YOUR PROFIT FORMULA | Three Essential Ingredients 🤔💭💫
Hey traders, We must admit that it is phenomenally difficult to become a consistently profitable trader.
This journey requires years of practicing and training, constant losses, and nervous breakdowns.
If you are a struggling trader, if you are still looking for your way to succeed in this game, here is the formula that will help you to chase consistent profits.
💰Consistent profits = 📝Trading Strategy + 🤬Emotions + 📈Market Sentiment
Let's discuss each element separately.
📝Trading Strategy:
To be in profit in a long run requires an understanding of what do you actually trade.
You must have strict and objective entry conditions.
You must rely on the objective & verifiable rules for the execution of market analysis.
You must have a plan to follow.
A plan that is backtested and proved its efficiency.
🤬Emotions:
Even the best trading plan, the most accurate trading strategy can be easily beaten by emotions.
Emotional decisions such as revenge trading and early position close
can easily blow the account of any size in a blink of an eye.
The most disappointing thing to note right here is the fact that you can be taught how to execute technical analysis but you can not be taught to control your emotions.
Your main enemy here is yourself and being in a constant battle with your greed and fear it is very easy to go broke.
Only by being humble, disciplined and patient, you can successfully apply a trading strategy.
📈Market Sentiment:
Mastering your emotions and having studied a trading strategy, it looks like it is finally the time to make money.
However, occasionally the market tends to be irrational.
Being chaotic and unpredictable, sometimes the market neglects every technical and fundamental rule.
Crisis, euphoria: the reasons can be different.
The fact is that such things happen.
And it is your duty to learn to deal with unfavorable market conditions.
💰To become a consistently profitable trader, you must become the master of these three elements.
Only then the doors to freedom and independence will be opened to you.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
Trading Plan
Trading PsychologyIn order to make it on green in the trading area, you need a lot of skills or a mind "all over the place". You will need to analyze a lot of data like profit, earnings, market share, and competition in order to see how the stock will go.
Numbers are an important part of the game.
However, an even bigger part of the game is the "emotional" part, or how you handle difficult and good times.
We can call this part: what is your "mindset" when it comes to trading?
Emotions can be negative - FUD or positive - greed
What is FUD?
FUD is short for fear, uncertainty, and doubt.
Who likes bad news?
I guess nobody, but still, we have bad news everywhere.
It's normal to be scared when you see a bad report/a "bad news".
However, what is "normal" on paper might feel very strong for some and that can lead to irrational moves like liquidating all just to feel safe having cash.
This overreaction can be:
1. Good - in the sense you avoided more losses.
2. Bad - true you might avoid some losses, but markets tend to recover. That means you sit on cash so you lose the gains made by the same recovering stocks that you liquidated in red.
I'm talking at points 1 and 2 about "uncertainty".
Nobody knows how the stock market will go.
Sure we have a lot of tools but in the end, all they do is to give us estimates: might go up or might go up.
So what do you do?
It's obvious why people "doubt" what they should do.
The information is not clear and furthermore the information changes rapidly.
It's not:
- OK the market is going up, so I will buy the market and make money.
No. Nope.
It's more like: now it's going down, now up, but overall down, but now up, what a spike up, but happened too fast in order to take advantage of it ... what shall I do (considering that I already lost some money - that only adds more pressure to the situation)?
To put it short:
If training would be easy, everyone would be rich!
So what can you do to prevent this?
First, you should know that all these emotions are normal reactions of the mind.
Furthermore: you probably already lived these emotions in your life so this is not something special (only) for the trading area.
For example, fear is a natural reaction to a perceived threat. A trader might feel fear not only because he might lose the profit made, but also cause he can lose his invested capital!
If you have a lot of info the uncertainty will vanish. Ok, not vanish, but knowing what you are dealing with will lead to a better judgment of the situation so therefore better decisions. All you have to do is DYOR (do your own research) meaning: have information.
Why should you doubt when you have a plan?
In some tight situations, you can doubt your plan, but the plan is what might save you from doing dumb stupid moves.
For example, a good plan in the stock market will include lines like: it is important to know that the markets are going to go up and down.
No, of course you won't like it when the market will go down, but at least you will know that this is normal and you will probably also know what to do in such situations.
By planning ahead (what can/will happen?) a trader can be prepared for different events that might occur in the market. These plans will make the trader "skip" the emotional part and focus more on what he should do in the situation he is facing.
Note: I must tell you this is easy only on paper and much harder when being in that situation. However, with patience, perseverance, and taking into consideration your past moves, trading events will become much easier.
What is greed?
Greed is an uncontrolled longing for an increase in the acquisition or use of material gain or social value.
