StockMarket Update (#33) : Toppish Signals Flashing !!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
D-DJI
ARIASWAVE MARKET UPDATE - USD\DOW JONES\BITCOIN\STELLAR XLMAs we head towards the end of the month, we can see the tide turning in the US Dollar.
This is important because the US Dollar is the driving factor when it comes to ALL MARKETS .
AriasWave joins the dots and brings you invaluable insights as to where these markets are heading.
As the US Dollar continues to decline in Wave E, it is very obvious that something BIG is brewing under the hood.
This is very apparent using the AriasWave methodology because of what the pattern suggests lies ahead over the next few years.
Markets will become increasingly volatile from this point on due to underlying economic factors that the world will be facing during this time.
I have linked some previous ideas below to help you get up to speed if you are new to AriasWave.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
DOW JONES - The Complex Nature Of This Wave D Correction...In this video I give you a basic understanding of this Wave D pattern in the DOW JONES.
To fully understand this pattern you need to learn the waves according to AriasWave.
Elliott Wave is an Out-Dated and very Ancient way of observing price action, so please do not confuse AriasWave with that garbage.
We are seeing an expanded Wave D. When I say expanded, it has expanded 4X internally.
This is the type of insight that will allow you to profit on every upswing we are about to see, and not only on this chart*.
One of these corrections will fill the gap mentioned in the previous teaser chart linked below.
We are heading into some turbulence as we make our way into the final waves of this move since March 2020.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
*The number 4 is very important right now and refers to how many opportunities there are left to make profits on swing trades before we top out.
It doesn't matter how you make your money.I'm responding to a few on how to survive and make some gains in wild markets (note the brutal disclaimer at the end).
The DJI has been pretty wild so, I use it as an example. Figures shown here are not my own. I only use the figures to explain why it doesn't matter how you make your profits. HFT's will do similar things, so why can you not?
Well, I show the value of the ATR on the 3 min time frame as a way of making an exploit. I have to say that this is mainly for day traders with a lot of 'bottle'. So in the most recent scenario, I show how 403 points could have been made shorting. I other scenarios there are slight gains and some losses. No trading strategy could ever guarantee 100% gains.
I show a technique for deciding on an entry point (long or short).
Exit points can be managed based on the RSI or trailing down and allowing price movement to stop you out.
Is this about luck? I don't think so. Luck is about rolling dice. This is a calculated logical strategy - so your not throwing money randomly in the market. The use of the ATR, RSI and retracement criteria at the start of the trend change means no die are being rolled here. This methodology is about readiness and positioning.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
StockMarket Update (#29) : Early Signs of ValidationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Fee, Fi, Fo - FED!In the vid, I overview interesting moves in the DJI. Tensions are rising.
The latest market burn down doesn't look great for the FED. But.. but.. when you have access to literally and endless supply of money, you can do whatever you like (almost).
The FED has been throwing money into the so-called economy in the hundreds of Billions per week. I'm using economy in a very broad sense.
They're 'tinkering' with stock markets, REPO markets, Bond Markets - you name it, they're in it. Of course in some instances you won't see the 'hand of the FED' because they're using a dozen or so 'tools' as they call them. So you might see the tip of the tool, but not the 'hand of the FED'.
If they FED was not in the DJI at all would it have re-inflated that much. Not many (sensible) people believe that. It's basically free money at near zero interest rates and a generous REPO market. In other words its like going to a casino and the house says, " No problem have as many chips as you want! "
This is crazy stuff. Reality always comes back around to bite.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which has a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
DJI (1D): Watch the Heiken Ashi CandlesThis is a short and different take. The DJI could be about to correct - significantly. No promises.
The Heiken Ashi candles are telling us something. Sound traders will listen to their 'voice'.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which has a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
How the value of the Dollar and Gold impact marketsThis is a little different than what I usually do. Very straight forward line charts of the IXIC, DJI, and SPY. Showing how the changes in the value of the Dollar over Gold, impact the market. I know this isn’t the only influencing factor, as each market has its own levers, but this simple deviation of the two can weigh heavily on the markets.