Bitcoin Or Gold? Real Safe Haven In Middle East tension When the world shakes, where does money go— Bitcoin or gold ?
You may think crypto is the ultimate safe haven… but data tells a different story.
This breakdown compares digital dreams vs. physical trust —with charts, tools, and the psychology behind every move.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Contrary to common expectations, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience amid recent geopolitical tensions, refraining from a sharp sell-off.
This price behavior signals a potential shift in market psychology—something I’ll explore further in an upcoming educational post.
Based on my previous analyses, I continue to anticipate an upward breakout above the $110K resistance zone in the current structure.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
📌 Gold: The Legacy of Trust
For thousands of years, gold has been the go-to safe asset. In wars, inflation, sanctions, and crashes—it remains the mental anchor of value. Tangible, historic, and out of government control.
🪙 Bitcoin: Revolutionary but Unstable
Bitcoin promises freedom, decentralization, and anti-inflation. But during actual crises, trust wavers. High volatility, regulatory risk, and lack of a long history make investors hesitate when fear hits hard.
🛠️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Where Smart Money Flows
One reason TradingView stands out is its wide set of tools that help you track market psychology—not just price action. When it comes to analyzing the Bitcoin-vs-Gold battle during global crises (like the Iran-Israel war), these tools are essential:
Correlation Coefficient: This shows how closely BTC and gold move together. In panic moments, it helps reveal where the real trust is flowing.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): Key for spotting where big money is headed. If OBV on gold rises while BTC’s falls, smart money isn’t betting on crypto just yet.
Fear & Greed Index Logic (DIY): While not a native TradingView tool, you can mimic it by combining volatility and volume indicators to reflect market emotion.
Overlay XAUUSD and BTCUSD: Place both on a single chart with “percentage scale” enabled. You’ll see exactly which one holds up better during chaos.
Marking Geo-Political Events: Tag key events (like missile strikes or sanctions) on your charts. Track how Bitcoin and gold react immediately after.
📊 How Investors React in Crisis
During events like an Iran-Israel war, data shows money often flows into gold—not BTC. When panic peaks, people run toward the “known,” not the “new.”
🧠 The Illusion of Crypto as Safe Haven
We want to believe BTC is the new gold. But the human mind—under threat—defaults to ancient instincts. Fear doesn’t innovate. It runs to what it knows: shiny, physical, historical gold.
💡 When Will Bitcoin Truly Compete?
When the next generation fully embraces digital assets. When institutions store BTC alongside gold. When BTC no longer crashes on scary headlines—that’s when the shift becomes real.
⚠️ Lessons from War
Wars reveal that markets don’t behave rationally in fear. Even if Bitcoin makes sense on paper, emotion drives flows. Right now, that flow still favors gold.
🔍 What to Watch Next
If, during a future conflict, Bitcoin drops less—or even rises while gold does—you may be witnessing a turning point. Until then, keep tracking both with your TradingView setups.
🧭 Final Takeaway
Gold still owns the trust game in a crisis. Bitcoin is on its way but hasn’t crossed that psychological line. If you’re a smart trader, know how to read both—and move before the herd does.
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📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Chaos to Clarity: Mastering the Discipline Mindset5min read
Looking back on my journey as an investor, I can see how much my mindset shaped my path. When I first started, I was a mess—chasing every hot tip, jumping into trades without a plan, and letting my emotions call the shots. I’d feel a surge of excitement when price spiked, but the moment it dipped, I’d panic and sell, locking in losses. It was a chaotic rollercoaster, and I was losing more than I was gaining. I knew something had to change, but I wasn’t sure where to begin.
One day, I took a step back and really looked at myself. I realized the market wasn’t my biggest problem—I was. I was reacting to every little fluctuation, letting fear and greed drive my decisions. I started paying close attention to how I felt when I made trades. Was I anxious? Overconfident? I began noticing patterns. When I was stressed, I’d make impulsive moves that almost never worked out. But when I was calm and focused, my choices were better, and I’d often come out ahead. That was my first big revelation: my state of mind was the key to everything.
I decided to get serious about controlling my emotions. I started small, setting strict rules for myself. I’d only trade when I was in a good headspace—calm, clear, and ready to stick to my plan. If I felt off, I’d step away from the screen, no exceptions. It was tough at first. I’d catch myself itching to jump into a trade just because everyone else was talking about it. But I learned to pause, take a deep breath, and check in with myself. Over time, I got better at staying steady, even when the market was a whirlwind.
I also realized how much my beliefs were holding me back. I used to think I had to be in the market constantly to make money. If I wasn’t trading, I felt like I was missing out. But that mindset just led to burnout and bad calls. I started to change my thinking—I told myself it was okay to sit on the sidelines if the conditions weren’t right. I began to see that success wasn’t about being the busiest; it was about being the smartest. I focused on quality over quantity, and that shift made a huge difference. My wins started to outnumber my losses, and I felt more in control than I ever had.
One of the toughest lessons came when I stopped blaming external factors for my failures. If a trade went south, I’d point the finger at the market, the news, or even the system I was using. But deep down, I knew that wasn’t the whole truth. I had to take responsibility for my own actions. I started treating every loss as a chance to learn. What was I feeling when I made that trade? Was I following my rules, or did I let my emotions take over? By owning my mistakes, I began to grow. I became more disciplined, more aware of my own patterns, and better at sticking to what worked.
I’m not going to pretend I’m perfect now—I still make mistakes, plenty of them. At the beginning of this week, I came into trading loaded with personal problems from real life. I didn’t even pause to clear my head; I just dove straight into the charts and started opening long positions without much thought. By Friday, I realized what I’d done—I’d let my distracted, emotional state drive my decisions. So, I closed all my positions except one, cutting my losses quickly and stepping back to reassess. That’s what’s changed: I recognize those mistakes almost immediately now. I don’t hang on to them or let them spiral. I catch myself, fix the problem fast, and move on without beating myself up. That ability to pivot quickly has been a game-changer. I’m not stuck in the past anymore—I’m focused on getting better with every step.
Over time, I learned to tune out the noise and focus on what I could control. I stopped worrying about what other people were doing and started trusting my own process. I’d remind myself that investing isn’t just about the numbers—it’s about the person behind the trades. The more I worked on my mindset, the more consistent my results became. I learned to stay present, keep my emotions in check, and approach every decision with a clear head. That’s what turned me into the investor I am today—someone who’s not just chasing profits, but building a sustainable, successful approach to the markets, mistakes and all.
A Simple Way to Invest in Ethereum Without the Headache Imagine you’ve heard about Ethereum, one of the most popular cryptocurrencies, but you feel overwhelmed by all the technical stuff—wallets, private keys, and exchanges. What if there were an easier way to invest? That’s where Ethereum ETFs come in. Let’s break it down in the simplest terms.
What Is an Ethereum ETF?
Think of an Ethereum ETF like a box of chocolate bars. Instead of buying chocolate bars individually, you buy the box, which holds a certain number of bars. In this case, the box represents the ETF, and the chocolate bars are the Ethereum it holds.
When you buy an Ethereum ETF, you’re buying a piece of that box, which automatically gives you ownership of some Ethereum—without needing to deal with the complexities of the crypto world.
How Does It Work?
Here’s how an Ethereum ETF works, step by step:
The Fund Buys Ethereum: A company buys Ethereum (the actual cryptocurrency) and holds it securely.
