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Fundamental Analysis

NEW TOKEN LISTING: A Double-Edged Sword for Investors💡 The cryptocurrency market is a realm of endless opportunities, where prices can fluctuate wildly, shooting up 5-10% in a single day in either direction. This volatility can be both exhilarating and intimidating, as it can either wipe out investors or leave them with a quick windfall. However, not everyone is suited to navigate this fast-paced landscape. For those seeking more conservative returns, there are other options available. On the other hand, there are those who are willing to take greater risks in pursuit of substantial profits. One such strategy is to buy coins during the pre-sale period and sell them at their initial listing on the exchange. This approach can be lucrative, as savvy investors can capitalize on the initial hype and sell their coins at a significant markup. To generate buzz and attract attention, many new projects offer their coins for free in exchange for performing simple tasks or purchasing them at a discounted rate. When these coins are listed on the exchange, their value tends to plummet due to oversupply and subsequent sales. However, for those who manage to get in early and sell their coins before the price drops, the potential for significant returns – even 100% or more – is very real. 📍 PRE-LISTING INVESTMENT Recently, a new earning opportunity emerged in the online space, with BINANCE:NOTUSDT being the center of attention. The project's developers cleverly leveraged their marketing expertise to create a buzz around the coin. As a result, it gained widespread visibility, with numerous media outlets and cryptocurrency channels promoting the project. The idea was to generate revenue by simply tapping on your smartphone screen, with active users potentially earning around $300-$400. However, as soon as the coin listed on Binance, its price took a drastic dip. The price recovered after a few weeks, though. In a recent analysis of cryptocurrency tokens listed on Binance, it was found that a staggering 80% of new tokens have lost significant value over the past six months. The notable exceptions to this trend are a few meme coins, including BINANCE:MEMEUSDT and BINANCE:WIFUSDT , as well as tokens associated with the Solana protocol. 📍 THE STUDY HIGHLIGHTS THE FOLLOWING KEY REASONS 1️⃣ Firstly, developers often artificially inflate the cost of their tokens by issuing them at an undervalued price, which creates a surge in demand. Simultaneously, they sell their own share of the tokens, reaping the benefits. 2️⃣ Moreover, many coins lack a genuine long-term investor base and a strong community backing. This lack of support can be a red flag, indicating that these coins may be pre-destined to fail as a potential scam. 3️⃣ Furthermore, listed coins often lack growth potential, failing to meet the criteria for a sound investment instrument. Instead, they tend to attract attention from insiders and retail buyers who are willing to take risks and gamble on their investment. A portfolio comprising newly listed coins suffered an 18% decline in value over the past six months, while the market's blue-chip coins enjoyed significant gains during the same period. This stark contrast has led analysts to sound the alarm, warning that such a phenomenon can have far-reaching implications for the market's integrity. When investors, serving as the primary source of liquidity, inject their funds into poorly performing projects, they become disillusioned with the entire market. As a result, their money migrates towards established coins, leaving new initiatives struggling to secure funding and ultimately forcing them to shut down. Even innovative ideas with great potential are stifled by a lack of interest and resources. The solution to this problem lies in stricter regulation by cryptocurrency exchanges, which currently allow unscrupulous projects to exploit the market. However, exchanges are driven by profit, so this issue remains unresolved for now. 📍 CONCLUSION Identifying a token with potential for significant profit after listing can be a challenging and high-risk endeavor. The key factor in determining success is the interest of investors. If a coin is solely speculative, it is likely to experience a decline in value after listing. Conversely, if a token is backed by developers and has inherent value, it may have a chance to grow. However, with the vast majority of new tokens being scams, the risk of loss is significantly higher than the potential gain from a successful investment. From a risk perspective, this investment model appears unreasonable compared to long-term investments in established coins like BINANCE:BTCUSDT or top-tier cryptocurrencies. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment📣
Education
by Lingrid
5
Can Hamster Kombat become another Notcoin(NOT)!?Today, I want to examine a new Telegram game that has become very trending and see if the Hamster Kombat project can be another Notcoin(NOT) . You have probably heard about the Hamster Komba game in the past few weeks at work, school , university , and in the family (maybe even the notification of people joining your contact in Telegram is a lot for you😂). I suggest you read this article to find out if Hamster Kombat is worth your time or not. Please stay with me. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- What is Hamster Kombat? Hamster Kombat is a Tap-to-earn type of game that is activated on the Telegram platform . This game was officially launched on March 25, 2024 on the TON network. Hamster Combat currently has more than 60 million users , with more than 24 million active users The game allows players to manage a virtual cryptocurrency exchange and earn in-game coins, which can subsequently be converted into real tokens to withdraw the earned funds. The gameplay is similar to the popular game Notcoin. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Now, let's check the Hamster Kombat project with the help of SWOT ( Strengths - Weaknesses - Opportunities - Threats ). What is the SWOT!? SWOT ( Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats ) analysis is a framework used to evaluate a company's competitive position and to develop strategic planning. SWOT analysis assesses internal and external factors, as well as current and future potential. 🔸 Strengths : More interesting game than Notcoin _ High number of active users (Notcoin less than 40 million users) _ Good marketing _ Very good conditions on social media _ Having a road map. 🔸 Weaknesses : No whitepaper _ Poor website _ Not having a clear future for the Hamster Kombat project _ The total number of tokens is not clear - the distribution method may not be fair _ the development team is unclear _ wastes a lot of energy and time. 🔸 Opportunities : Hard Forks to improve the Hamster Kombat project_ Willingness of big investors to invest _ Improving the website and white paper. 🔸 Threats : High number of miners _ Emergence of Whales _Unspecified fee_ Hackers _ Competitors. Can you add other parameters to the options above or not!? ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion : Due to the fact that there are more Tap-to-Earn games these days, we should be a little careful in choosing the game, because no matter what you like, you will eventually have an income for the time you spend. According to the above description and the information so far about the Hamster Kombat project, it seems that considering the high number of active users, the token of this project will be listed at least because of its attractiveness for exchanges (volume trading). The point here is whether you can earn for the time you spend or not? Because this game seems to take more time than the similar Notcoin project, so in conclusion, I recommend you look at the Hamster Kombat game as a side hobby and not spend all your time on a project that is uncertain. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Education
by pejman_zwin
13
WHAT IS TRADING ACCOUNT DRAWDOWN | 3 Types Of Drawdown Explained In my videos, I frequently use the term "trading account drawdown ". Many of you asked me to explain the meaning of that term and share some examples. What is Trading Account Drawdown? The account drawdown is the highest observed loss from the highest value of the deposit to the lowest value of the deposit at a certain period of time. Imagine you started to trade with 10,000$ account. At the end of the year, your account size reached 15,000$ . However, at some point through the year the deposit value dropped to 6,000$ . It was the absolute minimum for the one-year period. At some point, your net loss was -4,000$ or 40% of your account balance. The account drawdown is 40% . ❗️Knowing the account drawdown is very important for the risk assessment of the trading strategy. Usually, 50% and bigger drawdown signifies an extremely high risk. 3 Types of Drawdown 1. Current drawdown - a temporary drawdown associated with the negative total value of opened trading position(s) at present. Once you start trading with 10,000$ deposit, you open several trading positions. Being opened, with the constant price movements, your potential gains fluctuates from positive to negative. For example, with 3 active trades : EURUSD ( -500$ at present); GBPUSD ( +200$ at present); GOLD ( -100$ at present) Your current account drawdown is -400$ or 4% of your deposit. 2. Fixed drawdown - the negative value of the closed trading position(s) at present for a certain period of time. While some of your trades remain active, some are already closed . Imagine the same deposit - 10,000$ . On Monday you opened 6 trades, 2 still remain active ; 4 are already closed . Your total loss from your closed trades is -500$. Your fixed Monday's drawdown is 5%. 3. Maximum Drawdown - the maximum observed loss from the highest value of the deposit before a new maximum is reached. Starting to trade with 10,000$ you are already trading for 5 years . Your account were growing rapidly and at some moment it reached 25,000$ . Then the recession started. You faced a dramatic loss of 12,500$ before you started to recover. That was the maximum observed loss for the period. Your maximum account drawdown was 50% . ❗️Different types of drawdown give a lot of insights about a trading strategy. Its proper assessment will help to spot a high risk strategy and to find a conservative one. Constantly monitor your account drawdown and always check the numbers. What is your highest account drawdown?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
What Traders and Rock Climbers Have in Common!This post is inspired by @TradingView's rebranding in 2021 and the recent Leap competition. At first glance, trading and rock climbing might seem worlds apart. One involves analyzing market trends, while the other requires physical strength and agility. However, both pursuits share surprising similarities, highlighting unique skills and mindsets. Here’s a look at what traders and rock climbers have in common. ⚙️ Risk Management: Both traders and rock climbers excel at managing risk. Traders use strategies like stop-loss orders and portfolio diversification to protect their capital. Rock climbers assess risks, use safety equipment, and plan routes to avoid danger. Effective risk management is crucial in both fields to prevent catastrophic outcomes. 💡Mental Toughness: Traders face market fluctuations and must make quick decisions under pressure. Rock climbers need to stay focused and composed while navigating challenging routes. Both activities demand mental resilience to overcome fear, maintain focus, and make calculated decisions. 📊 Strategic Planning: Success in trading and rock climbing involves strategic planning. Traders develop strategies based on market analysis and economic indicators, while rock climbers meticulously plan their ascents, studying routes and assessing conditions. Strategic planning helps achieve goals efficiently in both areas. ⚖️ Adaptability: Adaptability is key for both traders and rock climbers. Market conditions can change rapidly, requiring traders to adjust their strategies. Rock climbers face changing conditions like weather and rock quality, adapting their techniques to overcome obstacles and reach their objectives. 📜 Continuous Learning: Both traders and rock climbers are committed to continuous learning. Traders stay updated on market trends and new tools, while rock climbers seek to improve their skills and stay informed about gear and safety practices. The pursuit of knowledge drives success in both fields. 🧘‍♂️ Focus on Execution: Execution is crucial in trading and rock climbing. Traders need precision, timing, and discipline to execute trades effectively. Rock climbers must execute their moves with precision and confidence to progress safely. The ability to execute under pressure is essential for success in both activities. 🔄Passion and Commitment: Passion and commitment are integral to both trading and rock climbing. Traders have a deep interest in financial markets, while rock climbers are driven by their love for the sport and adventure. This passion fuels their dedication, driving them to invest time and effort into their pursuits. 🧗‍♀️ Conclusion: Despite their apparent differences, trading and rock climbing share many commonalities. Both require effective risk management, mental toughness, strategic planning, adaptability, continuous learning, focus on execution, and a deep-seated passion. Recognizing these parallels can provide valuable insights and inspiration for those engaged in either pursuit, highlighting the universal qualities that drive success in diverse fields. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
10
UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown. 👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈 Price Action Analysis And this is the accumulation stage - 1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move. - Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. 2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. - Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. 3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline. - A wave of buying easily pushes prices up. - The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation. 4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand. - If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. - It is common to have multiple STs after an SC. 5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. 6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS. 7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume. All the phases of accumulation stage- Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. -- Up to this point, supply has been dominant. -- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). -- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. -- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. -- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above. Phase B: -- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend -- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. --There are usually multiple STs during Phase B' -- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range. --Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. Phase C: -- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply. -- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). -- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position. -- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. Phase D: --During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top --LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. Phase E: --large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. --These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets. -------------------------------------------------- Regards, Revive Traders ------------------------------------------------ Guys check out the related POST as well, it went FANTASTIC ! 🙏FOLLOW for more ! 👍LIKE if U find it useful ! ✍COMMENT your views & feedback !
