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D-DJI

Ready for the Transformation of the Biggest Wealth ever?Key things to take away from this: TD9 is still giving a bear market state. Slowly Accumulate, don't pound the table. Day traders should leverage from this by betting against the market for any kind of pull up. Any selling opportunity will most likely to work out. Trump's announcement called some people down. I am expecting the market to go up to set a good shorting opportunity. Take it easy team. See you on the next one. ~Bo Bugra
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MegalodonTrading
5
BLACK MONDAY LOOMS (AGAIN) 😲👊I can't find a spot of good news over this weekend - or one that would make a sound difference to economies (on a longer term basis). I'm expecting (not predicting) panic on Monday/Tuesday. The markets are NOT economies. They represent confidence in economies - similar to bond markets. Seriously - it's almost all bad news out there - and the algos will be expected to pick all this up and make 'decisions': Wall Street collapsed ~700 pts on the weekend (unheard of before). Then a slight rebellion north by 125pts. Cases surpass 105,000 worldwide; deaths exceed 3,500. The number of deaths from the coronavirus outside China edged toward 500, pushing governments and airlines to curtail travel to and from heavily affected areas. China death toll rises to 3,097. Italy curbs travel for northern region around Milan as death toll climbs by 33 overnight to 233. 16 million people locked down! CPAC attendee was infected; Trump had no contact. Trump said he intends to continue holding large campaign U.S. tests fewer than 6,000 samples. London Heathrow Baggage Handlers Test Positive for Virus The International Air Transport Association warned this week that carriers may lose $113 billion in sales this year, almost four times more than its estimate of the epidemic’s impact from just two weeks earlier. Saudi Arabia plans to increase oil output next month to well above 10 million barrels a day, as the kingdom responds to the collapse of its OPEC+ alliance with Russia. Commodities traders see this as all out 'price-war' in the face of a simultaneous supply-and-demand shock.(The virus had caused reduced demand for oil and price to fall. There was some talk about limiting production/supply of oil in response. Now the opposite seems to be happening). US walking into a recession at 'peak performance' - jobs report. I also expect even higher volatility - which is what all sound traders lurve!! But gamblers also like volatility - so to gamblers I say, " Expect to lose more money than you make! " Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. Estimates of probability in one direction leaves a residual probability in the opposite direction. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself .
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by Captain_Walker
5
FLASHING RED!! BRACE! 🚑😲This is serious picture emerging right now. Have a look. I'm watching what's happening with Gold in relation to the Down Jones Transportation Index, and Bitcoin. This is all coronavirus related. In tight summary, the smart money is moving into things that store real value - the kind that's unlikely to be affected by central banks. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
PURE ADDICTION! To be exploited. Yep - the algos play out the addicitons of their masters to cheap money: low interest rates, REPO pumping, and the implicit guarantee from the FED. But an itty bitty virus that disrespects world leaders, has everybody flummoxed and reaching for safe havens. In this screencast I show a bit of algo action and some smaller time frame trends which can last for over a day - quite lucrative. I've adapted to the vacillations of the market as I can't see the sense in waiting ages for decent profits when there is loads of lovely volatility within trend envelopes to exploit in lower time frames. If I can exploit a move of 100 - 200 points in a day or two I think that's fair enough. The greed and hope in these markets have created lovely opportunities - which can be exploited with the right level of discipline.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by Captain_Walker
DJI - Wall Street - melt up or melt down coming - your choice. Central banks around the world are coordinating in a last stand to prevent global meltdown. So - they're about to decide massive liquidity injections into 'their economies'. China, the USA, Singapore are already on board. Expect Germany to follow cuz the German economy is on the brink of a recession. What this could mean is a number of things: 1. The punters love it - and blow the markets north like nobody's business. 2. The punters reject it - and bail out with cash in hand which they'll pump into Gold (a better investment at this time). 3. Or - heavy volatility in coming days in a massive bear-bull fight, before the markets make a final decision. All of this stuff has been triggered by an itty bitty virus that disrespects everybody. The world is now waking up to how central China is to global supply chains of commodities, manufactured parts, goods and services. No predictions from me - as I have no working crystal ball. Disclaimers & Declarations : This is not financial advice or encouragement to trade in securities. If you act on anything said here and lose your money, kindly sue yourself!
FOREXCOM:US30
by Captain_Walker
NASDAQ: Man and Money v Virus - round 2Man and Money won round one over the virus, propping up markets world wide for short time. The skirmish was one by flooding the markets with cheap money and other means of boosting sentiment. But shortly after round one, the markets began to burn down. A great jobs report in the USA was ignored. A minor 10 min blip north then the markets went south after that. The NASDAQ is certainly the one to watch along with DJI and other 'tech-heaving' indices. Today (Saturday), weekend Wall Street (DJI) has continued it's travel south, losing approximately 100 pts. Disclaimers: this is not financial advice or encouragement to make any particular decision. If you lose your money sue yourself.
NASDAQ:NDAQShort
by Captain_Walker
MAN AND MONEY vs VIRUS! WHO WILL WIN?The picture of the 2019-nCOV is rapidly evolving. Globally there have been >14,000 cases and >305 deaths. The trajectory of spread of this virus has exceeded SARS (2003). In under 20 days there are 14,544 cases. There were less than 20 cases in the same period for SARS. SARS plateaued off at 8,500 cases after 100 days then fell off. What we're seeing in hard evidence is that nCOV is going rapidly exponential - almost doubling in 20 days what SARS reached in 100 days. 8 countries have effectively quarantined China in various ways. AND NOW - China has told everybody to calm down, that it will maintain financial stability and pump their market with USD$173 Billion from Monday 3rd February 2020. The FED and Australia are considering similar moves. The global economic disruption in what was a 'risk-off' situation, is gonna be serious and probably last well over a year. This doesn't mean that the markets will tank over the next year. It means expect bearish pressure. Think also about an 'endpoint'. How will anybody know when it is safe to open borders, trade and travel in China? If the VIX gets above 53 there is serious trouble! Declarations & Disclaimers: For the avoidance of doubt, this post is only about potential impact of a virus in financial contexts. I take no comfort at all in people suffering and dying. Whilst I am sorry about the human consequences, I deal with the markets as an instrument - like any other. It is not illegal or immoral to exploit the movement of any market for any cause. As usual this is not trading advice. If you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
SP:SPXEducation
by Captain_Walker
WATCH OUT - POTENTIAL BLACK SWAN EVENT - VIRUS ATTACKA 'black swan' event is something out of the blue - that creates systemic risk. The 2019-nCOV (virus) is potentially one such thing. The markets have not been prepared for this - at all. Could it be the pinprick that pops the 'tech bubble' that influences markets globally? The shock waves of this itty bitty virus are totally unexpected. I go into some price action in the last few days, on the DJI and explain some of the dangerous features of nCOV. China has basically been quarantined by the international community. This is certainly not good news. It's an unofficial quarantine. Lots of nations have limited contact or isolated China in various ways. The virus is one of the most spreadable in history of all viruses but with a low lethality. That means millions of people could be infected but only about 2% killed by it. And that means the death toll could be serious over weeks, months or years. There is no treatment at this time and no vaccine. Even if a vaccine is developed, vaccinated the whole world is not a workable option. In addition the wide spread of the virus means that it can mutate - rendering any vaccine developed, as ineffective. The next big question is when will this quarantine on China be lifted. It could take months, or probably years - depending on what the nCOV virus does next. There is chatter in the blogosphere that the FED will come to rescue the markets from the virus.. like pfffft! The FED has a lesson coming to them. Disclaimer : This screencast is not intended to advise on taking a position in the markets or making transactions. If you lose your money in the markets, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by Captain_Walker
2
VIRUS CAUSES WALL STREET TO SHUDDERNews of one person in the USA being struck my a Chinese coronavirus, cause the markets to retreat on a northward charge. Only some 200+ points. Not much but it is significant. The DJI is highly overpriced at the moment for a whole load of reasons, and it's very twitchy. The fact that the markets reacted to this story at all shows the twitchiness. It's just one case. But usually insiders know before the mainstream media what's going on. News is that moves markets, cuz it's about sentiment more than fundamental value. Many things have shaken the market in recent months. People have been watching closely and nervously - guessing what will prick the bubble to cause a pop. Stay tuned. Anything that rocks this market is worth watching for those who need to get out, or short. This is not advice to short this market. If you lose your money kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30
by Captain_Walker