Get started

Economic Cycles

Bitcoin Psycology Cheat Sheet "Popped The Bubble"Traders should print this cheat sheet out and keep it by their desks! You can save this cheat sheet using Like and Bookmark features! Reason why I wrote this post, is tremendous amounts of Bullish signals in @TradingView community, just take a look at front page and first pages of Ideas tab. IMHO this is signal of "Back to Normal" phase and we are appoaching big crash event during 2021/22. Stay safe and be humble! Best regards Artem Shevelev
Education
by ArShevelev
75
Price action tradingWhat is Price Action Trading? Price action trading is a methodology for financial market speculation which consists of the analysis of basic price movement across time. It’s used by many retail traders and often by institutional traders and hedge fund managers to make predictions on the future direction of the price of a security or financial market. Price action trading ignores the fundamental factors that influence a market’s movement, and instead it looks primarily at the market’s price history, that is to say its price movement across a period of time. Thus, price action is a form a technical analysis, but what differentiates it from most forms of technical analysis is that its main focus is on the relationship of a market’s current price to its past or recent prices, as opposed to ‘second-hand’ values that are derived from that price history.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by alifarhani7727315
EDUCATION _Types of Trend. Wavelike trends.The basis of the technical analysis is the trend. It is a price movement in a certain direction. Upward trend: Trend down: Between trends, the price likes to relax in the lateral movement, when the trend itself is absent: Wavelike trends. Unfortunately, if the trends were straight as an arrow, your cat would be able to earn. However, trends rarely go straight. Usually, this is a combination of the highest and lowest levels, of which the trend consists. For example, an upward trend can often be broken down into such micro waves: In reality, the waves, of course, are not as beautiful as on the scheme, and in a smooth beautiful trend price moves rarely (although, sometimes, it happens). The next post will be about the duration of trends. Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Yuriy_Bishko
24
Simple and effective use of Fibonacci correction levels Hello, Traders! Today I will explain how to use a trading strategy based on correctional Fibonacci levels as simple and rational as possible. Using the ZIL example, we will highlight the period from November 4 to 25, where the price has entered an uptrend. Our task is to stretch the Fib retracement from the beginning of $0.01666 until the end of the uptrend of $0.03681. We place 4 buy orders at correctional Fibonacci levels : 0.382 (0.02911) - 10% of the transaction amount 0.50 (0.02674) - 20% of the transaction amount 0.618 (0.2436) - 30% of the transaction amount 0.786 (0.2097) - 40% of the transaction amount SL should be placed under the level 0.786. In our case, it is 0.01921 $. The average price of entering the transaction, in this case, will be $ 0.2396. Thus, the stronger the price is corrected, the less the drop will be relative to the average entry price. The correction levels of Fibonacci from 0.618 to 0.0 of upward movement will be the targets. As a rule, after the correction, the price bounces from the levels and we will have an opportunity to close a deal at least without losses, and at best make a good profit. This is a very simple and effective strategy that has proven itself not only on a daily timeframe, it can also be used on shorter price movements. It can also be used on other price movements like H4 or H1 timeframes. Leave your feedback below and good luck!
Education
by UnknownUnicorn10064030
4
EURUSD: Long Term Perspective & Trend Analysis hey guys, I know that many of you are expecting a coming bearish movement on a daily on EURUSD. analyzing a weekly time frame though, I want to warn you that the pair has still much space for a bullish continuation. on a weekly, the price is clearly trading in a global bearish trend. spring's covid bullish rally made the market set a higher low and triggered a bullish rally, and it looks like a long term goal for buyers is 1.21 - 1.25 wide supply cluster. this zone is based on 2008'th, 2010'th, 2012'th lows and 2018'th high. in my view, a strong weekly bearish movement will most likely start from that area. however, what makes me extremely cautious is the recent higher low. usually, it is the first strong signal of a coming trend change. if the above-mentioned zone is broken buy buyers, It will signify a long term bearish trend violation and start of a new long term bullish trend. as always we can only speculate about the probabilities of both events. but clearly decision point is close.
