Explanation/ My observance on the SRSIThis shows off what i've noticed what happens with the Stochastic RSI and price action when it breaks out of a pattern to the upside. Not sure if its always going to happen but i see it on all time frames with a pattern, when price breaks out the stochastic rsi usually gets overbought as price breaks resistancec and when the stochastic rsi comes back down to oversold, price will hold previous resistance as support and if it holds it usually goes higher to the measured move of the pattern.
M-oscillator
CSC-HARSI with Alerts for GO long or Short and when to BUYWelcome to the coffee shop everybody I am highly highly highly excited about the new developments taking place with the CoffeeShop Crypto HARSI 2022
Don't let the name of the indicator fool you it can be used on more than just crypto you can use it on all markets or any markets that you choose to use it on.
As you know the indicator was released sometime ago and I really want to give a big thank you to all the people who come through Boost the script as well as use it on their charts it's really nice to see you guys doing that and I want to let you know that I get information I get indications of that taking place and I do make sure to follow you because I want to know what it is that you're up to and I want you to see what I'm up to.
okay now that we're done with the introductions and all the salutations and make you feel good about yourselfes let's get into what's happening with the CSC-HARSI.
Make sure to take a look at the attached video above because you're going to see and hear me discussing the new implementation of 2 types of alerts and indications that show up on the indicator itself.
One indication is when it is going to be telling you to Bi-Lo another indication is going to be when it tells you to go long. That is related to people who want to go bullet in the market and Buy Low sell High. "Bi-Lo" Means that the trend is about to reverse or that if you're in a ranging Market you can buy at this very low price. Shortly after that you'll end up getting another indication saying "Go long". This means that you've already bought at the lowest possible price in a safe place and now when it says go long you can set your trade and take profit levels. So "Buy Lo" does not mean enter into the market and set your take profit it simply means that you buy shares at a low price.
The other indications that will show up will be simply the reverse of that. One would say "Buy Hi" which means you just accumulate shares or coins or what have you so that you can short them later on. A little while after that you'll get another Indication that says "go Short". This means that you've already accumulated shares at a high value and now you're going to "short" them.
In the attached video you'll be able to see how to use the coffee shop crypto and when and how do you use these two separate alerts for example "Bi-Lo" and "Go-Long" or "Buy-Hi" and "Go-Short"
As of the recording of this video in the publication of this idea do not look for the information related to that in the coffee shop crypto heart see this is simply an idea to let you know what's coming up next.
So in the meantime go ahead add to your favorites from this link
and add it to your chart and when I published the new version of the code which will be with somewhere in the next 24 hours I hope you'll get an indication from tradingview and it'll say hey has been an update to this script go and get the new one. At which point you would simply delete the coffee shop crypto from your trading chart, then you would end up going to the Community Scripts and typing in CoffeeShop Crypto 2022 And re-add it to your chart.
So again make sure you watch the video that's attached and if you have any questions go ahead and drop them below if you just simply excited about it go ahead link a comment about that below as well.
RSI Trend Strategy GuidelinesThe RSI is a versatile indicator, and can be used to provide entry signals during a trend. To get the signals a moving average is applied to the RSI.
1. Trades are only taken in the direction of the trend. For an uptrend only take longs. For a downtrend only take shorts (puts).
2. During a downtrend the RSI must move above 60 to indicate a pullback. When the RSI crosses back below its moving average (can be at any number, just as long as the RSI is or was above 60 recently) go short.
3. During an uptrend the RSI must move below 40 to indicate a pullback. When the RSI crosses back above its moving average (can be at any number, just as long as the RSI is or was below 40 recently) go long.
4. Give the price at least two or three bars (whatever time frame you are trading on) or more before considering an exit. This gives the price some time to move in your favor.
Setting Support and resistance levels using the CSC-HARSI 2022Watch the video to get FULL details and listen to some commentary. Always feel free to ask questions below. I love talking with you guys.
Here is how we do it:
Set your RSI and VWAP as its Moving average in the CSC-HARSI
The lower the RSI setting, the more S/R levels you'll find.
So don't set your RSI to a low setting on a large timeframe chart. For example: Dont set your RSI to 9 on a 1hr chart.
Commonly I trade off of breaks of the 50 period EMA on my chart so i set my RSI to 50 and my chart to 1hr.
1. Setup your RSI to a 50 period length with source as CLOSE
2. RSI MA Settings: Set this to the VWAP (NOTE you can not change the RSI MA length if you set it for VWAP as it is now LOCKED to the RSI length)
3. Look for places on your CSC HARSI where the RSI and VWAP close at exactly the same level.
4. The close must results in a crossover and NOT a bounce.
5. If the Heiken Ashi close was a bullish candle, you mark a horizontal line on your chart ABOVE the candle
5a. If the Heiken Ashi close was a bearish candle, you mark a horizontal line on your chart BELOW the candle.
The worst trading strategy for HARSI or any other indicator.**Not gonna lie. This is a 20+ minute video because I almost lost it, and I went on a RANT! The way I see people just blindly accepting and using ridiculous strategies on indicators is just awful.**
I have come across countless TV, YouTube, and other online sourced videos filled with misinformation, and I will make it part of my mission to call out these ridiculous strategies.
I just cant sit idlily by while you guys blow your accounts away making bad trades off of horrible information, based from someone who obviously is NOT a real day trader.