NSE:UPLEducation
by ReviveTraders
GOLD Trading: 8 Mistakes Traders MUST Avoid in a Bull Market The unstoppable uptrend on Gold may cause irrational and very costly decisions . For the past 6 months, we've seen an unprecedented surge, with new highs being set almost daily. In this article, we will discuss critical mistakes that traders often make in the midst of such a bullish run and explore the strategies to maximize your gains. 1. Technical Indicators Lie Always remember that technical indicators that measure the momentum or strength of a market trend, that show the overbought and oversold conditions, fail miserably in strong bullish or bearish rallies. I am talking about such indicators as Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving average convergence/divergence, Stochastic, etc. The fact that one of these indicators show overbought condition or even a bullish divergence most of the time will be a false signal. Above is the example of an overbought RSI on Gold chart on a daily. After the market became overbought, it went 1000 pips higher before the first pullback. 2. It is Never too High When the market starts setting new all-time highs, people typically start saying that the price is already "too high" and start closing their long positions or even open short positions. Remember, that the notion of too high is very subjective. Look at a bullish rally on Gold in 2020. I well remember that when the market updated a yearly high in April, People start staying that it is already "too high". However, the market kept rallying for 4 consequent months, constantly updating the highs. Such a market behavior may persist for a significant period of time, be prepared for that. 3. Beware of Overconfidence Even though bullish rallies may be long, always remember that they can not last forever. At some moment, correction or even bearish reversal will occur. For that reason, open long positions carefully, setting realistic targets. 4. Protect Your Gains and Maximize Your Profits When the market is trading in the uncharted territory, it is almost impossible to predict where it will find the resistance. With a take profit level, you may close the trade too soon. If you see that the market is driven by euphoria and keeps setting new all-time highs, remove take profit and apply a trailing stop instead. Keep that below the recent supports, use ATR or some other classic technical tool. That will help you to benefit from the entire rally. 5. DON'T SELL BULLISH RALLY When the market is driven by greed, euphoria or fear, never go against the market. The chance that you will accurately predict the turning point is close to 0. 6. Beware of Lower Time Frame Bearish Patterns In a strong bullish trend, classic bearish reversal pattern have low accuracy, especially on minutes time frames. Look at a sequence of double tops on 15 minutes time frame. These patterns are a great example of manipulations and how smart money induce retail traders to start shorting. In a such a strong bullish trend, the only strategy to rely on is trend-following trading. 7. Do Not Rely On News In times of strong bullish/bearish rallies, the data in economic calendar and important news releases stop giving the reliable signals. In times of bulls/bearish runs, emotions become the main driver of the markets, not the fundamental data. 8. If You Missed It, Let It Go I can imagine, how terrible you may feel yourself if you did not manage to buy Gold on a good price. It's sad, and it is painful to watch how the market goes higher and higher without you. But always remember a simple rule: if you missed the rally, let it go. With each new high that the market sets, your potential gains drop dramatically. I hope that these tips will help you not get burned while Gold is on fire. Stay calm and patient, and do not let your emotions intervene. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Crypto wallets beginners guideUnderstanding Cryptocurrency Wallets What is a Cryptocurrency Wallet? When we think of a wallet, we usually imagine a pocket accessory holding cash and cards. However, digital currencies don't exist in a physical form or specific location. Cryptocurrencies, account balances, and transactions exist on a blockchain. What is Blockchain? Blockchain is a term for a continuously updated ledger of transactions. How Do Cryptocurrency Wallets Work? A cryptocurrency wallet has software that creates and stores your private and public keys, interacts with the blockchain, monitors your balances, and allows you to send and receive cryptocurrency. Think of it as a key to access your funds on the blockchain. Simplified Analogy: Online Banking Imagine your bank is the blockchain, your bank account number is the public key, your crypto wallet is your online banking app, and your login credentials are your private key. • Bank as Blockchain: The bank records all transactions to and from your account, just like the blockchain records transactions to and from your public key. • Online Banking App as Crypto Wallet: You use the app to check balances and make transactions, similar to how you use a crypto wallet. • Login Credentials as Private Key: Your username and password are needed to access your account, just like your private key is needed to access your cryptocurrency. • Public Key as Bank Account Number: Providing your bank account number allows people to send you money, similar to how a public key allows people to send you cryptocurrency. However, they can’t take funds without your private key. Importance of Private Keys: It's crucial to keep your private key private. If someone gains access to it, they can transfer your funds, and unlike traditional banking, there's no way to recover lost cryptocurrency. Types of Cryptocurrency Wallets Cryptocurrency wallets are broadly categorized into hot and cold wallets. Hot Wallets Hot wallets create and store your private keys online, making them more vulnerable to hacks. Examples include desktop or mobile app wallets. Cold Wallets Cold wallets, or hardware wallets, create and store your private keys offline, offering the highest level of security. Examples include devices like BC Vault and the Ledger Nano Backup Pack. Setting Up Your Own Crypto Wallet Step-by-Step Guide: 1. Download the App: Go to the App Store or Google Play and search for the wallet you want and Download the app. 2. Create a New Wallet: Open the app and tap “Create New Wallet.” 3. Accept Terms: Review and accept the terms of service. 4. Pick a Username: Choose a username for receiving crypto easily. 5. Set Privacy Preferences: Choose whether to allow others to search for you by username. 6. Add Security: Use face ID or set up a 6-digit passcode for extra security. 7. Back Up Your Wallet: Write down the 12-word recovery phrase on paper and store it securely. This phrase is your private key. Transferring Crypto from an Exchange 1. Log in to Your Exchange. 2. Send Crypto: Tap “Send,” choose the cryptocurrency, and enter the amount. 3. Enter Wallet Address: Use the QR code or paste the address from your wallet. 4. Confirm and Send: Verify the details and complete the transaction. Eureka Moment: The Importance of Recovery Phrases If someone gets hold of your 12-word recovery phrase, they can access your funds. This demonstrates the critical importance of keeping your private key secure. Conclusion: Storing your cryptocurrency on a hardware wallet is the safest, most secure way to manage your funds. Follow the steps outlined to set up your wallet, transfer your funds securely, and always protect your private key. For further security, use the official links provided to purchase recommended hardware wallets. Stay safe and happy investing!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Is trading really gambling? Yes and no!I know why you’re NOT trading. You think trading is nothing more than gambling. I get emails every day from members saying things like. “Timon trading seems like going to the casino”. “Timon I don’t want to put money into something that’s gambling” “Timon thanks but I don’t gamble” So you’re not trading because you think it’s like gambling. Well, before you send me another email like this – Please make sure you read this carefully. Let’s dive into the heated debate and let’s see if I agree whether trading is just gambling. Does Timon think trading is just gambling? YES! I do believe trading is a form of gambling. BUT – hold on… Gambling exists in two realms. Chance vs. Strategy There is chance gambling and strategic gambling. Chance gambling is similar to playing slot machines, lotteries, and coin tosses. It’s 50/50. And it’s all up to chance. Have you ever heard of a professional slots player or coin flipper? I don’t think so. Then in the other realm of gambling is known as strategic gambling. The strategic domain is where skill, knowledge, risk management, methodology, probabilities and decision-making play crucial roles. And that my friend, is why I believe trading is a form of strategic gambling. You do get professional and successful poker and black jack players, sports bettors and of course traders. Right? And that’s because you need skill, strategies and the right techniques to WIN as oppose to mere luck. So before you quit trading because you think it’s nothing more than gambling, allow me to go one step further. Let’s talk about the similarities between certain strategic gambling games and see how we can learn from them with trading. Strategic Game #1: Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management Poker and trading share a few similarities. They both emphasize skill, strategy, and a sprinkle of luck. But you need a deep understanding of the rules. You need keen observation of the competitors. You need adeptness at risk, reward and money management. Poker players and traders alike must know when to hold their ground and when to fold. Poker players put their cards down when the probability is low. Traders either don’t take the trade, risk little in medium probability trades and use tools like stop losses to risk little. Poker also teaches the importance of emotional control and patience. And these as I have written many times before, are crucial in trading. Because emotional decisions can lead to significant losses with both poker and with trading. Next game… Game #2: Trading and Roulette Playing the probabilities It may seem at first that roulette leans more towards chance. Red or black, odd or even etc… But the fact that you have a choice, means that it offers you some form of probability. A fundamental concept in trading are probabilities. Traders, like professional roulette players, use statistical analysis to help make informed and better decisions. It is unpredictable what the ball will land on. Just like it is unpredictable which way the market will go. But if you have a sound system, proven track record and winning strategy – you will be able to base the probabilities and tilt the odds in your favour – over time. In trading, while certain market movements can’t be predicted with absolute certainty, we rely heavily on technical, fundamental, statistical analysis and probabilities to make trading decisions. Trading, much like roulette, is where you need to diversify your positions and bets. And you can WIN in the long run if you follow your high probability strategy. Game #3: Trading and Blackjack How a maths boffon can win overtime In blackjack, players make strategic decisions to outmaneuver the dealer. The main goal is to try and get the cards we’re dealt to hit 21, be close to 21 or be closer to 21 than our opponent’s hand. Bet too high past 21 and you burn (lose). This is similar to trading. You need to be able to analyse the marker conditions. You need to be able to calculate your position sizes and risk management according to your trade line up. Both games need you to have a balance of risk, strategy, and knowledge to succeed. Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing Know your horse! Now this is a game that has turned many statisticians into multi millionaires. Horse racing is where you need to know and choose the right horse that will win based on its: Form Characteristics Conditions of the race Weather on the day and other factors. They study the characteristics, and race conditions to a T. They calculate based on past performance on which horse has the higher probability of winning. Traders need to know their horses (markets) too. Every market you choose to trade, has its own personality, form, movements, and style. You need to check to see if the chosen market has worked for your trading system and portfolio over time. And you need to choose the right time, market environment and other factors – before you take on the trade. In horse racing, experienced bettors also diversify their bets across multiple races and horses to spread risk. With trading we diversify our portfolios over different accounts, markets, sectors, instruments and types. Finally let’s talk about the last game: Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting The power of predictive analysis Sports betting, much like trading, relies on predictive analysis to almost see potential outcomes. If you understand a team’s performance, strategy, and conditions – You will be able to make better betting decisions for the next game. As a sports bettor you definitely need to know how to analyse a team’s or player’s form, weather conditions, past scores and more to predict an outcome. Whether it’s football, rugby or cricket – you need to have your winning game plan to increase your chances of winning the bet. Traders do the same. They have different markets like sports bettors have different games. Traders also conduct similar technical, fundamental, sentimental, volume analyses to help predict potential market movements. Both activities involve calculated risk-taking, aiming for high-probability successes based on thorough research and analysis. Final words: So, as you can see trading is MORE than just gambling. Unlike games of pure chance, trading is a disciplined, analytical pursuit that shares more in common with skill-based gambling. It does require you however to have the right knowledge, strategy, and strong risk, reward and money management. Let’s sum up the games and sports vs trading so you can remember what we’ve covered today: Game #1: Trading and Poker – The art of strategy and risk management Game #2: Trading and Roulette – Playing the probabilities Game #3: Trading and Blackjack – How a maths boffon can win overtime Game #4: Trading and Horse Racing – Know your horse! Game #5: Trading and Sports Betting – The power of predictive analysis DO YOU THINK TRADING IS LIKE GAMBLING?