Education
by VasilyTrader
10
BITCOIN EMOTIONS STRUCTURE — $100 000 per btc +644% Potential!!!Hey! Reading market emotions could be pain in ass ¯\_( 👁️ ͜ 👁️)_/¯ But what you can do about it? M arkets always flow in ups and downs, every minute emotions change so the market following well known sequence of emotions: ... Optimism — Believe — Excitement — Thrill — Euphoria — Complacency — Denial — Fear — Desperation — Panic — Capitulation — Anger — Depression — Hope — Relief ... This emotions sequence happen on all timeframes, you can find it every day and on every market/assets. Moreover this emotions people feel over and over during day and regular business and activities. I find 3 tips how to see market emotion stage: 1. Be Cold Mind — Check Twice 2. Take a Guess, but Control Risks 3. Watch Your Mood — Ask Opinions These steps can improve overall market feeling, but you have to train intuition and spend time on markets to find it's patterns. This require experience, so spend time to learn and try different things. Do not rush "all-in" if you are newbie, small is big in the trading. Peace and have good profits. Stay tuned to Artem Crypto. P.S. Bitcoin next stop could be near 100K, not joking. remember this chart? Good luck :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by ArShevelev
22
Recency Bias With Streaks and Occurrence FrequencyIn this video idea, I discuss the idea of how to check for bias in recent events in an indicator by requiring that X of the last Y candles meet a certain condition. It is common to refer to recency bias as something that can skew your view on things based on recent events. In this case, I am referring to applying a bias to our indicator based on recent events. I show you how I go about checking for occurrence frequency to require that X of Y candles are red in this example. Specifically, we check for at least 3 red candles in the last 4 or 5 candles. By using float values to represent true or false with a 1 or 0 we can easily sum the values of the 1 or 0 on our conditions for the last Y candles. Once we get the occurrence account we can compare the occurrence that actually occurred to the number we actually required on X. We take this a step farther and show how this might be used by requiring another condition to be true on the current candle as well and plot to share when this next condition is true or false (1:0) as well.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by BigBitsIO
1
HOW TO TRADE MARKET STRUCTURE HOW TO TRADE MARKET STRUCTURE 1) WE CAN SEE THAT USDCAD HAS BEEN IN AN UPTREND MAKING HIGHER HIGHS & HIGH LOWS. THIS IS DISPLAYED WITH THE A-B-C-D MOVEMENTS 2) AT 'C' WE REACHED A KEY RESISTANCE ZONE AT 1.42500 RESULTING IN THE NEXT PHASE OF THE UPTREND TO CREATE A NEW HIGHER LOW AT D 3) AT 'D' USDCAD BEGINS THE NEXT PHASE OF OVERALL UPTREND AND ATTEMPTS TO MAKE A NEW HIGH. HOWEVER THIS UPWARD MOVE FAILS AS WE FAIL TO BREAK ABOVE 'C' & INSTEAD END WITH THE MOVE TO 'E', SIGNALLING A POTENTIAL END TO THE UPTREND 4) THE NEXT MOVE FROM 'E-F' CREATES A NEW SUPPORT LEVEL AT OUR PREVIOUS LOWER HIGH 'D' (1.41142) ZONE 5) THE NEXT MOVE FROM F-G IS AN ATTEMPT FROM BUYERS AT THE SUPPORT LEVEL CREATED FROM E-F (1.41142) TO TRY AND CONTINUE THE UPTREND HOWEVER 'G' NOW CREATES A LOWER HIGH 6) FROM G-H WE CAN SEE PRICE IS MAKING A THIRD TEST OF THE SUPPORT LEVEL AT (1.41142). A FAILURE OF THE SUPPORT LEVEL HOLDING GIVES US A GOOD ENTRY POINT TO ENTER A SELL POSITION WITH OUR PROFIT TARGET OF 105 POINTS AT 'H' (1.40000)
Education
by ezinvesting
Buying vs Selling Pt2- Who's really in CONTROL?Part 2 here is all about CONTROL . As I said in part 1, people tend to equate green candles with buying and red with selling but the default coloring is wrong and does not reflect the actual actions of smart money. Like color, a common misconception is that if the day is red and way down, people are selling off. The reality is most of the time the market is down because buyers are in control . Think about the stock market the same way you might think about a housing market for a moment. Have you ever heard "it's a seller's market" or "a buyer's market"? What's going on in those markets? Usually in a sellers market, the homeowner lists their house, gets a ton of bids, and chooses the highest bidder. They may even decide they listed too low or change their mind. In a buyers market they may not be so fortunate to get a lot of bids and the bids that come in may be below their asking price. Depending on their motivation, the homeowner in a buyers market might sell for below their asking because they are in a dire situation where they need the money or are spooked that prices are going to continue to fall. In a lot of cases, that's not too far from stock markets. Think about the last month or so with the COVID-19 pandemic and look at this chart- Who's really in control here? You always hear people saying, "Sellers at it again" when we have these -7% trading halts. The reality is closer to this though, who really wants to BUY in a time like this? Sellers have lost control. Through much of the crash you could not sell your shares for yesterday's price because the buyers on the other end of the table said no thanks, I think I can get a better price to buy at later. Here's an example of the December 2018 correction and some insight as to the balance of control- Until you understand it better, thinking of control and phases this way seems counter-intuitive. Why is the price RISING if people are SELLING? Or why would price be FALLING if we're supposedly BUYING? I like to look at it in terms of these phases (on main chart)- Buyers Collect -> Chase -> Sellers Profit -> Panic Most of us are dumb money, retail traders. Oh, and we're HUMAN. We struggle emotionally with harvesting profits because we get greedy and our heart starts pounding when we see heavy volume and giant red candles. Combining color and control on a couple intraday examples-
AMEX:SPYEducation
by chrism665
14
Buying vs Selling Pt1- COLOR, Most have it completely backwardsI'm making a little educational series of tutorials to put some of my trading philosophies into writing for myself but also to help teach anyone interested or provide a fresh perspective to others. Let's start with COLOR . From indicator lines, fill regions, background colors, arrows, to barcolors (be it from an indicator or just the basic candle), most traders are looking at a green candle and a red candle in reverse. Novice traders see a big fat candle and think, "Wow, lots of BUYING" then see a huge red candle and think, "Lots of SELLING". I think we inherently associate green with money and like to see lots of green when we have long positions. And then we associate red with emotions of fear and panic, bad things. Let's have a look at a chart of SPY using the "Ehlers Instantaneous Trend" with ribbon and barcolor to help identify trends and paint them the color we are accustomed to seeing- Very quickly I'm sure a lot of people think the coloring makes sense and might be looking up the Ehler indicator right now (it is a really cool one so go ahead). What we're seeing is this- Most of the time the green candles have been when SPY has been rising Most of the time the red candles have been when SPY has been falling Seems natural to buy when you see these green candles going up and sell/avoid buying when you see red candles going down. The problem is that that's what dumb money does! They buy when smart money is SELLING. Those green candles are actually the result of a smart buyer who timed things correctly and bought at the lows and is now 1) holding onto their shares, 2) waiting for sell signals. And when those red candles start showing up, dumb money gets all panicky and starts selling their shares. They might wait for closing cost to fall beneath a moving average or some other indicator, then they start selling and voila- capitulation. The price those sellers get is probably not great and when it's all said and done was not very much above what their entry price was. But as people are selling, smart money is BUYING. They are fishing for a bottom to start accumulating shares. They look for really 'red' days with lots of volume, a perfect cocktail of emotion that gets weak hands to tremble and chase the price down before capitulating and selling for whatever price they can get. And usually when this is occurring, the bottom forms. Let's reverse the colors of the bars and start seeing things through the lens of smart money- Now if you are still associating green with buying and red with selling, the world should make much more sense. When the candles turn green here you're a buyer and when they turn red you're a seller. That doesn't mean buy the first candle and every candle, all the time, every time. It means that is when you are waiting patiently for the most opportune moment to buy. And when these candles are red you aren't freaking out and selling, you tell yourself "I am looking for moments when I can take some profits off the board when we get really crazy moves up, and maybe replace some of those shares with a few new shares I purchase at lows or on some bad days". The point is that this is a selling phase. I will go into depth as to why selling phases go up*, because I know that's a concept that people struggle with psychologically. (* there's two kinds of selling, as well as buying, which we'll get into). Here are some close-ups on candles and their default colors- Same chart, colors flipped -
AMEX:SPYEducation
by chrism665
11