Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) - Solutions?Hi Traders. Today's I'm going to discuss about "Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)". It is a very common trait among new and experienced traders. Till present, I still have this 'evil' occasionally popping out leading to unnecessary loss. One thing to remind yourself is that, emotion isn't something you can eliminate completely. Human beings were made with emotions, what you can do is to organize your mind to control its performance.
"Chains of habits are too light to be felt until they are too heavy to be broken" - Warren Buffett
Constantly learning and practicing, put knowledge as the priority is what you can do to improve your performance and ensure your mind is at its peak. Do the right thing. The illustration above isn't a general representation of all, but for someone who's regularly over-trading and revenge trading, this post is worth a read. Below I've concluded several points if you're having FOMO.
1. Emotionally triggered/ attached - During my early phase of trading, I was always emotionally triggered or shock by the market movement. Eg. "Why is it going up? Why is it going down? Why is it doing this? Why is it not doing this?". First and foremost, the market movement is created by millions of traders (randomness). In the short-term it is mostly driven by technicals, long-term mostly driven by fundamentals. No one has any control over the market movement or its direction (Unless you're doing insiders' trading). Do not try to impose your personal will or expectations in the market, because it simply doesn't care. Trade what you see, conduct your due diligence, that's it. If you're always having that stubbornness thinking you must be right, it's just the matter of time where reality hits and you'll get hurt pretty badly.
2. Not following your initial plan - To be consistently profitable, you need to tackle the market everyday in the same perspective. You cannot allow yourself to constantly switch from one strategy to another. Consistent action plan generates consistent result, put more attention into the process not the outcome. "The eagerness to control the outcome is illusional" - Rande Howell
3. Constant re-assessment (Overthinking) - If you're a FOMO person, you'd tend to overthink a lot. "What If I don't sell now It goes down? What If I don't buy now It goes up?" You simply do not need to get involved in the market all the time to make money, profit comes when you're doing the right thing over a long period of time.
4. Jump from one bias to another - From the illustration above, have you ever switch from long bias to short bias so quickly just because you "think" you're wrong? Because of some sudden market movement, you unconsciously throw your initial plan out of the window then make some impulsive decisions. If yes, then from now onwards you MUST remind yourself that there are only 3 general directions in the market (Up/ Down/ Sideway). Stick to your initial plan or bias, unless you're an experienced trader with great flexibility on spotting short-term momentum shift. Or else, simply allow the market reveal whether you're right or wrong. Avoid rotational market condition especially when you're new into trading, because it is usually where majority tend to give back their hard earned profits.
5. No strategy/ game plan - Trading is not a get-rich-quick game. Work hard, study, and practice to improve your knowledge. It is a marathon not a sprint, to succeed in this business you will experience failure. Never give up, and learn to make peace with your losses. As long as you stay in the business long enough, you will succeed. Put in the effort to back-test, it gives you the confidence to execute the same setup repeatedly as you have the data to back-up your mental capital when you're having some terrible drawdown. Yes, I've seen traders who succeed without back-testing, but trust me it is very unlikely. Knowledge is power.
6. Nervous/ panic - This is one of the common texts I receive regularly. "What should I do? I am currently down xxx $ amount". Discipline is the toughest yet the strongest tool in trading. If you're uncertain about your decision or the outcome, simply avoid them. Hesitation comes from fear, If you're uncertain about a position, don't take them. It makes no sense putting your money at risk on something that you don't even know. Quality over quantity, focus on high probability setups. How do you assess the quality of a setup? Simply back-test them, then find out the long-term expectancy of the strategy.
"The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." - Warren Buffett
Comment down below what's your worst losing streaks and what's the underlying cause?
Trade safe as usual.
Do follow my profile for daily fx forecast & educational content.
Risk Management
US Indices Backtesting and Charting Session On Price Action Hello everyone:
As promised I will periodically make these backtesting/chart work videos on different markets, pairs and timeframes.
This is for me to present the importance of backtesting in trading consistency.
Not only it will help traders to not have emotional decisions such as FOMO or fear of losing, it will give traders confidence at identifying trade opportunities and execute them when the time comes.
The more we do backtesting, the easier we spot an entry, setting a SL/TP, and remove any emotional decisions.
Today I want to go into the US Indices, specifically the SPY, NASDAQ, DOW. I will pick a few market crashed examples and dig deeper into them.
Few educational videos below on the topic of backtesting, and why it will help you in your trading journey.
How & Why I backtest:
Prevent Blowing an account by backtesting:
Backtesting & Chartwork on USDCAD:
Any questions, comments, or feedback please let me know :)
Thank you
Jojo
Education: Why you should NOT buy or trade signals!" Give a Man a Fish, and You Feed Him for a Day. Teach a Man To Fish, and You Feed Him for a Lifetime " - unknown origin *
🔴 What does this quote mean, and how does it related to trading (signals)?
The quote means that you can indeed resolve an issue by providing a hungry man a fish, serving his immediate need, but if you really want to help him you should teach him to become self-sufficient.
Similarly, while providing a signal, you can provide the signal to a winning trade to someone, but if you really want to help him, you teach him how to analyze the market and become self-sufficient in trading.
🔴 DISCLAIMER
This post will probably get some backlash from users who provide signals, be it paid or not, because it goes against their "business model" and might reduce their revenues in one way or the other. But that is fine by me, this is my personal opinion, and I advise every single reader of this publication to draw his own conclusions.
🔴 What are trading signals?
Trading signals at a minimum constitute of an entry price and a direction. Example : buy $Gold at 1825 USD.
Some (but not all) signal providers also give you a Profit Target and/or a Stop Loss . They give you actionable information on where to open a trade, which direction you should trade and sometimes when you should close the trade.
🔴 That's easy! Nothing wrong with that, it can make me money, right! Right???
Yes, it can, you are absolutely right that you can make money off a trading signal.
However, there are a couple of questions that you need to ask yourself :
How many trades, what percentage, can you expect to win?
If not provided, where should you take profit or cut your losses?
What is the reason for entering the trade?
What confidence do you have in the trade if you're just following someone elses instructions?
What if you lose 10 trades in a row, was this expected?
Who is responsible for your losses? You, or the signal provider?
What do you learn from trading signals?
What are the emotions you have to go through during the trade?
What if your signal provider stops?
🤔 Additionally the question arises why the signals are provided.
Is it altruism? Or is it conceivable that the provider does not make enough by trading and wants to top-up his gains(?) by selling signals. Income from trading is not guaranteed, when you sell signal you make your profit the moment the transaction takes place, independent of the outcome of the trade. That's guaranteed 💰.
And yes, people will be unhappy and no longer order the providers' services, but there are always new "potential buyers" coming to the financial markets.
💡 " Trading signals does not guarantee your income, it guarantees the signal providers' income. "
🔴 OK, fair enough, but what should I do if I don't know how to trade?
Allow me to be blunt here, if you don't know how to trade, you should either learn how to trade, either keep your money in your pockets.
Ask yourself why you want to trade? What is the end goal?
► If you say that you just want to make some extra money, then taking up a 2nd job is a much more reliable source of income than throwing your money at the markets based on something someone else said, don't you agree?
Other than that, as said earlier, if you depend on a signal provider, that income (if any) will disappear the moment the signals do.
► If you want to become a trader, become financially independent, get rid of your daytime job, get out of that hamster wheel, I strongly suggest you invest the time and effort to learn how to trade for yourself.
🔴 MY ADVICE
Don't be lazy
Don't trade signals and
Learn how to trade
Hustle
Grind
Fail
Learn from your mistakes
Fail again
Don't give up
Don't expect to become rich overnight
Keep learning
Do your own research and analysis
Rinse and repeat until you succeed ....
That, imho is the only way you will achieve the financial goals you have set for yourself and feel good about it...
So, let's take our initial proverb and give it a trader twist:
👉🏻👉🏻👉🏻 " Give a Man a Signal, and You Could Feed Him for a Day. Teach a Man To Trade, and You Feed Him for a Lifetime " - Nico Muselle
💥The decision is all yours, if you want it bad enough, you can do it!💥
🔴 Useful information
This TradingView article gives you some additional information on the things you shouldn't do ... Give it a read before you hand out your hard earned money.
www.tradingview.com
Do you agree? What is your view on signals?
Let's open the discussion in the comments below ...
✌🏻 PEACE OUT
Liked this post ? "Smash that like button!" 👍 - follow for more educational posts and alerts 🔔 when a new one is published.
Oh, and maybe you'll like the related ideas linked below as well?
Thank you for your visit! 🙏
Make profitable trading decisionsHi Fellow Traders
The greatest tool in your arsenal is your Risk/ Reward rules when evaluating the potential expencency and outcome of each scenario. By using this to protect your account it may help you to survive long enough to be profitable.
Risk/ reward is quite simple. If I risk $1 on a trade, I need to make on average $1.50 to be profitable. In other words, my risk is 1 and my reward 1.5, therefore it is a 1:1.5 risk/ reward ratio, which is acceptable to potentially enter a trade if it meets your criteria.
You want to try an average between 1:1.3 and 1:1.7 when looking for trade opportunities.
The Risk/ reward tool on Tradeview is excellent for evaluating and getting a proper picture of the potential upside and downside before making a decision.
I hope you enjoy the video and that I have been able to contribute to your potential success as a trader.
Please feel free to comment and reach out if you help.
Regards
Wayne_G
Trading Psychology - State of MindHi Traders. Today's topic is something I've been highlighting all the time which is trading psychology. Bare in mind, you can have or given the best strategies but still not being consistently profitable due to an unhealthy psychological state. The other day, there was one relatively new trader, 1 month into the business asking for my help, as he was involved in a EU short without any Stop Loss with over 100pips negative. Pray & hope is a common mistake of new traders, if you are watching this post It is likely that you're trying to improve yourself. In this educational post I will be uncovering some of the emotions that we all go through as a trader.
Winning
Ask yourself, how many times when you have an amazing plan, but it got thrown out of the window just because your account was in a huge unrealized profit? Greediness (Euphoria) kicks in, you begin doing things that's not included in your initial plan, you scale-in and over-leverage thinking that this MUST be "that" winning trade. Ego and arrogant starts kicking in, result in irrational behaviour. Always remind yourself that, no matter how good you are at predicting the market, the probability of outcome of each trade remains 50/50. The only way that you can have an edge in the market is by back-testing, and utilize the past data into your advantage to develop strategies that give you positive expectancy overtime. Constantly imprint your initial plan into your brain regardless of how well the position is moving into your favour, have an exit plan beforehand, and stick to it. Things can always go wrong, stay focused.
Losing
Fear comes from hesitation. For majority of novice traders, they're always hesitating clicking that buy & sell button. simply because they're not willing to put in the work to back-test, practice, and learn. Believe or not, I've seen plenty of confident traders telling me that they are going to be "the one". Imagining that they can master the craft within months, but that's simply not the ugly reality. Market decides wherever direction it wants to go, if you're thinking that you can beat the market, you're putting yourself into some self-sabotaging mentality. Usually what happen when traders' in drawdown, is that they'll begin overthinking. Being denial that they 'cant' be wrong, which is a huge warning sign of indiscipline. Result in moving their stops, not cutting their losers quickly, or at worst not having any SL. As mentioned earlier, the probability of outcome of each trade is always 50/50, regardless of how "market genius" you are. If you're wrong on particular position, cut it and move on. Believe in your intuition, when things go wrong, it really does. There's always another trading day, there's always more opportunities, get a break and come back stronger. Imagine your account balance as your bullets, you can't fire a gun without it, do not make unrecoverable mistakes just because of that moment of irrationality.
Emotional Control (Balanced)
This is what every successful trader striving for, which is understanding their own emotions and pull the hand brake when necessary. Every successful trader I've met have one common trait, which is having little opinion in the market. Novice traders always think that to make huge profit, you 'must' know which direction its going. By having little opinion in the market, it allows you to have a peaceful state of mind, allowing the markets to do whatever it wants and stay reactive. "Trade what you see not what you think", stay humble, and be an observant. You do not need to be involved in positions all the time to make profit, successful traders know when to step back and remains rational all the time. Do get it right, being a successful trader does not mean you need to get it right 100% of the time, it is about how fast you are able to recover yourself during a drawdown period, and avoid being sucked into the emotional vortex.
Personally, long long time ago when I first started trading, I got involved in an AUDUSD short position, I was down over 120 pips ended up receive a margin call, blew up 75% of my account. But hey, It was a great experience!
Comment down below what's your worst trading nightmare, and share your experience!
Knowledge is power. Know how to make peace with your losses and profits will come. "The outcome of a trade cannot be controlled, but the mind can be organized to control its performance" - Rande Howell
Trade safe as usual.
Do follow my profile for daily fx forecast & educational content.
Detail look into “M” & “W” Structures/Patterns in Price Action
Hello everyone:
Welcome back to another price action structures/patterns video.
Today let's take a look into the “M” and “W” style structures/patterns.
Many traders may use these types of structures/patterns in their trading plan/strategies.
Let me show you guys my interpretation of them, and how I utilize them in my trading as well.
It's important to understand many of my previous price action analysis, structures/patterns videos all tie into this one as well, I will put those links below.
Essentially, a “M” or “W” style pattern is a double tops/bottoms pattern that appears mostly towards an end of a run of the current price.
They are “reversal” price action structures/patterns. They are most effective when we tie in other price action structures/patterns with it.
Let me give multiple examples of these structures/patterns in different markets and time frames.
“M” Style Pattern
-Double tops structure after price failed to continue the first initial push down.
-Top of the Right M, needs to have a reversal structure on the LTF or smaller time frames (ascending channel, H and S pattern..etc)
-Can either enter at the breakout of the reversal structure or the first correction after the impulse down
“W” Style Pattern
-Double Bottoms after price failed to continue the first initial push up.
-bottom of the Right W, needs to have a reversal structure on the LTF or smaller time frames (descending channel, Inverse H and S pattern..etc)
-Can either enter at the breakout of the reversal structure or the first correction after the impulse up
Double Top/Bottoms:
Ascending/Descending channel:
Head and Shoulder Pattern:
Continuation/Reversal Correction:
Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
As always, any questions, comments or feedback please let me know.
Thank you
Jojo
How to trade successfully - Crypto1. Knowledge Is Power
2. Set Aside Funds
3. Set Aside Time, Too
4. Start Small
5. Avoid Penny Stocks
6. Time Those Trades
7. Cut Losses With Limit Orders
8. Be Realistic About Profits
9. Stay Cool
10. Stick to the Plan
Successful traders have to move fast, but they don't have to think fast. Why? Because they've developed a trading strategy in advance, along with the discipline to stick to that strategy. It is important to follow your formula closely rather than try to chase profits. Don't let your emotions get the best of you and abandon your strategy. There's a mantra among day traders: "Plan your trade and trade your plan."
Two New Tools to Improve Your ProcessProcess is important. It's how you stay disciplined. It's also how you focus on the ideas and strategies that you are best at. In this post, we'll show you two tools that may help your investing or trading process.
Our New Alerts
Create an alert and then sit back and wait. Get a notification delivered to your phone, email, and browser. Right-click on your chart to add an Alert or click the Alert icon ⏰ if you're on our free mobile app. Make the markets work for you by creating alerts at important price levels.
Our team is excited to show you our new alert feature that supports dynamic messages. This is a game changer for those who understand Pine Script and the importance of alerts. You can now code alerts to display messages that dynamically adjust based on price action or other factors. Our new script alerts use an `alert()` function, which works in both strategies and studies. To get started with this, open the Pine Editor at the bottom of your chart while on a desktop computer. To learn more about this, read our launch blog post here.
New Watchlist Features
We know how important your Watchlist is. That's why we recently launched Sections and made it easy to add symbols to your list. To get started, open TradingView on your desktop computer and then right-click on your Watchlist. Then select either of these two options: Add Sections or Add Symbol. Sections will create a divider on your Watchlist with a custom name. This tool will help you better organize your Watchlist. If you click Add Symbol you will be directed to add a symbol of your choice to that exact point on your list. By the way, if you're reading this from our mobile app, you can press and hold on any symbol to remove, flag or open a chart. Pro tip: your watchlist syncs perfectly between your mobile phone and computer. Take your watchlist anywhere.
We hope you enjoyed this post! If you have any questions or comments, please write them below. Our team wants to help and we listen to your feedback.
Risk Management: prevent blowing a trading account
Hello everyone:
Today I want to go in depth into this particular topic as many beginner traders will make this similar mistake in trading sometimes in their trading journey.
It's important to understand that it's all part of a learning curve you must endure when it comes to consistency in trading. I myself had done this in the beginning of my trading time, and it ultimately comes down to how you manage your emotion that is going to help you to learn from this mistake and move forward. Some may go ahead and start making the mistakes that I will mention below, and accelerate into blowing their account. Some may acknowledge what's happening, and learn from their mistakes to prevent such things from happening in the future.
There are several key factors on what a trader should do and understand in order to not blow a trading account. I have made several key videos on these different topics which I will include below. I will touch on all these topics to provide a well-rounded suggestion and feedback on this matter. It's very important that you must have a good understanding of each area so it will help you to not only be consistent but to also continue to grow and compound your trading account in the future.
Few key points:
Trading Plan
A trading plan outlines your plan, rules and management for your trades. You must have a good written plan to guide you in situations. We don't make emotional decisions that may lead to many trading errors. Focus on creating one is the start. Have a few go to setups that you always look for in the market. Identify them and screenshot them so you know to take those over and over again.
Backtesting
We backtest so we are familiar with price action and the market’s movement. By backtesting, we train our brain to recognize the same/similar price action that has happened in the past. This allows us to execute without fear, or fear of missing out.
Backtest & Chartwork
Forecasting/Scanning the market:
Forecast the market is how we get a bias with the current live price action of the market. We see setups we like, and have confirmations to enter. If they don't happen or develop, no trade and move on. No need to have “ego” to prove everyone you are right.
How to scan the market
Risk management
Stick to proper risk management. 1% or a set amount is usually the best. Having a 3:1 RR is ideal when trading so even if you are less than 50% strike rate trader, you will see at least BE or small profits. Make sure you understand the exposure you are putting yourself into.
Stop Loss
When it comes to calculating your entries, you must set a Stop less on every trade. Don't just remove it in hope the price will turn around. Many new traders often don't set SL or move them as price gets close. This is how you will lose more money in the long run.
Trading Psychology: (FOMO)
Fear of missing out and fear of losing are the biggest trading psychology trader encounter. However, if you do enough backtesting, and have a plan in place, you can potentially remove these emotions. Understand that you will never capture all the moves that happen in the market, be graceful and positive on the opportunities you get.
Over Leveraged
Most new traders over leveraged their account. Having a small account with huge leverage is why traders blow their account in a short time. Leverage can work for you as well as against you. You must understand properly on leverage, margin and more. This ties you with your risk management and your SL.
Revenge trading
When new traders start losing money, they tend to want to “revenge” their losses by entering random trades, multiple trades and more. This combining with over leverage is how a new trader can blow their account in 1 day.
Journal:
Last but not least, journal down every single trade that you have taken. Whether it resulted in profit or loss. This is how you can learn from your past experiences. Do not deviate from this. Most new traders feel this is unnecessary and choose not to do it. Unfortunately, if you don't do them, your trading journey will not move forward. You will still make the same mistakes over and over again. Blowing an account is something no one wants to go through, but if a trader does not acknowledge his/her mistakes, then it is very likely to happen again and again.
So these are the few key areas where a trader should pay close attention to in order to not blow their trading account. The different strategies you trade aren't the issues why some blow their accounts, rather it's about their plan, management, mindset, emotion, psychology and expectations that ultimately decide the faith of the trading account.
Thank you
Jojo
HOW-TO A look at loses with the MTP History TrianglesIn this help Tutorial, I would like to take a look at losing trades, with a review of our "History Triangles", that are part of the MTPredictor trade (and advanced) trade Setups.
Our History Tringles are the small green triangles that are placed on the chart when a valid MTP trade setup is filled on the next bar, then stopped out as the market moves in the same direction without making a new swing Pivot. As shown in the video, you can go back in time by using the Bar Replay feature to then take a look at what happened at the point of the History Triangle. We understand that using a 3min Chart is a shorter time frame that is usually used on TradingView, but this was a good example to show how, once the Chart has been rolled back (using Bar Replay), the MTP Analysis could then have been placed on the MTP trade setup to then show what happened as the market moved forward. As you can see, this would have resulted in a new short trade that was stopped out for a loss.
Please note that not all History Triangles are losses, as the market could make a double top/bottom, which would print a History Triangle on the chart without the trade having been stopped out.
I hope this video has helped to understand what our History Triangles are and how to use them to view what could have been a losing trade at the time.
It is so important to understand, and accept, that no matter what trading approach you take in your own trading, that losses can and will occur. That is why it is vital to keep those inevitable losses small, and Position Sizing is one method to achieve that. I will have to do another Tutorial on Position Sizing soon for you all :)
USDCAD Backtesting & Chart Work session on Price Action AnalysisHello everyone:
Welcome to a backtesting/charting session on price action analysis.
Many have inquired about how to properly identify market phrases (Impulse phrase vs corrective phrase).
In addition, how to use trendline properly to identify a structure/pattern as a continuation or reversal correction.
This session will be the start to all these.
So let's take a look into this. To start, make sure you have a new chart layout just for backtesting/charting work.
his won't get overlapped on your current chart for your normal analysis.
Utilizing tradingview’s feature on “replay”, this is how we can backtest and do chart work on previous price action that has already happened.
As we already see the price moved in that period of time, we then look for potential buy/sell bias entries to get familiar with the move within the market.
1. Start from the Higher time frames, top down approach. Utilize multi-time frame analysis to your advantage.
2. Identify what market phrase you are in, is the current price in a HTF impulse phrase ? or in a corrective phrase.
3. Now that you have a more clear bias on the HTF, then go down to the lower time frame to confirm your bias.
Do we see the same bearish/bullish price action on the LTF as well ? If so then that's a good indication that both HTF and LTF have the same buy/sell opportunity.
Look for possible entries on the LTF.
4. Repeat this process with different pairs, different markets to “program” our minds into looking for the similar buy/sell setups in the current, live market.
This is how we don't get FOMO, or fear of losing. If you have done enough backtesting and charting, then you simply remove the emotion out of the equation.
You have seen the move play out over and over again, then it comes down to probabilities.
Feel free to ask me questions, comments or feedback :)
Thank you
Three Ways To Make Better Decisions in MarketsBefore we dive in, it’s important to share a few more words about who we are. We empower traders and investors with professional-grade tools, charts, news, and global data that was once only available to select groups. Our tools are available to everyone on desktop or mobile. Our goal is to empower traders and investors to grow over the long run. 💪
The key driver behind this post is that you don’t want to rush anything before understanding what's at risk, your goals and long-term plan. We realize that in spite of our efforts and intentions, sometimes people get swayed by irresponsible posts across social media, inevitably leading to unmet expectations. We want to help people avoid this. So let's talk about three ways to make better decisions in markets. Remember, this post is strictly for education in a very fascinating time in market history! Keep reading... 👇
1) Do not blindly follow someone else’s opinion without doing your own research. Use the tools available to you to learn, study, and analyze markets.
Our social network is big and growing. We encourage everyone to publish their first idea, try chats, and follow others. It's never been a better time to meet fellow traders, learn with them, and grow. But as social media converges with markets, there are several important risks to discuss. Avoid picking up bad habits, being swayed by popular opinion, and succumbing to peer pressure. Avoid doing something you have not given critical thought to, objectively analyzed or evaluated yourself. These risks can include trading before you are ready, overtrading due to the abundance of ideas, putting up bigger positions than your account can handle, and changing your mind mid-trade. Keep calm and think first. Take advantage of the tools available to you whether that's backtesting, paper trading, or looking for other opinions that challenge your thesis.
2) Do not expect easy profits just because everyone is talking about it. Instead look for peer review, meaningful connections, and ways to test your own ideas.
No matter how many likes an idea receives, no matter how confident its author may appear or how many chat messages are being shared, there is no guarantee markets will play out as planned. It makes more sense to first review, study, and research an idea yourself to see if it fits your long-term plan. The bottom line is this: someone else’s view should never be relied upon as a substitute for you doing your own analysis before making actual trading decisions. Our social network is best used for peer-review, new connections, and critical feedback to help develop your strategies and understanding of markets. We have a education section dedicated to this. We also have a community of Pine Coders coding the markets. The community here is meant to help you with feedback, ideas, and new concepts.
3) Do not ask for blind real-time signals in chats or comments aiming for easy gains. Instead focus on building your long-term strategy and maintaining a realistic approach.
As social media and financial markets converge, more and more people are expecting easy answers on when to buy or sell. In our public chats (you can find them on the right-hand side of the platform) we encourage people to keep this mind and dig deeper. You won’t learn anything from asking buy or sell questions. You have to study, research, and examine price action beforehand. Our social networking tools offer great opportunities to talk in real-time and exchange opinions, views, and research. Using them the right way will help you grow as a trader and learn from others over the long haul. But making hurried trading decisions based on flimsy trade calls is rarely a good idea. Just don’t do it!
There’s no better way to learn than by immersing yourself in an environment that exposes you to many different ideas, conversations, and strategies. We hope that our platform boosts your knowledge of markets while allowing you to perfect your craft. Insights from others can also help you make better decisions, but only if used in a thoughtful manner that focuses on patience, process, and education. In addition, always remember that you have the tools right in front of you to perform your best research.
Thank you for reading! We look forward to hearing your thoughts below. 🙏
Tips and Tricks to create an EMA Crossover SystemIn this video I show you how to set up an EMA Crossover system as proscribed by Market Wizard Ed Seykota:
-How to find what EMA lengths to use
-How to reduce whipsaws
-How to read the strategy results
-What type of risk to use and how to limit drawdown
-How to deal with higher fees
-How to set up the alerts when you find a good EMA length combination
Summary:
-I've programmed the above methodology: search for "EMA Crossover" in the indicator search and pick the author "gregoirejohnb".
-The Slow EMA should be 3x the Fast EMA
-To take more trades: DECREASE the Length
-To take fewer trades: INCREASE the Length
-To reduce whipsaws: INCREASE the multiplier
-Test a Long Only strategy on historically strong markets
Remember, there are no magic numbers so don't stress over the "perfect" EMA lengths. Get the settings that look good to you with enough profit and as low of drawdown as possible, and then go trade. The secret to trading is limiting your risk!
🚨 Dangers Out There For NEW TRADERS 🚨 Risk management has to be top priority of every trader. better to know more about risk management as early as possible otherwise, After taking tons of losses trader understands importance of risk management. Next up - we have lack of a proven strategy. There are a number of decent strategies out right now, but none come close to the simplicity and effectiveness of our proven and test proprietary strategy.
Following those, out next issue is brokers! Let me clarify: A certain broker WILL NOT make you a better trader than any other broker. Once you have the knowledge and skill set, you can use any broker that you like! But- Whether it be high commissions or the tools that are being offered, not all brokers are created equal!
📜 Trading Rules for Beginners:Remember guys a trader doesn’t predict the future, a trader reacts to the market following a strategy.
A winning strategy is to outline all the possibilities and have a plan for each of them!!! Always have a strategy and a plan before entering any position in the market!
A profitable trade that doesn’t follow your plan can’t be considered a good trade, by contrast a lose trade that sticks to your plan, still a good trade!
Stick to your plan and you will be a winner in the long term!!! .
Weekly Trading Recaps: AUDJPY, XLMUSD, SUGAR, BTCUSD Jan 24 2021Hello everyone
Welcome back to another quick weekly trade recap video on the positions.
I am currently in the mountains (lol) so may not get to my usual weekly outlook stream due to internet. But hopefully still update analysis :)
AUDJPY - Second position got out for BE. Currently in the third position in.
XLMUSD - Took out for a 1% loss.
BTCUSD - Still Holding, currently @ 3% profit.
SUGAR - Still holding, currently @ 2.5% profit.
Any questions, comments, or feedback welcome to let me know below.
Thank you
[Risk Management trick] Tilting the "Math" in your favor!We all try to find the strategies which offer best possible win probabilities.
Yet, we often overlook another crucial component of increasing your odds of winning => risk management.
Today, I am going to show you how you can use a simple risk management trick to tilt the "Math" in your favor.
Would you like to increase the output of your strategy by 25% without doing anything extra?
Imagine a 3R win suddenly increasing to 3.75R with no change in the strategy at all.
Consider this trade...
We are trying to setup a sell trade with a very defined -1R risk and +3R profit.
If we were to loose this trade, we will loose 1% of our capital - and if we win, we will make 3% in return (3RR).
Here, we assumed that we'll exit the trade when price moves -1R completely against us.
What if, we pivot our thinking and assume the trade is lost when price has moved -0.8R : because if the trade goes that much against you, there's a very high probability that it'll hit your stop loss too. There is no reason to pretend that it can still turn around at the last moment. Murphy's law truly applies here - "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong".
If we do really pivot our thinking, lets see how it works in our favor!
The Stop loss is now updated and set at -0.8R
So a win will still give us the same 3%, but the loss will only wipe out -0.8% from our account.