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
Investing in the Absa Gold ETF listed on the NSEHello, Investors in Kenya and the wider East African region have long had the opportunity to trade in Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) following the launch of the Absa NewGold ETF on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE). This groundbreaking ETF, also listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), has enabled investors to invest in an instrument that tracks the price of gold bullion, providing a stable and reliable investment option. The Barclays NewGold ETF, a product of NewGold Issuer (RF) Limited, with Barclays Financial Services Limited (BFSL) as the authorized representative in Kenya, trades like a normal equity security and is subject to similar tax treatments, denominated in Kenyan Shillings (KES). The ETF's price reflects the KES equivalent of the international market price of gold in USD. Each NewGold security corresponds to approximately 1/100th of an ounce of gold held in a secure depository, backed by physical gold, ensuring its value aligns with the gold market. Since its introduction, the NewGold ETF has positioned Kenya as a significant player in the ETF market within the Barclays Africa Group. Valued at approximately USD 1.4 billion at launch, it remains the largest gold ETF in Africa and one of the largest globally. The initial offering of 400,000 units valued at nearly half a billion shillings demonstrated strong market potential, with continued growth over the years. This ETF is a critical product of financial innovation, common in developed markets, offering benefits such as risk diversification, portfolio diversification, and ease of transaction. The NSE continues to support the growth of the ETF market through dedicated business development and public education programs, encouraging more investor participation. First listed in South Africa in 2004, the NewGold ETF has successfully expanded to Botswana, Nigeria, Ghana, Mauritius, and Namibia. Managed by NewGold Manager (Pty) Ltd, the ETF ensures that the gold is of South African origin, securely held by ICBC Standard Bank, insured, allocated, and independently audited. For investors looking to diversify their portfolios and invest in a stable asset, the Barclays NewGold ETF remains an attractive option. Kenya's robust position as a leading stock market hub in Sub-Saharan Africa, now enhanced by its established ETF market, offers a promising investment landscape for both local and international investors.
NSEKE:GLDEducation
by thesharkke
Foreign exchange trading skills worth collecting (Part 2) Continuing from the previous article; 25. Observe the magnitude of market changes: When the market falls (rises) with the same small amount every day, it may be a signal of a rebound (fall). 26. The dense area is likely to form a support belt or pressure belt: The dense area can be regarded as an obstacle to slow down the market price fluctuations. Once the trading range is broken, the price will make progress. Generally speaking, the longer the trading range lasts, the greater the price movement after the breakout. 27. Significant price rises and falls are often accompanied by key reversals: When the price hits a new high on high trading volume, then falls and closes lower than the previous day, it is usually a reversal phenomenon in the uptrend. The reversal in the downtrend is that the price first goes down, then rebounds strongly on the same day, and finally closes at a higher closing price than the previous day. 28. Pay attention to the head and shoulders pattern: When a head and shoulders pattern is formed on the price chart, it is usually a signal of a big rise. The appearance of the head and shoulders will not be clear until the second shoulder rebounds or pulls back to the level. 29. Pay attention to the highest point of "M" and the lowest point of "W": When the market trend forms a large M on the price chart, it suggests that you can sell. When it forms a W, it suggests that the price will rise. 30. Buy and sell at three highs and three lows: When the market climbs to a peak for the second or third time, it is a bearish signal; otherwise, it is a bullish signal. 31. Observe changes in trading volume: When trading volume rises with price, it is a buy signal. When trading volume increases and prices fall, it is a sell signal, but when trading volume decreases, no matter how the price moves, it is a wait-and-see or expecting a reversal signal. 32. The amount of open contracts can also provide intelligence: If open contracts increase when prices rise, it is a buy signal, especially when trading volume increases at the same time. Conversely, if open contracts increase when prices fall and trading volume is large, it provides sell information. 33. Pay attention to the fact that things will turn around when they reach their extremes, and good times will come after bad times: when a rising trend is very strong, pay attention to the implicit downward trend and pay attention to negative factors at any time; when a falling trend is very weak, pay attention to the implicit recovery information, pay more attention to positive news, and beware of market reversals. 34. Carefully judge the news effect: first, judge the authenticity of the news; second, understand the timeliness of the news; third, analyze the importance of the news; and finally, study the indicative nature of the news. 35. Retire before the delivery period: Commodity prices will have relatively large fluctuations in the delivery month. Commodity trading novices should move to other commodities before this to avoid this additional risk. The potential profits during the delivery period should be sought by experienced spot market traders. 36. Buy and sell when the market breaks through the opening price: This is a good hint of price trends, especially after a major news report. A breakthrough in the opening price may indicate the trend of trading that day or in the next few days. If the market breaks through the upper limit of the opening price, buy; if the breakthrough point is at the lower limit of the opening price, sell. 37. Buy and sell at the previous day's closing price breakthrough point: Many successful traders use this rule to decide when to establish new contracts or increase contracts. It means buying only when the transaction price is higher than the previous day's closing price; or selling when the transaction price is lower than the previous day's closing price. 38. Buy and sell at the previous week's high and low price breakthrough points: This rule is similar to the daily rule mentioned above, but his high and low prices are predicted based on the high point of the week. When the market breaks through the highest point of the week, it is a buy signal; when the market breaks through the lowest point of the week, it is a sell signal. 39. Buy and sell at the previous month's high and low price breakthrough points: The longer you observe, the more market momentum your decision will be based on. Therefore, the price breakthrough point of each month is a stronger hint of price trend, which is more important for futures commodity traders or hedge traders to make or break. 40. Establish pyramid trading: When you add contracts, do not add more contracts than the first one. This is a dangerous trading technique because as long as the market reverses slightly, all your profits will be wiped out. In the inverted pyramid trading, the average cost is close to the market price, which will hurt you. 41. Be careful with stop loss orders: The use of stop loss orders is a simple self-discipline; it can help you stop losses automatically. An important factor is: when you place an order, you must also set a stop loss point at the same time. If you don’t do this, you will lose more money and increase your losses in vain. 42. The retracement in a bull market is not the same as the bear market: conversely, the rebound in the bear market is not a bull market. Most investors like to short in a bull market and believe that it will definitely retrace, and vice versa. Change the rhythm and learn to buy in the retracement in the bull market and short in the rebound of the bear market. You will get more profits. 43. Buy and sell when the price is out of the track: Some successful traders use this rule most often. They buy and sell when prices are out of the norm or beyond general expectations. If ordinary buyers and sellers believe that market prices are rising, but in fact they are not, it is usually a good sell signal, especially after important information is released. Successful traders will wait for the general public to lean to one side, and then choose the time to buy and sell in the opposite direction. 44. The market will always fluctuate in a narrow range after violent fluctuations: when the market stabilizes after a sharp rise or a heavy fall, you must observe when the actual buying or selling begins to increase steadily, so that you can understand whether the market is ready to start, and take the opportunity to get on the train and wait to earn a wave of market. 45. When the bulls are rampant, the rise will slow down: if the market is filled with strong bullish arrogance, the price will not rise easily. Why is this so? When everyone is bullish and enters the market to do more, who can buy again and push the market up? Therefore, the price can only continue to rise after the people who originally did more can't stand the price softening and exit the market. 46. ​​Buy and sell at the breakout points of rising and falling wedges: Any trend has its own process of brewing, generation, and development. When recorded on a chart, it will take on a certain shape. Once a certain pattern is formed, it usually has a considerable enlightenment effect on the future market development. Although it is not absolute, it has a high probability and has its reference value. 47. Don't buy and sell multiple commodities at the same time: If you try to pay attention to the pulse of many markets, that is, if you want to grasp the news of several markets at the same time, you will hurt yourself. Few people can succeed in both the stock index and the grain market at the same time because they are affected by irrelevant factors. 48. Don't add to the losing commodities: No matter how confident you are, don't add contracts to the commodities that have already lost money. If you do that, it shows that you can no longer keep up with the market, but some traders disagree with this rule and prefer to believe in a price averaging technology. 49. In a bear market, put aside the statistical reports: In a bear market, you must be able to ignore all the statistical figures and focus on the market trend. You must understand that the figures to be published reflect the past, not the future. The figures to be published in the future are the results of the present and the near future. 50. The market can only give you so much, so don't hold unrealistic expectations: Some operators always hope to make every penny in the market; trying to squeeze the last drop of profit in the market, the time and energy spent are not worth it; a fish is divided into three parts: the head, the body, and the tail, and the largest part is the body; the operator only needs to find a way to eat the fish meat, and leave the head and tail for others to eat. I hope it helps you. The rest will be updated in new articles. If you need it, you can check it on the homepage after following it.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Signalking
Foreign exchange trading skills worth collecting (Part 1) Charlie Munger once said that if you are allowed to punch a maximum of 20 holes in a piece of paper, each time you punch means you lose a trading opportunity, and after 20 times, your opportunities will be used up. At this time, will you cherish every opportunity? The same is true in foreign exchange trading. For each transaction, you must treat your account balance as the last bullet. This requires us to constantly reflect and sum up our experience so that every transaction can gain something, whether it is money or experience, we must accumulate something. The following are 72 trading tricks that I have carefully compiled for you. I hope it will help you on your trading journey! The content is too long, divided into 3 articles,introduction. Please pay attention to it. 72 foreign exchange trading tricks 1. Only use the money you can afford to lose: If you use your family's funds to engage in trading, you will not be able to calmly use your mental freedom to make sound buying and selling decisions. 2. Know yourself: You must have a calm and objective temperament, the ability to control emotions, and will not suffer from insomnia when holding a trading contract. Successful commodity traders seem to have always been able to remain calm during the transaction. 3. Do not invest more than 1/3 of the funds: The best way is to keep your trading funds three times the margin required to hold the contract. In order to follow this rule, it is okay to reduce the number of contracts when necessary. This rule can help you avoid using all the trading funds to decide on buying and selling. Sometimes you will be forced to close the position early, but you will avoid big losses. 4. Do not base trading judgment on hope: Do not hope too much for immediate progress, otherwise you will buy and sell based on hope. Successful people can be unaffected by emotions in buying and selling. When a novice hopes that the market will turn in his favor, he often violates the basic rules of buying and selling. 5. Take proper rest: Buying and selling every day will dull your judgment. Taking a break will give you a more detached view of the market; it will also help you look at yourself and the next goal from another state of mind, so that you have a better perspective to observe many market factors. 6. Do not close profitable contracts easily, and keep profits continuous: Selling profitable contracts may be one of the reasons for the failure of commodity investment. The slogan "As long as there is money to be made, there will be no bankruptcy" will not apply to commodity investment. Successful traders say that you can't close a position just for the sake of profit; you must have a reason to close a profitable contract. 