Elliott Wave C/3 Entry Model ExampleIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Elliottwave and Elliotwave
3/C Entry Model.
This is the minimum you should consider doing
when laying out,"on paper", your favorite/profitable trade setups.
Especially if it is new to you.
More can be added as you see fit.
I left most of my other confluences off TBH.
Parallel Channel
Mastering Elliott Wave: The importance of channelingI wanted to share my thoughts on the significance of using channeling technique in Elliott Wave theory when analyzing charts.
To begin, we draw what we call a "base channel," starting from the beginning of wave 1 and extending it to the end of wave 2. This initial channel provides us with a foundation for analysis.
The following occurrence of an impulsive breakout beyond this channel signals the initiation of wave 3. At this point, we create a new "Acceleration Channel" to track the movement of wave 3. If this newly drawn channel is breached to the downside, it suggests the possibility of a correction for wave 3 underway.
As seen in the picture, the original base channel we drew earlier now acts as a support level for wave 4, accompanied by consolidation around Fibonacci levels. This observation has been witnessed numerous times in the past.
When the corrective channel experiences a breakout with above-average volume, it serves as a signal indicating the completion of wave 4. This event provides an opportunity for us to establish Fibonacci targets for profit-taking.
In this particular example, I have chosen to draw the corrective channel only on the final leg of the ABC correction, enabling us to catch the breakout at an earlier stage. A more conservative approach, however, would involve waiting for the breakout to occur after wave B has been surpassed.
Hope this was helpful for those wanting to learn more about channeling and Elliott Wave.
Mastering the Bearish Flag Pattern in Forex and Gold Trading
The bearish flag pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential bearish trends in the foreign exchange (Forex) and gold markets. As a continuation pattern, it is typically formed after a strong downward move, indicating a short-term pause before the price continues its downward trend.
📚How Does the Bearish Flag Pattern Work?
The bearish flag pattern is formed when the price experiences a sharp decline (the flagpole) which is then followed by a short period of consolidation (the flag). During the consolidation phase, the price usually trades within a tight range, with lower volume, indicating a temporary balance between buying and selling pressures.
The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the support level of the flag. This indicates that the selling pressure has now become bullish, and traders can expect a continuation of the downward trend.
📉Trading the Bearish Flag Pattern
Traders can take advantage of the bearish flag pattern by entering a short position after the flag pattern has been confirmed. This means that the trader will be selling the asset in question, expecting it to continue its downward trend.
To increase the likelihood of success, traders can use other technical indicators, such as moving averages and oscillators, as well as fundamental analysis to identify potential price movements and market trends.
Here is the example of a bearish flag pattern that we spotted on Gold.
After a sharp bearish move, the market started to consolidate within a horizontal range - flag.
Its support breakout was the indicator that the market returns back to a bearish trend.
📈Bullish Flag Pattern
The bullish flag pattern is the exact opposite of the bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause in an upward trend. It is formed when the price experiences a sharp upward move followed by a short period of consolidation before continuing its upward trend.
Trading the bullish flag pattern is similar to trading the bearish flag pattern, with traders entering a long position after the confirmation of the pattern.
Here is the example of a bullish flag. The signal to buy was a bullish breakout of its upper boundary.
Behold how quickly the market started to grow then.
In conclusion, mastering the bearish flag pattern is a valuable skill in Forex and gold trading, allowing traders to enter short positions with greater confidence and accuracy. By combining technical and fundamental analysis, traders can identify potential trading opportunities and reduce their risks. It is important to note that a similar strategy can be applied for trading the bullish flag pattern, which is equally useful in identifying potential profitable trades in an upward trend.
What do you want to learn in the next post?
The Best Odds within a Consolidated MarketEvery pattern of the market has precise areas where the probabilities can play in the most favorable way for you, if you trust the pattern (until it expires). Of course, we trust patterns... that's what we do: we drink and trust patterns .
This example on the XRPUSDT pair is a good example of this. As a day trader (or a FTT trader), your hope here would be to catch a meaningful impulse, a long movement of the price that could give you profits. If you want that, where would you place your entry?
The basic knowledge tells about "zones", but all zones are not equally safe and important in every pattern.
For example, we know that the average zone in a consolidated market (the midrange between its resistance and support) is important... but is it safe? Let's think about it:
By definition, an established market that goes sideways is bouncing between its resistance and support zones. It also tends to bounce against the midrange, of course (or, at least, it tends to struggle in that place); but normally you would expect the price to break the middle of the channel in order to reach its margins. Why? Because that's the very nature of the pattern! Duh!
If the price surpass the midrange, the pattern stays vigorous, healthy and reliable. But what happens if the price exceeds markedly the channel's resistance or support? That would be an apparent or definitive breakout of such pattern... its closure: There's no trustable pattern anymore and you must be careful because your previous analysis now belongs to the past.
This reflection is meant to warn you about one of the common mistakes we commit –perhaps because of the nature (a fault?) of our system or because of our unwise decisions–: Not waiting for the price to come up to the best spot for our entry. Not being selective enough when deciding the best settings of the market.
In my series about trading psychology I expect to delve more into this attitude of not caring too much about our best chances, which is a way of not protecting our capital –although there is also a problem in caring too much , to the point of inertia–. But, for now, let's just reflect about the significant disadvantage of placing our bets into forecasts that objectively lack the best odds within a known pattern! Surely those are not the most educated bets we are capable of... and a profitable trader is person who makes educated bets.
