Option TradingOption Trading work based on a contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a certain asset, at a predetermined price (strike price) within a certain time period.
A very simple task, but is there a clear technical analysis method that can provide consecutive wins?
This post is not trading advice, just a statistical hypothesis test. I will try in 100 candles, and stop if the win rate is below 70%
If you are an options trader, or are interested in learning the system I use, please follow this post.
Fundamental Analysis
Deciphering the Forex Frenzy: A Closer Look at 60 Seconds ⏱💹✨
In the bustling realm of Forex, a single minute carries an abundance of activity, steering markets through rapid fluctuations and intricate maneuvers. Understanding the flurry of events that unfold within this brief window is pivotal for traders aiming to capitalize on these micro-movements. This article provides an insightful exploration into the dynamics of a mere 60 seconds in Forex, unraveling its significance and the potential impact on trading decisions.
60-Second Rush in Forex
Within this fleeting timeframe, several significant occurrences shape the landscape of currency pairs:
Price Surges and Retraces:
High-Frequency Trading Activity:
Navigating the 60-Second Window
Traders employ diverse strategies like scalping or utilizing minute-based technical indicators to swiftly identify opportunities for entering or exiting positions within this condensed timeframe.
In just 60 seconds, the Forex landscape undergoes a whirlwind of activities, presenting a microcosm of opportunities and challenges for traders seeking to navigate the swift and impactful movements within this brief yet dynamic timeframe. ⏱💹✨
What do you want to learn in the next post?
How to succeed in trading ✅From the experience I have in trading I have identified 3 pillars on which my success is based. I can't say that one is less important than another, so I try to combine all of them:
1) Psychology - is one of the most difficult aspects to master, which requires a lot of theoretical and practical knowledge, so I recommend first of all to study yourself, after you have managed to identify what kind of person you are, you will gain knowledge from books, videos, trainings that will help you control your emotions when trading. At the same time, this aspect can help you in your daily life.
2) Risk management - due to proper risk management, I managed to become funded. I also understood that in trading it is more important to tend to have a small risk, than a high profit, because greed for money can bring you into a less pleasant situation. I managed to take the account with a risk of 1% per trade and with an RR of at least 1: 2, which therefore showed me that even if I take 6 sls for 10 trades, I still remain profitable.
3) Trading plan - this is the aspect that motivates me to progress, once I have made a trading plan with well-defined goals, I tend to fulfill them. In addition to the purposes, a trading plan should contain the strategy applied, as well as the rules for entering / managing / exiting the transaction.
MOMENTUM, GROWTH & INNOVATIONUpdated Watchlist:
www.tradingview.com
Our Strategy:
🔍 Cathy Wood and Mark Minervni - Combining the BEST of both WORLD's.
Ever wondered what happens when you marry the visionary investment approach of Cathie Wood with the precision of Mark Minervini's swing-trading techniques? Look no further. We've crafted a strategy that brings together the best of both worlds, ensuring you're not only prepared for the future but also poised to capitalize on the present.
Our new methodology guarantees:
🔍 Vision Meets Execution: Invest in tomorrow's giants and capitalize on today's trends.
📊 Research & Precision: Dive deep into potential industry-changers, then swing trade with impeccable timing.
⚖ Balance Growth & Quick Wins: Maximize profit potential, diversify risks, and navigate the market with confidence.
📢 "A revolutionary blend of long-term vision and short-term precision. The best of both worlds!" – Top Trader Testimonial.
Selection Criteria:
Introducing our cutting-edge trading strategy, a synergy of Cathy Wood's keen fundamental analysis and Mark Minervini's acclaimed trend template criteria.
Imagine having the foresight to identify high-potential technology stocks that are not just promising on paper but are actively demonstrating robust performance in the market. That's the core of our approach. We meticulously select stocks that Cathy Wood's methodology identifies as leaders in technological innovation, ensuring that each company has a solid foundation for growth. But we don't stop there.
We apply Mark Minervini's trend template to verify that these stocks are not only fundamentally sound but are also in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend. This dual-layered strategy ensures that you're investing in companies that are both revolutionizing their industries and are currently capturing the market's momentum.
With our trading strategy, you're not just betting on potential; you're investing in technology stocks that are set to soar, backed by the analytical prowess of two of the most respected names in the trading world. Join us, and be part of a select group of traders who demand the best of both worlds: groundbreaking innovation and proven market trends.
INDUCEMENT IN TRADINGInducement is the most popular phenomenon in the smart money concept, but most traders don't know how to label it properly and what its definition is. This post will definitely improve your ability to pinpoint the exact location of the inducement and how to use that inducement to your advantage.
What is Inducement? Inducement is labeled IND on the chart, sometimes you may see IDM. Inducement is the area and specific point that encourages (incentivizes) traders to buy and sell. In the Smart Money concept, most traders buy after the breakdown of the previous high and sell after the breakdown of the previous low. This is a normal phenomenon and it is what most people do, because this is what all classic trading books teach from the point of view of market structure.
✴️ Examples
Look at the initial structure. The bullish movement is accompanied by small pullbacks. According to the classics, if the price breaks the last low, the bullish movement will be replaced by a bearish one. What we see is that the pullback starts and the price updates the previous low. Traders start to buy on the pullback towards the continuation of the movement and sell on the breakout, towards the new, bearish direction.
The previous low in a bull market is the Inducement. This is the place where inexperienced traders give their money to the big player, a bait, not otherwise. After liquidity is collected, the big player drives the price in the direction of the true trend. When the price updates the high it will be a BOS, i.e. confirmation of the structure. Note that when the price rises, lows are formed again, these are again the places where you usually buy and sell.
✴️ The idea behide it
As you can see, the real market structure is a bit more complicated than retail traders imagine. After the last example, the price can go higher again, there is nothing to prevent it, but we will just move our structural low under the previous inducement. The essence of price movement is only one thing and that is to collect and form liquidity. That is why the price very often goes down when trending up and updates the low, and then continues to fly up, but without you. The same is true for a downward trend.
In the picture above you can see the logic of price movement. As you may know or already know from classic books, the price after an impulsive movement starts to make a pullback. This pullback is done not because the price needs to rest, but because the price needs liquidity to continue the trend. Each pullback is an achievement of inducement, that is, a set of liquidity, and within each pullback you can find the same thing. That is, there are pullbacks within a pullback, and within that another pullback, etc.
The market itself it is a fractal. This is what confuses millions of traders to choose the right place to enter a position. Reality is very different from what is portrayed in books, people just don't realize which low will be the break. Which top is extreme? Show one chart to 10 traders and all 10 will show a different structure. It also strongly influences why some traders make money while others, in the same pattern, lose.
As you have already realized, price will always take out highs and lows to gather liquidity. If you buy or sell without understanding and practicing such a concept, that liquidity will be you. You must understand and be able to identify where that very spot will be inducement. The main thing to remember is that IND appears only when the price updates a structural high or low.
You don't have to incorporate a bunch of Smart Money trading principles into your trading strategy. You just need to realize that without liquidity there will be no movement in the market. Price needs only one thing and that is liquidity. You can trade profitably, even without using any instrument, if you understand what highs and lows most traders buy and sell.
Anchoring Bias in Forex and Gold: Unshackling the Trader's Mind
Anchoring bias is a psychological trap that subtly influences decision-making in forex and gold trading. This cognitive bias anchors traders to specific reference points, hindering rational analysis and leading to skewed perceptions. In this article, we'll explore the pervasive impact of anchoring bias in trading, shedding light on its effects and strategies to overcome it.
Understanding Anchoring Bias
Anchoring bias occurs when traders rely heavily on specific price points, past trends, or perceived market norms as reference anchors for making trading decisions. It influences their perceptions of value and potential market movements, often leading to erroneous assessments.
Reliance on Historical Highs:
Attachment to Round Numbers:
Mitigating Anchoring Bias
Overcoming anchoring bias involves deliberate efforts to detach from fixed reference points and embrace a more holistic and analytical approach to trading.
Adopting Technical Analysis:
Anchoring bias is a subtle yet potent force affecting traders in the forex and gold markets. Recognizing its influence and employing strategies to mitigate its effects is pivotal for making informed and unbiased trading decisions. ⚓️📈✨
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The Road to Trading Mastery: the Pyramid of SuccessGreetings, esteemed members of the @TradingView and all Vesties out there!
The Pyramid of Trading Success, a conceptual model designed to guide you through the essential principles and steps for success in the dynamic trading world. This pyramid serves as a roadmap, helping you build a robust foundation and ascend to proficiency and profitability in your trading experience. Let's explore the key layers that make up this pyramid:
1. Emotional Well-being / Financial Stability / Trustworthy Broker (Base of the Pyramid)
At the foundation, prioritize emotional well-being, self-awareness, and financial stability. Constructive self-evaluation and rational thinking are your allies. Choosing a trustworthy broker adds integrity to your trading experience.
2. Robust Safety System
Implement a robust safety system by practicing swift loss-cutting, avoiding unreliable assets, refraining from gambling, and adopting a long-term mindset for sustainable success.
3. Portfolio Management
Rely on statistics, discard ineffective approaches, monitor market trends, consider long-term goals, and stay informed about economic indicators for effective portfolio management.
4. Asset Allocation
Diversify your investments strategically to spread risk, drawing on years of experience in trading financial markets for optimal decision-making.
5. Tools
Utilize the right tools by conducting strategy backtesting and considering automation. Backtesting refines your approach, while automation streamlines execution, minimizing emotional biases.
Steps for Strategy Backtesting:
Define strategy parameters, financial market, and chart timeframe.
Search for trades based on the specified strategy, market, and timeframe.
Analyze price charts for entry and exit signals.
Record and calculate returns, considering commissions and trading costs.
Compare net return to capital for a percentage return over the specified timeframe.
6. Remaining
Focus on essentials covered in the first five points. Avoid distractions like social trading or complex indicators. A disciplined approach, grounded in fundamental principles, is key for tangible results in your trading journey.
By following the Pyramid of Trading Success, you're adopting a comprehensive and methodical approach to trading, increasing your chances of achieving sustainable success in the dynamic world of financial markets.
We welcome your valuable feedback on our article about the Trading Pyramid. Your opinion matters, and your insights can help us tailor our content to better meet your needs.
Managing Positions with Parallel ChannelVideo tutorial:
• How to identify downtrend and uptrend line
• How to draw parallel channel correctly
• Confirming a change in trend (using trendline itself)
• Managing positions with parallel lines
- Profits
- Risks
- Knowing its volatility
Micro Natural Gas Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation
0.001 per MMBtu = $1.00
Code: MNG
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
15 Essential Topics to Transform into a Pro Trader 📈💹
Embarking on a journey to become a professional forex trader requires a solid understanding of various key topics. Whether you're a beginner or looking to enhance your trading skills, mastering these 15 forex topics will set you on the path to success. Let's dive into the essentials! 💪
1. Understanding Forex Basics 🌐
- Learn the basics of currency pairs, exchange rates, and market participants.
2. Fundamental Analysis 📰
- Explore economic indicators and events affecting currency values.
3. Technical Analysis 📊
- Study charts, patterns, and indicators to make informed trading decisions.
4. Risk Management Strategies 🛡
- Implement effective risk management to protect your capital.
5. Trading Psychology 🧠
- Master emotions and discipline for consistent trading success.
6. Different Trading Styles 🔄
- Explore day trading, swing trading, and position trading.
7. Leverage and Margin 📊
- Understand the risks and benefits of trading with leverage.
8. Market Order vs. Limit Order ⏩
- Differentiate between instant execution and pending orders.
9. Interest Rates and Carry Trade 📈
- Learn how interest rates impact currency values and the carry trade strategy.
10. Correlation in Forex Markets 🔄
- Understand how currency pairs move in relation to each other.
11. Economic Calendar Awareness 📆
- Stay updated on economic events and their potential impact.
12. Backtesting and Demo Trading 📊
- Test strategies in a risk-free environment before trading live.
13. Diversification Strategies 🌐
- Spread risk by trading various currency pairs and assets.
14. Market Sentiment Analysis 📈📉
- Gauge the mood of the market to anticipate price movements.
15. Continuous Learning and Adaptation 📚
- Stay updated on market trends, technologies, and regulations.
Becoming a pro trader involves continuous learning and a commitment to mastering these essential forex topics. With dedication and practice, you can navigate the complexities of the forex market and trade with confidence. Happy trading! 🚀💰
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
How to Stop Trading Pocrastination – 8 WaysIf you find it hard to press the trigger, you may be suffering with…
Trading procrastination.
This is definitely a major hurdle with trading well.
The good news is that, this is a temporary problem that you can fix today.
With the right strategies and mindset, you can overcome this challenge.
I have a few ways you can stop procrastinating.
#1: Choose Your Trading Days
One of the first steps is to get your schedule right.
If you’re trading stocks, indices, forex, commodities or crypto – choose the days you want to trade each one.
First you’ll need to analyse the markets and your watchlist.
Write down the trades that are most likely going to line up.
And then, you’ll be able to condition your mind to prepare for trading on designated days.
This will take away the analyses paralyses and overwhelming effect of looking at too many markets at once.
#2: Set Smaller Tasks
When you have gone through your watchlists on your charting platform.
Plot all the potential entries and exits and write down notes on what you will be trading.
This will help you remind you what you’ll need to take action with.
#3: Track Results on a Specific Day
You don’t have to review and track your performance everyday.
Trading is a medium to long term approach.
So, maybe choose a Friday or Saturday to go through your track record and see how you performed or are performing.
It will also tell you which trades are working in your favour or whether you’re in a drawdown or not.
A regular check-up with your performance, can serve as a powerful deterrent to procrastination.
#4: Remove Distractions
You need to create a calm and serene environment when you trade.
Clear your desk, close your tabs, switch off your TV.
Create laser focus and it’ll help you be more inclined to act on what needs to be done.
If you lower the interruptions, your productivity and alertness will also pick up.
#5: Self-Talk
Trading is a mindset game.
Sometimes, you need to have a few conversations with yourself.
And there needs to be positive reinforcement and self-talk to overcome procrastination.
Say things like:
~ This is a high probability trade lined up according to my strategy – I need to just take the trade.
~ I only have 2% of my portfolio to lose – so I am prepared.
~ The trading portfolio is not going to grow by itself – I need to act.
Train your mind to recognize negative thoughts and replace them with affirmations that boost your confidence and belief in your trading abilities.
Build a strong self-belief system with strong action points and it will help you tackle challenging trading situations head-on.
#6: Reward Yourself
If a trade lined up and you get in – reward yourself.
If you took your take profit according to your strategy – reward yourself.
If you stuck with your guns and took the loss according to your system – reward yourself.
If you need to adjust a trade according to your rules – reward yourself.
Go for a walk, grab a drink, make a meal, smoke a cigar or whatever you enjoy.
You need to celebrate the small things to help with your trading accomplishments.
Set up a reward system to recognize your efforts and achievements.
This will motivate you to stay on track and keep going.
#7: Visualize Success
If you have your trading plan and strategy in place, you have the game-plan.
Close your eyes and envision when the days are good and when your portfolio heads up to all time highs.
Visualizing successful trading outcomes can be a powerful motivator.
Embrace the feeling of achievement and success, as this mental rehearsal which can positively impact your actual trading performance.
#8: Learn from Mistakes
When you learn something new from trading.
Jot it down with strong lessons to apply in the future.
Also, analyse your past mistakes and use them as stepping stones toward improvement.
Adopt a growth mindset to help empower you to make proactive decisions and drive your trading progress forward.
FINAL WORDS:
You can conquer procrastination, one step at a time.
Take action.
Stay consistent.
Attain and measure attainable goals.
Never give up.
Let’s sum up the actions you can take to stop procrastinating.
#1: Choose Your Trading Days
#2: Set Smaller Tasks
#3: Track Results on a Specific Day
#4: Remove Distractions
#5: Self-Talk
#6: Reward Yourself
#7: Visualize Success
#8: Learn from Mistakes
If this resonated with you let me know :)
High Returns, Low Risk: Unveiling a Winning Investment StrategyI am pleased to introduce a robust long-term strategy that seamlessly combines performance with an enticing risk profile.
This strategy involves strategically investing in ETFs indexed on the S&P 500 and ETFs backed by physical gold. Let's delve into the rationale behind selecting these two assets:
S&P 500:
1. Automatic Diversification: Instant exposure to a diverse array of companies, mitigating the risk associated with the individual performance of a single stock.
2. Low Costs: ETF management fees are typically low, facilitating cost-effective diversification.
3. Liquidity: Traded on the stock exchange, S&P 500 ETFs offer high liquidity, enabling seamless buying or selling of shares.
4. Historical Performance: The S&P 500 has demonstrated consistent long-term growth, making it an appealing indicator for investors seeking sustained growth.
5. Ease of Access: Accessible to all investors, even those with modest investment amounts, requiring only a brokerage account.
6. Simple Tracking: The S&P 500 index simplifies market tracking, eliminating the need to monitor numerous stocks individually.
7. Dividends: Companies included often pay dividends, providing an additional income stream.
8. Long-Term Strategy: Ideal for investors pursuing a long-term approach, S&P 500 ETFs are pivotal for gradual wealth building.
9. Geographical Diversification: Investing in an S&P 500 ETF offers not just sectoral but also geographical diversification. Despite the U.S. base, many included companies have a global presence, contributing to international portfolio diversification.
Moreover, Warren Buffett's 2008 bet, where he wagered $1 million on the passive S&P 500 index fund outperforming active fund managers over a decade, underscores the difficulty even seasoned financial experts face in surpassing the market's long-term return. This further strengthens the notion that choosing an S&P 500-linked ETF can be a prudent and effective investment strategy.
Investment in Physical Gold ETFs:
1. Exposure to Physical Gold: Designed to reflect the price of physically held gold, providing direct exposure without the need for physical acquisition, storage, or insurance.
2. Liquidity: Traded on the stock exchange, physical gold ETFs offer high liquidity, allowing investors to buy or sell shares at prevailing market prices.
3. Diversification: Gold's unique reaction to market dynamics makes it a valuable diversification asset, potentially reducing overall portfolio risk.
4. Lower Costs: Compared to physically buying gold, investing in physical gold ETFs proves more cost-effective in terms of transaction costs, storage, and insurance. ETF management fees are also relatively low.
5. Transparency: Managers regularly publish reports detailing the gold quantity held, ensuring transparency about underlying assets.
6. Accessibility: Physical gold ETFs offer easy market access without the need for physical possession, appealing to investors avoiding gold storage and security management.
7. Gold-backed ETFs: These ETFs physically hold gold as the underlying asset, with investors often having the option to convert their shares into physical gold.
After extensive research and backtesting across diverse ETFs covering various asset classes, including bonds, real estate, commodities, and stocks of financially stable companies, my findings notably highlight a standout option during times of crisis: physical gold ETFs.
The strategy hinges on leading indicators, powerful economic tools.
Leading Indicators:
Leading indicators, or forward indicators, are crucial tools in economics and finance for anticipating future trends. In contrast to lagging indicators, which confirm existing trends, leading indicators provide early signals, aiding informed decision-making based on anticipated economic developments.
Key characteristics include:
Trend Anticipation: Early insight into upcoming changes in economic activity, facilitating preparedness for market developments.
Responsiveness: Quick reactions to economic changes, sometimes preceding other indicators.
Correlation with the Economy: Association with specific aspects of the economy, such as industrial production, consumer spending, or investments.
Examples include:
• Housing Starts: Providing early indications of the real estate market and construction investments.
• Net New Orders for Durable Goods: Indicating business investment intentions and insights into the manufacturing sector's health.
• US Stock Prices: Considered a leading indicator reflecting investor expectations.
• Consumer Confidence: Measuring consumer perceptions and influencing consumer spending.
• Purchasing Managers' Confidence and Factory Directors: Offering insights into production plans and future economic trends.
• Interest Rate Spread: Indicating economic expectations and influencing borrowing and investment decisions.
Returning to the strategy, I leverage entry points calculated by a meticulously developed strategy incorporating leading indicators applied to the SPY chart. The achieved performance of 3496% since 1993, with 15 closed trades, significantly surpasses a buy-and-hold position yielding 1654% in performance. Notably, the maximum drawdown is 5.44%, a stark contrast to the over 50% drawdown seen in an investment in the S&P 500.
Upon the indicators signaling the end of the long position, I close my SPY positions and transition to positions in physical gold ETFs.
In our example, choosing the GLD ETF yields a performance of 173%, adding to our total performance.
While the maximum drawdown, considering the addition of the investment in physical gold ETFs, is 17.65%, slightly higher than the drawdown on the strategy applied to the SPY, it remains impressive for such a prolonged period.
Now, if we conduct the backtest since 2007:
SPY : performance of 751 %, max drawdown of 4.02 %
GLD : Performance of 153 %
Since 2015:
SPY : performance of 131 %
GLD : Performance of 37 %
Disclaimer:
The information shared is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Investing involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author is not liable for any financial losses incurred.
What Traders and Detectives Have in Common 📊🕵️♀️In this article, I want to talk about the interesting similarities between trading and detective work. Like detectives solve mysteries to find the truth, traders explore the market to understand patterns and make smart decisions.
1️⃣ Gathering Clues:
Both trading and detective work rely on the acquisition of timely and relevant information.
Traders stay informed about market news, economic indicators, and patterns, just as detectives gather clues from witnesses, documents, and other sources. In both cases, the quality of information directly impacts decision-making.
2️⃣ Risk Assessment:
Detectives must carefully assess risks and probabilities to navigate the unknown.
Similarly, traders must evaluate market risks, weighing potential rewards against potential losses. Just as a detective gauges the likelihood of various scenarios, a trader assesses market conditions to make calculated decisions that align with their risk tolerance.
3️⃣ Patience and Persistence:
Success in both trading and detective work demands patience and persistence.
Detectives may spend long hours sifting through evidence, and traders may patiently wait for the right market conditions. Like a detective unraveling a case, a trader must persistently analyze data and adapt strategies to changing market dynamics.
🔎 In essence, trading is a financial investigation, where observation, critical analysis, and connecting the dots play a crucial role.
As we navigate the market's complexities, let's embrace the spirit of a detective, ever vigilant and ready to uncover hidden truths that guide our decisions.
Wishing you successful trades and discoveries in your financial journey.
Did I forget any similarities? What are your thoughts?
Also, what would you like me to compare traders to next?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Economic Lessons From 2023We entered 2023 with a pessimistic consensus outlook for U.S. economic performance and for how rapidly inflation might recede. As it happened, there was no recession, and personal consumption posted sustained strength. Inflation, except shelter, declined dramatically from its 2022 peak.
The big economic driver in 2023 was job growth. Jobs had recovered all their pandemic losses by mid-2022 and continued to post strong growth in 2023, partly due to many people returning to the labor force.
When the economy is adding jobs, people are willing to spend money. The key for real GDP in 2023 was the strong job growth that led to robust personal consumption spending. For 2024, labor force growth and job growth are anticipated by many to slow down from the unexpectedly strong pace of 2023, leading to slower real GDP growth in 2024.
And there is still plenty of debate about whether a slowdown in 2024 could turn into a recession. Followers of the inverted yield curve will point out that it was only in Q4 2023 that the yield curve decisively inverted (meaning short-term rates are higher than long-term yields). It is often cited that it takes 12 to 18 months after a yield curve inversion for a recession to commence. Using that math, Q2 2024 would be the time for economic weakness to appear based on this theory. Only time will tell.
The rapid pace of inflation receding in the first half of 2023 was a very pleasant surprise. Indeed, inflation is coming under control by virtually every measure except one: shelter. The calculation of shelter inflation is highly controversial for its use of owners’ equivalent rent, which assumes the homeowner rents his house to himself and receives the income. This is an economic fiction that many argue dramatically distorts headline CPI, given that owners’ equivalent rent is 25% of the price index.
Once one removes owners’ equivalent rent from the inflation calculation, inflation is only 2%, and one can better appreciate why the Federal Reserve has chosen to pause its rate hikes, even as it keeps its options open to raise rates if inflation were to unexpectedly rise again.
The bottom line is that monetary policy reached a restrictive stance in late 2022 and was tightened a little more in 2023. For a data dependent Fed, inflation and jobs data for 2024 will guide us as to what might happen next. Good numbers on inflation or a recession might mean rate cuts. Otherwise, the Fed might just keep rates higher for longer.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
By Bluford Putnam, Managing Director & Chief Economist, CME Group
*Various CME Group affiliates are regulated entities with corresponding obligations and rights pursuant to financial services regulations in a number of jurisdictions. Further details of CME Group's regulatory status and full disclaimer of liability in accordance with applicable law are available below.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Why you Are a Mass Procrastinator – 7 ReasonsAre you stuck in a trading rut?
Have you thought to yourself.
You have all the knowledge, tools, skills, strategies etc…
And yet you don’t believe you’re getting the trading results you expected?
I think it’s because of the ‘Procrastination Gremlin”.
It’s a common issue. For three years during my trading career I was a mass procrastinator.
I never took trades when they lined up.
I never deposited more money to grow my account.
I never tracked and reviewed my trades on a weekly basis.
It became a disease as well as a comfort zone.
But what you might realise is when you LEAVE that comfort zone of procrastination, you might find it was never comfortable to begin with.
It slowed down your growth and progress as a trader.
So if you can relate to some of the things I’ve mentioned already, this article is for you.
Let’s explore if you’re a mass procrastinator.
You Doubt Trades
One of the most common forms of procrastination is when you doubt taking trades.
You hesitate and find every excuse to not trade for the day.
The problem is this.
Doubt slows down your decision-making process, and causes missed opportunities.
If you have a winning and proven system and you have money you can afford to trade with great money management principles.
Just Take The Trade!
Skip Trades
Ahhh, I’ll skip this trade and take the next.
Skipping trades is another form of procrastination.
What are you waiting for?
The “perfect” trading setup, the right “timing”, the right gut (gat) feel?
Stop skipping.
Remember, in trading, there’s no perfect moment. You are bound to take trades with losses. So if you’ve incorporated them into your trading, why are you skipping the trades?
Worst case scenario, you take a small loss.
Best case scenario, you ban a whopper of a winner.
Listen… Consistency and resilience are what brings success.
Stop skipping trades when they line up. J.T.T.T
Skip Days
I get this.
Monday is a storm of a day after the weekend.
Friday is a calm day to prepare for the weekend.
That’s what I’ve gathered over the years.
But it doesn’t mean I skip trades. If they line up (Monday or Friday or any other day, just take it).
Successful trading requires regular market analysis and being persistent with your trading.
Stick to a routine, check the markets and try not to skip days.
Forget Tracking
If you also forget to track your trades, this is another sign of procrastination.
Tracking helps you analyse your performance, learn from your mistakes, and make informed decisions.
Every time you take a trade, plot it in your journal.
At the end of the week, go through the journal to see how your trades are looking.
Go through the open trades, to see how they’re performing.
Also maybe see if you need to make any adjustments.
Don’t neglect this crucial task.
Forget Setups
You might have written your trading setups for the week.
And then you don’t take them.
You’re procrastinating your success.
Be more accountable and responsible with the trades that are lining up.
Write it on sticky notes.
Put them on your fridge.
Set alerts on your trading and charting platform.
Set reminders on your phone!
Do whatever you need to to NOT forget the setups that are nearly ripe for the picking.
Neglect Self-Education and adaptation
As I’ve said often.
Trading is an adapting and ever-evolving game.
You need to:
~ Keep learning and revising
~ Be up to date with new markets
~ Adapt your strategies
~ Add or remove from your watchlists
~ Update yourself as a trader
Procrastinating on Diversification
If you’re only trading one type of asset, you might be in trouble.
You’re delaying portfolio diversification.
There are so many new stocks to apply.
There are new algorithms with indices, commodities, Forex and Crypto.
If they work with your system, diversify and hedge.
Don’t be a dinosaur and stick to what was instead of what there is!
Start researching other asset classes today.
Final words:
You’re your own worst enemy with trading.
Not any trader, analyst, company… You.
You need to stop procrastinating and start doing.
Only then you’ll see improvement, development and even mindset growth.
Let’s sum up potential reasons why you might be a mass procrastinator.
You Doubt Trades
Skip Trades
Skip Days
Forget Tracking
Forget Setups
Neglect Self-Education and adaptation
Procrastinating on Diversification
BULLISH AND BEARISH FLAG PATTERNSBullish and bearish flag patterns are common patterns in forex that are used by traders to determine potential price movement in a trending market. These patterns can provide clues about market sentiment and help us make informed decisions about when to enter or exit a trade. It should be remembered that this pattern is a continuation pattern, not a reversal pattern, as these patterns appear after a strong movement. How to apply in trading patterns bullish and bearish flag?
The bull flag pattern is a continuation pattern that forms after a strong upward price movement. This pattern is characterized by a sharp price rally, followed by a period of consolidation in the form of a descending channel or flag, and then a continuation of the movement. The flag is usually accompanied by a decrease in market volatility and momentum, which indicates a temporary pause in the uptrend. The price is resting after a strong bullish movement before continuing.
How to apply in trading?
1. Identify a strong upward movement (flagpole): The first step is to identify the flagpole of the initial strong upward price movement that precedes the formation of this pattern.
2. Flag formation: After identifying the flagpole, traders must draw a trend line connecting the highs and lows of the consolidation to see the flag pattern. You need to watch the price closely because this pattern can turn into an ascending triangle.
3. Breakout of the contraction: Then wait for a breakout above the upper trend line of the flag pattern, accompanied by an increase in momentum. A breakout of the co-principal level confirms the continuation of the uptrend and is a potential entry point for long positions. Usually the price makes a move equal to the flagpole, which gives an approximate take profit point.
Conversely, the bearish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that is formed after a strong downward price movement. This pattern is characterized by a sharp decline in price followed by a period of consolidation in the form of an ascending channel or flag. Similar to the bull flag pattern, the bear flag pattern is accompanied by a decrease in momentum, which indicates that the price is temporarily resting in a downtrend.
How to apply in trading?
1- Identify a strong bearish move (flagpole): The first step is to identify the flagpole of the initial strong downward price movement that precedes the formation of the flag pattern.
2. Flag formation: After identifying the flagpole, we must draw a trend line connecting the highs and lows of the consolidation boundary to recognize the flag pattern.
3. Waiting for support breakdown: We should wait for a breakdown of the lower trendline of the flag pattern, accompanied by an increase in price momentum. Such a breakdown confirms the continuation of the downtrend and is a potential entry point.
In conclusion, the use of bullish and bearish flag patterns in trading requires identifying a flagpole, building a flag pattern and waiting for a breakout to confirm the continuation of the trend. By understanding and effectively utilizing these patterns, we can enhance our analytical skills. This pattern can complement your existing trading method.
An optimal distribution of cryptocurrency holdings - Educational
Welcome to our video where we talk about the best way to spread out your crypto investments. We'll break down the key ideas and important things to think about when deciding where to put your money in the ever-changing world of cryptocurrencies.
If you have any questions Feel Free to reach out!
Five Habits for Safer TradingGreetings @TradingView community!
There are five everyday habits that can significantly limit your risk exposure and contribute to a more secure trading experience.
💜 If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜
1. The Imperative Trading Plan
Despite repeated emphasis, many traders still operate without a well-defined trading plan, succumbing to impulsive decisions. Every trader should have a plan specifying entry and exit points, curbing emotional reactions to adverse price movements. A trading plan acts as a compass, navigating the unpredictable seas of the financial markets.
2. Trading Detox: Take a Step Back
Feeling trapped in a trading rut? Fundamentals and technical analyses losing their edge? Taking a step back from trading provides a valuable reset. By disengaging emotionally from positions, traders gain a fresh perspective on market themes and chart patterns. A break allows for reflection on past trades, often revealing insights that lead to an improved trading plan upon return.
3. Profit Lock-in Strategy
Often overlooked, locking in profits on winning trades is a prudent risk management practice. While riding a trend is tempting, securing a portion of profits limits exposure to potential volatility. Following strategies like STA or scaling techniques, where positions are adjusted based on market conditions, allows traders to secure gains even if trends abruptly reverse.
4. Precision in Execution
The ease of electronic trading comes with a caveat—erroneous commands. The infamous "fat finger" event of May 2010, resulting in a trillion-dollar market drop, serves as a cautionary tale. Double, triple, and quadruple-checking your orders is crucial. Make reviewing commands a routine, taking only seconds of your time but preventing costly blunders.
5. Regular Withdrawals for Stability
While seeing an account grow is gratifying, regularly withdrawing profits is a prudent move. It prevents overexposure and guards against impulsive decisions associated with additional capital. Being consistently profitable requires a focus on the trading process rather than profits. Treat yourself to the fruits of your labor by withdrawing money, enjoying a well-deserved break, and maintaining a healthy trading perspective.
Incorporating these habits into your daily trading routine can enhance your risk management strategy, contributing to a safer and more successful trading experience.
Trading Strategies Based on Geopolitical RisksUnderstanding the influence of geopolitical events on trading is crucial for success, especially in the volatile forex market. This article delves into the types of geopolitical events that affect financial markets and provides key insights into risk management and strategic trading during such times.
Understanding Geopolitical Events
Geopolitical events refer to significant occurrences that impact the relations between nations on a global scale. These events can shape economic policies, trade relations, and international alliances, thereby exerting a considerable influence on financial markets.
Types of Geopolitical Events
These are the most common types of geopolitical events:
Political Elections and Transitions
Elections, whether presidential, parliamentary, or local, are pivotal events that can induce market volatility. For instance, the US Presidential election can affect not just American markets but also international equity, forex, and commodity markets.
Trade Negotiations and Agreements
Trade talks can either ease or escalate tensions between countries. A case in point is the US-China trade war, which impacted a variety of asset classes, from equities to commodities like soybeans and steel.
Military Conflicts and Terrorism
Military confrontations or acts of terrorism have immediate and often lasting impacts on markets. The uncertainty that follows such events tends to drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold or US Treasury bonds.
Economic Sanctions and Policy Changes
Sanctions or regulatory changes have a far-reaching impact. For example, the imposition of sanctions on Iran led to increased oil prices due to reduced global supply.
The Role of Sentiment and Market Psychology
Beyond the tangible impacts of geopolitical events, sentiment and market psychology play crucial roles in shaping market trends. Traders' perceptions and emotional responses to these events can significantly influence asset prices, often amplifying or mitigating the effects of the actual geopolitical occurrences.
Preparing for Geopolitical Event Trading
Here are some techniques that can help traders prepare for geopolitical events.
Risk Assessment and Strategy Selection
Accurately assessing the risks of geopolitical events is pivotal for traders. This involves a thorough evaluation of the event’s potential market impact and selecting a trading strategy aligned with the identified risks. Some may opt for low-risk day trading strategies to mitigate short-term volatility while still participating in market movements.
Building a Geopolitical Event Trading Toolkit
Keeping an eye on reliable research sources and news feeds is crucial. These sources offer insights into the geopolitical landscape, aiding traders in making calculated moves. Economic calendars serve as another invaluable tool, marking crucial dates that could influence asset prices.
[Risk Management and Capital Allocation
Effective risk management strategies in the stock market often involve setting precise stop-loss and take-profit levels. In forex, risk management techniques may differ slightly but generally rely on these same measures. Defining these levels helps to mitigate losses while capitalising on gains. Equally important is the concept of position sizing and leveraging, which directly influences the level of risk a trader is exposed to.
Event-Driven Trading
In a trading environment rife with geopolitical risk, trading strategies typically focus on three crucial timeframes: before, during, and after a significant geopolitical event.
Trading Leading Up to the Event
In the run-up to a known geopolitical occurrence, traders often adopt a cautious stance. Here, the emphasis is on accumulating information and adjusting trading strategy to mitigate undue risks. Asset diversification and hedging are common practices during this period.
Trading the Event Itself
As the event unfolds, market volatility usually spikes. Traders need to be agile, adapting their strategies to real-time information. High-risk, high-reward assets may provide substantial returns, but they should be approached cautiously, especially in forex markets where volatility is already high. Here, strong risk management when trading forex becomes crucial, as the market can move rapidly and unexpectedly.
Post-Event Trading Strategies
After the event concludes, markets often go through a period of correction or consolidation. It's essential for traders to reevaluate their positions and strategies in light of the new geopolitical landscape. This post-event period is an opportune time to reassess asset allocation and risk parameters.
Trading Strategies for Geopolitical Events
In the tumultuous landscape created by geopolitical events, traders often resort to specific strategies to mitigate risks and capitalise on market movements. The particular assets that appreciate or depreciate can be context-dependent, but there are general trends to watch for.
To observe how these markets move during geopolitical events, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. There, you’ll find 1,200+ trading tools ready to help you navigate the markets with confidence.
Safe-Haven Assets
Traditionally, assets like gold and US Treasury bonds have served as safe havens during times of geopolitical unrest. For example, significant military conflicts that have a global impact often drive up gold prices as investors seek stability.
Safe-Haven Currencies
In the forex risk management, the US dollar, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen are commonly considered safe-haven currencies. These currencies typically appreciate when uncertainty rises as investors look for less risky assets.
Diversification
Maintaining a diversified portfolio can help traders lessen their exposure to any single asset that might be adversely affected by geopolitical factors. For instance, sanctions on oil-producing countries could potentially lead to higher oil prices. Traders might consider investing in oil futures or related equities in anticipation of such an event.
The Bottom Line
Navigating the markets during geopolitical events requires keen awareness, thorough preparation, and strategic execution. This article aims to equip traders with the insights and tools needed for such endeavours. For those looking to apply these principles in a real-world trading environment, consider opening an FXOpen account to trade the safe-haven assets and currencies discussed here.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bitcoin: The Future Of MoneyBitcoin, the world's first and most prominent cryptocurrency, has sparked a revolution in the financial landscape, challenging conventional notions of money and paving the way for a decentralized digital economy. Its potential to transform the future of money is undeniable, but its journey towards widespread adoption is still in its early stages.
Decentralized Digital Currency
Bitcoin's core innovation lies in its decentralized nature. Unlike traditional currencies controlled by central banks, Bitcoin operates on a distributed ledger technology called blockchain, where transactions are recorded across a vast network of computers. This eliminates the need for intermediaries like banks, empowering individuals to take control of their finances and fostering greater financial inclusion.
Key Features of Bitcoin
Several characteristics make Bitcoin a compelling alternative to traditional currencies:
Decentralization: Bitcoin is not controlled by any government or institution, reducing the risk of manipulation and promoting financial independence.
Transparency: All Bitcoin transactions are publicly visible on the blockchain, ensuring transparency and accountability.
Security: Bitcoin's cryptographic underpinnings make it highly secure, preventing counterfeiting and double-spending.
Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is limited to 21 million coins, preventing inflation and maintaining its value over time.
Potential Impact on the Future of Money
Bitcoin's potential to transform the future of money is multifaceted:
Cross-border payments: Bitcoin can facilitate fast, low-cost international transactions, eliminating the barriers and costs associated with traditional remittance systems.
Financial inclusion: Bitcoin can provide financial access to the unbanked and underbanked populations, particularly in developing countries.
Innovation in financial services: Bitcoin can foster the development of new financial services and products, such as decentralized finance (DeFi) and micropayments.
Challenges and Uncertainties
Despite its potential, Bitcoin faces several challenges that could hinder its widespread adoption:
Volatility: Bitcoin's value has historically been highly volatile, making it a risky investment and deterring its use as a daily currency.
Regulation: Governments worldwide are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies, creating uncertainty for businesses and investors.
Scalability: Bitcoin's transaction processing speed is limited, which could pose a challenge as its usage increases.
Adoption by merchants: The acceptance of Bitcoin as a means of payment is still limited, hindering its practicality for everyday transactions.
Conclusion: A Promising Future
Bitcoin's potential to revolutionize the future of money is evident. Its decentralized nature, security, and transparency offer a compelling alternative to traditional currencies, particularly in areas like cross-border payments and financial inclusion. While challenges such as volatility and regulation remain, Bitcoin's underlying technology and its potential to disrupt the financial landscape make it a force to be reckoned with in the future of money.
Quantitative Tightening Effects on the Markets This video tutorial discussion:
• What is QE and QT?
• Each impact to the stock market
• The latest QT, how will the stock market into 2024?
Dow Jones Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation
E-mini Dow Jones Futures
1.0 index point = $5.00
Code: YM
Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures
1.0 index point = $0.50
Code: MYM
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Understanding GDP Growth: A Key Indicator of Economic HealthIntroduction
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into the overall health and performance of a country's economy. As a comprehensive measure of a nation's economic activity, GDP growth reflects the value of all goods and services produced within a country over a specific period. In this article, we will explore the significance of GDP growth, its components, and the impact it has on various aspects of a nation's well-being.
Definition and Components of GDP
GDP is the total value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given time frame. It is commonly calculated quarterly and annually. There are three main ways to measure GDP: the production approach, the income approach, and the expenditure approach. Each approach provides a unique perspective on economic activity.
Production Approach: This method calculates GDP by adding up all the value-added at each stage of production. It includes the value of intermediate goods and services to avoid double counting.
Income Approach: GDP can also be measured by summing up all the incomes earned by individuals and businesses within a country, including wages, profits, and taxes minus subsidies.
Expenditure Approach: This approach calculates GDP by summing up all the expenditures made in the economy. It includes consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports (exports minus imports).
Importance
Here are some of the primary reasons why GDP growth is considered important:
Economic Health - GDP growth is a fundamental measure of a country's economic health. A positive growth rate indicates that the economy is expanding, producing more goods and services over time. This growth is essential for creating jobs, increasing incomes, and improving overall living standards.
Job Creation - A growing economy often leads to increased employment opportunities. As businesses expand to meet rising demand for goods and services, they hire more workers, reducing unemployment rates and contributing to a more robust labor market.
Income Generation - GDP growth is linked to the overall income generated within a country. As the economy expands, incomes generally rise, providing individuals and households with more financial resources. This, in turn, contributes to an improvement in the standard of living.
Investment Climate - Investors and businesses often use GDP growth as a critical factor in assessing the attractiveness of a country for investment. A growing economy suggests potential opportunities for businesses to thrive, encouraging both domestic and foreign investments.
Government Policy - Policymakers use GDP growth data to formulate economic policies. High GDP growth rates may lead to expansionary policies aimed at sustaining economic momentum, while low or negative growth rates may prompt policymakers to adopt measures to stimulate economic activity.
Consumer and Business Confidence - Positive GDP growth contributes to increased confidence among consumers and businesses. When people perceive a growing economy, they are more likely to spend money, and businesses are more inclined to invest and expand.
International Competitiveness - A country with a strong and growing economy is often viewed as more competitive on the global stage. A robust GDP growth rate enhances a nation's economic influence and can attract international trade and investment.
Government Revenues - Higher GDP growth rates can lead to increased tax revenues for the government. This additional income can be used to fund public services, infrastructure projects, and social programs, contributing to the overall development of the nation.
Debt Management - Economic growth can help manage a country's debt burden. A growing economy typically generates more revenue, making it easier for the government to service its debt without relying excessively on borrowing.
Poverty Reduction - Sustainable GDP growth is often associated with poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, helping to lift people out of poverty.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth stands as a cornerstone in understanding and evaluating a nation's economic well-being. Through its comprehensive measurement of all goods and services produced within a country, GDP growth provides valuable insights into economic health, job creation, income generation, and various other facets that collectively contribute to the overall prosperity of a nation.
The three approaches to measuring GDP—production, income, and expenditure—offer distinct perspectives, ensuring a holistic understanding of economic activity. The importance of GDP growth cannot be overstated, as it serves as a fundamental gauge of a country's economic trajectory and influences crucial decision-making processes at both the individual and policy levels.
The positive correlation between GDP growth and job creation underscores the role of a thriving economy in fostering employment opportunities and contributing to a robust labor market. Additionally, the impact on income generation translates into an improved standard of living for individuals and households, reflecting the tangible benefits of economic expansion.
Investors and businesses keenly observe GDP growth as a key indicator when evaluating the potential for investment. Government policymakers, armed with GDP data, craft strategies to either sustain economic momentum or stimulate activity, underscoring the pivotal role GDP growth plays in shaping economic policies.
The ripple effects of GDP growth extend to consumer and business confidence, international competitiveness, government revenues, and effective debt management. A growing economy not only instills confidence but also attracts global trade and investment, positioning the nation favorably on the international stage.
Perhaps most importantly, sustainable GDP growth is intricately linked to poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, contributing to the uplifting of individuals and communities from poverty.
In essence, the study of GDP growth goes beyond mere economic statistics; it serves as a compass guiding nations towards prosperity, inclusive development, and an improved quality of life for their citizens. Recognizing the multi-dimensional impact of GDP growth enables policymakers, businesses, and individuals to make informed decisions that foster long-term economic well-being and societal advancement.
How To Build A Trading Journal That Helps You Make MoneyHey everyone!
In this video, we discuss why trading journals are important, talk about how to avoid common pitfalls in using them, and go over the keys to implementing one successfully in your own trading.
Over time, a well-crafted trading journal can actually help you make money, while building out the most important skill you can acquire as a trader: pattern recognition.
We also cover three main principles that you can use if you already have a journal set up that isn't working as you'd like. Be sure to:
1.) Keep it simple.
2.) Track the right things.
3.) Follow up regularly.
Do these, and it's impossible you won't get significantly better over the next 6 months - year.
Cheers!
Looking for more high-quality trade ideas? Follow us below. ⬇️⬇️
How AI will revolutionise the trading world – 14 WaysThe era of AI has unleashed in almost every aspect of our lives.
And I believe that there will soon be a seismic shift in financial trading with AI.
I feel it’s my duty to share some of the ways, we will incorporate, adapt and integrate AI into trading.
To explain in simple terms…
AI is a concept to teach machines, robots and computers how to perform human actions. And trading is just another element that AI will apply to.
Let’s start…
#1: AI Trading Bots
We’ve had EA (Expert Advisors), chat bots and machine learning when it comes to trading.
As AI adapts more into the financial world, they will be able to signal, alert and even optimise our trading strategies, risk management and financial profile.
#2: AI will alert more markets into our watch lists
Not all markets work with our trading strategies.
Right now we have to manually search for different markets to back, forward and real test.
Once AI adapts to our trading strategy, it will be able to pinpoint the most efficient and effective markets to include into our trading arsenal.
#3: Real-time risk management
AI’s rapid data processing will be able to identify our risk profile.
In the near future, it will be able to identify not only trading setups, but also the volume we’ll need to buy or sell to enter or exit a trade.
It will alert us when trades are ready to go and will ask us whether we want to go ahead and action the high probability trades (according to our risk management.
#4: Algorithmic automatic trading
Once we lay out the parameters of what we want our AI trading bots to do, they will be your employee.
They’ll be able to take action while you’re away such as:
Layout the chart setups
Plug in the trading levels (entry, stop loss and take profits)
Execute trades on our behalf
They will work for us, which will limit our time staring at screens.
#5: Sentiment Analysis: Read the market’s mood
This tool will help us identify who’s dominant in the markets.
Are the bulls or bears stronger.
It will then give us a gauge meter to tell us whether demand or supply is higher.
And this will help us make calculated decisions, based on our own trading analyses.
#6. Freeing humans from the grind
When AI takes over our trading, it will do all of the mundane tasks for us.
It’ll focus on:
What markets work best with the system
Which markets to remove from the watch list and
whether we are in favourable or unfavourable terrorist according to our system
This will free traders from spending hours behind a screen on the daily.
#7: Automation: Back and forward testing
When AI learns a system with the right parameters and criteria, it will be able to backtest for us.
It’ll be able to go through hundreds of trades in the past and will provide a full review of the stats and measures.
It’ll tell us the:
trades
of winners and losers
Win and loss rate
Average winner and loser per trades
Costs, risks and losses
Accumulation of profit and losses and more…
#8. Pre-emptive fraud detectors
AI doesn’t just detect fraud—it sniffs out all the unregulated and fraudulent type companies, brokers, market makers.
It also analyses the markets micro and macro analyses to see which companies are doing well, cooking the books and / or are red flags to buy or sell.
Its predictive capabilities will be able to save millions of traders from falling into financial trading traps and scams.
#9: Customizable AI trading assistants
Also, I bet we will see companies create their own trading assistants.
Similar to Siri, Alexa and Google.
You will have your own finance-savvy cousin ready to act on your trading needs.
Whether you want to trade, find setups, talk about tested systems, create new strategies, learn real time info about markets and instruments.
You’ll have your own AI trading assistant just call away.
#10: The rise of quantitative trading
Quant trading will soar to new heights.
AI will be able to crunch numbers and optimise strategies with high speed and precision.
This will make sense of complex financial models at lightning speed.
#11: Real-Time chart pattern identification
Eventually, AI will adapt machine and deep learning into charts.
We will finally see the day where market patterns, trends are identified on any time frame.
As they learn the bends, turns, vectors and consistency with the charts through predictive analysis from historical market data…
AI will adapt and learn to plot more accurate, recurring chart patterns and use them to predict future price movements on any market.
And AI will be able to scan hundreds of charts simultaneously and highlight significant patterns as they emerge. This will present high, medium and low probability setups for our trading.
#12: Past chart patterns predictive analyses
Not only will it identify real-time chart patterns.
It will also spot historical price patterns and insights that took place in the past.
This will help us to back test the systems and how they worked on particular markets.
AI will be able to identify the chart patterns that have proven to be most successful for that particular trader.
#13: Personalized and customised trading strategies
What if you have a new chart pattern you’d like to adapt into your analysis?
Well I’m sure AI will have the ability to learn, recognise and incorporate your chart patterns into the system.
This way you can personalise what chart patterns, candlestick patterns or strategies you would like customised to your style.
This means that each trader can have a unique set of chart patterns to look for, tailored to their trading style and risk tolerance.
This personalized approach can potentially enhance your trading performance and your profitability.
#14: Integration with other data sources
This will most likely be open-ended.
It’ll work via the network where AI will improve chart pattern recognition in financial trading by integrating with other data sources.
Imagine AI learns from millions of traders, millions of strategies, systems and new inputs.
I can only imagine that traditional manual chart pattern systems will be a thing of the past.
With the new set of systems, formation, price and volume data – we will see integration of brand new forms of analyses and strategies.
And this will bring a new era of financial trading.
Final Words and summary!
It’s all exciting and frightening at the same time.
Because with AI integration, we will see yet another shift in the algorithms and it’ll bring a new future for trading.
Only those who learn to adapt and evolve – will make it…
Let’s sum up all the AI elements that will we mentioned here.
#1: AI Trading Bots
#2: AI will alert more markets into our watch lists
#3: Real-time risk management
#4: Algorithmic automatic trading
#5: Sentiment Analysis: Read the market’s mood
#6. Freeing humans from the grind
#7: Automation: Back and forward testing
#8. Pre-emptive fraud detectors
#9: Customizable AI trading assistants
#10: The rise of quantitative trading
#11: Real-Time chart pattern identification
#12: Past chart patterns predictive analyses
#13: Personalized and customised trading strategies
#14: Integration with other data sources