Parallel Channel
EURUSD 4.29R 154.3 PipsHorizontal Support Resistance, Diagonal Support Resistant (Parallel Channel), Dynamic Support Resistance (EMA 10 EMA 20), Pin Bar.
Enter at Horizontal Level
Exit at Horizontal Level
Enter at 50% Retracement of Pinbar. 50.0 Fibonacci Retracement Level.
Exit at Horizontal Level of the Equidistant Channel. (Target 1)
Exit at the Measured Move Measured Objective of the Flag Pattern. (Target 2)
Signature of perfectionist buyers to trade a small reboundFor those who still wonder by what miracle chart analysis can work well, here's a proof:
Such proofs, I often see and they are an integral part of my publications, but I had not yet had the idea to dedicate a small Tutorial, and this proof is perfect for its simplicity and its obvious!
It is simply a question of proving that Chartism is neither a science nor divination or pure chance.
In technical analysis , there is especially a strong psychological dimension to study, interpret, and try to anticipate or at least use to his advantage.
This proof is an ascending channel that is anything but the product of hazard: a whale (market maker) or a set of individuals (I did not check the order book because it doesn't matter) traced a bullish trend resistant between the two recent peaks as you can see in white on my graph, then reported a parallel (you have the dedicated tool "Parallel Channel" to do the same in Tradingview), adjusted on the bottom of my graph: and he has (they have) placed their (their) purchase order very exactly on this parallel during the dump of the Rising Wedge of my previous publication (here in dashed for reminder), which also coincides with the expected target of this pattern of reversal (return bearish to the base of the wedge ).
The perfection of the pattern with this rebound leaves no room for doubt: it was not the result of chance, which gave the opportunity to anticipate and enjoy it with the interesting probability that there is a greater number of Long trades on the same simple track as on a direct continuation of the dump without rebound.
Ascending ChannelAn ascending channel is an uptrend that moves between very accurate limits. It can be confined in two parallel lines from which the one is the trend line support and the other acts like a resistance.
How to trade ascending channels?
Enter short when point reaches resistance, and long when price reaches support. The stop loss should be above the upper line when short selling and the profit target should be the lower line.
How to draw Ascending Channel?
To create an up (ascending) channel, simply draw a parallel line at the same angle as an uptrend line and then move that line to position where it touches the most recent peak.
Exceptional speculation from mid April '18 onwardsUsing an updated chart of earlier posted opportunity around AUDUSD (AU) I like to highlight and illustrate the exceptional speculation that has been going on since mid April onwards. The first and many incidence of the same speculation has often seen coming in very sudden which indicates a single source instead of graduate forming of buying/selling pressure you see normally when larger long term trends are forming.
Only news events cause such sudden incoming interest in the buying or selling of an asset when it's coming from a group, but then there have to be a profound reason for it been in the news and it always dies out within a few hours. Quite often we have seen USD buying surges since mid April not complying with any of these rules on top of that these volumes were sometimes hidden from public pools and planned very timely to exactly block a USD bearish cycle from bringing down the value of USD or a potential opposite interest such as London open.
The latter is just too silly to observe, suddenly on Tuesday morning Asia timezone when there are normally low volumes until one hour before London open, there would be a ridiculous sudden surge of GU and EU selling at a time it was never seen before. There is simply also no reasonable explanation for anybody selling GU and EU at that time other to stopping GBP and EUR from being appreciated.
Nobody says a word and nobody writes about it since that I have noticed these out of place events. There are some economists speaking in youtube videos but searching for manipulation of USD returns litle results on Google and first few entries are about China manipulating their currency and Google's very nice suggestion list doesn't show a single entry when typing it out into the search field. Well, everybody knows that every single central bank is doing it, all of them. They call it market operations and it published on their websites. Look at the implementation notes published by the FED May this year or read on about RBA market operations published clear in public, just to name two examples but all central banks list it as normal operational tasks as part of their portfolio of services.
Yet search seems to return limited results, making everyone believe very few people are interested in this business. Something so important as a ring-network of almighty controllers manipulating the financial market on a daily basis and nobody would be interested. That doesn't glue very well with me, censored it is, big time, for only one reason, this network of market operators have a lot to hide. More than they trying to let the everyone believe with their website publications.
The dangers are that like this year the speculators are all making to believe the sudden interest is genuine, just to grow a large group of supporters because the FED know it can't beat macroeconomic cycles. At one the these will overpower the built up speculative forces against the macros over 6 months and that contr force will be stronger than ever seen on the market and speculators will realise that at one point in time and start selling on top of the macro selling pressure. That combined could give us the strongest ever seen sling back down from high up reaching far below it normally would go, the so called overshoot could reach the opposite side of the market at USDJPY 67...
USOIL headed downWeekly chart shows price nearing the apex of the ascending wedge with a target of $45. RSI is hitting resistance and MACD's histogram is possibly printing hidden bearish divergence.
H4 chart shows RSI, and possibly MACD, printing bearish divergence. The nearby demand has already been tapped once making it much easier for the next drop into it to potentially fall further. I would watch for the demand below that at around $55 to provide some support. It also aligns with the ascending channel's support. If that support cannot hold then, based on the height of the ascending channel, we should be looking at $49.70/$50 for the next likely support. That target is a mere $5 away from the weekly breakdown target.
BTCUSD D3/W1 charts (3/14/2019)The D3 chart looks a lot more promising than the smaller TFs at this time. A pennant/symmetrical triangle is currently printing and a bullish break should have price targeting the $4150/60 level as well as place price just under the neckline of the possible purple IHS that some people are watching. RSI continues printing an ascending channel but traders should watch for a possible bearish drop through channel support.
The W1 chart shows the multi-year ascending channel I spoke about in the smaller TF update I posted.
BTCUSD H4/D1 charts (3/14/2019)Good morning, traders. The consolidation for Bitcoin continues along an S/R line (H4 dotted red horizontal line) that's been prevalent since December. I have continued to readjust the H4 RSI descending channel to more correctly fit the price movement. At this point, we see RSI nearing a potential break of the channel's resistance as well as having just recently broken the short-term triangle's resistance. However, price remains just under the 21 EMA after having bounced off the bottom of the ascending channel this morning. This has price at the apex of a triangle created by the descending broadening wedge's resistance and ascending channel's support. The daily chart shows a possible ascending wedge printing in red. Based on the height of the wedge, that would signal a target of around $3590 which also is at an S/R level as noted by the blue horizontal line and another HVN.
If further movement to the downside occurs, then I would want to see the February 27th swing low hold at $3658.19. What this means is that I don't want to see a daily close below that. A wick below and close above would print a bullish SFP and signal likely upward price progression once again. If this were to play out, it would be a strong liquidity grab to fuel that price appreciation. Prior to that point, I would want to see the H4 March 8th swing low at $3760.10 hold.
The weekly 200 MA is sitting at $3408 right now, so it is possible to see price fall toward that level as that is also the ascending support of the monthly symmetrical triangle. Furthermore, as I have continued to mention, price is not out of the woods yet so we cannot rule out a flash drop to $2400 either. Interestingly, for channel traders, that would confirm a large ascending channel from the 2013 high to the 2015 low to the 2017 high. This kind of drop would need to just appear as a wick on the weekly chart with a close back above the 200 MA, otherwise we could be in for a much longer correction.
Every day, we have a choice to act positively or negatively, so if you get a chance, do something decent for someone today which could be as simple as sharing a nice word with them. You just might change their day, or even their life.
Remember, you can always click on the "share" button in the lower right hand of the screen, under the chart, and then click on "Make it mine" from the popup menu in order to get a live version of the chart that you can explore on your own.
BTCUSD D3/M1 charts (3/13/2019)The D3 chart shows a possible IHS forming for those who subscribe to the idea of an IHS bullish continuation pattern. The shorter term target, as we can see, targets the neckline. A successful completion of the pattern suggests a target of the R3 pivot at least, based on the height of the IHS.
The monthly chart shows that a possible symmetrical triangle is printing. A bullish push through that triangle's resistance should create a target of around $5200/$5300, based on the height of the triangle, taking price right into the orange supply and the monthly 21 EMA. A breakdown of the triangle would have price targeting the bottom of the large corrective descending wedge at around $2400.