They Create Shares: Based on how much Ethereum they own, they divide it into pieces (shares) that people like you can buy.
You Trade the Shares: These shares are sold on stock markets, just like shares of famous companies like Apple or Tesla.
So instead of buying Ethereum on a crypto exchange (which can feel confusing), you can just buy an Ethereum ETF through your regular stock trading app or broker.
Why Are Ethereum ETFs Important?
They make investing in Ethereum easy and less scary, especially for beginners.
Imagine someone who’s used to traditional investing—they buy stocks, bonds, or mutual funds. They might find the crypto world intimidating because it’s unfamiliar. An Ethereum ETF is like a shortcut. It’s a way for these investors to “own” Ethereum without diving into crypto directly.
Let’s Look at a Simple Example
Without an ETF:
If you wanted to buy Ethereum directly, you’d need to:
Open an account on a crypto exchange (like Coinbase or Binance).
Transfer money to the exchange.
Buy Ethereum.
Set up a digital wallet to store it safely (and not lose your password!).
With an ETF:
Instead of all that, you just:
Open your regular stock trading app.
Search for “Ethereum ETF.”
Buy shares like you would for any stock.
No wallets, no crypto exchanges, no worries!
How Can ETFs Affect Ethereum’s Price?
When Ethereum ETFs were approved in the US (July 2024), a lot of excitement followed. Here’s why:
More People Invest: ETFs make it easier for regular people to invest in Ethereum, which increases demand.
Less Ethereum Available: Because ETFs hold large amounts of Ethereum, there’s less available for others, which can sometimes drive prices higher.
For example, if everyone in your town wanted chocolate bars but one company stored a big chunk of them, the price of the remaining bars might go up because they’re harder to find.
Benefits and Risks of Ethereum ETFs
Why They’re Great:
No Tech Headaches: You don’t need to worry about wallets, passwords, or losing your crypto.
Safer Option: ETFs are regulated, meaning there are rules to protect investors.
Easier Access: You can buy them using the same tools you use for regular stock investments.
Why You Should Be Careful:
Crypto is Volatile: Ethereum’s price can go up or down quickly. Even with an ETF, you’re still exposed to those swings.
No Extra Rewards: If you hold Ethereum directly, you can earn rewards like staking (kind of like earning interest). With an ETF, you miss out on that.
Company Risk: The ETF relies on the company managing it. If they face problems, your investment could be affected.
What is Bitcoin ‘Pairs Trading’? (Example: ETH/BTC)This is for anybody who wants to sell some Bitcoin but is still bullish crypto. 🚀
It’s also if you’re neutral on crypto but think Bitcoin is overvalued vs other tokens.
It’s also just if you’re just interested to see a way to apply a pairs trading strategy .
In case you’ve been hiding under a rock, Bitcoin just broke over $100k - No more waiting for the HODLRS!!
Naturally after hitting this massive milestone, some traders are going to be thinking about taking profits. And if they’re thinking it, some of them are going to be doing it.
But let’s forget about selling for a moment, are you really buying more BTC when it just hit $100k and it's up ~150% this year?
So even if there is not more active selling interest, there’s probably less buying interest.
I think you’d be mad (or very brave) to bet against Bitcoin. BUT
Are these scenarios possible?
Bitcoin trades sideways for a while after hitting $100k
Alt season kicks in and other cryptos play catchup
If you think yes to at least one of these, my team and me have been looking at a pairs trade
What is pairs trading?
Pairs trading in crypto is a market-neutral trading strategy that involves taking a long position in one cryptocurrency and a short position in another, based on the assumption that their historical price relationship will revert to the mean.
The point is to profit from the relative price movement between the two assets, i.e. not the absolute ups or downs of one asset like Bitcoin.
ETH/BTC
I put this crypto pair this way around - I’m not sure if you’re meant to - it just kind of reminds me of EUR/USD in forex trading.
So as a reminder, ETH/BTC is Ethereum’s token Ether priced in Bitcoin. When Ether outperforms Bitcoin it goes up and when Ether underperforms Bitcoin, it goes down.
So it doesn’t actually matter if Bitcoin goes up, down or sideways, if you’re trading ETH/BTC - what matters is what one does relative to the other.
Well this thing has been going down a lot! Until recently.
Going back to the idea of pairs trading - the thesis here is that the Ethererum/Bitcoin price ratio has dropped to bargain levels and could be about to recover.
I’m not going to lie to you - there are a lot of sore hands out there from trying to catch this falling knife!
But this rebound off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020-21 rally has caught our attention.
Dropping to the daily chart, can you see how 0.4000 has acted like a magnet to the price both from above and below?
0.4 is our line in the sand for long positions.
Equally, our risk is well defined in this setup. A drop back under the 61.8% Fib level around 0.32 means the idea isn’t working and it's time to get out and let Bitcoin do its thing!
How to trade it
Specific entries and exits depend on your personal risk tolerance, but broadly there are THREE methods here:
1. Crypto-to-Crypto Spot Trading
Trade ETH directly for BTC (or vice versa) on a cryptocurrency exchange. This is straightforward and involves holding the actual assets.
2. CFD Trading (Contracts for Difference)
Speculate on ETH/BTC price movements using CFDs without owning the underlying cryptocurrencies. This allows for leverage and the ability to short-sell.
3. Spread Trading
Buy ETH and simultaneously short BTC (or vice versa) with equal dollar value to profit from their relative price movement while minimizing exposure to overall market trends.
But that’s just how we are seeing things?
Do you think this is bananas, or could we be onto something?
Please let us know in the comments
Cheers!
Jasper. Chief Market Analyst, Trading Writers
Crypto Money Flow CycleHello,
The Crypto Money Flow Cycle is a flow model that discusses the route of investments from fiat to Bitcoin, from Bitcoin to altcoins, and backward into fiat, booking profit at every step. The model theorizes that most Bitcoins in circulation aren't mined but are bought for fiat. Before every bull run, investors don't necessarily buy mining equipment but purchase Bitcoins from their fiat money. As more and more money flows from fiat into Bitcoin, Bitcoin price rallies. At this phase, Bitcoin usually pumps more than most altcoins. At the end of the phase, investors buy altcoins from their Bitcoins.
They prioritize large caps like Ethereum. So, the price of large caps rallies compared to fiat and Bitcoin. Usually, these rallies outperform Bitcoin because the investors can afford to invest not only the initial fiat value but all the profits so far. That is Bitcoin's performance on fiat compounded by the large caps' performance compared to Bitcoin.
Over time, investors move the value from large caps to medium caps and from medium caps to small caps, pumping the markets in this order. Since the investment in medium caps is larger with the profit than the large caps, medium caps usually pump more, and similarly, small caps pump even more when money from medium caps flows into them.
To realize all the profit so far, investors can exchange small-cap altcoins back into Bitcoin, which means Bitcoin will pump once again. Then all the money so far, which is the initial fiat value compounded by the profit from each phase can return into fiat. Usually, this is when Bitcoin suffers correction and drags altcoins with itself.
That's how the Crypto Money Flow Cycle usually works. It's a model, which might or might not be true. However, I can say AI could trade the estimated phases with a success rate of over 71.23%, which means there might be more to this model than luck.
Regards,
Ely
Become a TOP 1% Trader 🔸🔸What it takes to become TOP 1% Trader? Everybody wants
to succeed in the trading game, but what's the actual formula?
🔸🔸What can we learn from the most successful global hedge fund
Renaissance Technologies? How did the Japanese legendary trader
Takashi Kotegawa become a TOP 1% Trader? Rules of life of
undefeated savage Japanese samurai Miyamoto Musashi.
🔸🔸RetTec flaship fund got 40% CAGR over a period of 30+ years, which
is an exceptional trackrecord in the industry. RenTec utilizes HFT trading
and uses multiple quantitative / statistical / data science models to gain
an edge over the market. RenTec is one of the most secretive hedge funds
in the industry, however it's clear that the fund relies on algo trading
to generate it's exceptional returns.
🔸Complex Models: Renaissance's models are built upon intricate mathematical models and statistical analysis that leverage massive datasets.
🔸High-Frequency Trading: The firm executes trades at breathtaking speeds, taking advantage of fleeting market inefficiencies.
Key takeaways from RenTec success
1) Use algo trading / HFT trading to gain an edge over the market
2) Use data science / quant models to identify patterns
3) Use proper risk management for capital protection
4) Do not overleverage / use leverage over x20
🔸🔸Takashi Kotegawa is a legendary Japanese trader who
turned initial investment of 13 000 USD into 150 mln USD trading
Japanese stock market.
🔸🔸Risk Control: His approach to managing risk ensures that trades are executed within safe limits, without jeopardizing overall financial stability.
🔸🔸Seizing Opportunities: Kotegawa's ability to swiftly identify and act on market inefficiencies underscores the importance of vigilance and quick decision-making in trading.
🔸🔸Takashi Kotegawa keeps himself out of the spotlight and gives virtually no interviews. That's one of the reasons why we don't know much about him and there are only a few pictures available on the internet.
Key takeaways from Takashi Kotegawa's success
1) Disciplined approach to trading
2) Enter / exit trades and make fast decisions
3) Grind alone and stay out of spotlight
4) Remain humble do not show off keep low profile
🔸🔸The majority of the Japanese people know Musashi Miyamoto as Japan's most famous and most skilled swordsman. His status among the Japanese has reached mythic proportions in the same measure that Westerners would give to Muhammad Ali or Michael Jordan. The life of Musashi is the gold standard of samurai in Japan.
🔸🔸Musashi's introverted nature, which manifests as a preference for being alone or engaging in solitary activities, allows him to focus on his own thoughts and ideas. He is particularly skilled at problem-solving, often finding unique and unconventional solutions that others may not think of.
🔸🔸Musashi's approach to winning was formed from repetitive disciplined training, focused practice, knowing his opponent and unorthodoxy.
Key takeaways from Miyamoto Musashi success
1) Grind alone and become savage
2) Develop your own strategy unlike any other
3) Outsmart your competition always stay sharp
4) Become ghost and lead a low profile life
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
How much money can you make in Forex?🔸Consistentcy is the key - top professional traders aim to generate
20-30% returns / per month, obviously depends on account size,
risk tolerance, max DD, std lots exposure and multiple other factors.
🔸Depends on your trading style and risk profile, obviously.
Currently algo traders / full-auto systems generate the best returns.
🔸Forex trading bots are automated software programs that generate trading signals. Most of these robots are built with MetaTrader, PineScrips, Python and cAlgo.
🔸High-risk compounding strategy: Assuming you can double your cash multiple times in succession and start with 1,000 dollars, the 10th time, you would be a millionaire. It implies that assuming you contribute $ 1,000 and double, you contribute $ 2,000 and double, then, at that point, you do it from time to time, you will be a millionaire when you double your money the 10th time.
🔸Lower-risk strategy: risking no more than 1-5% per trade, limiting your exposure via trailing SL strategy or adjust SL to BE as soon as the trade
generates decent pnl
🔸If you want to separate yourself from the 90% (probably closer to 95% in my opinion) of traders who lose money consistently, you have to think differently.
🔸Most Forex traders overtrade and overleverage their accounts in an attempt to make 50%-100% profit or more every month.
🔸So to be in the top 5% to 10% of traders, you have to do the opposite. You have to put more focus on how much money you could lose rather than how much you can make.
🔸A higher win rate gives you more risk/reward flexibility, and a high risk/reward ratio means that your win rate can be lower and still stay profitable.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Types of traders 101Overview of types of traders
SCALPER
🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities quickly, usually within seconds, with the aim of achieving profits from minuscule price changes from large trade volumes.
🔸Scalper also refers to someone who buys up in-demand merchandise or event tickets to resell at a higher price.
🔸Scalpers buy and sell securities many times in a day with the objective of making consistent net profits from the aggregate of all these transactions.
🔸Scalpers must be highly disciplined, combative by nature, and astute decision makers in order to succeed.
EATRADER / Algo Trader
🔸Algorithmic trader will use process- and rules-based computational formulas for executing trades.
🔸 Algorithmic trader is performing statistical analysis on stocks, funds, or currencies and then writing algorithms and programs using computer languages like C# or Python or PineScript.
🔸While it provides advantages, such as faster execution time and reduced costs, algorithmic trading can also exacerbate the market's negative tendencies by causing flash crashes and immediate loss of liquidity.
Technical Trader
🔸Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to market in the future.
🔸A technical trader prefers to study price patterns over time periods ranging from a few minutes to a month. This is usually done using a variety of tools, such as indicators, to understand which way price is moving in any given market.
Swing Trader
🔸Swing trading refers to a trading style that attempts to exploit short- to medium-term price movements in a security using favorable risk/reward metrics.
🔸 Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis to determine suitable entry and exit points, but they may also use fundamental analysis as an added filter
Fundumental Trader
🔸Fundumental trader focuses on company-specific events to determine which stock to buy and when to buy it. Trading on fundamentals is more closely associated with a buy-and-hold strategy rather than short-term trading.
🔸Furthermore, fundumental traders must understand technical analysis to identify trends and price patterns supporting their fundamental analysis.
Money Manager
🔸A money manager is a person or financial firm that manages the securities portfolio of individual or institutional investors.
🔸 Professional money managers do not receive commissions on transactions; rather, they are paid based on a percentage of assets under management.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Trading is a waiting game🔸Trading is a waiting game. Stop forcing trades. Learn waiting for your setups. A trader who can't wait is not a successful trader.
🔸Waiting is the hardest part of trading. And also the least talked about. If you can improve your waiting you will improve your trading.
🔸Trading is a waiting game. You sit, you wait, and you make a lot of money all at once. Profits come in bunches. The trick when going sideways between home runs is not to lose too much in between.
🔸Overtrading is the number one reason why traders blow their entire accounts because it exposes them to unnecessary risks and costs that vanish their capital. Some studies show that overtrading accounts for more than 75% of trading losses among retail traders.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
CRYPTO: How it works and how it is explained for beginners.Here is a detailed explanation of the key concepts related to cryptocurrencies:
Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrencies are decentralized digital currencies that use cryptography to secure transactions. Unlike traditional currencies, they are not issued by a central authority such as a bank.
The main characteristics of cryptocurrencies are:
-They exist only in electronic form
-Transactions are made directly between users (peer-to-peer)
-They use blockchain technology to record transactions
-Their value fluctuates according to supply and demand
Blockchain
Blockchain is the underlying technology that allows cryptocurrencies to function.
Its main features are:
-It is a distributed and decentralized ledger that records all transactions
-Each transaction forms a "block" that is added to the existing chain
-The data is encrypted and impossible to modify once recorded
-It works without a central authority thanks to a network of computers
The halving
The halving is a scheduled event that concerns certain cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.
Its main characteristics are:
- It halves the reward given to miners for creating new blocks
- It usually occurs approximately every 4 years (every 210,000 blocks for Bitcoin)
- Its purpose is to control inflation by gradually reducing the issuance of new units
- It can have an impact on the price of the cryptocurrency by reducing the supply
_____________________________________________________________
The different types of coins
There are several categories of cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin: The first and best known cryptocurrency
Altcoins: All cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin (e.g. Ethereum, Litecoin)
Tokens: Tokens created on existing blockchains, often linked to specific projects
Stablecoins: Cryptocurrencies whose value is indexed to a fiat currency or a stable asset
Memecoins: a cryptocurrency that comes from an Internet meme or that has a humorous, ironic characteristic, a joke as its origin.
Each type of coin has its own characteristics and uses, but all rely on blockchain technology to operate in a decentralized manner. 10 minutes ago
Comment
Here is a list of the top altcoins, memecoins, and stablecoins to know in 2024:
Major Altcoins:
-Ethereum (ETH)
-Cardano (ADA)
-Solana (SOL)
-Polkadot (DOT)
-Ripple (XRP)
-Litecoin (LTC)
-Chainlink (LINK)
-Polygon (MATIC)
-Avalanche (AVAX)
-Tron (TRX)
Popular Memecoins:
-Dogecoin (DOGE)
-Shiba Inu (SHIB)
-Pepe (PEPE)
-Bonk (BONK)
-Book of Meme (BOME)
Top Stablecoins:
-Tether (USDT)
-USD Coin (USDC)
-Frax (FRAX)
-Dai (DAI)
-TrueUSD (TUSD)
-First Digital USD (FDUSD)
-Decentralized USD (USDD)
Altcoins are alternative cryptocurrencies to Bitcoin, often offering specific features or use cases.
Memecoins are cryptocurrencies that were initially created as jokes but have sometimes gained popularity.
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, usually pegged to a fiat currency like the US dollar.
Each category has its own characteristics:
-Major altcoins often aim to solve specific problems or provide platforms for the development of decentralized applications.
-Memecoins are generally driven by their community and can experience high volatility.
-Stablecoins seek to offer the stability of traditional currencies while retaining the benefits of cryptocurrencies.
It is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is very dynamic and the popularity and value of these tokens can fluctuate rapidly
Trading Psychological Levels 101What are psychological levels?
🔸Psychological levels are price points in financial markets that hold significant meaning for traders and investors, mainly due to their simplicity and ease.
🔸Typically, these levels are round numbers, ending in 00 or halfway points like 50.
🔸With currency pairs, the exchange rate of 1.0” or parity is also a major psychological level.
🔸Traders tend to anchor their decisions around these levels, leading to increased buying and selling pressure when prices approach or surpass them.
How to Trade Psychological Levels
🔸Identify Key levels: The first step in incorporating psychological levels into your trading is to identify the key levels relevant to the financial instrument (e.g. currency pair) you are trading. This can be done by observing historical price action and noting round numbers where the price has previously shown significant reactions.
🔸Monitor Price Action: Keep a close eye on how the price behaves as it approaches a psychological level. Look for signs of increased price volatility, as this can indicate heightened interest from market participants.
🔸Set Entry and Exit Points: Once you have identified a psychological level and observed price action around it, use this information to set entry and exit points for your trades. For example, if the price has bounced off a psychological support level, you might enter a long position just above the level and set a stop loss slightly below it.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points
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As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections.
Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture.
Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear.
The same goes for other studies related to charts.
-
As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered.
These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points.
However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this.
Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them.
Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart.
-
The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart.
The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps.
(Heikin Ashi chart)
(Renko chart)
Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points.
-
You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points.
Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points.
If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections.
However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point.
Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade.
-
To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time.
The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point.
And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle.
-
The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart.
However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts.
-
When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed.
You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading.
----------------------------------------------------------------
The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books.
Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points.
-
Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade.
This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading.
In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators.
However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning.
So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart.
In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
The above three things must be determined.
No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style.
Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading.
3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined.
In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period.
The profit realization method is:
1. How to get cash profit
2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit
There are methods 1 and 2 above.
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In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction.
If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases.
To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator.
The reason is because it is objective information.
You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Trade Smart with TradingView’s Volume FootprintTradingView has just introduced an innovative feature on their charts known as the Volume Footprint . This tool represents a significant advancement in chart analysis, offering a detailed view of trading activity and volume at specific price levels. Are you interested in gaining an early advantage by becoming one of the initial traders to master this new tool ?
• I'm thrilled to share with you a fantastic new feature from TradingView : the Volume Footprint. This powerful charting tool gives us a visual representation of trading volume distribution across various price levels for each candle within a specified timeframe. It's a game-changer, offering deeper insights to help us pinpoint areas of high liquidity and significant trading activity.
• The Volume Footprint is available to those with Premium and higher-tier plans. It leverages data from multiple lower timeframes of the current symbol for historical calculations. Initially, it requests 1-second data, and once this is exhausted, it moves to the next higher timeframe. Consequently, as we delve further into history, the requested timeframe increases, which may reduce the accuracy of volume distribution.
• This tool determines whether trades are buy volumes or sell volumes by analyzing the direction of price movement. If the current bar closes higher than it opens, it's a buy volume. Conversely, if it closes lower, it's a sell volume. If the close equals the open, the volume direction follows that of the previous bar.
• One of the standout features of the Volume Footprint is its ability to identify market balance and imbalance. A balanced market indicates an equilibrium between supply and demand, resulting in stable prices. An imbalanced market, however, shows a significant disparity between supply and demand, leading to pronounced price movements.
• The Volume Footprint helps us understand market behavior, such as optimal entry points, potential price movements, and areas where supply and demand are balanced or imbalanced. It's an excellent tool for gauging market sentiment and spotting trading opportunities.
• Additionally, the Volume Footprint allows us to identify failed auctions. These occur when there's an unsuccessful attempt to set a new price, resulting in a return to previous price levels. Recognizing failed auctions can help us anticipate market reversals, validate support and resistance levels, and refine our trading strategies to capitalize on shifting market conditions.
• Another intriguing feature is Delta divergence, which refers to a discrepancy between price movement and the total delta value. Traders often use delta divergence in footprint charts to signal potential reversals or changes in market direction.
• Finally, the Volume Footprint lets us spot excess trades at extreme price levels. According to auction market theory, prices rise until demand dries up and fall until supply is exhausted. This is known as a completed auction. Sometimes, though, an incomplete auction occurs, where the volume of trades at the maximum or minimum price level differs slightly. This may indicate that the trend isn't complete, suggesting that prices might continue moving in the current direction until the auction concludes.
• In conclusion, the Volume Footprint is an invaluable tool that provides deep insights into market dynamics and trading opportunities. It's a fantastic addition to any trader’s toolkit, and I can't wait to explore and utilize this feature in my trading journey. Happy trading!
Prepared by : Arman Shaban
The Source : www.tradingview.com
Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: Deciphering the DistinctionsCryptocurrencies have revolutionized the financial landscape, with Bitcoin and Ethereum emerging as two prominent players shaping the digital economy. Despite sharing the common ground of blockchain technology, each offers distinct features and functionalities, underscoring the need to understand their differences.
Introduction to Bitcoin
Bitcoin, introduced in 2009 by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto, heralded the dawn of decentralized digital currencies. Its primary objective was to provide an alternative to traditional fiat currencies through a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. Transactions on the Bitcoin network are verified and recorded on an immutable public ledger, known as the blockchain.
Introduction to Ethereum
In 2015, Vitalik Buterin introduced Ethereum, presenting a paradigm shift beyond mere digital currency. Ethereum serves as an open-source platform for executing smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) without intermediaries. At its core is Ether (ETH), the native cryptocurrency powering transactions and fueling the ecosystem.
Core Differences
Purpose: Bitcoin functions primarily as a digital currency, aiming to revolutionize financial transactions. Ethereum, on the other hand, is a versatile platform enabling the execution of smart contracts and DApps, with broader implications for decentralization beyond monetary exchange.
Technology: Bitcoin operates on a Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, requiring significant computational power for transaction validation. Ethereum initially adopted PoW but is transitioning to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) with Ethereum 2.0, offering improved scalability and energy efficiency.
Scalability: Bitcoin processes approximately 7 transactions per second, while Ethereum can handle up to 30. Both face scalability challenges, with Ethereum exploring solutions like sharding to enhance throughput and efficiency.
Supply: Bitcoin has a fixed maximum supply of 21 million coins, creating scarcity akin to digital gold. In contrast, Ethereum does not have a predefined supply limit, potentially allowing for continuous production, albeit with economic implications.
Use Cases: Bitcoin is synonymous with a store of value, often likened to digital gold due to its limited supply and scarcity. Ethereum's versatility enables the creation of innovative applications such as decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), and more, expanding its utility beyond monetary transactions.
Price Dynamics
Bitcoin's market movements often dictate the broader cryptocurrency landscape, impacting the prices of assets like Ethereum. Influencing factors include market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions. Ethereum's price dynamics are further influenced by platform upgrades, developer activity, and the burgeoning demand for decentralized applications.
Monthly Bitcoin Chart
Monthly Ethereum Chart
Conclusion
While Bitcoin and Ethereum share the foundation of blockchain technology, their purposes, technologies, and applications diverge significantly. Bitcoin seeks to redefine monetary exchange, while Ethereum aims to revolutionize contractual agreements and decentralized applications. Understanding these distinctions is paramount in navigating the evolving landscape of digital assets and harnessing their transformative potential in the global economy.
Ethereum Dencun Upgrade (1st Q 2024)Hello friends.
Today im going to explain some features of the next big Ethereum Upgrade called "Dencun"
Lets Deep into it.
The crypto world eagerly awaits Ethereum’s groundbreaking Dencun Upgrade, a massive undertaking by Ethereum developers that promises to reshape the course of the Ethereum network. Set to be introduced as a hard fork in the coming years, this upgrade brings a host of transformative changes that pave the way for a more scalable and efficient blockchain ecosystem.
One of the highly anticipated features of the Dencun Upgrade is Proto-Dank Sharding, also known as Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP-4844). This innovative enhancement sets its sights on addressing one of the key challenges faced by Ethereum: scalability. Proto-Dank Sharding introduces a new transaction type that incorporates data “blobs” unlocking additional storage capacity and reducing gas fees, particularly for layer 2 rollups. In simple terms, it can be likened to organizing luggage efficiently for a holiday trip. By optimizing data storage, Proto-Dank Sharding maximizes available space and minimizes unnecessary costs.
It’s important to note that the Dencun Upgrade is not a solitary effort. The term “Dencun” represents a combination of two simultaneous upgrades: “Cancun” at the execution layer and “Deneb” at the consensus layer. While Cancun focuses on executing protocol rules, Deneb ensures block validation. This comprehensive approach aims to maximize system efficiency, offering a guiding light for the future of the blockchain while considering the interests of stakeholders.
The Cancun segment includes five pivotal Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs) :
EIP-4844 (Proto-Danksharding) : Sets the stage for the full implementation of Danksharding, enhancing scalability.
EIP-1153 : Lowers the cost of on-chain data storage, optimizing block space.
EIP-4788 : Improves the structure of cross-chain bridges and stake pools.
EIP-5656 : Introduces minor code changes to the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM).
EIP-6780 : Removes SELFDESTRUCT, which is code that could potentially terminate smart contracts.
Key Benefits of Ethereum Cancun
Boosted Scalability : The introduction of Proto-Danksharding will facilitate a higher volume of transactions, processed at a quicker pace, enhancing Layer 2 solutions which operate atop the main blockchain.
Reduced Gas Fees : Through the utilization of data "blobs" and the implementation of EIP-4844, the upgrade aims to significantly cut down the gas fees, a move that will be particularly beneficial for Layer 2 solutions, making transactions more affordable.
Strengthened Security : The network's security infrastructure will be fortified, safeguarding user data and investments, thanks to initiatives like EIP-6780.
Efficient Data Storage : EIP-1153 is set to optimize data storage on the blockchain, fostering more efficient and cost-effective operations, which is a boon for Layer 2 solutions that rely on optimal data management.
Enhanced Cross-Chain Connectivity : The upgrade, through EIP-4788, promises smoother and more secure interactions between different blockchain networks, facilitating better integration with Layer 2 solutions.
Technical Innovations : With minor code modifications introduced through EIP-5656, the upgrade sets the stage for future technical advancements, potentially spurring innovation in Layer 2 solutions.
I hope you enjoy this article and pay attention to ETH in the next coming Bullrun :)
THANK YOU ALL
Refrences :
www.ethereum.org
www.medium.com
How To Use Total Market Cap ✨We can use Total Market Cap to analyse when it's best to go bullish or bearish on the crypto market. A growing market cap can indicate investors' interest and their positive evaluation of the current market state = bullish whereas a stagnant market cap would indicate that investors are taking their money away from the crypto market = bearish.
By analyzing the Total Crypto Market Cap weekly chart, we can see 5 clear waves to the downside, which means we are either in motive wave 1 or in wave A of a zigzag pattern.
For both cases, we are expecting an ABC correction opposite to the recent 5 waves. we have already completed subwave A and finishing now subwave B, expecting subwave C higher.
In a zigzag pattern ( 5-3-5) we have:
Wave A= 5 waves
Wave B = 3 waves
Wave C = 5 waves
Therefore, our mission for the long term is to catch the impulsive waves of wave C after wave B. But for now will be focusing on catching subwave C of wave B.
We will be using this chart as a guide for the other cryptocurrencies charts.
Stay tuned for more Crypto analysis!
Investing in CryptoThere are approximately 22,932 cryptocurrencies in existence.
The image above shows the hundreds of cryptocurrencies on TradingView's crypto coins heat map. Click here to interact with the heat map
With so many cryptocurrencies, how does one determine which, if any, are worth investing in?
In this post, I'll explain how I sorted through thousands of cryptocurrencies to identify a small handful that met my investing criteria. This is post is meant to be educational, but is not meant to be financial advice.
I began by using TradingView's crypto screener , shown below. I filtered out cryptocurrencies with a market cap of less than $100 million. In my opinion, cryptocurrencies with a market cap smaller than $100 million are too volatile and illiquid to safely invest or trade. Assets with a such small market cap can also be prone to price manipulation. The low volume and illiquid conditions also tend to result in poor-quality charting data.
I analyzed the charts of over 200 cryptocurrencies with a market cap of over $100 million. To account for the possibility that a cryptocurrency under the $100 million market cap was growing fast enough to eventually become a candidate, I re-screened all the cryptocurrencies by market cap at a second point in time (6 months later). I also performed both screenings during the current crypto bear market when fewer new cryptocurrencies were coming into existence. I observed that most cryptocurrencies decayed in value relative to the U.S. dollar.
When an asset decays in value relative to the U.S. dollar this generally means that the market believes the asset is becoming worthless. Since the majority of the most highly capitalized cryptocurrencies were decaying in price over time, I assumed that lesser capitalized cryptocurrencies were also decaying in price relative to the U.S. dollar. Therefore, I concluded that most cryptocurrencies are becoming worthless over time.
To objectively determine whether or not an asset is decaying relative to the U.S. dollar one can apply a regression channel to the entire price history of the asset. If the channel is downsloping, then the asset is decaying in value as time passes.
The chart above shows an example of a cryptocurrency that has decayed in value relative to the U.S. dollar. Most cryptocurrencies decay in value relative to the U.S. dollar. (Note: Although the denominator is Tether the chart has been adjusted to USD.)
Although most cryptocurrencies decay in value over time, dozens of cryptocurrencies move up in value relative to the U.S. dollar over time (and have an upsloping regression channel). For these high-performing cryptocurrencies, I then used relative strength analysis to determine the best investing candidates.
For each cryptocurrency that had a market cap of over $100 million and that had an upsloping regression channel relative to the U.S. dollar over its entire existence, I analyzed the cryptocurrency relative to Bitcoin to see if it outperformed. If the cryptocurrency decayed over time relative to Bitcoin (downsloping regression channel), I removed it from my list because I concluded that it would be better to just invest in Bitcoin. Although I excluded crypto that underperformed Bitcoin, I could not reach the conclusion that crypto that outperformed Bitcoin was worth investing in until I first validated the conclusion that Bitcoin itself was worth investing in.
While a quick glance at the price history of Bitcoin, as shown below, may convince many people that Bitcoin is worth investing in, I needed an objective, evidence-based, and mathematical method to determine whether Bitcoin is a wealth-building asset or merely a speculative bubble. Fortunately, chart analysis can help us infer if an asset is a speculative bubble or actually wealth-building over the long term.
In a prior post, I explained that from a conceptual standpoint, a wealth-building asset is one that expands the investor's purchasing power over time. In order to do this, a wealth-building asset generally must move up in price over time faster than the rate at which the money supply expands. In general, only assets that are perpetually scarce or that are increasingly productive can overcome this difficult hurdle to be classified as a wealth-building asset. To learn more about why an asset must outperform the growth rate of the money supply in order to be wealth-building, you can check out my post below.
Therefore, in order to test whether or not Bitcoin is a wealth-building asset over the long term (years and decades), I compared Bitcoin against the money supply. What I found was surprising.
The above chart compares the market cap of Bitcoin to the U.S. money supply (M1).
I found that the market cap of Bitcoin was forming an apparent bull flag to the U.S. money supply (M1) on the yearly chart. Not only is a bull flag apparently forming, but the bull flag structure is apparently a perfect golden ratio.
To learn more about golden ratio bull flag structures and why they can be quite significant, you can check out my post below about advanced bull flag concepts.
I decided to delve deeper. This time I measured Bitcoin against the money supply on a lower timeframe and using a longer lookback period. I found that the total market cap of Bitcoin as a ratio to the money supply was moving in an apparent logistic growth curve . Although it is generally well-known that Bitcoin moves in a logistic growth curve to the U.S. dollar, it is not generally well-known that Bitcoin's market cap is also moving in the same logistic growth pattern relative to the money supply.
The chart above shows the total market cap of Bitcoin moving in an apparent logistic growth curve relative to the money supply. The pink line at the top is the value 1, and it represents a horizontal asymptote (the highest possible value that can be reached). Bitcoin's market cap can only go as high as the total supply of money. As Bitcoin's market cap approaches the total supply of money, further growth becomes increasingly inhibited because there is a decreasing amount of money left that can be converted into Bitcoin so as to push its price up further.
It is thus not possible for the total market cap of Bitcoin to exceed the total supply of money. In other words, when measured in U.S. dollars, the total value of 21 million Bitcoin can only ever be as high as the total global supply of U.S. dollars. Although the money supply tends to increase over time, the total market cap of Bitcoin as a ratio to the money supply can only ever reach 1.
Since the inhibiting factor of the growth of Bitcoin's market cap is the money supply then what this means on a conceptual level is that Bitcoin's logistic growth is actually a mathematical indication that Bitcoin is replacing the money supply. In essence, by forming a logistic growth curve to the U.S. money supply, we can infer that Bitcoin is displacing, if not outright replacing, the U.S. dollar. If you would like more scientific evidence that Bitcoin conforms to a logistic growth function, you can check out this research article .
It is not unusual that Bitcoin's price action appears as a logistic growth curve. Logistic growth curves characterize many types of replacement processes in nature. For example, each time a new variant of COVID-19 emerged, it replaced the previous variant through logistic growth, which can be shown in a chart of the relative prevalence of COVID-19 variants over time.
The chart above shows the "S-curve" or sigmoid pattern that characterizes logistic growth. Variants of COVID-19 vying for hosts to infect is reflected as a logistic growth race among circulating and emerging variants. In many ways, this competition among virus variants is analogous to the competition of cryptocurrencies: Each cryptocurrency competes with existing and emerging cryptocurrencies to form a logistic growth curve relative to the U.S. dollar, thereby challenging its market dominance. A small subset of cryptocurrencies are so competitive that they also form a logistic growth curve relative to Bitcoin, which reflects their attempt to replace even Bitcoin's market dominance.
The final step I took in analyzing cryptocurrency for investing potential was to detect which, if any, cryptocurrencies were moving in logistic growth not only to the U.S. dollar but also to Bitcoin. If one can detect an asset that will move in a logistic growth curve to Bitcoin early on, the extent of wealth that can be built is extraordinary.
Below are a couple of examples of the relative strength analyses I performed.
Bitcoin vs. Bitcoin Cash
The above chart shows a downsloping regression channel, indicating that Bitcoin Cash decays in value relative to Bitcoin over time. Therefore, Bitcoin is a better long-term investment than Bitcoin Cash.
Bitcoin vs. Ethereum
In the chart above, one can see that when compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum produces an upsloping regression channel. Since the Pearson correlation coefficient is quite low and since Ethereum was unable to reach a higher high relative to Bitcoin in the current halving cycle, the relative strength of Ethereum and Bitcoin are indeterminate. In light of this, I decided that investing in both Bitcoin and Ethereum could allow me to diversify and lower the risk of investing in only one of the two.
Aside from Bitcoin and Ethereum, in a follow-up post, I'll reveal which other 3 cryptocurrencies I currently invest in. One of them may be a surprise to many. Feel free to leave a comment below indicating which cryptocurrencies you think should be in the top 5 long-term investing candidates.
In conclusion, the analysis above shows that, to a reasonably high degree of certainty, cryptocurrency (Bitcoin specifically) is challenging the current monetary system in ways that it has not been challenged before. It is my belief that cryptocurrency is the next step in the evolution of human financial markets. It builds the infrastructure for a monetary system that equips humans with more efficient transactions within digital spaces. While the Bitcoin blockchain is far from perfect and is heavily reliant on non-renewable energy consumption, it solves many of the inefficiencies that financial systems have been unable to solve for millennia.
If you enjoyed this post, I would greatly appreciate it if you leave a boost! If you have any questions or would like to share your thoughts, feel free to leave them in the comments below. In a future post, I plan to explain why cryptocurrency's displacement of existing monetary systems is becoming increasingly inevitable due to the proliferation of DeFi protocols.
Important Disclaimer
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Trading and investing always involve risks and one should carefully review all such risks before making a trade or investment decision. Do not buy or sell any security based on anything in this post. Past results do not guarantee future returns. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile. Never borrow money or use margin to invest in cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrency is not backed or insured by any authority and is therefore a high-risk asset class. You can lose all or some of your money in cryptocurrency. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. This post is for educational purposes only.
Driving Forces Behind Cryptocurrencies' VolatilityIn the ever-evolving realm of modern finance, the emergence of cryptocurrencies has catalyzed a seismic shift, captivating the imagination of investors and traders alike. Since the inception of Bitcoin in 2009, the cryptocurrency market has experienced an unprecedented surge, leading to a proliferation of digital assets, each with its own unique characteristics and potential applications.
However, amid the exhilarating highs and gut-wrenching lows, the cryptocurrency market's intrinsic volatility has left many pondering the enigmatic forces that propel its wild fluctuations. This article embarks on a comprehensive exploration of the fundamental drivers that propel the volatile universe of cryptocurrencies, providing an in-depth analysis of the intricate interplay between a myriad of elements that influence prices and sentiment.
From the far-reaching impact of macroeconomic factors and regulatory dynamics to the revolutionary power of technological advancements and the sway of market sentiment, a complex tapestry of influences collectively shapes the turbulent journey of digital currencies. As the global financial ecosystem grapples with the ongoing evolution of this nascent asset class, acquiring an intimate understanding of these pivotal factors becomes a cornerstone for investors, traders, and enthusiasts navigating this dynamic landscape.
Diving into the Cryptocurrency Mosaic
Cryptocurrencies have transcended their origin with Bitcoin to establish a vibrant and diverse ecosystem of digital assets. Each cryptocurrency possesses a distinct set of attributes, use cases, and underlying technologies, intricately weaving into the intricate fabric of the market.
Broadly categorized, cryptocurrencies fall into two primary groups: coins and tokens. Coins like Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Bitcoin Cash are engineered to facilitate transactions and serve as alternatives to conventional currencies. In contrast, crypto tokens are constructed atop existing blockchain platforms, such as Ethereum, fulfilling functions like governance and ecosystem transactions.
Furthermore, the consensus mechanisms employed by cryptocurrencies contribute to their diversity. The proof-of-work (PoW) mechanism, utilized by Bitcoin and others, relies on mining for transaction validation. Conversely, the proof-of-stake (PoS) mechanism, exemplified by Ethereum and Cosmos, leverages validators to confirm transactions, enhancing energy efficiency and scalability.
Decrypting Cryptocurrency Volatility
Volatility is an intrinsic characteristic of cryptocurrencies, fueled by a confluence of influential factors:
Limited Liquidity: With trading volumes and market capitalization often lower than traditional assets, even modest buy or sell orders can generate substantial price fluctuations.
Speculative Nature: Cryptocurrencies are frequently viewed as speculative instruments, leading to price movements driven by market sentiment, hype, and speculative behavior, rather than fundamental analysis.
Regulatory Ambiguity: As a relatively nascent and lightly regulated market, regulatory developments can trigger abrupt price shifts as investors respond to changes or uncertainties in the legal landscape.
Sentiment Swings: Market sentiment, shaped by events like security breaches or regulatory announcements, can exert considerable influence on cryptocurrency prices.
Manipulation Vulnerability: Due to limited oversight and liquidity in certain markets, cryptocurrencies are susceptible to manipulation by sizable holders, leading to price distortions.
Technological Factors: Technical vulnerabilities or glitches can prompt swift price fluctuations as investors react to perceived risks associated with the underlying technology.
Adoption and Utilization: The practical adoption and use cases of cryptocurrencies significantly influence their value. Currencies with tangible utility and real-world applications tend to garner heightened interest and market support.
Supply and Demand: The fundamental economics of supply and demand guide cryptocurrency prices. Scarce supply coupled with growing demand can propel prices upward.
Macroeconomic Influences: Broader macroeconomic factors, encompassing inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical events, can channel investor attention toward cryptocurrencies as alternative investment vehicles or stores of value.
Influential Figures' Statements: Public endorsements or criticisms from influential figures exert considerable impact on cryptocurrency prices, shaping market perceptions and behavior.
Conclusion
As cryptocurrencies reshape the financial landscape, delving into the driving forces behind their volatility is essential for navigating this dynamic market. From the inception of Bitcoin to the kaleidoscope of digital assets that now flourish, the cryptocurrency market is characterized by its rollercoaster-like price oscillations.
This article has undertaken a comprehensive exploration of the key factors influencing this volatile realm. Regulatory shifts, market sentiment, technological advancements, hacking incidents, and supply-demand dynamics all converge to define cryptocurrency movements. Understanding these multifaceted influences empowers investors, traders, and enthusiasts to navigate the unpredictability of the crypto landscape with poise and informed decision-making.
While cryptocurrencies promise transformation, their journey is marked by rapid evolution and maturation. As the landscape continues to evolve, maintaining vigilance and adaptability remains pivotal. Regardless of your vantage point, comprehending these factors empowers you to seize opportunities and surmount challenges in the captivating realm of digital assets.
Trading Lesson 👨💻#1 - Never buy At the peak high.Not worth it I tell you.
Never buy at the peak high.
Always buy at the peak low.
When ever you see a peak in the day of trading and you had a major rise in price due to things such as rallies or market seasonal up trends, or 🐳 it's moving up and you don't want to miss it. However; you buy in on the rush up-word believing it's safe to assume things will be greater tomorrow, so you wait to see this awesome rally to the top to make it rich.
The day closes and the reopens, with a rise and then sudden fall in the crypto market - all that hype only to be disappointed when you notice somethings off; your funds are 💸floating away in mere moments. So naturally you panic believing that you are in a complete crash - and assume it's the fault of the stock you purchased, but more over it was the fault of the bad call - with bad timing, so you panic sell thinking it will only get worse, and in some cases it does get worse but in others cases that sell you just made would be a mistake in judgement as the price goes back up from where you sold leaving you behind with the lost funds to ponder over.
This is what I call "fools gold"
Never buy at the peak on after a closing day.
reason being you may on the next day after a rally up-word, you notice the price move up higher for like a moment prompting you to buy, thinking that the rally is still going, however; not realizing that was the last call before the fall.
So the best thing to do in these type of situations is to:
_______________________
Don't Buy In
Safer to study your target market before you buy and wait for the closing day, so that it can either adjust the price to where it really is vs where it currently is. if it drops wait till the closing day again until you feel you have the best price to turn a profit. Note - pay attention for market trends it could be going up which is good or falling down which is still good for you because you didn't lose any money, so best to study before you buy on a hype.
_______________________
Hold
Wait until the next closing day to see where it might lead - this will keep your shares you already purchased and if you need to add more funds to regain what you lost when the price is lower than expected, it will likely turn what was a lost to a gain when the price returns to where you originally purchased.
_______________________
Sell
The worse thing you can do is Sell unless you can catch the drop in price before it takes too much profit to recover from, you will likely try again losing more money and again, and again, and again - creating what is known as panic buying and selling, if you had deep pockets it might cause the market to completely drop based off the factor of you panic selling, no need to do so you have a day to find out where the market for your crypto is headed before you sell, so best to work fast or lose more funds wasting time.
Focus and don't risk what you are not willing to lose, and for your own sake if you are a panic seller, never day trade, you'll lose more money that way.
_______________________
Best Tools to use
Notice the market trends on the charts before you buy, was it going up throughout a one month process if so then it's a likelihood it's in a seasonal high, it's sometimes hard to tell if it's moving up or down just by looking at charts, so you will definitely need proper indicators to help identify your next move.
Indicators like:
Volume to price
or
trend activity
Not chart savvy, then find a predictor of your current crypto you purchased.
Look for people on places like trading view who have the tools and or knowledge to tell you the trading trends - note not all of them are accurate - not even some websites that offer predictions for your favorite stock or crypto are accurate either, they are usually 40% accurate 60% inaccurate and 99% bias.
That's just my opinion - however; they can not predict Rallies - Whaling activity - or - the entire stock market fallout/rise - anything can happen so be prepared it can take months if not years to recover or it could take a few weeks if you know what the future may bring.
But remember:
Don't try to buy in at the tip of a peak.
It's guaranteed to drop instantly the next trading day.
Hope this helps.
Happy trading.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:ETH
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:SHIB
BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
COINBASE:SHIBUSD
#CRYPTO
#ALTCOIN
#EVERYCOIN
#RALLIES-WE-LOVE-THEM
#HELP-WITH-A-RALLY
#NEED-WHALE-SUPPORT
#STOP-THE-DIP
Rising wedgeA rising wedge in an up trend is usually considered a reversal pattern. This pattern is at the end of a bullish wave, by creating close price tops, shows us that the supply has intensified and there is a possibility of a trend change. Of course, nothing is certain and if the buyers are more willing and strong, this pattern may be broken in the direction of the market rise.
A rising wedge in the middle of a downtrend, is considered a corrective move and is known as a continuing pattern. For example, take a look at the above chart of Ethereum on the weekly time frame
How you can make 6 figures a month using prop fundsFirstly you need to be able to acquire one account such as a 100k account. Assuming your target is $110000 you start by risking $500 a trade until you reach $3000. if you take losses you continue risking the same until you're back at the starting point. once you reach $3000 of profit you now up your risk to $1000 until you get to $6000 and then $2000. This should easily allow you to pass phase 1 of the challenge, you then repeat the same for phase 2.
Once you receive your first funded account, you are now going to purchase another challenge and copy trade your funded account (master acc) onto the challenge. Repeating the above and considering you have a strategy with a good win rate, you are now able to make money while passing the challenges without having to trade 2 accounts manually. You continue this process and max your funding with one prop fund, and then move on to a second and so on until you have 7 figures in funding under your belt.
The key is to remain focused and have your psychology and mindset on point. making a mistake on your master account is going to reflect on all accounts. The same goes with profits however. If you have 1 mill in funding and make 1% in a week on one of your 100k accounts, then the other 9 will also make 1% bringing you to a total of 10% ($100000) in one week.
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Unlocking the Power of Volume: Combining Volume with TAIn our previous blog posts, we explored the importance of volume analysis in understanding indicators that can be used for volume analysis. Today, we'll delve deeper into how combining volume analysis with technical analysis can provide valuable insights for traders and investors alike. We will do so by laying out a strategy that anyone can use that will utilize volume.
The Significance of Volume in Technical Analysis
We have previously discussed how volume plays a crucial role in technical analysis. It is essential to examine volume patterns alongside price action, as it helps traders determine liquidity and identify potential trading opportunities. When combined with technical indicators, volume offers a more comprehensive view of market activity and can enhance decision-making in trading.
Indicators to Combine with Volume Analysis
Here are some popular technical indicators that traders can use in conjunction with volume analysis:
1. Moving Averages
Moving averages (MAs) are one of the most widely used technical indicators, as they help traders identify trends and potential support and resistance levels. The two most commonly used moving averages are simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA). We'll use a short-term EMA (e.g., 9-day EMA) and a long-term EMA (e.g., 21-day EMA) for a strategy later in this post.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100, with readings below 30 indicating oversold conditions and readings above 70 indicating overbought conditions. The RSI can help traders identify potential trend reversals and entry/exit points.
The Strategy That Incorporates Volume
1. Identify Trend Direction
First, apply the 9-day EMA(shown in white) and the 21-day EMA(shown in purple) to your price chart. The trend direction is determined by the relationship between the two moving averages:
Uptrend: The 9-day EMA is above the 21-day EMA
Downtrend: The 9-day EMA is below the 21-day EMA
Sideways: The moving averages are intertwined, with no clear direction
2. Confirm Trend Strength with RSI
Apply the RSI to your chart, and use the 30 and 70 levels as reference points:
For uptrends, look for the RSI to stay above 30 and preferably above 50.
For downtrends, look for the RSI to stay below 70 and preferably below 50.
3. Analyze Trading Volume
Compare the volume levels during the trend to the average volume over a specific period of your choosing using your desired volume indicator (see previous post on volume indicators). If the volume is above average during the trend or is rising, it confirms its strength. Conversely, a decreasing volume may signal a weakening trend or a potential reversal.
4. Entry and Exit Points
Long Entry: In an uptrend, look for the RSI to pull back below 50, and then cross back above it. Confirm the entry with increasing trading volume. This indicates a potential buying opportunity.
Short Entry: In a downtrend, look for the RSI to pull back above 50 and then cross back below it. Confirm the entry with increasing trading volume. This indicates a potential selling opportunity.
Exit Points: Use the moving averages as trailing stop-loss levels. For long positions, exit when the 9-day EMA crosses below the 21-day EMA. For short positions, exit when the 9-day EMA crosses above the 21-day EMA.
Practical Tips for Combining Volume with Technical Analysis
Here are some practical tips for effectively integrating volume analysis with technical indicators:
1. Use Multiple Timeframes
Analyze volume patterns and technical indicators across different timeframes to identify potential trends and reversals more accurately. We always recommend a top-down time frame approach, starting at higher time frames and working down to your desired time frame for entries.
2. Look for Volume Confirmation
When a technical indicator signals a potential trading opportunity, confirm it with volume analysis to ensure the move is supported by strong market activity.
3. Monitor Divergences
Divergences between volume and price action can signal potential trend reversals or continuations. Keep an eye on these discrepancies to make informed trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Combining volume analysis with technical indicators can help traders and investors make more informed decisions about market trends and potential trading opportunities. By understanding the relationship between volume and price action and incorporating this knowledge with technical analysis, traders can unlock powerful insights and enhance their overall trading strategy.