To put it simply: people don't know when to stop.
Who remembers the hot stocks from '80?
A reason for not knowing those stocks: most of them and I mean more than 95% are not on the market anymore!
Sooner or later any company will have its downfall.
Now it doesn't have to be bankruptcy or lose all your money type of situation, but it can cause you to lose from 50 up to 90% of the money invested with that firm.
The problem is that greed comes in a masked form and that is why only a few see it.
Greed is based on the feeling to do better or to have more.
So are you trading based on greed OR you are just doing your plans to do better?
It's every trader's job to answer this question as there is no general predefined answer.
Discipline beats luck!
Repetition can become boring so adding $$$ each day to make "that million $" is out of the question for most people.
Because let's face it:
Everyone wants to be rich fast.
BUT:
Investing is not a get-rich-quick scheme!
Can you see the conflict between the ideas?
That is why you need a plan that should contain a line called:
Resolving my emotional conflicts.
To improve your trading psychology you should answer questions like this:
What risk am I willing to take?
What should I invest in?
Should I be a day trader? Or a long-term investor? Or between them? Or all at once?
When do I enter a trade? When do I exit? After EPS, the launch of a product, after naming a new CEO?
Should I place an order, stop loss, or take profit?
Do I use leverage?
Answering these questions might be time-consuming (can take even weeks), but it's very important to know them.
To put it short: it's important to know what you are doing and why.
Knowledge can overcome emotions especially fear.
For example, you will probably sell your stock if you would know that a company will fall the next day.
But how would you know that if don't research?
Reading the news, looking at charts, analyzing competitions, talking to other traders, learning and testing new strategies are actions that need to be done every day. At least 5 days out of 7.
Results
The purpose of handling your emotions or taking advantage of what they are communicating is to have results.
No one will pay for how much effort you do!
People pay for results.
But emotions change depending on your strategy or what you want.
It's not the same emotion when you invest $100 or $10.000.
Although they might seem similar (the emotion caused by investing money) they are not. There are 2 different emotions for each case that require 2 different strategies.
You got to be flexible and know that handling your mindset is a daily set of tasks.
The more you go in-depth about what you are going to do, the more you increase your chances to become successful each day.
Lose aversion
An example of how emotions lead a crucial role in the trading strategy is related to lose aversion.
This happens because most of the trades haven't lost money anywhere!
Sure if you lose a $10 bill on the street you lost your money!
But:
1. How often do you lose money on the street? 1 time in 5 or even 10 years?
2. It's only $10. You will survive without them.
The rest is only depreciation (not losing money).
After 5 years a car will lose its value. But in these 5 years you used the car, you went to work or on holiday. So for the money "lost" in the depreciation process, you got something in return.
When you invest in a company, what do you get when you lose 20% of the invested value after only 20 minutes?
And what people don't realize:
ANY trade will start on red, due to the commission/spread paid to the broker.
So before you make money, first you lose money!
That is mindboggling and in most cases, due to "loss aversion" or the lack of experience in losing money, most beginners (but even experienced traders) will start doing unexplainable moves (most of them dictated by the emotions they feel).
Conclusions:
Mastering your emotions is a skill that will lead you to success in trading.
However, it takes a lot of dedication, patience, and work to get to a level where you can handle your emotions and still make the right moves.
But it is worth it!
Your bank statement will be proof that your work was worth it!
15 Min Chart (ATR + BB indicator) Part 4 of 4Please practice using the Forex position size and risk calculator on all trades you make.
Noted on EURUSD 15 minute chart are:
Four possible entries into a sell trade on Friday
- Low volatility EurUsd has last 5 weeks or 56 ATR [er day. (Hard to scalp or day trades with low volatility pairs)
- I used minimum of 10 stops on low volatility pairs, but consult with ATR and either use 10 pip stop loss and/or X 1.5 to get stop loss to use
This is a scalping or day trading trading strategy, quick trades. Please practice using position size and risk calculator to get: 2% risk, trading lot size, stop loss and target(s) on 15 minute time frames, I look for 1:2 risk reward over higher, how much profit you made and how much one pip move is worth? You need to know this so you can manage risk and set appropriate stops and targets for low volatility and high volatility pairs in Forex.
IF you have a need to be part of the masses and trade EURUSD, then put your efforts into when both London session opens to London session ends.
Why, this covers Tokyo/London overlap and highest most liquid and volume 4 hour time which is London/New York sessions overlapping period.
1 Hour Chart (ATR + BB indicator) Part 3 of 4On 1 hour and 15 minute time frames, I would be looking for minimum of 1:2 RR setups.