What Is Swing Trading?Are you looking for a way to take advantage of short-term market movements without the stress of day trading? Look no further than swing trading. In this article, we’ll dive deep into the world of swing trading, exploring how it differs from day trading, discussing its advantages and disadvantages, and taking a look at some of the most popular swing trading tools and indicators.
The Basics of Swing Trading
Swing trading involves holding a position for a short to medium period of time - usually a couple of days to a few weeks - with the aim of profiting from the “swings” in the market. A swing trader’s definition is simple: swing traders are those who typically enter and exit at significant support and resistance levels, hoping to capture the bulk of an expected move and take profits at potential reversal points in the market.
The swings are marked with numbers in the chart below.
These traders tend to look at hourly to weekly charts to guide their entries, although the specific timeframe used will depend on the swing trader’s individual style and the asset being traded. It can be used across all asset classes, from stocks and forex to crypto* and commodities. Swing plays in the stock market can be especially effective, as stocks tend to experience plenty of volatility and are subject to frequent news and events that can drive prices to traders’ targets.
Swing traders predominantly use technical analysis to determine their entries and exits, but fundamental analysis can also play a significant role compared to shorter-term styles, like day trading. Fundamental analysis, like comparing the interest rates of two economies, can help to set a swing trader’s directional bias over the course of days or weeks.
Swing Trading vs Day Trading
On the face of it, swing trading and day trading may look similar. After all, both types of traders may look to profit from one key support/resistance level to another. However, there are significant differences between them.
The most distinct difference is the holding period. Day traders aim to close all of their positions by the end of the day and tend to exit a trade within a few hours. It’s rare for swing traders to hold a position for less than a day, although it can happen if their target is met during extreme market volatility. Long-term swing trading can involve holding a position for months - something you won’t see any day trader doing.
This difference in holding period has important implications for risk management. Day trading can be riskier than swing trading, as day traders are exposed to more volatility and are more susceptible to sudden price movements. Swing traders, on the other hand, have more time to react to changes in the market and ignore intraday noise in favour of focusing on their longer-term target.
However, because day traders don’t hold their positions overnight, they also avoid the risk of any adverse events affecting their position while they’re asleep. Swing traders don’t have this luxury.
The frequent in-out nature of day trading means active traders can incur more commission fees than swing traders. Spreads are also less of a concern when swing trading, as wide intraday spreads impact a swing trader’s position less than they impact the position of a day trader.
Finally, the psychological and time pressures are reduced when swing trading. Day trading can be a highly stressful activity, and it requires near-constant attention to the charts. Swing trading can be a much more relaxed approach, avoiding the stresses of intraday price movements and allowing for much less active management.
Swing Trading Advantages and Disadvantages
Swing trading has several advantages that make it a popular choice for many traders. That said, it comes with a few disadvantages traders should be aware of. Let’s consider them.
Advantages
- Lower Time Commitment
One of the biggest benefits for swing traders is the reduced time commitment. Many of us have other things going on that mean we can’t commit several hours a day to trading. Swing trading can be adapted to suit a trader’s individual schedule and may only require a few hours each week to be successful.
- Flexibility
Swing trading is often more flexible than other styles of trading. Not only does it offer time flexibility, but it allows for a wider range of instruments to be traded. For example, you might have trouble performing technical analysis on the 1-minute chart for an illiquid stock, while the 1-hour chart has plenty of price action for you to analyse. In the stock market, swing trading may even be preferred because of the greater number of opportunities it can present.
- Potential Higher Returns Than Long-Term Trading
Because swing traders usually hold positions for a few days to a few weeks, they have the ability to take advantage of shorter-term market movements that might not be reflected in longer-term price trends. For instance, if a stock experiences a temporary dip in price due to a short-term event, swing traders can take advantage of this dip and make a quick profit when the stock rebounds.
Disadvantages
- Less Time to React to Market Changes
What is a swing trader’s biggest disadvantage? The amount of time they have to react to sudden price movements. Short-term traders that are actively managing their positions may be able to stay out of a position entirely until volatility subsides. In contrast, swing traders may not be available to adjust their position if they’re at work or asleep, leading to potentially significant losses.
- Overnight Holding Risks
Part of the issue with holding trades overnight is that they can gap up or down - opening much higher or lower than the previous day’s closing price, which could mean a stop loss isn’t triggered. This can result in large losses beyond what the trader was initially willing to risk.
- Requires Discipline to Hold Trades
Holding a position for several days or weeks can be tough for some traders. Intraday market movements may lead to impulsive decision-making, like closing a trade prematurely or taking a loss because of a perceived change in market direction. To weather these short-term price movements, swing traders must have the discipline to manage their emotions and only check the charts infrequently.
Popular Tools to Use When Swing Trading
A swing trader’s strategy will ultimately depend on their unique system for entering and exiting trades. There’s no right or wrong way to swing trade; the most important aspect is finding an edge over the market and achieving long-term profitability. Here are three common tools and indicators that can be used as part of a swing trading strategy.