7. Learn to love losses: If you can accept losses calmly and without hurting your vitality, then you are on the road to success in commodity investment. Before you become a good trader, you must get rid of your fear of loss. 8. Avoid entering and exiting at market prices: Successful traders believe that buying and selling at market prices is a manifestation of lack of self-discipline. Unless you use market prices to close a position, you should aim to avoid market orders as much as possible. 9. Buy and sell the most active contract months in the market: This makes trading easier. 10. Enter the market when there is a good chance of winning: You should look for opportunities with a small possibility of loss and a large possibility of profit. For example, when the price of a commodity is close to its most recent historical low, then the possibility of it rebounding upward may be greater than the possibility of it falling. 11. Pick up unexpected wealth: Sometimes you buy and sell a commodity and get a greater profit than expected in a short period of time. Rather than waiting a few days to see why profits come so quickly, it is better to take them and run! 12. Learn to short sell: Most new investors tend to buy up, that is, buy in markets that they think will rise, but because the market often falls faster than it rises, you can quickly make profits by selling at high prices and buying at low prices. Therefore, the counter-trend operation method is worth learning. 13. After making a decision, act decisively and quickly: The market is not kind to those who procrastinate. So one of the methods used by successful traders is to act quickly. This does not mean that you have to be impulsive, but when your judgment tells you that you should close your position, do it immediately without hesitation. 14. Choose a conservative, professional and conscientious salesperson: A good salesperson must be able to pour cold water on you in time to prevent you from overdoing it in this market; at the same time, he must also have professional knowledge to provide you with exceptions that may occur at any time in the market. 15. Successful operations are like slowly climbing up a slope, while failed operations are like rolling down a slope: the stories of getting rich in one day that are widely circulated in the market are just stories. Without a solid foundation, even if you get one day's wealth, you can't keep it. Therefore, successful operators must try to create a framework, cultivate good operating habits, and slowly establish a successful operating model. 16. Never violate good rules: What is a good rule? As long as you think it is a good rule that can help you make a profit or reduce losses in operation, it is a good rule, and you should not violate it. When you find that you have violated a rule, leave the market as soon as possible, otherwise you should at least reduce the volume of operations. 17. Putting it in your pocket is real: a wave of market conditions cannot rise continuously without rest, and you must learn to put the profits in your pocket to avoid the profits on the books turning into losses. 18. Try to use the market for hedging: when the overall economy weakens, market risks increase. In order to reduce risks and increase profits, hedge and sell hedging in the market in order to form a price insurance function. 19. Buy when there is a rumor that the price is going to rise, and sell when it really rises: If there is a rumor in the market that the price is going to rise, then you should buy based on this news, but when this news comes true, it is time to sell. For one sell, there may be multiple sell news, because the market tends to build news into the market price. 20. The bull market will be crushed by itself: This is an old trading rule in the trading market. It says that when the price of a bull market soars, it may be crushed to the limit by its own weight. So, when you are in a bull market, you should be particularly bearish on news. 21. Detect price trends: The price chart is one of the basic tools of successful traders. You can use it to see the main trend of prices. A common mistake made by commodity investors is to buy when the market is basically trending down, or sell when it is rising. 22. Pay attention to the breakout points in the trend chart: This is the only method used by some successful traders. They draw a curve chart of the trading price for several consecutive days. If the price trend breaks through the previous trend and remains for more than two or three days in a row, it is usually a good buy or sell prompt. 23. Pay attention to the 50% retracement point in the main trend: You may often hear that the market is running in a technical rebound. This means that after a big rise (or fall), the market will have a 50% reverse movement. 24. When choosing buying and selling points, use the half-cut rule: This means finding the range of commodity buying and selling, and then cutting the range in half, buying in the lower half, or selling in the upper half. This rule is particularly useful when the market follows the chart track. I hope it helps you. The rest will be updated in new articles. If you need it, you can check it on the homepage after following it.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Signalking
Special words for gold trading We often see these words when trading. If you understand them, trading will be easier. Including "deposit, withdrawal, position, closing, take profit, stop loss", etc.; they mean: Deposit: remit personal funds to the trading account for trading; Withdrawal: transfer part or all of the balance in the trading account to a personal bank account; Position: the name of the trader buying and selling contracts in the market; establishing a trading order is called "establishing a position", a buy order is called a "long position", and a short-selling order is called a "short position" Closing: ending a held buy order or sell order; Take profit: the trading order finally achieves the profit target and leaves the market with a profit; Stop Loss: When the order loss reaches the maximum tolerable amount, admit the loss and leave the market; In addition to the commonly used terms, there are also some special terms involved in the trading market; For example: heavy position, light position, carry order, lock position, liquidation Heavy position: Most of the funds in the trader's account are involved in order transactions Light position: The trader only uses a small part of the funds in the account to participate in the order; In trading, there is a most basic principle that "don't put all your eggs in one basket" There are always risks in the financial market, and traders should remember one sentence: Avoid risks, trade with light positions, and never hold heavy positions. Light position standards: Total loss of holding positions ≤ one-tenth of the account amount The number of lots for a single transaction of 10,000 US dollars is not more than 0.5-1 lot Carry order: When traders encounter losses, they have no stop-loss strategy, do not know how to stop losses and choose opportunities to start over, but always hold losing orders and bet everything on the rise and fall of the market. This is a behavior that should be avoided in trading. Locking: Similar to "carrying orders", when traders encounter losses, they do not implement stop-loss strategies, but establish reverse orders while holding loss orders. Locking can only allow traders to temporarily stop further losses, but cannot get rid of losses. If the net value is not enough, a "black swan event" will occur, and the short-order spread will increase instantly, which will also lead to a margin call. Margin call: When the funds in the trader's trading account are not enough to trade, it is a margin call; margin call means the loss of all principal. If you are a novice, these must be helpful to you! I will share trading knowledge from time to time, and you can follow me if you need it.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Signalking
Options Blueprint Series: Secure Interest Rates with Box SpreadsIntroduction The E-mini S&P 500 Futures is a popular and widely traded derivative product. These futures are used by traders and investors to hedge their portfolios, gain market exposure, and manage risk. The Options Box Strategy is an advanced options trading technique that involves creating a synthetic long position and a synthetic short position simultaneously. This strategy is designed to lock in interest rates and profit from price discrepancies, essentially securing a risk-free return through arbitrage. By using Box Spreads, traders can secure interest rates and achieve a potential arbitrage opportunity in a controlled and predictable manner. An interesting application of the Box Spread strategy is using unutilized capital in a trading account. Traders can earn a risk-free return on idle cash by deploying it in Box Spreads. This approach maximizes the utility of available capital, providing an additional revenue stream without increasing market risk exposure, thus enhancing overall portfolio performance. E-mini S&P 500 Futures Contract Specifications: Contract Size: $50 times the S&P 500 Index Minimum Tick Size: 0.25 index points, equal to $12.50 per contract Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week Margin Requirement: $11,800 at the time of publishing this article Micro E-minis: 10 times smaller than the E-minis Understanding Box Spreads A Box Spread is a sophisticated options strategy that involves simultaneously entering a long call and short put at one strike price and a long put and short call at another strike price. Components of a Box Spread: Long Call: Buying a call option at a specific strike price. Short Put: Selling a put option at the same strike price as the long call. Long Put: Buying a put option at a different strike price. Short Call: Selling a call option at the same strike price as the long put. How Box Spreads Secure Interest Rates: Box Spreads are designed to exploit mispricings between the synthetic long and short positions. By locking in these positions, traders can secure interest rates as the net result of the Box Spread should theoretically yield a risk-free return. This strategy is particularly useful in stable market conditions where interest rate fluctuations can impact the profitability of other trading strategies. Advantages of Using Box Spreads: Arbitrage Opportunities: Box Spreads allow traders to capitalize on discrepancies in the pricing of options, securing a risk-free profit. Predictable Returns: The strategy locks in a fixed rate of return, providing certainty and stability. Risk Management: By simultaneously holding synthetic long and short positions, the risk is minimized, making it an effective strategy for conservative traders. Applying Box Spreads on E-mini S&P 500 Futures To apply the Box Spread strategy on E-mini S&P 500 Futures, follow the following step-by-step approach. Step-by-Step: 1. Identify Strike Prices: Choose two strike prices for the options. For instance, select a lower strike price (LK) and a higher strike price (HK). 2. Enter Long Call and Short Put: Buy a call option at the lower strike price (K1). Sell a put option at the same lower strike price (K1). 3. Enter Long Put and Short Call: Buy a put option at the higher strike price (K2). Sell a call option at the same higher strike price (K2). Potential Outcomes and Rate Security: The Box Spread locks in a risk-free return by exploiting price discrepancies. The profit is determined by the difference between the strike prices minus the net premium paid. In stable market conditions, this strategy provides a predictable and secure return, effectively locking in interest rates. Advantages of Applying Box Spreads: Risk-Free Arbitrage: The primary benefit is securing a risk-free profit through arbitrage. Predictable Returns: Provides a fixed return, beneficial for conservative traders. Minimal Risk: By holding both synthetic long and short positions, market risk is mitigated. Considerations: Ensure precise execution to avoid slippage and maximize the arbitrage opportunity. Account for transaction costs, as they can impact the overall profitability. Monitor market conditions to ensure the strategy remains effective. Example Trade Setup: Let's consider a practical example of setting up a Box Spread on the E-mini S&P 500 Futures while its current trading price is 5,531. We'll use the following strike prices: Lower Strike Price (K1): 5450 Higher Strike Price (K2): 5650 Transactions: Sell Call at 5650: Premium = 240.01 Buy Put at 5650: Premium = 352.85 Sell Put at 5450: Premium = 270.59 Buy Call at 5450: Premium = 347.39 Note: We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. Net Premium Calculation: Net premium paid = 347.39 - 240.01 + 352.85 - 270.59 = 189.64 Potential Profit Calculation: Profit = (Higher Strike Price - Lower Strike Price) - Net Premium Paid Profit = 5650 – 5450 – 189.64 = 10.36 points = $518 ($50 per point) Rate Of Return (ROR) Calculation: Margin Requirement = (Higher Strike Price - Lower Strike Price) × Contract Multiplier = 200 x 50 = $10,000 ROR = 518 / 10000 = 5.18% Annualized ROR = 518 / 10000 x 365.25 / 383 = 4.94% (based on the screenshots, expiration will take place in 383.03 days while a year is made of 365.25 days) Interesting Application: Utilizing Box Spreads with Unutilized Capital An intriguing application of the Box Spread strategy is the use of unutilized capital in a trading account. Traders often have idle cash in their accounts that isn't actively engaged in trading. By deploying this capital in Box Spreads, traders can earn a risk-free return on otherwise dormant funds. This approach not only maximizes the utility of available capital but also provides an additional revenue stream without increasing market risk exposure. Utilizing Box Spreads in this manner can enhance overall portfolio performance, making efficient use of all available resources. Importance of Risk Management Risk management is a critical aspect of any trading strategy, including the implementation of Box Spreads on E-mini S&P 500 Futures. Effective risk management ensures that traders can mitigate potential losses and protect their capital, leading to more consistent and sustainable trading performance. Conclusion Implementing the Options Box Strategy on E-mini S&P 500 Futures may allow traders to secure interest rates and potentially achieve risk-free arbitrage opportunities. By understanding the mechanics of Box Spreads and applying them effectively, traders can capitalize on price discrepancies in the options market to lock in predictable returns. Key points to remember include: E-mini S&P 500 Futures offer accessible and efficient trading opportunities for both hedging and speculative purposes. Box Spreads combine synthetic long and short positions, providing a powerful tool for securing interest rates through arbitrage. By following the outlined steps and leveraging classical technical indicators, traders can enhance their ability to set up and analyze Box Spreads, making the most of this advanced options strategy. Utilizing Box Spreads on E-mini S&P 500 Futures not only can secure interest rates but can also provide a structured and disciplined approach to trading, leading to more consistent and sustainable trading performance. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