Both noted examples on EURUSD chart of 1 hour charts you both:
1) Setup at end of Tokyo session (use last 1 hour red candle open) for entry into buy trade of next candle, using ATR x 1.5 for stops and targets, risk 18 pips vs 36 pip reward setup.
2) Setup at end of Tokyo session (use last 1 hour red candle open) for entry into buy trade of next candle, using ATR x 1.5 for stops and targets, risk 12 pips vs 24 pip reward setup.
These trades are either scalp and/or day trades, using both BB indicator and ATR indicator for timing purposes and stops and targets. If price is above BB 20 ema (yellow line), then look for buying trades and if price action is below BB 20 ema (yellow line), then look for selling trades.
NOTE:
From Chart set up of both trades: Please find a position size and risk calculator: Your account size, 2% risk- using noted stop losses and targets-
How much profit did you make? What is your trading lot size? How much USD money is one pip move worth? Do this on all trades you do for risk management.
PRACTICE on Sell trade noted on right side of chart, using 10 ATR, find stop loss, targets, RR setup, trading lot size, 2% of your account, etc...
4 Hour Chart (ATR + BB indicator) Part 2 of 4On daily and 4 hour charts, I would only be looking for 1:1 Risk Reward setups using ATR and Bollinger Bands. This is if you are day trading or swinging within the same week time period.
1st example trade (on chart): Uptrend/Bullish trend this past week
1) Look for price action to swing low (make a 4 hour red candle) that hits BB center 20 ema line (yellow), set up a 33 pip stop loss at open of that red candle related to a 22 ATR x 1.5 pips = 33 pip stop loss, entry would be at open of that same red candle and exit/target would be 33 pips above enter. 1:1 RR set ups are great, especially because they win get you high win rate %. This trade would have been done in same day for a 33 pip profit.
2nd example trade (on chart): Uptrend/Bullish trend this past week
2) Look for price action to swing low (make a 4 hour red candle) that hits BB center 20 ema line (yellow), set up a 36 pip stop loss at open of that red candle related to a 24 ATR x 1.5 pips = 36 pip stop loss, entry would be at open of that same red candle and exit/targets would be either at 1st target of 36 pips next day or during two days 2nd target at 72 pips (noted on chart). 1:1 RR to 1: RR set ups are great for 4 hour and daily time frames, because they will get you a high win rate %.
4 Hour Time frames are mostly for swinging at least for one to three days, if you close out all of your trades within the same trading week.
Your should practice calculating lot sizes and risk on these two noted trades, using your account balance, 2% risk and atr/pips noted on trades.
How To Use Position Size & Risk Calculator (On All Trades)Use Position Size and Risk Calculator to easily calculate recommended lot size, using live market quotes, account equity, risk percentage and stop loss.
What are Lots:
Standard 1.0 Lots: 100,000 Units Mini 0.10 Lots: 10,000 Units Micro 0.01 Lots: 1,000 Units Nano 0.001 Lots: 100 Units
In Forex a Lot defines the trade size, or number of currency units to be bought or sold in a trade. One Standard Lot is 100,000 units of base currency. Most brokers allow trading with fractional lot sizes down to .01 or even less. Fractional lot sizes are sometimes referred to as mini lots, micro lots and nano lots.
How To Use Position Size & Risk Calculator: (Select and/or impute your particular details of any pending trade)* THEY ARE FREE ON LINE!!!
Currency pair: Traders can select from Major Forex crosses, Minor pairs.
Stop loss (pips): Traders should input the maximum number of pips they are willing to risk, or lose, in a trade, to protect the account equity in case the market goes against their position.
Account balance: Pretty straight forward, traders just need to input their account equity.
Risk: The crucial field of this Position Size and Risk Calculator! In this field traders can select from a risk percentage or any amount of their account base currency ($2, $20, $40, etc). As a guideline, professional traders do not risk more than 2% of their account equity per trade. This technique will allow for traders to last longer with their trading careers, and eventually, also to recoup from previously losing trades.
Now Hit the "CALCULATE" button
The results: The Position Size and Risk Calculator uses a market price live feed with the current inter bank rate (in a 5-digit format) and it will display the selected currency pair price
Calculator displays the amount of units that that a lot represent; how many trade units and finally the portion of the account equity at risk, or the value of the position, in this case $100 USD.
Is Trading Forex Gambling? DependsIs Forex Trading Gambling? Depends
Notice a common theme? “Risk” and “losing”. If there are two things a Forex trader knows, it’s that there’s always risk and you will lose money at some point. It’s simply the cost of doing business as a Forex trader.
What is the truth? The truth is that even the large banks and hedge funds gamble every time they sit down at their trading computer. But (and it’s a BIG but) there’s an inherent difference between how they gamble and how 99.9% of retail Forex traders gamble. It’s a little thing called “probabilities”.
Learn to Think in Probabilities
It all comes down to putting on trades where the probable win is higher than the probable loss. In other words, stacking the odds in your favor. Use price action and confluence. The more “Confluence Factors” you have in your favor on any one trade, the higher the probability is that the trade will make you money. Different types of probabilities: Price action pin bar on the daily chart. Price is rejecting a key level.The trend is up.The moving averages are providing dynamic support. No immediate resistance to the upside (there are several more probables, you might use for your edge, plan or in your strategy).
Let’s go back to the casino example for a second. We can learn something from casinos. The goal for any Forex trader should be to trade their account like a casino owner runs his/her business. Casino owners know they’re going to lose money on some customers, it’s the cost of doing business. But they also know that by the end of the year, they’ll turn a profit because the odds are stacked in their favor.
So start trading account like casino owner runs his/her business by using price action and confluence, and begin stacking the odds in your favor.
Trade like a casino! 🎰🎲💵Yep you heard me right you need trade like a casino 🎰
Key bit here is trade like the casino operates their business model.
Don't trade like the clients that frequent the casinos.
Why should you trade like a casino?
Profitable traders understand how casinos are successful.
Casinos are profitable and make money because they have an edge which they let play out.
They know probability is in their favour.
How many times have we all been at a roulette table thinking we have a 50% chance of winning betting on red or black.
We all seem to forget about that green zero on the table and here in lies the casinos edge.
With having an edge they let play out it's impossible for them not to make money.
The casino is comfortable with every outcome on the bets placed knowing the edge will play out.
Losses are seen as a cost of business, risk is controlled and emotions to are in check.
This is why the house always wins! 🎰🤑
If you as a trader apply the same logic's to your trading strategies the end results will be the same as the casino.
If you choose to trade like one of the clients in the casino with no fixed rules you essentially are gambling with you trading.
Subjectivity and emotions will come in to play.
Random winning and losing runs will occur which will impact trading psychology.
This way of trading will only end in one way and that's by giving everything to the house or in this case your broker!
Development of a strategies with proven mathematical edges ensures you will become the house 🏦💰
Once an edge is established trust your strategy and let that edge play out.
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Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
Thank you.
Darren
Closer look into Rising/Falling Wedge, Reversal Price Action
Closer look into Rising/Falling Wedge, Reversal Price Action structures/patterns
Hi traders:
Today I will go more in detail on rising/falling wedge correction in price action structures/patterns.
You might have already heard about these types of correctional structures, and many traders who utilize them.
Certainly there are many ways of traders identifying them and taking advantage of these kinds of price action, so it's ideal for you to understand them in your analysis.
We first need to understand that a rising/falling wedge is a REVERSAL price action. Meaning when the correction completes, there's a higher probability of the price to reverse.
You might have already seen multiple price action videos from me that go over all sorts of continuation and reversal price action (I will share links below),
and I always talk about when combining multiples of different price action structures/patterns will give you a better edge at entering positions that work out in your favor.
Same idea here, so let's take a look at how rising/falling wedges are, how to identify them, and how to effectively use them in your analysis.
Rising/falling wedge, just as the name suggests, is an ascending/descending type of correction where the price is getting squeezed into a “wedge”.
As the price gets narrower and narrower, there's a higher probability of the price to “reverse” from the wedge.
Now about entries, certainly many traders have their own method of entering, so I will share my point of view and the way how I like to enter them.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :)
Thank you
Risk Management: 3 different entries on how to enter the impulsive phrase of price action
Multi-time frame analysis
Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis
Continuation and Reversal Correction
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending)
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
3 Steps Of A Trade (Step #3 Exit Order)Forex Exit Strategies: Tricks on Setting Limit Orders:
Forex exit strategies and exiting a trading position at the right time and price is arguably more important than your entry order. Because only when you exit, you lock in and confirm your profit. Choose the best currency pairs and the best times to trade.Today, let’s talk about getting out, WITH profit. By paying attention to a small trick when setting limit exit orders in your long-term trades.
There are many ways to calculate your Forex exit strategies. They highly depend on your trading time frame, your account’s margin and on the market sentiment in general.Identifying Limit orders or Profit Taking Levels is one of them. These are the areas you calculate to get out of your position and manage your Forex exit strategies when the market prices reach your target.
Limit Orders
Traders usually use market orders to exit trades with a big profit. If you use a limit order while you are going long, then your limit order will be higher than the market price.On the other hand, if you go short with a limit order, then your limit order will be below the market price. Imagine a limit order like a finish line. Your trades will be directly closed every time the market price crosses your limit orders.