With that, in todays video, with my brain on fire and my mouth being held back, I am going to cover the strategy I keep seeing here on YouTube.
Its one that people claim "The developer told them to use."
The strategy is for the original #HARSI (#heikenashi #harsi )
I'm here to tell you, that i have spoken with the original developer a number of times and NOT ONCE did they say this strategy is theirs or that they use it.
I'm also going to give you a very quick run through of a proper way to use the new version of the HARSI called the #CSCHARSI or (#coffeshop #Crypto #HARSI )
Download the indicator here:
My Tradingview Profile:
www.tradingview.com
RSI Overbought & Oversold Strategy
What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
1. The relative strength index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator introduced in 1978.
2. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100.
3. An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30.
4. The RSI line crossing below the overbought line or above the oversold line is often seen by traders as a signal to buy or sell.
5. The RSI works best in trading ranges rather than trending markets.
Using Momentum Indicator to identify chop zonesIf you are a short term scalper, then chop zones can be your bane and take all your profits. Using the Momentum Indicator, you can identify the propensity for chop zones early by adding some trend lines.
The Momentum indicator starts with the assumption that as the chart line moves towards zero, the more choppy and less momentum the market is moving. However, we need some guidelines to identify thresholds above and below zero for choppy areas. Using July 1st as an exemplar, I have plotted chop zones that correlate with the momentum indicator. In this particular case, I added trend lines at 0.15, 0, and -0.15 as prime chop zones. When the indicator is in this range, it is best to wait for breakouts if you are scalping. Try this method on your own charts to identify prime chop zones and tweak it if necessary. However, I plan on using these chop thresholds going forward.
How can do rsi in chart?? 👌👌👌How do we exploit? So must We have to find resistance became support (condition break trend line before) and we see rsi that support, Draw it line noticed how price respected 😉😉👌 merge it white your analysis.
Why trading with simple indicators for beginners is a bad idea. Hello,
An idea that may strike some sense to "divergence" trading, and why you should not be trading reversals, when you are a beginner trader. There are about 5 divergences, indicating reversals inside this STRONG BULL TREND. And you could make money buying anywhere in the trend with a wide stop. Instead beginners are taught to trade reversal because they are "HIGH R/R". Yes, they are HIGH RISK, HIGH REWARD. Not LOW RISK HIGH REWARD.
The idea that a HIGH RISK TO REWARD RATIO is good, is so misunderstood in the trading community. Low risk, high reward DOES NOT EXIST in trading. There are more components to trades than just the P&L. There is also a thing called PROBABILITY. High risk, low reward means HIGH PROBABILITY. Low risk, high reward means VERY LOW probability. The reason is simple: There has to be an institution taking the OTHER side of YOUR trade, in order for you to make money. When shorting a bull trend you can ONLY expect to make SCALPS. Do not get into the rabbit hole of burning through you capital, hoping for reversals. You don't have enough capital to keep shorting the upside. Just go long, when trends like this occur. Stop looking for reversals, get into a SMALL position and keep adding as it is going up.
Best to you, traders. Have a wonderful rest of the week.
🔥 Very unique situation is happening for the DYDX 🔥Hello traders 🐺 .
As you saw in the title , in this idea I want to talk about this unique situation of the DYDX which in my opinion is very rare and unique in the market specially in the higher time frame like daily and weekly so this could be a very special and profitable trade for you my friends 🚀🔥 .
Many of you know about the bullish and bearish divergence and also may know that what this divergence and patterns trying to telling to us ; but there are some traders whos still don't know about this patterns , so I decided to publish this idea and talk more about the bullish and bearish divergence and also talk about the wedge pattern , so this is tutorial content and I hope this be helpful for you my dear friends .
wedge patterns :
What we have currently in above chart is falling wedge pattern , which is bullishly bias pattern but what does this means ?
when we look at the wedge patterns which in this case is falling wedge or broadening channel , we see descending trend lines which are diverging each others , so we can see a something look like channel but the channel trend lines in the wedge patterns are diverging each others .
But the important point about the wedge patterns is the story behind them , usually when we have a wedge patterns in the market , if you realize the pattern correctly in the most cased we have a divergence in the RSI , but what does this means for us ?
Wedge patterns are type of the exhausting pattern and this means that during this patterns , bigger operator of the market are trying to change the trend but they want to accumulate or distribute during the pattern and we could realize it in the RSI value , because for example in this case we have a falling wedge pattern and as you can see in the chart above we have lower lows in the chart but in the RSI we have a higher lows ;
you can see that as price start to drop , RSI start to rise during the pattern and this means that they are accumulating in the lower price but they do it slowly and want to exhaust people from the current situation of the market so they do it slowly and didn't push the price in one single move , because in that case they can't buy any more in this lower prices .
ok guys I hope this tutorial be helpful for you , but I think now it's time to talk about the DYDX situation .
As you can see in the chart , we have the exact same thing for DYDX , and in my opinion this is a very unique situation in the market because this pattern is formed in the higher time frame like daily or weekly . because of the type of this idea I can't talk more about the price targets because this is a tutorial idea and in this type of idea we have to educate people , not talk about the price targets or long and short trades , so make sure to follow me to see my next analysis about DYDX .