Channels
Traders can use channels to take advantage of long-term price trends that play out over days and weeks. To plot a channel, you first need to identify a trending asset that’s moving in a relative zig-zag pattern rather than one with large jumps in price. Swing traders will often use the channel to trade in the direction of the trend; in the example above, they might look to buy when the price tests the lower line and take profit when the price touches the upper line of the channel.
Moving Averages
Moving averages are one of the simplest indicators, but they can help swing traders determine the direction of the trend at-a-glance. The options here are endless:
- You could pair fast and slow moving averages (MAs) and wait for the two to cross; this is known as a moving average crossover. When a shorter MA crosses above a longer one, the price is expected to rise. Conversely, when a shorter MA breaks below a longer one, the price is supposed to decline.
- You could stick with one and observe whether the price is above or below its average to gauge the trend. When the price is above the MA, it’s an uptrend; when it’s below the MA, it’s a downtrend.
- You could use an MA as a support or resistance level, placing a buy order when the price falls to the MA in an uptrend and a sell order when it rises to the MA in a downtrend.
In this equity swing trading example, we’ve applied the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Cross indicator with a 50 and 200-period length in TickTrader. As you can see, it was valuable for identifying the direction of the S&P 500 over the course of several weeks and could have resulted in a profitable swing call.
Fibonacci Retracements
Lastly, many swing traders look to enter pullbacks in a larger trend. One of the most popular ways to identify optimum entry levels during these pullbacks is with the Fibonacci Retracement tool. Traders typically wait for a shift in price direction, then apply the tool to a swing high and swing low. Then, they enter at a pullback, usually to the 0.5 or 0.618 levels, to profit from the continuation of the trend. As seen above, this strategy can offer ideal entry points for swing traders looking to get in early before a trend continues.
The Bottom Line
In summary, swing trading can be an ideal style for many would-be traders out there. Rather than spending hours in front of the screen each day, swing traders can take a more laid-back approach. However, while solid risk management skills and iron-clad discipline are necessary characteristics for any trader, they’re even more important for swing traders.
Ready to embark on your swing trading journey? You can try a free demo account with us at FXOpen to practise your skills and start building a strategy. Good luck!
*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fascinating phenomenon known as the upward channel:Today, I wanted to shed some light on EURUSD a fascinating phenomenon known as the upward channel, which can provide valuable insights for our trading strategies.
An upward channel, also referred to as an ascending channel, is a technical analysis concept frequently observed in the forex market. It represents a price pattern characterized by the formation of parallel trendlines, with the lower line acting as a support level and the upper line serving as a resistance level.
Within this channel, we witness a consistent pattern of higher lows and higher highs, indicating an overall bullish trend and have got WXY Correction phase. One of the key advantages of trading this EURUSD upward channel is the ability to identify potential entry and exit points with greater precision. By patiently waiting for the price to break the flags level, then we can seek favorable buying opportunities, aiming for profit as the price moves towards the resistance level.
However, it's crucial to exercise caution and employ proper risk management techniques while trading within the upward channel. No trend lasts indefinitely, and it's essential to be prepared for potential breakouts or reversals at the Resistance level of Y so regular monitoring, adjustment of stop-loss orders.
As we navigate the forex market, let's keep an eye out for upward channels, seizing the opportunities they present. If you have any questions or insights to share on this topic, please feel free to reach out. Together, we can refine our trading skills and achieve greater success.
📈 HOW TO: ASCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN📍 What Is an Ascending Triangle?
This pattern emerges when the price movement allows for a horizontal line to be drawn across the swing highs, while a rising trendline is drawn along the swing lows. These two lines together form a triangle shape. Traders actively monitor triangle patterns for potential breakouts, which can occur either upward or downward.
Ascending triangles are often referred to as continuation patterns because they typically result in a breakout in the same direction as the prevailing trend that was present before the triangle formation. This pattern offers traders a clear entry point, profit target, and stop-loss level, making it a tradable opportunity. It is worth noting that an ascending triangle can be distinguished from a descending triangle.
📍 How to Identify and Use the Ascending Triangle Candlestick pattern
To identify the ascending triangle pattern, you need to look for a period of price consolidation within an ongoing uptrend. During this phase, the price will exhibit a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. The upper resistance line of the pattern can be found by connecting at least two highs within the consolidation phase, while a rising trendline is drawn by connecting at least two higher lows.
Confirming the pattern involves ensuring that the price was in a clear uptrend before the consolidation phase, the upper resistance line is horizontal or slightly slanted upward, and the rising trendline intersects with the upper resistance line. Additionally, analyzing candlestick patterns within the consolidation phase, such as doji, hammer, or engulfing patterns, can provide further confirmation of buying pressure.
Once the ascending triangle pattern is confirmed, traders can set their entry and exit points. Typically, a long position is entered when the price breaks above the upper resistance line, indicating a bullish breakout. The height of the triangle pattern can be used to estimate a target price level, and a stop-loss order should be placed below the pattern to manage risk.
💥 Key Takeaways
🔹 Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur.
🔹 The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
🔹 A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
🔹 A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
🔹 A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
🔹 A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
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Price Channels — Quick and Easy Guide.Greetings, @TradingView community!
When it comes to analyzing market trends, there's a technique that takes trend theory to the next level: price channels.
This is @Vestinda, bringing you a helpful article on the topic of the price channels, also known as trend channels, offer an exciting way to identify optimal buying and selling opportunities in the market.