Put bull exit orders below obvious psychological round numbers (ex: 1.50000, etc...) and above bearish psychological numbers, support and resistance areas. Most of time big banks on purpose do not go to these areas knowingly that a lot of traders are TRAPPED in these areas.
Trade 3 Steps (Step #2 Enter Order)Entry orders are a valuable tool in Forex trading. Traders can have a great trading plan, but if they can’t execute that plan effectively, all their hard work might as well be thrown out the window. This is where setting up Forex entry orders comes into play. Entry orders allow traders to set price that they would like to buy or sell a currency ahead of time. Only be executed if that specific price is hit. There are several benefits to trading Forex using entry orders.
WHAT IS AN ENTRY ORDER IN FOREX TRADING?
A Forex entry order is an order that is placed at a specified price level for a currency pair. Once this price is reached, the order is then executed/filled. If the price never reaches the desired price level, the order will not execute. The type of order can vary as well, which should be taken into consideration prior to placing the Forex order.
TOP 5 BENEFITS OF USING FOREX ENTRY ORDERS
1. Price Control- The first benefit of entry orders is the control they provide over price level. Traders can indicate their desired price level entry point at which the trade will execute. Having this ability to designate a level allows for ease of trading without having to constantly monitor the market.
2. Entry Orders Save Time-Forex entry orders are very useful for saving time. By setting one, traders do not need to be at a computer when a trend line is hit or when price breaks out of its price channel. Traders can very easily add an entry order to get in the trade if price behaves in the way he/she thinks it will. The order does the waiting and allows traders to focus on other things.
3. Better Money Management- Forex entry orders help to save money. To understand this better, consider how much time traders dedicate to trading each day.
4. Accountability-Forex entry orders (with stops and limits attached) also help keep traders accountable. This is because they eliminate the possibility of emotions getting in the way of reliable, profitable trades, and make sure traders are following the rules to the latter.
5. Support Trading on a Time Frame-Trading on a custom time frame can allow for more specified trades that could be in line with upcoming market news, political events or company results depending on what market is being traded. Traders can stipulate the expiry period for the entry order:
Trade 3 Steps (Step #1 Stop-Loss Order)“Always use stop-loss orders.” -W.D. Gann, legendary investor/trader
What is Stop Loss in Forex?
Stop loss in Forex is a great way to minimize the amount of money you lose through trading. It is an exit plan in the event of a losing trade. Essentially, stop loss is a limit you set to minimize your risk that automatically exits you out of a trade if your currency pair dips below a level that is losing you money. Stop loss is a valuable mechanism that Forex traders must use if they want to make a living from Forex Trading. It is especially essential for beginner and inexperienced Forex traders who aren’t able to always make the best trade choices. Stop loss, while important for beginners, is also used by experienced traders. There’s no downside to protecting your trades- unexpected fluctuations of currency prices happens all the time, and it’s wise to safeguard your investing when you can. Stop loss also allows you to make trades and walk away from the computer for a while, instead of having to watch the currencies change. It also worth mentioning that stop loss can work against you. * I let the trade breath with stop loss but still look for 1:5 or higher risk reward setups.
Let’s say your stop-loss is hit and you are automatically backed out of a trade, and after you’re exited from the trade the currency pair swings back other way exponentially? Not only did you just lose money on the trade, you missed out on a potentially big profit. This is why some Forex traders might have a disdain for stop loss since they view it as missing out on opportunities for major swings in a currency pair. While it depends on who you talk to, the majority of Forex traders will advise you to use stop loss, especially for beginners. It’s necessary to know about stop loss orders and how to calculate the proper limit to set it at.
Figure out your stop-loss strategy and keep to it- it will save you in the long run. Nailing down a proper stop loss strategy before you start trading is one of the best ways you can ensure yourself from the always-changing Forex market.Choosing best stop loss strategy depends on your experience, skill level, bankroll, etc. There are so many different factors that will impact what the best stop loss strategy will be for you. As with everything in Forex, it’s best to educate yourself on Forex trading strategies to eventually get to the point where you’re making a consistent income through online trading.
The 3 Types of Traders. Who Do You Belong To? 🤔
There are thousands of different ways to trade the market.
During the last 100 years, various trading strategies and techniques were invented.
One of the ways to categorize them is to split them by types of traders.
Such a category type will lean on 2 main elements:
trading frequency and time frame selection.
1️⃣ - Scalper
I guess 99% of newbie traders start from scalping.
Trying to catch quick market moves and become rich quick,
newbies are practicing different scalping strategies.