HOW-TO: Cycle analysis helps to detect important turning pointsThe concept of cycle analysis has enourmous power to detect and project important points in time when markets might turn. Cycles work in the time domain and therefore offer additional value to technical analysis. As technical analysis is mainly driven by price, cycle analysis offers a view on another parameter: Time. The most important situations occur when time-based cycle projects come into alignment with price-based technical analysis.
Therefore, every trader and analyst should also pay attention to time-based cycle analysis. My objective is to offer tools and improved technical indicators on this platform to combine cycle analysis with technical analysis to help in detecting important turning point.
This idea is a summary and real-case example on how time-based cycles gave us the exact pre-information on the expected market top during the period October 2021 to 2022. All has been freely avaiable to the public without any need for subscribtion. Check the signature link.
Time-based analysis requires additional tools which are not available directly on TradingView yet. Therefore we must reference additional tools to detect relevant cycles. The public announcements based on time-based cycle analysis on the global markets are labled on the chart "Weekly Cycles Rolling Over" (Oct.2021) and "The Calm before the next Wave" (Jan.2022). Look for "The clam before the next wave" via the signature link. They are freely available for your review and have been posted in advance. We will continue to bring more and more of our cycle tools directly to the TV platform, as Pine will allow us to do so.
Once you know the dominant cycle (length), you can use this information to improve your technical analysis on the price chart. I do provide different free indicators here on the TradingView platform which are free to use in your own analysis. Please see the linked related ideas which provide access to these indicators for your own free usage.
The key is do use the known dominant cycle as input for these indicators. Once the "correct" input is given - these indicators will reduce noise and will make the turns visible on the price chart. The following example is using one of the indicators available here on the TradingView platform. The cyclic tuned RSI indicator:
1) The first indicator signal occured already in May 2021 when to signal line crossed below the dynamic upper band of the cyclic smoothed RSI indicator. While the weekly cRSI is also overbought, indicated by the red background. However, this technical signal occured not in the projected timing window which was given by the dominant cycles. The cycles still have been in their upswing phase on the weekly and daily cycles. So at point (1) we had a technical sell signal. Which was not confirmed by time-based cycles. Time and price have not come into alignment.
2) The second indicator signal (sell) occured in November 2021. When the signal line touched the upper band and reversed, while the weekly cycles have been in overbought situation (red background). This time now is different because the time-based cycles have rolled over! The upswing cycle phase has ended. This was published based on the the time-based cycle analysis "Weekly S&P500 cycles rolling over" on October 2021. So now we have an alignment of the technical cyclic tuned indicator and confirmed by the weekly cycles which have rolled over now indicating a time-based top. Price and time based cycles have come into alignment. There is no misinterpretation possible. There are no other sell signals or buy signals following this method. A clear top/sell signal in November 2021, after the time-based cycle analysis was published in October 2021.
3) The third indicator signals (sell) occured around 12. Jan. 2022, once the divergence between price and the indicator top has become visible. This price cycle signal (divergence) was supported by the time-based cycle analysis published on 18th January, labled "the calm before the next wave". This time, again daily time-based cycles and price cycles from the shown indicator have come into alignment. Again a clear signal that after the weekly cycles (see #2) now the daily cycles have joined the bearish camp confirmed by the divergence signal at the same time on the price chart.
Thats how you can use cycles to improve your trading skills.
Join the livestream to discuss the analysis and how it can be used on the TradingView chart:
www.tradingview.com
Automated Trading with Trailing Take Profit and Scaling ExitsAutomated Trading on Tradingview can be challenging. But with some strategies employing smart trading techniques, you can find your way to a reliable setup. There are many aspects of automated trading I've employed and studied. Those are as follows:
Trailing Take Profits: Allowing a trade to surpass the original profit target if the price continues in your favor, followed by an offset value.
Stop On Close: Waiting for a trade to close a bar below your stop loss before exiting a trade.
Scaling Exits: Exiting a partial position at a set limit price between the entry and final take profit target.
More info available on the chart.
FB waited Long positionFB stock repeating July 2018 pattern. Expect price to further decrease until it increases. The difference here is that MACD has already crossed over into bearish territory. Stochastics has moved into oversold territory and weakness in the trend shown by the RSI is looking oversold. RSI signal line of 41 is still in range between 50 and 20. This shows that there is room for the stock to further dip. Either wait for 6 months to get a bullish candle with confirmation candles to enter the trade (approximately July 2022). If taking a long-term position (greater than 1 year) and it's ok to take a temporary drawdown or to dollar cost average, it is a good buy right now. Otherwise, it's better to wait till July and see if the price starts appreciating again as an entry trade.
Risk Disclaimer
*Futures, stocks, exchange traded funds and spot currency trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures , stocks, and forex markets.
An introduction to the MACD indicatorHere is my quick and dirty introduction/explanation of what the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator………… indicates.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend following momentum indicator that follows the intimate relationship between a 12-Period EMA and a 26-Period EMA on a price chart in whatever timeframe you are in.
The MACD indicator is made up of 6 parts, the MACD Line, the Signal Line, the Histogram, the 0.00 Base Line, the Positive Zone and the Negative Zone.
As default, the MACD Line is calculated by subtracting the value of a 26-Period EMA from the value of a 12-Period EMA on your chart to give you your MACD Line value. The MACD indicator will give a MACD Line value in whatever timeframe you are in.
The Signal Line is a 9-Period EMA of the MACD Line and is used with the MACD Line to generate/trigger Buy and Sell Signals. If the MACD Line crosses ABOVE the Signal Line, that is considered a Buy Signal. If the MACD Line crosses BELOW the Signal Line, that is considered a Sell Signal. Note that Buy and Sell Signals can be generated in both the Positive and Negative Zones
The Histogram is a graphical representation of the distance between the MACD Line and the Signal Line (9-Period EMA).
Green Histograms will appear above the 0.00 Base Line when the MACD Line crosses ABOVE the Signal Line. The Green Histograms will Increase in size the further the MACD Line moves upwards & away from its Signal Line. The Green Histogram will also lighten in colour if the MACD Line fails to move higher to create a higher Green Histogram Bar.
Red Histograms will appear below the 0.00 Base Line when the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line. The Red Histograms will increase in size the further the MACD Line moves downwards & away from its Signal Line. The Red Histogram will also lighten in colour if the MACD Line fails to move lower to create a lower Red Histogram Bar.
The Positive Zone is the area ABOVE the 0.00 Base Line. If the MACD Line crosses above the 0.00 Base Line, this means that a 12-Period EMA is ABOVE a 26-Period EMA on your price chart in whatever timeframe you are in. So to reiterate, the MACD Line will be ABOVE the 0.00 Base Line when a 12-Period EMA is ABOVE a 26-Period EMA on your price chart.
The Negative Zone is the area BELOW the 0.00 Base Line. If the MACD Line crosses below the 0.00 Base Line, this means that a 12-Period EMA is BELOW a 26-Period EMA on your price chart in whatever timeframe you are in. So to reiterate, the MACD Line will be BELOW the 0.00 Base Line when a 12-Period EMA is BELOW a 26-Period EMA on your price chart.
Note that the MACD indicator has no upper limit in the Positive Zone and no lower limit in the Negative Zone.
The MACD indicator can also be used to show Divergence between the Price and the MACD Line. In a Bullish scenario, if the Price is making Lower Lows and the MACD Line is making Higher Lows then this is potentially Bullish.
For a Bearish scenario, if the Price is making Higher Highs and the MACD Line is making Lower Highs then this is potentially Bearish.
The MACD indicator can also be used to show Hidden Divergence between the Price and the Histogram. In a Bullish scenario, if the Price is making Higher Lows but the Histogram is making Lower Lows then this is potentially Bullish. For a Bearish scenario, if the Price is making Lower Highs but the Histogram is making Higher Highs then this is potentially Bearish.
The MACD can sometimes produce false positive as can be seen here where we have Bullish Divergence with the Price Converging with the MACD Line but no real breakout happened.
Note that the MACD Line and Signal Line will be in line with the current Candle Wick in whatever timeframe you are in.
The MACD indicator is a lagging indicator but it also has the power to be predictive especially with potential upcoming Buy and Sell signals, divergence and when used with other indicators like Volume, the Ichimoku Cloud, Bollinger Bands, MAs or EMAs, RSI, ADX DI to name but a few as these can help complement the MACD signals to help get a much clearer picture as to what is going on and what may happen on your chart in whatever timeframe you are in, because there is a lot of BS, FUD, FOMO and utter crap out there so a little clarity is always helpful ;-)
For me the MACD is a very useful indicator with my trading, so I hope you have found this quick and dirty MACD educational post helpful. Happy trading.
Notes:
MACD Line = 26-Period EMA Value - 12-Period EMA Value = MACD Line Value
Signal Line = 9-Period EMA of the MACD Line. Used with the MACD Line to trigger Buy and Sell Signals
Histogram = Distance between the MACD Line and the Signal Line
0.00 Base Line = Crossover point to the Positive Zone and/or Negative Zone
Positive Zone = a 12-Period EMA is ABOVE a 26-Period EMA on your price chart
Negative Zone = a 12-Period EMA is BELOW a 26-Period EMA on your price chart
EMA = Exponential Moving Average.
A Deep Dive Into The Relative Strength IndexOscillators play an important role in technical analysis due to the amount of information they can return as well as their ability to lead price variations and are often used in conjunction with trend indicators.
One of the most popular oscillators available is the relative strength index (RSI), one of the many popular indicators developed by J. Welles Wilder and first appearing in "New Concepts in Trading Systems".
This post offers a deep dive into this classic oscillator, sharing observations as well as reviewing derived indicators.
Introduction
The relative strength index is a normalized (bounded) oscillator in the range (0,100) and aims to indicate when the price is overbought (that is when a security is being traded above its intrinsic value) or oversold (that is when a security is being traded under its intrinsic value) and when a reversal might occur.
In order to determine when the security is overbought or oversold the RSI includes one constant overbought (70 suggested by Wilder) and one oversold level (30 suggested by Wilder). An RSI value above the overbought level indicates that the security is overbought, while an RSI value under the oversold level indicates that the security is oversold.
The RSI possesses one length user setting allowing the user to obtain information regarding shorter or longer-term price variations, often set as 14 by default. This default setting value is often unchanged.
Calculation
The various calculations for the RSI reveal much interesting information regarding its construction as well as the information the indicator aims to give.
The RSI is generally calculated as follows:
delta = close - close
upward = max(delta,0)
downward = max(-delta,0)
relative_strength = rma(upward,length)/rma(downward,length)
relative_strength_index = 100 - 100/(1 + relative_strength)
where close is the closing price, relative_strength the relative strength, and rma the Wilders moving average (RMA), sometimes referred to as smoothed moving average (SMMA), which is an exponential filter using the smoothing constant 1/length instead of 2/(length+1) in the case of an exponential moving average.
A more approachable calculation for the RSI is given by:
RSI = rma(upward,length)/rma(abs(delta),length) × 100
This calculation would indicate that the RSI returns the ratio of average upward price changes over the average of the absolute price changes expressed as a percentage.
Choice Of Moving Average For The RSI Calculation
Choosing which moving average to use for the calculation of the RSI can affect the results returned by the indicator, as well as the way to calculate it.
The original calculation makes use of the Wilders moving average, but various authors make use of the simple moving average or exponential moving average.
Using The Simple Moving Average
Cutler's version of the RSI makes use of the simple moving average for the calculation of the RSI and introduces the most notable changes compared to the EMA and Wilders moving average and has several properties.
First the calculation can be obtained with:
cutlers = (close - close )/length/MA(abs(delta),length) × 50 + 50
which further simplifies to:
cutlers = (close - close )/SUM(abs(delta),length) × 50 + 50
The SMA is more reactive than the RMA, which returns an RSI more prone to cross the overbought/oversold level compared to an RMA-based RSI of the same setting.
Additionally, a new input discards the oldest input in the calculation window of the SMA. This can introduce sharp changes in the RSI compared to one based on the EMA/RMA who retain memory of oldest inputs.
A downside of using the SMA is the potential occurrence of division by zero, altho unlikely it can still happen if the price of a security is equal to its previous value for a period superior to the used length setting, this would return a change in the price of 0, which ultimately could lead the denominator of the previous calculation to be equal to 0. This do not directly happen when using exponential filters for the RSI calculation.
Using The Exponential Moving Average
Unlike the SMA, using an exponential moving average does not introduce any particular significant changes. An RSI based on the EMA is more reactive than one based on the RMA when using the same length setting. However both the EMA and RMA are based on exponential averaging, only the smoothing constant differ, as such in order to obtain the length setting used in an RSI based EMA such that it is equal to an RMA based RSI we must solve the following equation with respect to len_ema :
1/len_rma = 2/(len_ema+1)
= 2 × len_rma - 1
As such a length 27 EMA-based RSI is equal to a length 14 RMA-based RSI.
Effect Of The Length Setting On The RSI
When applying the RSI to certain securities with a large sample size, using a higher length setting would return results closer to the central value 50, thus returning a narrower RSI range.
In the image above, on the left, you can see the frequency histograms (as a line plot) using a bin size of 15 from various RSI outputs containing 500 observations using an increasing length setting. RSI's with higher length settings return a narrower shape, all having a peak value near 50. On the right, you can see the range of the RSI outputs value over the length setting (from 10 to 100), the range is decaying non-linearly.
This behavior is a frequent occurrence if the RSI indicator is applied to price changes having an approximately symmetrical distribution with 0 mean, which is often the case.
As such using higher length settings would return an RSI reaching less frequently its overbought/oversold level. This particularity differentiates the RSI from oscillators such as the stochastic oscillator, whose observed range does not change when using different length settings and makes the RSI particularly appropriate when it comes to identifying potential reversals.
Interpretations
Wilder describes various ways to interpret the RSI.
Using Levels
The main one is given by the interaction between the RSI and the overbought and oversold levels, with an RSI value over the overbought or under the oversold level indicating a potential reversal or retracement. This sign of a reversal can be given by the RSI crossing over the overbought level and crossing under the oversold, this allows to obtain an early reversal detection but can expose the trader to a continuation of the trend. An RSI value crossing under the overbought level and crossing over the oversold level allows the trader to be less exposed to possible trend continuations but has a worse timing.
A more trend-following approach can be used, a value of the RSI superior to 50 would indicate an uptrend and a value under 50 would indicate a downtrend. While this approach provides a worse timing and can produce whipsaw trades, it allows the trader to follow the trend instead of going against it.
Using Patterns
Wilder also shows that classical chart patterns such as triangles, wedges, head & shoulders...etc, and supports/resistances can be found and used within the RSI. These visible formations are the result of the detrended price observations given by the RSI, and as such can be more frequent. However, the noisy nature of the RSI might make the detection of these formations more complicated.
Using Divergences
Like with most oscillators, divergences between the RSI and the price can be used to detect potential reversals. A divergence occurs when the price tops/bottoms and RSI tops/bottoms are negatively correlated.
Using Failure Swings
Failure swings are characterized by the RSI making a significant high/low above the overbought/under the oversold level followed by a retracement which is then followed by a failed attempt of the RSI to reach the overbought/oversold level. The failure point triggers the trade and is determined by the maximum/minimum of the retracement following the high/low made by the RSI.
Connor's Period 2 RSI
Connor's Period 2 RSI is a short-term contrarian strategy developed by Larry Connors offering a different interpretation of the RSI indicator. As its name indicates the strategy is based on a period 2 RSI and mostly aims to trade retracements and potential reversals. The strategy makes uses a period 200 moving average to determine the overall price trends, a period 5 moving average for exits, and the period 2 RSI for entries.
A buy order is opened when the RSI crosses under the oversold level (set at 5) while the price is under the period 200 SMA, a sell order is opened when the RSI crosses over the overbought level (set at 95) while the price is above the period 200 SMA. A position is closed when the price crosses the period 5 SMA.
Using such a strategy would require using high timeframes to avoid frictional costs due to the short potential gains obtained from it.
Other Indicators Using The RSI
The RSI is used by a wide variety of indicators, here are a few of them.
Stochastic RSI
The Stochastic RSI is as its name indicates a stochastic oscillator using the RSI as input. Since the RSI leads price variations this allows the Stochastic RSI to obtain an increased reactivity. The nature of the Stochastic oscillator calculation allows the Stochastic RSI to be in a range (0,100), which unlike the RSI does not converge toward 50 with a higher length of the RSI/Stochastic.
Ehlers Inverse Fisher Transform
In an article, Ehlers applies the inverse fisher transform (hyperbolic tangent function) to a smoothed RSI (WMA with period 9), rescaled in the range (-5,5). As seen before the RSI tend to have a symmetrical distribution centered near 50, the inverse fisher transform applied to it allows obtaining a U-shaped distribution, in other words, it "squash" the original smoothed RSI, returning a result in a scale (-1,1).
Laguerre RSI
Another version of the RSI is presented by Ehlers in his article Time Warp – Without Space Travel .
This indicator does not make use of the RSI directly but instead consists of using multistage filters whose degree of smoothness is determined by a user setting gamma in a range (0,1), with values of gamma closer to 1 returning longer-term indications. For its calculation, the indicator calculates its numerator as the sum of the difference between one filter and the one following in the stage, and its denominator is the sum of the absolute difference between one filter and the one following in the stage until finally rescaling the ratio between the numerator and denominator in a (0,100) range that is:
L0 = (1 - gamma) × close + gamma × L0
L1 = -gamma × L0 + L0 + gamma × L1
L2 = -gamma × L1 + L1 + gamma × L2
L3 = -gamma × L2 + L2 + gamma × L3
//----
num = (L0 - L1) + (L1 - L2) + (L2 - L3)
den = abs(L0 - L1) + abs(L1 - L2) + abs(L2 - L3)
lrsi = 50*num/den + 50
Unlike a regular RSI, the Laguerre RSI does not converge near 50 with higher gamma values, having an approximately U-shaped distribution.
Buy when there's DRY blood in the StreetsBuy When There's Blood in the Street ...
After the recent well known events in the financial market and the crypto market I recalled a quote by Baron Rothschild: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own." I would say this is very true; however, in the world of trading "Timing is Everything", don't just go blindly with the old saying, this is like the other saying "Catching a Falling Knife".
Bottom line, we all have to stomach the ups and downs in the market, this is not for the faint at heart. The downturns are really good opportunities to buy cheap if you pay attention to the Market Structure, trust your indicators, and are disciplined with the money management policies.
"Buy when there's blood in the Street ..." I would just wait until the blood is not fresh. It is not about catching the bottom, it is about buying at a discount, which is not the same. I personally use three main variables to time my entry and my exit, (1) Trend, (2) Momentum and (3) Volume. You don't really need more, although each trader has developed his/her own style, I show mine here. I sometimes use more indicators, but basically they measure the same variables from a customized perspective.
For the sake of clarity, in this example I use regular popular and publicly available indicators, I use the simple Volume, the RSI, the MACD and the Madrid Ribbons.
1. Trend. "The trend is your friend until that freaking bend at the end". When we see the price structure we determine as simple as it is if there is an uptrend, downtrend, or trading range, the Madrid Ribbons is a very friendly indicator that visualize the direction of the trend at a glance, as long as it is in the green it means uptrend, if this turns from green to red it signals the end of a leg or a reversal of the trend. In this example there's a visible downtrend coming from 2019 when the Energy sector started its decline and a full working economy didn't need as much oil as when it needed a jumpstart. We can see from December 2018 until April 2019 there was a leg to the upside, this didn't last long, on May 2019 it didn't remain above the trendline for long and it kept on slowly bleeding until on January 2020 it collapsed and it broke down. The red ribbons continued until November 2020, when it visually showed a reversal. As simple as that. Follow the trend.
2. Momentum. In this article I use two momentum indicators, the popular RSI and MACD. There are tons of momentum indicators out there, I have coded myself several customized momentum indicators. The idea behind momentum is that momentum precedes the trend. Watch out, it is not "predicting", usually this tells that the direction of the trend is exhausting and it could possibly reverse. We must pay attention if the direction of the momentum is the same of the trend, and if it isn't then raise a momentum divergence flag. This is good to time the entries and exits.
a) RSI. Let's look at the RSI on December 2018, it went from Oversold to reach Overbought levels on February 2019, this trip out from oversold signals a trend reversal, entering the trade on January 2nd, 2019 it would have been a great entry. The blood of the downtrend can weight in, trust the indicator and ride the leg. The RSI signals an exit on March 15th, 2019, with a juicy 15% in the leg, not risking to remain longer and not risking a falling knife in the downtrend.
b) MACD. This indicator is on the negative side, which means there is a negative momentum going on. We're in a downtrend, remember?; however, it performs a crossover with the signal, which can be seen in the histogram, making it positive. We have a downtrend plus a positive momentum divergence. At the time the price crosses the trend we have a positive trend plus a positive momentum convergence, the Bulls are in control. this signals another entry. Riding the leg from the histogram crossover until the MACD histogram crosses down the Zero line gives us the same performance as the RSI on the same period. Look at the signal from MACD, the trend is still up, but the histogram is already negative, this signals a negative momentum divergence, it would be the time to take the money and run, preventing the main downtrend could continue.
3. Volume. Usually the volume is displayed in contrasting colors, green when the price bar goes up, red when it goes down. It's tricky, in order for the volume to exist there must be two sides, a buying and a selling side. I see it as volume is volume, and it denotes the interest of the market at a certain price level, I'm not too worried if it's red or green, I'm focused on whether there is high or low transactional activity.
As you can see on December 21st, 2018 there was a volume peak that was increasing from the 13th and after the 18th it slowed down. There could have been a lot of sellers willing to take the exit when the prices declined, however there were not buyers to take their "garbage" and all of a sudden there are buyers at the lowest level willing to enter the trade on its way down, like kamikaze traders. The relative volume means those were not retail traders, but institutional traders who can get liquidity following the simple rule "buy on weakness, sell on strength". Another volume pattern is "Volume precedes momentum", a higher relative volume is needed to reverse a trend.
So far we have this pattern, a downtrend with a low climatic volume, it's a No Go, it is still bleeding a lot. We wait until the relative volume increases meaningfully and the next sequence in the process is an exit from Oversold on the RSI or a Zero cross over to the positive side in the MACD histogram, next in the sequence is a trend reversal. Last but not least, money management, setup the entry - target - stop/trailing stop levels and ride the leg.
Let's take a look at the second example, we still see the trend goes down. There are still some recover legs, that fail to break the trend to the upside, we see also the relative volume is low, so here the institutions are not committed and they patiently let the retail traders to consume themselves until the bid side dries up and the ask side has to settle for lower prices.
Watch the period between January 2020 and the end of February 2020, the prices are in free fall, but the volume didn't react immediately, until the last part of February and early March, there was a peak that momentarily stopped the free fall and created a weak support, this was broken again, the number of sellers still overwhelm the buyers, and the climatic volume increases. This is the period when the institutional bulls are stepping in and they're buying the "garbage" that creates the kind of panic liquidity the institutions are looking for. At this time also the Bears are switching hats, they're closing their short positions and taking profits. Once the selling volume dries up, which can be seen when the relative volume slows down. This is the point when the bleeding in the market stops and we look for the signals in the Momentum indicators, we see at the end of March 2020 the RSI indicator escaped the Oversold area and the MACD histogram made a crossover the Zero line, in a very strong histogram. Both indicators flash a strong buy. This is the dry blood we're looking for. Emotionally it takes a toll, we just came from a strong downtrend and the fear that this it's not over yet is there. The fear that the heal is temporary and we're just stepping on a weak support is there. If we set the emotions aside and we trust the indicators and a good set of rules of disciplined money management, we can exploit the opportunities of a downturn.
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“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria.”
~Sir John Templeton
Trading StrategyDoesn't matter which coin I used, KAVA was picked at random for back testing. The 7, 30, and 100 are used for trend analysis. When both the RSI and MFI are in confluence with support, that is the entry trigger. When above the 7, 30, 100 ride the trend and only exit when bear div on 4hr is apparent, MFI RSI in confluence at overbought, price drops below the 30. Once below the 100, the 100 becomes resistance and the exit trigger. I had one loss when back testing this method. Since these are lagging indicators (especially on the daily) use the 4hr for entry while looking for candle reversal signals at support. 8 trades here = less stress, bigger rewards, less risk. SL should be placed below support at -5%. No leverage, just spot, slow and steady wins the race.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator Visual EducationHello Traders,
Today I wanted to go over one of my favorite as well as one of the most widely used tools in trading, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator.
This moving average indicator was created invented in 1979 by Gerald Appel responsible for the MACD line and Signal line and later added to this was the histogram, developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986.
Now that you know who created the MACD indicator lets discuss the components of the indicator. The MACD indicator consists of 4 main components, the Signal line , the MACD line , the histogram and the zero line of the histogram often referred to as the baseline.
Below are the calculations of the different components to help you better understand what makes up this indicator.
MACD Indicator Components and Calculations (White Labelling)
Signal Line
Red colored smooth line
The signal line is simply an exponential (weighted) moving average (EMA) based on the prior 26 days closing price.
As with any EMA the formula looks like this: EMA = Closing price x 26 + EMA (previous day) x (1-26)
MACD Line
Blue colored rigid line
The MACD line, similarly to the Signal Line is also an EMA based on the prior 12 day closing price.
Also, similarly to the signal line it uses a similar equation to display the line which is: EMA = Closing price x 12 + EMA (previous day) x (1-12)
Histogram
Green and Red vertical bars charted around a horizontal axis known as the baseline.
The histogram is determined by subtracting the signal line from the MACD line. This is easier to interpret than looking at the two lines alone,
since it is sometimes difficult to tell if one curve is steeper than the other. The histogram is positive when MACD is higher than its nine-day EMA, and negative when it is lower. This oscillator is
definitely a nice touch to the indicator as a whole and my personal favorite indication for divergence which I will teach you more about in part 2 of this series.
Histogram Zero line Aka "Baseline"
This is the line in the center of the histogram oscillator that is also referred to as the baseline. This line is important as you will see later when I explain the signals this indicator creates. This line is calculated by the MACD Line and the Signal line crossing. Which is another way for you to see that the lines are crossing both bullish and bearish crosses.
The calculations behind each part of the indicator is not really information that you need to remember as @TradingView has put a nice suite of house tools for you to use that
calculate this for you but, I find that the more you know the better you are able to understand these charts and who knows, maybe someday this will help you crate your own
indicator using the pine script editor they also make available to us for free. Also, if you understand the math it helps you when editing the settings to adjust indicators better
per the asset you are trading.
MACD Indicator Signals (Yellow and Teal Labelling)
Now lets go over the signals that this indicator produces help with the way you can utilize this indicator to help you trade. A key note to remember is that the MACD indicator is a Moving average
indicator and is best used in a trending market. You can identify a trending market by looking for price action that is heading in one solid direction up or down. Tending markets are usually noted by “higher highs”
and “higher lows” in an uptrend and “lower highs” and “lower lows” in a downtrend . This indicator is best used to help you determine trend reversals. There are also 3 major signal components to this indicator but, in this first series we are only going to discuss 2 as it is important to understand this indicator before moving onto the next step and applying the more advanced features. These 3 major components are MACD line crossing over the Signal line and both signal line and MACD lines crossing over the zero line on the histogram .
MACD Cross (Yellow)
The top MACD line (red rigid line) crossing down over the Signal line (Blue smooth line) is a bearish signal and generally indicates a sell signal letting you know that the price action has potentially came to the end of an uptrend. Again, this is used mainly in trending markets and can be very helpful to assisting in taking profit in a long position or starting a new short position.
In contrast to the bearish MACD cross , you can also see on the bottom of the chart that there is an indication of a bullish cross of the MACD line (Red rigid line) over the Signal line (Blue smooth line). This would be a good indication the the downtrend has ended and it may be a good time to start a long position or close a short position.
The Histogram Zero line cross (Teal)
There are 2 signals you can get from this but the one that matters in my opinion the most is the signal line. So for the sake of explanation I have shown them both together as both bearish and bullish signals on the chart. Now that you know about the signal line and the MACD line it should be easy to identify when these two lines are crossing the zero line of the histogram that we have also discussed. As shown in the chart you can see that the bullish cross is showing the two lines coming from below the Zero Line and crossing above which would be a bullish signal and you would be looking for a buy, potential start of or continuation of an uptrend. On the contrary, if these lines crossed from above the Zero line below then this would be a bearish sell signal and you would be looking to open a short position, be looking for a reversal of an uptrend or continuation of a downtrend.
Now here are some key takeaways and tips you will want to always follow when using this or any other indicator.
#1: Make sure you know the type of market you are trading by analyzing the market structure. Is it trending and creating higher highs and higher lows, lower highs and lower lows? Or is it ranging in almost a rectangular box?
#2: KNOW YOUR INDICATOR and the best market it is used in, again, the MACD Indicator is best used in a trending market!
#3: This is probably the most important of the 3, It is a must that you learn everything about each indicator you are using and to never use ONE indicator/Oscillator for signals stand alone by itself. Trading just like anything else in life is a numbers game and the better statistics you have, the better outcome you will receive.
Congratulations Traders! You now know the basics of the MACD Indicator!!! I hope you will come back for part two and three of this series that I will be releasing after the new year to help some of the new traders entering this ever expanding community here on TradingVeiw!
Part 2: MACD and RSI Divergences Visual Education Release 01/01/2022
Part 3: Falling wedges and Fibs Release 01/02/2022
I hope you had a green year and look forward to learning and trading with all of you winners next year!
Happy New Years,
Savvy
Volume Delta Oscillator (VDO) - Long Timeframe TutorialThe Volume Delta Oscillator (VDO) shows some very interesting signals when configured with a long moving average length.
The chart above shows an example of how to interpret the VDO configured with a 200 day moving average.
VDO Settings
Timeframe - 1D
MA Length - 200
MA Type - SMA
How to use swing trading indicatorThis is tutorial on "How to use swing trading indicator " developed by me. Do use and benefit from it.
How to trade with the Awesome Oscillator?Hello ,everyone!
The Awesome Oscillator is the very powerful indicator, which can help to define the true market movement direction. Bill Williams used this indicator as part of the Trading Chaos system. He distinguish 3 types of signals. In this article we consider only long signals. Short signals looks like the long signals if you do exactly the opposite. Moreover, soon I will publish the indicator on TradingView which automatically defines the long and short signals.
1. Buy Signal “Plate”
This signal you can see on the chart above. For “plate” signal we need 3 columns on AO histogram. The central one should be less than the two other. Another one condition is that all three columns should be above zero line. When we define the signal bar, we should place buy order in the one tick above the signal bar’s high.
2. Buy Signal “Two Peaks”
For this signal we need all AO columns below the zero line. The first peak should be below the second peak. The signal bar is the next one after the peak bar as you can see on the chart. When we define the signal bar, we should place buy order in the one tick above the signal bar’s high.