About Ponzi and Cryptocurrency Pump and Dump as TRADING METHODS🌈 About Ponzi and Cryptocurrency Pump and Dump as ‘TRADING METHODS.’ ✏️ By Farhad Moghadamsalimi About “LOOTING” as an economical method of wealth production 📌 1. “Looting” has been used as an economical method of wealth production since the beginning of history. 📌 2. Looting is based on the simple assumption that some other ethnic groups or individuals do not deserve to have their own resources and wealth at their disposal for assorted reasons. These reasons primarily include physical, military, intellectual, technological, racial, and ethnic weaknesses. The ‘looter,’ who may be an individual or group of people, must capture that wealth and resources because he is ‘more worthy’ and ‘more eligible’ to own them. 📌 3. The theory and act of “looting” during the long years of the presence of Homo Sapiens (the current species of humans) on the planet happened in the form of coercive forces, and it has only been a few years since coercive methods gave way to softer modern types. The current looting practices are done without bloodshed and in complete peace. The modern looting methods involve economic practices rather than the military. 📌 4. One of the types of modern looting is called “Ponzi.” Regarding Ponzi as a ‘collective’ and not individual looting 📌 5. It is a common mistake to consider “Ponzi” as a personal fraud, in which one person (a company or an entity) takes money from people by promising high profits in return and compensating the distributed yields from other people’s investments. Ponzi schemes end up in massive debt and fraud from many people. 📌 6. Understanding the Ponzi method shows us that Ponzi is not a personal swindle, contrary to widespread belief. Instead, it is a collective fraud and robbery in which the group that invested earlier benefits and the group that sponsored later suffers. Leaders win, and laggers lose. A group loots the other. The increase in Ponzi looting as a natural result of the denationalization of money 📌 7. The privatization of money (Denationalization of Money), proposed by the distinguished economist F. A. Hayek technically had a problem that made its implementation impossible: the lack of a system to create ‘trust’ between two transaction counterparties without needing third parties. 📌 8. People had to use government-backed money because they could not trust each other. In a small society, it may be feasible for the members to trust each other in their everyday bargains. However, on a large scale, as a big community, a country, and globally, trust in the money-issuing authority is the first and most important basis for using and accepting money. 📌 9. The passage of time in most of the modern world showed that even the most democratic governments and the most independent central banks were unreliable authorities when coming to the money printing machine. Central Banks, even constrained by liberal institutions by taking over the money printing machine, are becoming merciless looters who create Ponzi schemes on a national and even global scale by pumping powerful money into society. We are seeing the manifestations of this Ponzi game in the high inflation rate of different communities and the international dimension. Inflation is the act of looting that governments do against their people: a legal Ponzi scheme. 📌 10. The most critical aspect of Satoshi Nakamoto’s invention in 2009 was creating the first trust system between two strangers without third-party arbitration. With the creation of Bitcoin, a financial system emerged for the first time in the world, where members of that system could trust each other and conduct financial transactions without knowing each other. This invention was a big blow to the state money because, before that, everyone had to rely on their country’s central bank — the only trusted authority — and use the money issued by it. 📌 11. Now the possibility of developing all kinds of cryptographic tokens, which in some ways can be called private money, has been provided for everyone. At present, everyone can have their own self-issued money. All individuals and entities can have a unique, ready-made currency, from small groceries to large international companies. 📌 12. Now, like governments, individuals can also have their own private money printing machine at home and start a new Ponzi scheme. The government monopoly is cracked. For this simple reason, it’s not hard to guess that the amount of Ponzi looting will skyrocket in the future. About the emergence of a new profession called “BEING FROUD VICTIM”! 📌 13. Looting in its Ponzi style is a group robbery in which a series of participants (those who joined the Ponzi scheme earlier) benefit and a series of participants (those who joined the Ponzi scheme later) suffer. It is a mistake for the judiciaries and public conscience to find only one person guilty of a Ponzi scheme: A group of people is responsible for Ponzi, not just one person. 📌 14. Most of us presume that the Ponzi schemes are conducted just by one scammer, and all other participants in Ponzi schemes are ignorant and innocent people. Indeed, many participants in the Ponzi scheme are not just as naive and straightforward as we think. People who give their hard-earned money to strangers without guarantee have already gone extinct. 📌 15. Every day, increased warnings are published by various sources, especially on social networks, about the disastrous consequences of participating in Ponzi frauds. At the same time, more people join these projects every day. It is improbable if we think that the people who participate in this type of project are simple people who give their money without any guarantee and proof to someone they have not even met. No official authority has regulated these so-called high-yield projects, and most of these projects don’t have a confirmed address or contact number. 📌 16. So, what is the reason? Why do those who often call themselves “wolves of the Wallstreet” suddenly become plain and simple people when facing Ponzi looting projects and give their dearer-than-life money to fraudsters so graciously? The answer is in the new art and profession created by Ponzi and manifested by the spread of private money: “The art of being a fraud victim!” 📌 17. The idea of a new profession called ‘being a fraud victim’ may seem more like a joke. Still, at least in projects like Ponzi and cryptocurrency pump and dump and other such mass looting strategies, it is considered a profitable job. Undoubtedly, one of the culprits in such projects is the one who invests his money in such projects as an investor, and in most cases, he is fully aware of the nature of such tasks. 📌 18. If the investment in this collective fraud project is successful, our Ponzi investor reaps a colossal profit and withdraws himself without any responsibility. After exiting successfully, he points the finger of accusation at the fraudster who started the Ponzi and tries to show himself as innocent and ignorant. If the investment is unsuccessful and his money burns in Ponzi, our investor, as an active plaintiff, is present everywhere. He succeeds in reviving his money in many cases, especially if the government or a wealthy organization may be shown responsible. Meanwhile, he will be looking for new looting projects simultaneously. 📌 19. Indeed, we should not consider those who take part in Ponzi schemes as losers and victims. Instead, we should accuse them of participation (or at least deputy) in the crime. Those who participate in Ponzi projects and cryptocurrency pump and dump know very well that in such mass looting if someone can enter the project in time and exit it in time, it is possible to make an excellent profit. 📌 20. Those who can enter the market earlier than others and leave the market earlier than others can earn astronomical profits. In this way, a minority can rob a majority. Being among the winning minority depends on the investor’s skill, time of entry and exit, and luck. Luck and chance are among the main factors in this looting. Even those who know the nature of this scam willingly participate because they are resiliently eager to try their luck. 📌 21. Regarding item 20, those who lose money in collective looting projects are mere ‘gamblers’ who did not get lucky and lost the bet; that’s it! Do not call these losers simple-minded and innocent victims of fraud. Most of them have discovered the gambling nature of Ponzi and Pump and Dump projects and are just trying their chance. 📌 22. As private money becomes more widespread, this type of collective looting will increase, mainly because it can create windfall profits for its founders. Not forgetting this importance when dealing with the cryptocurrency market is necessary. Also, let’s not forget that finding and participating in this kind of looting has become a bread-and-butter job in today’s world, to the extent that participating in all types of Pump-and-Dump and cryptocurrency Ponzi can be considered a “profitable trading strategy.” You need to have the chance to be among the leaders of these lootings. 📌 23. It might not be inappropriate for legislators everywhere in the world, especially regarding Ponzi and Pump-and-Dump projects, to use such delicacy. If the project developer deserves punishment, do not exempt the participants from discipline. Participants in Ponzi schemes, in which most of them are engaged in the ‘being a fraud victim’ profession, even if they have lost their money, should be considered for a fine for fraud. 📌 24. Considering a punishment for all participants of Ponzi schemes will be amazingly effective in limiting this type of “expanding collective looting.” At least, it will significantly reduce the workload of the judiciary courts in different countries. It also prevents, to a great extent, the ‘being a fraud victim’ profession, which is one of the most profitable jobs in cryptocurrency markets.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Farhad_Moghadamsalimi
The Famous Monkey Story in Every Markets!The Famous Monkey Story in Every Market! Once upon a time, a rich man from the city arrived in a village. He announced to the villagers that he would buy monkeys for $100 each. The villagers were thrilled, as there were hundreds of monkeys in a nearby forest. They caught the monkeys and brought them to the rich man, who paid $100 for every monkey they gave him. The villagers began making a living by capturing monkeys from the forest and selling them to the rich man. Soon, the forest began to run out of monkeys that were easy to catch. Sensing this, the rich man offered $200 for each monkey. The villagers were ecstatic. They went back to the forest, set up traps, caught more monkeys, and brought them to the rich man. A few days later, the rich man announced he would pay $300 per monkey. The villagers started climbing trees and risking their lives to catch monkeys and bring them to the rich man, who bought them all. Eventually, there were no monkeys left in the forest. One day, the rich man announced he would like to buy more monkeys, this time for $800 each. The villagers couldn’t believe their luck. They desperately tried to catch more monkeys. Meanwhile, the rich man said he had to return to the city for some business. Until he returned, his manager would handle transactions on his behalf. Once the rich man left, the villagers were unhappy. They had been making quick and easy money from selling monkeys, but now the forest had no monkeys left. This is when the manager of the rich man stepped in. He made an offer the villagers could not refuse. Pointing to all the caged monkeys, he told the villagers he would sell them for $400 each. They could sell them back to the rich man for $800 each when he returned. The villagers were over the moon. Buy for $400 and sell for $800 in a few days—they had found the easiest way to double their money. They collected all their savings and even borrowed money. There were long queues, and within a few hours, almost all the monkeys were sold out. Unfortunately, their happiness did not last long. The manager went missing the next day, and the rich man never returned. Many villagers kept the monkeys, hoping the rich man would come back. But soon, they lost hope and had to release the monkeys back into the forest, as feeding and caring for the noisy monkeys became extremely difficult. This is exactly what happens when you buy low-quality companies in the stock market. There will be a low-priced stock that no one is interested in buying. A few rich men will suddenly start buying it. The stock price will rise because there are suddenly many buyers and very few sellers—a classic case of huge demand and no supply, like the monkeys in the forest. The stock gets plenty of coverage on business channels and newspapers. These rich men will also use tricks like sending out bulk SMS messages, asking people to buy the shares for huge returns, and giving free tips. New and inexperienced investors, hoping to double or triple their investment, get lured in. Finally, the big players who bought the stock early when no one wanted it sell it back to inexperienced investors at high prices. Don’t be greedy—there is no quick money in the stock market or in life. It takes time and effort to become wealthy, and there are no shortcuts. Hit that like button if you like the story. Follow my profile for more content.
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
12
FLOATING SPREAD VS FIXED SPREAD🌐 The trading conditions of any account specify the type of spread: floating or fixed. As a rule, the value of a fixed spread is larger, but a floating spread has an insidious wording “from...” in the terms and conditions. This means that the floating spread may well be greater than the fixed one. Nevertheless, it is considered better. What are its advantages and disadvantages, what spread to choose? 📍 ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF FLOATING SPREAD ▶️ FIXED SPREAD The difference between the buy and sell price of an asset is constant. This indicates that the broker works according to Straight Through Processing (STP) model - directly with a specific liquidity provider, the size of the spread with which is pre-agreed. The broker charges its commission (markup) and the trader sees the final difference. The fixed spread is only theoretical. Often in the offer there is a clause that the broker can unilaterally change it. And broker does it at the moment of news release, when volatility increases sharply. ▶️ FLOATING SPREAD The difference between price/offer is formed by the market. The broker only adds its small commission, that's why there are no zero spreads. Floating spreads are set on ECN accounts, where orders are not placed to a specific liquidity provider, but to the general market. Such accounts have a high entry threshold and a fixed commission for each lot placed on the account. 📍 THE FLOATING SPREAD DEPENDS ON: 🔘 Market Liquidity. During the vacation season, on the eve of vacations, at the moment of flat trading activity decreases. The smaller the volumes and the fewer traders, the bigger the gap between Bid and Ask prices. 🔘 Currency Liquidity. Or investors' interest. The FX:EURUSD pair is liquid, the pair of the US dollar with the South African rand is called exotic and the spread on it is one of the largest. 🔘 Volatility. Or the speed of trend movement. If after the news release the imbalance of bids in the direction of buyers or sellers sharply increases, the spread will also grow. 🔘 Time of day. Or the period of activity of traders of this or that region. 📍 ADVANTAGES OF A FLOATING SPREAD: ➡️ Most of the time it is less than the fixed spread. ➡️ No requotes - the transaction is executed in any case. ➡️ Floating spread is more profitable than fixed spread for liquid currencies. Fixed spread is more profitable for “exotics”. ➡️ It is favorable for scalping, where every tenth of a point is important for profit. 📍 DISADVANTAGES OF FLOATING SPREAD: ➡️ There are slippages at the moment of sharp spread widening. ➡️ It is necessary to constantly monitor its change. ➡️ It can sharply increase when a fundamental factor appears. ➡️ There is still a risk of artificial spread widening by the broker (it is not easy to prove). ➡️ Increases emotional tension. With a fixed spread a trader always knows the amount of expenses. Expansion of a floating spread can turn a profitable trade into a losing one. If you open a new account with a broker, pay attention to the following points. In what cases the broker has the right to change the fixed spread. What quotes we are talking about. Outdated data on the website may turn out to be conditions for 4-digit quotes. Compare spreads at different brokers on a demo account; install a script showing the current spread. Run it on one asset, watch how and when the floating spread might widen. 📍 CONCLUSION The choice between a fixed spread and a floating spread depends on several factors, including market liquidity, currency pair, volatility, and time of day. While fixed spreads offer a set and predictable price difference, floating spreads can be more competitive and profitable, especially for scalping strategies. However, floating spreads also come with risks, such as slippage and the need to constantly monitor spread changes. When opening a new account with a broker, it's essential to pay attention to the terms and conditions, clarify quotes, compare spreads across different brokers, and test the floating spread on a demo account. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
5
New Product Launch: How to Use TradingView OptionsWe’ve rolled out our newest product and we’re eager to brag about it! It’s an options platform — TradingView Options. More precisely, it’s a powerful set of tools for options traders who want to keep a close eye on every little detail and fine-tune their strategy to perfection. What Are Options? Options are financial derivatives that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a set price within a set period. TradingView Options TradingView Options is designed to illuminate your options trading strategy from the first step to the last one. Get razor-sharp options strategies on gold futures ( COMEX-GC1! ), oil futures ( NYMEX-CL1! ), and many more. Let’s break it down and discuss what it's about. For starters, you’ve got three key components — Strategy Builder, Options Chain, and Volatility Analysis. 1. Strategy Builder Create, test and visualize options strategies with real-time data. Use pre-built strategies filtered by bullish, bearish, or neutral outlooks. Customize strategies with adjustable parameters like expiration dates and strike prices. Get estimates for max profit, max loss, win rate, and more. Compare multiple strategies on a single chart for performance analysis. 2. Options Chain Options chains are broken down into two sections — calls and puts. Strike price is displayed in the center column — it’s where the put or call can be exercised. Next to Strike is IV, %, which stands for Implied Volatility in percentages. Measure options risk with the Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, and Rho. Easily switch underlying assets with a simple symbol search at the top left. 3. Volatility Analyze market volatility to understand potential price movements and risks. Market Coverage Currently, TradingView Options supports options contracts from major exchanges including CME and its subsidiaries NYMEX, COMEX, and CBOT, alongside NSE , and BSE . Conclusion The new options trading tools by TradingView empower traders with the data and analytical capabilities needed to whip up high-probability strategies and explore new opportunities for profit in global markets. Are you an options trader? What’s your trading style? Let us know in the comments!
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:CMEEducation
by TradingView
33
Diversified Futures Trading for Optimal Risk and RewardFirst of all, this idea/strategy, came to me while I was/am trading futures on Binance and practicing it made me realize that I have realized more profit than usual. It also helped me manage the risk/reward ratio. In order to explain the strategy, remember that the whole idea of this strategy is to minimize the risk and maximize reward while trading futures and to explain how diversification helps the overall PNL. I'm going to start with giving an example, and how I apply it in my trades, in order for it to be clearer. Let's dive in. Assume you have 5000 USDT that you are willing to invest in futures. Instead of investing it all on one asset (coin), diversify like following: 1000 USDT on A/usdt.p (with A being an asset) with 20x leverage 1000 USDT on B/usdt.p with 20x leverage 1000 USDT on C/usdt.p with 20x leverage 1000 USDT on D/usdt.p with 20x leverage 1000 USDT not invested on anything, just so you have margin ratio. Depending on whether you trade cross/isolated, this strategy changes a bit but let's assume you trade on cross. So you have invested in 4 different assets, each of them by 1000usdt x 20 leverage. Before you decide on which assets you are going to invest, do your own research and have an existing strategy or analysis, which you have confidence into. Personally, I recommend investing in 4 different assets which have: 1. Different chart patterns, 2. Different categories and 3. Different wave counts. This is important for the following strategy. Remember to have demand/supply, MAs and Oscillators included in your analysis. Set your TP's and your Stop losses as you would do normally. Of course, your TP's POSITIVE PNL (ROI%) should be higher than your Stop losses NEGATIVE PNL (ROI%). After you have analyzed, made your research and have decided on the assets, LONG/SHORT them and carefully track the progress. The whole purpose of the strategy is that the assets won't pump/dump on the same time and to use this to your advantage. Let's assume that you have POSITIVE PNL (ROI%) on only A/usdt.p and C/usdt.p while B/usdt.p and D/usdt.p are giving NEGATIVE PNL (ROI%). For example A and C are 50% up and B and D are 50% down. In that case, you PARTIALLY (25%-50%) = X, close the assets with POSITIVE PNL and you ADD more on your C and D positions. Wait to see how the market reacts and: 1. If the market continues to go in the same trend, your A and C will hit your TP's (yes on a lower profit than initially indented) and your B and D assets will hit your your SL's (yes on a higher loss than initially indented) but since TP ROI > SL ROI that means that you have achieved more profit than losses while minimizing risk. OR 2. If the markets starts to shift in the different trend, your A and C will start shifting towards your Entry position or maybe even hit your SL's (but now on a lower quantity) while B and D will start rising going above Entry position or maybe even hit your TP's (but now on a higher quantity), which means your losses on A and C will be X lower while your winnings on B and D will be X higher. You continue to manipulate A, B, C and D like this, until you either: 1. Hit ALL TP's with much higher profit indented (since you added quantity when your assets were lower) or 2. Hit ALL SL's with much lower losses indented (since you closed X amount of position when you were higher and added when it was lower than the entry price). Remember that you still have have 1000 USDT to keep the margin ratio healthy and in extreme cases (when more than 2 assets are on negative ROI%) to add quantity to the assets with negative ROI% (under the entry price) and higher than SL. This will also make it so you have LOWER overall entry price on the NEGATIVE ROI%. This idea/strategy has some requirements and assumptions: 1. That you understand well the asset analysis, such as support/resistances, indicators, chart patterns and others. 2. You understand how the binance futures basically work. 3. You are COMMITED and have plenty of time to OBSERVE the assets and INTERVENE if necessary. 4. You understand risk/reward management. 5. You have read and understood binances terms and agreements. This strategy doesn't require (but prefers) that all the assets have POSITIVE ROI% and a NEGATIVE ROI% on all assets is not a dissolution (but not preferred). If I were to put all this in a formula, it would be as follows: ### Variables: - \(P\): Total capital available for trading (e.g., 5000 USDT) - \(N\): Number of assets to invest in (e.g., 4) - \(L\): Leverage (e.g., 20x) - \(A_i\): Amount invested in asset \(i\) (e.g., 1000 USDT) - \(TP_i\): Take Profit level for asset \(i\) - \(SL_i\): Stop Loss level for asset \(i\) - \(PNL_i\): Profit and Loss for asset \(i\) - \(X_i\): Percentage of position to close on positive PNL (e.g., 25% or 50%) - \(R\): Reserved capital for margin ratio maintenance (e.g., 1000 USDT) - \(T\): Total invested capital \(T = P - R\) ### Initial Investment Formula: 1. **Allocate capital to each asset:** \ 2. **Leverage Calculation:** \ ### Active Management Formulas: 3. **Partial Closing of Positions:** When \(PNL_i > 0\): \ 4. **Reallocate to Negative PNL Positions:** \ 5. **Adjust Position Quantities:** - For positive PNL positions (A and C in the example): \ - For negative PNL positions (B and D in the example): \ ### Scenario Outcome: 6. **Evaluate Positions:** - If the market trend continues: - Calculate overall profit based on adjusted positions hitting TP and SL levels. \ \] - If the market reverses: - Calculate overall profit based on reversed trend. \ \] ### Margin Management: 7. **Ensure Reserved Capital:** Always keep \(R\) amount as reserved capital to maintain a healthy margin ratio. \ ### Summary Formula: \ + \text{Remaining Capital} \] ### Practical Example: 1. Initial investment in each asset \(A_i\): \ 2. Effective investment with leverage: \ 3. Partial close for positive PNL assets (A and C): \ 4. New allocation for negative PNL assets (B and D): \ 5. Adjusted positions: \ \ 6. Evaluate Total PNL based on market scenarios. Last but not least, this is NOT a financial advice and ALWAYS do your own research before making financial decisions.
Education
by lirim_p
Options Blueprint Series: Pre and Post OPEC+ WTI Options PlaysIntroduction The world of crude oil trading is significantly influenced by the decisions made by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+. These meetings, which often dictate production levels, can lead to substantial market volatility. Traders and investors closely monitor these events, not only for their immediate impact on oil prices but also for the broader economic implications. In this article, we explore two sophisticated options strategies designed to capitalize on the volatility surrounding OPEC+ meetings, specifically focusing on WTI Crude Oil Futures Options. We will delve into the double calendar spread, a strategy to exploit the expected rise in implied volatility (IV) before the meeting, and the transition to a long iron condor, which aims to profit from potential post-meeting volatility adjustments. Understanding the Market Dynamics OPEC+ meetings are pivotal events in the global oil market, with decisions that can significantly influence crude oil prices. These meetings typically revolve around discussions on production quotas, which directly affect the supply side of the oil market. The anticipation and outcomes of these meetings create a fertile ground for volatility, especially in the days leading up to and immediately following the announcements. Implied Volatility (IV) Dynamics Pre-Meeting Volatility: In the days leading up to an OPEC+ meeting, implied volatility (IV) often rises. This increase is driven by market uncertainty and the potential for significant price moves based on the meeting's outcome. Traders buy options to hedge against or speculate on the potential price movements, thereby increasing the demand for options and pushing up IV. Post-Meeting Volatility: After the meeting, IV can either spike or drop sharply, depending on whether the outcome aligns with market expectations. An unexpected decision can cause a significant IV spike due to the new uncertainty introduced, while a decision in line with expectations can lead to a sharp drop as the uncertainty dissipates. Strategy 1: Double Calendar Spread The double calendar spread is a sophisticated options strategy that can potentially take advantage of rising implied volatility (IV) leading up to significant market events, such as the OPEC+ meeting. This strategy involves establishing positions in options with different expiration dates but the same strike price, allowing traders to profit from the increase in IV while managing risk effectively. Structure Long Legs: Buy longer-term call and put options. Short Legs: Sell shorter-term call and put options. The strategy typically involves setting up two calendar spreads at different strike prices (one higher and one lower), thus the term "double calendar." Rationale The rationale behind this strategy is that the longer-term options will experience a greater increase in IV as the event approaches, inflating their premiums more than the shorter-term options. As the short-term options expire, traders can realize a profit from the difference in premiums, assuming IV rises as expected. Strategy 2: Transition to Long Iron Condor As the OPEC+ meeting date approaches and the double calendar spread positions reach their peak profitability due to the elevated implied volatility (IV), it becomes strategic to transition into a long iron condor. This shift aims to capitalize on potential volatility changes and capture profits from the expected IV drop. Structure Closing the Double Calendar: Close the short-term call and put options from the double calendar spread. Setting Up the Long Iron Condor: Sell new OTM call and put options with the same expiration date as the long legs of the double calendar spread. The result is a position where the trader holds long options closer to the money and short options further out, creating a long condor structure. Rationale The rationale for transitioning to a long iron condor is to capture profits from a potential decrease in IV after the OPEC+ meeting. Practical Example To illustrate the application of the double calendar spread and the transition to a long iron condor, let's walk through a detailed example using hypothetical WTI Crude Oil Futures prices. Double Calendar Spread Setup 1. Initial Conditions: Current price of WTI Crude Oil Futures: $77.72 per barrel. Date: One week before the OPEC+ meeting. 2. Long Legs: Buy a call option with a strike price of $81, expiring on Jun-7 2024 @ 0.32. Buy a put option with a strike price of $74, expiring on Jun-7 2024 @ 0.38. 3. Short Legs: Sell a call option with a strike price of $81, expiring on May-31 2024 @ 0.05. Sell a put option with a strike price of $74, expiring on May-31 2024 @ 0.09. Note: We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. Transition to Long Iron Condor 1. Closing the Double Calendar: Close the short-term call and put options just before they expire @ 0.01 (assuming they are OTM on Friday May-31, before the market closes for the weekend). 2. Setting Up the Iron Condor: Sell a call option with a strike price of $82, expiring on Jun-7 2024 @ 0.13. Sell a put option with a strike price of $73, expiring on Jun-7 2024 @ 0.18. 0.11 and 0.17 are estimated values assuming WTI Crude Oil Futures remains fairly centered around 77.50 and that IV has risen into the OPEC+ meeting weekend. Transitioning from the Double Calendar to the Long Iron Condor would be done on Friday May-31. 3. Resulting Position: You now hold a long call at $81, a long put at $74, a short call at $82, and a short put at $73, forming a long iron condor. The risk of the trade has been reduced by half (assuming the real fills coincide with the estimated values above) from 0.56 to 0.27 = $270 with a potential for reward of up to 0.73 (1 – 0.27) = $730. This practical example demonstrates how to effectively implement and transition between the double calendar spread and the long iron condor to navigate the volatility surrounding an OPEC+ meeting. Importance of Risk Management Effective risk management is crucial when implementing options strategies, particularly around significant market events like the OPEC+ meeting. The volatility and potential for sharp market moves require traders to have robust risk management practices to protect their capital and ensure long-term success. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure Undefined risk exposure occurs when traders have no clear limit on their potential losses. This can happen with certain options strategies that involve selling naked options. To avoid this, traders should always define their risk by using strategies that have built-in risk limits, such as spreads and condors. Precise Entries and Exits Making precise entries and exits is critical in options trading. This involves: Entering trades at optimal times to maximize potential profits. Exiting trades at predetermined levels to lock in gains or limit losses. Adjusting trades based on market conditions and new information. Additional Risk Management Practices Diversification: Spread risk across different assets and strategies. Position Sizing: Allocate only a small percentage of capital to each trade to avoid significant losses from a single position. Continuous Monitoring: Regularly review and adjust positions as market conditions evolve. By adhering to these risk management principles, traders can navigate the complexities of the options market and mitigate the risks associated with volatile events like OPEC+ meetings. Conclusion Navigating the volatility surrounding significant market events like the OPEC+ meeting requires strategic planning and effective risk management. By implementing the double calendar spread before the meeting, traders can capitalize on the anticipated rise in implied volatility (IV). Transitioning to a long iron condor after the meeting allows traders to benefit from potential post-meeting volatility adjustments or price stabilization. These strategies, when executed correctly, offer a structured approach to managing market uncertainties and capturing profits from both pre- and post-event volatility. The key lies in precise timing, appropriate strike selection, and diligent risk management practices to protect against adverse market movements. By understanding and applying these sophisticated options strategies, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the complexities of the crude oil market and leverage the opportunities presented by OPEC+ meetings. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by traddictiv
AIRDROP TYPESCryptocurrency airdrops are a clever marketing tactic where projects give away tokens or coins for free, with the aim of generating buzz and spreading the word about their product. In most cases, the primary goal of an airdrop is to create awareness and attract attention, rather than generating revenue. As the airdrop makes headlines in the media and gets featured on influential analytical platforms, users become more familiar with the startup and may even decide to invest in their coins if they're interested. There are different types of airdrops that have different purposes, conditions and mechanisms: 🎈 REGULAR AIRDROP These are the simplest and most common type of airdrop, where a project gives away its tokens or coins without any strings attached. In most cases, all you need to do is sign up for the project and confirm your email address to receive your free tokens. Unlike other types of airdrops, regular airdrops require minimal effort and no purchase or time-consuming tasks. It's like getting free money, without having to lift a finger! And the best part? You can earn even more by sharing the news with your friends and family on social media. Regular airdrops are often used by new projects that are just starting out, with coins that have a few zeros after the decimal point. The main goal is to create buzz and generate interest in the project, which can lead to a significant increase in the price of the coin once it's listed on exchanges. 🎈 BOUNTY AIRDROP The Bounty Airdrop is a unique and innovative way for projects to engage with their community and reward their most enthusiastic supporters. Unlike traditional airdrops, where users simply receive tokens or coins for free, the Bounty Airdrop requires users to complete specific tasks in order to earn their rewards. These tasks can include writing an article, creating a video, translating content, testing or reviewing a product, or even participating in social media campaigns. By completing these tasks, users are not only earning rewards, but also contributing to the growth and success of the project. This approach not only incentivizes users to take action, but also fosters a sense of ownership and loyalty among the community. The Bounty Airdrop offers higher rewards compared to traditional airdrops, making it an attractive option for users who are willing to put in a little more effort. However, it also requires a higher level of engagement and commitment from the user. For those who are willing to take on the challenge, the rewards can be substantial and provide a significant boost to their crypto portfolios. Overall, the Bounty Airdrop is a win-win for both the project and the user. It provides a unique opportunity for users to earn rewards while also contributing to the growth and success of the project, and offers a higher level of engagement and satisfaction compared to traditional airdrops. 🎈 LIMITED AIRDROP A limited airdrop is a unique token distribution strategy where a project allocates its tokens or coins to a specific group of individuals, often consisting of early investors, holders of a particular cryptocurrency, participants in a hardfork or lottery. This type of airdrop is commonly employed by already established startups as a marketing tool to promote their brand and incentivize users to buy their coins. In a limited airdrop, the project typically distributes its tokens or coins to the selected group of individuals, often with the condition that they must hold or buy a certain amount of the project's coins beforehand. This creates a sense of urgency and exclusivity among participants, as they are only eligible to receive the airdrop if they meet the specific requirements. The primary objective of a limited airdrop is to create buzz and drive adoption for the project's coins. By offering exclusive rewards to early adopters and loyal supporters, the project can incentivize users to buy and hold their coins, rather than simply selling them off immediately. However, the success of a limited airdrop ultimately depends on the timing and execution of the project's sales strategy. Once the airdrop is completed, the project typically begins mass sales among those who purchased coins solely for the rewards. This means that the task at hand is to sell the coins quickly and efficiently, ideally before the market becomes saturated with sellers. By carefully planning and executing their sales strategy, projects can maximize their returns and create a sustainable market for their coins. For investors, limited airdrops can be an attractive opportunity to get in on the ground floor of a promising new project and potentially earn significant returns. 🎈 AUDIENCE AIRDROP In an Audience Airdrop, a project distributes its tokens or coins to individuals who have amassed a certain number of followers, likes, comments, or views on their social media channels, blogs, or online forums. This targeted approach allows projects to focus on their most dedicated and active supporters, who have been instrumental in spreading the word about their initiative. By offering tokens or coins to these loyal enthusiasts, projects can foster a sense of community and loyalty among their audience. This strategy is particularly effective for projects that are looking to build a loyal following and encourage word-of-mouth marketing. In essence, an Audience Airdrop is a form of token-based loyalty program that rewards users for their ongoing support and participation. The benefits of an Audience Airdrop are multifaceted. For one, it provides a unique opportunity for users to get involved with the project and feel valued for their contributions. Secondly, it helps to build a strong and dedicated community around the project, which can lead to increased visibility and credibility. Lastly, it can also help to incentivize users to continue promoting the project and sharing its content with others. Overall, an Audience Airdrop is a clever and effective way for projects to reward their most loyal fans and encourage continued support and advocacy. 🎈 HARDFORK-BASED AIRDROP What happens when an airdrop is coupled with a hardfork, a significant event that splits the blockchain into two distinct branches? This fusion of concepts gives rise to a unique phenomenon known as a hardfork-based airdrop. A hardfork is a major update to the blockchain protocol that renders the existing blockchain incompatible with the new version. As a result, the blockchain is split into two branches, each maintaining its own unique set of transactions and assets. This dichotomy creates an opportunity for projects to distribute their tokens or coins to users who held a certain cryptocurrency on their wallets at the time of the hardfork. The benefits of a hardfork-based airdrop are multifaceted. For users, it provides an opportunity to acquire new tokens or coins without investing in initial coin offerings or token sales. This democratizes access to blockchain assets, allowing more individuals to participate in the ecosystem. Furthermore, it incentivizes users to hold onto their cryptocurrencies, fostering loyalty and encouraging long-term investment in the project. For projects, a hardfork-based airdrop offers a unique marketing strategy to promote their token or coin. By distributing assets to users who hold a specific cryptocurrency, projects can generate buzz and attract new followers. This approach also helps to establish a strong community foundation, as users are more likely to support and advocate for projects that reward their loyalty. 🎈 PARTNERSHIP AIRDROP The partnership airdrop is a revolutionary concept that empowers token holders to benefit from joint ventures between projects. This innovative approach allows token holders to receive tokens from both participating projects, fostering a sense of unity and shared value. For instance, when two projects merge, their token holders can now seamlessly receive tokens from both entities, creating a more comprehensive ecosystem. Another example of the partnership airdrop in action is when a new startup is launched on the Ethereum blockchain. As a token of appreciation for the support and trust of Ethereum holders, they are rewarded with tokens from the new startup in a predetermined proportion. This collaborative approach not only strengthens the bond between projects but also provides a unique opportunity for token holders to diversify their portfolios and benefit from the growth potential of the merged or new projects. By facilitating seamless token distribution through partnerships, the partnership airdrop has the potential to reshape the way we think about tokenomics and project collaborations. As more projects come together to create innovative solutions, the partnership airdrop will undoubtedly play a vital role in shaping the future of the cryptocurrency landscape. 🎈 AIRDROP FOR NFT HOLDER This airdrop mechanism that benefits holders of specific NFT assets, providing them with free tokens. This promotion strategy is designed to incentivize ownership and drive engagement with a particular NFT collection. By distributing tokens to holders of certain NFT cards or assets, creators can increase visibility and attract new enthusiasts to their digital art project. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
5
From Beginner to Pro - The Evolution of a Trader Hey traders, In this educational article, we will discuss 3 stages of the evolution of a trader . Stage 1 - Unprofitable trader 😞 The unprofitable trader has very typical characteristics: -total absence of trading skills Most of the time, people open a live account simply after completing some beginners course like on babypips website. Being sure that the obtained knowledge are completely enough to start trading, they quickly face the tough reality. -no trading plan Having just basic knowledge, of course, they do not have a trading plan. Why the hell to have it if everything is so simple?! All their actions on the market is just gambling. They open the positions randomly most of the time, simply relying on intuition. -poor risk management In 99% percent of the time, the unprofitable trader does not even think about risk management. The position sizing, stop placement and target selection are completely neglected. Trading performance of the unprofitable traders is characterized by small wins and substantial losses and negatively trending equity. Stage 2 - Boom and bust trader 😶 Usually, traders reach boom and bust stage after 1-2 years of unprofitable trading. At some moment, winning trades start to compensate losing trades, brining non-trending equity. Such traders have very common traits: -not polished trading plan Being unprofitable for so long, traders start to realize the significance of a trading plan. Sticking to the set of rules, they notice positive changes in their trading performance. However, trading plan requires to be polished and modified. It takes many years for a trader to identify all its drawbacks before it starts bringing net profits. -lack of confidence When one starts following a trading system, confidence plays a substantial role. The fact is that even the best trading strategy in the world occasionally produces negative results. In order to not give up and keep following such a system, one needs to build trust in that. The confidence that after a series of losing trades, the strategy will manage to recover. Such a trust can be built after many years of trading that strategy. Stage 3 - Profitable trader ☺️ That is the final destination. After many years of a struggling trading, one finally sees positively-trending equity. Winning trades start to outperform losing ones, leading to consistent account growth. Profitable trader is characterized by iron discipline, confidence and consistency. He knows what he is trading, when and why. His trading plan is polished, he fully controls his emotions. He never stops learning and constantly develops his strategy. Knowing the 3 stages of the evolution of a trader, one can easily identify at what stage he currently is. That will help to identify the things to be focused on to move to the next stage. At what stages are you at the moment?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
STOP asking this dangerous two word questionWhat if? This simple two word question is a psychological trap that traders often encounter. And it does nothing more than undermine their decision-making process and overall trading performance. This question will open a box of doubts, hypotheticals, and second-guessing. This can paralyze action, distort risk assessment, and divert focus from the present to an endless maze of unrealized possibilities. Let’s look into the psychological effects and what you can do to stop it from creeping in. Psychological Impact #1: Doubt and Hesitation Constantly questioning “What if?” introduces doubt into the decision-making process. For traders, you need to make decisions quickly and with confidence. If you have any hesitation when you take a trade, it can lead to missed opportunities or entering positions at less than optimal prices. #2: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) “What if this stock skyrockets after I sell?” “What if this stock isn’t ideal?” What if this trade hits my stop loss?” This type of questioning can lead to either: ~ Holding positions too long. ~ Not holding positions long enough. ~ Not taking the trade. ~ Or missing great opportunities that come your way. #3: Overtrading Conversely, the fear of missing out can also lead to overtrading. “What if this is the next big opportunity?” Regardless on whether the trade lined up or not. You might be compelled to jump into trades without proper analysis or strategy. This will increase your trades, costs and your exposure to risk. #4: Regret and Rumination Traders who focus on “What if?” scenarios may dwell on past decisions, and this could lead to regret and rumination. This backward-looking perspective can hinder the ability to learn from mistakes and make more informed decisions in the future. So let’s try prevent the WHAT IF? Scenario. Don’t you think? Managing “What If?” in Trading #1: Develop a Trading Plan Make sure you have a clear, well-thought-out trading plan. This will help you to minimise second-guessing. If you have pre-defined entry, exit, and risk management rules in advance, you’ll be able to reduce the temptation to ask “What if?” and instead focus on executing your strategy. #2: Embrace Risk Management When you understand and accept the inherent risks of trading can alleviate the stress of “What if?” questions. Effective risk management will help ensure you to prepare for all types of outcomes. And you’ll handle your losses without deviating from your strategy. #3: Stay Present You need to be in the NOW moment. This way you’ll be able to avoid the trap of hypotheticals. Ask the questions: Has my trading system aligned? What is my daily and weekly bias? #4: Accept Uncertainty Recognise that market conditions are inherently unpredictable as I’ve mentioned many times. The only thing you should have your mind set to are the probabilities and possibilities of trades lining up. No outcomes can be foreseen or controlled. All you can do is follow your strategy accordingly and forget about the prompt “WHAT IF?”. Final words: I think I have covered all the ways you need to stop worrying about the unknown. You need to stop asking “WHAT IF?”. And start saying “NOW DO”. Let’s sum up why we would ask the hypothetical question when we trade: #1: Doubt and Hesitation #2: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) #3: Overtrading #4: Regret and Rumination Managing “What If?” in Trading #1: Develop a Trading Plan #2: Embrace Risk Management #3: Stay Present #4: Accept Uncertainty
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso