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World Wars & US Inflation From 1914This is the US Inflation Rate (YoY) from 1914 until 2022. Symbol is called USIRYY and it measures the Inflation Volatility in the United States. With the War going on in Ukraine, and Russia trying to force its way through, I took the liberty of looking into the following: - How Global Wars Affect Inflation - How US Inflation Reacts to External Wars - How Wars Affect the Financial Markets You can see the time-lines, it's all laid-out in the chart (graph). I took all the Major World Wars and events that significantly affected, not only the US Inflation, but Inflation itself. First of all, the US Inflation Rate (USIRYY) tells me the following: * When the US was involved in a War, we can notice that the US Inflation spiked. * Most of the times when US was not involved in an External War, then Inflation dropped. That's because of War & Uncertainty Sentiment around this "terrific" word. War does not bring anything good, in fact, in only brings bad times. People die and global sentiment gets super-negative. This of course, leads to... you guessed it: Market Crash. Why? Because after or during times of War, there are Recessions and Depressions. Supply Chains are disrupted and the Global Economy falls on its face. What about looking at things from a Technical Analysis perspective? * Symmetrical Triangle: and the only way is UP! I will give you points which I believe are worth keeping in mind for the next Market Crash. First of all, let's be logical about this. Winter is coming and it's only gonna get worse before it gets better. As Inflation spiked to a 40y high, the higher powers intervened, in an attempt to cool the Inflation spike off. I'm talking here about the Federal Reserve (FED) ramping up the Interest Rates. This is the Effective Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS). Can you see the break-out? They want to calm down Inflation, but they can't. Why? Because this is no ordinary Inflationary period, it's a long-lasting thing. One of those hyperinflation, deflation, stagflation, or whatever the heck these experts call it... :) The Volatility Index (VIX) tells me that another spike in Fear Sentiment is inevitable. I'm in love with Elliott Wave Analysis, so I labeled this next chart. This is the United States Consumer Confidence Index (USCCI) and it measures exactly what its name says, LOL. When it drops, people are freaking out. When it rises, people are optimistic and the Markets are going up. Daaaa! With all that said, what's the bottom line here? I believe that periods of terror are gonna hit us all. Are we having World War 3? Who the heck knows? All I know is that there are more pieces to this puzzle: United States 10Y Bonds (USB10YUSD) have reached the Support, and a spike bigger than the Covid Pandemic has started: The 10Y Treasury Note Yield (TNX) have broken out of a 40y down-trend: Isn't it ironic how it synced with the Inflation 40y high? Damn! Germany 40 (DAX, GER30, GRXEUR) is doomed. Fractal sequence, Descending Channel, and a "beautiful" ABC Elliott Wave Pattern. So, how can you prosper from all this? Metals could be a good hedge. Gold (XAUUSD) just broke out of an important Bearish Structure. Maybe it will go up. Natural Gas (NG1!) & Crude Oil (USOIL) however, are showing Bearish Reversals. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is Bearish until further notice as well. But this may become the new currency moving forward. In times of terror, the banking systems might need to change. Cash and Card is so '00. WHAT'S YOUR TAKE? WAR OR PEACE? Leave your commend down below. Cheers! Richard
ECONOMICS:USIRYYEducation
by EW4X
5
The Triangles. With Real-Life Examples.Today, let's back to fairly good known triangle shapes: Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending and Broadening Triangles. Triangle chart patterns provide valuable insights into market dynamics, representing a battle between buyers and sellers within a narrowing price range. These patterns are often categorized as continuation or neutral patterns indicating that the price is likely to continue its existing trend after the pattern completes. 1. Symmetrical Triangle: A symmetrical triangle occurs when the slope of the price's highs and lows converge, forming a triangular shape. This pattern signifies a period of consolidation, with lower highs and higher lows indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. As the slopes converge, a breakout becomes imminent, although the direction of the breakout is uncertain. To take advantage of a symmetrical triangle, we can place entry orders above the slope of the lower highs and below the slope of the higher lows, prepared to ride the price in the direction of the breakout. 2. Descending Triangle: In contrast to the ascending triangle, a descending triangle consists of lower highs forming the upper line, with a strong support level acting as the lower line. Sellers gain ground against buyers, and in most cases, the support line eventually breaks, leading to a continued downward move. To trade a descending triangle, we can set entry orders above the upper line (lower highs) and below the support line, prepared for a potential breakout. However, it's important to note that in some instances, the support line may hold, resulting in a strong upward move. 3. Ascending Triangle: An ascending triangle features a resistance level and a slope of higher lows. Buyers gradually push the price up, testing the resistance level. This pattern often signals a breakout to the upside, as buyers gain strength and attempt to break through the resistance. To trade an ascending triangle, we can set entry orders above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows, ready for a potential upward breakout. However, it's important to remain open to movement in either direction, as sometimes the resistance level may prove too strong. 4. Broadening Triangle: Now, let's dive into the intriguing Broadening Triangle, also known as a Megaphone Pattern. This pattern stands out due to its expanding price range, creating a unique visual pattern on the chart. The Megaphone Pattern consists of a series of higher highs and lower lows, causing the price range to widen over time. This pattern reflects increasing volatility and uncertainty in the market, with both buyers and sellers actively participating. To approach Triangle patterns effectively: 1️⃣ Pay attention to the pattern's boundaries: Identify the upper trendline connecting the highs and the lower trendline connecting the lows. These trendlines define the range of price movement within the pattern. 2️⃣ Watch for breakouts and reversals: Triangles often precedes significant price movements. We can look for breakouts above the upper trendline or breakdowns below the lower trendline as potential trading opportunities. 3️⃣ Confirm with additional indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or tools to validate your trading decisions. Consider using indicators like moving averages, oscillators, or volume analysis to confirm the pattern's potential direction. Remember, trading the Triangles requires careful analysis and risk management. It's important to consider the overall market context, fundamental factors, and other technical signals to make informed trading decisions. Wishing you successful trading journeys guided by these fascinating patterns! 🚀📈✨
Education
by Vestinda
TRADING SYMMETRICAL⬇️⬆️🔄 ASCENDING📈 DESCENDING📉🔻⬇️TRIANGLES Hello traders, today we will delve into three types of triangles, which are significant chart patterns providing valuable insights into potential market movements. Understanding these patterns can play a pivotal role in making well-informed trading decisions. Let's explore each type and learn how to identify and interpret them effectively. **1. Symmetrical Triangle:** The symmetrical triangle pattern is formed by a series of lower highs and higher lows, resulting in converging trendlines. It indicates a period of market consolidation, where the price oscillates between lower highs and higher lows, signaling an imminent breakout in either direction. **Key Characteristics:** - **Shape:** Resembles a triangle, with converging trendlines. The horizontal resistance line connects the price highs, while the rising trendline connects the higher lows. - **Duration:** Can take several weeks or even months to form, depending on the time frame being analyzed. - **Volume:** As the symmetrical triangle develops, the trading volume tends to diminish. However, during the breakout, there may be an increase in volume, confirming the validity of the pattern. - **Breakout:** The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks decisively above the horizontal resistance line (bullish breakout) or below the rising trendline (bearish breakout). - **Price Target:** To estimate the potential price target after the breakout, measure the height of the triangle at its widest point (the distance between the highest high and lowest low within the triangle) and project it in the direction of the breakout. - **Stop Loss:** Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just outside the triangle, slightly beyond the opposite trendline from the direction of the breakout, to protect against false breakouts. Traders often enter a long (buy) position when the price breaks above the horizontal resistance line with a significant increase in volume or below the rising trendline in the case of a bearish breakout. **Limitations:** - **False Breakouts:** Sometimes, the price may briefly break above the resistance line or below the rising trendline, only to reverse in the opposite direction, causing a false breakout. Waiting for confirmation is crucial to avoid getting trapped in false signals - **Market Context:** While the symmetrical triangle indicates potential continuation, it's essential to consider the broader market context and use other technical indicators or fundamental analysis to support trading decisions. **2. Ascending Triangle:** The ascending triangle pattern is a bullish chart pattern that forms during an uptrend and represents a continuation pattern. It is formed by a horizontal resistance level and an upward-sloping trendline acting as support. This pattern suggests that buying pressure is gradually intensifying, and a breakout above the horizontal resistance may trigger a bullish move. **Key Characteristics:** - **Shape:** Resembles a triangle, where the horizontal resistance line connects two or more price highs, and the rising trendline connects higher lows. - **Duration:** The pattern can take several weeks or even months to form, depending on the time frame being analyzed. - **Volume:** Volume tends to diminish as the pattern develops. However, during the breakout, there is often an increase in volume, confirming the pattern's validity. - **Breakout:** The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks above the horizontal resistance line. The breakout is considered a bullish signal, suggesting that the upward trend is likely to continue. - **Price Target:** To estimate the potential price target after the breakout, measure the height of the triangle's base (the distance between the horizontal resistance line and the rising trendline) and project it upward from the breakout point. - **Stop Loss:** Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just below the rising trendline to protect against a false breakout. **Trading the ascending triangle:** - **Entry:** Traders often enter a long (buy) position when the price breaks above the horizontal resistance line with a surge in volume. - **Stop Loss:** The stop-loss level is usually set just below the rising trendline. - **Take Profit:** The take-profit level is determined using the measured move method by adding the height of the triangle's base to the breakout point. - **Confirmation:** It is crucial to wait for a clear breakout before entering the trade, as false breakouts can occur. A significant increase in volume during the breakout is often considered a strong confirmation signal. **Limitations:** - **False breakouts:** Sometimes, the price may break above the resistance line temporarily and then reverse lower, causing a false breakout. It is essential to wait for a clear confirmation. - **Market context:** While the ascending triangle is a bullish pattern, it's important to consider the broader market context and analyze other indicators to confirm the likelihood of the pattern leading to a successful trade. **3. Descending Triangle:** The descending triangle pattern is a bearish chart pattern that forms during a downtrend and represents a continuation pattern. It is formed by a horizontal support level and a downward-sloping trendline as resistance. This pattern indicates that selling pressure is progressively strengthening, and a breakdown below the horizontal support might lead to a bearish move. **Key Characteristics:** - **Shape:** Resembles a triangle, where the horizontal support line connects two or more price lows, and the downward-sloping trendline connects lower highs. - **Duration:** The pattern can take several weeks or even months to form, depending on the time frame being analyzed. - **Volume:** Volume tends to diminish as the pattern develops. However, during the breakdown, there is often an increase in volume, confirming the pattern's validity. - **Breakdown:** The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks below the horizontal support line. The breakdown is considered a bearish signal, suggesting that the downtrend is likely to continue. - **Price Target:** To estimate the potential price target after the breakdown, measure the height of the triangle's base (the distance between the horizontal support line and the downward-sloping trendline) and project it downward from the breakdown point. - **Stop Loss:** Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just above the downward-sloping trendline to protect against a false breakdown. **Trading the descending triangle:** - **Entry:** Traders often enter a short (sell) position when the price breaks below the horizontal support line with a surge in volume. - **Stop Loss:** The stop-loss level is usually set just above the downward-sloping trendline. - **Take Profit:** The take-profit level is determined using the measured move method by subtracting the height of the triangle's base from the breakdown point. - **Confirmation:** It is crucial to wait for a clear breakdown before entering the trade, as false breakdowns can occur. A significant increase in volume during the breakdown is often considered a strong confirmation signal. **Limitations:** - **False breakdowns:** Sometimes, the price may break below the support line temporarily and then reverse higher, causing a false breakdown . It is essential to wait for a clear confirmation. - **Market context:** While the descending triangle is a bearish pattern, it's important to consider the broader market context and analyze other indicators to confirm the likelihood of the pattern leading to a successful trade. **In conclusion, understanding these triangle patterns can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. Traders should use them as part of their technical analysis toolkit and combine them with other forms of analysis to make well-informed trading decisions. Happy trading! 📈💹** TCPLTP
Education
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
2
Meet All Triangles — Quick and Easy Guide.📊✨ Discovering All Triangle Chart Patterns 📈✨ Welcome, traders and investors, to the exciting world of Triangle patterns! Today, we'll explore all known triangle shapes: Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending and Broadening Triangles. Triangle chart patterns provide valuable insights into market dynamics, representing a battle between buyers and sellers within a narrowing price range. These patterns are often categorized as continuation or neutral patterns indicating that the price is likely to continue its existing trend after the pattern completes. Symmetrical Triangle: A symmetrical triangle occurs when the slope of the price's highs and lows converge, forming a triangular shape. This pattern signifies a period of consolidation, with lower highs and higher lows indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. As the slopes converge, a breakout becomes imminent, although the direction of the breakout is uncertain. To take advantage of a symmetrical triangle, we can place entry orders above the slope of the lower highs and below the slope of the higher lows, prepared to ride the price in the direction of the breakout. Ascending Triangle: An ascending triangle features a resistance level and a slope of higher lows. Buyers gradually push the price up, testing the resistance level. This pattern often signals a breakout to the upside, as buyers gain strength and attempt to break through the resistance. To trade an ascending triangle, we can set entry orders above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows, ready for a potential upward breakout. However, it's important to remain open to movement in either direction, as sometimes the resistance level may prove too strong. Descending Triangle: In contrast to the ascending triangle, a descending triangle consists of lower highs forming the upper line, with a strong support level acting as the lower line. Sellers gain ground against buyers, and in most cases, the support line eventually breaks, leading to a continued downward move. To trade a descending triangle, we can set entry orders above the upper line (lower highs) and below the support line, prepared for a potential breakout. However, it's important to note that in some instances, the support line may hold, resulting in a strong upward move. Broadening Triangle: Now, let's dive into the intriguing Broadening Triangle, also known as a Megaphone Pattern. This pattern stands out due to its expanding price range, creating a unique visual pattern on the chart. The Megaphone Pattern consists of a series of higher highs and lower lows, causing the price range to widen over time. This pattern reflects increasing volatility and uncertainty in the market, with both buyers and sellers actively participating. Trading Triangles requires careful analysis and risk management due to its nature and potential for unpredictable price moves. To approach Triangle patterns effectively: 1️⃣ Pay attention to the pattern's boundaries: Identify the upper trendline connecting the highs and the lower trendline connecting the lows. These trendlines define the range of price movement within the pattern. 2️⃣ Watch for breakouts and reversals: Triangles often precedes significant price movements. We can look for breakouts above the upper trendline or breakdowns below the lower trendline as potential trading opportunities. 3️⃣ Confirm with additional indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or tools to validate your trading decisions. Consider using indicators like moving averages, oscillators, or volume analysis to confirm the pattern's potential direction. Remember, trading the Triangles requires careful analysis and risk management. It's important to consider the overall market context, fundamental factors, and other technical signals to make informed trading decisions. While chart patterns provide valuable insights, they cannot guarantee future price movements. Always conduct thorough research, stay updated with market news, and adapt your strategy as market conditions evolve. Wishing you successful trading journeys guided by these fascinating patterns! 🚀📈✨
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Vestinda
📈 HOW TO: ASCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN📍 What Is an Ascending Triangle? This pattern emerges when the price movement allows for a horizontal line to be drawn across the swing highs, while a rising trendline is drawn along the swing lows. These two lines together form a triangle shape. Traders actively monitor triangle patterns for potential breakouts, which can occur either upward or downward. Ascending triangles are often referred to as continuation patterns because they typically result in a breakout in the same direction as the prevailing trend that was present before the triangle formation. This pattern offers traders a clear entry point, profit target, and stop-loss level, making it a tradable opportunity. It is worth noting that an ascending triangle can be distinguished from a descending triangle. 📍 How to Identify and Use the Ascending Triangle Candlestick pattern To identify the ascending triangle pattern, you need to look for a period of price consolidation within an ongoing uptrend. During this phase, the price will exhibit a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. The upper resistance line of the pattern can be found by connecting at least two highs within the consolidation phase, while a rising trendline is drawn by connecting at least two higher lows. Confirming the pattern involves ensuring that the price was in a clear uptrend before the consolidation phase, the upper resistance line is horizontal or slightly slanted upward, and the rising trendline intersects with the upper resistance line. Additionally, analyzing candlestick patterns within the consolidation phase, such as doji, hammer, or engulfing patterns, can provide further confirmation of buying pressure. Once the ascending triangle pattern is confirmed, traders can set their entry and exit points. Typically, a long position is entered when the price breaks above the upper resistance line, indicating a bullish breakout. The height of the triangle pattern can be used to estimate a target price level, and a stop-loss order should be placed below the pattern to manage risk. 💥 Key Takeaways 🔹 Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur. 🔹 The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows. 🔹 A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern. 🔹 A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline. 🔹 A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point. 🔹 A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout. 👤 @QuantVue 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
3
🚩Symmetrical Triangle🚩 #️⃣OKXIDEAS !!!👨‍🏫Hello, everyone!👋 (Reading time less than 7 minutes⏰). I’m here with another educational post to help you learners become super traders gradually. 🔅 As you know, various tools are usually used in any financial market to analyze all types of stocks, cryptocurrencies, and assets. Chart patterns are one of the essential tools used in technical analysis, and analysts evaluate the market movement and prepare to trade based on technical-fundamental studies. 🔅 The Symmetrical Triangle is one of the most used classic continuous patterns in the field, but it can sometimes turn into reversal patterns, as some analysts say. 🔷 So I’ll explain the following in this article: Defining the triangle pattern Getting to know the structure of a Symmetrical Triangle Types of Symmetrical Triangles How to trade using the Symmetrical Triangle pattern Price target after Symmetrical Triangle pattern The importance of trading volume in the Symmetrical Triangle pattern --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Triangle Pattern: 🔅The triangle pattern is one of the most well-known patterns many traders spend time on. A triangle is a trend continuation pattern that can occur in upward or downward trends. This triangle pattern is formed when a stock, cryptocurrency, or whatever shrinks towards an uptrend or downtrend. The pattern represents a pause in the price trend, and the price consolidates in a range. 🔅 The triangle pattern consists of two converging lines with different slopes depending on the type. At least four major pivots are needed in the specific time frame to form a triangle pattern. Basically, to form a triangle, 45 to 60 candles are needed in the specific time frame. 🔅 The take-profit of this pattern is considered the distance from the first top to the first bottom inside the triangle. 🔷 According to research, 84% agree that the triangle pattern is a continuation pattern that is divided into three types as follows: Symmetrical triangle Ascending Triangle Descending Triangle --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- One of the types of triangles that can lead you to money is Symmetrical Triangle which I’ll explain here: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in Upward Trends: Take a look at the picture below. You can see the price forms tops and bottoms after an upward trend and then forms lower tops and higher bottoms. 🔅 Now try to draw a resistance line at the top and a support line at the bottom. What do you see? Yeah! That’s a triangle. These two lines will make a tip called the triangle's apex. If the four pivots(at least), two tops and two bottoms, are connected with a line, you can say a Symmetrical Triangle pattern in an upward trend has occurred. 🔅 It’s noted that if the price breaks the support trend line and drops, you’ll see this as a reversal pattern or a Symmetrical Triangle in the downward trend. Not always; a Symmetrical Triangle is a continuous pattern. So Watch out! Here’s a picture of a reversal Symmetrical Triangle and how to trade while it is considered a reversal. How to trade on the Symmetrical Triangle in an upward trend: 1-After the pattern completes, you must wait for the pattern to give us the entry confirmation(the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle). 2-Try to open a long position when the real breakout happens. That can make a good profit. The real breakout occurs when a green candle like the Marubozu candle closes above the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle or the resistance line. 3-Don’t forget to put a stop-loss. That will be below the breakout candle or below the prior candle’s bottom. The distance between the first top and the first bottom in the triangle would be one of high risk-to-reward ratio take-profit points. The other way to take the profit is to draw a line from the first top facing the support trend line along. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in Downward Trends 🔅 Another trend that a Symmetrical Triangle can move is downward trend when the price continues downward after forming the pattern. 🔅 Luckily, one of the best tools that can help you earn lots of money is the Symmetrical Triangle because it supports two-sided markets. But the question is how this type of triangle forms. Stay with me. 🔅 Imagine you’re walking through the bushes for a long time, then you’ll get tired, and you don’t feel energetic in your feet to move on. So do buyers and sellers in the financial markets. 🔅 When the price of an asset enters a converging trend of lower tops and higher bottoms, buyers and sellers test how strong the trend is. The buyers make bottoms at a higher price as sellers prevent the creation of a higher top. 🔅 In this case, the sellers are mostly winners, so better to be a seller rather than a buyer. Like the pattern I already discussed, the Symmetrical Triangle pattern in a downward trend needs at least four significant pivots to be confirmed. 🔅 There's also a possibility of breaking the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle on the top after the Symmetrical Triangle pattern formation. The reversal pattern has occurred in this case, and the long position is considered a plan. How to trade on the Symmetrical Triangle in a downward trend: 1-You have to wait for the candles to break the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle. But the only key point is that if the breakout is valid. So if the breakout candle closes below the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle, it’s time to open a short position. 2-The stop-loss will be above the last top. Therefore, in case of opening a short position on an asset, you can also place your stop-loss above the breakout candle for a higher risk-to-reward ratio. 3-The price targets will be 1) the distance between the first bottom and the first top, or 2) you can draw a line from the first bottom facing the resistance line. 🔷 Below, you can see a Symmetrical Triangle in a downward trend and how you can trade with it. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Importance of Trading Volume in the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern 🔅 The asset chart is in correction as long as the price chart is inside the Symmetrical Triangle pattern. 🔅 The trading volume in the pattern process will be neutral as most traders are waiting for the follow-up movement of the asset. 🔅 The closer the chart gets to the apex of the triangle to depart from the pattern, the range of fluctuations and the trading volume become less and less. 🔅 The importance of trading volume in the Symmetrical Triangle pattern can be seen near the exit from the pattern. 🔅 If the previous trend of the chart was bullish, it is likely that the trading volume will increase dramatically if the pattern is broken. 🔅 Also, the trading volume will decrease near the triangle's apex, but it increases instantly after breaking out, whether it is an upward or downward trend. 🔅 For this purpose, examining the trading volume in different areas of the pattern can greatly help us better understand the trend and predict the future of the asset. 🔅 In a way, you always have to wait for the chart to go out of the pattern, and by checking the direction of the trend and trading volume, you can make a better decision about buying or selling your currencies. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Symmetrical Triangle in Elliott Theory The Symmetrical Triangle called the “Contracting Triangle,” is a basic pattern in Elliott Waves. Elliott triangles can be considered one of the stable consolidation patterns in the market, which can be divided into five waves. To return, each of these five waves carries three sub-waves. The waves of the triangle are named A, B, C, D, and E. The Symmetrical Triangle can often be seen as a continuation pattern that creates a pause in the trend and then resumes. In this pattern, wave A, which is the biggest wave in the pattern, can be a zigzag, double zigzag, triple zigzag, or a flat pattern, and wave B can only be a zigzag, double zigzag, or triple zigzag. Waves D and C can also move in their pattern by a zigzag pattern, and finally, an E wave is formed, which can be a zigzag, double zigzag, triple zigzag, and sometimes a triangle. In a Symmetrical Triangle, waves B, C, and D often cover 61.8% of the previous wave. Finally, by drawing this pattern's up-and-down trend lines, the lines get close to each other and cannot be parallel. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion: 🔔 In this article, you learned about the Symmetrical Triangle and how to trade using the pattern. You now know where to enter and exit the market to make a suitable profit. Don’t forget to follow your capital management to lower the trading risks.
Education
by pejman_zwin
17
Learn Top 4 Price Action Pattern to Trade Reversals Hey traders, In this article, I will share with you the list of 4 best reversal price action patterns. 📍Ascending & Descending Triangles The main element of the ascending triangle as the REVERSAL pattern is the BEARISH impulse leg, preceding the formation of the pattern. The pattern consist of 2 main elements: a horizontal neckline based on the equal highs, a rising trend line based on the higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the level of the last higher low. 🎯Take profit is the next historical resistance. —————— 📍The main element of the descending triangle formation as the reversal pattern is the BULLISH leg, preceding the formation of the pattern. The pattern consist of 2 main elements: a horizontal neckline based on the equal lows, a falling trend line based on the lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. 🎯Take profit is the next historical support. 📍Rising & Falling Wedges What makes a rising wedge pattern a reversal pattern? Before the formation of the pattern, the price should form a strong bullish impulse and trade in a bullish trend. The pattern consists of 2 contracting, rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support. —————— What makes a falling wedge pattern a reversal pattern? Before the formation of the pattern, the price should form a strong bearish impulse and trade in a bearish trend. The pattern consist of 2 contracting falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance. 📍Double Top & Bottom Double bottom pattern usually forms at the end of a bearish trend. After a strong bearish impulse, the price retraces, sets a lower high and retests the current low. Instead of going lower, the price retraces one more time, retests the level of the last lower high and breaks it. Such a formation confirms a bullish reversal. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying below the lows of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance. —————— Double top pattern usually forms at the end of a bullish trend. After a strong bullish impulse, the price retraces, sets a higher low and retests the current high. Instead of going higher, however, the price retraces one more time, retests the level of the last higher low and breaks it. Such a formation confirms a bearish reversal. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close below. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support. 📍Head & Shoulders Pattern & Inverted One Inverted H&S pattern usually forms at the end of a bearish trend. The price forms a zig-zag movement with 3 main elements: the left shoulder with a lower low, the head with a new lower low, and the right shoulder with a higher low. While the price sets multiple lows, it keeps setting the equal highs, composing a so-called horizontal neckline. A bullish reversal becomes confirmed once the price breaks and closes above the neckline. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying below the lows of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance. —————— Head & Shoulders pattern usually forms at the end of a bullish trend. The price forms a zig-zag movement with 3 main elements: the left shoulder with a higher high, the head with a new higher high, and the right shoulder with a lower high. While the price sets multiple highs, it keeps setting the equal lows, composing a so-called horizontal neckline. A bearish reversal becomes confirmed once the price breaks and closes below the neckline. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close below. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support. In order to increase the accuracy of trading these patterns, I would recommend trading them only if they are formed on key levels: Bearish patterns on key resistances and bullish patterns on key supports. Also, higher is the time frame where you spotted the patterns, higher is the chance that it will give a valid reversal signal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
17
📉 4 Common Bearish PatternsIn trading, a bearish pattern is a technical chart pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. These patterns are characterized by a series of price movements that signal a bearish sentiment among traders. 📍Bear Flag 🔸 A small rectangular pattern that slopes against the preceding trend 🔸 Forms after a rapid price decline (flagpole) 🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the lower trend line of the flag 📍Descending Triangle 🔸 A bearish continuation pattern that forms with a horizontal support line and a descending trendline 🔸 Forms as the price reaches lower highs, while the lows remain at the same level 🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the horizontal support line 📍Rising Wedge 🔸 A bearish reversal pattern that forms with a series of higher highs and higher lows 🔸 The pattern forms as the price moves up in a narrowing range 🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the lower trendline 📍Triple Top 🔸 A bearish reversal pattern that forms with three peaks at the same price level 🔸 The pattern forms as the price reaches resistance at the same level multiple times 🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the support level, which connects the lows between the peaks 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
21
Learn Best Price Action Pattern For Trend-Following Trading 📚 In this educational articles, I will teach you the best price action patterns for Trend-Following Trading. 📍Ascending & Descending Triangles The ascending triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish. The pattern consist of 2 main elements: a horizontal neckline based on the equal highs, a rising trend line based on the higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the level of the last higher low. 🎯Take profit is the next historical resistance. —————— 📍The descending triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish. The pattern consist of 2 main elements: a horizontal neckline based on the equal lows, a falling trend line based on the lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. 🎯Take profit is the next historical support. 📍Bullish & Bearish Wedges The bullish wedge pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish and the pattern is directed to the downside. The pattern consist of 2 contracting falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern. —————— The bearish wedge pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish and the pattern is directed to the upside. The pattern consist of 2 contracting rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern. 📍Bullish & Bearish Flags The bullish flag pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish and the pattern is directed to the downside. The pattern consist of 2 parallel falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern. —————— The bearish flag pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish and the pattern is directed to the upside. The pattern consist of 2 parallel rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern. 📍Bullish & Bearish Symmetrical Triangles The bullish symmetrical triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish. The pattern consist of 2 contracting symmetrical trend lines based on the higher lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above. 📈The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the last higher low of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern. —————— The bearish symmetrical triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish. The pattern consist of 2 contracting symmetrical trend lines based on the higher lows and lower highs. ❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below. 📉The position is opened on a retest. 🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the last lower high of the pattern. 🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern. The main difficulty related to trading these patterns is their recognition. You should train your eyes to recognize them on a price chart. Once you learn to do that, I guarantee you that you will make tons of money trading them. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
Chart Patterns Cheat SheetHey guys! Today we'll have a look at chart patterns - which ones are the most popular, what do they look like, and how you can leverage them in your own trading! Chart patterns are technical analysis tools used to predict price movements based on chart formations. There are two main types of chart patterns - reversal patterns and continuation patterns . Reversal patterns suggest a shift in the prevailing trend, while continuation patterns suggest that the trend is likely to continue. How to trade these chart patterns effectively using trendlines on Tradingview? Draw the chart patterns you see on the cheat sheet. Create alerts for your drawn trendlines. Set the alarms when the price crossing up/down of the trendline you draw. Click on the "Alert" icon in the menu. This will bring up the alert creation window. You can select whatever conditions you want, I usually just use crossing up/down, and change the message to something I recognize. Click "Create" to save the alert. Setting alerts allows you to act quickly on the trading opportunities that the chart patterns indicate. This is a super-effective way to manage these chart patterns. The Triangle pattern It can be both a continuation and reversal pattern. It consists of three types of triangles: Symmetrical Triangle Ascending Triangle Descending Triangle Symmetrical Triangle The symmetrical triangle is a classic sideways pattern where the market consolidates, creating lower highs and higher lows that look like a squeeze. Neither the bulls nor the bears have control over the current movement during the pattern. Ascending Triangle The ascending triangle pattern forms when the price creates a series of higher lows within a clear resistance level. This indicates that buyers are unable to break through the resistance, but selling pressure from bears is weakening with each attempt. The bulls may take control and drive a breakout. Descending Triangle The Descending Triangle is an inverse formation of the ascending triangle and is a bearish continuation pattern that typically forms in a downtrend. To identify this pattern, look for a clear support level followed by a series of lower highs. This indicates that buyers are unsuccessful in pushing the price higher and each attempt weakens, potentially leading to a bearish breakout. Pennant Chart Pattern A pennant pattern is a continuation pattern that forms when the price makes a significant move in either direction and then consolidates in a sideways movement. Bullish Pennant Pattern Bearish Pennant Pattern Bullish Pennant Pattern A bullish Pennant Pattern is where the price is likely to move in the same direction it was trading before entering the consolidation period. It forms after a sharp move higher, followed by a pennant, and then a continuation breakout. To trade this pattern, traders typically place a long order above the pennant and set a stop below the bottom of the pennant to avoid false breakouts. Bearish Pennant Pattern The Bearish Pennant Pattern is the inverse of the Bullish Pennant Pattern. It forms after a sharp move lower, followed by a pennant, and followed by a breakout to the downside, signaling a continuation of the overall downtrend. Traders often take advantage of bearish pennants by placing a short order at the bottom of the pennant and a stop loss above the pennant to limit their losses in case the price moves against them. Wedge Chart Pattern Wedge Patterns can be both continuations and reversals based on the market trend. Rising Wedge Pattern Falling Wedge Pattern Rising Wedge Pattern The Rising Wedge Pattern is identified by upward-sloping support and resistance levels in which the support level is steeper than the resistance level and creates a wedge. If the Rising Wedge Pattern forms during a downtrend, it is often used as a continuation. On the other hand, if it is formed during an uptrend, it could indicate a potential reversal. Traders typically place their entry orders when the price breaks out of the wedge formation. Falling Wedge Pattern The Falling Wedge Pattern is characterized by a downward-sloping resistance level and a steeper upward-sloping support level. This pattern is usually a continuation if it forms during an uptrend. And it could signal a possible reversal if it forms at the bottom of a downtrend. Flag Pattern The flag pattern is a continuation pattern and is useful for price action analysis. Bullish Flag Pattern Bearish Flag Pattern Bullish Flag Pattern The Bullish Flag Pattern is formed during a strong uptrend when the price makes a sharp move higher creating the pole, followed by a sideways consolidation which forms the flag. it can be formed by two rallies separated by a brief retracement period, with the first rally creating a sharp spike known as the flagpole. Bearish Flag Pattern The Bearish Flag Pattern is formed during a downtrend when the price pauses sideways to create the flag form after a sharp moving lower. Price often consolidates or rebounds slightly higher before continuing with the trend. The flagpole forms on an almost vertical panic price drop and is followed by a bounce that has parallel upper and lower trendlines to form the flag. Channels A channel chart pattern is a continuation and it consists of two parallel lines that act as zones of support and resistance. Bullish Channel Bearish Channel Horizontal Channel Bullish Channel Bullish Channel is a continuation pattern with a positive slope. The previous uptrend will likely continue if prices break through the upper channel line. There is no theoretical price objective on this chart pattern, and the movement is bullish, which can continue as long as the bullish channel support line is not broken. Bearish Channel The Bearish Channel is a continuation pattern with a negative slope. The previous bearish trend will likely continue if prices break through the lower channel line. It's not recommended to go long when the price touches the lower band as the trend may continue moving along it. Corrections towards the upper band in a downward trend are usually weaker. Horizontal Channel Horizontal Channel forms when the price moves sideways or when it is in a consolidation phase. A line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times. The horizontal channel pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times). That is the end of part one, hope you found it useful! - Don't forget to follow us for more
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CleoFinance
2
📈 4 Common Bullish Patterns🟢 RISING THREE "Rising three methods" is a bullish continuation candlestick pattern that occurs in an uptrend and whose conclusion sees a resumption of that trend. This can be contrasted with a falling three method. The first bar of the pattern is a bullish candlestick with a large real body within a well-defined uptrend. 🟢 FALLING WEDGE The falling wedge pattern occurs when the asset’s price is moving in an overall bullish trend before the price action corrects lower. Within this pull back, two converging trend lines are drawn. The consolidation part ends when the price action bursts through the upper trend line, or wedge’s resistance. 🟢 BULL PENNANT A pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend line. Pennants, which are similar to flags in terms of structure, have converging trend lines during their consolidation period and last from one to three weeks. 🟢 ASCENDING TRIANGLE An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle. Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work , Please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
30
Forget about chart patterns! Hello, my dear friends and happy New Year! I wish you to be healthy and reach all your goals in trading and not only! Never give up on this difficult way which we are going to overcome together! Today we have a very important topic. How to use Elliott waves instead of classical chart patterns. This is the natural exposure why the chart patterns are garbage. I remember my third year at university when we have the trading lessons. Our teacher gave us a lot of useless knowledges about support, resistance and chart patterns. I have not understood why it should working and it was not soo intereting subject for me. That’s why I returned back to trading much later using self-education. Now I have the clear understanding why Elliott waves is the best tool and why it’s working. Most of traders even don’t understand that chart patterns is just the special case of Elliott waves. That’s why today I decided to explain you how you can change the first one to the second one. Let’s go! Double Top(Bottom) On the chart above I drew the different types of double tops. Generally we have 3 types of this pattern Double top with the second top higher than the first one. In this case we can interpret it in two ways. It could be the classical waves 3, 4, 5 and the corrective wave A at the ending stage. In this case we can anticipate waves B and C. Also it could be the irregular correcton ABC inside wave 4 (rarely in wave 2). In this case we should wait for the wave 5 after that. Traders usually execute short position on the neckline breakdown and suffer when the wave 5 smashed their stop-loss. They are wondering why double top does not working. Double top with the equal highs has the same possible outcomes. The only one difference that correction called flat instead of irregular. Double top with the second top lower than the first one. Here is the most common variant is the end of the ABC correction. In this case we have the low potential for shorting the market becuase the new impulsive wave to the upside can hit all stop losses. Head & Shoulders This is the easiest pattern for analysis. The right sholder usually is the wave 4, the head, obviously is the wave 5 and the right shoulder is the wave B. On the neckline breakdown we have the shorting potential only in the rest part of the wave C. You could correctly count waves and short that the bearish reversal bar of the wave 5 or, as a last resort, at wave B potential top. Shorting at the neckline has sence only if you are sure that the wave B was the the wave 1 of the impulsive wave to the downside if higher degree and now the market is in wave 3. We have to learn how to count waves in a correct way. I would recommend you to read the Trading Chaos book by Bill Williams because it has the best explanation how do waves work. Triangles and Wedges This part is common for all types of triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical) and wedges (falling and rising). This patterns have the similar structure. If we faced with one of these patterns we have 4 possible scenarios. Triangle in the downtrend after the wave 3. In this case triangle is the wave 4, which is represented as the triangle correction. This correction type consists of 5 waves A, B, C, D and E. When the wave E is finished market will continue it’s move in the direction of a trend, printing the wave 5. The same, but in the uptrend. When the market showed us the 5 waves cycle to the upside and the correction is in progress. Triangle can appears in the wave B. In this case the price will continue the corrective move in the wave C after it’s finished. The same with the downtrend. Guys, of course there are much more types of chart patterns. For example, tripple tops and bottoms and so on. The purpose of this article is giving you another view of the market structure and to motivate you studying the Elliott waves theory. Believe me, it has much more potential than it seems on the first glimplse. Best regards, Ivan ________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like my educational ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality articles!
Education
by Skyrexio
Learn How to Trade Descending Triangle Pattern Descending triangle formation is a classic reversal pattern. It signifies the weakness of buyers in a bullish trend and bearish accumulation. ⭐️The pattern has a very peculiar price action structure: Trading in a bullish trend the price sets a higher high and retraces setting a higher low. Then the market starts growing again but does not manage to set a new high, setting a lower high instead. Then the price drops again perfectly respecting the level of the last higher low setting an equal low. After that one more bullish movement and one more consequent lower high, bearish move, and equal low. Based on the last three highs a trend line can be drawn. Based on the equal lows a horizontal neckline is spotted. ❗What is peculiar about such price action is the fact that a set of lower highs signifies a weakening bullish momentum: fewer and fewer buyers are willing to buy from horizontal support based on equal lows. 🔔 Such price action is called a bearish accumulation. Once the pattern is formed it is still not a trend reversal predictor though. Remember that the price may set many lower highs and equal lows within the pattern. The trigger that is applied to confirm a trend reversal is a bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern. 📉Then a short position can be opened. For conservative trading, a retest entry is suggested. Safest stop is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. However, in case the levels of the lower highs are almost equal it is highly recommendable to set a stop loss above them all. 🎯For targets look for the closest strong structure support. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
HOW-TO : Auto Chart Patterns UltimateHello All, I have made this video which covers briefly on following points for Auto-Chart-Patterns-Ultimate-Trendoscope 1. Indicator components 2. Detailed settings 3. Few key features 4. Info about trading different patterns included I could not cover alerts in the video due to time constraints. But, alerts is same as that of HOW-TO-Customize-Alerts-in-Auto-Harmonic-Scripts Let me know if you have any question. For trial access and subscription please look at the script page - 'Author's Instructions' section.
TVC:RUTEducation
by Trendoscope
11
💨 Elliott Wave Pattern: Triangle 🌊●●● 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (T) __________________________ ❗️❗️ 𝙂𝙚𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙡 𝙧𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● A triangle always subdivides into five waves. ● At least four waves among waves A , B , C , D and E are subdivided into a single zigzag . ● A triangle never has more than one complex subwave, in which case it is always a multiple zigzag or a triangle. ❗️ 𝙂𝙚𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙖𝙡 𝙜𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● Usually, wave C subdivides into a "multiple zigzag" that is longer lasting and contains deeper percentage retracements than each of the other subwaves. ● Usually, wave D subdivides into a "multiple zigzag" that is longer lasting and contains deeper percentage retracements than each of the other subwaves. ● Alternating waves of a triangle may be in Fibonacci proportion to each other by a ratio of 0.618 for contracting triangles and 1.618 for expanding triangles. For example, in a contracting triangle, look for wave C to equal 0.618 of wave A . ● A triangle can be wave 4 impuls, wave B of a zigzag , wave X of a double or second wave of an X of a triple zigzag , sub-wave C , D or E of a triangle and the last structure of a combination. __________________________ ●● 𝘾𝙤𝙣𝙩𝙧𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (Contr.T — CT) ❗️❗️ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● Wave C never moves beyond the end of wave A , wave D never moves beyond the end of wave B , and wave E never moves beyond the end of wave C . The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves B and D converges with a line connecting the ends of waves A and C . ● Waves A and B never subdivide into a triangle. ● In a running triangle, wave B should be no more than twice as long as wave A . (Q&A EWI) ❗️ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● Sometimes one of the waves, usually wave C , D or E , subdivides into a contracting or barrier triangle. Often the effect is as if the entire triangle consisted of nine zigzags. ● About 60% of the time, wave B goes beyond the beyond the start of wave A . When this happens, the triangle is called a running triangle. __________________________ ●● 𝘽𝙖𝙧𝙧𝙞𝙚𝙧 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (Barr.T — BT) ❗️❗️ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● Wave C never moves beyond the end of wave A , wave D never moves beyond the end of wave B , and wave E never moves beyond the end of wave C . The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves B and D converges with a line connecting the ends of waves A and C . ● Waves B and D end at essentially the same level. ● In a running triangle, wave B should be no more than twice as long as wave A . (Q&A EWI) ❗️ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● About 60% of the time, wave B goes beyond the beyond the start of wave A . When this happens, the triangle is called a running barrier triangle. ● When wave 5 follows a triangle, it is typically either a brief, rapid movement or an exceptionally long extension. ☝️ 𝙉𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙨 ● We have yet to observe a 9-wave barrier triangle, implying that this form may not extend. __________________________ ●● 𝙀𝙭𝙥𝙖𝙣𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙚 (Exp .T — ET) ❗️❗️ 𝙍𝙪𝙡𝙚𝙨 ● Wave C , D and E each moves beyond the end of the preceding same-directional subwave. (The result is that going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves B and D diverges from a line connecting the ends of waves A and C .) ● Subwaves B , C and D each retrace at least 100 percent but no more than 150 percent of the preceding subwave. ❗️ 𝙂𝙪𝙞𝙙𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨 ● Subwaves B , C and D usually retrace 105 to 125 percent of the preceding subwave. ☝️ 𝙉𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙨 ● No subwave has yet been observed to subdivide into a triangle. __________________________ 🔗 References: Elliott Wave Principal 2005 RSWA: Q&A EWI
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradeWaves-EWA
3
0% Inflation very soon?United States Inflation Rate, Year-over-Year, 1914-2022 chart ---------------------------------------------------------------- Why do I think inflation will go down to 0%? Inflation is currently at the main trendline (established in 1920). This is a very strong resistance, and as a general rule, do not short a support or long a resistance. In other words, you don't want to speculate on inflation increasing when inflation is at its critical point. FED cares about their charts, and they also want the charts to look great. That's why they will push inflation down. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Why the Inflation Rate Matter? The inflation rate demonstrates the health of a country's economy. It is a measurement tool used by a country's central bank, economists, and government officials to gauge whether action is needed to keep an economy healthy. That's when businesses are producing, consumers are spending, and supply and demand are as close to equilibrium as possible. A healthy rate of inflation is good for both consumers and businesses. During deflation, consumers hold on to their cash because the goods will be cheaper tomorrow. Businesses lose money, cutting costs by reducing pay or employment. That happened during the subprime housing crisis. In galloping inflation, consumers spend now before prices rise tomorrow. That artificially increases demand. Businesses raise prices because they can, as inflation spirals out of control. When inflation is steady, at around 2%, the economy is more or less as stable as it can get. Consumers are buying what businesses are selling. ---------------------------------------------------------------- How is inflation measured? There are several ways to measure inflation, but the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics uses the consumer price index. The CPI aggregates price data from 23,000 businesses and 80,000 consumer goods to determine how much prices have changed in a given period of time. If the CPI rises by 3% year over year, for example, then the inflation rate is 3%. The Fed, on the other hand, relies on the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). This index gives more weight to items such as healthcare costs. ---------------------------------------------------------------- How do you hedge against inflation? Because inflation causes money to lose value over time, hedging against it is an important part of any sound investing strategy. Investors use a diversified portfolio with a variety of asset types to offset inflation and ensure that the overall growth of their portfolio outpaces it. ---------------------------------------------------------------- YEAR - INFLATION RATE YOY - FED FUNDS RATE - BUSINESS CYCLE (GDP GROWTH) - EVENTS AFFECTING INFLATION 1929 0.6% NA August peak Market crash 1930 -6.4% NA Contraction (-8.5%) Smoot-Hawley 1931 -9.3% NA Contraction (-6.4%) Dust Bowl 1932 -10.3% NA Contraction (-12.9%) Hoover tax hikes 1933 0.8% NA Contraction ended in March (-1.2%) FDR's New Deal 1934 1.5% NA Expansion (10.8%) U.S. debt rose 1935 3.0% NA Expansion (8.9%) Social Security 1936 1.4% NA Expansion (12.9%) FDR tax hikes 1937 2.9% NA Expansion peaked in May (5.1%) Depression resumes 1938 -2.8% NA Contraction ended in June (-3.3%) Depression ended 1939 0.0% NA Expansion (8.0% Dust Bowl ended 1940 0.7% NA Expansion (8.8%) Defense increased 1941 9.9% NA Expansion (17.7%) Pearl Harbor 1942 9.0% NA Expansion (18.9%) Defense spending 1943 3.0% NA Expansion (17.0%) Defense spending 1944 2.3% NA Expansion (8.0%) Bretton Woods 1945 2.2% NA Feb. peak, Oct. trough (-1.0%) Truman ended WWII 1946 18.1% NA Expansion (-11.6%) Budget cuts 1947 8.8% NA Expansion (-1.1%) Cold War spending 1948 3.0% NA Nov. peak (4.1%) 1949 -2.1% NA Oct trough (-0.6%) Fair Deal, NATO 1950 5.9% NA Expansion (8.7%) Korean War 1951 6.0% NA Expansion (8.0%) 1952 0.8% NA Expansion (4.1%) 1953 0.7% NA July peak (4.7%) Eisenhower ended Korean War 1954 -0.7% 1.25% May trough (-0.6%) Dow returned to 1929 high 1955 0.4% 2.50% Expansion (7.1%) 1956 3.0% 3.00% Expansion (2.1%) 1957 2.9% 3.00% Aug. peak (2.1%) Recession 1958 1.8% 2.50% April trough (-0.7%) Recession ended 1959 1.7% 4.00% Expansion (6.9%) Fed raised rates 1960 1.4% 2.00% April peak (2.6%) Recession 1961 0.7% 2.25% Feb. trough (2.6%) JFK's deficit spending ended recession 1962 1.3% 3.00% Expansion (6.1%) 1963 1.6% 3.5% Expansion (4.4%) 1964 1.0% 3.75% Expansion (5.8%) LBJ Medicare, Medicaid 1965 1.9% 4.25% Expansion (6.5%) 1966 3.5% 5.50% Expansion (6.6%) Vietnam War 1967 3.0% 4.50% Expansion (2.7%) 1968 4.7% 6.00% Expansion (4.9%) Moon landing 1969 6.2% 9.00% Dec. peak (3.1%) Nixon took office 1970 5.6% 5.00% Nov. trough (0.2%) Recession 1971 3.3% 5.00% Expansion (3.3%) Wage-price controls 1972 3.4% 5.75% Expansion (5.3%) Stagflation 1973 8.7% 9.00% Nov. peak (5.6%) End of gold standard 1974 12.3% 8.00% Contraction (-0.5%) Watergate 1975 6.9% 4.75% March trough (-0.2%) Stop-gap monetary policy confused businesses and kept prices high 1976 4.9% 4.75% Expansion (5.4%) 1977 6.7% 6.50% Expansion (4.6%) 1978 9.0% 10.00% Expansion (5.5%) 1979 13.3% 12.00% Expansion (3.2%) 1980 12.5% 18.00% Jan. peak (-0.3%) Recession 1981 8.9% 12.00% July trough (2.5%) Reagan tax cut 1982 3.8% 8.50% November (-1.8%) Recession ended 1983 3.8% 9.25% Expansion (4.6%) Military spending 1984 3.9% 8.25% Expansion (7.2%) 1985 3.8% 7.75% Expansion (4.2%) 1986 1.1% 6.00% Expansion (3.5%) Tax cut 1987 4.4% 6.75% Expansion (3.5%) Black Monday crash 1988 4.4% 9.75% Expansion (4.2%) Fed raised rates 1989 4.6% 8.25% Expansion (3.7%) S&L Crisis 1990 6.1% 7.00% July peak (1.9%) Recession 1991 3.1% 4.00% Mar trough (-0.1%) Fed lowered rates 1992 2.9% 3.00% Expansion (3.5%) NAFTA drafted 1993 2.7% 3.00% Expansion (2.8%) Balanced Budget Act 1994 2.7% 5.50% Expansion (4.0%) 1995 2.5% 5.50% Expansion (2.7%) 1996 3.3% 5.25% Expansion (3.8%) Welfare reform 1997 1.7% 5.50% Expansion (4.4%) Fed raised rates 1998 1.6% 4.75% Expansion (4.5%) LTCM crisis 1999 2.7% 5.50% Expansion (4.8%) Glass-Steagall repealed 2000 3.4% 6.50% Expansion (4.1%) Tech bubble burst 2001 1.6% 1.75% March peak, Nov. trough (1.0%) Bush tax cut, 9/11 attacks 2002 2.4% 1.25% Expansion (1.7%) War on Terror 2003 1.9% 1.00% Expansion (2.9%) JGTRRA 2004 3.3% 2.25% Expansion (3.8%) 2005 3.4% 4.25% Expansion (3.5%) Katrina, Bankruptcy Act 2006 2.5% 5.25% Expansion (2.9%) 2007 4.1% 4.25% Dec peak (1.9%) Bank crisis 2008 0.1% 0.25% Contraction (-0.1%) Financial crisis 2009 2.7% 0.25% June trough (-2.5%) ARRA 2010 1.5% 0.25% Expansion (2.6%) ACA, Dodd-Frank Act 2011 3.0% 0.25% Expansion (1.6%) Debt ceiling crisis 2012 1.7% 0.25% Expansion (2.2%) 2013 1.5% 0.25% Expansion (1.8%) Government shutdown. Sequestration 2014 0.8% 0.25% Expansion (2.5%) QE ends 2015 0.7% 0.50% Expansion (3.1%) Deflation in oil and gas prices 2016 2.1% 0.75% Expansion (1.7%) 2017 2.1% 1.50% Expansion (2.3%) 2018 1.9% 2.50% Expansion (3.0%) 2019 2.3% 1.75% Expansion (2.2%) 2020 1.4% 0.25% Contraction (-3.4%) COVID-19 2021 7.0% 0.25% Expansion (5.9%) COVID-19 2022 8.3% 3.25% Contraction (-1.6%) As of Sept. 21. 2022 2023 2.7% (est.) 2.8% (est.) Expansion (2.2%) March 2022 projection
ECONOMICS:USIRYYEducation
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
56
USD/CHF -8/9/2022-• Triangle pattern explained + measurement method • On the weekly chart, while ago, a triangle formation can be seen • Breakout can be either way • In the above case, the breakout was to the upside, supported by strong fundamentals in favor of the dollar • Traders should wait for a successful breakout before placing any trade • Breakout was confirmed by several bars above the upper trend line resistance • Buy order is placed upon the breakout, and the measurement method is applied for profit taking • What is the measurement method? • It is the distance between the lowest point in the triangle and the first high, the widest distance in other words • In this case, the length is 700 pips, so we project this distance from the breakout point • We get the target around parity, which was reached accurately at a later stage
Education
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT
Triangle Patterns 📐 ❗️The triangle is one of the most common and reliable figures of graphical analysis. This is a strong pattern that can bring you a lot of points of profit if you approach its trading correctly. ✅What is a triangle pattern? ⚠️A triangle pattern is a pattern formed on a price chart. It is usually identified when the tops and bottoms of the price move towards each other, like the sides of a triangle. When the upper and lower levels of the triangle interact with the price, traders expect a possible breakdown. Thus, many breakout traders use triangle formations to find entry points. ✅Symmetrical Triangle A universal pattern can act both as a trend continuation figure and as a reversal figure. A symmetrical "Triangle" is formed by two converging support and resistance lines. It turns out such a picture - "bears" are gradually pushing the price down from the resistance line, "bulls" are pushing quotes up from the support line. As a result, one of them turns out to be stronger and the price breaks through the border of the symmetrical "Triangle", simultaneously collecting protective orders (Stop Loss / Stop) and pending orders. The position should be opened in the direction of the breakdown, after the price closes outside the boundaries of the symmetrical "Triangle". If the upper limit of the "Triangle" is broken, we buy, limit losses — we put a Stop Loss for the nearest minimum of the "Triangle", the benchmark for working out is the value of H (in points) — the base of the "Triangle" (the largest wave in the "Triangle"). If the lower limit of the "Triangle" is broken, we sell, limit losses — We put a stop for the nearest maximum of the "Triangle", the benchmark for working out is the value of H (in points) — the base of the "Triangle" (the largest wave in the "Triangle"). ✅Ascending Triangle The pattern is a continuation of the upward trend, but sometimes it is possible to work in the opposite direction. An ascending "Triangle" has been formed between the horizontal resistance level and the ascending support line. In the course of the upward trend, the "bulls" rest against a strong resistance level, which they cannot immediately overcome. From this level there are pullbacks downwards — waves of an ascending "Triangle". But gradually the pullbacks become smaller and at some point the bulls, having bought all the bearish sell orders, break through this level up, collecting Stops and pending buy orders. After breaking through the upper boundary of the ascending "Triangle", purchases are recommended, the Stop is placed below the nearest minimum of the "Triangle", working out is the value of the base of the "Triangle" H (in points), this is the largest wave of the "Triangle". ✅Descending Triangle The pattern is a continuation of the downward trend, but sometimes it is possible to work in the opposite direction. A descending "Triangle" is formed by two lines — a descending resistance line and a horizontal support level. During the downtrend, the "bears" stumble upon a strong support level, which they cannot break through immediately. This is followed by several pullbacks up from this level, during which a descending "Triangle" is formed. In the end, the "bears" sweep away all orders for the purchase of "bulls" and break through the support level down, collecting buyers' stops and pending sales orders. After breaking through the lower boundary of the descending "Triangle", sales are recommended, the Stop is placed above the nearest maximum of the "Triangle", the value of working out H is the size of the base of the "Triangle" — its largest wave. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
9
PRICE ACTION TRADING | THREE TYPES OF TRIANGLES YOU MUST KNOW 📐 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 3 simple and profitable types of a triangle pattern. 1️⃣The first type of triangle is called a descending triangle. It is a reversal price action pattern that quite accurately indicates the exhaustion of a bullish trend. Setting a new higher high the market retraces and sets a higher low, then bulls start pushing again but are not able to retest a current high and instead the price sets a lower high and drops to the level of the last higher low setting an equal low. The price keeps trading in such a manner setting lower highs and equal lows till the price sets a new lower low. Most of the time it gives a very accurate signal of a coming bearish move. Please, note that a triangle formation by itself does not give an accurate short signal. The trigger that you should wait for is a formation of a new lower low. 2️⃣The second type of triangle is called a symmetrical triangle. It is a classic indecision pattern. It can be formed in a bullish, bearish trend, or sideways market. The price action starts contracting within a narrowing range setting lower highs and higher lows. Based on them, two trend lines can be drawn. Breakout of one of the trend lines with a quite high probability indicates a future direction of the market. 3️⃣The third type of triangle is called an ascending triangle. It is a reversal price action pattern that quite accurately indicates the exhaustion of a bearish trend. Setting a new lower low the market retraces and sets a lower high, then bears start pushing again but are not able to retest a current low and instead the price sets a higher low and bounces to the level of the last lower high setting an equal high. The price keeps trading in such a manner setting higher lows and equal highs till the price sets a new higher high. Most of the time it gives a very accurate signal of a coming bullish move. 📍Please, note that a triangle formation by itself does not give an accurate long signal. The trigger that you should wait for is a formation of a new higher high. Learn to recognize such triangles and you will see how accurate they are. Let me know what pattern do you want to learn in the next post? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Running triangle and Leading DiagonalsTriangles are corrective patterns and diagonals are motive patterns. Upon completing a triangular pattern the trend resumes. Ending diagonal marks the end of a major wave or a trend and signals upcoming trend reversal or major correction. Leading diagonal marks the start of a major wave or a trend after a major correction or reversal to previous trend. After a leading diagonal, a short correction can be expected before the trend resumes in the direction of leading diagonal. In the previous post, the comparison is between running triangle and ending diagonals. This post compares running triangle and leading diagonals. Chart1: Running triangle and leaning diagonal in uptrend As mentioned the comparison is in an uptrend. Accordingly upward move is termed as directional move and move to the downside is termed as non-directional. A running triangle has non-directional momentum ie faster moves to the downside (wave A, C and E) than the upward moves (Waves B and D). These non-directional moves donot retrace the previous move completely. On the contrary, Leading diagonal has directional momentum ie faster moves to the upside (waves 1, 3 and 5) in the direction of trend and these upward moves completely retrace the previous non-directional corrective moves (wave 2 and 4). Chart2: Running triangle and leading diagonal in downtrend As mentioned the comparison is in a downtrend. Accordingly downward move is termed as directional move and move to the upside is termed as non-directional. A running triangle has non-directional momentum ie faster moves to the upside (wave A, C and E) than the downward moves (Waves B and D). These non-directional moves donot retrace the previous move completely. On the contrary, Leading diagonal has directional momentum ie faster moves to the downside (waves 1, 3 and 5) in the direction of trend and these downward moves completely retrace the previous non-directional corrective moves (wave 2 and 4).
Education
by Hari-Ram-Kumar