Why you should choose your trading period carefullyFirst, let's look at the four most important trading sessions. The Forex and stock market is divided into different trading sessions, which are based on the opening hours of the main financial centers:
Session Opening Hours (UTC) Major Markets:
-> Sydney session 22:00 – 07:00 Australia, New Zealand
-> Tokyo session 00:00 – 09:00 Japan, China, Singapore
-> London session 08:00 – 17:00 UK, Europe
-> New York session 1:00 p.m. – 10:00 p.m. USA, Canada
Note: Times vary slightly depending on summer or winter time.
Why are trading sessions important?
-> Volatility & Liquidity
Depending on the session, there are different market movements.
High liquidity → tight spreads and better order execution.
Low liquidity → greater slippage and wider spreads.
-> Active currencies & markets
During the Tokyo session, JPY and AUD pairs are particularly active.
During the London session, EUR and GBP pairs are the most volatile.
During the New York session, USD pairs and stock markets moved the most.
Opportunities & risks during overlapping times:
The overlaps between sessions are the most volatile times because several major markets are active at the same time.
1. London-New York Overlap (13:00 – 17:00 UTC)
→ Highest volatility
Why?
The world's two largest financial centers operate at the same time.
Opportunities:
Big price moves → good for breakout traders and scalping.
High liquidity → tight spreads, fast order execution.
Risks:
Extreme volatility → rapid price changes can trigger stop losses.
News (e.g. US jobs data) can cause sudden movements.
Practical example:
A trader is watching EUR/USD and sees strong resistance at 1.1000.
US inflation data will be released at 13:30 UTC.
If the data is better than expected → USD strengthens, EUR/USD falls.
If the data is worse → USD weakens, EUR/USD rises.
Within a few minutes the price can fluctuate by 50-100 pips.
→ Strategy: News traders rely on quick movements, while conservative traders extend stop losses or pause during this time.
2. Tokyo-London Overlap (08:00 – 09:00 UTC)
→ Medium volatility
Why?
London opens while Tokyo is still active.
Opportunities:
JPY pairs (e.g. GBP/JPY) are moving strongly.
Breakouts through the European opening.
Risks:
Sudden changes in direction as European traders often have a different market opinion than Asian ones.
Practical example:
A scalper is trading GBP/JPY in a narrow range of 185.00 – 185.20 during the Tokyo session.
At 08:00 UTC London opens with GBP/JPY breaking above 185.50.
Within 30 minutes the price rises to 186.00 as European traders buy GBP.
If you recognize the breakout early, you can quickly take 50-100 pips.
→ Strategy: Scalpers rely on quick entries and take profits before volatility subsides.
3. Sydney-Tokyo Overlap (00:00 – 07:00 UTC)
→ Low volatility
Why?
Mainly the Asian market is active.
Opportunities:
Less volatility → good for range trading.
Cheaper spreads for AUD and NZD pairs.
Risks:
Little liquidity → Slippage may occur.
Strong moves are rare, except for major news from Japan or Australia.
Practical example:
A swing trader notes that AUD/USD has been fluctuating between 0.6500 and 0.6550 for days.
During the Sydney-Tokyo session the price mostly stays in this range.
The trader places a sell limit order at 0.6550 and a buy limit order at 0.6500.
Since there is little volatility, it can be profitable with multiple small trades.
→ Strategy: Range trading is ideal because no major breakouts are expected.
Conclusion:
Each trading session has its own characteristics, opportunities and risks.
The crossovers are the most volatile times - good for day traders, but risky for inexperienced traders. Anyone who understands the market mechanisms can take targeted action at the right time. The strategies mentioned above are simply derivations from the advantages and disadvantages of the respective sessions. Of course, a well-founded strategy concept requires much more.
Risk Management
Learn What Will Make You Profitable in Forex & Gold Trading
What brings the consistent profits in trading?
Talking to hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe, I realized that there are the common misconceptions concerning that subject.
In this educational article, we will discuss what really will make you profitable in trading.
Trading Signals
🔔The first thing that 99% of struggling traders are looking for is signals.
Why damn learn if you can simply follow the trades of a pro trader and make money?!
The truth is, however, is that in order to repeat the performance of a signal provider you have to open all your trading positions in the same exact moment he does. (And I would not even mention the fact that there will be a delay between the moment the provider opens the trade and the moment he sends you the signal)
Because the signal can be sent at a random moment, quite often it will take time for you to reach your trading terminal and open the position.
Just a 1-minute delay may dramatically change the risk to reward ration of the trade and, hence, the final result.
Expert Advisors
🤖The second thing that really attracts the struggling traders is trading robots (EA) . The systems that trade automatically and aimed to generate consistent profits.
You simply start the program and wait for the money.
The main problem with EA is the fact that it requires constant monitoring . It can stop or freeze in a random moment and may require a reboot.
Moreover, due to changing market conditions, the EA should be regularly updated. Without the updates, at some moment it may blow your account.
Trading robot is the work : trading with the robots means their constant development, monitoring and improvement. And that work requires a high level of experience: both in coding and in trading.
Technical Indicators
📈The third thing that struggling traders are seeking is the "magic" indicator. The one that will accurately identify the safe points to buy and sell. You add the indicator on the chart, and you simply wait for the signal to open the trade.
The fact is that magic indicators do not exist. Indicator is the tool that can be applied as the extra confirmation. It should be applied strictly in a combination with something else, and its proper application requires a high level of expertise in trading.
Luck in Trading
🍀The fourth thing that newbie traders seek is luck. They open the trade, and then they pray the God, Powell, Fed or someone else to move the market in their favour.
And yes, occasionally, luck will be on your side. But relying on luck on a long-term basis, you are doomed to fail.
But what will make you profitable then?
What is the secret ingredient.
Remember, that secret ingredient does not exist.
In order to become a consistently profitable traders, you should rely on 4 crucial elements: trading plan, risk management, discipline and correct mindset.
🧠What is correct mindset in trading?
It simply means setting REALISTIC goals and having REALISTIC expectations from the market and from your trading.
📝A trading plan is the set of rules and conditions that you apply for the search of a trading setup and the management of the opened position.
Trading plan will be considered to be good if it is back tested on historical data and then tested on demo account for at least 3 consequent months.
✔️In order to follow the plan consistently, you need to be disciplined . You should be prepared for losing streaks, and you should be strong enough to not break once your trading account will be in a drawdown.
💰Risk management is one of the most important elements of your trading plan. It defines your risk per trade and your set of actions in case of losses. Even the best trading strategies may fail because of poor risk management.
Combining these 4 elements, you will become a consistently profitable trader. Remember, that there is no easy way, no shortcut. Trading is a hard work to be done.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
PLR (Path of Least Resistance) Strategy Explanation - $SHOPHi guys this is a follow up to a post I have just published about my trading idea on shorting NYSE:SHOP ,
It really doesn't matter if you want to short the market or long the market as it works either way, but for the sake of the example I'll take a 6 months period from the Shopify chart following earnings to better explain you my strategy...
This right here is the NYSE:SHOP chart from approx. Jan/2024 to end of Aug/2024,
2 Earnings have been announced, both having great positive surprises, but regardless of the positive surprise (typically bullish indicator), the stock fell of 45%+.
Let's add the earnings dates to the chart so that you can better visualize them:
What you care about in this image is the earnings dates lined out, as you can see the surprise was positive yet both fell more than 10% in just a day, that I will take as the upcoming trend for at least the time being, till the next earning is announced (so, if for example the 13/Feb earning ended up being bearish, my overview on the market till at least the next earning on 8/May, will be bearish, so all of the trades I will take will be shorts).
Now I will line out the trend and the BoSs (breaks of structure) just to better visualize the trend:
As you can see the Earning date candles signed the beginning of a down trend twice, pre-announced by the Earning candle itself.
The entry strategy is now simple, the idea behind it is to "follow the path of least resistance".. by that I mean that, if your bias is bullish, who enter on candles that are of the opposite direction to the one you are heading to? - Sure you might say that it is to get better entries as ofc, on a short bias, higher sale points = better profits, but the goal here is not maximizing profits, but raising the odds exponentially so that you can take surer trades.
I've tested this strategy from Feb/2021 and so far the win rate is 95.6% (123 out of 136 trades profited .
The way the entries are spread is this:
Basically every time a bearish candle - that closes lower than the previous bearish candle did - is created, a short position of 1% of total equity is generated.
The period begins from the beginning of the current earnings season, and closes the day before the next earnings season as it works within a 3 months frame.
Each entry HAS to be the lowest bearish candle of the period, example:
Only these candles marked in blue count as entries for short positions as their close is lower of more than 0.5% than the previous one,
The pink ones are higher than the lowest up to that point, so they do not count as entries as they are technically part of a pullback that is moving in the opposite direction where you are heading.
So, going back to the entries, we enter on the close of the lowest bearish candle close up to that point.
For safety, we trail the stop loss to the previous high, this is where well defined trend lines come handy:
The thick black line is the trend line, and as new lows are broken, I mark those as BoS (break of structure) and until a new one is created, the SL will go to the previous high, and so it goes.
(viceversa for buys).
We then proceed to target the FVGs left behind by previous quarters:
As you can see there are massive gaps in the chart that we will target and identify as FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) and set the TP at the close (lowest point) of the fair value gap.
Now comes in your exit strategy...
There really are 3 ways that you can tackle this:
1- You set up TP to the lowest FVG of the series (if there are multiple like in this case)
2- You set up TP to the first FVG still open during the quarter following the Earnings Period
3- You tackle both TPs and take each FVG as a partial close to the position (example: if there are 2 FVGs you take out 50% of the position on the first and 50% on the last).
But what to do if your positions didn't reach TP (FVG close) before the next Earning or there is no FVG to begin with???
- In the case the TP you have marked out at the close of the FVG didn't reach, you'll proceed to close the position 1 day before the next Earnings is coming, unless your conviction that the FVG will fill in is so high, then you can let those run at your own risk:
- In the case in which a FVG is not present then you'll target the previous High (in case of a buy) or Low (in case of a sell) as your TP, utilize the previous low (in case of buy) or previous high (in case of sell) as SL and just let it run:
as you can see the 4 trades were all profitable, made little money but sure money in just 15 days
Unless I forget anything, this right here, is my strategy.
Simple, straight forward, high success rate and doesn't leave anything up to the case.
If you have any questions PLEASE leave a comment below and I'll do my best to reply in time ;)
Day Trading: A Comprehensive GuideDay trading is a dynamic trading style that attracts many traders, particularly those looking to capitalize on short-term market movements. Unlike other trading strategies that span days, weeks, or even months, day trading involves executing trades within the same trading day, taking advantage of price fluctuations throughout that period. This guide will explore the essence of day trading, its strategies, pros and cons, and tips for success, delving deeper into the intricacies of the market and the techniques required to navigate it effectively.
What is Day Trading?
Day trading involves the buying and selling of financial instruments within a single trading day. Traders do not hold positions overnight; instead, they aim to profit from daily market movements. This approach is particularly appealing to novice traders, who may believe that frequent trades can exponentially increase profits. However, the fast-paced nature of day trading requires discipline and a solid trading plan, as emotional decision-making can lead to significant losses.
Traders typically utilize various time frames, often ranging from one minute (M1) to one hour (H1). While beginners may gravitate towards shorter time frames like M5 or M15, these often result in increased noise and the potential for quickly hitting stop-loss orders. Successful day traders understand that consistent profitability stems from maintaining discipline and developing a robust trading strategy rather than chasing quick wins.
Understanding Market Psychology
Market psychology plays a significant role in day trading. Fear, greed, and anxiety are the primary emotions driving investor behavior, leading to price movements. Traders must remain aware of market sentiment, gauging the mood of other traders and market participants. This involves:
1. Sentiment Analysis: Assessing current market sentiment can help traders position themselves correctly. Bullish sentiment often leads to higher prices, while bearish sentiment causes prices to drop.
2. Economic Indicators: Monitoring economic indicators and news releases helps traders anticipate potential price movements, influencing their trading decisions.
3. Support and Resistance: Key support and resistance levels indicate areas of price stability and potential for price reversal.
Read also:
--- Strategies for Successful Day Trading ---
To thrive in day trading, adherence to particular strategies is essential. Here’s a look at some of the most common techniques employed by day traders:
1. Scalping
Scalping is one of the oldest and most popular strategies in day trading. It involves making numerous trades throughout the day to capture small price movements. Scalpers analyze charts and execute quick trades based on technical indicators, entering and exiting positions in mere minutes. This method thrives in low-volatility environments, where assets tend to fluctuate within tight ranges, allowing traders to realize small but consistent profits.
Example of Scalping on 5-Minute EURUSD with Simple Moving Average and Standard RSI Indicator
2. Reverse Trading
Reverse trading capitalizes on market range-bound conditions. Traders identify key support and resistance levels and execute trades based on the price retracing from these points. This strategy typically requires a combination of technical analysis and an understanding of fundamental data. It's crucial to remain vigilant about scheduled news releases, as these can create sudden price surges or drops that impact positions.
Read also:
3. Momentum Trading
Momentum trading relies on the strength of existing price movements. This strategy involves entering trades in the direction of a prevailing trend, often guided by fundamental analysis and technical indicators such as Moving Averages. Traders monitor economic news and events that may influence market dynamics, utilizing these insights to execute long or short trades accordingly.
Read also:
4. Range Trading
Range trading involves buying an asset when its price falls to the lower boundary of a trading range and selling when it reaches the upper boundary. This strategy requires a keen eye for identifying support and resistance levels and a deep understanding of market volatility.
Read also:
Pros and Cons of Day Trading
Day trading comes with a distinct set of advantages and challenges. Here’s a balanced view of its pros and cons:
Pros:
- Access to Capital: Traders can start day trading with lower capital requirements since each trade can yield a profit in just a few pips.
- Flexibility: Traders have control over their trading schedule, allowing them to choose when and how long to engage in trades.
- Potential for High Returns: Successful day trading can produce significant profits compared to longer-term strategies, provided that trades are executed prudently and systematically.
Cons:
- High Risk: Day trading is inherently risky, especially for those inexperienced in market dynamics. The potential for quick losses is significant.
- Psychological Pressure: The fast-paced nature of day trading can lead to emotional decision-making, which can derail even the most disciplined traders.
Read also:
- Time Commitment: Day traders must be patient and ready to dedicate long hours to monitoring the markets, which may not suit everyone.
- Commissions and Fees: Trading frequently can lead to increased commissions and fees, eating into potential profits and making it essential to maintain a high win-to-loss ratio.
Managing Risks in Day Trading
Risk management is paramount to surviving in the world of day trading. Here are some risk management techniques to consider:
1. Position Sizing: Proper position sizing is critical to risk management in day trading. This involves allocating the right amount of capital to each trade to minimize the impact of potential losses.
2. Stops and Limits: Traders use stops and limits to limit potential losses. Stops are triggered when prices reach a predefined level, closing out the position, while limits are triggered when prices reach a certain level, closing out the position.
3. Risk Reward Ratio: Setting a risk reward ratio helps traders maintain profitability. This involves setting a ratio of reward to risk, typically around 1:3 to 1:4.
Read also: /b]
and..
and...
Conclusion
Day trading can be a lucrative venture for those willing to invest time in understanding market mechanics, developing strategies, and exercising disciplined decision-making. While it may appear attractive, particularly for beginners, the reality is that successful day trading requires meticulous planning, emotional control, and a well-thought-out strategy.
For those new to day trading, practicing on a demo account is advised to build skills and confidence. Starting with simpler strategies, such as pullback trading or scalping, can help beginners navigate the complexities of intraday trading. Ultimately, comprehensive knowledge of technical analysis and a clear grasp of market sentiment are critical for achieving consistent success in day trading.
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Acceptance: The Hardest but Most Powerful Skill in Trading & LifHave you ever felt completely overwhelmed by trading? The endless cycle of self-doubt, frustration, comparison, and emotional exhaustion? If you have, trust me—you’re not alone.
Trading is not just about charts and strategies. It’s about navigating the mental battles that come with it. Today, I want to share something personal—the reality of acceptance in trading and life —because, in the end, acceptance can save you from a lot more pain than resistance ever will.
The Burden of Comparison & Expectations
One of the first mental struggles every trader faces is comparison—seeing others with bigger wins, higher profits, or what looks like an effortless journey. You start asking yourself:
"Why am I not there yet?"
"How did they make it so fast?"
"What am I doing wrong?"
But here’s the truth: We all have different limitations . Some start with larger capital, some have years of experience, and some simply got lucky early on. T he moment you accept where you are right now instead of where you " should be, " everything changes.
If you have limited capital, accept that you won’t get rich overnight —and that’s okay. Instead of chasing unrealistic dreams with high leverage and reckless trades, focus on a real path:
✅ Spend 3-4 years mastering your craft.
✅ Backtest, forward test, and refine your strategy.
✅ Build consistency, and capital will follow—whether from your own profits, investors, or prop firms.
Acceptance vs. Denial: The Cost of Avoiding Reality
Acceptance isn't just about money—it’s about embracing probabilities instead of seeking guarantees.
Think about it:
Death is 100% certain. We accept it because there’s no alternative.
Getting liquidated is NOT 100% certain—it only happens when you ignore stop losses and risk management.
Yet, many traders choose denial over acceptance. They refuse to accept small losses, hoping a bad trade will recover, only to watch their account get wiped out.
📌 The price of refusing to accept reality is always higher than the price of accepting it.
Just like we use stop-losses in trading, we need stop-losses in life. Without them, you might wake up one day realizing:
❌ You spent 5 years in a toxic relationship.
❌ You kept pursuing a wrong path for way too long.
❌ You ignored the signs, hoping things would magically fix themselves.
Learning to accept losses, failures, and mistakes is not weakness—it’s a superpower. And ironically, the faster you accept things, the faster you move forward.
My Journey & What I Do Here
I’m Skeptic . I analyze markets, develop trading strategies, and share real, no-BS insights to help traders grow—not just technically, but mentally.
If this post felt different from my usual ones, it’s because it is. Some things go beyond just trading—they shape how we think, react, and navigate both markets and life.
💬 Have you ever struggled with acceptance in trading? Drop a comment —I’d love to hear your experience.
Stop fighting reality. Accept where you are, work with what you have, and set stop-losses in both trading and life . That’s how you survive long enough to win :)
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #2: Stay Cool, Trade Smart🎯 123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #2: Stay Cool, Trade Smart
"Don't let anger empty your pockets. Trade with a cool head."
Navid Jafarian
❓ Ever get mad when you lose a game?
❓ Want to try again and win RIGHT AWAY?
Trading can feel like that, but with real money. It's easy to blame losses on things you can't control, like the news or bad luck.
✅ Truth is, everyone loses sometimes in trading. The best traders don't get angry. They learn from their mistakes and move on.💪
‼️ Don't try to "get even" with the market after a loss. That's how you lose even more!
🗝 Take charge, learn, and make the next trade better.
❗️Remember:
The best traders stay calm and focused. Just like a pro!
Top 3 Daily Habits of Successful TradersWhat’s the secret to becoming a successful trader? Many believe it’s all about strategies or finding the perfect market conditions. But in reality, it’s the habits you build daily that determine your long-term success.
I’m Skeptic , and today, I’ll share the top 3 daily habits that professional traders swear by. These habits not only improve your trading performance but also help you maintain balance in the high-pressure world of trading. Let’s dive in!
🔍A. Daily Market Analysis: The Foundation of Consistency
Successful traders allocate specific time every day to analyze the market, find potential triggers, and set alerts for key levels. This habit offers several benefits:
1.Save Time:
With alerts set for important levels, you don’t have to stare at the screen all day. You can step away confidently, knowing the market will notify you when something important happens.
2.Reduce FOMO:
Regular analysis helps you stay grounded. You’ll feel less tempted to chase random trades because you already have a plan and understand the market’s context.
3.Better R/R Trades:
By identifying triggers early, you can enter positions sooner and secure better risk-to-reward (R/R) ratios.
Stay Connected to the Market:
Daily analysis ensures you’re always in sync with market trends, avoiding the Ostrich Effect—a phenomenon where traders ignore negative information to protect their emotions. Staying informed keeps you objective and proactive.
B. Prioritize Physical Health: Diet & Exercise Matter 🏃♂️
Trading often means spending long hours sitting at your desk, which research has linked to numerous health risks, including back pain, poor circulation, and reduced focus. Successful traders know the importance of staying physically active:
Negative Effects of Prolonged Sitting:
Increased risk of heart disease.
Reduced energy levels and concentration.
How Exercise Helps:
Even 30 minutes of daily exercise improves mental clarity, reduces stress, and boosts decision-making ability.
Activities like stretching or walking during market breaks can reduce the physical strain of sitting.
Balanced Diet:
Eating the right foods fuels your brain for better decision-making. Avoid heavy, carb-loaded meals that make you sluggish, and prioritize high-energy, nutrient-rich foods.
C. Meditation: The Secret Weapon for Mental Clarity 🧘♂️
Meditation is a habit many successful traders swear by. Trading can be emotionally draining, with constant ups and downs. Meditation helps by:
1.Improving Focus:
-Mindfulness meditation strengthens your ability to concentrate and block out distractions, a skill critical for analyzing markets and following your strategy.
Reducing Emotional Reactions:
-Meditation trains you to stay calm and composed, even after a series of losing trades. You’ll learn to respond logically instead of emotionally.
Practical Tip:
Start with just 5-10 minutes of meditation daily. Use apps like Calm or Headspace to guide you, or simply sit in silence and focus on your breath.
To achieve consistent success in trading, it’s not just about strategies—it’s about building daily habits that set you up for long-term performance.
Analyze the Market Daily: Save time, reduce FOMO, and catch high-quality trades early.
Take Care of Your Body: Exercise regularly and maintain a healthy diet to stay focused and energized.
Meditate for Mental Clarity: Manage emotions and improve your focus to make better trading decisions.
💬 Which of these habits do you already follow? Are there any you’d like to adopt? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
I’m Skeptic , here to simplify trading and help you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
TradeCityPro Academy | Risk Management👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s continue with another training session after the first part, which was about Capital Management, and dive into the important topic of Risk Management.
🕵️♂️ Risk Management as a Profession
One of the heaviest responsibilities, riskiest roles, and most demanding efforts in studying or working in a company lies in the field of Risk Management.
The job of risk management exists in various fields, including banking, insurance, investment, and consulting. People working in this field are responsible for identifying financial, operational, or project-related risks and designing strategies to reduce or manage them.
The income of a risk manager varies depending on the country, industry, level of experience, and scope of the project. In developed countries, risk managers in financial industries can earn high incomes. On average, in the United States, the annual income of a risk manager ranges between $80,000 and $150,000.
💰 Risk Management in Financial Markets
Risk management is one of the most important skills and concepts in the world of finance, business, and even daily life. It helps you identify, assess, and control potential risks to avoid unexpected losses.
💡 What is Risk Management?
Risk management is the process of identifying and assessing potential threats and then taking actions to reduce or eliminate their negative impacts. This process helps you make more informed decisions and protect your capital or resources from unnecessary risks.
In financial markets, risk management means identifying, evaluating, and controlling risks related to investments to prevent major losses. This includes setting a Stop Loss, diversifying your investment portfolio, using leverage responsibly, and sticking to your trading strategy. The primary goal is to preserve capital and optimize profits by managing potential risks.
💵 Why Should We Manage Risk?
Before diving into the explanations, let’s illustrate the concept of risk management with a life example: Do you give the same kind of gift to your parents or partner as you would to a distant relative or a friend you recently met? Of course not! Everyone holds a different level of importance in your life.
Now let’s examine this in financial markets. It’s better to have different risk management strategies for your setups and strategies based on market conditions. Categorize them into different groups using your Excel data and setups.
As a side note, in this training, when we talk about risk, we mean the amount of capital you will lose after entering a position and hitting your stop loss not just the amount of capital involved in the position.
Additionally, if you don’t have a written trading plan, strategies, or if you don’t document your positions in Excel or any other platform, this will not be beneficial for you and may result in future losses.
💼 Implementing Risk Management in Trading
We need to categorize our trades based on market conditions, daily circumstances, chart setups, strategies, win rate, written trading plans, and our trade entry checklist.
Here’s how I categorize trades: Very Risky - Risky - Normal - Confident
1️⃣ Very Risky
For this category, it’s better to have a separate account purely for testing, FOMO, or experiments. These trades have very few confirmations (1–2). Trade with less than 0.1%–0.25% of your main capital in this category.
2️⃣ Risky
These trades are opened in your main account because they generally meet some confirmations but lack key ones. For instance, you anticipate a resistance breakout and go long before confirmation. These trades usually have a small stop loss, leading to higher risk-to-reward ratios. Use 0.25%–0.5% of your capital for these trades.
3️⃣ Normal
These trades have most confirmations but might miss a few. For example, out of 10 items on your checklist, 6–7 are confirmed. These form the majority of trades. Be cautious about the win rate of this category, as it should be higher than your overall average. Use 0.5%–0.75% of your capital here.
4️⃣ Confident
These trades have all major confirmations, and your strategy’s triggers are activated. Additionally, 8–9 out of 10 items on your trade entry checklist are confirmed. These are your most confident trades. Use 0.75%–1% of your capital for these trades.
⚠️ Daily Risk Management
Don’t use your entire daily risk limit at once. For example, if your daily risk is 1.5%, keep some risk in reserve in case your first trade hits its stop loss. This allows you to recover and even profit later in the day.
Focus on normal trades. These should form the majority of your trades since they maintain a healthy win rate. Risky trades might lower your win rate, while confident trades occur less frequently and won’t significantly impact your overall win rate.
📝 Building Risk Management and Consistency
Risk management based on your checklists and spreadsheets can take around 6–8 months to develop, starting after learning technical analysis. In the beginning, allocate 0.5% risk per trade while documenting your trades.
This will prevent unnecessary self-blame for stop-loss hits in risky trades and help you trade confidently with a solid plan.
❤️ Friendly Note
If you don’t follow these principles, trading might become an on-and-off journey, leading to frustration and eventual market exit. In the end, your money will go to traders who adhere to these rules.
If you’ve read this far, congratulations! Unlike misleading social media ads, this guide offers genuine, practical insights. Be proud of your effort and focus on applying these principles. Let’s progress together and elevate our lives through financial markets. 😊
what is Volume?Volume Indicators are technical analysis tools that evaluate the strength of a trend or price movement based on trading volume, which represents the number of shares, contracts, or units of an asset traded over a given period. Volume indicators provide insights into the participation and conviction behind price moves, helping traders confirm trends, spot potential reversals, or detect breakouts.
Why Volume Matters
Volume reflects market activity and interest:
High Volume: Suggests strong participation, confirming the validity of price movements. - Low Volume: Indicates weak interest, often leading to uncertainty about the sustainability of price moves.
For example:
In an uptrend, rising prices with increasing volume confirm the bullish trend. - Conversely, falling prices with increasing volume confirm a bearish trend.
Popular Volume Indicators
On-Balance Volume (OBV):
OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting it on down days.
Signal: If OBV rises while the price is flat, it indicates hidden buying pressure, suggesting a potential price breakout.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP):
VWAP calculates the average price of an asset weighted by volume, providing a benchmark for institutional traders.
Signal: If the price is above VWAP, it\u2019s considered bullish; below VWAP is bearish.
Volume Oscillator:
The Volume Oscillator compares short-term and long-term moving averages of volume.
Signal: Positive readings indicate increasing volume momentum, while negative readings suggest declining momentum.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
CMF measures buying and selling pressure by analyzing volume and price movement.
Signal: A positive CMF indicates accumulation (buying), while a negative CMF indicates distribution (selling).
Accumulation/Distribution Line (A/D):
Tracks the flow of money into or out of an asset by analyzing volume and price close relative to its range.
Signal: Rising A/D suggests accumulation (buying), while falling A/D suggests distribution (selling).
How to Use Volume Indicators
Confirm Trends: - Use volume to validate price movements. For example, a breakout above resistance is more reliable with strong volume. 2. Spot Divergences: - If price moves up while volume decreases, it could indicate a weakening trend and a potential reversal. 3. Detect Breakouts: - Sudden spikes in volume often accompany significant price breakouts from consolidation patterns. 4. Evaluate Trend Strength: - Increasing volume during a trend suggests strength, while declining volume signals weakness.
Limitations of Volume Indicators
False Signals: High volume alone doesn\u2019t guarantee a sustainable price move. - Market Context Needed: Volume behavior differs across asset classes (e.g., stocks vs. cryptocurrencies). - Timeframe Sensitivity: Volume signals can vary based on the chosen timeframe.
By understanding and using volume indicators effectively, traders can gain a deeper perspective on market dynamics and improve decision-making.
If Trump Coins Don’t Teach You About FOMO, Nothing WillThe fear of missing out, or FOMO, is a powerful emotion that can wreak havoc on your trading journey.
Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, the urge to jump into a trade because everyone else is doing it—or because you feel like you’re missing out on a golden opportunity—can lead to costly mistakes.
Take, for example, the recent frenzy around Trump Coins ( BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT and BINANCE:MELANIAUSDT.P ).
Many traders rushed in, driven by FOMO, only to watch the value plummet just hours after launch.
This is a stark reminder of how dangerous FOMO can be.
In this post, we’ll explore why FOMO is so dangerous, the hidden risks it poses, and how you can sidestep these pitfalls to become a more disciplined and successful trader. Let’s dive in and learn how to avoid becoming the next victim of impulsive, emotion-driven decisions.
The Dangers of FOMO in Trading
FOMO is more than just a fleeting feeling—it’s a mindset that can derail your trading strategy and lead to impulsive decisions. Here are the key dangers of trading with FOMO:
1. Impulsive Decisions: The Enemy of Rational Trading
Ever made a trade just because it “felt right”?
FOMO often pushes traders to act on impulse, much like grabbing a chocolate bar at the checkout—it’s tempting but not always wise. Impulsive trading can lead to poor decisions that don’t align with your trading plan. Instead of chasing trades, stick to your strategy and wait for high-probability opportunities.
2. The Emotional Rollercoaster: Stress & Anxiety
Missing a trade can trigger stress and anxiety, making you feel like you’ve missed the opportunity of a lifetime. But here’s the truth: trading success is built on thousands of trades, not just one. Keep your emotions in check and remind yourself that there will always be another opportunity.
3. Chasing the Market: A Fool’s Errand
Seeing a stock or cryptocurrency skyrocket can make you feel like you’re missing out on a party. But chasing the market is a dangerous game. Markets move in cycles, and patience is your greatest ally. Instead of trying to catch a rising star, focus on precision analysis and wait for the next high-probability trade.
4. Short-Term Focus: Losing Sight of Long-Term Goals
FOMO often pushes traders to focus on short-term gains, distracting them from their long-term goals. While it’s important to spot high-probability trades, missing one doesn’t mean the end of the world. Keep your eyes on the bigger picture and trust that more opportunities will come your way.
5. Following the Herd: The Danger of Sheep Behavior
Just because everyone else is jumping into a trade doesn’t mean you should too. Your job as a trader is to follow your own trading plan and strategy, not to mimic others. Trust your research, instincts, and analysis—don’t let the crowd dictate your decisions.
How to Overcome FOMO and Trade Like a Pro
Now that we’ve identified the dangers of FOMO, let’s talk about how you can overcome it and become a more disciplined trader:
1. Stick to Your Trading Plan
Your trading plan is your roadmap to success. It’s there to guide you, not to be ignored. Whether you’re feeling the pressure to act or tempted by a “hot tip,” always refer back to your plan. Discipline is key to avoiding impulsive decisions.
2. Research is Your Secret Weapon
Trading without research is like driving with your eyes closed—it’s a risky gamble. Take the time to analyze the markets, understand the “why” behind your trades, and make informed decisions. Research is your crystal ball in the trading world.
3. Protect Your Capital
Risk and money management are crucial to long-term success. Remember, your trading capital is your lifeline —don’t risk it all on a single trade.
4. Develop a Calm and Collected Mindset
Trading is as much a mental game as it is a financial one. High emotions can lead to rash decisions and costly mistakes. Practice staying calm and collected, even when the market feels chaotic. The market doesn’t care about your feelings, so don’t let them dictate your actions.
5. Break the Cycle of Bad Habits
Every time you give in to FOMO, you’re not just making a bad trade—you’re cultivating a bad habit. Break the cycle by maintaining a disciplined trading routine. Stick to your strategy, trust your analysis, and avoid taking trades just for the sake of it.
Final Words: There’s Always Another Trade
Trading with FOMO is like sailing in stormy seas—it’s risky, stressful, and often leads to nowhere good. But by understanding the dangers and implementing the strategies outlined above, you can navigate the markets with confidence and discipline.
Remember this mantra: There is always another and better trade on the way, and I don’t have to catch every single trade that presents itself.
Let’s recap the key takeaways:
Impulsive Decisions: Stick to your trading plan and avoid acting on impulse.
Research: Arm yourself with knowledge and make informed decisions.
Chasing the Market: Be patient and wait for high-probability opportunities.
Risk Management: Protect your capital and balance optimism with realism.
Emotional Control: Stay calm, collected, and focused on your long-term goals.
By overcoming FOMO, you’ll not only become a better trader but also enjoy a more stress-free and rewarding trading experience. So the next time you feel the fear of missing out, take a deep breath, trust your strategy, and remember—there’s always another trade.
Happy trading! 🚀📈
Mihai Iacob
Stockholm Syndrome in Crypto Trading: Why We Stay LoyalLet’s be honest: altcoins haven’t been performing as well as many would like.
As I’ve started pointing this out through posts and videos, I’ve received a fair share of criticism. Whenever I mention the possibility of a market decline, I’m met with hate, while others who claim the market is heading to the moon are celebrated.
What’s baffling is that no one seems to ask, “Hey, you’ve been saying ‘altcoin season’ is coming for a year, yet we’re still stuck around the same prices. What’s going on?”
This got me thinking: Could this be a form of Stockholm Syndrome in trading?
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What is Stockholm Syndrome in Trading?
Stockholm Syndrome is a psychological phenomenon where hostages develop positive feelings towards their captors. In trading, it’s a bit like this: traders grow emotionally attached to a losing market, even when all signs point to the fact that things aren’t going well.
Instead of cutting losses and accepting reality, they keep holding on, hoping things will change – just like a hostage hoping for their captor's kindness.
In trading, this manifests as traders continuing to support a market (like coins or certain stocks) that isn’t performing, even when the evidence suggests it’s time to move on.
They become attached to the idea that a specific asset will turn around and deliver massive profits – even when the price action doesn’t back that up.
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The Comfort of Familiarity
Many traders are caught in the cycle of constant hope and “what ifs.” It’s much easier to stay attached to the narrative that specific coins will eventually “take off” than to admit that their portfolios might be stuck sideways or even bear market.
It's also easy to get drawn into the excitement of “moonshots” and grand promises of big returns. The altcoin season, the bull run, the new innovations – these ideas are comforting, even when the market isn’t cooperating.
But here’s the catch: sticking with a market that’s not performing well out of loyalty is dangerous. It stops you from adapting, from making the necessary moves to protect your capital, and from taking advantage of more promising opportunities elsewhere.
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The Reality of the Market
Altcoins have been on a rollercoaster. The hope for altcoin season has been building up for over a year now, yet many traders are still facing stagnant or even declining prices. When faced with this reality, we often see two types of responses:
1. The Blind Optimist:
Some traders will continue to hold and buy into altcoins, even when it’s clear the market isn’t moving in their favor. They believe that the next big move is just around the corner, and they refuse to let go of the dream.
2. The Critic:
Others, like me, will point out the slow or negative price action, urging caution and suggesting that a pullback or continued consolidation is more likely. But when we do, we’re met with anger, disbelief, or even accusations of “fear-mongering.”
It’s frustrating to see those who remain hopeful get so emotionally attached to a failing asset, while others who try to see things more clearly get met with hostility.
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The Dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in Trading
When traders fall into this “Stockholm Syndrome,” they stop questioning their strategies and beliefs. They become too emotionally involved with a market that isn’t giving them the results they want.
This prevents them from making the tough decisions they need to make to protect their portfolios – whether that’s cutting losses or re-allocating capital to more promising assets.
It’s also a trap that keeps you stuck in an echo chamber of hope and denial, rather than facing the market with logic and clear-headed analysis.
The longer you stay loyal to an asset that’s underperforming, the more you risk watching your portfolio sink further.
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Breaking Free: A Rational Approach to Trading
The key to successful trading is learning to let go of emotional attachment. Don’t hold onto an asset simply because you’ve been told it will perform or because you’ve invested a lot of time and money into it.
Here are a few ways to break free from the Stockholm Syndrome in trading:
1. Focus on the facts:
Look at the actual price action and market conditions, not the narrative you’ve built around it. If the market isn’t moving, don’t force a belief that it will soon.
2. Admit when it’s time to move on:
It’s not about being right or wrong – it’s about protecting your capital. If an asset isn’t performing, consider cutting your losses and finding new opportunities that align with your trading strategy.
3. Stay flexible:
The market is dynamic, and you need to be able to adjust your strategy based on current conditions. Don’t get stuck in a “one-size-fits-all” approach.
4. Let go of the need to be loyal:
Trading isn’t about loyalty; it’s about profits and risk management. Sometimes, moving on is the best decision for your financial health.
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Conclusion
If you’ve been stuck in the cycle of hoping that altcoins will suddenly surge, or waiting for the long-awaited altcoin season, it might be time to reconsider your approach. It’s important to recognize when you’re emotionally attached to a market that isn’t performing, and break free from that attachment.
By focusing on logical analysis, cutting losses when necessary, and staying flexible in your approach, you can avoid the dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in trading and move towards more profitable opportunities.
Remember: Trading isn’t about loyalty to a coin or a narrative – it’s about making smart, objective decisions that will help you grow your capital.
Quick Learn Trading Tips - #1 of 123: Doubling your MoneyQuick Learn Trading Tips - #1 of 123: Doubling your Money
It's easy to get caught up in the hype of trading. Promises of fast fortunes and "guaranteed" wins are everywhere. But as I always say, it's crucial to keep it real.
That's why my first Quick Learn trading tip is this: "Try to be realistic about your expected returns. If you dream of doubling your capital every month, you will soon be disappointed."
Let's face it:
If doubling your money every month was easy, everyone would be doing it!
The truth is that consistent success in trading requires a grounded approach.
Unrealistic goals often lead to risky moves driven by emotion, not logic. And that's a recipe for disaster.
Instead, aim for steady, achievable gains. Develop a sound trading strategy, leverage tools, and stay disciplined.
Remember, building wealth in the markets is a marathon, not a sprint.
Want more Quick Learn tips to boost your trading? Follow me.
The Four Horsemen of Trading: Overcoming the Emotional Pitfalls
Investing and trading are often viewed as purely logical activities. Many assume that success in the markets depends solely on mastering data, charts, and economic theories. However, the reality is that emotions frequently play an outsized role in influencing decisions, often to the detriment of traders. In his 1994 classic I nvest Like the Best, James O'Shaughnessy described the four common psychological pitfalls that derail investors: fear, greed, hope, and ignorance. These "Four Horsemen of the Investment Apocalypse" are as relevant today as ever, especially in the new market conditions and uncertanty.
Let’s explore each of these emotional pitfalls in detail, understand their impact, and discuss strategies to overcome them.
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1. Fear: The Paralyzing Grip of Uncertainty
Fear is perhaps the most immediate and visceral emotion traders experience. It manifests in two primary ways: the fear of losing money and the fear of missing out.
Fear of Losing Money
This fear often causes traders to exit positions prematurely, robbing them of potential profits. For instance, a trader may close a trade the moment it moves slightly against them, even if their analysis indicates a high likelihood of eventual success. This behavior stems from a deep-seated aversion to loss, amplified by the memory of past trading failures.
Fear of Missing Out
FOMO drives traders to enter markets impulsively, often at inopportune times. Seeing a rapid price increase can tempt traders to jump in without proper analysis, only to be caught in a reversal.
How to Overcome Fear
• Develop a Plan: A solid trading plan with predefined entry, exit, and stop-loss levels helps remove the uncertainty that fuels fear.
• Focus on the Process: Shift your attention from individual trade outcomes to the consistency of following your strategy.
• Accept Losses as Part of Trading: View losses as a natural and manageable aspect of trading rather than personal failures.
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2. Greed: The Endless Pursuit of More
Greed is the counterbalance to fear. It drives traders to seek excessive gains, often at the expense of sound decision-making. Greed clouds judgment, leading to overleveraging, chasing unrealistic profits, and deviating from planned strategies.
Examples of Greed in Trading
• Moving profit targets further as a trade approaches them, hoping for larger gains.
• Ignoring exit signals in anticipation of an extended rally, only to watch profits evaporate.
• Taking on larger positions than risk management rules would typically allow, driven by overconfidence.
How to Overcome Greed
• Set Realistic Goals: Establish achievable profit targets based on market conditions and your trading strategy.
• Stick to Risk Management Rules: Never risk more than a predetermined percentage of your trading account on a single trade.
• Practice Gratitude: Recognize and appreciate the profits you’ve made instead of constantly chasing more.
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3. Hope: Holding Onto Losing Trades
Hope is a double-edged sword in trading. While optimism can keep traders motivated, unchecked hope often leads to poor decisions. Traders driven by hope may hold onto losing positions far longer than they should, convinced that the market will eventually "come back." This refusal to cut losses can result in significant drawdowns.
The Danger of Hope
Hope clouds rational judgment. Instead of objectively assessing the market’s signals, hopeful traders anchor their decisions on a desired outcome. This emotional attachment to trades often leads to ignoring stop-loss levels or adding to losing positions, compounding the damage.
How to Overcome Hope
• Use Stop-Loss Orders: Always set stop-loss levels when entering a trade and stick to them without exception.
• Detach Emotionally from Trades: View trades as probabilities, not certainties. Focus on long-term outcomes rather than individual results.
• Review Performance Regularly: Regularly assess your trading performance to identify patterns of hopeful decision-making and correct them.
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4. Ignorance: Trading Without Knowledge
Ignorance is the foundational pitfall that enables fear, greed, and hope to thrive. A lack of knowledge or preparation often leads traders to make uninformed decisions, increasing the likelihood of costly mistakes.
Manifestations of Ignorance
• Entering trades based on rumors or tips without independent analysis.
• Failing to understand market dynamics, such as how economic events impact prices.
• Overestimating the predictive power of a single indicator or strategy without considering the broader context.
How to Overcome Ignorance
• Invest in Education: Learn about trading strategies, technical analysis, risk management, and market fundamentals.
• Stay Informed: Keep up with economic news, market trends, and industry developments.
• Practice in Simulated Environments: Use demo accounts to refine your strategies and gain experience before risking real capital.
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Combating the Four Horsemen: A Holistic Approach
To succeed in trading, you must address all four horsemen simultaneously. Here’s a comprehensive strategy to help you stay disciplined:
1. Create a Detailed Trading Plan: A well-thought-out plan acts as a roadmap, reducing the influence of emotional decisions.
2. Implement Strict Risk Management: Set clear rules for position sizing, stop-loss levels, and profit targets to minimize the impact of fear and greed.
3. Keep a Trading Journal: Record every trade, including the rationale behind it, the emotions you felt, and the outcome. Reviewing this journal helps you identify and correct emotional patterns.
4. Develop Emotional Awareness: Practice mindfulness to recognize when emotions are influencing your decisions, and take a step back when necessary.
5. Seek Continuous Improvement: Trading is a skill that requires ongoing refinement. Stay curious, learn from your mistakes, and adapt to changing market conditions.
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Final Thoughts
The Four Horsemen—fear, greed, hope, and ignorance—are ever-present challenges for traders. By recognizing these emotional pitfalls and implementing strategies to mitigate their impact, you can make more disciplined and objective decisions. Success in trading is not just about mastering the markets; it’s about mastering yourself. Approach each trade with preparation, detachment, and a commitment to continuous learning, and you’ll be well on your way to conquering these formidable adversaries.
Top 5 Tips to Increase Your Profits in Trading
In this educational article, I will share with you very useful tips how to improve your profitability in trading the financial markets.
1. Decrease the number of financial instruments in your watch list. ⬇️
Remember that each individual instrument in your watch list requires attention. The more of them you monitor on a daily basics, the harder it is to keep focus on them.
In order to not miss early confirmation signals and triggers, it is highly recommendable to reduce the size of your watch list and pay closer attention to the remaining instruments.
2. Avoid taking too many positions. ❌
For some reason, newbie traders are convinced that they should constantly trade and keep many trading positions.
Firstly, I want to remind you that the management of an active position is a quite tedious process that requires time and attention.
Therefore, more positions are opened, more time and effort is required.
Secondly, if the newbies can not spot a good setup, they assume that they are obliged to open some positions and they start forcing the setups.
Remember, that in trading, the quality of the trading setup beats the quantity. I advise taking less trades, but the better ones.
3. Let winners run if the market is going in the desired direction. 📈
Once you caught a good trade and the market is moving where you predicted, do not let your emotions close the trade preliminary.
Try to get maximum from your trade, closing that only after the desired level is reached.
4. Open a trade after multiple confirmations.✅
Analyzing a certain setup remember, that more confirmations you spot, higher is the accuracy of the trade that you take. In order to increase your win rate, it is recommendable to wait for at least 2 confirmations.
5. Don't trade on your cellphone. 📱
A good trade always requires a sophisticated analysis that is impossible to execute on the small screen of the cellphone.
A lot of elements and nuances simply will not be noticed. For that reason, trade only from a computer with a wide screen.
Relying on these tips, you will substantially increase your profits.
Take them into the consideration and good luck to you in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Lucky vs. Repeatability: A Key Insight for Smarter TradingTrading is a journey, one filled with highs, lows, and a constant drive to improve.
Recently, I came across an idea on Podcast that truly resonated with me: the concept of luck versus repeatability.
This distinction is critical—it’s the difference between chasing short-term gains that may never happen again and developing a strategy that can deliver consistent results over time. Let me explain.
The Role of Luck: Lessons from the 2017 ICO Boom
Think back to 2017, the golden age of initial coin offerings (ICOs). When a new crypto token launched, there was a rush to buy it, often driving the price up by 10x, 50x, or even 100x in a matter of days.
For many, this was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to turn small investments into life-changing wealth.
But what happened next?
That strategy no longer works today. The sheer number of tokens being created—thousands daily—means money is now spread too thin for any single token to experience those explosive gains. What worked in 2017 relied on luck, not on a repeatable edge in the market.
Luck is a fascinating aspect of trading. It can make you rich once, but without the skills to preserve and grow that wealth, it often fades away as quickly as it appeared.
Repeatability: Why Market Cycles Matter
Now let’s contrast this with something far more enduring: market cycles.
Markets have always oscillated between fear and greed.
During times of greed, prices often surge beyond their intrinsic value.
Conversely, fear can drive prices below their true value. These cycles aren’t random—they’re rooted in human psychology and have been evident for decades.
For example, during bull markets, optimism often pushes valuations to unsustainable levels. Then, a sudden shock—be it economic, political, or otherwise—triggers a wave of fear, and the cycle reverses.
This ebb and flow have happened in the past, and will likely continue into the future.
This is what makes market cycles repeatable. Unlike luck, which depends on being in the right place at the right time, repeatability allows you to build a foundation for sustainable success.
Compounding: The Key to Long-Term Growth
Once you adopt a repeatable trading strategy, you unlock the power of compounding. Even with a modest starting capital, consistent returns can lead to significant growth over time. The beauty of compounding lies in its exponential nature—small gains, when reinvested, can snowball into substantial wealth.
This doesn’t happen overnight, but that’s the point. Repeatable strategies thrive on patience and discipline, allowing you to grow your account steadily and responsibly.
A Common Mistake in Pullback Trading
Let’s take a practical example: pullback trading.
Many traders focus on waiting for the price to re-test a key level, like previous resistance that could turn into support. While this approach makes sense in theory, the market doesn’t always play by the rules. Prices often fail to re-test those levels, continuing their move without offering the ideal entry point.
The solution? Plan for multiple scenarios. Understand that pullbacks can vary in depth and structure, and be prepared to adapt. Flexibility is key when applying any repeatable strategy.
A Thought to Keep in Mind
One of the most liberating truths about trading is this: the market doesn’t care about you. It doesn’t know your goals, your dreams, or your trades. Losses aren’t personal—they’re just part of the game.
The real question is how you respond to them. Each loss is an opportunity to reflect, learn, and refine your approach. Over time, this process turns a good strategy into a great one.
Final Thoughts
As traders, we’re constantly faced with choices. Should we chase the next big thing, hoping for a stroke of luck? Or should we focus on developing strategies grounded in repeatable principles?
For me, the answer is clear. While luck may occasionally play a role, it’s the repeatable strategies—those built on solid foundations—that lead to lasting success.
The next time you evaluate a trading approach, ask yourself: Is this lucky, or is it repeatable? The answer might just reshape the way you trade.
Key Elements in Trading & Investing ManagementKey Elements in Trading & Investing Management: Your Blueprint for Success 📊
🔍 Risk/Reward Analysis:
Every trade or investment should start with a thorough risk/reward assessment. This ensures you're not just chasing gains but are aware of the potential downside.
🎯 Clear Entry & Exit Strategies:
Define your entry and exit points before you trade. This discipline keeps your strategy on track, whether the market moves in your favor or against it.
🏞️ Embrace Market Volatility:
Accept drawdowns as part of the trading journey. Just as you'd celebrate profits, handle losses with the same composure to maintain your strategic approach.
🔄 Consistency in Strategy:
Avoid tweaking your strategy after a loss. Stick to your rules to foster a consistent trading methodology.
🔧 Utilize All Available Tools:
Leverage every tool at your disposal on platforms like TradingView—indicators, charts, and risk management features—to make informed decisions.
🎯 Set Profit Targets & Stop Losses:
Implement break-even points and stop-loss orders to secure profits and minimize losses, ensuring each trade is managed with precision.
💰 Focus on Capital Preservation:
Your primary goal should be to protect and grow your capital, not just to celebrate short-term wins. Long-term sustainability is key.
📈 Compound Your Success:
Use your gains wisely to compound your investments rather than risking them on speculative bets. Let your edge work for you over time.
🌟 Master Your Trading Edge:
Identify what gives you an advantage in the market, be it technical analysis, fundamental insights, or a unique approach, and harness it consistently.
💵 Implement Dollar Cost Averaging for Stability:Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is your ally for those looking to invest without timing the market. By investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, you buy more shares when prices are low 📉 and fewer when prices are high 📈, averaging out the cost over time. This strategy mitigates the impact of volatility 🌪️ and reduces the risk of investing a lump sum at a peak price.
Consistent Investment: Set up a schedule to invest, say, weekly or monthly, into your chosen assets. 🗓️
Emotional Discipline: DCA helps remove emotion from investing decisions, promoting a disciplined approach. 😌
Long-Term Growth: Over time, this method can lead to significant returns as you accumulate more shares at varied price points. 🌱📈
Incorporate DCA into your broader strategy to enhance your risk/reward balance, ensuring that you're not just reacting to market highs and lows but methodically building your investment base. 💡
Understanding Risk Asymmetry in a Table▮ Introduction
With TradingView's new table creation feature , you can easily create and customize tables to enhance your trading analysis and presentations.
In this article I'll use it to explain Risk Asymmetry .
Trading involves a constant evaluation of risk and reward .
One of the critical concepts that traders need to understand is risk asymmetry .
This concept highlights how losses and gains are not symmetrical.
In other words, the percentage gain required to recover from a loss is greater than the percentage loss itself.
This article explores risk asymmetry and illustrates it with a practical example.
▮ What is Risk Asymmetry?
Risk asymmetry refers to the disproportionate relationship between losses and the gains required to recover from those losses.
For instance, if you lose 10% of your investment, you need to gain more than 10% to get back to your original amount.
This is because the base amount has decreased after the loss.
Understanding risk asymmetry is crucial for traders because it affects their risk management strategies.
Knowing that larger losses require exponentially larger gains to recover can help traders make more informed decisions about their trades and risk exposure.
▮ Illustrating Risk Asymmetry
To illustrate risk asymmetry, let's consider an initial investment of $1000.
The table below shows the required gain to recover from various percentage losses:
Explanation:
- Loss (%): The percentage loss from the initial amount.
- Value Lost ($): The lost monetary value from the initial amount.
- Amount After Loss ($): The remaining amount after the loss.
- Required Gain for Recovery (%): The percentage gain required to recover to the initial amount.
This table highlights the asymmetry in trading losses and gains.
As the loss percentage increases, the required gain to recover the initial amount increases disproportionately.
For example, if you lose 50% of your initial amount ( $500 ), it is not enough for you to gain 50% , because the amount left after the loss is $500 , and a 50% gain on the amount of $500 is $250 , which would result in a total amount of $750 with a remaining loss of $250 !
So, the most important question is not how much can I win , but how much can I lose .
Curiosity:
Why 100% is not applicable (-) in this table?
When you lose 100% of your investment, you have lost all your capital. Therefore, there is no remaining amount to recover from, and it is impossible to gain back to the initial amount from zero. This is why the required gain are marked as not applicable.
▮ Conclusion
Understanding risk asymmetry can help traders in several ways:
1. Risk Management:
traders can set stop-loss levels to limit their losses and avoid the need for large gains to recover.
2. Position Sizing:
by understanding the potential impact of losses, traders can size their positions more conservatively.
3. Psychological Preparedness:
knowing the challenges of recovering from significant losses can help traders maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making.
It is one thing to lose 100% of a dollar on a casino bet; it is quite another to lose 100% of a lifetime's worth of capital.
Therefore, the larger the capital at stake, the smaller the amount of money that should ideally be risked.
THE TYPICAL WEEK OF A FULL-TIME TRADER
In this educational article, I will teach you how to properly plan your trading week.
And how a week of a full-time trader looks.
Sunday.
While the markets are closed , it is the best moment to prepare the charts for next week.
First of all, charts should be cleaned after the previous trading week: multiple setups and patterns become invalid or simply lose their significance and their stay on the charts will only distract.
Secondly, key levels: support and resistance, supply and demand zones and trend lines should be updated. Similarly to patterns, some key levels become invalid after a previous week, for that reason, structures should be reviewed .
Monday.
Analyze the market opening, go through your watch list and check the reaction of the markets.
Flag / mark the trading instruments that you should pay a close attention to. Set alerts and look for trading setups.
Tuesday. Wednesday. Thursday.
If you opened a trading position, keep managing that.
Pay attention to your active trades, go through your watch list and monitor new trading setups.
Friday.
Assess the entire trading week. Check the end result, journal your winning and losing trades. Work on mistakes.
Decide whether to keep holding the active position over the weekend or look for a way to exit the market before it closes.
Saturday .
Stay away from the charts. Meditate, relax and chill while the markets are closed.
Trading for more than 9-years, I found that such a plan is the optimal for successful full-time / part-time trading. Try to follow this schedule and let me know if it is convenient for you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Broke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the ConfederacyBroke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the Confederacy - The $500 Million Gamble That Failed
Back in 1863, when the Confederacy was on its last legs, financially speaking, they had one ace up their sleeve - cotton. This wasn't just any cotton; it was the lifeblood of the global economy, the white gold Europe couldn't get enough of. The South, desperate and broke, decided to play a high-stakes game with this precious commodity.
They issued bonds, not backed by gold or silver, but by cotton. It was a bold move, promising investors they'd get paid back in cash or raw cotton. Imagine that, betting the farm, literally, on a crop. These bonds were sold through big European banks like Emile Erlanger & Co., and they managed to raise a staggering £3 million, which is about $500 million today.
The plan was genius in its simplicity. The South supplied 75% of the world's cotton, and Europe's textile mills were starving without it. British and French factories were practically begging for Southern cotton. The Confederacy thought, 'Let's use what we've got to get what we need.'
But there was a catch, a big one. These bonds were only good if the South won the war. If they lost, they'd be as worthless as Confederate paper money. The South was gambling not just with their own fate, but with the fortunes of European investors.
The Union, though, had other plans. With a stronger navy and a tight blockade, they choked off the South's ability to ship cotton abroad. Without cotton exports, the value of those bonds started to look shaky.
Come 1865, the South was defeated, and those cotton-backed bonds? Worthless. European investors were left holding the bag, losing millions. It was a hard lesson learned - funding wars with commodity-backed bonds can be a risky business.
This story isn't about winning or losing; it's about the audacity to bet everything on one card. The Confederacy showed us that in desperate times, you play the hand you're dealt, even if it's cotton. It's a reminder that in the game of war and finance, sometimes your best move can still leave you broke.
Day Trading Strategy Using EMA Crossovers + RSI for CryptoIntroduction
Day trading in the volatile crypto market requires precision and a clear plan. Today, I’ll walk you through a straightforward strategy using EMA crossovers and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to identify high-probability trades on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts).
Strategy Overview
Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Use the 9-EMA (short-term) and 21-EMA (medium-term).
RSI: Set to 14 periods with thresholds at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold).
Trade Entry:
Look for bullish EMA crossover (9-EMA crossing above 21-EMA) for a potential buy signal.
Confirm the entry when RSI is above 50 but below 70 (indicating bullish momentum without overbought conditions).
For short trades, wait for the 9-EMA to cross below the 21-EMA and confirm RSI is below 50.
Stop-Loss:
Place the stop just below the most recent swing low for long trades or above the recent swing high for shorts.
Take-Profit:
Use a 1.5:1 or 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio or adjust based on key resistance/support levels.
Example Chart Analysis
In the chart, notice how the EMA crossover and RSI alignment resulted in clean entries and exits during the trend.
Closing Thoughts
This strategy is best suited for trending markets, so avoid using it in choppy, range-bound conditions. Always use proper risk management and adapt to the market’s volatility.
What do you think of this strategy? Share your thoughts or let me know if you’ve tried something similar!
Preserving Wealth: Essential Investment StrategiesHave you realized that your dollars or euros don't buy what they used to? Inflation, the quiet thief of purchasing power, has become a pressing issue for both individuals and investors. In November 2024, the annual inflation rate in the United States increased to 2.7%, marking its second consecutive rise, while inflation in the eurozone reached 2.2%. Though these figures may appear modest, even slight upticks in inflation can significantly reduce the value of your savings and investments over the long haul.
United States Inflation Rate YoY (ECONOMICS:USIRYY)
The Basics of Inflation and Its Effects
Inflation transpires when the overall price level of goods and services rises, diminishing the purchasing power of money. If left unchecked, it can undermine the real value of your assets and complicate your financial aspirations. In such a climate, cultivating strategies to hedge against inflation becomes vital. Effective inflation hedging allows individuals to safeguard their assets, maintain their value, and even potentially grow their wealth during times of rising prices.
This article delves into several of the most potent inflation hedges, such as equities, global diversification, real estate, precious metals. Each approach carries distinct advantages for protecting your portfolio from the pressures of inflation.
Equities: A Reliable Defense Against Inflation
Historically, stocks have emerged as one of the most effective long-term instruments for mitigating inflation. Companies often adapt to increasing costs by raising prices, allowing them to sustain profitability. By investing in shares of these companies, individuals can benefit from their ability to pass on costs, which helps preserve and potentially grow their investments during inflationary stretches.
Certain sectors are particularly adept at thriving in inflationary climates. Consumer staples—essential goods such as food, beverages, and household products—tend to perform consistently because demand remains steady regardless of price hikes. Similarly, energy stocks often benefit from inflation, as rising oil and gas prices can directly enhance profits for firms in that sector.
However, not every stock is an ideal candidate. It is essential to select high-quality companies with solid fundamentals, such as stable earnings, healthy balance sheets, and notable pricing power. Firms operating in industries with limited competition or significant barriers to entry often demonstrate stronger pricing capabilities, making them attractive choices during inflationary periods.
By integrating thoughtfully chosen equities into your portfolio, you can protect your wealth while positioning yourself for long-term success. Stocks remain a foundational element of effective inflation-hedging strategies, offering both growth potential and a buffer against the dwindling purchasing power of money.
Equity Growth Potential: Stocks tend to grow in value over the long term, often outpacing inflation. When inflation rises, companies can increase prices to maintain profit margins, which can lead to higher earnings and, eventually, stock prices. Investing in indices that reflect a broad range of companies, like the S&P 500, can provide exposure to this growth potential.
Indices, such as the S&P 500, are statistical measures that track the performance of a specific group of stocks, representing a particular segment of the financial market. The S&P 500, for instance, comprises 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States, covering various industries. This index serves as a benchmark for the overall performance of the U.S. stock market and provides investors with insights into market trends, economic health, and the performance of large-cap stocks.
Indices are commonly used by investors to gauge market movements, assess investment strategies, and create diversified portfolios. They can be passive investment vehicles, such as index funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which aim to replicate the performance of these indices, allowing investors to benefit from broad market exposure without needing to buy individual stocks directly.
S&P500 Weekly chart From 2009 till today
Read also:
Global Diversification: Mitigating Risks Across Borders
Inflation does not affect all economies with the same intensity; thus, diversifying investments internationally can serve as a powerful buffer against rising prices. By tapping into global markets, investors can shield their assets from localized inflation while gaining exposure to regions with robust economic prospects or consistently stable inflation rates—enhancing the overall performance of their portfolios.
Emerging markets, in particular, present compelling opportunities during inflationary periods. Characterized by expanding sectors and rising middle classes, these economies often offer higher returns than developed nations, especially when inflation diminishes the purchasing power of domestic assets. Resource-rich countries generally benefit as commodity prices climb, propelling economic growth and creating appealing investment opportunities.
International diversification also affords the benefit of currency diversification. By holding investments in multiple currencies, you gain exposure to exchange rate fluctuations that can mitigate the adverse effects of inflation. For example, if your home currency depreciates due to rising inflation, foreign assets denominated in stronger currencies may increase in value, acting as a natural hedge. Furthermore, currencies from economies with stable monetary policies can provide additional protection against inflationary pressures.
By spreading investments across diverse global markets, sectors, and currencies, you not only reduce inflation risks but also position yourself to capitalize on a range of economic dynamics. Global diversification stands out as one of the most effective defenses against inflation in today’s interconnected economy.
Real Estate: A Tangible Investment with Upside Potential
Real estate is widely recognized as one of the most effective assets during inflationary times. As a physical investment, real estate not only preserves value but often appreciates over time, frequently outpacing inflation rates. This makes it a potent hedge against inflation for both preserving and expanding wealth.
One key advantage of real estate lies in its capacity to generate rental income. In times of inflation, landlords can often increase rents to keep pace with rising costs, ensuring that their income grows along with inflation. This reliable cash flow becomes especially resilient during economic uncertainty.
Additionally, property values typically increase in correlation with inflation, driven by higher costs of construction materials, labor, and land. Investors who retain real estate during inflationary periods frequently observe a rise in asset values, granting both protection against inflation and opportunities for long-term gains.
For those preferring a hands-off investment experience, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) present an excellent alternative. REITs allow individuals to invest in a diversified array of real estate assets—such as commercial buildings, residential properties, and infrastructure projects—without the need for active management. These trusts generally perform well during inflation as they benefit from both rising property values and increasing rental income.
Moreover, real estate provides the added benefit of leveraging investments. By using borrowed funds to acquire property, investors can amplify their returns during inflation, as the value of their assets appreciates while the real costs of debt are diminished by inflation.
Precious Metals: A Time-Honored Financial Shield
Gold and other precious metals have stood the test of time as reliable hedges against inflation. During economic uncertainty and rising prices, these assets frequently prove their worth as safe havens. Unlike fiat currencies, which may depreciate during inflation, precious metals tend to maintain or appreciate in value, making them essential components of a diversified portfolio.
Gold's longstanding appeal stems from its ability to preserve purchasing power. When inflation erodes the value of paper money, gold often rises in price, acting as a shield against financial instability. Its widespread recognition as a store of value further enhances its reliability during periods of economic fluctuation.
Investors can obtain exposure to gold in various forms, including physical assets like bullion and coins, which provide tangible ownership, as well as Gold ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) that allow trading without logistical concerns of storage. Furthermore, gold mining stocks can offer leveraged exposure to the metal; as gold prices rise, mining companies typically see their profit margins expand, making their stocks potentially lucrative investments.
Emerging alongside these traditional forms is digital gold, allowing investors to purchase fractional amounts of gold online. This modern strategy combines the ease of ETFs with the security of owning physical gold, appealing to those looking to diversify with smaller investments.
Gold also plays a unique role in market psychology. Its historical significance and status as a "crisis commodity" render it a go-to asset during geopolitical tensions or economic downturns. Incorporating precious metals into your investment approach—whether through physical assets, ETFs, mining stocks, or digital gold—enables effective shielding of your wealth from inflation while providing the flexibility to adapt to market shifts.
Gold Futures Weekly chart from 2010 till now.
Conclusion
Inflation, while often gradual and subtle, can have a profound effect on your financial stability. By adopting astute investment strategies that hedge against inflation—such as investing in stocks, diversifying internationally, acquiring real estate, holding precious metals. As economic conditions change, staying informed and proactive will empower you to navigate and thrive in challenging environments. With the right strategies, you can not only keep pace with inflation but also secure a brighter financial future.
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Learn What is Confirmation Bias | Trading Psychology Basics
In this educational article, we will discuss one of the most common cognitive errors of newbie traders - a confirmation bias.
In order to better understand that term, I want to start with the example:
Let's say that after doing some research, you are highly convinced that Bitcoin is bullish and that it is a decent investment.
You decide to buy that from 90.000 level, expecting the exponential growth.
Instead of growing, however, the market starts falling rapidly.
Rather than closing your position in loss, you decide to do a new research and execute the analysis, you start looking for the proof of your pre-existing beliefs. You completely neglect the voices of Bitcoin sceptics and ignore bearish clues on the price chart.
You consider only the facts that support a bullish outloo k, not letting you accept the other point of view.
You become a victim of a confirmation bias.
Unfortunately, such a psychological trap frequently prevents a closing of a trading position in time, leading to substantial losses.
Confirmation bias is a common psychological error that makes a subject overvalue the information that upholds his existing beliefs and undervalue the opposing one.
Here are the most common symptoms of that trap:
1️⃣One is neglecting the objective facts.
2️⃣One is interpreting information in a way to support the existing beliefs.
3️⃣One is considering only the facts that conform with his point of view.
4️⃣One is completely ignoring the information that challenges his beliefs.
The only way to beat a confirmation bias in trading, is to learn to analyze the market from sellers' and from buyers' perspective . Your task is to compare the view of the 2 sides, and pick the one that is stronger, holding in mind the fact that everything can change.
You should always remember of the changing nature of financial markets and be ready to always reassess your views.
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The Cycles of Cryptocurrencies: Patience is Key!Hey, let's share with beginners, ok =)?
The cryptocurrency market is widely known for its volatility, and understanding the cycles of highs and lows is essential for those looking to invest wisely. These cycles are a natural part of the financial ecosystem and often follow patterns similar to those of other speculative markets.
During moments of high prices, known as “bull runs,” enthusiasm takes over. Headlines boast astronomical gains, investors pour in en masse, and there’s a general feeling that "this time is different." Many beginners end up buying at the peak, driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO).
On the other hand, moments of low prices, or “bear markets,” bring uncertainty and pessimism. Prices plummet, and the same investors who bought during the hype start selling, often out of desperation or lack of understanding of the cycles. It's important to remember that markets have historically recovered, rewarding those who remain calm and patient.
The lesson here is clear: don’t act on impulse. Experienced investors see downturns as opportunities to buy assets at lower prices, while beginners end up selling at a loss—losses that could have been avoided with a long-term strategy.
If you're just starting in the cryptocurrency world, remember: patience is key. Avoid acting emotionally, always educate yourself about the market, and understand that opportunities aren’t lost—they simply change hands. Plan your investments, set clear goals, and above all, don’t panic.
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