D-DJI
HIGH ALERT: Bad weather and death crossesI won't say much here because I've narrated much of what I think is going on across several indices.
These are very troubled and dangerous times in the markets.
Some say it is not possible to time the markets. I disagree.
Whilst death crosses come and go, the important contextual issue is when they happen.
These death crosses have occurred after a most ridiculous expansion of markets, in the context of reckless Q/E.
PE ratios have been off the scale. We know the markets are overbought.
So death crosses in the particular context of the markets are significant now.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
DAX GANN LEVELS AND WEEKLY ANALYSISCAPITALCOM:DE40 backtested support around 14960 and rebounded to close above 14080 resistance yesterday. This signals a short term bottom formation with today's range being 14080 to 14230.
CAPITALCOM:DE40 made a high above 14180 resistance and rejected to backtest the 14080 support so far today. We can expect DE40 to continue to rally above the R1 14330 next week. If that does not happen, and R1 holds, we expect the DE40 to break below the 13960 support and continue lower.
Good Luck!
US30 (DOW JONES) DJIThis is my overall idea of US30 coming into this week. It's pretty much the same idea I've been having for a few weeks. The market has been a little tricky as we kept having push-ups and down, however if you pay close attention it's been ranging in my opinion until this move to the upside. Of course when market opens it will either retest and continue up or break structure down. Lets see.
DJI: Get ready - probable trend change for the southSee the video. No more hear on the video. I'll just share my opinions, which is not advice.
The DJI proves me more wrong more times than I am right. So what?
The issue is about limiting how wrong I am - not how many times I am wrong.
New traders - and I was one - struggle to get that idea right. Why? Because in ordinary life one is praised for performance by how many times you're good.
Well in trading it's very different. You can be wrong far more times than you are right, and it wouldn't matter. How is that?
It's because you limited carefully your loss on the many occasions your were wrong, and you really milked it when on the occasions you were very right. In the end a sound trader in any methodology will find that profitable.
Methodologies don’t work 'for you' - get it right; you work the methodology. That means a high level of discipline - which normally comes after much pain and loss. I never avoid talking about losses, because it is 'the most important thing' to control.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
DJI-DOW JONES MAKING PROGRESS - MARKETS CORRECTINGAfter watching 401k Portfolios dive down due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine , we can see on the charts and on this video that their is light at the end of the tunnel. Markets are now correcting such as the Dow Jones and although its slow progress we see that gains are being made once again. Find out for all the details on this technical analysis video. Give me a thumbs up and subscribe if you want to follow me and learn more about the markets.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
Gold RIPPING higher. New Record Coming! Buy Discounted!Gold is exploding higher on fears in the market. When the "you know what" hits the fan, real stuff matters. Countries and hedge funds are piling into gold and treasuries as a safety net as the market continues to implode. In this video, I talk about physically-backed trusts that allow a paper-type holding via stocks but real gold, silver, palladium, and platinum behind it. And get this, at a discount! If you were looking for a place to get out of your overpriced NASDAQ stocks, this might be a place to hang out as the dust settles. Here I talk about Sprott's Trusts on physical metals as I see them as a very trustworthy company that knows what they're doing and with the clarity on how many assets they have in these metals so you know what you're actually getting into.
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Stocks PSLV, PHYS, CEF, SPPP GLD, SLV, FUTURES, DJI
GET READY - is the DJI setting up for a major correction?In this video, I compare the movements of the DJI with the DAX.
There are no predictions here. What I am saying, is to get ready.
Price can move in any direction but there is a 4H ATR trendline indicating that the trend strength is for the south.
As I cannot predict the future, this scenario is only relevant up to the time of posting. The markets can do as they like and prove me wrong.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
DJI: Why it could go southIn this video I pay attention to 2H and 4H time frames, updating my previous video. I also compare momentum in the 2020 crash with the current picture.
In particular I look compare squeeze momentum and RSI patterns in both periods.
There is always 'hope'. But hope doesn't rule against market crashes.
This is one hypothesis - not a prediction.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
DJI (2H): That mini crash - what does next week hold?Well, there is trouble in the markets for sure. Last week saw a meltdown of about 8% from one peak, on the DJI.
My crystal ball broke a long time ago, and I'm not getting a new one from Ebay. 😂
The video outlines how vigilance on the 2H timeframe paid off for anyone who wanted to short this market.
So - what about next week (beginning Mon 24th Jan)? No predictions, all you get is probability and some of my experience. (Note the disclaimer below)
There is a massive gap between the 2H ATR line and the lowest price point. That in conjunction with the deep dive (much of it being panic), suggests that dip-buyers (unless they've wised up) are gonna plough in.
What those folk are largely unaware of is that Wall Street traders can not only sell but short sell.
What if price gets above the 2H ATR line next week or the following week? It doesn't mean a lot because there is the mother of 4H and 6H trends in the bigger picture. In fact there has already been a major shift in market sentiment on the 1D time frame. That's something to do with the FED, and interest rates etc. But in technical analysis causal factors are not so important.
A grind down further from the current price point is also possible.
My overall estimate is for rebellions. It could be very wild out there next week. That's good for scalping if you know what you're doing.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
GETTING READY: Looking back to 2020In this video I look back to early 2020, to see how the 40% collapse in the DJI happened.
Am I preparing for a collapse or correction? Yes I am. Preparing does not mean I am predicting.
What is see looking back is, that a 2 hour ATR trend south had developed. It is the best fit. I had tried 1H trend but that did not fit well enough, where price would stay below he ATR line.
This index has been pumped up on implicit guarantees coming from the FED. We saw a similar scenario in the mortgage markets around 2008.
Readiness is everything. When you're in a trend down, you won't really know for sure because you can't see the whole trend, like we see now looking back to 2020.
This time around, I'm getting ready. The last major correction occurred in Feb 2020. So I am on high alert all now. I'm watching every 2hour switch.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Stock Indexes have peaked. A slow roll-over has begun.In this video:
* Current price action of the dollar coinciding with that of the markets and an understanding that the Fed may raise interest rates soon, all indicate that the broader markets will begin to roll over and turn bearish.
* Cryptos may still have time to complete one more bullish cycle before the markets turns extremely bearish.
Stock Market Review - Underwhelmed - Still Bearish - No ChangeIn this video:
* We must review the stock market indexes and sentiment in order to accurately gauge our crypto space
* Overall, nothing has changed. Still bearish!
UPDATE: Apparently, TradingView is still having video issues. Subscribe to my substack below to view the video there or any of my other social media accounts.
- Stewdamus
DJI Dow Jones Tricky Triangle SetupWell, the Dow has enjoyed repeated bull runs. Something about COVID has me uneasy with any optimism. Understandably the NIKE and European sectors are suffering worse. Although as inflated as the dollar has become, it keeps dodging the "big one." Perhaps it will not affect the market, but for the short term, I have spotted a 4HR Triangle on the Technical.
Expecting a duration of 10 days on this next move.
US Indices Weekly Analysis | November 2, 2021A big week for the stock market! We got nonfarm employment, FOMC statement/interest rate decision, trade balance, nonfarm-payroll and unemployment rate. A lot of potential catalyst hitting the market this week. Defiantly stay sharp and keep a close eye on the market.
DJI LONG Until January 2024? *TrickyTriangle Gannzilla 35741.16 Bermuda Bahama bears run from the drama! Bull Market has picked up more steam a bull breeding pen in Pamplona. Watch out brittle European Bear, the American Bull will not be sitting dinner.
Combined with Gann technicals and weekly triangle pattern, the current, uptrend is on. Macro setup from higher lows on the monthly chart indicates promise for a MAJOR 3 year continuation of the current (11 year bull swing ) on Dow Jones Industrial Average $DJI
WOW. Bull market in full swing 2021.
DJI Dow Jones Bulls Are Out of Testosterone WEEKLY CHART $DJIThere are only so many cows that a bull can stud. The DJI was a stud for 12 years. But this old bull has to be put down. What will the stimulus do to fuel the market? Is it a shallow attempt to keep and old bull trend going?
Weekly analysis using Gann Fan on 581 day rally shows sharp ledge forming. Expecting this shelf to start a new swing. The big swing (recession)
DJI DOW JONES Bulls Have a lot of JUICE ; 40,000 by MAY 2021What people have not learned about the Bulls? They keep on COMING! Ever seen a cow studded by a man bull? Just watch out for the pointy end! But seriously, everyone doubts the dow. Might as well spell the next short "DOWnt" because Bulls are still in control of the weekly chart.
Take Profit May 2021
40,000