Price channels serve as a valuable tool in technical analysis, helping traders determine favorable entry and exit points. By drawing parallel lines that align with the angle of an uptrend or downtrend, we create a channel. The upper trend line acts as resistance, while the lower trend line represents support. These lines highlight potential areas where the market could experience reversals or continue its current trend.
Understanding the sentiment of a price channel is crucial. Channels with a positive slope (upward) are considered bullish, indicating an upward trend, while those with a negative slope (downward) are bearish, pointing to a downward trend. Recognizing the slope of a price channel allows traders to gauge the prevailing market conditions and make informed trading decisions.
Price channels can be categorized into three main types:
Ascending channels
Descending channels
Horizontal channels
Ascending channels display higher highs and higher lows, signaling a bullish sentiment. To create an ascending channel, draw a parallel line touching the most recent peak, aligning it with the angle of the uptrend line.
Conversely, descending channels exhibit lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a bearish sentiment. To create a descending channel, draw a parallel line touching the most recent valley, aligning it with the angle of the downtrend line
Horizontal channels , also known as ranging channels, indicate a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction.
These channels provide insights into potential buying zones when prices hit the lower trend line and selling zones when prices approach the upper trend line. Understanding these channel types empowers traders to adapt their strategies to different market scenarios.
Constructing a price channel requires parallelism between the trend lines. The lower trend line is typically considered a "buy zone," while the upper trend line serves as a "sell zone." It's crucial not to force price action into the drawn channels. When the channel boundaries slope at different angles, the pattern is no longer a price channel but a triangle pattern, requiring a distinct analytical approach.
Remember that price channels don't have to be flawlessly parallel. In reality, it's rare to find price action that perfectly aligns within two trend lines.
As traders, it's important not to solely rely on textbook price patterns but also consider broader market context and other essential cues from price action. Effective price channel analysis involves embracing imperfections and making informed decisions based on the available information.
In conclusion, price channels provide traders with a powerful technique to uncover profitable opportunities in the market. By drawing parallel trend lines and identifying support and resistance levels, traders can gain valuable insights into market sentiment and enhance their trading decisions.
However, it's essential to remember that perfection isn't the goal. Instead, focus on understanding market dynamics and adapting your strategy accordingly.
💜 So there you have it - a quick and easy guide to understanding price channels in trading! 💜
My Impulse Channeling techniques!If you find this info inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Well they are not mine, just some techs
I use when dealing with impulses.
A bit of KCT.
A bit of Elliott wave and Elliot wave
All consistently used in my analysis.
If helpful, throw me some love and
I'll post some techs on channeling corrections.
Cheers!
Trend Following, Guide and StrategyTrend Following: A Comprehensive Guide with a Detailed Strategy Using Three Complementary Indicators
Trend Following is a trading strategy that seeks to capitalize on the momentum of financial markets by identifying and riding the existing market trends. By focusing on the direction and strength of price movements, trend followers aim to profit from both upswings and downswings in various asset classes. This article will delve into the principles of trend following, discuss the benefits and drawbacks, and provide a detailed strategy using three complementary indicators, including a custom logarithmic trend channel indicator.
Principles of Trend Following
1. Market direction: Trend followers believe that price movements are more likely to continue in their current direction rather than reverse. They look for long-term trends and position themselves accordingly, either by going long (buying) in an uptrend or short (selling) in a downtrend.
2. Risk management: Trend followers employ strict risk management techniques to protect their capital and limit losses. This typically involves using stop-loss orders, position sizing based on risk tolerance, and regularly monitoring market conditions to adjust positions as needed.
3. Market adaptability: Trend followers do not try to predict market movements or rely on fundamental analysis. Instead, they focus on adapting to the current market environment and following the trend as it unfolds.
4. Persistence: Trend following requires patience and discipline, as traders must withstand temporary market fluctuations and stick to their strategy even during periods of underperformance.
A Detailed Strategy Using Three Complementary Indicators
1. Logarithmic Trend Channel Indicator
This custom indicator is a modified version of TradingView's built-in "linear regression" script that can be plotted correctly on logarithmic charts. It helps traders identify and follow the trend by drawing a central trend line and multiple parallel deviation lines above and below it. It is important to set the logarithmic scale in the settings.
2. Moving Averages
Moving averages smooth out price data, making it easier to identify trends. Two commonly used moving averages in trend following are the simple moving average (SMA) and the exponential moving average (EMA). Traders can use a combination of short-term and long-term moving averages to confirm the trend direction and generate entry/exit signals.
3. Average Directional Index (ADX)
The ADX is a popular trend strength indicator that measures the strength of a trend without regard to its direction. A rising ADX indicates a strengthening trend, while a falling ADX suggests a weakening trend. Traders can use the ADX to filter out weak trends and focus on strong ones, increasing the effectiveness of their trend following strategy.
Implementing the Strategy
1. Identify the trend using the logarithmic trend channel: Plot the custom indicator on a weekly chart, focusing on the central trend line and the deviation lines. If the price is consistently above the central trend line, the market is in an uptrend. If it is below the line, it is in a downtrend. It is important to set the logarithmic scale in the settings
2. Confirm the trend using moving averages: Apply a short-term and a long-term moving average to the chart. For instance, a 50-day SMA and a 200-day SMA can be used. If the short-term moving average is above the long-term moving average, it confirms an uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend.
3. Assess trend strength using the ADX: Plot the ADX on the chart, with a commonly used threshold of 25 to differentiate between strong
4. Determine the entry and exit points: Once the trend has been identified and confirmed, determine the entry and exit points for the trade. The entry point should be near the support or resistance levels, and the exit point should be near the opposite level.
5. Apply risk management: Use appropriate risk management techniques, such as stop loss orders, to manage the risk of the trade. A stop loss order can be placed just below the support level for a long position and just above the resistance level for a short position.
6. Monitor the trade: Once the trade has been entered, monitor it regularly to ensure that it is moving in the desired direction. If the market moves against the trade, consider exiting the position with a small loss rather than risking a large loss.
7. Take profit: When the price reaches the opposite level of the support or resistance, take profit and exit the trade. Alternatively, consider trailing the stop loss order to capture additional gains if the market continues to move in the desired direction.
Conclusion :
This strategy can be an effective way to trade trends in the financial markets. By identifying the trend using the channel and confirming it with moving averages, traders can determine entry and exit points and apply appropriate risk management techniques. With careful monitoring and a disciplined approach, this strategy can help traders achieve consistent profits over time. However, as with any trading strategy, there is always a risk of losses, so traders should carefully consider their risk tolerance and only trade with funds that they can afford to lose.
💲Catch Profits in Channels💲Hello dear traders🙋🏻; I'm Pejman & this is the "How to get fish from channels" class. I guess you've heard, "Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day🍣; teach a man to fish🎣, and you feed him for a lifetime."
Like every other educational post, today I will teach you how to fish and make money from the Market River🏞️.
As you know, fishing requires patience and practice, and you also have to take risks and throw bait into the water⛲. But today, together, we can use all kinds of price channels that are formed in this attractive river as a fishing net.🕸️
Our tool for fishing in the market river is technical analysis, which we discussed in previous posts. You can refer to this post and pick up your fishing rod.
You must have noticed that in the financial markets, the prices have their patterns and trends, which help us to catch the best fish🐠.
These patterns and specific price movements cause various trends in the market, which I explained in the market types post.
Another feature of specific price patterns and trends is the creation of price channels. Of course, don't get me wrong, I don't mean TV channels📺.
Although these channels are as attractive as sports channels and watching the Barcelona and Real Madrid games⚽🏟️, they have other features besides attractiveness✨.
They help you to predict the area of price movement even for the future. But please don't confuse channels with a magic 8-ball🎱. Based on past trends, they can give you a sense of where the price may be headed👀.
Trading without a price channel is like fishing without a net🕸️; you just guess.🤔 So, let's check the channels more closely and catch fish from them until the river is wavy.🌊
First, we need to know what the channel is.🤷🏻
Channels are like riverbanks that guide water flow, except, in this case, the channels guide the flow of candlesticks.🕯️
Price channels are made when the price is under the pressure of two ranges of supply and demand.
A channel is a trading range between two trend lines in which the price of an asset moves in almost predictable directions💁🏻. A price channel is like a trend line with a friend; two are always better than one, right?🧑🏻🤝🧑🏻
They also say: "The trend is your friend, but the price channel is your guide🙏🏻." By drawing the channels, you can find the possible price path🛣️, and at the right time, your hook will be stuck on sweet and big dollars💰.
Channels can be formed and used in any market with trending price changes, from stocks to forex and cryptocurrencies.
Channels, like many other tools in this market, have different types. Put down your fishing rods and put on your swimsuits🩲👙; we have to dive into the next topic.🏊🏻♀️
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Dear students welcome to the types of channels class.🧑🏻🏫
The first lesson is ascending channels.⬆️
The ascending channel for the price is like a staircase to heaven!
An ascending channel is the same as an upward trend line, with the difference that in addition to the aligned valleys🌄, the peaks⛰️ are also aligned and are formed parallel to the valleys. Both the peaks and valleys will be predictable.💁🏻
Of course, you cannot be sure what the next price move will be, but you can predict many possibilities.👀
Now that we climbed the stairs and got acquainted with the ascending channel, it is time to get acquainted with the descending channel⬇️ and do some skiing⛷️. They say: In the deepest water is the best fishing. So let's swim deeper and get to know the descending channel.🤿
The descending channel is like a waterfall, pulling down everything in its path. Candles are no exception, and when they are in a descending channel, they slide like fish🐠 in a waterfall and go lower and lower.
Look for a series of Lower Highs(LH) and Lower Lows(LL) to identify descending channels.
The difference between ascending and descending channels is similar to climbing🧗🏻 and skiing⛷️; Descending channels push the price down and cause lower peaks and valleys.
If you were trading in one-sided markets and encountered a descending channel, my friend, just sell and run🏃🏻. But if you were in two-sided markets, you can enjoy taking short positions🔻 and fishing in this drop.🎣
The noteworthy point✨ is that the longer a channel is and the more times⏳ the price has hit any side of this channel, the more essential and reliable this channel becomes.✅
But what if the price is too tired to climb the stairs🔺😩 and not in a good mood to play on the slide🔻😒?
In this case, it will be stuck between two✌🏻 horizontal trend lines and form a range or sideway channel.
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Range channels are just like ponds. There is no exceptional water flow🌊 in a pond, and fish and other creatures can only Move inside this pond. But range channels could be more attractive and eye-catching, like ponds.🌟
Range channels make traders tired.🙍🏻 Because trading in these channels will be more difficult than in other channels, it is challenging to recognize price movements or profit from small price movements in range channels.🤷🏻
The range channel is not similar to the ascending or descending channel. Because as its name suggests, it does not have a particular trend at all and is trendless.
When the price is in a channel range, the number of buyers🟢 and sellers🔴 is almost equal, and supply and demand are virtually identical.
🙅🏻Unlike ascending and descending channels, no peaks or valleys can be seen in a range channel higher or lower than its previous peaks or valleys.
Range channel is created by considering two trend lines from one peak to another peak and from one valley to another valley.
👌🏻Actually, the difference between a range channel and other channels is that these peaks and valleys are equal and basically in the same direction.
These channels may be permanent for river fishes🐟 and have become their home🏡, but there is no permanent channel or trend line for candles.😉
Remember that candles can leave their channel just like a bird🕊️ that jumps out of its cage or a prisoner escaping prison.🏃🏻
Do you remember in the previous posts when I talked about support and resistance lines, we said that candles could finally be released from their support or resistance prison? This case is the same.💁🏻✅
If you forget or don't know about support and resistance lines, take a breath and read this post before going to the next steps.👇🏻
The longer a channel is and the longer the price is locked in it🔒, the pressure of supply and demand on the price is more significant, and you will probably see a strong movement of the candles after the failure.💪🏻
But don't worry. You can still make money trading channels and even breakouts. In the following steps👣, I will teach you how to trade with all types of channels, as well as how to trade in breakouts.😉
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Now you must have questions about how to draw channels.🤷🏻
Well, obviously, with a very sharp pencil✏️ and a steady hand✍🏻. Just kidding😅, you must first recognize the trend and look for regular price movements to draw channels.
To catch a good fish, you must patiently monitor the price movements and look for peaks and valleys that move in the same direction.🕵🏻
You will find your channel by connecting these peaks and the valleys to each other. You need at least two✌🏻 parallel peaks and two valleys to draw a channel.
But how do you know that a channel has been drawn correctly?🤔 Channels have conditions, my friend. I wrote these conditions, so pay attention when drawing the channel.😊
When you draw your channel, make sure that the upper and lower lines of the channel must be parallel.
If the two channel lines are not parallel and are angled, this is a sign of your terrible drawing🤦🏻♀️. What kind of school🏫 did you go to where you can't draw two parallel lines?😐
I'm kidding😄, but if this happens, the pattern is no longer a trend channel but a triangle, which I discussed in previous posts.
Channels and trend lines create patterns by forming different shapes, which I explained in the above post.
I said the lines should be parallel but don't take a ruler📏 to measure each channel and trend line. There is nothing quite like books, my friend.😉
According to the definitions, don't expect to always find a channel 100%. In that case, you will lag behind the whole market.🙅🏻
But there is a tool with the help of which you can draw your channels correctly and lower your error percentage. ✅You can find this expression from the toolbar beside your TradingView charts. Who doesn't like to cheat sometimes?
Look to the left of your charts and click on the second one from the top. New options are displayed; the fifth option from the bottom is the Parallel Channel.
Select this tool and look at your chart. Use this tool wherever you can draw a channel.
To draw ascending channels, you have to find two valleys with a peak between them and you can look for the second peak by drawing the parallel channel. And vice versa, to draw descending channels, you must look for two peaks with a valley between them.
If you found two valleys and there were no peaks between them, something must be wrong & you should reconsider to find the right points.
Finally, the task of the range channels is also straightforward🙂 When you start drawing, from peak to peak or valley to valley, the range channel will show itself, and it will not be different.😊
By default, parallel channels are also a middle line.👀
The middle line is like a negotiator between the other two lines. When the price moves from the upper band of a channel to the bottom, the middle line can mediate and supports the price.🟢
Or when the price moves from the lower band of a channel to the top, the middle line can prevent the price from moving further.🚫
Dear students🧑🏻🏫, now you have acquired the necessary skills, and it is time to take your sticks🪝 and come with me to the river.
Before you trade and catch fish yourself, pay attention🙏🏻 to the positions I took with the help of channels to gain skills in this field because a poor worker blames his tools.
There are ✌🏻two strategies for trading using channels, both of which I will teach you.
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For example, in an ascending channel, such as trading with a support line, you can buy🟢 when the price is on the lower line of the channel and wait for it to reach the upper line of the channel and exit the positioning 🔚.
In previous articles, we talked about candlestick patterns. Using these patterns, you can get help to enter and exit your positions.
You can place your stop loss below the bottom line of the channel. You must indeed lose a fly to catch a trout.🎣 But always remember to be careful.😉
They say to invest what you can afford to lose. But remember to manage your Risk-Ratio and only trade after practicing and testing your strategies several times.✅
Indeed, even if the channel is downward🔻, you should only trade in the direction of the trend; as soon as the price reaches the upper line or resistance line, enter the position and take your profit💲 when you get the lower line of the channel.