Now because our profit targets are still setup as per the original 1% trade, you can now see that we now get this extra reward if our trade hits its original 3R target
The moment we draw 3R as per our new -0.8R stop loss, we get this - You can see how the 3R with -0.8R stop loss is achieved much before than the 3R with -1R stop loss (obviously)!
That means, the extra reward you got when the trade reached your original 3R - is additional profit which you now have - without ever changing your trading strategy!
3/0.8 = 0.75 (which is 25% of your original 3R target)
0.75/3 = 25%
You now have extra an 25% reward for free!
New RR = 3.75
This is a very beautiful math equation for yet another reason!
Imagine you lost your trade with a -0.8R => the additional 0.75R you will achieve (for free) from another trade will extremely quickly cover up anything you lost.
As you can see, we can really use sound risk management techniques & Math to our benefit.
This is called : Tilting the "Math" in your favor!
Futures Vs Forex Platforms Same instrument different levels of risk permitted. That can make or break a trader by over leveraging an account, and not applying proper risk management. Able to risk 2% or less and the ability to scale in for more profit without having to compromise your risk percentage is the key advantage in a forex platform. I was able to enter the same trade on a forex platform and bailed that same trade on a futures platform all because the risk was too high.
The Broker Awards - Bringing More Transparency to MarketsOur first-ever Broker Awards are here. Together, we can bring more transparency to financial markets. Connect a broker of your choice to your TradingView account, research markets, and manage orders seamlessly based on your research. Then rate, review, and follow your favorite broker. Your reviews will help others find a perfect broker for their needs whether it's equities, forex, futures or crypto. Visit our Top Brokers page to see all of the brokers available.
We launched our Broker Awards to congratulate the best brokers based on your reviews. Real traders who write and rate brokers with verified reviews. We're creating a marketplace that brings more transparency to financial markets. By building this marketplace we can reduce bad experiences, give people a chance to share their opinions, and connect customers with the perfect broker for them. Remember - these awards are based on a combination of your reviews, ratings, comments, and overall usage.
Now let's get to the awards! 🎉
Drum roll please... 🥁🥁🥁🥁
Broker of the Year : TradeStation
Connect your TradingView account to TradeStation and access their ultimate trading services across equities, equity/index options, futures, and cryptocurrencies markets. Follow them here.
Most Popular Broker : OANDA
Founded in 1996, OANDA is a leading online trading broker, regulated in all key global markets. Specializing in Forex and CFD trading, OANDA offers tight pricing on a full portfolio of products. Follow them here.
Social Champion : FXCM
FXCM's purpose remains unchanged over its 20-year history. FXCM is a leading provider of online foreign exchange trading. Follow their social posts here.
Most Innovative Tech : TradeStation
For those who connect their TradingView account to TradeStation, you've noticed the upgrades and made that clear in your reviews.
Best Multi-Asset Broker : TradeStation
Crypto, equities, options, and futures are all available to you with a single connected account.
Best Futures Broker : Tradovate
Tradovate is a modern, cloud-based futures broker offering unlimited, commission-free trading for a flat price. No per-trade commissions, platform licensing fees or order routing fees. Follow them here.
Best Forex Broker : OANDA
With nearly 6,000 verified reviews, your votes made it clear about who you wanted to nominate as the best forex broker. Read every review here.
Best Crypto Broker : Gemini
Gemini offers an industry-leading suite of crypto-native products and advanced tools for individuals and institutions. Buy, sell, and store cryptocurrency with world-class security. Follow them here.
Congratulations to the winners! Special thank you to all of the brokers who work with us and the community of traders who rate and review their broker. We believe this level of transparency will help more people find the perfect broker for their needs. Let's keep it going and please remember to rate and review your broker. Your reviews make a difference. ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
If you would like to request a broker to add to TradingView, please write the name in the comments below and also send them a message. Your support will help us get in contact with them and let them know this is an important connection. Once again, thank you to our broker partners and the community for writing their reviews.
WHY TRADERS LOSE THEIR MONEY?Hi every one
this article is about why people lose money on trading platforms such as forex and crypto and stock markets:
1- Not having clear strategy:
+{You need to have one or more specific strategies and act on them!
You should prepare a checklist for each strategy, and this checklist should include tools specific to that strategy
And when trading, follow your strategy and the tools in your strategy}
2- Not taking lessons from their mistakes:
+{If you lose in a deal, see what you did wrong and investigate and learn from it so it doesn't happen again}
3- Not sticking to risk management rule:
+click it
A simple explanation of money management!
4- Don t cut your profit:
+{Limit your losses and let your profits run}
5- Don t over trade:
+Excessive trading has two important problems:
A-{causes a lot of stress and excitement}
B-{You have to pay more commission}
6- Don t force yourself to make money
7- change your mindset from gambling and making a million over a night
+{Forget the mentality of getting rich overnight ,Those who are patient win and those who are not patient lose}
8- make a responsible mindset and report to someone.
9- Don t trade when you are emotional.
10- Don t try to beat the market just follow the market
+{We should not move ahead of the market, we should follow the market trends, whether ascending or descending}
11- this is a serious business don't play with your money for excitement.
please take note of this article so that you would be successful in your trading life.
How I trade Head and Shoulder Price Action Pattern/StructureHello everyone:
In this quick educational video, I will go over how I utilize Head and Shoulder Pattern/structure in the market.
Specifically, how I identify reversal price action from a Head and Shoulder Pattern.
It's important to understand that Head and Shoulder Is a reversal structure in the market.
When we identify these patterns, they are usually at the top or the bottom of the over price action,
and its signaling a bullish or a bearish trend may be exhausted, and a reversal trend may begin.
Typical H and S will have a bullish move up, followed by a continuation correction (Left Shoulder), and move up again.
At the peak (Head) , instead of a continuation to push up further, we then see a reversal bearish push down.
Then, we see price form that bearish continuation correction (Right Shoulder) now, looking to push the price back lower.
Just like any other price action structures/patterns that I have been talking about, these structures/patterns will appear in any time frames, any market.
So it's important to understand multi-time frame analysis and top down approach.
A 5 min H and S pattern may not be that strong reversal to give you 100 plus pips because the HTF is showing us different bias.
From my experiences, a H and S pattern works best when we spot on the LTF price action. When we have a clear bias on the HTF for a potential bearish reversal, we go down to the LTF to look for confirmation and entry.
Remember a H and S pattern will not always be “textbook” perfect like you will learn from various courses/lessons. The market itself is not perfect, so remember that when you analyze the market.
Last but not least, and inverse H and S is just a mirror of a typical H and S. It's just now you are spotting them at the bottom of the overall price action, and rather to reverse into a bullish trend.
As always, any questions, comments or feedback please let me know.
Thank you
Jojo
Five Tips for New Traders and InvestorsWhether you are new or have been trading for 20+ years, this post is a reminder about having realistic expectations when it comes to markets. Patience, the desire to learn, and a positive outlook toward the future, especially over the long run, will help you on your journey. Here are some tips to get you started!
1. Code the markets
Financial markets attract smart people who run strategies, indicators, and analytics to make better decisions. The Pine Script community is a perfect example of this - head over to the Pine Script Editors' Picks page to see for yourself. With Pine Script, you can code and create your own indicator or strategy. More importantly, you can learn the intricacies of price action and the underlying mechanics of specific indicators.
2. Paper Trade to test your ideas
All members have access to our free Paper Trading tools. This means you can trade, invest, and study your ideas in a simulated environment. Do you think you can outperform the market? Open a chart on your desktop, click Trading Panel at the bottom, and connect your account. Place trades and study your performance over the next several days, weeks or months. Let's see how good you really are before risking any real money. 😁
3. Follow others, use chats, and be open minded
Traders and investors from around the globe share ideas here. They also participate in chats and the comment sections. This is not only an opportunity to learn and meet others, but it is also a reminder of who else is participating in markets. You can get instant feedback by asking questions, following their profile or contributing to various chats. It's never been easier to network and work with others to learn about the markets. It's also a reminder that markets are competitive. So get started by exploring the community, meeting others, and learning new concepts.
4. Backtest, backtest, backtest
The Strategy Tester makes it easy to backtest your trades over a period of time. You can test different strategies in the Public Library by opening the indicators menu and selecting a strategy. Strategies are shown with a down red arrow and an up green arrow at the end of its title. It will look something like this: "Momentum Strategy 🔻▲." Add a strategy to your chart and use the Strategy Tester to follow its performance. For those looking for a simpler way to backtest, the Bar Replay tool can take you back in time to test your ideas on a specific ticker. Press the Rewind ⏪ button on the top of your chart.
5. Make a plan
Many new traders and investors forget to make a plan. Instead, they start trading without testing their ideas or learning from others. Use the tools available to you and make a long-term plan! Draw your plan directly on the chart, use the Text Notes tool located at the bottom of the chart as a personal blog or diary, create indicator layouts, save specific chart layouts to never lose your plan, and create alerts for quick reminders. All of these tools can enhance your process and long-term plan. Visit our Help Center to learn more and everything available to you including any questions you may have about your account.
We hope you enjoyed this post and please leave any questions or comments below! Our team is always reading for your feedback. Stay tuned, we have more posts like this coming.
HOW-TO The Pip offset to use with Forex trade entriesIn this help Tutorial we take a look at the Pip offset to use in the MTPredictor Trade (and Advanced) Setups Scripts.
With Forex, and particularly with shorter term Forex, it is a good idea to give the Trade a bit more "wiggle room". For this we suggest increasing the trade entry Pip offset to 2 Pips, and the Stop Pip offset to 3 Pips. Please see the Video.
This just gives a little more wiggle room on the entry and particularly on the Stop level to help avoid being stopped out inadvertently.
Please note: this is not a trade recommendation, you should all perform your own Analysis. Losses can and will unfold when Trading, please always use Stops and keep your losses small.