The importance of name branding and logo in cryptocurrencyName and logo are important in evaluating the possible value of a cryptocurrency, for example, during the dot com bubble, Boo.com, 3com, lastminute.com all experienced large gains within the first months of IPO release but prices steadily declined to zilch. This is most likely due to fundamentals however name and logo both play into this also. Attracting investors based on appearance and branding, establishing a memorable impression with these factors is vital for the survival of a company. Not much has changed with cryptocurrency the spread of Name and logo is pretty clear, for example (my personal opinion) Waves, Seele, Ravencoin, all provide less than notable impressions, while Augur, Ethereum, NEO and Cardano give quality first impressions (again my opinion). The stellar rise of these coins and similar coins may be seen once maturity of the market is observed, again fundamentals plays a big part but branding also is notable. Leave some feedback and your own thoughts!
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
EW Analysis: BTCUSD And Friends In The Corrective PhaseHello traders!
Welcome to the Crypto Quick Overview chart with major cryptocurrencies of BTCUSD, ETHUSD, LTCUSD, DSHUSD , XRPUSD and BCHUSD in which we will show you how the cryptocurrencies look from Elliott Wave perspective.
In the Crypto market it's important to respect correlations, because they are most of the time moving together in positive correlation. Of course, there are no tick by tick correlations, but when analyzing it's very recommended to respect them!
Well, what we currently see is a corrective development within downtrend in all major cryptocurrencies, which means that Cryptos can see more weakness in the upcoming sessions, so they can be easily headed back new lows after these slow price actions and choppy + overlapped wave structures!
What we want to say is that don't fall in love with bulls just yet, because we see room for another, maybe the final wave down in the higher time frame charts and once/if they hit new lows, this is when we will expect a bullish reversal, but as always we need confirmations, which we currently don't have them yet!
Be humble and trade smart!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
What can we learn if BTC decouples from ALTs & Dominance drops?This last move was important to pay attention to and be aware of whats going on in the markets. Bitcoin has been dominating the landscape for some time and for good reason. It has the most exposure, it has large funds being able to invest in it, etc, etc.... People were creating ways to get into the crypto craze and found ways to do it.
I am not hear to pinpoint on exactly when to get in. I am hear to tell you that if you are sitting on the sidelines mulling around whether or not it's a good time to get in, please consider this chart. I can throw most any major alt coin and the result will be similar as to the eth and ltc comparison. AS BTC dominance drops, the ALT's rose, along with BTC for that matter. If we are going to have a massive alt season 2, this will be the time to get in and HODL. If you are targeting ETH, will it matter if you get in at 150, 200 or even 250 if it goes to $1,200? No, it won't. If you wait for more confirmation, you could possibly miss a large move to the upside. Maybe it goes down more before it goes up, no one knows. If we take a step back for a moment and look at bitcoin dominance we can see what story it is telling. The first and most obvious is that when BTC domiance dropped in 2017 prices started to increase. It's important to notice that this happened MID 2017, but people consider the bull run to happen late 2017 if not the beginning of 2018. But if you invested then you were late. You were showing up to the party as the police were arriving. Not a good time.
The BTC dominance MACD is just about to arc over and cross. RSI is very much oversold. The BTC halvening is approaching next year, there are massive advances in crypto, etc... The decoupling exposed itself this last rally when almost EVERYTHING moved up and BTC stayed flat. Of course everything has corrected a bit, but that is to be expected. There are signs they are decoupling and if so it could be worthwhile to begin to take positions for a move up. Almost EVERY cross (ETH/BTC, LTC/BTC, etc..) are at all time lows, priming the pump for another ALT season. Ask yourself this... If ETH went down to $150 even if you bought at $200, would you be angry at having to ride it out? Or more angry if you hadn't bought at $200 and it moved up to $300, or 500? Make sure you evaluate your plan, whether trading or hodling and know the potential of what is going on. Stay disciplined. Could BTC go down to 7k?Could it drag everything else down with it? Very possible, and it's what I have thought until this latest move. Because what if it decouples from alt's and those stay stable or even move up? As evidenced by the recent moves? Compare the latest ETH chart to BTC. It looks like BTC is moving down and ETH to the upside... It will be quite interesting to see where we go and I hope I provided some insight and help for your positions or trading.
Best of luck trading and hodling
-Sherem
Ethereum the bitch that keeps on giving.So as we all know, eth was once above $1400.00!! Here we sit at 168.55usd having just broke that channel I recently drew on my chart. What's ironic is that I trade eth alot more than I trade bitcoin but mostly post bitcoin ideas, today I finally post some stuff for eth. I will be adding updates, this is a shorterm chart so ill add some longer time frame views as we go. Please enjoy.
Also please remember that I am a speculator, not your trading adviser. Don't copy what I do, learn to do it without anyone's help and you'll be very rich one day.
ETH: Crucial S&R Zone!ETH is at the crucial 215-16 S&R Zone: A bullish bounce would lead to previous highs. A bear break could lead to the previous breakout zone.
If you had some value from my analysis, give it a thumbs-up & comment it, because the mechanism shows my analysis to other people then. Make also sure to follow me so you get notified on my analyses! I wish you a good trading! :)
Edgy is providing online education only. We are not a financial advisor, nor do we hold any formal qualifications in this area. You're trading at your own risk. No matter what you do, please set your stop loss. Please be aware, that you can lose all your money on the online exchanges.
Ethereum Classic - Trend line BATTLE - Who will win?This is a daily chart of ETCUSD on Kraken.
Looking at some of the recent price action, it seems like we're in a trend line battle.
If we draw an uptrend line (green) from the low around $3.5, we see that this is being highly contested with, right now.
Similarly, if we draw a downtrend line (red) from the high around $10, we see that price has not used it much as resistance yet.
Based on this alone, the bears are clearly winning.
But let's look at volume, too, to give us a better picture.
Even in volume, we are in the midst of a long downtrend which has not been contested much with, yet.
Overall, the bears are in control and the bulls have fallen asleep.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) Resistance - Expect at $240This is a daily chart, of ETHUSD on Kraken.
We see a relatively bullish uptrend as of late, but I expect resistance to be hit around the $240 level.
Why? A few reasons.
Firstly, we can see a cluster of historical resistance and support around those levels.
Makes sense for price to be tested there again.
Secondly, the $240 level is right around the 0.382 retracement, if we draw a Fib from the high pivot around $364 to the low pivot around $165.
0.382 is a frequent area of resistance.
Do you have different potential areas of resistance, based off of different analysis, i.e Gann, etc?
Anyway, let's keep our eyes peeled.
Ethereum : Equilibrium on market and dominance on bitcoinHello fellas, Finally we get some moves on BTC and once again our analysis has met the precision here with a drop. I've warned you about the bull trap region and possible drop. At the time I made this post, the bitcoin dominance is standing at around 69.4% which is extremely high and not ideal for me. So, I believe in the near future, the dominance will throw over from current level and we will see a drop on bitcoin too. The biggest question is, what could happen on altcoin market? will it follow the bitcoin's drop? or will it moves against bitcoin?
Personally, I really think that current price of altcoin is pretty low and most of them has already touched the historical low. I really can't imagine if the price of that altcoin will drop from current level, it will be such a hell. I use only the logical think to represent my view on current market. Just imagine if the dominance of bitcoin decrease, this will mean there will be a money outflow from bitcoin to keep the equilibrium play in this major market and if there is a huge outflow from bitcoin investment, I do believe the money from big investors which is known as whales in crypto industry will fill in the altcoins space to help bitcoin decrease its dominance. This phenomenon will cause a negative correlation between bitcoin and the altcoin.
I choose to pick ETH as my weapon on this possible bullish scenario on alts because Ethereum is the 2nd largest crypto in this universe just under bitcoin in its rank based on market volume. I do believe in its project too.
And from the technical side, it is moving align too with my above statement. currently the price is playing in the break out cycle both on diagonal and horizontal levels and based on the RSI and MACD, I see the price is gaining strength with its bullish divergence on daily based. I need to see 1 more drop toward the white region and if this level can hold on the price, I will open a long position from there.
This will be a beautiful trade if I have all the confirmation is being met and you will feel how satisfied is with this profit.
DEFENDING ALTSEASON - SHITCOIN MANIFESTOIn this post I will explain why there will be another alt season and alts will perform well at some point against Bitcoin.
1. Shitcoins piggy back on Bitcoin's success. For as long as Bitcoin is doing well, people will try to find the next Bitcoin. Many newcomers will feel they missed the boat or they will simply believe Bitcoin is outdated tech. Most people don't understand what Bitcoin is about, so the moment someone pitches to them Bitcoin 2.0 / 3.0 etc they start believing him. This is mainly based on greed as they think the'll get much better returns by betting on these shitcoins. At the same time whales and everyone here, wants to either increase their Bitcoin stash or USD stash in one way or another... and altcoins are on of the best ways to do so. People can't easily manipulate Bitcoin that is so big and liquid, but they can easily manipulate shitcoins. This is still the wild west! People can form groups to pump and dump these little shits, so they will keep on doing it. Doesn't matter who these people are or who these people will be, for as long as it possible for somebody to do it.
Remember that maximum opportunity comes at the point of maximum pain, not before that. Getting a 10-20-30x isn't easy as you have to get in when everyone else wants to get out. You have to be a contrarian and ready to feel pain for some time before you get the big returns. Do you think that all the people that made money in before haven't put or won't put some money back in? When something is down 90-99%, that means that the people that sold high can buy a lot more than what they had for much less, while they don't really feel pressure to sell if it goes up or down a bit as they have already made good money. That's part of the reason these cycles in all markets and not just crypto. Not everyone has lost money and not everyone has lost faith forever.
On the other hand it is funny to see people say that nobody could had seen this massive collapse coming. Since mid April I was calling for Bitcoin dominance to 70-77% and for now I am not convinced alts have bottomed. To me their bubble still hasn't completely popped yet and I find it amazing how altcoins are still holding this well. Notice however that I believe we are very close to the bottom... Based on several time analysis I've done and have put it on twitter both price wise and time wise we are getting there. The bottom should have already come and some other analysis says we are 50-120 days away. At the moment I can't see them dropping more than 25-50% from here, so maybe waiting for them to go lower is me being greedy, but I'd like to see them reclaim certain levels before I get in.
*Fun fact: Some alts topped in late 2013 - early 2014 and it took them 1100-1200 days to bottom. Just think about that...
2. Fundamentals in the space are complicated and there is no real model to evaluate shitcoins as an asset class. Simplistic models and explanations don't work and should be instantly dismissed. Nothing is as simple as finding one narrative and sticking with it. What I know for sure though is that shitcoins in 2012-2017 had way worse fundamentals in all aspects. Less exchanges, shady exchanges, no funding, worse technology, more pure scams, no regulatory clarity and no fiat on ramps. However they all pumped to insane highs... if you don't believe me go have a look at how several coins survived 2012-2017 on CoinMarketCap, check how much they had dropped, for how long they were falling and despite all that so many of them pumped more than 40x from their bottoms in a 2-3 months. Seriously zoom in and try to imagine how these people felt like.
I was in the Bitshares community for quite some time in 2016. That thing was going down forever... Seriously I thought it was dead. As I was growing and I was studying the technicals of Bitcoin, Bitshares and various other projects, I started realizing how flawed alts really were. The claims they were making were insane, unsubstantiated and relied on attracting money to the project. At that time the serial scammer Daniel Larimer left the project, people were having constant fights and all the proposals for improvements were awful. The Chinese community was blocking funding for several proposals and the whole thing was in death spiral. Yet it survived and had one of the biggest bubbles in Q2 2017.
Most people that claim shitcoins are dead haven't been there and haven't experienced what several of us have. Looking at charts and fundamentals along is irrelevant. If you don't get the feeling, if you don't see things happening live... You will never understand. Experience can't be substituted with knowledge. I've made and lost money on shitcoins and ICOs, and my biggest mistake was being emotional and saying that: I DON'T INVEST IN SCAMS, THESE PEOPLE ARE FRAUDS, i DON'T WANT TO MAKE MONEY LIKE THIS. I WILL ONLY TRADE BITCOIN AND THAT'S IT. THE CLAIMS THEY ARE MAKING ARE INSANE, THESE PEOPLE ARE JUST GREEDY LIARS, NOBODY WILL BELIEVE THEM! THESE CHAINS WILL BE ATTACKED AND GET WRECKED. This was literally how I was thinking and then they all took off. I seriously got suicidal at the time as people around me where making money off scams and I wasn't. May and June were awful... Every morning I'd wake up with Bitcoin going up and I wanted to die because I missed one of the biggest opportunities of our lifetime. Imagine how you'd feel looking at something going up and up, 50-100-200x in BTC terms from the bottom. Now why would you wanna feel that again? Personally I don't plan to feel this way.
3. Now let's look at some of the fundamentals of shitcoins compared to normal companies: Shitcoins don't have to pay taxes, they don't have specific investors whom they have to satisfy immediately, they can't go bankrupt, they don't have to do buybacks, they could technically survive without employees (Dogecoin), they can print and they have printed their own money which they can use to *bribe* people and they have the incentive to pump the price to make more money from the money they have printed (Ripple). Most aren't promising something right now, but something in the future. They claim they are building the infrastructure and technically this isn't false. They can cut down costs and keep on operating to an extend, until they they both run out of money and they keep getting delisted from exchanges. What they have that Bitcoin doesn't is money for advertising and insane bag holders that will shill their shitcoins to anyone just so that they can be able to get their money back.
It has to be understood that there will be more delistings and there will be several alts that will never recover. Having an alt season doesn't mean that everything goes up... Even before 2018 there were many shitcoins that died and are not around anymore. I estimate that until now there have been about more than 3000 altcoins, tokens, ICOs, projects that have died and more than half of the coins on Coinmarketcap are essentially dead or simply listed only on scammy illiquid exchanges that nobody uses.
You might think this is bad, but in my opinion it isn't. It is a good thing for the rest of the coins, not bad. The more useless and less liquid alts give their place to new, more 'interesting' assets, the bigger the potential they will have for big pumps. Initially everyone feels the pain as everything is interconnected in this space (as people hold several shitcoins along with Bitcoin), however once more awfully managed / scammy / illiquid projects are gone, the more money can be focused on 'good' shitcoins. The reality is that not everything will pump and the average Bitcoin returns will not be as high as 2017. Larger market caps, more coins now and more coming in, most highly inflationary, fractured liquidity on exchanges, Bitcoin being more scarce, the success of derivatives on Bitcoin and the current infrastructure for institutional investors favoring Bitcoin alone, all mean that alts won't give such great returns and will most likely never reach their old highs again. Yet this doesn't mean they are dead either for reasons I will explain below.
4. The lower alts go the more smart money and whales can buy while there are less sellers. Altcoins can create short term narratives that can fuel demand, they can give incentives for people to hold them (BNB) and staking is a new component that in my opinion will play an instrumental role in this new bull run. The more and more people hold and stake long term, the less supply there is on exchanges making pumps easier as there are less sellers. The current extremely low yield environment globally will make people chase both returns and yields and this is making altcoins extremely attractive. Bitcoin doesn't offer extra returns by holding it, altcoins do. Yes they are scammy and PoS is trash, but most people don't get why.
With most other assets being already too high, assets that are down significantly are extremely attractive. There are bubbles and antibubbles. Altcoins are an antibubble while real estate for example is a bubble in many places. Buying assets with inherently high risk at extremely low valuations helps you increase your potential returns substantially. The risk remains the same, but risk to reward x probabilities of success is the formula every investor should look at before making decisitions.
It has to be noted that most traditional investors don't believe in Bitcoin, but in Blockchain and Cryptocurrency. Not only that, but their goal is to maximize returns for themselves or their customers, so they are ready to buy anything. They don't care about feelings, revolutions and at a time where making money is really really hard altcoins will most likely be an oasis for them. Most people can't distinguish between Bitcoin and Shitcoins, so people in this space need to separate themselves from the masses. What you know isn't what the market knows, and you need to trade based on both.That's how I fucked up in early 2017, as I thought that the market knew what I knew. This means: manage risk very well, study your picks well, always use TA to get in and out and don't marry your bags.
What I find interesting is how people think Coinbase is irrelevant and that there will be no institutional money in shitcoins. Coinbase is extremely important as it holds ~5% of all Bitcoins and is one of the most important fiat gateways. Them listing new shitcoins is very important and Kraken has been following slowly too. What do you think people will do when Bitcoin goes up a lot and they also see these other things next to it go up even more? They will diversify of course...
Something that can't go unnoticed is how most big exchanges have been building infrastructure for big players. Creating OTC desks, custodial solutions, indices and even normal fiat on ramps / stablecoins. These aren't just for Bitcoin, but for shitcoins too. It is important to note that none of these existed in before 2018 for shitcoins. Exchanges have a much larger incentive that anyone else to make these things pump and succeed. The higher they go, the more people trade on their platform, the more money they make. These markets run on incentives and exchanges are the most powerful players off all in this ecosystem. A few years ago all shitcoins traded only against Bitcoin on a few illiquid exchanges, but now there are fiat pairs, altcoin pairs, more bitcoin pairs and more established shitcoin exchanges. Not relying 100% of Bitcoin or Poloniex is really important.
6. One of my followers mentioned something about current investors being wiser and avoiding altcoins, which I think is completely irrelevant for several reasons.
First of all most of them are already burned out and they don't have much money to put in. Most retail investors in the space are cumulatively worth ~50-100B which in the grand scheme of things is nothing. I am seeing this asset class growing to 20-30T before alts have their final bubble. I can't see why we can't get to the size of the Dot Com x5. Here we are reinventing money, there is a lot more fiat now than back then (thanks Central Banks), it is global, it is easily accessible and it has come at a time where fiat money is dying. No better place to have a mega bubble. So what matters more than anything is new investors coming in and with deeper pockets. The real 'flippening' is when old investors capitulate and new investors, smart money and whales take over. If you haven't noticed already, lots of people from before 2017 are gone because they lost pretty much most of their money or they are simply holding Bitcoin. That's why you don't hear from many people from back then. Burned investors usually don't come back until much later and usually near the top, like all the people that got burned in 2017-2019.
The reality is that most people here are doing this to make more money and don't really know what is going on here. Be that Bitcoin or altcoins... Even old investors will eventually start buying them once they start trending. These things trend for a while (be that up or down), and that's why they have these constant cycles. Study the cycles and understand why they occur. Understand why you shouldn't be betting on what is the biggest sin in trading: *this time is different*. This doesn't mean that you should fool yourself and see them as long term investments. Once you do your homework you will understand how this game is being played.
At the bottom smart money gets in (smart traders, whales, founders etc) and then they start pumping the shit out of these coins. Then retail money starts following and you get a bubble. This whole thing is about supply demand imbalances, it is all about strong hands taking over and weak hands slowly getting getting shaken out completely. 'Pumpers' need to do specific things to take over and pump the price to a level that they have sufficient liquidity to exit. So first they need a good entry and then they need a good exit as they can't keep pumping shit forever or they'll start losing money. 90% of the people don't like buying things that go down, but they like buying things that go up and this will never change. Most old investors might be able to avoid being the fool at the top, but this doesn't mean that there will be no new entrants.
7. Finally let's get into market caps, potential valuations and how Bitcoin fits in. I'd like to start by saying that shitcoins are very illiquid and these market caps are not real. What matters most is liquidity and who controls the supply. For a shitcoin to go from 10M to 1B you don't need to put 1B in. If you bought most of the supply for 5-10M during depression/capitulation, then with 50-100M you can take that asset to 1B. These market caps are an illusion that will eventually face reality and come crashing down. Markets are irrational most of the time and on the long run they oscillating around a mean/fair/rational valuation. We have seen such things again and again on exchanges like Huobi, where the worst of the worst shitcoins have pulled 10-60x over the last year. 1-10M USD shitcoins being in accumulation for several months, then pumping like crazy and then coming down like crazy
Part of the reason why alt seasons last 1-3 months and the down trends much longer, is because people need to chase the market, they must not have enough time to think, they must feel urge to FOMO and then only time and despair can wash them out for a new cycle to begin. When the price go up it doesn't mean that this money has come in the market. All it means is that there is an illusion of wealth being created and the new money that comes in near the top is going straight into the pockets of the smart money. The people that buy afterwards are playing a game of hot potato that is essentially redistributing the losses that don't occur at the bottom, but at the top.
During the main phase of the Bitcoin bull run, alts are being used to accumulate more Bitcoin and at the end to accumulate more USD. They serve as an exit for big players. By initially pumping Bitcoin you force people to chase Bitcoin and dump their altcoins, making it a lot easier for you to buy them cheaply. That's why after an altseason Bitcoin is going up stronger and alts go down hard. Bitcoin becomes more scarce and accumulated by strong hands, whereas alts are held by weak hands. So to me smart money either already has or will soon start accumulating altcoins. Big players can't simply buy the top or the bottom, so they always need some time to enter and exit positions, while they might even be sitting on big losses while they are trying to build their position.
My initial idea was that we'd first see new ATHs and a big increase in Bitcoin like we did in early and late 2017, but with alts bleeding so much this doesn't seem like a bad place for big boys to enter. They most likely will want to accumulate Bitcoin before the 2020 halving and this doesn't seem like a bad place to do so. We don't have much data on pre-halving alt seasons, but getting an alt season like the one in early 2016 seems pretty logical to me.
Alt Coins - Actionable ~ Identifying a low ~ 8/30/19I focus on providing live education and support to those interested in trading, Cryptocurrencies, and Blockchain technology. You will learn charting techniques, technical analysis, and the most popular cryptocurrencies for trading. My content is ideally suited for beginner to intermediate level traders.
A quick overlook on ETH.What do you look for when buying??
1. Fundamental support?
2. Statistical outlook on protocol growth and recent avenues? (ie: www.forbes.com)
3. Human appeal and influence? (lower prices are more appealing while regulation and growth continues) Grab it while its hot! ;)
4. Would you rather want a 50% 70% or 80% or hell 100% discount from where price took off? Sure would be nice to visit "station 1" of the bus ride for those cheap deals again! (UNLIKELY) But hey? Maybe station 2 is still good or even 3..?
Think of this in terms of what would you pay as a brand new investor? Hope you all like my idea ^_^
Yellow zone can ride us back up
Red zone people are looking for deals
Blue zone people are observing pattern and market behavior for trends.
Weapons of knowledge:
1. News
2. Market Behavior
3. Growth vs Competition
4. Use Technical Indicators for price action observation (Naked Trading should always be first included before layering indicators). Clean charts are good charts I only use indicators to help show ideas like a playbook for a coach.
5. Do not rely on indicators they all mostly lag but there are some leading indicators that help and a combination of "truths" help with probability.
6. An idea is just an idea - it does not make it real but people use them so it has effect!
7. Smart Money vs Dumb Money (Wholesale vs Retail) (Discount vs Buying the hype)
8. Psychology and Money management
9. The farther out the more you can see, history has its advantages...
10. Contact me for supportive constructive perspective and criticism. Likewise share thoughts
Happy Trading all ^_^ !!
For those of you who wish to help encourage my growth wallet address and TAG is below. Donation via XRP... As always, do not forget the tag and thank you for all your support in this journey!
Wallet address
rw2ciyaNshpHe7bCHo4bRWq6pqqynnWKQg
XRP Tag
636515678
BTC.D And ETHBTC Triangles Are Supportive For BITCOIN!Hello traders!
Today we will talk about Bitcoin and its dominance!
Well, as you know BTC Dominance is in the sharp rise and looking at the current wave structure, it doesn't look like it's already topped yet!
A potential continuation triangle formation can be also seen in the ETHBTC chart, which means that BTC is still leading!
So, in our opinion, based on many more evidences we shared with our members, we believe that BTCUSD should be supportive here and it could easily remain in uptrend, ideally within a big bullish triangle pattern.
That being said, as long as BTCUSD is trading above strong 9500 support level, we think that there's room for more upside, so don't fall in love with bears just yet!
Be humble and trade smart!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Position 000008 Has Been Closed With 26.56% ProfitSince march 2018, 9 positions have been closed, all 9 positions have been closed with profits.
9 WIN - 0 LOSS
DISCLAIMER:
I'm not a certified financial planner/advisor nor a certified financial analyst nor an economist. I'm not a finance professional through formal education. Trading is just one of my hobbies!
The Trading Signal of my Crypto Trading System is not a financial advice, there is no guarantee that you will make profit from my Trading Signals. Crypto trading is very risky, so don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
ETH/BTC At Crucial Support: Huge Downside Potential!Hello dear ETH traders, hope you're doing well guys! ;) ETH/USD saw a nice breakout out of the wedge, but in the direct correlation to grandpa Bitcoin we're hugely descending & right now at a crucial support. If the bulls cannot bounce off from here, we have huge downside potential.
If you had some value from my analysis, give it a thumbs-up & comment it, because the mechanism shows my analysis to other people then. Make also sure to follow me so you get notified on my Crypto Analyses! I wish you a good trading! :)
Edgy is providing online mentorship & trading metrics only. We are not a financial advisor, nor do we hold any formal qualifications in this area. You're trading at your own risk. No matter what you do, please set your stop loss. Please be aware, that you can lose all your money on the online exchanges.
Basics of Trading with EMAs using Multi Timeframes MTF ExplainedThe Basics of Trading with EMAs using Multi Timeframes MTF Explained
To be able to trade successfully you need to understand how timeframes influence price movements.
Here I'm using the Litecoin D1 chart to illustrate.
On a chart you can see 3 sets of EMAs from different timeframes with crosses marked by dots: 12 (aqua), 26 (purple), 50 (red), 200 (blue)
D1, W1, Monthly EMAs use thin, medium, and thick lines respectively.
Note: W1 and Monthly don't have EMAs 50 and 200 because there's not enough history, so there are less lines to watch
There are also 2 indicators: Historical Volatility and EMA Cross MTF Grid
The following relation between EMAs is timeframe specific:
- D1 EMA50 is roughly EMA12 of the W1 higher timeframe
- D1 EMA200 is almost exactly EMA26 of the W1 higher timeframe, but not quite
you can use such EMA approximations to avoid switching timeframes, for example, H1 EMA200 = H4 EMA50 or you can use my Multi SMA EMA MTF indicator.
Choose timeframes wisely: M15, H1, H4, D1, W1, Mo
Some people also use 195 min, 2H, 3H, 6H, 12H, 2D, 3D, 3Mo to watch how price propagates in between.
General Ideas of EMA Trading:
1) Make sure you're in a trend on the current and higher timeframe.
You will be more confident to set higher price targets when both timeframes are going in the same direction, and lower targets when the higher timeframe is in the opposite direction in correction.
When in sideways market:
- no trade high risk zone
- not every EMA cross up means an up trend. you can have a sideways market with multiple crosses negating each other (Litecoin Feb-Mar 2017). EMAs won't help you there.
- this is especially true for faster EMAs: 12,26. But on a Daily/Weekly even a faster EMA becomes relatively slow and therefore more reliable because a lot of effort goes into a single candle.
- use a series of multiple EMA crosses on cur/higher timeframes and EMA slopes to confirm the start of a move in a specific direction
- use Super Guppy/SuperTrend/PVT trend indicators to gauge trend
- use a series of higher highs/higher lows, 5 waves up etc - basic methods to establish that price is trending
- wait for a clear breakout with volume confirmation with 1-2 higher tf bar closes above R level, retest and follow through
- look at historical volatility, buy low (blue), sell high (red)
- use oscillators
- switch/trade higher timeframes that are in a trend
- switch/trade another asset
Keep In mind:
- Trading the trend on higher tfs (D1, H4) is simpler than on lower tfs with lots of noise and indecision, you have less everything: less noise, less outcomes, less lines to watch.
- Sideways trading/Scalping in general is not worth the time/effort - you will most likely lose your money to bots. This is high risk trading that only applies to small positions and requires attention, precision and lots of skill to be profitable.
- Trading large positions and portfolios requires higher liquidity and hedging and can be done using options or margin trading with 2 open positions in opposite directions on several exchanges.
Use margin/short only when you know what you're doing.
Always calculate R/R and fees. You can lose money on fees even when the trade was profitable.
if you trade low liquidity coins for pennies expect flash crashes with huge wicks and stop order execution only at the bottom - use stop limit instead.
Last, but not least: you don't want to become the market. If you buy up the whole asset - the price will go down, as there will be no more buyers (Oil, US History)
2) When in an up trend (Reverse is true for down trend)
You can observe the following price behavior on the chart:
- price is above EMA12 - up trend, likely to bounce at EMA12
=> aggressive: buy the dips with a stop loss
- price is below EMA12, above EMA26 - likely to bounce at EMA26 or next supporting EMA: EMA50 or EMA12 of the higher timeframe
=> conservative: buy the dips with a stop loss
- EMA12,26 cross down - correction/sideways/reversal - start of down trend => exit longs and/or short with a stop loss after the cross or on retest of EMA12
=> expect a sell off and possible retest of the closest EMA12,26,50 with further sell off
=> price tends to go all the way to EMA200, but can be stopped by the next supporting EMA50 or EMA12,26 of the higher timeframe in the same direction
- price is below EMA200 - correction/reversal that can propagate to/cause a correction/reversal on a higher timeframe
=> look for a series of EMA crosses/slopes in the direction of a new trend on both cur/higher timeframes
- further 2x2 crosses down EMA12,26 x EMA50,200 - additional confirmation of the trend change
=> expect a sell off and possible retest of EMA50,200 with further sell off
- further 2x2 crosses down EMA12,26 x EMA12,26 of the higher timeframe - additional confirmation of the trend change
=> expect a sell off and possible retest of the closest EMA50 or EMA12,26 of the higher timeframe with further sell off
- when both cur/higher timeframes have the same direction, expect a bounce at the first touch of the EMA12,26 of the higher timeframe with a move higher
as sloping of EMA12,26 of the higher timeframe starts to decline expect lower bounces/sideways
the price will only break down when the sloping of the higher timeframe changes to down. Even if price breaks before that it will likely be bought up immediately with a huge wick
- when cur/higher timeframes have opposite directions, expect a rejection at the first touch of the EMA12,26 of the higher timeframe, price won't reach EMA200
as sloping of EMA12,26 of the higher timeframe starts to rise expect lower dips/sideways
the price will only break up when the sloping of the higher timeframe changes to up. Even if price breaks sooner it will likely to be sold into immediately
- you can gauge trend direction using sloping of W1 and Monthly high timeframes pretty reliably even without a cross because a lot of time/effort goes into changing it.
entries:
- on a EMA12x26 cross up or after on retest of EMA12
- on a 2nd EMA12x26 cross up after the price dips below and bounces at EMA26 to regain EMA12 support
- after a change of slope up/cross up on a higher timeframe
- on low volatility (blue, zero) - open position in the direction of a trend.
If both cur/higher tf trends are up - long, down - short.
If they have opposite direction use the direction of the cur tf trend and lower targets.
exits:
- agressive exit when EMA12 changes slope to flat/starts declining
- conservative exit on EMA12,26 cross down
- at a major resistance/EMA above: EMA200 or first touch of EMA12 of the higher timeframe
- on high volatility (red)
Notes:
- you don't need EMA50, EMAs 12,26 and EMA200 will be enough, but you can use EMA50,200 golden crosses for additional confirmations
- Monthly EMA12 has just slightly dipped below Monthly EMA26, stayed there for 2 months and broke back up - that's how we averted the 2019 crisis. Bottom's in
- Timeframes on EMA Cross MTF Grid are from top to bottom: Mo, W1, D1, H4, H1. As you can see, Monthly, W1, D1 are smooth green while H4 and H1 are choppy and filled with crosses/noise.
- EMA Cross MTF Grid crosses are lagging 1 bar, Crosses on EMA curves are also lagging due to smoothing enabled
___________________________________________________________
All EMAs are fanning up with corresponding EMA sets above each other - W1 EMA26 is crossing Monthly EMA12 => up trends on all H1,H4,D1,W1,Mo timeframes
Based on all this you can expect for Litecoin:
1. up trend for coming weeks with quick dips to D1 EMA12 (128) or EMA26 (119) that will be bought up immediately
Only after EMA12,26 cross down in a couple of weeks (EMA targets will move higher):
2. a larger drop to W1 EMA12 (105) which is already above the major 100 horizontal support - that will be bought up on the first pass
(after the first cross the price will likely regain support of EMA12, cross back up and go higher)
3. on a major correction at some point a further drop to Mo EMA12 (81) that will again be bought up on the first pass
4. on W1 EMA12 slope change to down - a final drop to EMA200 (77) or possibly below (stop loss wick hunt) that will again be bought up on the first pass
5. a theoretical max possible drop to Mo EMA26 (72) - in a couple of months
Simple Bollinger Band Oscillator- Algorithmic tradingFollowing Multiple requests from the community to Publish most popular trading strategies along with their backtest results. I have a listed down some popular strategies from the web and we would be posting regarding the methodology and related parameters used. This is not financial advice and we won't suggest you invest in any strategies without doing your own research.
About the strategy:
Simple Bollinger band oscillators are a technical analysis tool, specifically, they are a type of trading band or envelope. Trading bands and envelopes serve the same purpose, they provide relative definitions of high and low that can be used to create rigorous trading approaches, in the pattern. recognition, and for much more.
This strategy is pretty much straight forward and uses Bollinger upper and lower bands along with the current price.
Buy :
When close price crosses up the lower band of Bollinger.
CROSSOVER( Price , BBT(CLOSE, 25, 2, EXPONENTIAL))
Image: imgur.com
Sell :
When close price crosses down the upper band of Bollinger.
CROSSOVER( BBB(CLOSE, 25, 2, EXPONENTIAL),Price )
Image: imgur.com
This strategy looks like this: Strategy Builder
Backtest results :
Returns--5.01 %
Market Returns--17.2 %
Start Value-0.05 BTC
Current Value-0.04707 BTC
Profit Factor-0.75
Returns vs Market-12.19 %
Annualized total return--19.08 %
Total Trades-11
Max Drawdown--15.54%
Sharpe Ratio--0.46
You can find the detailed view of the backtest along with the share by following the link
You can optimize the strategy by putting in STOP loss and Take Profits and also by playing with multiple time frames without coding.
Happy Trading!
Ethereum buyers shouldn't worry and here is why!Cryptos have a habit of repeating some patterns over and over again. Ethereum is no different.
I took a closer look to Ethereum's bull market and in particularly 3 fractals which all appear to share a similar candle action to ETH's price volatility from October 2018 to date.
Initial price drop, high volatility (consolidation) with an obvious Resistance and then aggressive rise. The exception is Fractal B which consolidated longer (almost twice as long) making a re-test of the initial drop/ low (even slightly breaking) it, before it broke out. It did however increase much more than then other two (around +4,300% as opposed to Fractal A +1,800% and Fractal C +480%.
Assuming that ETHUSD hit the bear cycle's bottom in December, we can expect it to start rising more aggressively on the short term. If I had to make a pick one Fractal of the three to fulfill this scenario that would be Fractal B as in duration it is much more similar to Bitcoin's expected consolidation phase. In that case we have roughly another 175 days of trading between the cycle's bottom ~80 and current Resistance ~ 185.
Do you think ETH bulls need to worry? Hit me with your estimate in the comments section!!
ETHUSD : Tehncial vs Intuition part 2What lesson can we take from this chart?
1. "Technical analysis not always right" , sometimes we need to follow our feeling too.
If I followed my Mar 18th Idea, my stoploss already hit by now. And if that happen should I blame fibonacci and Doji?
2. We have many great analyst at trading view , all of them work very hard to analyze and post a "briliant idea" . But if one Idea goes wrong,
If my stoploss hit......, that's not fibonacci or doji fault. I also cannot blame chart or analyst , coz the final decission is on my fingertips. I am the decission maker at my own trade .
Dont forget to hit "Like"
Mar 18th Analysis
Mar 21th Analysis
Mar 22th Analysis
TOP5 Alts Trends and PatternsFollowing the same idea previously shared (using the Total Market Cap) I'm also keeping a closer eye on this TOP5 (excluding BTC). The broadening wedge isn’t perfect nevertheless the resistance is now being tested and it may be a good idea to see how this will play out.
The Total Market Cap already broke some of the identified resistances but nothing is a straight line. Considering this, we should expect more volatility in the next days/weeks but as far as each resistance turns into a support we will keep pushing higher.
As we can see on this chart we may also break this downtrend soon and if we do, everything can start to be a bit crazier… in that case stay cautious and don’t FOMO in. More opportunities will come to buy cheaper (but maybe not below the lower low, we will see).
TOP 10 Strong Altcoins 4 LongTerm Bullish Potential @alanmastersGood Day & Life!
My fellow cryptocurrency lover, I would like to share a trade idea today with a completely different format, so this is something that is requested from me on a daily basis, so here you have it by popular requests.
Today I will be sharing a list of TOP Altcoins that are STRONG for LONG TERM holding and at the same time have good BULLISH potential.
So the key words here are TOP, STRONG, LONG TERM and BULLISH... This is what we will be looking at from major to minor altcoins.
I am hoping that you enjoy this post... Feel free to hit like if you want to now, to show your continued support.
Before we get started I need your help!
I am going to be writing a series of TOP 10 articles mentioning different categories of altcoins to consider for the top 10 list but we have many, many options, there are thousands of different altcoins... Here is where/how I need your help.
I need you to leave a comment choosing which of the following category you best prefer to read about next, as well as share your own variation for me to consider for the next post:
(1) TOP 10 Altcoins for Short Term Profits
(2) TOP 10 Altcoins with Highest Profits Potential
(3) TOP 10 Altcoins with Best Products
(4) TOP 10 Most Popular Altcoins (your choice)
(5) TOP 10 Altcoins with The Biggest Gains
So pick one, or multiple choices, and add your own to the bottom of the list. You can leave a comment and I will share next the list that gets more requests...
Remember to mention your favorite altcoins or the one you want me to look at in case #4 wins.
Now... Let's get started!
Thanks a lot for the support.
TOP 10 Strong Altcoins for Long Term Bullish Potential
Binance Coin (BNB)
I believe Binance Coin (BNB) to be one of the strongest altcoins which you can buy and hold for long term growth, stability and profits potential.
Binance is the biggest cryptocurrency exchange by volume and lists some of the best altcoins in the market for us to trade.
Binance implemented credit card purchase to buy cryptocurrency and its own altcoin, BNB, can be used to pay trading fees.
Here is the quick conclusion, the more the cryptocurrency space grows the bigger and better that Binance Coin becomes. And since the market is really young, this altcoin has the potential to keep on growing more and more.
Trade ideas:
BNBUSDT
BNBBTC
Ethereum (ETH)
We continue with Ethereum (ETH), which is a " decentralized platform that runs smart contracts: applications that run exactly as programmed without any possibility of downtime, censorship, fraud or third-party interference."
Ethereum is the second biggest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, second only to Bitcoin.
Ethereum has its own "reality" in the crypto space and most exchanges offer trading against ETH.
This is a very strong project with huge long term bullish potential.
When you look at the long term chart, ETHUSD is basically at its bottom:
Let's continue.
Litecoin (LTC)
Litecoin is the first Bitcoin copycat and has established a reputation as being a very stable altcoin project.
Chart:
Even though my charts are showing profits potential compared to all-time highs, altcoins can create new highs just as they can create new lows.
A new all-high can push the price of any altcoin project dozens of times higher than the last high. All that is needed is a bull run.
Cardano (ADA)
Cardano is one of the best and most trusted projects out there and it is already being used in different types of commercial establishments in Asia (Korea).
The last bull run back in late 2017/early 2018 pushed ADABTC to generate over 3,000% profits. With these altcoins projects being the ' companies of the future ', the potential here is hundreds of times of what we are seeing now.
Here is the chart:
Cardano is a great altcoin which is strong and can be held long term.
Siacoin (SC)
Now, we looked at big market cap and famous altcoins, here we will be looking at two smaller but older ones.
Siacoin (SC) is a project that has a real working product (file/cloud storage) and has been around for long. It is said that Satoshi Nakamoto, one of Bitcoin creators, lend his support to this project.
And old gem, Siacoin is massively stable and has lots of potential for future growth.
Right now sitting at very low prices, this is an altcoin that can grow 5-10X easily within this year, and up to 50X by the next cryptocurrency market bull run... Wait, wait... I know, this is huge, but this is how the amazing/crazy cryptocurrency market works.
DigiByte (DGB)
DigiByte is another old gem and I am sharing it here simply because of its long term potential and stability as an altcoin project.
DGB held its value better than most of the altcoins available throughout the bear market.
Chart:
BitTorrent (BTT)
From old to new, BitTorrent needs no introduction. BitTorrent is a file sharing system that now has its own altcoin which can be used to monetize content and traffic while sharing online.
This project is linked to TRON (TRX) and has huge massive growth and long term potential.
Here you can find our BitTorrent trade, this is for the medium term, long term potential is much, much higher:
Basic Attention Token (BAT)
This is a favorite for my friend and developer and for good reason. BAT has its own browser which can be used to monetize traffic on any website... The method of payment? BAT of course.
This project comes from the creators of Mozilla and is a must-have for any cryptocurrency lover.
Ripio Credit Network (RCN)
One simple feature got RCN into this list, which is the Ripio Credit Network New dApp.
Basically, Ripio Credit Network has a dApp now where you can loan them money and they give you a % back in 30 days with Ripio backing all the loans. This gives out a varied return, monthly/yearly, for RCN that you would be holding anyways if you are into crypto. At the same time this feature can promote long term slow steady growth for this altcoin.
This feature is active now and can be found here: rcn.loans
RCN has huge growth potential that can go beyond ATH long term:
Bitcoin (BTC)
Needless to say, BITCOIN IS THE NAME OF THE GAME.
BITCOIN IS THE BEST!
You can always buy and hold Bitcoin long term as this is the best cryptocurrency of all.
Namaste.
Conclusion
Here we have a mixed list of altcoins, I tried to put in new projects, old projects, known projects, not so known, with good profits, etc. Variety, so there is a little bit for each and every one of us.
Which TOP 10 Altcoins you want me to write about next?
Remember to hit like and leave a comment with the altcoins that you believe are best.
This is Alan Masters.
Thanks a lot for reading.
Namaste.