Of course, if you are facing a range channel, your general strategy should be to buy at the bottom and sell at the top of the channel, and it's like eating a piece of cake.🍰👌🏻
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When the price is stuck in a channel, is it like a prisoner who can't guess whether he will finally escape by digging a tunnel or climbing over the prison walls? It is impossible to know from which side the price will eventually break its channel.🤷🏻
It seems that channels usually break against the direction of their slope, but it is always possible for a channel to break on both sides.😉 If a channel is broken, the price usually starts a significant move in the same direction as the break.🏃🏻
Did I say that the more the price is locked in a channel, the stronger it will move?💪🏻 Usually, the price can move according to the width of its channel.
When the price is stuck in a channel, is it like a prisoner who can't guess whether he will finally escape by digging a tunnel or climbing over the prison walls? It is impossible to know from which side the price will eventually break its channel.🤷🏻
It seems that channels usually break against the direction of their slope, but it is always possible for a channel to break on both sides.😉 If a channel is broken, the price usually starts a significant move in the same direction as the break.🏃🏻
Did I say that the more the price is locked in a channel, the stronger it will move?💪🏻 Usually, the price can move according to the width of its channel.
You can even use both strategies to trade channels.👌🏻 For example, if the price is locked in this channel, trade in the direction of the channel trend.
Breaking channels is like breaking trend lines or support & resistance, and it comes with a breakout candle🚩 and a confirmation candle✅.
After the breakout, if you have an open position in the trend direction of the channel, you should close it.🙅🏻
After seeing the confirmation✅ of the breakout, enter the position according to your trading strategy and follow the risk management points.
For example, I would have ✌🏻two entry points. And I place my stop loss slightly above the breakout candle🔴.
My first point of entry is after seeing the confirmation candle. And if the price returns🔁 to its channel for the last kiss💋, I activate my second entry point. This will reduce my Risk-Ratio, and I will have a safer position.
To know that your channels are ending🔚, you should look for signs of weakness in price movements; for example, in an ascending channel, breaking below the low trend line or failing to reach higher peaks are signs of weakness.
It's like the price is taking a break before going higher again.
The last thing I'd like to tell you is don't try to force a price on a channel when it doesn't exist. Remember, patience is vital, and it is better to lose a trade than accept a losing trade. As said: "Sometimes the best catches are found in still waters." 🎣
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Conclusion :
Price channels are the rails that keep asset prices on track.🛤️ Just like fishing in a river, trading requires patience, skill, and an understanding of your environment. Check and avoid being affected by market fluctuations.🙅🏻
Now you can take your fishing rod🎣. Whether you are fishing in a bullish, bearish, or range market, the right approach and tools can help you make big profits.😉💲
Remember that profit and loss are together. Profits are never permanent and remember that a bad day at fishing is better than a good day at work. Am I right?😊
For you to have more good trading days than bad days, remember that it's okay to make mistakes when drawing🖌️ those price channels.
You can make up for all your mistakes by practicing and finding the right strategy. Warren Buffett says: The best investment you can make is your abilities.💪🏻
Feel free to experiment and try new strategies.✨ Don't be like a fish out of water; use the channels for swimming🏊🏻♀️ towards the market river.
Remember what Jesse Livermore said: "Price channels are like guardrails on the highway🚧 - they keep you from going off track and help you stay on track."
This post is over, but the road to the technical analysis journey is not over🧳✈️. In the following posts, I will accompany you step by step👣 and teach you other tools.
Be healthy🙏🏻, profitable💲, and successful!✌🏻
Ask your questions in the comments💬 and share your opinions with me😍.
Learn Best Price Action Pattern For Trend-Following Trading 📚
In this educational articles, I will teach you the best price action patterns for Trend-Following Trading.
📍Ascending & Descending Triangles
The ascending triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish.
The pattern consist of 2 main elements:
a horizontal neckline based on the equal highs,
a rising trend line based on the higher lows.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the level of the last higher low.
🎯Take profit is the next historical resistance.
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📍The descending triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish.
The pattern consist of 2 main elements:
a horizontal neckline based on the equal lows,
a falling trend line based on the lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the level of the last lower high.
🎯Take profit is the next historical support.
📍Bullish & Bearish Wedges
The bullish wedge pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish and the pattern is directed to the downside.
The pattern consist of 2 contracting falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern.
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The bearish wedge pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish and the pattern is directed to the upside.
The pattern consist of 2 contracting rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern.
📍Bullish & Bearish Flags
The bullish flag pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish and the pattern is directed to the downside.
The pattern consist of 2 parallel falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern.
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The bearish flag pattern will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish and the pattern is directed to the upside.
The pattern consist of 2 parallel rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern.
📍Bullish & Bearish Symmetrical Triangles
The bullish symmetrical triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bullish.
The pattern consist of 2 contracting symmetrical trend lines based on the higher lows and lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the last higher low of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the high of the pattern.
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The bearish symmetrical triangle will be considered to be a trend-following pattern if the impulse leg preceding the formation of the pattern is bearish.
The pattern consist of 2 contracting symmetrical trend lines based on the higher lows and lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the last lower high of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the low of the pattern.
The main difficulty related to trading these patterns is their recognition. You should train your eyes to recognize them on a price chart.
Once you learn to do that, I guarantee you that you will make tons of money trading them.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
How to understand the falling wedge and rising wedgeHello dear traders,
Here are some educational chart patterns you must know in 2022 and 2025.
I hope you find this information educational and informative.
We are new here so we ask you to support our views with your likes and comments,
Feel free to ask any questions in the comments, and we'll try to answer them all, folks.
What Is a Wedge?
A wedge is a price pattern marked by converging trend lines on a price chart. The two trend lines are drawn to connect the respective highs and lows of a price series over the course of 10 to 50 periods. The lines show that the highs and the lows are rising or falling at differing rates, giving the appearance of a wedge as the lines approach a convergence. Wedge-shaped trend lines are considered useful indicators of a potential reversal in price action by technical analysts.
Understanding the Wedge Pattern:-
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals. In either case, this pattern holds three common characteristics: first, the converging trend lines; second, a pattern of declining volume as the price progresses through the pattern; third, a breakout from one of the trend lines. The two forms of the wedge pattern are a rising wedge (which signals a bearish reversal) and a falling wedge (which signals a bullish reversal).
Falling Wedge pattern:-
When a security's price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move. The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline. Before the lines converge, the price may breakout above the upper trend line.
When the price breaks the upper trend line, the security is expected to reverse and trend higher. Traders identifying bullish reversal signals would want to look for trades that benefit from the security’s rise in price.
Rising Wedge pattern:-
This usually occurs when the security's price has been rising over time, but it can also occur in the midst of a downtrend.
Trend lines drawn above and below a price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate breakout reversals. While the price can break out of either trend line, the wedge pattern has a tendency to break out from the trend line in the opposite direction.
Therefore, the ascending wedge pattern indicates a higher probability of further downside in the price after the breakdown of the lower trend line. Traders can enter bearish trades on the basis of a charted security after a breakout, either by selling the security short or by using derivatives such as futures or options. These trades will seek to profit from the possibility of a fall in prices.
Trading Profits for the Wedge Pattern:-
As a general rule, price pattern strategies for trading systems rarely produce returns that outperform buy-and-hold strategies over time, but some patterns nevertheless appear to be useful in predicting general price trends. Huh. Some studies suggest that a wedge pattern will break out toward reversal (a bullish breakout for falling wedges and a bearish breakout for rising wedges) more than two-thirds of the time, with a falling wedge being followed by a rising wedge. Is a more reliable indicator than the wedge. ,
Because wedge patterns converge in a smaller price channel, the distance between the price at the entry of the trade and the price for the stop loss is relatively smaller than at the beginning of the pattern. This means that the stop loss can be placed closer to the time the trade is initiated, and if the trade is successful, can result in a return greater than the amount of risk initially placed on the trade.
Wedge a Continuation or a Reversal Pattern:-
The wedge pattern signals a reversal. The reversal is either bearish or bullish, depending on where the trend line meets, what the trading volume is, and whether the wedge is falling or rising.
Trade with care.
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Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
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Trade Ascending Parallel Channel With 3 Points + Pivot PointTrade Ascending Parallel Channel With 3 Points + Pivot Point Indicator
Connect your three points using the parallel channel. First, connect two points which are your higher lows. Next, connect the third point which is the swing high. The swing high is the higher high.
In this example, a pin bar formed at the higher low. Pin Bar wick touches pivot point level and channel support level. Volume Indicator is "green" and pin bar is "white." Conditions are great to enter the market at pin bar closing price.
Bitcoin: Bullish divergence on weekly rsiBitcoin has made a bullish divergence on the weekly rsi, meaning the price went lower while the rsi is making a higher high. Not only do we see a bullish divergence, the divergence is happening in a falling channel.
The only thing missing is a third confirmation of this bullish divergence. That confirmation can happen in 2 ways:
1: making a lower low on the price, while making an higher high on the rsi
2: makinga a double bottom on the price, while making an higher high on the rsi
Parallel Channel Tool For Entries And TargetsConnect three points using the parallel channel tool. Enter a trade at the third point. In this example, the third point is a bearish candlestick at channel resistance. Enter a trade at the 1.58898 for this example. Set Target Price at the channel support.
Trade Pivot Points and Parallel Channels with 3 PointsWatch for pull backs to the pivot point level. Next, use the parallel channel tool to determine entry points and exit points. In this example, connect two higher lows and one higher high to create a "potential" Parallel Channel. The intersection of the horizontal level and diagonal level with pin bar makes this special trade set up a high probability trade.
Harmonic Pattern with Multiple Confluence for Point X and DThis is an example of regression channel with harmonic pattern.
By using Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive, we able make confluence point (blue) to get Point X of Bullish Butterfly.
There are many confluence points (orange flag and teal table), which shows Point D of Butterfly starting to complete.
For Point D, best to monitor price changes using RSI or other similar RSI (Cyclic RSI, etc).
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
4. Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive
5. Cyclic RSI High Low With Noise Filter
Channel Up and M Pattern (Bullish Bat)This is an example of Channel Up and M Pattern (Bullish Bat).
Found that M Pattern (Bullish Bat) within Channel Up.
Pattern already touches PRZ (orange) and completed TP1 and TP2 (lime).
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
Channel Down and W with Fail PatternThis is an example of Channel Down and W with Fail Pattern.
Found that W Pattern (Bearish Crab) within Channel down.
Fail pattern occurs after Point C, thus RSI need to be reviewed.
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive