A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis MethodHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post).
Let's get started!
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
First, we can see that the bottom formed in March 2025 is likely a Wave ((4)) in Black as a bottom, marked as such on the chart. From there, Wave 5 should move upwards. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that price gone up in five sub-divisions of Wave (1) in Blue of Wave ((5)) in Black have completed, marked as Red 1-2-3-4-5, that means blue intermediate Wave (1) has ended, and Wave (2) has begun, which is unfolded in corrective nature marked as WXY in Red of Wave (2) in Blue.
According to the wave principle, Wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of Wave (1), which started from the 419.65 bottom. Therefore, 419.65 becomes our invalidation level. If the price moves below this level, it would invalidate our Wave (2) principle.
Assuming our wave counts are correct, the upward movement is in the five sub-divisions, and the downward movement is in the three sub-divisions. Definitely, the conviction is increasing that we have correctly identified Waves (1) and (2). Shown in chart image below
Tweezers at Bottom
Now, we can see that Wave 2 has retraced more than 70% and has formed a Tweezer candlestick pattern at the bottom. A bearish candle was followed by a bullish candle, both with a Tweezer-like shape, with the second candle being green. This could indicate a potential reversal. Moreover, the latest candle has also taken out the high of the previous two candles, showing follow-through. The price has also shown follow-through on the upside after that. So, this can be considered as the first sign that Wave 2 might be ending, marked by a significant Tweezer pattern at the bottom with a follow-through candle. Shown in chart image below
Significant Breakout Pending Yet
Secondly, from the top where Wave 1 ended, we've been considering the decline from around 560.50 as a resistance. We drew a resistance trend line, and if the price breaks out above it, we can say that the resistance trend line has been broken, indicating a breakout above the last fall's trend line, Which is not Broken yet. Shown in chart image below
Dow Theory
The Dow Theory states that when the price moves up, it forms a Higher High, Higher Low pattern, and when it moves down, it forms a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. Somehow, the Dow Theory also needs to change, as the last swing was forming a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The last swing high was at 479, which we marked with a green arrow. If the price crosses above it, we can say that the price is now forming a Higher High pattern. This indicates that the Dow Theory is changing from a falling trend to a rising trend. Shown in chart image below
Stop Loss
Once the Dow Theory also changes, we can use the last swing low at 446.15 as our stop loss. However, this stop loss will only be valid after the Dow Theory changes; otherwise, the invalidation level will remain at 419. Shown in chart image below
Projected Target of Wave (3)
So, friends, we've applied the Elliott Wave principle, and there's been a significant retracement, all within the valid range, without violating any rules or triggering invalidation. There's limited room left on the downside, and then we have the Tweezer candlestick pattern, which is a significant sign. We're expecting a reversal from there, and the price has followed up with an upward move.
What's left now is the breakout above the resistance trend line and a change in the Dow Theory. Once these two conditions are confirmed, all parameters will match, and we can add a position to our portfolio using the last swing low as our stop loss, instead of the invalidation level.
This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses.
We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 161.8% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Fibonacci Retracement
Strategy & Education: Trading with Fibonacci and Order Blocks🔍 Trading Strategy Based on Fibonacci Levels and Order Blocks
This chart showcases three consecutive sell trades I executed on the BTCUSDT pair, each resulting in a profitable outcome. The purpose of this explanation is to demonstrate how Fibonacci retracement levels can be combined with Order Block zones to identify high-probability trade setups.
🧩 The Foundation: Understanding Price Retracement Behavior
The ABC, abc, and (a)(b)(c) structures marked on the chart are not Elliott Waves. Instead, these labels are used to represent simple retracement movements in the market. The focus here is not wave theory, but recognizing how price reacts and pulls back after a move, and how we can benefit from these reactions.
📌 Trade 1: Primary Fibo-OB Confluence
I drew a Fibonacci retracement from the A wave to the B wave.
The price then retraced to the C area, landing between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, where an Order Block (OB) was also present.
This overlap created a strong technical and structural resistance zone.
I entered the first sell trade from this confluence.
📌 Trade 2: Internal Retracement and OB Alignment
Inside the first corrective move, a smaller abc pattern formed.
I applied Fibonacci again from small a to small b.
The c leg reached the same key Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.786) and overlapped with a second OB.
This confluence offered a second sell entry.
📌 Trade 3: Micro Structure – Same Logic Reapplied
I repeated the exact same logic one more time on a micro (a)(b)(c) structure.
Fibonacci from (a) to (b), price touched 0.618–0.786, coinciding again with an OB.
This became the third and final sell position.
🧠 The Logic Behind the Strategy:
Price doesn’t move in straight lines—it flows in waves. During pullbacks, if Fibonacci levels align with Order Block zones, the market tends to react strongly. My focus here was to identify these areas of confluence in advance and enter trades at high-probability turning points.
Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫
Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation.
But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor?
🧠 A Quick Historical Detour
Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21...
When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include:
0.618 (the “golden ratio”)
1.618
2.618, and so on.
While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move.
📊 Fibonacci Extensions
To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points:
The Start of a Trend (Point A)
The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B)
A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C)
This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues.
Common Extension Levels Include:
1.272
1.618 (golden ratio)
2.0
2.618
Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react.
🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly
It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes.
The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle.
Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash)
to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak)
From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph.
🔍 Why This Matters
Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market:
Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5
Panic at 0.618
Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown
And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025
This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis.
⚖️ Final Thought
Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative.
And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
The Golden Code: Unlocking the Markets with Fibonacci Sequence “Mathematics is the language in which God has written the universe.” – Galileo Galilei
If this is true, then the Fibonacci sequence is the poetry of that language, especially in trading.
📚 What is Fibonacci? Why Should Traders Care?
Fibonacci is more than just a sequence of numbers — it’s a universal law of growth and proportion. From galaxies to sunflowers, and now to the charts on your TradingView screen, Fibonacci is everywhere.
In trading, Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential reversal zones, where price is likely to bounce or stall, making it one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal.
But few truly understand its depth, and fewer still use it intelligently.
Let’s dive into the power of the Fibonacci sequence, how it influences retracements, and how you can use it to your trading advantage, whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or position trader.
🧠 The Fibonacci Sequence: Where It All Begins
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, ...
Some Math somebody? Take your seats and calculators away! 😂😂
📉 Fibonacci Retracement Levels & How They're Calculated
These levels are percentages based on relationships between Fibonacci numbers.
✅ 0.236 (23.6%)
Divide a number by the one three places ahead:
Example: 13 ÷ 55 = 0.236
Another: 21 ÷ 89 = 0.236
✅ 0.382 (38.2%)
Divide a number by the one two places ahead:
Example: 21 ÷ 55 = 0.382
Another: 34 ÷ 89 = 0.382
✅ 0.500 (50.0%)
Not directly from Fibonacci, but commonly used due to psychological midpoint in markets.
✅ 0.618 (61.8%) – The Golden Ratio
Divide a number by the next number:
Example: 34 ÷ 55 = 0.618
Another: 55 ÷ 89 = 0.618
This is the famous Golden Ratio, which appears in nature, art, and financial markets.
✅ 0.786 (78.6%)
Derived from the square root of 0.618:
√0.618 = 0.786
📈 Fibonacci Extension Levels & How They're Calculated
Extensions project price targets beyond the retracement.
✅ 1.000 (100%)
A full projection of the original move.
✅ 1.272 (127.2%)
Square root of 1.618:
√1.618 = 1.272
✅ 1.618 (161.8%) – The Golden Extension
Divide a number by the previous one:
Example: 55 ÷ 34 = 1.618
Another: 89 ÷ 55 = 1.618
✅ 2.000 (200%)
A full double of the original move.
✅ 2.618 (261.8%)
1.618 + 1.000 = 2.618
This creates ratios that are found in nature, architecture, music, and, yes, price movements.
🔍 Fibonacci Retracement: Mapping Pullbacks with Precision
When price moves impulsively in one direction, it often retraces a portion of that move before continuing in the same direction.
Fibonacci retracement is used to map this pullback.
Here’s how traders use it:
Identify a clear impulsive move (either bullish or bearish).
Plot the Fibonacci retracement tool from swing low to swing high (for bullish moves), or from swing high to swing low (for bearish moves).
Watch how price reacts around key levels:
38.2% = Shallow pullback
50% = Midpoint (psychological)
61.8% = Golden Zone
78.6% = Deep retracement (but still valid)
🔥 Pro Tip: Most institutional traders love the 61.8% retracement, often placing hidden liquidity and traps around that area.
🔄 Fibonacci Extensions: Predicting Take-Profit Zones
Once price retraces and continues its trend, Fibonacci extensions help identify possible target zones:
Common extension levels:
1.272
1.618 → Golden Target
2.000
2.618
For example:
After a bullish retracement to 61.8%, price often rallies to 1.272 or 1.618 extensions, making these ideal profit-taking zones.
🔄 Real-Life Market Behavior: Fibonacci in Price Action
Let’s take a real example:
🟨 Example: XAU/USD Bearish Retracement
Impulsive rally from $2,832.99 to $2,930.77.
Price pulls back to $2,880 – exactly at the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Followed by a strong continuation to the upside.
Price reach for the 127.20% and beyond to 161.80% Fibonacci extension of the original rally before pausing for some times — textbook Fibonacci behavior.
💡 This isn’t magic. It’s structure, order, and smart money playing on the same field.
🧬 Fibonacci + Confluence = Confirmation
Fibonacci works best when combined with other tools:
Support/Resistance
Order Blocks
Imbalances
Trendlines
Candlestick Patterns
✅ A 61.8% retracement + bullish order block + bullish engulfing = a high-probability long setup.
✅ A 78.6% retracement + unfilled imbalance = possible stop-hunt trap or liquidity grab.
🧠 Fibonacci Psychology: Why It Works
Fibonacci works because it reflects natural human behavior:
Fear and greed create overextensions and pullbacks.
Traders place stops and entries near these key ratios, causing self-fulfilling reactions.
Algorithms and institutional models often base trade entries on Fibonacci confluences.
💥 Common Mistakes Traders Make
❌ Using Fibonacci on every small swing – noise, not signal
❌ Forcing the retracement tool to “fit” your bias
❌ Ignoring higher time frame structure
❌ Using Fibonacci alone without confluence
Remember: Fibonacci is a guide, not a guarantee.
📈 How to Trade with Fibonacci (Step-by-Step)
First, identify market structure (trending or ranging).
Second, mark swing high and swing low.
Third, plot retracement tool accordingly.
Fourth, look for confluence zones:
38.2%, 50%, 61.8%...
Price action signals (e.g., pin bars, engulfing)
Institutional concepts (order blocks, imbalances)
Enter with confirmation, not just based on levels.
Set stop loss below/above structure or 78.6% line.
Target extension levels or previous high/low.
🌀 Fibonacci in Different Trading Styles
Scalpers
Use Fibonacci on 1min–5min timeframes to catch micro pullbacks and entries.
Swing Traders
Use Fib retracements from daily or 4H structure to plot entries and targets.
Position Traders
Use weekly/monthly Fibonacci zones for macro views and long-term targets.
🧠 Final Thoughts: Fibonacci Is Structure, Not Sorcery
The Fibonacci sequence is a map of order in a chaotic world. In trading, it helps bring discipline, clarity, and precision.
It’s not about being right every time, it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor.
🧭 Ready to Master Fibonacci?
If you’ve read this far, drop your thoughts in the comments and share your favorite Fibonacci setup!
Let’s build a community of traders who use mathematics and structure, not hope and guesswork.
Follow for more educational breakdowns, trading insights, and strategy walkthroughs — posted weekly.
Why you should WAIT for trades to come to YOU!In this video, we dive deep into one of the most underrated but powerful habits that separates consistently profitable traders from the rest: waiting for the trade to come to you.
It sounds simple, even obvious. But in reality, most traders—especially newer ones—feel the constant urge to do something. They scan for setups all day, jump in at the first sign of movement, and confuse activity with progress. That mindset usually leads to emotional trading, overtrading, and eventually burnout.
If you've ever felt the pressure to chase price, force trades, or trade just because you're bored… this video is for you.
I’ll walk you through:
1. Why chasing trades destroys your edge—even when the setup “kind of” looks right
2. How waiting allows you to trade from a position of strength, not desperation
3. The psychological shift that happens when you stop trading to feel busy and start trading to feel precise
4. How the pros use waiting as a weapon, not a weakness
The truth is, trading is a game of probabilities and precision. And that means you don’t need 10 trades a day—you need a few good ones a week that truly align with your plan.
Patience doesn’t mean doing nothing, it means doing the right thing at the right time. And when you develop the skill to sit back, trust your process, and wait for price to come to your level… everything changes. Your confidence grows. Your equity curve smooths out. And most importantly, your decision-making gets sharper.
So if you're tired of overtrading, feeling frustrated, or constantly second-guessing your entries—take a breath, slow it down, and start thinking like a sniper instead of a machine gun.
Let the market come to you. That’s where the real edge is.
Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading
In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold.
I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView.
Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels
First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView.
We will need to modify that a bit.
We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels
0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading.
How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly
In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg.
You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high.
1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low.
Best Fibonacci Extension Levels
Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView.
We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels.
1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex.
How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly
Start with correct identification of a price action leg.
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low .
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high.
I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years.
They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool
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There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use.
Since it is my method, it may be different from your method.
-
Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool.
The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range.
Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points.
The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on.
Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles.
If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points.
The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this.
Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added.
I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet.
However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time.
The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to.
In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point.
One question may arise here.
Why is it the position of the 1st finger?
The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave.
Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave.
In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance.
This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis.
However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated.
-
If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave.
Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points.
That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles.
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend
The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend
Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart?
-
The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected.
The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected.
When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous.
Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger.
It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not.
The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes.
Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible.
The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts.
In other words, it is not drawn for trading.
In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Mastering Fibonacci in TradingMastering Fibonacci in Trading
Unlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its applications in trading. Learn how to utilize this powerful tool to find optimal entry and exit points, manage risks, and enhance your trading strategies.
What is Fibonacci?
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The sequence begins as follows:
The sequence is named after the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced it to Western mathematics in his book Liber Abaci in 1202. One of the fascinating properties of this sequence is the ratio between successive numbers, which converges to approximately 1.618—known as the Golden Ratio .
The Golden Ratio and Its Significance
The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in nature, art, architecture, and financial markets. In trading, these ratios, along with derivatives like 0.382 and 0.786, are used to identify potential support and resistance levels.
How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool
Traders and analysts observed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, retracing or extending along these key points. This led to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools, such as:
Fibonacci Retracement : Used to identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks.
Fibonacci Extension : Helps forecast profit-taking levels during trends.
Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones : Advanced tools for multi-dimensional analysis.
Using Fibonacci in Trading
Step 1: Identifying the Swing High and Swing Low
Select a clear price movement, either an uptrend or a downtrend, and mark the highest point (swing high) and lowest point (swing low).
Step 2: Applying Fibonacci Retracement
Using the Fibonacci tool on platforms like TradingView, draw from the swing low to the swing high (for uptrends) or from the swing high to the swing low (for downtrends). Key levels to monitor are:
0.236 (23.6%)
0.382 (38.2%)
0.5 (50%)
0.618 (61.8%)
0.786 (78.6%)
These levels often act as support or resistance zones.
ICT Optimal Trade Entry Zone
Fibonacci retracement levels have been widely used by traders, from traditional to Smart Money concepts. While technical analysis has evolved, traditional tools like Fibonacci retracement levels still hold their relevance. A modern adaptation of this is the ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) concept.
The Fibonacci level range from 62% (0.618) to 79% (0.786) is known as the Optimal Trade Entry Zone . This zone is critical for identifying high-probability reversal points during retracements.
Bullish Setup : In an uptrend, the OTE zone provides a favorable entry point when the price pulls back to this area, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Bearish Setup : In a downtrend, the OTE zone serves as a resistance area where the price is likely to reverse and continue its downward trajectory.
The Golden Pocket
The zone between the 0.618 and 0.650 levels is also referred to as the "Golden Pocket," emphasizing its importance as a high-probability area for price reversals or trend continuation.
Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools
Fibonacci works best when combined with other technical analysis tools:
Candlestick Patterns : Confirmation signals for reversals or continuations.
Trendlines : Validate key Fibonacci levels.
Volume Analysis : Assess the strength of price movements near Fibonacci levels.
ICT Strategies : Use concepts like mitigation blocks or liquidity voids to refine entry points in the OTE zone.
Practical Applications
Scalping: Use Fibonacci on shorter timeframes to identify intraday opportunities.
Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades.
Long-Term Investing: Employ Fibonacci on weekly or monthly charts to identify major turning points.
Conclusion
Fibonacci tools are essential for any trader looking to enhance their market analysis. By mastering these tools, including the ICT Optimal Trade Entry concept, you can:
Identify optimal entry and exit points.
Manage risks more effectively.
Gain deeper insights into market behavior.
Start experimenting with Fibonacci today on TradingView and discover how it can transform your trading strategy!
Understanding Fibonacci Retracementtool fans will like this one XD
Fibonacci Retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels. Based on the Fibonacci sequence, this tool helps traders predict price pullbacks and continuation levels in trending markets.
What is Fibonacci Retracement?
Fibonacci Retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.). Key ratios from this sequence, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%, are used to indicate potential price reversal or continuation zones.
How to Use Fibonacci Retracement
1.Identify a Trend:
- In an uptrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to the swing high.
- In a downtrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the swing low.
2. Key Levels:
-23.6%: Represents shallow pullbacks; usually seen in strong trends.
-38.2% and 50%: Common retracement levels where price often consolidates or reverses.
-61.8%: Known as the "golden ratio," a significant level for potential reversals.
-100%: Indicates a full retracement of the trend.
3. Support and Resistance Zones:
- Price may bounce or consolidate near these Fibonacci levels, acting as dynamic support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend.
How to Interpret Fibonacci Retracement Levels
-Reversal Zones:
- If the price retraces to a Fibonacci level and then resumes the trend, it confirms the level as significant.
- **Breakouts:**
- A break above or below a Fibonacci level may signal continuation in the direction of the breakout.
Strengths of Fibonacci Retracement
-Simple to Use:Visual and straightforward for identifying support and resistance levels.
-Widely Applicable:Works across various markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes.
-Combines with Other Tools:Enhances the effectiveness of indicators like RSI, MACD, and trendlines.
Limitations of Fibonacci Retracement
-Subjectivity:The placement of swing highs and lows can vary among traders, leading to different retracement levels.
-Lagging Nature:Like most technical tools, Fibonacci Retracement relies on past price action and doesn’t predict future movement.
-False Signals:Not all retracement levels lead to reversals, especially in volatile or news-driven markets.
Best Practices for Using Fibonacci Retracement
1.Combine with Other Indicators:
- Use with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) or candlestick patterns for stronger confirmation.
- Pair with trendlines or moving averages to validate Fibonacci levels.
2.Use Multiple Timeframes:
- Analyze Fibonacci levels on higher timeframes for broader trends and lower timeframes for precise entries and exits.
3.Set Realistic Expectations:
- Don’t rely solely on Fibonacci levels for decision-making. Use them as part of a broader strategy.
Example of Fibonacci Retracement in Action
Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) last uptrend movement which I'm showing here, and the price moves from $67,000 to $106,000. After reaching $106,000, the price begins to pull back. By applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool from $67,000 (swing low) to $106,000 (swing high), you can identify key levels at $97,000(23.6%), $91,300 (38.2%), $86,700(50%), and $82,100 (61.8%). If the price retraces to $ 91,300 and bounces upward, this confirms the 38.2% level as strong support. (Green line)
(shown on the chart)
Conclusion
Fibonacci Retracement is a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential price reversal zones and continuation points. While it’s easy to use, its accuracy improves when combined with other technical indicators and a thorough understanding of market conditions. Practice drawing Fibonacci levels on historical charts to develop confidence and refine your trading strategy.
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How Can You Use a Break and Retest Strategy in Trading?How Can You Use a Break and Retest Strategy in Trading?
Trading strategies help traders navigate the financial markets with greater confidence. One such approach is the break and retest strategy, which focuses on key support and resistance levels. This article explores the break and retest strategy in detail, providing insights and practical examples to help traders apply it in their trading activities.
Understanding the Break and Retest Strategy
The break and retest strategy is popular among traders who aim to capitalise on clear market movements. At its core, this strategy revolves around identifying key support and resistance levels on a price chart.
Here’s how it works: When the price breaks through a support or resistance level, it signals a potential shift in market sentiment. For example, if a stock breaks above a resistance level, it suggests increasing buying interest. Traders then watch for the price to return to this newly broken level—known as a retest in trading. During the retest, the former resistance now acts as support, providing a potentially more attractive entry point for traders looking to join the trend.
This strategy aligns well with trending markets, where prices move consistently in one direction. It allows traders to take advantage of momentum while managing their entries potentially more effectively.
The Mechanics of Break and Retest Trading
Implementing the break and retest strategy involves a clear sequence of steps that traders follow to identify and act on potential market moves. Here’s a breakdown of how this strategy typically operates:
1. Identifying Key Levels
Traders begin by pinpointing significant support and resistance levels on their charts. Accurate identification is crucial, as these levels form the foundation of the strategy.
2. Monitoring for a Breakout
Once the key levels are established, traders watch for the price to break through one of these barriers, in line with a broader trend. A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively above resistance or below support, often accompanied by increased trading volume. This surge in volume indicates stronger market interest and can validate the breakout’s legitimacy.
3. Waiting for the Retest
After the breakout, the price typically retraces to test the broken level. For instance, if the price breaks above a resistance level, it may pull back to that same level, which now acts as support. This retest phase is critical as it offers a second confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
4. Confirming the Retest
During the retest, traders look for confirmation signals to ensure the breakout is genuine. These signals can include specific candlestick patterns, such as pin bars or engulfing candles, and continued high trading volume. Successful confirmation suggests that the new support or resistance level will hold, increasing the likelihood of a sustained trend.
5. Entering the Trade
With confirmation in place, traders often enter the market, aiming to ride the new trend. They may set stop-loss orders slightly below the new support (in the case of a breakout to the upside) or the new resistance (in case of a breakout to the downside) to manage potential risks.
6. Managing the Trade
Effective trade management involves setting target levels based on previous price action and adjusting stop-loss orders as the trade progresses. This helps to lock in potential returns and potentially protect against unexpected market reversals.
Break and Retest Example Strategy
Consider this EURUSD 15-minute chart, which displays a clear bearish trend. This trend is highlighted by the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sloping downward, with the price generally staying below it. Recently, the price broke below a key support level on higher-than-average volume, signalling a potential opportunity for traders to apply the break and retest strategy.
In this scenario, there are two support levels to monitor. The first is a more significant support level. Trading at this level can allow traders to enter the market quickly, though it comes with a less favourable risk-reward ratio.
The second support level is found within the recent brief retracement. This level offers a better risk-reward ratio, but there's a chance the price may not retrace deeply enough, potentially causing traders to miss the trade.
The entry point is identified by a candle with a wick longer than its body (a pin-bar on the 30m chart), indicating rejection of higher prices as the market retests the second broken support level. Once this candle closes, traders can enter a market order.
Stop losses would typically be placed either above the last major swing high or above the 50-period EMA, depending on individual risk tolerance. Take-profit targets could be set at a 1:3 risk-reward ratio or at the next significant support level, where a price reversal may be anticipated.
Improving the Break and Retest Strategy
Enhancing the break and retest strategy involves integrating additional tools and techniques to refine trade decisions. Here are several methods to consider:
1. Incorporating Additional Indicators
Using break and retest indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can provide valuable insights. For instance, an RSI crossing below 70 during a bearish breakout may indicate weakening momentum, supporting the retest. Similarly, the MACD crossing above its signal line or the MACD histogram rising above 0 can confirm the uptrend’s strength, aiding in more precise entry points.
Explore these indicators and more than 1,200+ trading tools in FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform.
2. Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Examining charts across different timeframes helps in gaining a broader market perspective. A breakout observed on a 4-hour chart gains additional confirmation when a strong trend is also visible on a daily chart. This alignment across timeframes increases the reliability of the trade setup.
3. Utilising Fibonacci Retracements
After a breakout, prices often retrace deeper into the previous high-low range—not always to the most extreme point. Applying Fibonacci retracements to the high/low of the breakout (high in a bearish breakout and low in a bullish scenario) and the new low or high can help identify optimal retest points, particularly at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels. These levels typically offer better risk-reward ratios compared to the extreme points.
4. Incorporating Fundamental Analysis
Supporting technical breakouts with fundamental factors, such as economic reports or news events, strengthens the strategy. For example, a breakout aligned with positive economic data may have a higher probability of sustaining the new trend, providing traders with greater confidence in their decisions.
Advantages of the Break and Retest Strategy
The break and retest strategy offers several advantages that can enhance a trader’s approach to the markets:
- Increased Confidence through Confirmation: The retest serves as an additional validation of the breakout, boosting trader confidence in their entry decision and reducing hesitation.
- Better Risk Management: Setting stop-loss orders based on the retest level provides a clear risk boundary. This structured approach aids in potentially managing losses.
- Alignment with Market Trends: This strategy naturally aligns trades with the prevailing market trend. By trading in the direction of the breakout, traders can take advantage of sustained movements.
- Versatility Across Markets: The breakout and retest strategy can be applied to various financial instruments, including forex, stocks, and commodities. Its adaptability makes it a valuable tool in diverse trading environments.
- Scalability and Flexibility: This strategy can be adapted to different timeframes and trading styles, making it suitable for both short-term and long-term traders seeking to implement a consistent approach.
Potential Challenges and Considerations
While the break and retest strategy can be a powerful tool, traders may face several challenges when implementing it:
- False Breakouts: Not every breakout leads to a sustained trend. Sometimes, the price moves beyond a support or resistance level only to reverse shortly after. Recognising these false signals is crucial to avoid entering trades that may quickly turn against expectations.
- Market Conditions: According to theory, this strategy performs best in trending markets. In sideways or highly volatile environments, breakouts can be less reliable, making it harder to distinguish genuine opportunities from random price movements.
- Timing the Retest: Accurately determining when the price will retest the broken level can be challenging. Entering too early may expose traders to unnecessary risk, while waiting too long might result in missed opportunities if the retest doesn't occur as anticipated.
- Reliance on Confirmation Signals: While additional indicators like RSI or MACD can enhance the strategy, over-reliance on these tools can complicate decision-making. Traders need to balance multiple signals without becoming overwhelmed or confused.
- Emotional Discipline: Maintaining discipline during retests is essential. Traders might feel pressured to act quickly if the market moves unexpectedly, leading to impulsive decisions that deviate from their trading plan.
The Bottom Line
The break and retest strategy offers a structured approach to navigating market movements, combining precise entry points with effective risk management. By understanding and applying this method, traders can potentially enhance their trading decisions and align with prevailing trends. To put this strategy into practice across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and gain access to four advanced trading platforms, low trading costs, and rapid execution speeds.
FAQ
What Is a Retest in Trading?
A retest occurs when the price returns to a broken support or resistance level after an initial breakout. It serves to confirm the strength of the breakout, helping traders decide whether the new trend will continue or if the breakout was false.
What Is the Break and Retest Strategy?
The break and retest strategy involves identifying a breakout of a key support or resistance level and then waiting for the price to return to that level. Traders use this retest as a confirmation to enter the market, aiming to follow the new trend with reduced risk.
What Is the Win Rate of the Break and Retest Strategy?
The win rate of the break and retest strategy varies depending on market conditions and how the strategy is applied. Consistent application and effective risk management are crucial for achieving better results.
How Many Times Should I Backtest My Strategy?
Backtesting should be done extensively across different market conditions and timeframes. According to theory, traders need to test a strategy on at least 100 trades to ensure its reliability and to understand how it performs in various scenarios.
Does the Market Always Retest?
No, the market does not always retest broken levels. While retests are common, they are not guaranteed. Traders should use additional confirmation signals and be prepared for both possibilities when applying the break and retest strategy.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use ThemWhat Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use Them in Trading?
Leading indicators are essential tools for traders aiming to analyse market movements. This article explains what leading indicators are, how they work, and their practical application across different asset classes. Read on to discover how tools like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, On-balance Volume, and Fibonacci retracements can enhance your trading strategy.
What Are Leading Technical Indicators?
Technical indicators are divided into leading and lagging. Leading indicators in trading are tools used to identify potential price movements before they occur. Lagging indicators confirm trends after they begin, helping traders validate price movements. The difference between leading and lagging indicators is that leading indicators aim to give traders an edge by signalling when a new trend or reversal might be on the horizon while lagging indicators confirm trends after they've developed.
Leading trading indicators work by analysing price data to identify patterns or extremes in buying and selling behaviour. For instance, popular leading indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator measure momentum in a market. These indicators help traders spot overbought or oversold conditions, where RSI tracks recent price movements relative to historical performance, while the Stochastic Oscillator compares a security's closing price to its price range over a set period.
However, it’s important to note that leading indicators can produce false signals, meaning they may suggest a price move that doesn’t materialise. Because of this, traders often combine them with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, or use them alongside lagging indicators to validate the signals they receive.
Types of Leading Indicators in Trading
Leading indicators are divided into various types, each serving a unique role in analysing potential market movements. Three common types include momentum indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators:
- Momentum Indicators: These track the speed or rate of price changes. They are used to assess the strength of a trend and determine potential reversals when the momentum slows. Momentum indicators help traders when an asset is overbought or oversold.
- Oscillators: These indicators fluctuate between fixed values (usually 0 and 100) to reflect the market’s current momentum. They help traders pinpoint potential reversals by highlighting when an asset is overbought or oversold. Oscillators are particularly useful in range-bound markets where price movement is confined within support and resistance levels.
- Volume Indicators: These focus on the amount of trading activity, rather than price movement. By analysing the flow of volume in or out of an asset, traders can gauge the strength behind price movements. Increasing volume in the direction of a trend often confirms its continuation, while the divergence between volume and price can indicate potential reversals.
Below, we’ll take a look at a list of leading indicators. If you’d like to explore these indicators alongside dozens more, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular leading indicators examples. RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps traders evaluate the strength of an asset’s price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder, it measures the speed and change of price actions over a set period—typically 14 candles—on a scale from 0 to 100.
The primary signals RSI produces revolve around overbought and oversold conditions. When the indicator breaks above 70, it suggests that an asset may be overbought, reflecting the potential for a reversal or correction. Conversely, when RSI falls below 30, it signals that an asset may be oversold, which can indicate a potential recovery. These thresholds provide traders with insight into whether the price has moved too far in one direction and is poised for a change.
RSI can also highlight trend reversals through divergence. If the price of an asset continues to rise while the RSI drops, it indicates bearish divergence, signalling potential weakening momentum. On the other hand, bullish divergence occurs when the price falls, but the RSI rises, suggesting that the downward trend may be losing strength.
Another useful RSI signal is when it crosses the 50-level. In an uptrend, RSI remaining above 50 can confirm momentum, while in a downtrend, staying below 50 reinforces bearish sentiment.
However, RSI is not foolproof. During a strong trend, the indicator can signal overbought or oversold for a long while and lead to false signals. This is why it’s often paired with other indicators to confirm signals.
Stochastic Oscillator
The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum-based indicator that assesses the relationship between an asset's closing price and its price range over a specific number of periods, typically 14. It consists of two lines: the %K line, the primary line, and the %D line, which is a moving average of %K, providing smoother signals.
This oscillator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and those below 20 signalling oversold conditions. Traders utilise these signals to determine potential reversals in price. For example, when the oscillator rises above 80 and then drops below it, a potential sell signal is generated. Conversely, when it falls below 20 and climbs back above, it might indicate a buy opportunity.
The Stochastic Oscillator also provides crossover signals, where the %K line crosses above or below the %D line. A bullish crossover occurs when %K rises above %D, indicating that upward momentum may be increasing. A bearish crossover happens when %K falls below %D, suggesting that momentum is shifting downward.
In addition to overbought/oversold and crossovers, the Stochastic Oscillator can identify divergence, which signals potential trend reversals. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the oscillator shows a higher low, indicating a weakening downward momentum. On the other hand, a bearish divergence happens when the price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high, suggesting the uptrend might be losing steam.
While the Stochastic Oscillator can be powerful in range-bound markets, it can be prone to false signals in trending markets.
On-Balance Volume (OBV)
On-Balance Volume (OBV) is an indicator that tracks the flow of trading volume to assess whether buying or selling pressure is dominating the market. It was introduced by Joseph Granville in 1963, and its primary concept is that volume precedes price movements. This makes OBV a useful tool for analysing potential trend reversals. While the absolute value of OBV is not crucial, its direction over time provides insight into the market’s underlying sentiment.
OBV offers several key signals:
- Trend Direction: A rising OBV supports an upward price trend, indicating strong buying pressure, while a falling OBV reflects a downtrend with selling pressure.
- Divergence: Traders use OBV to identify a divergence between price and volume. If the price is making new highs while OBV is falling, it suggests a weakening trend, potentially signalling a reversal. Conversely, rising OBV with falling prices can hint at a potential bullish reversal.
- Breakouts: OBV can also be used to spot potential breakouts. For instance, if OBV rises while prices are range-bound, it may indicate an upcoming upward breakout.
However, like any indicator, OBV has limitations. It can produce false signals in choppy markets and is used alongside other technical tools, such as Moving Averages or support and resistance levels, to improve reliability.
Fibonacci Retracement
Fibonacci retracements are a technical analysis tool that helps traders pinpoint potential support and resistance levels during price fluctuations. The tool is based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers that produce key ratios like 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages represent levels where the price of an asset might retrace before continuing its trend.
Traders apply Fibonacci retracement by selecting two extreme points on a price chart, such as a recent high and low. The tool then plots horizontal lines at the Fibonacci levels, indicating possible areas where the price might pause or reverse. For example, in an uptrend, a price pullback to the 38.2% level could signal a buying opportunity if the trend is likely to resume.
Fibonacci retracements are often used in conjunction with other indicators, such as the MACD or RSI, to confirm signals and enhance reliability. While they provide valuable insight into potential turning points, it's crucial to remember that these levels aren't guarantees—prices may not always behave as expected at these points, especially in volatile markets.
How Traders Use Leading Indicators in Practice
Traders use leading indicators to gain insights into potential price movements before they occur, helping them position themselves early in a trend. Here’s how leading indicators are typically applied:
- Identifying Overbought or Oversold Conditions: Indicators like RSI or Stochastic Oscillator are used to spot extreme price levels. When these indicators signal that a market is overbought or oversold, traders analyse the situation for potential trend reversals.
- Combining Indicators for Confirmation: It’s common to pair multiple leading indicators to strengthen signals. For example, a trader might use both the RSI and OBV to confirm momentum shifts and avoid acting on false signals.
- Spotting Divergences: Traders look for divergence between an indicator and price action. For instance, if prices are rising, but the indicator is falling, it can suggest weakening momentum, signalling a potential downward reversal.
- Clear Entry and Exit Points: Leading indicators often provide clear entry and exit points. For instance, the Stochastic Oscillator signals a bearish reversal and entry point when it crosses back below 80, with traders typically exiting the trade when the indicator crosses above 20. Likewise, Fibonacci retracements can provide precise levels where a trend might stall or reverse.
Potential Risks and Limitations of Leading Indicators for Trading
While leading indicators offer valuable insights into potential price movements, they come with risks and limitations.
- False Signals: One of the biggest challenges is that leading indicators can generate false signals, especially in volatile markets. For instance, an indicator might signal a reversal, but the price continues in its original direction, leading traders to take positions prematurely.
- Limited Accuracy in Trending Markets: It’s common that in strong trends, such indicators remain overbought or oversold for extended periods, causing traders to misinterpret momentum.
- Overreliance on One Indicator: No single indicator is foolproof. Relying heavily on one without considering other factors can lead to poor decisions. Traders need to combine leading indicators with other tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines to validate signals.
- Lagging in Fast-Moving Markets: Even though they are called "leading" indicators, they can sometimes lag in rapidly changing markets. By the time a signal is generated, the opportunity may have already passed.
The Bottom Line
Whether trading forex, commodities, or the stock market, leading indicators offer valuable insights to help traders anticipate potential price movements. By combining these tools with a solid strategy, traders can better navigate market conditions. To start implementing these insights across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of our high-speed, low-cost trading conditions.
FAQ
What Are the Leading Indicators in Trading?
Leading indicators are technical analysis tools used to determine potential price movements before they happen. Traders use them to anticipate market shifts, such as reversals or breakouts, by analysing price momentum or trends. Common examples include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Fibonacci retracement levels.
What Are the Three Types of Leading Indicators?
The three main types of leading indicators for trading are momentum indicators (e.g., Momentum (MOM) indicator), oscillators (e.g., Stochastic), and volume indicators (e.g., On-Balance Volume). These tools help determine market direction by assessing price action or trading volume.
Is RSI a Leading Indicator?
Yes, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a leading indicator. Considered one of the potentially best leading indicators for day trading, it measures momentum by comparing recent gains and losses, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions before potential reversals.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Mastering Fibonacci ChannelsFibonacci Channel: A Tool for Identifying Potential Trend Levels
The Fibonacci Channel is a powerful technical analysis tool that advanced traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels within a trend. This tool is particularly useful in trending markets, such as Forex and equities, to gauge price movement and pinpoint strategic entry and exit points.
The Fibonacci Channel consists of a series of parallel lines plotted using Fibonacci ratios (such as 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). These lines help traders mark key areas within a price trend that could indicate a potential reversal or continuation.
How to Use the Fibonacci Channel
1. Identify Start and End Points: Begin by identifying the start and end points of a trend that you want to analyze.
2. Draw the Channel Lines: Next, draw a trendline between the two points. The Fibonacci levels are then plotted as parallel lines above and below this trendline, helping traders visualize potential levels for price to reach or retrace.
3. Interpret the Lines: The plotted Fibonacci levels act as potential areas of support and resistance, providing traders with strategic points for entry or exit. For example, price movement reaching the 0.618 level often suggests a high probability of either reversal or trend continuation.
Using the Fibonacci Channel allows you to take advantage of market psychology embedded in these ratios, helping you make more informed decisions in a trend-driven market.
Fibonacci Retracements: Finding Key Levels the Easy WayIn this video, I’ll walk you through how I use Fibonacci retracements to spot those key pullback levels where price might bounce and keep trending. It all comes from an old-school math genius named Leonardo of Pisa (aka Fibonacci), but don’t worry – no crazy math here, just practical trading tools.
The main levels I focus on? 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. IF price holds at one of these levels, THEN it’s a good sign the trend could keep going. IF NOT, THEN I stay ready for a deeper pullback. Using this tool helps me stay ahead and manage trades with more confidence.
Your Turn:
Here’s a fun exercise – draw Fibonacci retracements on different timeframes, from the weekly all the way down to the 5-minute chart. Check how the levels overlap or line up. Those overlaps, or confluences, are where some of the best trades happen!
If this clicks with you, hit like, drop a comment, or follow – I’ll keep sharing more tips to help you crush the markets!
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
Fibonacci Retracement ExplainedWhat Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels?
In simple terms, Fibonacci Retracement Levels are horizontal lines on a chart that represent price levels. These price levels help identify where support or resistance may likely occur on a chart.
Each retracement level corresponds to a specific percentage, indicating how much of a pullback has taken place from a previous high or low. These percentages are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and include 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Although not an official Fibonacci ratio, the 50% level is also commonly used.
This indicator is useful because it can be drawn between a high and a low price point, creating levels that indicate potential retracement areas between those two prices.
The basic Fibonacci Retracement amongst many trading platforms would normally look like this:
While this is okay, I would recommend changing the settings to my suggested format to improve clarity and comprehension. The revised version would look like this:
To copy this, the revised Fibonacci Retracement Settings are bellow:
By doing this, it shows you the “Golden Zone.” This spot is considered one of the most important areas because price often pulls back into this zone right before “extending” in a bullish pattern.
>>>>>NERDY INFO AHEAD<<<<<
Calculating Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The origin of the Fibonacci numbers is fascinating. They are based on something called the Golden Ratio.
This is a sequence of numbers starting with zero and one. Then, keep adding the prior two numbers to get the third number. This will eventually produce a number string looking like this:
• 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987...with the string continuing indefinitely.
Fibonacci retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci number sequence. As the sequence progresses, dividing one number by the next number yields 0.618, or 61.8% (233 divided by 377 gives you 0.618037.
Divide a number by the second number to its right; the result is 0.382 or 38.2% (233 divided by 610 gives you 0.381967.
All these ratios, apart from 50% (which is not officially part of the Fibonacci sequence), are calculated based on relationships within this number sequence.
The golden ratio can be found in various places in nature as well. This includes spiral patterns of seashells (like nautilus shells), the arrangement of leaves on a plant stem, the petals of certain flowers, and the structure of pinecones; it's also often observed in art and architecture, such as in the proportions of the Mona Lisa and the Parthenon, where artists intentionally incorporated it for aesthetic appeal.
Now, as you can tell, the Fibonacci isn’t just some lines and numbers someone made up. It’s in everything you encounter. It’s on charts. It’s in nature. It’s in geometry. It’s even in HUMAN DNA.
Fibonacci Retracements vs. Fibonacci Extensions
Remember when I said, “price often pulls back into this zone right before extending in a bullish pattern.” ???
That’s because Fibonacci Retracement, sometimes confused with Fibonacci Extension, is the act of price level pulling back to the Golden Zone. The Fibonacci Extension is when price level continues to move in a bullish pattern after pulling back to the Golden Zone.
For example, if a stock goes from $10 to $20, then back to $13. The move from $20 to $13 is the retracement. If the price starts rallying again and goes to $30, that is the extension.
Limitations of Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels
While the retracement levels suggest potential areas for support or resistance, there’s no guarantee that the price will reverse to these levels. This is why traders often look for additional confirmation signals such as price action and patterns. A double bottom in this Golden Zone coupled with an RSI divergence is a very good indication the price will move after entering the Golden Zone.
!!!Fun Fact!!!
Fibonacci retracement levels were named after Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano Bigollo, famously known as Leonardo Fibonacci. However, Fibonacci did not create the Fibonacci sequence. Instead, Fibonacci introduced these numbers to western Europe after learning about them from Indian merchants. Some scholars suggest Fibonacci retracement levels were formulated in ancient India between 700 BCE and 100 AD, while others estimate between 480-410 BCE.2
Cheers everyone!!! Happy Trading 😊
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Find Entry and Exit PointsAlright, traders, let’s talk about Fibonacci Retracements — the tool that’s part math, part mysticism, and all about finding those sweet spots for entry and exit. If you’ve ever wondered how seasoned traders seem to know exactly when to jump in and when to cash out, chances are they’ve got Fibonacci retracements in their toolbox (or they’re insider trading).
What Are Fibonacci Retracements?
Fibonacci Retracements are based on the famous Fibonacci sequence — a string of numbers discovered in the 1200s by the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa (later nicknamed Fibonacci, meaning "son of Bonacci"). The sequence of numbers starts with 1, 2, 3, 5 and grows by adding the sum of the two previous numbers.
These mystical numbers show up everywhere from pinecones and seashells to the human hand and the Apple logo and, of course, the charts. It all comes down to 61.8%, the golden child of market moves and corrections. But before you go off believing Fibonacci is some sort of market sorcerer, let’s break it down.
The Key Levels
23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% : These are the Fibonacci retracement levels you’ll see on your chart when you whip up the Fibonacci Retracement. They’re acting as the market’s pit stops — areas where the price could take a breather or reverse altogether.
Traders use these levels to predict how far a price might pull back before resuming its trend. Put simply, it’s like finding the market’s sweet spot where it says, “Enough with the chit-chat, let’s bounce.”
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements
Identify the Trend : First, you need a clear trend — trace a price trajectory and make sure there is a well-defined and sustained move either up or down with a clear reversal at the end. No trend? No Fibonacci.
Draw the Retracement : Stretch the Fib tool from the start of the move (swing low) to the end (swing high). If the trend is up, draw from low to high. If it’s down, high to low. Watch as those golden ratios light up your chart like a Christmas tree. Now you’ve got your levels mapped out and you can easily start looking for the potential turning points.
Spot the Bounce : The series of horizontal lines on your chart — these are your Fibonacci levels, and they’re not just pretty—they’re potential support and resistance zones. When the price retraces to a Fib level, it’s decision time. Will it bounce, or will it break? The 61.8% level is the big one — the golden ratio. If the price holds there, it may be a sign that the trend could continue. If it breaks, well, it’s time to reassess. Think of it as the market’s line in the sand.
Finding Entry Points
Here’s where it gets interesting. Imagine the market’s been on a bull run, but then starts to pull back. You’re itching to buy, but where? This is where Fibonacci levels shine.
When the price retraces to a key Fibonacci level (say 38.2% or 50%), it’s like the market is pausing to catch its breath. That’s your cue to consider entering a position. You’re aiming to ride the next wave up once the market finishes its coffee break at one of these levels.
Nailing Exit Points
On the flip side, if you’re already in a trade and looking to lock in profits, those same Fibonacci levels can be your guide for exiting. If the price is approaching a key level from below, it might be time to secure your gains before the market pulls another U-turn.
For the bold and brave, you can even set your sights on the 161.8% level — this is where Fibonacci extensions come into play. It’s a target for when the market decides it’s not just going to bounce, but rocket into the stratosphere.
Pro Tip: Fib Confluence
Looking to up your game? Combine Fibonacci with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines. When multiple signals converge around a Fib level, it may be a strong confirmation that the trend could turn. Pay attention and always do your own research — fakeouts are real.
Why It Works (and Why It Doesn't)
Some say Fibonacci levels work because they’re rooted in natural mathematics. Others believe it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy because so many traders use them. And just like any strategy, it doesn’t work 100% of the time. The market has a mind of its own, and sometimes it just doesn’t care about your Fibonacci levels. But when they do work, they can give you a serious edge.
The Bottom Line
Fibonacci Retracements aren’t just a bunch of lines on a chart — they’re your reminder that maybe everything is indeed one from the universe’s perspective and there are naturally occurring patterns everywhere.
Whether you believe in the math and the or just like the results, one thing’s for sure: Fibs can give you an edge in spotting when to hold back or lean forward. So next time you’re stuck wondering when to buy or sell, try the Fibonacci.