What is funny about scalping is the fact that such a trading style is considered to be the easiest by the majority while remaining one of the hardest in the view of pros.
The main obstacle with scalping is a constant focus and rapid decision-making.
Scalpers usually open dozens of trading positions during the trading session, most of the time being in front of the screen constantly.
Paying huge commissions to the broker and dealing with complete chaos on lower time frames, the majority simply can't survive the pressure and drop, leaving the pie to true gurus.
2️⃣ - Day Trader
Day trading or intraday trading is the most appealing to me.
Staying relatively active, the market gives some time for the trader for reflection & thinking.
Opening and managing on average 1-2 trades per trading session, the intraday trader is granted a certain degree of freedom.
However, with declining volatility, quite ofter intraday traders get a relatively low risk/reward ratio for their trades,
3️⃣ - Swing Trader
Swing trading is the best choice for traders having a full-time job.
Primarily being focused on daily/weekly time frames, swing trading is not demanding for a daily routine and aims at catching mid-term/long-term market moves.
With an average holding period being around 2 weeks and opening 1-2 trading positions per week, swing trading is considered to be the least emotional and involves low risk.
The main problem with swing trading is patience.
Correctly identifying the market trend and opening a trading position,
the majority tends to close their positions preliminary not being patient enough to let the price reach their target.
Which trading type do you prefer?
Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures
In-depth look at Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures/patterns
Hi everyone:
Today I want to revisit the fundamental aspect of trading impulsive and corrective phases in Price Action Analysis.
As you all know I focus on multi-time frame analysis and forecasting/anticipating the next impulsive move in the market.
To me, the most important part of identifying the next impulsive phase of the market, is to understand how correction works.
An impulse phase usually happens after a correction has finished correcting, so the key is to identify and understand how a corrections structure will complete so we anticipate the next impulsive move.
You may have seen my videos on this topic, but today I will go more in detail on this, and explain the 2 types of correctional structure the market can create.
The market can only be in 2 phases, impulsive phrase or corrective phrase.
In addition, the corrective phrase can only be continuation, or reversal.
So to fully have an edge in the market, is to understand what the correctional structure the price is currently making,
whether a continuation/reversal, then forecast the possible price outlook, and go down to the lower time frames for possible entries.
Now, it's important to understand that different traders/strategies/styles will call these patterns/structures in varies names.
What they are called or identify isn't important, but the important aspect is to understand whether they are continuation, or they are reversal.
In addition, simply seeing price action structures/patterns by itself, is not a good enough entry criteria for me.
You want to combine multi- time frame analysis, top-down approach, and with multiples of these price actions all happening so it adds extra confluence for you to enter a particular trade.
Seeing a H and S pattern, on a 5 minute chart, without considering the overall HTF and other factors, will not be a consistent move in the long run.
Continuation Correctional Structure/Pattern
Bullish/Bearish Flag
Bullish/Bearish Pennant
Parallel Channel
Reversal Correctional Structure/Pattern
Ascending/Descending Channel
Rising/Falling Wedge
Double Top/Bottom
Head & Shoulder Pattern/Inverse H and S
“M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
I will forward all the price action structures/patterns videos I have made in the past to help you understand each of the structures more.
Impulse VS Correction
Multi-time frame analysis
Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending)
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
How to manage & deal with consecutive losses in trading ?
Trading Psychology: How to manage & deal with losses/consecutive losses in trading ?
Hi everyone:
Today I want to go over a very key trading psychology lesson on how to deal with losses, especially consecutive losses.
This is bound to happen to any traders, whether you are new or experienced. ITs something all professional traders will have to deal with on a regular basis.
Understand that, dealing with losses psychologically is the key factor in the success of a trader.
This is because losses are inevitable, and trading is a probability, which trades that you take will end up both in wins and losses.
However, traders usually can not accept losses, due to their ego, greed and other emotional factors.
Aside from having a good risk management, trading plan, and trading strategies, traders can still experience the psychological emotions of losing.
This is due to the fact that we are humans and we are an “emotional” animal. We don't want to be wrong, at all.
Taking a loss is like getting slapped in the face by the market, which we have egos to fight against.
What ends up after taking losses or consecutive losses, it puts traders at a disadvantage where their emotion is high, and likely to “revenage” trade to chase back losses, which end up in a deeper hole.
To deal with such psychological phenomena, take a step back and observe your situation:
First, did you follow your trading plan/strategy on how to enter, set SL/TP, and management ?
Second, did you take an emotional trade due to greed or fear of missing out ?
Third, have you journal down your losses and review them to make sure they are trades you really want to risk your capitals on ?
By now you will see why we need to review these. Trading is a probability, not right or wrong. It's a random variable that you are putting your $ at risk.
So if you understand the rules and plans that you follow and execute a trade accordingly,
then there should NOT be any negative emotions towards the outcome of the trades, whether they are winners or losers.
When I discuss the trades I entered every week in my trade recaps videos, I am always happy to enter a position, even if it goes to a loss.
This is because I have done enough backtesting, chart work, and plan to enter a position.
I understand strictly from a probability point of view, I could have a higher strike rate, and more often the trades will end up as a winner rather than a loser.
However, I also understand and acknowledge that some trades will end up in a loss, disregard mine technical analysis or other’s fundamental analysis. It is what trading is all about.
When I have consecutive losses, I will always review the 3 points I mentioned above and make sure they are all valid for me.
Then I simply will take 1 day off from the market, chart, phone, and just get your mind clear. Come back strong after 1-2 days of rest, and have a positive mindset.
What traders often do when they have consecutive losses is to right away re-enter back into the market and try to chase back their losses.
This has always been the downfall of losing and it creates anxiety in traders’ minds.
Such a negative experience is going to stay in the traders’ mind longer and deeper, compared to consecutive winners.
So wise we understand that is the case how our brain is "programmed” into thinking, then it's up to us to do the opposite, and fight the urge to “revenge” our losses.
At the end of the day, no one is trading your trading account, except yourself.
Taking ownership of your account, learning to control our emotions, understanding the probability side of trading, and learning to let go, drop our ego will help us in the long run in this industry.
I hope these pointers can help some traders who are still struggling with this concept.
It's impossible not to take losses, but professional traders deal with it on a regular basis and still remain consistent in the long run.
Thank you
I will forward some Trading Psychology educational videos below on some of the topics explained today.
Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading
Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading
Trading Psychology: Is there Stop Loss Hunting in Trading ? How to deal with it ?
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Now, to articulate that ambition more evocatively, you’ll see us using the concept Look first / Then leap . We think this sums up what TradingView is all about — there’s no point jumping blindly into trades (that’s why you use charts) but at the same time you don’t just do 100% of your analysis just for fun — there’s got to be some commitment required.
First you prepare, then you go for it: Look first / Then leap.
We will be sharing updates all week about our new look and feel. You'll also have a chance to meet our sponsored sports stars including the legendary free soloist featured in this video Alex Honnold , renowned free-skier Caite Zeliff and adventurer Leo Houlding .
Thank you for being a member, sharing feedback, and working your hardest to become the best trader or investor. This is a monumental day in our history together.
The 3 Types of Traders. Who Do You Belong To? 🤔
There are thousands of different ways to trade the market.
During the last 100 years, various trading strategies and techniques were invented.
One of the ways to categorize them is to split them by types of traders.
Such a category type will lean on 2 main elements:
trading frequency and time frame selection.
1️⃣ - Scalper
I guess 99% of newbie traders start from scalping.
Trying to catch quick market moves and become rich quick,
newbies are practicing different scalping strategies.
What is funny about scalping is the fact that such a trading style is considered to be the easiest by the majority while remaining one of the hardest in the view of pros.
The main obstacle with scalping is a constant focus and rapid decision-making.
Scalpers usually open dozens of trading positions during the trading session, most of the time being in front of the screen constantly.
Paying huge commissions to the broker and dealing with complete chaos on lower time frames, the majority simply can't survive the pressure and drop, leaving the pie to true gurus.
2️⃣ - Day Trader
Day trading or intraday trading is the most appealing to me.
Staying relatively active, the market gives some time for the trader for reflection & thinking.
Opening and managing on average 1-2 trades per trading session, the intraday trader is granted a certain degree of freedom.
However, with declining volatility, quite ofter intraday traders get a relatively low risk/reward ratio for their trades,
3️⃣ - Swing Trader
Swing trading is the best choice for traders having a full-time job.
Primarily being focused on daily/weekly time frames, swing trading is not demanding for a daily routine and aims at catching mid-term/long-term market moves.
With an average holding period being around 2 weeks and opening 1-2 trading positions per week, swing trading is considered to be the least emotional and involves low risk.
The main problem with swing trading is patience.
Correctly identifying the market trend and opening a trading position,
the majority tends to close their positions preliminary not being patient enough to let the price reach their target.
Which trading type do you prefer?
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
PSYCHOLOGY OF A TRADER | MASTER EMOTIONS & MASTER THE MARKET
The market is driven by people.
The crowds are always behind strong market rallies.
What the majority fails to recognize is the fact, that being chaotics in its nature, the markets are always trading in predictable patterns.
Believe it or now, but the market participants are driven by the same emotional impulses. It does not really depend on how wealthy is the person.
With the core motive being to make a ton of money with a little risk possible, we can derive a universal archetype.
Every asset, every financial instrument has an element of a "potential value". Being 100% subjective, an attempt to calculate the future value drives the market.
Depending on the current expectation of the crowd and its emotions it is necessary for a professional trader to learn to play with its behavior.
With many years of constant observations, the cyclic psychological curve was derived to explain the relationships between our emotions and market cycles.
On the chart, I have drawn 9 main stages of trader's psychology:
😶INDIFFERENCE - No opportunities are spotted, searching for the right pick.
🙂OPTIMISM – Positive outlook leading us to buy a certain asset
😃EXCITEMENT – Being initially right in our pick, we feel excited as bulls push the market to the new highs
The moment of happiness and feeling of being "a true investor"
🤑GREED – Being thrilled we start to ignore warning signs and add more and more cash to the market believing that the market will never stop.
😕ANXIETY – The market starts taking our gains back. Being biased and nihilistic we keep holding the position, thinking that it is just a pullback.
😩PANIC – Tremor. We are frozen. Emotions are draining our power. We are clueless and helpless. We totally lose the sense of control.
😭DEPRESSION – Position is closed. Money is lost. Considering trading & investment industry to be a scam.
🤔HOPE – The dawn. The market returns back to its normal state. Aspiration & desire to start again.
😆RELIEF – Again we start to believe in our strength. We return and the cycle repeats.
Do you recognize yourself in these stages?
Please, support our work with like and comment. It really helps.
PSYCHOLOGY OF A TRADER | MASTER EMOTIONS & MASTER THE MARKET
The market is driven by people.
The crowds are always behind strong market rallies.
What the majority fails to recognize is the fact, that being chaotics in its nature, the markets are always trading in predictable patterns .
Believe it or now, but the market participants are driven by the same emotional impulses . It does not really depend on how wealthy is the person.
With the core motive being to make a ton of money with a little risk possible, we can derive a universal archetype .
Every asset, every financial instrument has an element of a "potential value" . Being 100% subjective, an attempt to calculate the future value drives the market.
Depending on the current expectation of the crowd and its emotions it is necessary for a professional trader to learn to play with its behavior.
With many years of constant observations, the cyclic psychological curve was derived to explain the relationships between our emotions and market cycles.
On the chart, I have drawn 9 main stages of trader's psychology:
😶 INDIFFERENCE - No opportunities are spotted, searching for the right pick.
🙂 OPTIMISM – Positive outlook leading us to buy a certain asset
😃 EXCITEMENT – Being initially right in our pick, we feel excited as bulls push the market to the new highs
The moment of happiness and feeling of being "a true investor"
🤑 GREED – Being thrilled we start to ignore warning signs and add more and more cash to the market believing that the market will never stop.
😕 ANXIETY – The market starts taking our gains back. Being biased and nihilistic we keep holding the position, thinking that it is just a pullback.
😩 PANIC – Tremor. We are frozen. Emotions are draining our power. We are clueless and helpless. We totally lose the sense of control.
😭 DEPRESSION – Position is closed. Money is lost. Considering trading & investment industry to be a scam.
🤔 HOPE – The dawn. The market returns back to its normal state. Aspiration & desire to start again.
😆 RELIEF – Again we start to believe in our strength. We return and the cycle repeats.
Do you recognize yourself in these stages?
Please, support our work with like and comment. It really helps.
What is Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern?Inverse Head and shoulders Pattern is the mirror image of head and shoulders pattern.
Read about Head and Shoulder Pattern here:
Inverse H&S Pattern is bullish reversal pattern. Signals the traders to enter into long position above the neckline.
Volume play a major role in both H&S and Inverse H&S Patterns. Usually the spike in volume on breakout is considered as a great signal for bullish entry.
Again a suitable target can be obtained by measuring the distance between head and neckline of the pattern and using same distance to project the target .
After the neckline breakout there is also a probability that prices can be retrace again to neckline due to lack of demand . Prices can only rise if again there is more demand which will lead to bullish uptrend.
Also if the neckline slopes slightly upward that is the sign of greater market strength thus gives further conformation to go bullish on Inverse H&S Patter .
Let us know what do you think about Inverse H&S Pattern? Please comment your views/doubts!
As always nothing works every time in
markets. Please do your research before taking any position. This is only for Educational Purpose.
We are covering all Major Reversal and continuation patterns in this series.
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Next Pattern we will cover: Round Bottom Pattern
PS: We are publishing this again for global audience.