D-DJI
DOW JONES -Divergent Patterns: Comparing Dow Jones and Nasdaq...In my previous video, we examined the long-term perspective and established that we're in the early phases of a significant bull market since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In this video, we delve deeper into the current market waves, highlighting the distinctive patterns between the Dow Jones and Nasdaq. Join me as we explore what to anticipate in the near future.
DOW JONES - Streamlining My Long-Term View For Clarity..."As mentioned previously, I decided to take a hiatus from chart analysis to focus on personal growth. I'm committed to delivering high-quality insights and refuse to share subpar ideas just for the sake of it. Continuous improvement is my mantra, and stagnation isn't an option for me.
During this break, I've reevaluated my bearish stance to gain a fresh perspective. This shift in outlook has enabled me to grasp the potential bullish future of cryptocurrencies. Understanding the 'why' behind these possibilities has been crucial, and my chart-free period has been instrumental in achieving this clarity.
CPI, DXY, VIX Down. Stocks Up! Blowoff Top Underway!Traders,
The big news this week was that inflation is now just under 3 percent! This is hugely bullish as any further certainty as to what actions the FED will take in the future only aids in investing confidence. Along with this news, we will cover the dollar decline, VIX 2-year low levels, and stocks beginning to break out even further, confirming my long-held blowoff top theory.
00:00 - CPI, FED rates, Unemployment Rate, DXY, VIX
10:00 - Bitcoin and Crypto
NAS100 Simple Chart Analysis2023 = Recovery Year For Tech Stock ( Come Watch How This Recovery Being Explained )
Nas100 - Highest Rst 16590 Supp 10674
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
AW Dow Jones Analysis - The Climax of a Long-Term Trend...Join me in this insightful video as I provide a concise explanation of the final moves anticipated in the Dow Jones. We explore the journey of the market since the great depression and analyze the current highs. Drawing upon AriasWave methodology, I discuss the notion that we are on the cusp of witnessing the conclusion of the long-term trend within the next year and a half.
Additionally, I shed light on how the formation of the market top may not only be attributed to the trend's end but also to the tendency of markets to exhibit symmetrical patterns at their peaks. While head and shoulders patterns are often found in these areas, it is essential to understand that the resulting moves align with larger patterns on a broader scale.
As we navigate the complexities of the market, understanding these dynamics and patterns can provide invaluable insights into potential future movements. Join me as we delve into this analysis, guided by the principles of AriasWave, to gain a deeper understanding of the Dow Jones and its impending journey.
Please note that all analysis and predictions are subject to change based on new information and market developments. It is important to conduct individual research and analysis in conjunction with this discussion.
AW Dow Jones Analysis Suggests That It Will Collapse To Zero...Since I created AriasWave I have been trying to figure what we are seeing in the Dow Jones.
I think that I may have finally found the right path towards understanding the most likely potential.
This analysis looks at data going back to 1500AD, where the European data is joined onto the US data.
It has become clear that the whole series of data on that chart indicates an end to the entire pattern is very close.
That long-term Weak 5-Wave move is what I believe will be completely retraced which will equal zero on our modern charts.
I have used this data alongside the long-term bond yield analysis data going back to 1100AD which suggests we are entering an era of extremely negative yields.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
AW Dow Jones Analysis - How The Next Crisis Will Unfold...In this video I talk about the larger pattern and also what is going on at the highs since March 2020.
I believe we are only months away from a systemic collapse which will be the largest in modern history.
It is my assertion that the move up since 2009 was a Type-2 Expanded Zig-Zag Wave D.
This Wave D is now nearing it's final move within Wave (C) which cannot go above a certain level without breaking an important rule.
I believe that towards the end of the year we are going to see a final all-time-high top which will signify the end of this move.
This whole move up since 2009 was just a bubble however the same can be said about the entire economic system.
I guess it all comes down to relativity, after all we know that without stimulus, the whole system would crumble.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
The Fed's Pivot - What to Expect in the Months Ahead In this video, I explain what to expect in the months ahead, following the Fed's pivot back to monetary easing.
Also, I wanted to make several notes:
When I said that it's almost never better to own derivatives than holding an asset outright, I do realize the importance that derivatives can play with leverage and risk management.
When I said that fear is always highest at the +2 standard deviation of the log-linear regression channel, this was confusing because typically fear is highest when price reaches the -2 standard deviation. In this particular ratio chart, fear over the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust was highest when Bitcoin outperformed it enough for the BTC/GBTC ratio to reach the +2 standard deviation.
When I said that the log-linear regression channel is one of the best indicators, I do realize that compared to other statistical methods, this indicator is quite rudimentary. Nonetheless, I find it to be quite useful.
I apologize for the poor audio, this seems to be a matter of how TradingView is uploading my audio. On my end, my audio is very clear.
Important Disclaimer
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Trading and investing always involve risks and one should carefully review all such risks before making a trade or investment decision. Do not buy or sell any security based on anything in this post. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. This post is for educational purposes only.
AW Dow Jones Analysis - Final Move Before Crash In Progress...In my previous video I highlighted exactly what I thought was going to happen and thus far it has materialized.
The level of detail in that video goes to show how precise AriasWave can be when used correctly.
This kind of analysis cannot be found anywhere and if you think that's funny you should see the bigger picture.
Slowly but surely, I am formulating a view that will more accurately be able to predict the next moves in the market for years to come.
My two favorite charts to understand this process are the Dow Jones and Bitcoin.
With the guide of the 10-year bond yields analysis it serves and the indicator for when the Fed will tighten versus stimulate.
With the help of the US Dollar and Euro analysis I can also make the prediction that a fairly decent bull market awaits us in the years to come.
I have linked some related ideas down below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
AW Dow Jones Analysis - Live Proprietry Analysis Just For You...Let's make sense of this chart right now, that's it no more playing.
My wave analysis skills are sharper than ever, and we are even making profits when I am wrong.
But I am quick to identify and rectify my analysis and the reasoning follows right behind it.
If it don't see it then it can't be made into an idea, but I am showing signs of improvement.
That's to say that I created the wave methodology I use to analyze and trade which is AriasWave.
Please understand that even though I may appear to seem 100% convinced, I am not being funny I am forming conviction which is what is needed to pull the trigger on trades.
I always push myself to do better every day because this to me is a form of art, and art in all it's beauty is never perfect.
However, the underlying methodology is, and I continually attempt to use to make the most accurate predictions you will see anywhere.
That is how I know I will succeed moving forward.
Best of all you can learn it too!
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
AW Dow Jones Analysis - Next Bull Market Closer Than You Think..In this video I do some live analysis as I change the labels for Wave D and explain how we are on the cusp of the next bull market.
Now we are beginning to see a raft of confluence across several markets that indicate that there is not long to go before that happens.
When I see similar things (Not the same) across several charts that start to align it become easier for me to prefer one view over another.
My main goal here is to not miss the beginning of the bull market in Cryptos and have fun in the process of doing the analysis on the other markets.
Refining my ideas takes time as I whittle down the possibilities using the methodology I created.
My analysis gives you extremely unique insights into the markets.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
AW Dow Jones Analysis - A Snapshot of the Things to Come...In this video I give you a quick rundown of what I believe is happening overall in the Dow Jones.
Down below I have linked the video that explains the bigger picture since the Great Depression and what I expect to happen in the future.
At current levels we are getting ready to move higher to complete this smaller Wave D.
After this Wave D is over the larger pattern suggests that we will begin to see a series of booms and busts which should send Crypto's to the stratosphere.
I am slowly bringing all my analysis together in an attempt to understand the length of time remaining until the next real bull market begins.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
Meta and Tesla Priced richly again, dow ignored, fear lowForward growth seems to be priced back into these hot high volume in the news stocks. Both Tesla and Facebook/meta have almost doubled in the last month.
Dividend dow is not shunned and ignored as hot stocks are back in style.
Fear in vix and junk bonds is low.
Market Update 11/12/23 With Time Stamps0:00 DXY
2:30 APPL
3:36 NASDAQ
5:10 BTCUSD
8:15 DIA DJI
9:05 What I want to see with the DXY
10:35 What I want to see with the VIX
13:00 HSI Hang Seng Index
15:15 GOLD XAU
16:36 MARA
18:40 NVDA
19:12 DKNG
19:34 PYPL
19:52 Closing/Good bye
Just an update from yesterday. Most things seem to be going as expected during this new year.
I still expect the DXY to drop to 98.3 or 99.6 before trying to make a good move upwards and possibly bringing the market down, but I am still looking for a potential reversal at 12.324. We are currently under this target and that is why I say reversal. In my mind and at the moment, the odds of the DXY continuing further down are 70/30.
Will the dollar continue to plummet in 2023? Plus, a look at...Traders,
Happy New Year! It's been a terrible year for crypto, the markets, and the global macroeconomic environment. But the good news is that I believe we have left most of the negative declines behind us ...at least for a bit.
So, in this video, I'm going to look at what I see in 2023 for the U.S. dollar, the housing market, Bitcoin dominance, the stock markets (DJI, SPY, Nasdaq), and more.
Stew
Market Update - BTC, ETH, DXY, DJI, NDX, SPXQuick market update of weekend price action primarily focusing on BTC.
The expectation is that bearish deviations are starting to show up on the 4hr
a smaller retracement is expected. Still general bullishness in the market,
however, we have outlined some levels to focus on primarily 17.1k and 17.45k
Keep an eye on the DXY and expect some inverse correlation as usual
Market Update 11/30/22 Timestamps BelowReal support for Vix is below at 19.8 and 19.4 with the strong trend line at 17.6. Though Powell did have bullish comments today, the price movement of the VIX supported the likelihood of a market move upwards more so than a market move down.
Time Stamps:
VIX 0:00
APPL 11:00
NASDAQ 14:39
DXY 15:40
BTC 16:50
SPY & DJI 18:22