires consistency, not large trading positions. Even with a small starting capital, you can achieve amazing results if you: follow the rules of risk management , act according to a trading plan, reinvest income (compound interest method). 13. Do not complicate the work process using different approaches and strategies. The simple system makes trading less stressful and more profitable. Any strategy will have losing trades, but when those losses are within acceptable expectations for your system, the law of averages will guide you through the drawdown periods and you will make money. 14. If the system does not show results in the long term, then it is worth looking for the reason. You need to find your weaknesses and bad habits. 15. Trading should not take up all your free time. Presence is only required at specific times, which are coordinated with the economic calendar . Relax and mind your own business. Avoid addiction to trading. 16. Excessive trading does not lead to anything good. Limit yourself only to those models that are specified in your trading strategy . Understand that the market will provide new opportunities and setups. Relax and remember to have realistic expectations. 17. You should not be in front of charts during periods when you are not feeling the best or are in a bad mood. This may result in a desire to take out your anger on the market. This approach is fatal for a trader. Take a break and rest. 18. It is necessary to keep a trading journal and record in it not only transactions, but also your experiences at the time of entering and exiting a transaction. Another reason to keep a trading journal is to try to stay organized and disciplined. Following a trading plan is much more difficult than it seems. 19. A professional trader should open a trading terminal like a 6th grade mechanic approaches the machine - calmly, without emotions, clearly knowing what he will be doing for the next few hours, when all actions are brought to automaticity. 20. Every professional speculator hides three psychotypes of personality: analyst, trader and gambler. A trader will be successful by ignoring the gambler and listening to the analyst. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

Education

by Crypto4light

Unlocking The Trader's Pyramid In the realm of trading, success isn't solely derived from intricate technical analysis. Surprisingly, the key to triumph lies in an unconventional ratio: 20% technical analysis and a staggering 80% blend of emotions, discipline, psychology, risk management, and money management. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜 The 20%: Technical Expertise Yes, technical analysis is crucial, comprising the foundational 20% of your crypto trading journey. This segment encompasses chart patterns, indicators, and market trends. However, it's not the sole determinant of your success. The 80%: The Pillars of Triumph The real magic happens within the 80%. Embracing your emotions, mastering discipline, understanding market psychology, and implementing astute risk and money management techniques form the cornerstone of your success. Emotional intelligence allows you to navigate market highs and lows, discipline ensures you stick to your strategies, and psychological resilience helps you stay steady amidst volatility. Effective risk and money management safeguard your capital and nurture your profits. This symbiotic blend of technical expertise and emotional intelligence propels you towards trading mastery. By allocating your focus and energy according to this pyramid, you're not just trading; you're sculpting success . Let this balanced approach be your guiding light in the trading journey! Happy trading! 💜

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Fear Fear is a natural human response to potential threats, serving as a vital psychological mechanism that safeguards us from danger. This reaction shouldn't be a source of shame, yet it's also crucial not to let fear dominate every aspect of life. Excessive worry about potential outcomes can lead to a diminished quality of life. However, fear can also be a valuable tool that keeps us attentive in specific situations. Fear can be referred to by various names, such as apprehension, unease, concern, or tension. When an individual perceives a threat, one of these emotions comes into play. It's simple: no threat, no fear. This emotional and physical sensation should be recognized as having its limits, and the key is knowing how to manage it effectively. Now, how does fear manifest in the realm of trading? In trading, fear is a common experience for every trader. It's universal! However, some traders learn to master it, while others are overcome by it. One of the most significant fears in trading is the fear of initiating a trade. The thoughts and emotions that urge you to enter a position can be forceful enough to sow doubt in your trading setup. This can be due to a lack of chart data, the fear of financial losses, or the simple fear of making an error. Pervasive self-doubt won't lead to favorable outcomes in the long run. Overcoming this fear is essential, and having a well-defined trading strategy is pivotal. It's a place where elements like risk management, trading timing, factors, timeframes, triggers, tools, and the rules you must adhere to are clearly outlined. If any of these components are absent from your setup, then what's the point of continuing? Why establish a trading strategy if you don't intend to follow it? It's essential to set clear boundaries and acceptable losses, fully understand them, and accept them. When a 1% loss of your capital no longer feels emotionally burdensome, you'll be in a better position to analyze situations rationally and make informed decisions. Another common fear among beginners is the trepidation of trading with real money. This fear is essentially the fear of losing. While practicing on a demo account is beneficial for gaining experience and refining your trading style, it's crucial to recognize that a demo account can't fully prepare you for real trading. Don't be afraid to transition to real money trading. Some traders profit, while others pay with time. Consider your long-term prospects and where you envision yourself in one, five, or ten years. Challenge yourself to step out of your comfort zone. Control your emotions, including fear. Make confident and well-informed decisions, and consistently adhere to the rules you've established. Remember, every journey starts with that initial step. • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

Education

by Crypto4light

Trading Psychology : 5 Questions to Ask your self Before Trading When it comes to trading, it's often said that success is not just about having a winning strategy; it's equally, if not more, about mastering the psychological aspects of trading. when i started trading , I struggled with this concept, and it led to blown accounts, financial losses, and a destruction my mental health. However, through perseverance, reading books , and self-improvement, I managed to get my expectations and psychology in check, and the transformation in my trading results was remarkable. In this article, I'll share the five crucial questions I ask myself before making any trade. These questions have helped me develop a disciplined and resilient trading mindset, and I believe they can do the same for you. 1. Does this trade fit my trading plan? Before even considering a trade, it's vital to have a well-defined trading plan. Ask yourself if the trade aligns with your plan's criteria. This question reminds you to stick to your strategy and avoid impulsive decisions driven by market noise. 2. Am I mentally and financially ready to accept the risk of the trade? Trading is a risky activity , its important to know if you are mentally able to handle potential losses and also it's crucial to assess whether you are mentally prepared to trade , if you are not feeling good mentally don't trade period. , Additionally, ensure that you have the necessary financial resources to accept the risk involved in the trade. Trading should never jeopardize your financial stability. 3. Am I trading based on FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or a well-thought-out plan? FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you are entering a trade out of fear that you might miss out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should drive your decisions, not emotions. always remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market . 4. Am I experiencing overconfidence (euphoria)? FOMO can be a trader's worst enemy. Ask yourself if you're entering a trade out of the fear of missing out on an opportunity. A well-thought-out plan should be the driving force behind your decisions, not emotional impulses. Overconfidence can lead to reckless trading. Evaluate your current state of mind. Are you feeling overly confident, perhaps due to recent successes? Remember that the market can be unpredictable, and overconfidence can cloud your judgment. remember that EVERY SINGLE DAY there are new and better opportunities in the market you are not missing out on anything you are just waiting for the best opportunity that fits your trading rules and strategy . 5. Am I in the present moment (mindful)? Trading, as Mark Douglas beautifully emphasizes in "Trading in the Zone," demands a state of mindfulness. Are you fully immersed in the present trade, or do your thoughts wander elsewhere? Staying in the zone of mindfulness enables you to make grounded and rational decisions while responding adeptly to dynamic market shifts. ask yourself Are you fully engaged in the trade at hand, or are your thoughts scattered? Staying in the present moment allows you to make more rational decisions and react effectively to market changes.

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Meditations for the Modern Trader Drawing inspiration from the timeless wisdom of Marcus Aurelius, this guide distills ancient Stoic principles into modern trading strategies. Dive in to discover how to strengthen your trading mindset and unlock your unique edge. 1. On Emotion and the Markets Remember: The markets are indifferent to your emotions. Anxiety, joy, desperation – these are constructs of your own mind and have no bearing on the ebb and flow of currencies or stocks. Allow your decision-making to be guided not by the heat of the moment, but by calculated, unbiased reasoning. 2. The Impermanence of Success and Failure Today you may rejoice in your gains, yet tomorrow, you might lament your losses. Both states are transient, just as day turns to night. Strive, then, not for constant triumph, but for a balanced mind that remains unperturbed by these shifts. 3. Humility in Profit, Acceptance in Loss Each transaction in the market offers an opportunity to learn humility and acceptance. When you profit, do not let arrogance cloud your judgment. When you lose, do not fall into the abyss of self-pity. Recognize that both are integral aspects of the trader's journey. 4. The Futility of Prediction Remember that no man can predict the movements of the market with unerring accuracy. Do not let fear of the unknown cripple your actions. Instead, make educated decisions based on research and your understanding of the market, accepting the inherent uncertainty of the trade. 5. On Overindulgence Excessive trading is akin to overindulgence in food or drink - it may bring temporary satisfaction but can lead to long-term harm. Moderation is key. Know when to act and when to remain still. 6. The Trap of Comparisons Comparing oneself to others is a distraction and an invitation to distress. Your path in trading is your own and must not be dictated by another’s success or failure. Seek to better yourself and not simply to surpass others. 7. Learning From Mistakes Each mistake is an opportunity for growth. Instead of fearing errors, embrace them as teachers. Learn from them, adjust your strategies, and forge ahead with newfound knowledge. 8. Acceptance of Market Forces Just as one must accept the changing of the seasons, accept the cycles of the market. There will be times of plenty and times of scarcity. In both, stay steadfast and remember that this, too, shall pass. 9. The Power of Patience Do not expect instant success in your trading endeavors. Mastery comes with time and experience. Be patient with your progress and do not rush the journey. The fruit of patience is often sweet. 10. The Mind as the Trader's Greatest Asset Your greatest tool in trading is not a strategy or algorithm, but your mind. Cultivate it with knowledge, exercise it with practice, and keep it balanced with mindfulness. In a balanced mind, reasoned decision-making thrives. Trade with wisdom, patience, and acceptance, and let not the waves of market tides disturb your inner peace. Embrace the journey with all its ups and downs, for this is the path of the enlightened trader. Which Stoic principle resonates most with your trading approach?

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What is FOMO? Syndrome of lost profit in trading FOMO is the lost profit syndrome. Now it is especially common due to the popularity of smartphones and social networks. Many are simultaneously afraid of social isolation and worried about lost opportunities. A similar situation is possible in trading. As soon as traders see a bullish trend, they start opening trades and buying those assets that match their analysis. In addition, a lot of information, thoughts and impressions are concentrated around us, which only aggravates the situation. Let's figure out how to deal with such an obsessive fear. The syndrome of lost benefit is a strong fear of missing an important event or a profitable opportunity. This fear is especially pronounced against the background of the bright life of friends and acquaintances. After all, then there is a feeling that you are wasting time in vain. SUVs are directly related to dissatisfaction with personal life, and social networks only increase the unpleasant state. The greater the dissatisfaction, the greater the desire to find others. And the need for new information turns into intrusive thoughts. FOMO is distinguished by the following features: -Frequent fear of missing something important; -Constant use of language turns like "everything but me"; -The desire to delve into all forms of social communication (attend all the parties, go to concerts, etc.); -Obsessive desire to always be liked by others, accept praise and be available for communication; -The need to constantly update the feed on Facebook, Instagram and other social networks. How to get rid of lost profit syndrome? -Constantly responding to messages and checking the crypto rate every 2 minutes, you waste a lot of time. Therefore, you should establish clear rules for using a PC and a smartphone: -remove unnecessary programs and turn off pop-up messages in programs that are not of great importance; -leave groups and unsubscribe from accounts that are not useful to you; -refuse unnecessary e-mails; -check news and stock quotes no more than twice a day (for example, in the morning and in the evening); -do not take your smartphone to bed and do not sit on the Internet before falling asleep; make two separate schedules - for working with personal and business messages. Five tips — how to avoid the FOMO syndrome as an investor Instead of succumbing to the fear of missing out, you can change your life for the better and find success in the cryptocurrency field. Here are our 5 tips on how to avoid FOMO affecting your investing. 1. Forget about the past What has already happened in the market is irrelevant from FOMO's point of view. There are not many investors who look at past quotes. Successful investors always take the time to analyze when opening a trade: they look at the current state of assets and assess their prospects in the future based on past price charts. The idea that the chance can be one for a lifetime is completely false. There are always and always will be profitable opportunities, just as the market always was and always will be. Charts will never tell you what an asset will be like in a year, two or five years. They simply provide information about events and possible future probabilities. Therefore, competent long-term investors understand that it is never too late to buy assets, it is important to navigate them and make balanced decisions. 2. Buy when everyone is selling and sell when everyone else is buying There is an opinion that on the stock exchange it is necessary to go against the trend. Of course, it is easy to talk about it, but to translate all this into reality is much more difficult. After all, the effect of the lost profit syndrome only increases when you do not invest in an asset that is growing. The "anti-cyclical" behavior is explained as follows: the most successful purchases with possible high returns occur during a fall in the rate and general panic, and sales - during a rise in value, when everyone is eager to buy bitcoin or another crypto as soon as possible. However, this tactic does not at all mean a ban on buying tokens in an uptrend. It is inextricably linked to the next tip, so it should be taken in the same context. 3. Set clear goals Remember the chosen strategy and determine the goals when buying this or that cryptocurrency. One possible option is target cost. If the stock price has reached your indicator, feel free to sell the asset and lock in the profit, or set a stop loss, with the hope that the trend will continue. Many traders use a simple rule - it is better to receive 4 thousand dollars 10 times than to wait six months for 50 pieces. If the deal in a short period of time brings 50% profit or more, it is better to close it. And this should become a proven mechanism. Usually, when the value of a cryptocurrency starts to increase rapidly, many market participants buy it. You can understand this in time and, having sold the asset, watch the further growth that is already taking place by inertia. The growth will stop only when the rest finally realizes that the coin is "overheated" and no longer has the potential for growth. Conclusion: While most buy the coin on the rise due to FOMO, you sell the crypto and get your profit. As for purchases at a reduced price, not everything is so smooth either. After all, not everything will be so profitable that it has become cheaper. Here it is necessary to look at the reasons for the price drop on the chart. If unforeseen circumstances have occurred, for example, a lawsuit by the state regulator in court, then you need to determine what value of the asset will become the most attractive for you in the current period, or how critical the situation with the lawsuit is. Of course, I mentioned isolated cases here. In order to analyze all possible situations in the market, you need to publish an entire online almanac. Each case has a common feature — the psychology of human behavior. Therefore, do not give in to general panic or joy. 4. If there are no investment ideas, wait The famous stock speculator and Wall Street investor Jesse Livermore used to say the following: "Big money doesn't buy or sell, big money waits"! It is true, because one day you will not be able to find more interesting coins to invest. There will be very few of them, and the crypto market will continue to conquer new heights. 5. Your strategy is the main thing If you managed to accumulate knowledge in some area of trading, learned SmartMoney analysis, know how to set goals and evaluate the potential of a particular token, it will bear fruit, but continue to develop further, because there are no limits to perfection! :) New trading tools, technologies and new tokens appear every day that promise to bring significant profits and make cryptocurrency trading as convenient as possible. Do not follow the tricks of speculators. Become the best in your field. Keep a clear mind and don't be influenced by the masses. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

Education

by Crypto4light

80/20 - The Pareto Principle Created by an economist in the 19th century, the Pareto Principle has found its way into all different areas of life and is still used to this day. The basic idea is that for many systems, 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes. In other words, a small number of factors have a large impact on the results. This post will go into further depth on this principle and will also explain how this concept can be applied to trading in a number of ways, making for more efficient and effective use of your productivity, time, and energy. What is the Pareto Principle? This was developed during the 19th century by an Italian economist named Vilfredo Pareto. He noted during the course of his studies that 80% of the land in Italy belonged to about 20% of the population. The 80/20 ratio even became prevalent in his life, and he also noticed that around 20% of the pea pods in his garden yielded around 80% of the peas. This has been found to be true in key aspects of life and is even famously known as the '80/20 rule'. Other examples of this are that 80% of a company's sales are produced by 20% of their products or services, and 80% of news coverage is based on 20% of world events, etc. So how can this idea be applied in the trading world? 80/20: The Pareto Principle In Trading In trading, the Pareto Principle can be applied in several ways. There is a general understanding that in the markets, on average, around 80% of our profits come from around 20% of trades. Therefore, it is important to focus on making a small number of high-quality trades rather than a large number of low-quality trades. By doing this, you can achieve better results with less effort. It is very easy to get caught up in the day-to-day grind of monitoring the markets, placing trades, and managing positions. However, this can quickly consume more time than needed if you let it. Using an effective trading method that is also very easy to understand and implement will give you the mental clarity and time to focus 80% on money management and discipline (we will get to these points later) while only needing about 20% of your mental energy for analysing the markets and finding trades. A lot of traders never even get to this point because they are constantly trying to figure out how to make sense of their trading system due to their current system being unnecessarily complicated. Time Management The 80/20 rule can also be applied to time management in trading. One way to do this as a trader is to spend the most time optimising the 20% of activities that generate 80% of your results. For example, if you spend a lot of time analysing data and know that it has a big impact on your results, you may want to focus on making sure that you spend enough time doing this activity. On the other hand, if you find that you spend a lot of time on activities that don’t have a big impact on your results, you may want to cut back on these activities and focus on the ones that do. To apply the 80/20 rule in this way, it can be helpful to track how you spend your time and the results that you achieve from each activity. This will allow you to identify which 20% of your activities are the most productive and focus your efforts on these activities. By optimising your time management processes, you can use your time more effectively and free up more time to focus on the most important aspects of your trading, which will ultimately achieve better results. A popular misconception, especially among beginner traders, is that trading more and having high activity in the markets is good, which is in fact the opposite. Having high activity in the markets is not only potentially costly due to the transaction costs you need to pay your broker or exchange provider, but high activity in the markets can also cause the trader to overtrade, which leads to the trader taking many trade setups to the extent that he or she loses their market edge. That's due to the trader doing less research on each position and getting clouded judgement as a result of too much screen time. While there is no exact number for how much time you should spend trading, the 80/20 rule can be a helpful guide. For example, if you want to cut back on your trading work-life balance, you may want to focus on only trading during the 20% of the day that is most active. This approach can help you effectively manage your time and focus your efforts on the most important part of the trading process. By only trading for a few hours each day, you can free up more time to focus on other aspects of your life. Less is More, More is Less Another way to apply the Pareto Principle to trading, for example, in Forex trading, is to focus on the 20% of currency pairs that generate 80% of the results. This means that you would only trade a few select currency pairs rather than trying to trade all of them. There are many forex pairs to choose from, and unfortunately, traders make the mistake of trying to trade too many pairs instead of choosing a handful of pairs at most to learn and really get familiar with those pairs as much as possible. Consistency in trading comes from consistent trial and error with the same few products over and over again, and this is very difficult to do if you decide to trade random pairs constantly. Another example of applying the 80/20 rule when choosing your assets is to focus on the 20% of assets that are most correlated with your trading strategy. For example, if you have a long-term trend-following strategy, you may want to focus on pairs that have a strong historical correlation with long-term trends. The Pareto Principle is helpful for many traders who want to improve their trading performance. There are many other ways to apply it to trading. The important thing is to find the trading method that works best for you and your own trading style. Here are some simple examples of how you can use the Pareto Rule in trading: Trending Markets Occur Roughly Only 20% of the Time Strong market trends tend to occur slightly more than 20% of the time, leaving the markets moving sideways nearly 80% of the time. If you are a trend trader, it is very important to know and understand this, as you will adjust your strategy and manage your risks to mitigate that 80%, capitalising on the 20% trend period where (hopefully) you can generate more profits than losses from fewer trades. Knowing and understanding this will also help you not force trades that aren't there. One of the main reasons why traders (especially trend traders) lose money is that they lose patience and trade looking for a big move to happen while the market is just consolidating sideways and not doing anything. 80% Losses 20% Wins That's right. What if I told you that you can be profitable by winning only 20% of your trades and going through times where you can experience at least five losing trades in a row? You are probably reading this, and when I say it is possible, you do not believe me (especially if you are new to trading), and I completely understand (don't worry, there will be proof of this). Another area where the 80/20 rule can be applied in trading is risk and money management. Unfortunately, not enough traders understand how important risk and money management are in trading and that you must have a strict and disciplined approach to them. Trading is not about just being right or wrong; it is about how much money you take from the market when you are right and how much money you give back to the market when you are wrong. As mentioned previously above, around 80% of our profits come from around 20% of trades, so when you really think about it, this should not sound so surprising to you. Still don't believe me? No worries! Let's see together that you can be right only 20% of the time and still make money. As you can see above, there was still a 4.83% increase in account balance after only two trades were won out of ten. The art of trading is to run your profits and cut your losses, hence why the 80/20 rule works if you use it to your advantage. 80% Psychology 20% Trading Method This is another example of the 80/20 principle. You should spend 80% of your time and energy on learning psychological control and capital management skills. For the remaining 20%, you can spend it on chart analysis and trading. If you trust and persevere with this, you will see significant changes in the way you trade. You will feel more comfortable, more confident, and safer, and ultimately see more consistency in your trading. Many traders, unfortunately, never realise this. The reason is that they go all in trying to find a 'holy grail' strategy that will help them earn riches quickly and easily. And if the current method does not help them earn money, they will find another method, and the never-ending circle just keeps repeating until the trader quits for good. The Pareto Principle is a powerful tool that can be used in many different areas of trading. Focus your energy and mind on the things that earn you money (the 20%, not the other 80%). It is great to work hard, but you must also work smart. What you need is a simple trading strategy and method. This is to eliminate the emotional effects as much as possible by not spending too much time in front of your screen. By applying the 80/20 rule to your trading skills, strategy, risk management, asset selection, and time management, you can drastically improve your trading performance and achieve better results. BluetonaFX

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HOW TO Overcome the CYBERFOMO. Life as a Chart.Hello Friends! In the midst of volatile market periods like the present, I pen these words with a deep understanding of their significance. Today, numerous coins have soared by +100%, leaving many behind in their meteoric rise. Perhaps you were among those who went "short" and faced losses. The emotional turmoil in such situations is palpable, and I wish to address it. Maybe I will be able to help you get over the FOMO or the stress of a loss. At the end of this article, I'll share specific methods for interacting with your psyche, but for now - I'll break down how it works. --------------------- Part 1. Intro --------------------- Every trader is familiar with the chart that constantly flickers before them. But have you ever pondered its deeper meaning? What if this chart was more than just numbers and trends? What if it mirrored life itself? Before we delve deeper, I invite you to watch this video . It beautifully encapsulates an individual's growth journey. We all aim for the pinnacle, but the path is rarely straightforward. A swift ascent demands immense strength, critical mass and momentum. Without these, the rise is short-lived, much like an airplane without the necessary thrust. Don't get me wrong, you can jump out with a parachute during the plane crash, if you have time. And if you have your parachute ready. But you'll still land. Just softer. Anyways. What's my point? --------------------- Part 2. The Chart of Life --------------------- You can witness life by looking at a trading chart. I won't go into the details of the fundamentals of market relationships and how it relates to evolution today. Just think of a chart as the ascent of a person. A birth. All of us have different initial conditions. Somebody's born into a famous family. A lot of people know about you instantly. You get a lot of attention. You feel loved, cared for. Large sums of money are deposited for your future, university, etc. Everyone gives you gifts. Others are born into ordinary families, or poor families. And not many people worry about these children. Mostly only their parents believe in them. And even that, not always. Then the child grows up. At first he can not take responsibility for himself, so adults support him so far. From time to time he faces difficulties, but he is helped and supported. Or not. In this case, the child falls, and less and less believes in himself, forming complexes. Passing such life lessons, he becomes an adult. He already knows how to deduce his own lessons and decide in which direction he will go. He makes friends, is noticed at work, paid money, trusted. But a crisis happens inevitably, sometimes without a single visible hint. Difficult relationships, family problems, loss of loved ones, loss of money. He falls into darkness. Sometimes he manages to get out, briefly feeling better for a while, but soon the realization comes that it was not yet the end of the darkness. Falling again. And again. And again. And now he's at his lowest point, Nadir. Almost no one believes in him. Except.. Except those who have seen in him something that lies beyond his appearance. Those who have seen the light within him. Still dim, but so pure. Those who have seen his very essence. Sometimes they can help him see his light. Sometimes they just watch, entrusting him with the burden, knowing he can handle it. Only by turning his mule into a foundation he is now able to push off. They begin to talk about him. About what they actually see in him. Other people begin to show their interest too. Stories start to be told about him, turn into legends, he grows in stature, they re-invest in him. From now on, they have seen how he has met his challenges on his own. From now on, no matter where he falls in future, no matter what will happen in the world - they will believe in him, believe that he can and he will do his best to get up again and again until his last hour comes. --------------------- Part 3. Spotting Potential --------------------- If you've overlooked an opportunity or been deceived, Rejoice. Just be glad that it succeeded! After all, it's an indicator that anything is possible! All you have to do is watch others more closely. There are tons of such personalities, i.e. projects in the world – from offline businesses to the realms of web3, blockchain, NFTs, games. Learn to discern the genuine from the counterfeit. Learn to see the light, the hidden potential. Understand how projects navigate failures, and you'll begin to spot the diamonds amidst the ordinary.. And don't be upset if you missed a diamond or if it turns out to be fake. After all, at that particular moment, you may find YOURSELF entering into the complex game of establishing a personality through a fall. By already knowing the possibilities of rising from the ashes, by keeping it in your mind, you can also rise as a phoenix. In the grand scheme of life, every setback is a lesson, every challenge an opportunity. Believe in yourself. Find your foundation. Become your support. Turn it into a foundation. And work your way back up by doing your best. And rise, time and again. --------------------- Part 4. Practice. Stress relief --------------------- If you ever find yourself at a low point, remember: Breathe: Engage in breathwork like the Wim Hof method. ˜20 mins Embrace the Cold: A cold shower or ice bath can rejuvenate you. Don't forget to breath. ˜5-10 mins Meditate: Focuse on your body, your emotions, and then your psycho-emotional background. Observe it all without judgment. Practice Hatha Yoga: Delve into its spiritual depths. Educate Yourself: Listen to enlightening lectures, such as those by Jordan Peterson. (Personality series as well as his Bible lecture series. You will discover many new things). Seek Therapy: Discuss and understand your emotions. Empower with Knowledge: Educate yourself. Make informed decisions and act when you're ready. --------------------- Hope you could find this helpful. Yours truly, 👁️ A.I.Vision

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Mastering Drawdowns: Strategies for Resilient Trading Every trader, novice or seasoned, knows the sting of drawdowns. While they're inevitable, managing them effectively is key to trading success. Even the most renowned traders face drawdowns. Consider Richard Dennis, the legendary Turtle Trader, who transformed a mere $1,600 into over $200 million. Surprisingly, he experienced drawdowns of over 80% at times so I've read :). This might seem outlandish to some but perfectly normal to others. His approach worked well for his personal trades, but when he tried managing others' money via a hedge fund, it was a different story look it up its a good story for your mindset. Ultimately, it isn't the magnitude of the drawdown that's critical. It's your psychological response to it that dictates your success in handling it. Here's how I've personally navigated through drawdowns over the past 14 years: Focus on the Percentage, NOT the Amount: Previously, seeing the monetary loss during drawdowns sent me spiraling into panic and fear. The root problem? Focusing on the dollar amount, leading to emotionally charged decisions. Shifting focus to the percentage value changed everything. A 10% drawdown is more digestible mentally than a $10,000 one. This shift minimizes negative emotions and consequential mistakes. Confidence in Your Trading System: The depth of drawdown you can stomach ties directly to your trust in your trading system. If you know your metrics and trust your approach, you'll be more resilient. Confidence-building measures include thorough backtesting, simulation trading, and initiating with smaller live trades. Diversify Trading Accounts Based on Risk: I've always maintained three types of accounts: low-risk (60% capital, <10% drawdowns), moderate-risk (30% capital, <20% drawdowns), and aggressive (10% capital, high drawdown limits). This structure is possible thanks to the faith I have in my trading approach. Prioritize Mental & Physical Wellbeing: Trading is grueling, both mentally and physically. To stay sharp, you must be in peak condition. Regular exercise, like my 12-year practice of Muay Thai, offers stress relief. Meditation, another tool in my arsenal, helps maintain calm and focus. Trading is a journey, with its fair share of ups and downs. What I've shared is my compass through the stormy seas. Hopefully, it lights up your path too. Happy trading!

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Support and Resistance- Flipping Roles ⚡In simple terms, support is a level where demand overcomes supply, while resistance is a level where supply overcomes demand. In the market, different types of traders participate, and I have broadly categorized them into four groups based on their behavior. ⚡You may have heard that once a support level is broken, it tends to act as a resistance level, and vice versa. This phenomenon occurs because the roles of support and resistance flip, influenced by the psychology of traders at these levels. ⚡Let's illustrate this with an example. Consider Group A, a set of buyers who bought a stock at 80. The stock price rises to 100 but faces some resistance. At this point, Group B, consisting of short sellers, enters the market and starts selling the stock near 100, with their stop-loss orders placed just above 100. Thus, there is supply present at this level. ⚡The price consolidates within a narrow range and eventually breaks out above 100. Group A is delighted as they bought at a good price, but Group B becomes unhappy. Some members of Group B exit the trade as their stop-loss orders get triggered, while others continue to hold in hope of a favorable outcome. ⚡Now, another group of traders, Group C, known as breakout traders, becomes active above 100. Their buy orders, combined with the buy-stop orders from Group B, add momentum to the upward movement, pushing the price up to 110. ⚡As the buying pressure eases, and short-term traders take profits, the market starts to pull back, eventually reaching the old resistance area around 100. ⚡Many pullback traders look for buying opportunities near this level. Additionally, members of Group B, who shorted at 100, realize their mistake and start buying to close their short positions at breakeven. Some of them also reverse their positions. Other buyers who were waiting on the sidelines also start entering the market. All these buy orders create a strong demand. ⚡Notice that once there was significant supply at 100 and now there is significant demand. If this demand is substantial enough, the price resumes its upward movement, illustrating how changes in market sentiment impact a participant's psychology and consequently affect the nature of support and resistance levels. ⚡The reverse is true for how a support level, once broken down, turns into a resistance level. ⚡I hope you found this tutorial helpful. Please stay tuned for more educational content in the future. Feel free to show your support by liking this post. Disclaimer: Practical knowledge

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by Bravetotrade

Updated

Understanding the Learning Curve Welcome to @Vestinda new article about Learning Curve! We are delighted to share this insightful piece with our valued community on @TradingView ! At Vestinda, we believe in empowering traders with knowledge and tools to navigate the cryptocurrencies and futures trading. In this article, we will explore the concept of the learning curve and its relevance to the trading journey. Whether you are a novice trader or a seasoned professional, understanding the learning curve can be instrumental in your path to success. If you focus and invest time into a subject, you will eventually reach a level of mastery. The actual level clearly depends on the amount of invested time and to a significant extent on your inherent abilities to acquire the specific knowledge. I could probably spend a decade on quantum physics and not progress beyond the level of ‘enthusiastic beginner'. However, attaining mastery is seldom a smooth and linear journey. It is more like a curve in the mathematical sense, characterized by uneven ups and downs, reflecting the usual 'bumps in the road' that we all experience when dealing with challenging topics. There is a pattern in the process of learning something new (knowledge, skills, etc.), which was formulated by the American psychologist Albert Bandura. This pattern is depicted in the form of a graph known as the Bandura curve. The graph demonstrates the relationship between time (number of attempts), the level of human competence in what they are studying, and their expectations. If you have ever enthusiastically started a new training, holding high hopes for it, and then quietly gave up, blaming others or anything else, then you are not alone. To avoid repeating this in the future, it's important to understand how human psychology and the system work, and that each of us is part of this system. Below, we will provide recommendations on what to pay attention to. So, the Bandura curve shows the stages a person goes through when beginning to learn something new. 1. Clueless (You don't know what you don't know) When you first venture into trading cryptocurrencies and futures, you are essentially clueless about the intricacies of the market. The concepts, strategies, and tools may seem foreign and overwhelming. It's like staring at a vast landscape without a map, unsure of where to even begin. 2. Naively confident (You think you know, but still don't know what you don't know) As you begin your learning journey, you might gain some basic knowledge and techniques. This newfound understanding might lead to a sense of naively confident. You believe you have a handle on things, but in reality, there's a lot you're still unaware of, and the market can surprise you with unexpected turns. 3. Discouragingly realistic (You know what you don't know) With more experience, you come to a point of realization that there is much more to learn. The challenges and complexities of trading become evident, and you may face setbacks that test your resolve. It can be a discouraging phase as you grapple with the reality of how much you still need to learn. 4. Mastery achieved (You know it) Through persistence and a commitment to learning, you gradually achieve mastery in trading cryptocurrencies and futures. You've gained a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics, developed effective strategies, and learned how to manage risks. You can now navigate the market with confidence and consistently make informed decisions. Remember: The learning curve in trading is a natural part of the process, and each stage brings its own valuable lessons. Don't be disheartened by challenges or setbacks; they are opportunities to grow and improve your trading skills. WHAT TO DO? ✅ Embrace the journey of learning and growth, recognizing that mastery takes time. ✅ Stay humble and open-minded, acknowledging that there is always more to learn. ✅ Be patient with yourself during the challenging phases and use them as motivation to improve. ✅ Keep refining your strategies and adapting to the ever-changing market conditions. Can you identify which stage you are currently in your cryptocurrency and futures trading journey? Remember, each stage brings you closer to becoming a proficient trader. We hope you found this article on understanding the learning curve in trading cryptocurrencies and futures helpful! If you have any thoughts, questions, or personal experiences related to the topic, we'd love to hear from you. Please share your feedback in the comments below. Your input is valuable to us and can help us create more content that resonates with your interests and needs. Thank you for being part of our community!

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The Pyramid of Trading Success Greetings, esteemed members of the @TradingView community and all Vesties out there! The Pyramid of Trading Success is a conceptual model that outlines the fundamental principles and steps needed to achieve success in the trading world. It serves as a guiding framework for traders to build a strong foundation and gradually ascend towards becoming proficient and profitable in their endeavors. The pyramid consists of several layers, each representing a crucial aspect of trading mastery: 1. Emotional Well-being / Financial Stability / Trustworthy Broker (Base of the Pyramid) Sought-after Qualities: Self-awareness, Constructive Self-evaluation, Rational Thinking, and Objectivity. Prioritizing emotional well-being and financial stability is essential in the world of trading. Maintaining self-awareness allows you to understand your emotions and reactions, helping you make better decisions. Engaging in constructive self-evaluation enables you to learn from mistakes and improve your strategies. Rational thinking and objectivity ensure you approach trading with a clear and level-headed mindset. Additionally, choosing a trustworthy broker is crucial for the security of your funds and the overall integrity of your trading experience. 2. Robust Safety System Practice swift loss-cutting, avoid unreliable cryptocurrencies and low-quality stocks, refrain from gambling, and abandon the notion of overnight riches. Implementing a robust safety system is paramount in trading. Swift loss-cutting helps limit potential losses and protects your capital. Avoiding unreliable cryptocurrencies and low-quality stocks minimizes risk and safeguards against scams. Refraining from gambling ensures that you approach trading as a calculated investment, not a game of chance. Finally, abandoning the notion of getting rich overnight fosters a long-term and sustainable approach to achieving financial success. 3. Portfolio Management Rely on statistics and discard ineffective approaches. Monitor market trends regularly, consider long-term goals, stay informed about economic indicators. Effective portfolio management relies on a statistical approach to decision-making. By analyzing historical data and trends, you can make informed choices and discard strategies that have shown ineffective results. Regularly monitoring market trends helps you stay on top of changes and adapt your portfolio accordingly. Considering long-term goals ensures that your investment decisions align with your overall financial objectives. Staying informed about economic indicators provides valuable insights into the broader market conditions that may impact your portfolio. 4. Asset allocation Diversify your investments to spread risk. Requires years of experience in trading financial markets. Asset allocation is a key strategy to manage risk and optimize returns. Diversifying your investments across various asset classes, industries, and geographies helps reduce the impact of market fluctuations on your overall portfolio. Achieving effective asset allocation often requires years of experience in trading financial markets to gain a comprehensive understanding of different investment opportunities and their performance characteristics. 5. Tools Conduct backtesting of your strategies and consider automating your investments. Utilizing the right tools is crucial for successful trading. Backtesting allows you to test your strategies on historical data to evaluate their performance before implementing them in real-time. This helps refine your approach and increase the likelihood of success. Additionally, automating your investments can streamline the execution process, ensuring timely responses to market conditions and minimizing emotional biases. Here are simplified steps for strategy backtesting: Define strategy parameters, financial market, and chart timeframe for testing. Search for trades based on the specified strategy, market, and timeframe. Analyze price charts for entry and exit signals. Record all trades and calculate the gross return (including both winning and losing trades). Deduct commissions and trading costs from the gross return to find the net return. Compare the net return to the capital used to calculate the percentage return over the specified timeframe. 6. Remaining Focusing on the essentials covered in the first five points is critical for your success as a trader. Avoid getting distracted by other less crucial elements such as social trading or overly complex indicators. While indicators can be useful tools, it's important to remember that they are derived from basic price and volume data. Instead of searching for elusive patterns or magical chart overlays, devote your time to mastering the fundamental principles discussed earlier. This disciplined and pragmatic approach is more likely to yield tangible results in your trading journey. By following the Pyramid of Trading Success, traders can develop a comprehensive and methodical approach to trading, increasing their chances of achieving sustainable success in the dynamic and challenging world of financial markets. We would greatly appreciate your valuable feedback on our article about the Trading Pyramid. Your opinion matters to us, and your insights can help us improve our content and tailor it to better meet your needs.

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Mistakes every beginner makes Starting too big One of the biggest mistakes beginner traders make is starting with too much money. They see other people making a lot of money trading, and they think they can do the same. However, trading is a very risky activity, and it is important to start small and learn the ropes before you start trading with large amounts of money. When you start with too much money, you are more likely to make emotional decisions. You may be tempted to hold onto losing positions for too long, or you may take on too much risk in an attempt to make back your losses. This can lead to large losses that can be difficult to recover from. It is important to start with a small amount of money that you are willing to lose. This will allow you to learn without putting your financial security at risk. As you gain experience and confidence, you can gradually increase the amount of money you trade. Only thinking about losses After taking a few losses, beginners often start to become risk-averse. They start to look for trades with very small stop losses, and they avoid taking trades that have a high risk of losing money. This can lead to missed opportunities and a lower overall return on investment. It is important to remember that all trades have some risk. Even the best traders in the world experience losses. However, by carefully managing your risk, you can minimize your losses and maximize your profits. One way to manage your risk is to use stop losses. A stop loss is an order that automatically closes your position at a predetermined price. This can help you to limit your losses if the market moves against you. Another way to manage your risk is to trade with a small position size. This means that you are only risking a small amount of money on each trade. This will help you to protect your capital and avoid large losses. Looking for the perfect setup No trade is ever guaranteed to be a winner. Even the best traders in the world experience losses. However, beginners often have unrealistic expectations about how often they will win. They want to find a trading strategy with a very high win rate and very low risk. However, such a strategy does not exist. All trades have some risk, and no trader can win every time. Instead of looking for the perfect setup, it is better to focus on developing a trading strategy that you are comfortable with and that has a positive expected value. This means that you are more likely to make money than you are to lose money. Using a too complex trading strategy Beginner traders often try to develop overly complex trading strategies. They think that by adding more indicators and variables to their trading system, they can increase their chances of winning. However, this is often counterproductive. A simple trading strategy is often more effective than a complex one. A complex trading strategy is more difficult to understand and follow. This can lead to mistakes and missed opportunities. Additionally, a complex trading strategy is more likely to be overfit to historical data. This means that it may not work as well in the future. If you are a beginner trader, it is best to start with a simple trading strategy. This will allow you to focus on the basics of trading and avoid making mistakes. As you gain experience, you can gradually add more complexity to your trading strategy. Trading too many times Another common mistake that beginner traders make is trading too often. They think that the more trades they make, the more money they will make. However, this is not always the case. Trading too often can lead to overtrading, which can lead to losses. Overtrading occurs when you trade too frequently, without taking the time to analyze the market and identify good trading opportunities. This can lead to bad decisions and increased losses. If you are a beginner trader, it is important to trade less often. This will allow you to focus on making good decisions and avoid overtrading. Changing trading strategies too often Beginner traders often see other traders making money with different trading strategies, and they want to try those strategies themselves. However, this is a mistake. It takes time to develop a successful trading strategy. If you keep changing your strategy, you will never give yourself a chance to become successful. If you are a beginner trader, it is important to stick with one trading strategy for a period of time. This will allow you to learn how the strategy works and how to make it profitable. Once you have found a strategy that works for you, you can then start to experiment with other strategies. By avoiding these common mistakes, beginner traders can increase their chances of success.

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Game of probabilities BINANCE:BTCUSDT The proper attitude and understanding of trading principles are fundamental to achieving success in the trading world. This article is aimed at aspiring traders who want to thrive in this field. Trading is a probabilistic game , where outcomes are based on probabilities, either happening or not happening. It's crucial not to have rigid expectations or demands from the market or other participants. In the world of trading, no one owes anything to anyone, and this principle applies universally. When trading, you have the freedom to express yourself, and you can approach it in various ways. However, this freedom also reveals how humans can be irrational creatures, often struggling to control their thoughts, emotions, and actions. The key challenges faced by all traders are taking excessive risks and lacking self-control, which ultimately leads to financial losses. The feeling of missing out is a common trigger that can push traders to make unwise decisions. It begins with a sense of having missed potential profits. When observing a favorite asset's price surge, traders may start fantasizing about the potential gains and become obsessed with buying more, driven by the desire to earn even more due to a larger volume. Such emotions can lead to entering trades without proper awareness or acceptance of the potential consequences, which can be detrimental. The main point to remember is that successful trading relies on understanding probabilities, maintaining emotional discipline, and not allowing emotions to override rational decision-making. Traders should approach the market with a calm and rational mindset, following a well-defined trading plan that includes risk management strategies. By controlling emotions and adhering to systematic approaches, traders can increase their chances of success in the volatile world of trading. Reflecting on your trading journey and evaluating your achievements so far is a crucial aspect of being a successful trader. It is essential to be honest with yourself about the level of risk you are willing to take. If you realize that you are not prepared to risk everything you have, it is vital to question the impulse that drives you to consider such high-risk actions. Often, the desire to take extreme risks stems from the longing for significant life changes. However, it is crucial to fully comprehend the risks involved before making any impulsive decisions. The "filter of perception" refers to the cognitive biases that arise when traders have specific expectations of positive trade outcomes. Once you create such expectations, your consciousness may become biased, and you might unconsciously ignore information and market signals that contradict your preconceived notions. This phenomenon is akin to putting blinders on your perception, preventing you from objectively evaluating market conditions. The danger lies in holding onto false expectations throughout a trade, leading to potential losses or missed opportunities. This filter of perception can be difficult to recognize until you close a trade and look back, realizing that your expectations were not in line with reality. To overcome the dangers of expectations, it is crucial to approach trading with objectivity and discipline. Stick to a well-defined trading plan, follow your risk management strategies, and avoid making decisions based solely on emotions or impulsive desires. By doing so, you can maintain a clear perception of the market and make more informed and rational trading choices. Trading is not a suitable endeavor for everyone. It requires continuous self-improvement, emotional control, critical thinking, and strict adherence to established rules. Success in trading is not guaranteed, and it demands a level of dedication and mental fortitude that may not resonate with everyone. If you find that trading does not align with your strengths, interests, or personality, it's essential not to be disheartened. Each individual has unique talents and passions, and success can be achieved by pursuing endeavours that truly align with your inner potential and aspirations. In essence, trading is a probabilistic game, and having the right attitude is crucial. It involves making decisions based on probabilities, understanding that outcomes are uncertain, and embracing a systematic approach. Emotions should not dictate trading decisions, especially when experiencing stop losses. Instead, employing a methodical strategy with a certain success rate allows you to stay on track and eventually realize profits over time. It's important to enjoy the trading process and feel positive emotions while engaging in it. These positive emotions can help you navigate the challenges and avoid falling into the "trader's cycle," where emotional turmoil can hinder your decision-making and overall trading performance. In summary, trading requires a unique set of skills and characteristics. If trading does not resonate with you, it's okay to explore other avenues that align better with your natural inclinations. Success can be found in various fields, and the key is to focus on your true passions, continuous improvement, and leveraging your inherent strengths. System trading involves following a specific set of conditions to enter a trade. These conditions can encompass various elements, such as chart patterns, candlestick formations, indicators, and even unconventional factors like astrological dates. The crucial aspect is that the trading system has a high percentage of success (working out) and a favorable risk-reward ratio. Once you have developed your own trading system, it is vital to maintain a trade diary. In this diary, you should meticulously record the rules of your trades, including the circumstances that prompt you to enter a trade. Regularly self-testing your decisions against these predefined criteria will elevate your trading skills, leading you to become a top-tier trader and empowering you to profit from the market consistently. By adhering strictly to your trading rules, you will achieve a balanced mindset. Whether a trade results in a take profit or a stop loss, you will understand that you acted systematically and followed your predefined strategy. Recognise that the outcome of each trade is not a reflection of your worth as a trader; it is simply a consequence of adhering to your rules and facing the inherent uncertainties of the market. System trading provides a structured approach to trading that relies on predefined conditions for entering trades. Keeping a trade diary and consistently self-testing against your established rules will significantly enhance your trading capabilities. Embracing a systematic approach will help you achieve a more balanced outlook, and the ultimate goal is to achieve consistent profitability by leveraging your well-designed trading system. Fear and doubt are common emotions that can hinder a trader's decision-making and lead to destructive outcomes. It is essential to acknowledge and reject these emotions to maintain a clear and rational mindset while trading. One primary reason for fear and doubt before opening trades is the fear of risking too much capital in a single trade. Drawing an analogy to a coin toss, where tails come up 70 percent of the time, we understand that even with a high probability of success, there will still be occurrences where heads come up multiple times in a row. Similarly, in trading, there might be instances where a series of stop losses occur despite following a systematic approach. To overcome this fear, it is crucial to manage risk effectively. Traders should risk only a small percentage of their capital on a single trade, ideally one to two percent. By doing so, even if a stop loss is triggered, it will not significantly impact emotional balance or overall trading performance. The objective is to prevent falling into the "trader's cycle," where emotional reactions drive decision-making rather than a systematic approach. Before determining the optimal risk amount, traders should ask themselves what the purpose of their trading is. Is it to relentlessly increase the size of their capital at any cost, or is it to steadily grow and protect their capital? By prioritizing capital preservation and consistent growth, traders can achieve a more disciplined and sustainable approach to trading. In conclusion, managing fear and doubt is vital for successful trading. Utilising a systematic approach, managing risk, and focusing on capital preservation and growth will help traders stay emotionally balanced and make well-informed decisions in the dynamic and unpredictable world of trading. Trading frequency is an important aspect that new traders should carefully manage to avoid "overtrading" and prevent "trading burnout." The key is to exercise patience and wait for the formation of a new system setup on the chart before entering a trade. Checking the chart excessively, like every ten minutes, can lead to impulsive decisions and emotional trading, which are detrimental to a well-thought-out trading strategy. Instead, traders should define specific timeframes for entering trades, focusing on higher timeframes for more reliable signals. Higher timeframes offer a broader perspective of market movements and reduce the impact of short-term noise and volatility. When it comes to managing take profits and stop losses, consistency with the trading system is paramount. Regardless of the number of stop losses received in a row or consecutive take profits, sticking to the pre-established rules of the trading system is essential. It is crucial to avoid deviating from the system, even during challenging market conditions or moments when technical analysis may seem ineffective. Maintaining a systematic approach and being in control of emotions during trading can help traders endure a series of stop losses without significant emotional distress. A well-designed trading system should have a statistically validated edge, such as a 70% probability of working out, and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2 to 1. With such a system, even if only 27% of trades are successful, profits can be generated over the long term. In summary, managing trading frequency and adhering to a well-defined trading system are vital for success in the trading arena. Practicing patience, controlling emotions, and maintaining a systematic approach based on statistical probabilities will help traders navigate the markets with more confidence and consistency. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!

Education

by Crypto4light

BULL-BEAR-ACUMULATION IN THE MARKETS AND INTERNAL DYNAMICS /BTC BULL-BEAR-ACUMULATION PERIODS IN THE MARKETS and INTERNAL DYNAMICS OF CRYPTO MARKET These phases follow each other, although their duration is different. In this way, cycles are formed. Bitcoin has been following a 4-year halving cycle since 2008. 4 years constitute a cycle. Within 4 years, bull-bear-accumulation processes take place. As long as people and markets exist, these cycles will always continue. There will always be new winners and losers. This is the purpose of the stock market. For success: Firstly, you need to understand what the stock market is, its structure and periods. You should know that the falls and exits will end somewhere, you should know the trends. The crypto market is still the most risky market in the world. We all know that the losses are very big as well as the gains. People who cannot take this risk should not be in this market. I will also add parts of my old articles where relevant. ACCUMULATION (IN SHORT, TRANSITION PERIOD, MATURATION OR COMMODITY ACCUMULATION ZONE) A dull, no-earnings zone for new traders, following the sharp declines in the bear period and partly in the form of a more horizontal saw. For large investors, it is the pre-bullish period, when they gather goods at low prices without making much difference to the market. Depending on the internal dynamics of the market, this period may be longer or shorter than the bear Disbelief and suckers rally periods on Wall street cheet. It is the region where most small investors fall out of the game and get the last slap. There is an intense flow of bad news in this region. Those who do not know much about the market get fed up with them. In this period, which is already horizontal and unprofitable, a lot of shaking and reverse movements are made Those who can overcome this part are now on their way to earnings. Remember, the purpose of this part is to collect your goods cheaply in order to sell them more expensively in the future. So the market does not pity anyone here. Do not expect mercy !!! The best thing to do in the accumulation zone is this: to be patient and cost as much as possible. At this point, the thought of selling and buying a little lower can lead you to a mistake. You can see this from those who sell around 16-17-18k because it will fall to 10K When you reach 25k levels, thoughts of whether I missed it, whether it will go from here, whether I should enter will tire you out Do not try to look for a bottom point. Trend bottoms, turning points can be detected more or less. For example, bitcoin has been falling since $69K. You can say that it is appropriate to cost under 20k You have the chance to create costs under 20k for about 9 months, a very sufficient time. So far we have seen $ 15.5k as the lowest point. Purchases should have been made at those levels. Will 13 come? What if it comes, what difference will it make? You're trying to get rich with the $2,000 in between, you can't. The endeavour is pointless. Also, get to know a little bit about what you are investing in. Do not jump in with gas, with a moment of excitement, just because someone said so. Give importance to past experiences. Too much experience is important in the crypto market. Did the bull come? You always hear this question. This is a process and I will try to explain this process in my own way. The bull has started from the red candle at the bottom to the next green candle. The bull period is actually a sufficient process to make money. But the feeling it leaves in people is that it is very short. Firstly, we want it to last longer, we can't get enough :) secondly, it ends quickly because we join the majority towards the end. The rise periods of altcoins are relatively shorter than bitcoin. Reasons for this; their historical past is short, many of them are cyclical (trend) In the most glamorous last periods of the Taurus period, many phenomenal expert analysts emerge. Since their numbers are higher than quality people, the number of people they interact with is also high. New entrants have no chance to make this distinction In the end, they pay for it with their money. This is the same in Turkey, the USA and Japan. Within some limits (rules), the same situation is the same even in country stock exchanges. Look at the stock market right now, you can already understand directly It is the inevitable result of an environment where money is made from money. Manipulation, speculation is a must (I am not praising, I am stating the existing situation). Fast earnings high excitement easy money environment also breeds scammers and victims. For someone to make money, large groups must lose money. Usually the big losers are uninformed new investors. In order for the last losers to win, new last comers must enter the market (new cycle). The bull period is why novices are more courageous and earn more at that stage. Because they have no previous negative experiences and they have started their transactions in a positive environment, everything is rosy Whatever you put your hand on, it's going up. So the market allows it. The person who has experienced the bear market for a long time cannot show this courage because he has been burned once. He approaches every project cautiously, does not trust easily. He is overprotective. His first aim is to protect his money, whether he realises it or not. It is not easy to get out of the psychology created by prolonged declines. This psychology may continue until the increases are finalised and the bull trend is accepted. The biggest motivation of the bull period is to lock as many people as possible at peak prices. The bear season is to buy back the goods locked at the lowest prices. That's why great news comes at the top and the worst destructive news comes at the bottom. It's infallible. Stock market bankruptcies, sinking coins. Hacking incidents, country bans, delist fury, etc. You have to wait. If you entered at the end of the bull market and you are going to continue, you have to. But by taking advantage of this wait. You don't have to learn everything. Even if you learn 2 indicators in great detail is enough. It is difficult to become a master in a short time, experience requires experience, but if you learn to use 2-3 data in the best way, your success will increase. It is not important to win in a month in a week. It is important to be able to earn and protect it in a year or two years. Consider it as investment and savings, not gambling. What needs to be done to win is plain and simple, the difficult thing is to apply them BEAR People who enter the market at the tail end of the upturn usually lose, and then spend the prolonged downturn (bear period) in a bad psychological state and move away from the market. Crowded groups come to the market when the price is at its highest, everyone is talking about the market, advertisements and good news are abundant and enthusiasm is at its peak. This period is the last stages of the rise. There is no one left to enter the market anymore At first it is not recognised that this is the top. The decline deepens over time. As the price falls, the new investor starts buying at unsuitable points in order to reduce costs. As the decline period extends, the loss grows. The belief that it will never rise again increases. What has happened has happened and the investment has melted. Depression and anger vary according to the loss. Most people leave the market at this point with great loss. Coins that they have been holding without selling since the peak, usually sell angrily at the bottom levels. Some also lose hope and interest. Because the money has fallen so much that its increase will not mean anything. Maybe you are saying this right now: I wish I had bought bitcoin at $3000 in the past. When I first entered, I wish I had bought it at $ 100. It wasn't that easy. It was not that day either. In that $ 3000 you said you would have bought, people were sinking and crying blood. It was as bad that day as it is today. I would even say that 2018 was a worse year than that. No one can promise you that the market will turn from this or that point We can make mathematical predictions with all the data we have. Although the idea that it returns from this point and I will make the purchase from there seems appropriate at first, it is an incomplete approach. Our emotions can be manipulated, but so much technical data, graphics, indicators cannot be manipulated. Read, analyse and try to trade by leaving your emotions aside. It is difficult for someone who is constantly experiencing losses to think objectively. But somewhere it is necessary to reset the mind and look from the outside. This is what must be done to win. After all, the money was somehow lost We'll draw a line in the past and look to the future. From now on, you will think that you are starting from scratch with the money you have left, you will adjust your psychology in this way. Past mistakes will only remain as a lesson. Especially near the bottom, the number of people who say that there is much lower increases considerably. Because trust has been lost. The investor cannot think without being affected by the market. (As it will go further as it rises, it will go further as it falls). It is difficult to overcome once you lose and get out of this psychology. Emotions come into play. You can be a prisoner of ambition and anger Bottom points have to be like this. Old excitements and targets are forgotten. despair and apathy take over the small investor (us). The 10x 100x's said at the top are replaced one by one by targets lower than the level we are at. What you see around you right now. Have you ever heard of targets like 12k- 9k- 7.5k last year? At least I didn't hear from anyone when I was over 45k. The markets we need to examine are not just altcoins and even btc. past data will be light ahead of us. what I mean by the past, world stock markets. especially nasdaq, dow, dax, nikkei should be examined. Let's go back to emotions. I see this a lot in the market, there are those who talk about coins with enthusiasm and those who hate coins. These are inanimate beings, do not approach with hate or love. Losing from a coin is bad, winning does not make it good. #altcoin Or the fact that a coin has not increased for a long time does not mean that it will definitely not increase in the future. There is no certainty at this point. Yes, it may be a finished project or it may just be waiting for its time to come. We stay away from positive or negative certain judgements. Flexibility gives you an advantage. Now let's see how many days the rise and fall periods lasted between 2009-2023 in btc. As I mentioned before, there is never innocence in the stock market and making money from money. The market is never free. "But this time it's different" has been said by every person in every period. And it has always failed. People who have experience in the markets for a long time know this very well. Each period creates its own special conditions. But the result has never changed. At some point, the market ends its decline and starts its new cycle. With new rises, the bad news is immediately forgotten. The loser loses and the market continues on its way. The market is never innocent. There is no emotion. There are always winners and losers. It will be the same in the future. Well, I told so many negative things. Is it so hard to win, does everyone have to lose? No, my purpose in telling you these things is not for you to despair. You need to know what you are in for and you need to understand the rules of the game. Certain rules for winning. There are multiple ways of earning. But not for everyone -Swing -Margin (pro) -Lie down for a long time -News orientated trade I do not do margin trading (I do not recommend it to anyone who is not a professional). I can say that I am a trend follower. I come to the market at the bottom areas, create an average cost, and slowly sell and exit at the top where the hype is experienced. In most of the BTC and total marketcap charts, I show buying and selling points in the long term. I never try to buy from one place and sell from one point. I know this is futile. I aim to increase the amount of coins I have in the trend by cross trading with each other or with usd. I am never in a hurry. I know what my goals are. I also leave flexibility to positive and negative extremes. The rest is only a matter of time. I create more than one option for myself so that I do not remain empty-handed in case some possibilities do not materialise. Remember, making money from Bitcoin is becoming increasingly difficult, the profit rate is decreasing, it is becoming more stable. When we examine the old btc movements and structures; while exhibiting simple and relatively more predictable movements, As time passes, these structures become complex and difficult to predict in the short term. Also, do not buy coins because no one says so, do not enter the transaction Know why you do what you do and be aware of the consequences. These may sound like clichés, but these are the facts. Words like 50x-100x may sound very attractive to you, but no one is a magician. No one has a secret 100x information. These are things that are put forward to attract attention for interaction. Of course, there will be coins that will make 100x, but you can't hear them from somewhere by chance. Finding a coin with 100x potential is only possible with very good fundamental analysis. And it takes a lot of patience to get it. In the past, many beautiful projects have done such xs. And this business is becoming increasingly difficult. There are always tips in both the stock market and the crypto market. And most of them are born and spread as a result of speculation. You can't make sustainable profits on tips. Listen, but don't plan on tips (as in don't believe in fortune telling but don't do without fortune telling) Stock investment is not a match where every shot is a goal. You don't need to hit every ball. You can be patient and bide your time. -Warren Buffet Do not deify anyone in this market. You should get the information you need and move on. The story starts like this: Too many people are following this person, so if I'm in the market, I might as well listen to them. #btc #btc I almost don't know anyone in the stock market who doesn't follow someone on social media. Everyone's path is definitely falling. ''The general public has no idea what is going on, and is even unaware that it has no idea." Noam Chomsky. We can definitely use this word for the crypto market. PSYCHOLOGY Prices and indicators are not the same for everyone. I mean this; we look at the same chart at the same time and think different things. This is because of the positive and negative experiences of those people. Seeing the bitcoin chart below 20k, some see it as an opportunity and some see it as a great destruction. The same way that the price below the 200-week average in btc is a great opportunity for some and a fear indicator for others. If the person is not suitable to understand this, you cannot convince even if you present 10 evidence. Price movement should not be looked at as a belief, it is mathematics. sooner or later, whatever the target is, it will be realised. Since prices do not move according to people's feelings, those who are disbelief at the beginning of the bull and overconfident when the trend ends lose. Your emotions will only mislead you in this market. you have to be a robot. when buying a coin, remember this: you should do good technical and fundamental analysis. you should calculate not only cost but also time. Why did you buy that coin? I don't know, he said, he said buy it, so I bought it, it fell. I couldn't sell it. There can be no gain in this way. At least from your point of view =) In this market, luck laughs at you very little. Everything else is knowledge, experience + patience. NEWS Sometimes news is also used when the time comes to change the direction of movement. For sharp turns and sudden price increases, it is necessary to give people big news to talk about. Sudden drops and exits without a reason cause the system to be questioned and undermine confidence for no reason. But if people believe in a reason, the game continues. In other words, if people can make sense of the stake, there is no problem for the market maker. People want to hear something. The media is ready there immediately. Why it fell: this and that happened, that's why it fell. Most of the time it's not even relevant. The mainstream media never talks about the facts, what is going on behind the scenes, technical analysis, things that are useful for us. At the lows, bad news is pumped in to discourage you even more, and at the peaks, good news is pumped in to attract more new investors and to lock up goods from the top. This is how the market is managed by media power. Paris hilton's laser eye, then it turned into a trend. harry potter author tweeting about btc. Elon musk-tesla Elon-doge Celebrities suddenly becoming bitcoiners and sharing it on the internet Look at BTC trend analyses on Google, how similar the charts are! Remember, the stock market is not just an investment. It is a kind of struggle to make money. The crypto market is literally a stock market. In fact, according to me, it is the most difficult stock exchange in the world. There are no prohibitive rules for those who want to take your money from your hands. No one pities you. They take your money without seeing and recognising you. -Who can't win in the bullfight. Those who hurry too much in profit those who enter pump-dump organisations from the top Those who say that they can't go and constantly change coins and miss what they have Those who tie all their money to a coin Those buried in more altcoins than they can manage Those who are constantly chasing signals left and right, waiting for tips from fake masters they do not know in paid private groups. Those who consume all their money in scams while chasing gem. In addition, those who cannot take risks, very stressful and cowardly investment, those who drown in detail cannot win (or win little) in the bull. Those who do not take adequate precautions in security and are hacked. That's all for now. Thank you.

Education

🧠 THE CYCLE OF MARKET EMOTIONS 📍 When starting a trading career, much emphasis is placed on trading strategies, technical analysis, and indicators, which is important. However, as traders gain experience, they may discover that analysis and strategy become more intuitive as they find their specialization in the market. On the contrary, trading psychology often demands significant effort from most traders. It is often overlooked that trading psychology is developed through practice. Some argue that simulated trading lacks realism and cannot adequately prepare traders for the emotional aspects of trading. However, this holds true only if traders have not yet learned to trust a tested strategy. The market emotions run the gamut from fear, despair, hope, anxiety, and even euphoria. It is so common to experience these emotions that you can actually expect them to occur in a predictable cycle. We call it the market of emotional cycle. 📌 Think of it this way: we all start out with optimism – optimism that we are going to make lots of money in the market. Over time we may have trades go in our favor and make lots of money. However, if we aren’t in tune with the normal price cycle of the market, we can ride our profits all the way back down, leading us to despair. The goal, of course, is to become a trader who learns to manage his emotions and make wise decisions. Instead of hope and fear and greed, become a process-oriented trader who can trust his judgment on the market. In the upcoming TV ideas, we will make a deep dive on each parts that effect the trader's psychology and why it does so. 👤 @QuantVue 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️

Education

Stock Market Logic Series #5 We are going to discuss the concept of FAIR price and how it is related to momentum. This is also a missing piece of the puzzle related to the guppy moving averages. Which never explains the logic of fair price behind the moving averages. Just saying "traders are selling" or "investors are buying" without giving you the psychology behind the buying and selling. The psychology behind buying and selling: When you want something, you are willing to pay a premium on it, just to get it. When you don't want something, you are willing to give a discount on it, just to get rid of it. The Significance of Moving Averages in Stock Market Trading In stock market trading, moving averages play a significant role in determining the fair price of a stock. Fast moving averages represent the short-term fair price, while slow moving averages indicate the long-term fair price. These moving averages serve as important indicators for traders, helping them understand the price trends and make informed decisions. Trading Above the Fair Price: Strong Buyer Interest When trading is above the fair price, it signifies that buyers are highly interested in acquiring the stock, even if it means paying above the fair price. This increased buying pressure drives the price up, as individuals value the stock and are willing to pay a premium to secure it. This scenario presents an opportunity for traders to benefit from price appreciation. Go with momentum. Buying Opportunities: Trading Below the Moving Average Conversely, when the price of a stock falls below the moving average, it indicates a potential opportunity for investor buyers. In this situation, the previous owner of the stock may become anxious to sell and is willing to do so at a price below the fair value. This creates a favorable buying opportunity for investors, as the stock can be acquired at a discount or fair price. Trading Below the Fair Price: Anxious Sellers and Discounted Stocks Trading below the fair price implies that the old buyer is motivated to sell the stock quickly. They may be eager to get rid of their position, leading them to offer the stock at a price lower than its fair value. For trading purposes, this means momentum is down, and you should look for an opportunity to sell. If the price is dramatically traded below the fair price (away from MA) this could FLAG you that a trend reversal may just happens. Remember the psychology of buying and selling. Ask yourself, if someone wants it, how come this price is so cheap? Unfair Prices in a Downtrend: Waiting for Confirmation of a Decline Moreover, when you are in a downtrend, when the price is above the moving average, it indicates that the stock is trading at an unfair price. However, if you have insights or analysis suggesting that the price will decline in the future, it may be wise to wait for the short-term trend to shift. By observing the stock's movement and waiting for the price to fall below the yellow fair price (moving average), traders can confirm that selling is indeed happening before making their move. Getting in too early, with the wrong trading technique, will get you hurt. Assessing Market Conditions: Understanding Fair Prices and Moving Averages By understanding the dynamics of fair prices and their relationship with moving averages, traders can better assess market conditions. They can identify when prices deviate from their fair value and use this knowledge to their advantage. This insight allows traders to make informed decisions based on price trends, helping them maximize potential profits and minimize risks. Comprehensive Research: Beyond Fair Prices and Moving Averages If you could couple of other factors that support your view of FAIR price. You can consider various factors such as company fundamentals, industry trends, and market sentiment to complement your understanding of fair prices and moving averages. Enhancing Trading Strategies: Incorporating Technical Indicators In addition to fair prices and moving averages, traders should also consider other technical indicators and tools to enhance their trading strategies. These may include volume analysis, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and oscillators. By incorporating multiple indicators, you can gain deeper insights into market movements and improve your ability to identify profitable opportunities. Adapting to Market Dynamics: Continuous Learning in Stock Market Trading Understanding the concept of fair prices in relation to moving averages is just one piece of the puzzle. Successful traders continually adapt and refine their strategies based on market conditions, new information, and evolving trends. By staying informed, conducting a thorough analysis, and employing sound trading principles, you can increase your chances of success in the stock market. Hope this helps you, follow for more. Like this post to save it to your ideas for future reference, so you will not forget this principle.

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Updated

The Best Odds within a Consolidated Market Every pattern of the market has precise areas where the probabilities can play in the most favorable way for you, if you trust the pattern (until it expires). Of course, we trust patterns... that's what we do: we drink and trust patterns . This example on the XRPUSDT pair is a good example of this. As a day trader (or a FTT trader), your hope here would be to catch a meaningful impulse, a long movement of the price that could give you profits. If you want that, where would you place your entry? The basic knowledge tells about "zones", but all zones are not equally safe and important in every pattern. For example, we know that the average zone in a consolidated market (the midrange between its resistance and support) is important... but is it safe? Let's think about it: By definition, an established market that goes sideways is bouncing between its resistance and support zones. It also tends to bounce against the midrange, of course (or, at least, it tends to struggle in that place); but normally you would expect the price to break the middle of the channel in order to reach its margins. Why? Because that's the very nature of the pattern! Duh! If the price surpass the midrange, the pattern stays vigorous, healthy and reliable. But what happens if the price exceeds markedly the channel's resistance or support? That would be an apparent or definitive breakout of such pattern... its closure: There's no trustable pattern anymore and you must be careful because your previous analysis now belongs to the past. This reflection is meant to warn you about one of the common mistakes we commit –perhaps because of the nature (a fault?) of our system or because of our unwise decisions–: Not waiting for the price to come up to the best spot for our entry. Not being selective enough when deciding the best settings of the market. In my series about trading psychology I expect to delve more into this attitude of not caring too much about our best chances, which is a way of not protecting our capital –although there is also a problem in caring too much , to the point of inertia–. But, for now, let's just reflect about the significant disadvantage of placing our bets into forecasts that objectively lack the best odds within a known pattern! Surely those are not the most educated bets we are capable of... and a profitable trader is person who makes educated bets.

Education

by adleriantrader

A Profitable State of Consciousness A daring trader prepares for the epic battle he performs each day against the evil markets; those remorseless monsters who always seem hungry for money and ready to strip the poor traders of their modest capitals. Armed with his analysis, our brave trader steps into the dangerous mercantile ground and eagerly studies the sharp and treacherous price spikes, waiting for the exact moment to slay the bears and bulls that guard his beloved treasure. Just like yesterday, his adventure drains all his strength. It is the inevitable result of a turmoil of excitement and disappointment, which alternate along with his successes and failures. Elliot's uncertain waves control his emotions as much as the price; but our heroic trader, intoxicated with this cocktail of cortisol and epinephrine (stress hormones), cannot see how his mood is enslaved by the price flux. I decided to launch this series of psychological articles, as I think many trading professionals could greatly appreciate the opportunity to break these subjective patterns that prevent our minds from any clarity, calmness or wisdom when facing the markets. Attachment, blindness and madness If our emotional variability is directly dependent on the market tides, always dragged by our fallible expectations, we must realize that our minds are not working as the best tools we have to get the desired results. In fact, such mind has become our worst enemy and its chaos will lead us to a financial catastrophe. The essential hallmark of such state of mind is an absolute inability to stay detached, to maintain an honest view that distinguishes between our analysis of the market and the hopes we place upon it. Our minds become so subjected to the expectations of favorable outcomes that soon we see nothing more than the drama of our desires confronted with the price action. Trading profitably in any market requires clarity of vision —which is not omniscience—; lucidity to make good, responsible, sound and clever decisions. To risk less or more, to hold our position or to avoid further losses, to await a bigger profit or to settle for a humble one; these are everyday dilemmas that demand our highest degree of gravity and intelligence. But it is unreachable if our relationship with the market is just a stormy marriage. We have all witnessed or suffered the curse of emotional dependency in interpersonal relationships. Our hopes on the relationship and the beloved one weigh so much that soon we get blinded, completely unable to identify the true nature of our bond with the other. We don't understand what happens because we don't really want to. We prioritize our hopes and despise the truth because we fear that it won't indulge our desires. That's the same whimsical stance that damages our trading system and blinds us every day to the market's risks and opportunities. Pretty much like in a conjugal hell, this blindness comes from our disdain for the real thing and turns us into bitter warriors , challengers of a market where our role should be different: the role of analysts, researchers, observers... sages . Our financial belligerence is the reflection of our contempt against reality. But just as we despise objective truth, it correspondingly despises our whims. In the ancient symbology of Tarot there is a card that portrays accurately this typical mindset of an immature trader: The Fool —sometimes called “The Madman”—. It's the only card without number (it represents the zero) because it symbolizes the vagueness, the lack of values, the nothingness. Nevertheless this vacuity could be as well the beginning of everything... the starting point for a satisfactory future —because there lies a limitless potential. In order for this naive and dreamy wanderer to reach a good fate —in spite of his disorientation— he must first become aware of the wisdom he carries (unknowingly) in his bag, and he must commit to it. Otherwise, this poor dreamer will only continue to move merrily toward the abyss in front of him (because of his blindness). A madman is someone who persistently rejects his reality. Sadly, we all do that whenever we operate greedily in the markets, pretending that our dreams are more vital than the facts that must be studied and understood. Our anxiety is just the symptom of an awful state of mind that drives us merrily onward to the abyss. A venture of honesty Profitable trading is a luxury of the sober, even if others may enjoy some exciting strokes of luck in their intoxication —the same way they suffer strokes of bad luck—. The state of consciousness we need for consistent profitability contains virtues like patience, foresight, common sense and a mature kind of boldness that invites us to welcome calculated risks, admitting always in advance the possibility of losses. The foundation of this mindset is a radical, absolute, merciless honesty. We cannot deceive ourselves or dodge the essential questions if we really want to nurture a state of mind that moves us to a relative stability within the financial mayhem of the world. First and foremost, our stability is mental; then it gives rise, as a consequence, to the possibility —not the promise— of financial stability. Therefore, in psychological terms, the first step towards profitability in trading implies assessing (introspectively) whether we have to any degree these psychological traits that are undeniable signs of emotional maturity. How honest I tend to be with myself in my daily life? Am I distinguished by my patience and sound reasoning? Am I wisely cautious or just a coward? When I reveal bravery... is it just an impulsive recklessness or, instead, the self-confidence of knowing what I am facing and the maturity of responsibly exposing myself to that? If we don't possess these qualities in our ordinary life, it's useless to force their emergence when we operate in the markets. We have them or we don't. However much he fakes gravity, sooner or later the fool gets tired of his theater and starts breaking the plates, behaving in accordance with his true feelings. Psychic repression is not a real solution. However, if we acknowledge our lack of the necessary virtues, we are practicing already the most critical of them: honesty. It's the starting point for everything, the limitless potential always available to us —as long as we use the wisdom contained in our bag When we allow dreams of wealth to invade our minds, we don't care anymore about the practical managing of our opportunities. But trading may be a incentive to cultivate the psychological conditions we need in every area of our lives, in order to dissolve the dangerous infantilizing effect of our (unchecked) desires . If the first step is to examine ourselves, the second is to acknowledge our shortcomings: Maybe I am courageous, but I don't measure the consequences of my acts. Maybe I am patient, but not enough. Every psychic weakness is a source of future frustrations, because it always overrides the decisive factor of profitability: our lucidity. We work with uncertainties and probabilities. Those are the raw materials of our craft. That's why it's paramount to have a clean vision for our decisions: a sober and factual sight, protected against our own desires. We know, in our statistical adventure, that such sight cannot ensure the ultimate success; but it does ensure the optimum performance of our human faculties... that is already a great edge. In the worst case —in the case of losses— a clear advantage always arises from cultivating our emotional maturity: spiritual fortitude . We'll always be strong enough to accept losses (even the worst ones) with relative inner peace. In fact, we would always accept that possible outcome before it occurs. We won't be like those who fall from the heights following the crash of their dreams; because our dreams don't belong to mythic heights but here, within our hands... small and practical; comprehensible, manageable, human and fallible —just like us. ____ In next articles, we'll delve deeper into these psychological dynamics that strengthen or hinder the clarity of our judgment, and we'll explore practical proposals (mainly based on the Adlerian philosophy) that could help us reach a profitable state of consciousness.

Education

by adleriantrader

Updated

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