Rule of the Majority SignalA "Rule of the Majority" (RM) signal occurs when one of the three main U.S stock indices; S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) makes a new high or low unaccompanied by the other two indices.
The signals occur at major, intermediate and sometime short-term market turns.
Because of the difused nature of stock market tops, RM signals are more likely to occur at stock market peaks as opposed to bottoms.
I first observed the RM phenomenon after the major U.S stock market top in early 2000.
This post illustrates an efective signal at the all-time high for U.S stocks - late 2021 and early 2022.
The IXIC topped first on 11/22/21.
SPX topped on 01/04/22.
When the DJI made a solo new high on 01/05/22 it was an effective RM signal.
The IXIC had on RM signal on 03/14/22 with its solo new low.
Community ideas
Strategy Coding E01: Adding a custom Trailing-StopIn my experience there are phases to creating a strategy. In this episode we will cover one of the most important steps: establishing an exit strategy. Exiting a position is crucial to risk management. If your entries are terrible but you have a good exit strategy, you might get by and not lose a lot of your capital. And vice-versa, if your entries are great, but your exit strategy is terrible, you my not make any profit.
Concepts we will cover in this episode:
Integrating an indicator value as a trailing stop.
Lowering the trailing stop sensitivity by using the Average True Range (ATR).
Customizing the ATR value.
Brief introduction to 'modules'.
The 4 fears of every traderTrading in the financial markets, whether it be forex or cryptocurrency, can be a thrilling yet challenging experience. It requires a level of strategy, discipline, and risk tolerance to make informed decisions and reap profits. But, as traders, we are often faced with fears that can cloud our judgment and hinder our success in the market.
To help you overcome these fears, we will delve into the four main categories that traders face: fear of being wrong, fear of losing money, fear of leaving money on the table, and fear of missing out. These fears can be crippling, but with the right understanding and approach, they can be conquered. Join us on a journey to understand these fears and how to overcome them, so you can become a confident, successful trader in the forex and cryptocurrency markets.
Fear of being wrong
The fear of being wrong is the most common obstacle for traders. It's only natural to want to be right all the time, but in the fast-paced and ever-changing world of trading, being wrong is an inevitable part of the process. But this fear can hold us back from making the bold and calculated decisions necessary for success.
When we're too afraid of being wrong, we may avoid taking calculated risks, miss out on potential profits, or even make impulsive decisions based on emotions instead of data. But here's the thing: being wrong is a valuable opportunity to learn and grow as a trader. Every misstep is a chance to analyze what went wrong and improve our strategy for the next trade.
So instead of letting the fear of being wrong hold you back, embrace it. Embrace the possibility of being wrong and use it as fuel to become a better trader. Remember, even the most successful traders make mistakes and face losses all the time. The key is to learn from those mistakes and come back stronger.
Fear of losing money
No one wants to watch their hard-earned capital disappear, but in the world of trading, losses are a fact of life. However, letting this fear control our decisions can be just as detrimental to our success as the fear of being wrong.
If we're too afraid to lose money, we may be hesitant to take calculated risks, miss out on potential profits, or even exit positions prematurely. But here's the truth: losses are an integral part of the trading process and can be managed with a solid trading plan in place. By implementing risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, traders can minimize their losses and protect their capital.
So instead of letting the fear of losing money paralyze you, turn it into a strength. Use it as motivation to develop a comprehensive trading plan that incorporates effective risk management strategies. Accept that losses are a natural part of trading, and use them as an opportunity to improve your strategies and refine your approach. Don't be afraid to lose money, be afraid of not taking advantage of opportunities to grow your wealth.
Fear of leaving money on the table
The fear of leaving money on the table is a tricky one, as it often arises when we're in a winning trade. It's tempting to hold on, hoping to squeeze out even more profits. But this can be a dangerous mindset that can lead to ignoring stop-losses and exposing ourselves to unnecessary risk. After all, you don't have a crystal ball ( and aren't an FOMC member ), so you should expect to buy the exact bottom and sell the exact top.
Instead, you need to have a clear exit strategy in place and stick to it, no matter how much you feel like the trade can continue to go in your favor. By having a predetermined exit plan, we can lock in profits, manage risk, and avoid emotional decision-making.
So, instead of succumbing to the fear of leaving money on the table, embrace discipline. Develop a solid exit strategy that balances the desire for profits with the need for risk management. Don't be afraid to lock in your profits, even if it feels like there's still money to be made. Trust in your strategy and stick to your plan, and you'll be in a better position to capitalize on future opportunities.
Fear of missing out
The fear of missing out (FOMO) is a feeling that all traders have faced at some point. It's especially prevalent in a volatile market, where prices are moving quickly, and it can be tempting to jump in without fully analyzing the situation. But succumbing to FOMO can lead to hasty decisions based on emotions, rather than logic, which can result in costly mistakes ( emotions causing mistakes...do you see a pattern? ).
It's important to resist the temptation of FOMO and stick to your trading plan, even when the market is moving rapidly. By having a clear strategy in place and following it, we can avoid impulsive trades and make informed decisions that are grounded in logic and analysis. Take the time to thoroughly analyze each opportunity before making a decision. Trust in your strategy and stick to your plan, even when it feels like the market is passing you by.
How to overcome our fears?
For a brighter reader, it is easy to notice that these fears are omnipresent. No matter what you do or don't do during your trading day, you can't avoid these fears. Overcoming them is not easy, but it is essential for achieving success in the market. Here are a few pointers that can help you overcome these four fears and become more disciplined and consistent traders:
Develop a reliable trading plan
Having a well-defined trading plan can help us to manage our risks and make informed, rational decisions. A good trading plan should include our goals, risk management rules, and entry and exit strategies. By following our plan, we can stay disciplined and avoid making emotional decisions based on fear.
Practice proper risk management
Risk management is an essential part of trading, and it can help us to overcome our fear of losing money. By setting clear stop-loss levels and position sizes, we can minimize our losses and protect our capital. This can give us the confidence to take on appropriate levels of risk and pursue potential trading opportunities.
Realize that your ego is the enemy
How many times have you held a losing position past your stop loss and literally prayed for the break-even? Did anything fundamentally change about your position? No, you just didn't want to take the loss, am I right? See, even though we know that losses are part of the process it is still very hard for us to accept that any trade can go against us. And sometimes you do everything right, and still lose.
Every trading system works with probabilities. Losses are normal. Let your ego go and stop trying to force a win out of every single position you take. ( Add this to your daily affirmation ritual if you must )
Stay focused on the long term
It's easy to get caught up in the short-term movements of the market, but it's important to remember that trading is a long-term game. By focusing on our long-term goals it becomes easier to stay disciplined. Every losing day can get you closer to your long-term goal, as long as you sit down, analyze what happened, and learn from it.
Take regular breaks
Trading can be mentally and emotionally exhausting, and it's important to take regular breaks to recharge and refocus. By stepping away from the markets for a while, you can clear your mind and come back to our trading with a fresh perspective. This can help you avoid making rash decisions.
Learn from your mistakes
This is the big one. Realize that nobody is perfect, and everyone makes mistakes in their trading careers. It's important to learn from these mistakes and use them as opportunities for growth and improvement. By analyzing your past mistakes and adjusting your strategies accordingly, you can become better trader and overcome your fears.
Consider automating your trading process
Our trading platform does a fantastic job of keeping your emotions out of trading. You can set multiple take profits and stop losses, understand your risk-to-reward ratio, the trade's impact on your portfolio and much more before you even place the trade. You can backtest your strategies, trade them live automatically, and much much more. Leveraging technology in your favor can yield a tremendous difference in your trading results, as it did for our 15 thousand users.
Conclusion
The four main fears that traders face - fear of being wrong, fear of losing money, fear of leaving money on the table, and fear of missing out - can have a significant impact on our success in the markets. However, with the right approach and mindset, these fears can be overcome and transformed into positive drivers for our trading.
By accepting that being wrong is a natural part of the trading process, managing our risks, having a clear exit strategy, and resisting the temptation of FOMO, we can overcome these fears and become more confident and successful traders. By doing so, we can capitalize on opportunities, make informed decisions, and achieve our trading goals. So embrace these fears, overcome them, and take control of your trading journey.
10 Golden rules of investing Investments are neither complex nor difficult. There is a set of golden rules that help investors stay on track to achieve their ultimate financial goals. When it comes to money management, investments play a key role in creating wealth. At first, it can be difficult for you to decide which product to choose, where to invest, how much to keep, and so on. But as you continue, you will get a better understanding of how the investment market works.
Keep in mind that no matter how disciplined you are and no matter what rules you follow, investing comes with risks and you can still get back less than you invested.
Here is our summary of the 10 Rules Every Investor Should Know:
1. Do your own research
Don't blindly trust what someone says on the internet, make sure it's backed up by multiple credible sources. Most people are biased about the cryptocurrencies they own, so naturally they can't say anything but good things about the coins in their portfolio while attacking the ones that aren't. Do your best to understand the positives and negatives of cryptocurrencies and develop an unbiased opinion.
2. Set clear goals
Knowing your financial goals and the time frame for which you are investing can help you stick to your strategy. For example, if you have long-term goals, such as saving money for your children's education or for a personal retirement that may be decades away, you may be less tempted to invest before that time.
3. Never invest in something you don't understand
Before investing in any investment, take the time to research it thoroughly so you understand exactly what is involved and what the risks are. Funds, for example, issue a Key Investor Information Document (KIID) or a Key Information Document (KID) that explains the fund's main functions and fees. You must read this before investing. If you are investing in individual projects, make sure you know what the company is doing and how it plans to make money in the future. In the cryptocurrency market, projects also have various documentation, white paper, roadmap. Before investing, you need to study all this and subscribe to the social networks of the project in order to understand the general mood of the project and investors and be aware of the latest news.
4. Don't put all your eggs in one basket
Today, this rule is more relevant than ever. We all know the saying "don't put all your eggs in one basket", but it's especially important to apply this rule when investing. Spreading your money across a range of different asset types and geographies means you won't be too dependent on one type of investment or region. This means that if one of them performs poorly, some of the other investments may make up for those losses, although there are no guarantees.
5. The greater the potential return, the higher the level of risk
The prospect of higher returns may be attractive, but there is usually a greater risk of losing funds. Think carefully about your approach to risk. You may be more comfortable choosing less risky investments, even if returns are likely to be lower. However, remember that no investment is without risk, and there is always a chance that you can return less than you invested. If, nevertheless, the temptation to enter a highly profitable and high-risk asset eats you up from the inside - invest, however, with a very small part of your total deposit.
6. Long-term investments are not always accompanied by high returns.
First of all, it is necessary to understand for ourselves what profitability we want to receive from a company or project. Reading the documentation and roadmap, we do not assume that the company will exist for decades. First of all, we argue that with due efforts, the capitalization of the project can double. Yes, it may take several years. However, the goal should be expressed in terms of percentage of profit, and not in terms of the investment period. After all, it may happen that the value of assets will return to the price values of a decade ago or, even worse, the company will simply close.
7. If something seems too good to be true, it usually is.
Beware of highly speculative investments that seem too good to be true, don't follow the crowd and invest (or sell) just because other people do. For example, many investors invested in the digital currency bitcoin in the second half of 2017, when its price rose, but its value fell by half in a month. In mid-December 2017, Bitcoin was trading at almost $20,000, but by mid-January 2018, it had fallen below $10,000. Those who at that moment could not cope with stress and sold “at the bottom” lost
A fortune.
8. Income reinvestment or cost averaging can help increase overall returns
The DCA strategy helps to avoid asset volatility and allows you not to constantly monitor a company or project. If you are not looking for a quick return on your investment, then you may want to consider reinvesting your funds to buy more of your investment, which will potentially increase in value and increase your overall profit. Simply put, your earnings also generate a return, which is known as compound interest. However, keep in mind that reinvesting income rather than receiving it as cash means you could lose it or see its value drop. If any income you receive is automatically reinvested – for example, if you invest in shares directly and subscribe to Automatic Dividend Reinvestment (ADR) – you will also not be able to choose the price at which you will buy any additional shares, so it can be low or high.
9. Review your portfolio and rebalance
Markets are constantly changing, and so are your investments. You will be investing for many years, so it is important to carry out regular checks to stay on top of your money. Sometimes your initial asset allocation can get out of balance, so you need to rebalance it. For example, the market can fluctuate in different directions, effectively changing the percentage of your investment. Do you want to work on maintaining a percentage that will help you reach your goals? If you don't take action, you can have a lot more of one asset class than another when the market fluctuates.
As part of the rebalancing process, you buy or sell certain investments to return to your desired asset allocation. This can help prevent a portfolio from being too aggressive when the goal is to minimize risk. In addition, by rebalancing you will avoid having too many assets of a certain class and restore your portfolio back to the original set of assets.
10. Don't try to time the market
In an ideal world, you could buy investments just before they appreciate and sell before they fall. However, no one knows which direction the stock markets will move next, so trying to predict market ups and downs can result in you buying or selling at the most inopportune times. Buying and holding investments can help you stay committed to your investments for the long term by avoiding panic decisions when the markets are volatile.
If you want to start investing, use these golden rules. By using these simple investment strategies, you can make your money work for you and take care of your future. If you think that the potential reward is not worth the risk, then investing is not for you.
🟢Support🟢 & 🔴Resistance🔴 in TradingView Land !!!👨🏫Hello, guys🤪; I'm Pejman, and today we will change the regular TradingView to TradingView Disneyland🎡 . I want to tell the story of Snow White and the trader dwarfs.
Once upon a time🌞, in the kingdom👑 of Stocktopia, there was a young princess👰♂️ named Snow White Charts. She was the heir to the realm of Stocktopia. Still, unlike her father, the King of Stocktopia, a successful businessman🧔, Princess needed help understanding the stock market. She often lost money💸.
One day, while walking in the forest🌿🌲, Princess Snow White Charts stumbled upon an old house called Dwarf traders. She became curious and decided to visit this house🏠.
Dwarves lived in this house🏠 whose job was to help the traders. They directed the price of different stocks by creating support and resistance lines or zones, and each dwarf was responsible for one of them.
The Princess did not know anything about these lines. So she decided to stay to learn about these powerful lines.
One of these dwarves, named Doc, looked older and wiser than the other dwarves. The Princess enlisted the help of Doc to learn how these lines worked.
Doc was proficient in various methods of technical analysis and had an exceptional talent for simplifying complex issues😝. So he tried to teach these lines to the Princess👰♂️ in the simplest and best way possible.
If you also want to master technical analysis like Doc before learning support and resistance lines/zones, read the following post to learn what technical analysis is. 🤓👇
Doc showed the following picture to the Princess.
Can you tell what the role of support lines is before reading Doc's explanation❓👇
As you can see in the picture, the candles are placed in a downward trend, and they go down🔴 like playful children🧒🧒 playing on the slide.
Doc explained that support lines are like a bouncy castle🕍 for price. When the candles reach these Lines, they'll push them up just like a trampoline; the price will grow.
Remember that they prevent the price from moving too far down or falling.😅 The candles are safe on the support lines, so Sleepy sleeps peacefully.
Doc believes that when a stock's price hits support lines, it can indicate a potential buying opportunity. Still, when it breaks down🔴 the support line, it can show a possible selling opportunity; but I will discuss this in the following.
Now you may ask, what are resistance lines❓ The exact same question came up for Princess Snow White Charts😁.
First, look at the chart below.👇
Resistance lines are like the roof of a bouncy castle. In an uptrend🟢, when the candles are happy and constantly jumping higher and higher, the resistance lines prevent them from going further.
The resistance line is guarded by Goupy, who pushes the candles down🔴 like a bully, whenever the candles hit the resistance line.
Let's suppose all these price lines & dwarfs want to lead candles in a particular direction.
Now that you are familiar with support and resistance lines, you might have the same question as Princess👰♂️had again. How to recognize and find these lines❓
According to Doc, there are several ways to find these lines:
Past Price Data:
Sir John says: "Price data is like a roadmap, showing you where the market has been and where it might be heading."
Looking at past price data is like checking the tracks of a criminal. It may be seen, but it is simply not correct. You can know how he behaved in the past because he may repeat the same behavior in the future.
So, to better understand the price, you must also know its past. Even Philip Fisher also believes that: "Price data is the lens through which we can see the market's true nature."
Previous Lines:
By finding previous support and resistance lines, it's as if you've found a criminal's 🔫 recorded files.
Price data is the story of the market, and those who ignore it are doomed to repeat their mistakes. You can't predict the future without understanding the past, and the market's past performance is the best indicator of its future performance.
Wow, speak of the devil🤐, I forgot that indicators also have important points to say too.
Indicators:
Maybe price data is like a roadmap🚨 or past lines like a criminal recorded file. But indicators are like GPS.
Indicators are the GPS of the financial markets, and they guide us to our destination and help us avoid getting lost.
Indicators are the financial markets' fingerprints, revealing the underlying patterns and trends.
Doc and I found some indicators helpful in identifying supply(resistance) and demand(support) zones, such as:
Moving Average/Parabolic SAR/Bollinger Bands/Ichimoku Kinko Hyo/Fibonacci/Pivot point
There are many ways to recognize these lines and even indicators that help you find them like an assistant, but you should still try to know and learn them yourself.
For example, Doc says there are additional support and resistance lines. Like the slides in the game, they can be straight or sloping, going up🟢 or down🔴. I'm kidding, but they really have these types 🙂.
In the previous pictures, I showed you only static lines. Now, look at the pictures below because I will show you all the types of these lines with examples.
For example, if the support and resistance lines are like a road🛣 on the ground, they are called static support and resistance lines .
Now, what if this road turns into steep ropes❓ Well, it is known that they are called dynamic support and resistance lines .
For example, if you want to go mountain🗻 climbing, it is as if you are climbing with dynamic support. In general, in an upward🟢 trend, dynamic support lines like a ramp🚧 prevent the price from falling.
Now that we are talking about climbing let's introduce another game🎲. The zipline🤐😄.
The price decreases from the dynamic resistance lines like a zipline in downward🔴 trends. 😄
I must say that theoretically, the price will go down after hitting the dynamic resistance lines and these lines prevent price growth🟢.
Dynamic resistance or support is also called a trend line. Trendlines are helpful in many parts of technical analysis, such as classical patterns.
Just take a look at the below post. You will find that trend lines help us effectively identify these patterns or trade with them. That's how I am! COOL!😎😎.👇
Don't worry and don't rush because, as said: Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet.
Soon I will teach all these patterns in future posts, but we have to go step by step together.😎😎😎
But I must add that the price is also very playful😛. The price may cross these lines, be above the resistance or below the support, and escape from them.
"If price can make a credible breakout, this could be a good place to trade and make some sweet dollars," Doc whispered to Princess Snow White Charts.
What is a valid breakout❗️❓
This was the question that arose in the Princess's 👰 mind, and I think it is your question as well.
Imagine that the resistance line is like a prison that confines the candles. A diligent & playful candle needs the support of buyers to escape from this prison. If the buyers support it, it can get out of this prison.
After escaping the breakout candle, if another candle, called the confirmation, escapes from this prison and jumps above the breakout candle, the way will be clear for other prisoners, and they can run. So a valid breakout will happen.
A valid breakout is created with a strong candle called a breakout candle(such as the Marubozu candle); after that, a candle as a confirmation candle will confirm this breakout.
Don't worry about selling below the Support line or buying above the resistance line. If a valid breakout has occurred, the target stock will decrease/rise further, and the trend will not stop or end anytime soon.
Let's walk through an example of a valid breakout with Doc.
As you can see, the price broke this line with a strong candle and made a confirmation candle. As a result, we consider this a valid breakout.
If you have noticed, finally, the price went back to this line to greet the previous line. This movement is called Pullback .
In general, to say that a breakout is valid, there are several conditions:
Preferably, the breakout candle and the confirmation candle are the same color.
The point where the breakout candle closes must be above resistance or below support.
The breakout must have happened with the body of a candle, not with the candle's shadow.
Even the closing point of the confirmation candle should be above the resistance breakout candle or below the support breakout candle.
But I should mention that the trading volume increases when a valid breakout occurs.
Now that you know a valid breakout, we can also check an invalid breakout, so dive down🔴 to the chart below.
As you can see, the price tries to be playful😜😜 and break the support line. But there are no buyers to support the price for this movement, so this breakout will be temporary and short-lived.
The price will soon return below the Support line. The invalid breakouts are sometimes known as bull traps or bear traps which I will explain in future posts.
I advise you to only sometimes look for a straight line for support or resistance.
I use support and resistance lines in my analysis to draw trend lines. But when I want to determine the support and resistance of a currency, I draw them as support and resistance zones.
Using zones makes you no longer involved in each line's small & fake breaks, and you won't make mistakes with each break.
Now that you have learned almost everything about these lines😎😎, it's time to start fishing and apply these tips to real trades.
I have considered all the necessary items for trading with these lines in the chart below. You might understand the reason for trading by looking at the picture before reading the description.
( The First Method )
The picture shows the price below this resistance zone, and they tried to escape several times.
Still, finally, when the trading volume and the number of buyers increased, it could cross its resistance zone with a strong candle(breakout candle), and then the confirmation candle formed.
Now, as traders, we should place our Entry Point(EP) slightly higher than the confirmation candle. And also, be careful;😱 maybe this break is invalid, or it returns below its resistance. So we place our Stop Loss(SL) a little lower than the breakout candle.
Now, look at this chart again. But I am going to teach you another method for trading.
( The Second Method )
You should only sometimes enter into a position at one point.
For example, when the price returns to its resistance to greet(Pullback), it's a good time to divide your money into two parts & re-enter the position.
With this, your average Entry Point will be lower, and the Risk/Reward(RR) ratio will increase.
( I know that the Risk/Reward(RR) is something that some of you are unfamiliar with, so don't worry cause I'm going to talk about it in future posts.)
There is another way to trade with these lines.
(The Third Method)
You've got another way to trade with two Entry Points. You can enter the position when the pullback accrues; the other entry point is a little higher than the highest price before the pullback.
In this method, you will be more confident about the position, but at the same time, the Risk/Reward (RR) is decreased compared to the previously mentioned methods. The Stop Loss is the same as the others.
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Prince Snow White Charts learned all these tricks along with Doc and the other Dwarves.
Excited to try this new knowledge, he immediately returned to Stocktopia😊and applied what he had learned to his trading. To his surprise, his trades became more profitable.
The king was pleased with his daughter's improvement, & these lessons were taught to all the traders in the kingdom👑 of Stocktopia.
From that day, Stocktopia was known as the kingdom with the most successful traders, thanks to the wisdom of Doc and Princess Snow White Charts.😊😊
Stocktopia's traders lived happily ever after, thanks to the protection and guidance provided by the Seven Dwarfs of Support.😇😇
I hope you enjoyed this story and use support and resistance lines/zones in your trading. But never forget that before using any new method, try it several times to master that method.😎😎😎.
Now let's leave the world of stories and return to the real world of traders. Take advantage of the following posts.
In the end, I wish you health and success.
HOW TO: Identify Stocks That Might Have More Significant Upside Just thought I would share one super simple way that you might be able to use the TradingView screener to look for companies that have been more significantly sold off than others and - IF - they do recover to their old previous highs which ones might have more upside potential to them.
I am only using Market Cap to sort them initially in this example, but you might like to add in financials or filter them by industries or sectors or whatever your own personal criteria is.
Who knows which way the market or individual stocks will continue to go. Recover or Collapse. The goal for this exercise is to simply end up with a list of stocks that you would like to keep an eye on or discuss with your professional advisor to evaluate further and to be ready for when you think its time to re-enter the market or re-balance your existing holdings.
Hope you found it useful.
Fitting patterns to your bias? I saw a post in twitter which marked a particular converging triangle on BTCUSDT chart on 4H timeframe (As shown below) and implying more bearishness ahead. But, is it really correct analysis?
Risk of drawing patterns manually is that we can fit any pattern to price action based on our bias. To overcome this, we need to follow a standard method to draw patterns on chart. Below is my algorithm for drawing patterns.
Draw zigzag on chart
Find and draw a trend line joining 2 or more pivot lows where price has not breached the trend line towards downside.
Find and draw a trend line joining 2 or more pivot highs where price has not breached the trend line towards upside.
While drawing, trend lines can touch the pivot candle at any point. But, candles should not lie outside trend line.
Take fake outs into consideration to make minor adjustments.
At least one among the above trend line should join 3 or more pivots. Another one can have just two pivots.
Do you see clear pattern after following these steps? If yes, then you found your pattern and also a skill to define them objectively without bias.
Live stream - Navigating Markets - Landmines Galore ft Pierce CrThere's massive event risk coming up next week, so don't miss this special guest episode, where Blake and Westy are joined by TradingView GM Pierce Crosby to talk about all things trading andTradingView's recent 'Best Broker of 2022' award for Pepperstone
TOP ASSETS of the AI NARRATIVEThe release of ChatGPT into an open test version allowed everyone to use AI for their own purposes and needs. We were able to independently evaluate all of the benefits of AI. This trend has resulted in a surge in the number of projects in the crypto industry that use AI technologies. This idea is about the most effective and promising projects.
FETCH.ai
A product ecosystem in which the flagship products are:
CoLearn – joint creation and training of a neural network
Axim – combining and analyzing ML-based data
Atomix – providing stable liquidity and getting profit from the income generated by the protocol
Metrics of the $FET token:
Price: $0.27
ATH price:$0.9475
Market.cap: $220m
ATH market.cap: $708m
FDMC: $930m
Over the past 2 months, the $FET token has grown 4 times.
SingularityNET
A network of decentralized interconnected AI that can be combined to form a single AI that outperforms separate private components. Singularity NET is also a project incubator for AI-based projects in a variety of fields.
Metrics of the $AGIX token:
Price: $0.2
ATH price: $1.03
Market.cap: $235m
ATH market.cap:$452m
FDMC: $400m
Over the past 2 months, the $AGIX token has grown 2 times
Artificial Liquid Intelligence
A network that aims to create a metaverse called Noah's Ark in order to preserve humanity's culture, history, and collective intelligence. AlethiaAI developed iNFT technology for AI-powered NFT avatar creation, animation, and generation
Metrics of the $ALI token:
Price: $0.036
ATH price: $0.12
Market.cap:$58m
ATH market.cap:$86m
FDMC: $362m
Over the past 2 months, the $ALI has grown 3 times
Ocean
A data monetization protocol based on ERC-721 and ERC-20 data tokens. Any user can buy and sell datasets on the project's marketplace
Metrics of the $OCEAN token:
Price: $0.26
ATH price:$1.7
Market.cap: $164m:
ATH market.cap: $322m
FDMC: $378m
Over the past 2 months, the $OCEAN token has grown 2 times
ORAICHAIN
Layer 1 blockchain for AI-powered data economy and Oracles. Oraichain combines AI and blockchain for innovation and, as a result, should revolutionize both directions to make them compatible and integrable. Oraichain focuses on providing decentralized platforms for data and AI, standardizing methods to validate AI-based calculations on the chain, and ensuring AI correctness. In the field of blockchain, Oraichain focuses on the scalability and compatibility of its oracle solutions and services with other networks in order to expand the usefulness of the Oraichain ecosystem
Metrics of the $ORA token:
Price: $4.24
ATH price: $102
Market.cap: $8.7m
ATH market.cap: $77m
FDMC: $83.9m
Over the past 2 months, the $ORAI token has grown 4 times
BitTensor
Bittensor is an open source protocol that provides a decentralized blockchain-based machine learning network. Machine learning models are co-taught and rewarded in TAO based on the information value they provide to the team. TAO also provides external access, allowing users to extract information from the network and tailor its activities to their needs.
$TAO is not traded on DEX or CEX; the only way to purchase $TAO is through the OTC market and transfer tokens to the polkadot wallet. Since the beginning of trading in $TAO in July, the price of the token has increased nearly tenfold
Conclusion
The advancement of AI adoption and usage, as well as the benefits that it provides, ensures the growth of AI projects in addition to the positive market. We implement and use AI for our operational tasks as a company that wants to be successful in the market and gain advantages. Write in comments your thoughts about mentioned projects and ways of using AI for you! Thanks for reading
The Basics Of Charting #1 - Secondary TrendsWelcome to the Basic Of Trading & Charting series on TradingView. I'm Ares, a crypto-head with plenty of experience in the market. I've made a lot of mistakes at the beginning of my trading career & with my videos, I want to help you avoid these failures. If you have any questions, feel free to leave a comment.
See you in the next one :)
Trading Success Through Journaling: Reflect, Learn & GrowHello traders, today we will talk about how journaling can be a really helpful tool for you in your trading journey. Journaling is a simple yet powerful tool that can help you gain insight into your mental and emotional state, identify patterns and triggers, and make more informed decisions. In this post, we'll explore how you can use journaling to improve your trading performance.
1. Reflect on your emotions: After each trade, take a moment to journal about your emotions during and after the trade. This can help you identify patterns in your emotional responses and provide insight into how certain emotions may affect your trading decisions.
2. Identify triggers: By journaling about specific events that preceded a trade, you can identify the triggers that lead to your emotional responses. This can help you take steps to manage your emotions before they affect your trading decisions.
3. Evaluate your decision-making: After each trade, take a moment to journal about the decision-making process you used. This can help you identify any biases or patterns in your decision-making that may be affecting your trading results.
4. Set goals and track progress: Use journaling to set goals for your trading and track your progress over time. This can help you stay motivated and focused on your long-term goals.
5. Increase self-awareness: Journaling can help you become more self-aware of your thoughts, feelings, and behaviors. This can help you identify any negative thought patterns and work to change them, which can lead to improved trading performance.
To make the most of journaling, you should be honest with yourself and write down what you truly feel and think. Journaling is a powerful tool for reflection, learning and making adjustments for the future.
It's important to note that journaling is not a standalone strategy, but rather it's a tool that can be used in conjunction with other analysis and indicators to inform trading decisions. Also, you don't need any specific equipment, just a pen and a notebook, and you can journal at any time.
In conclusion, journaling can be a powerful tool for traders looking to improve their performance and manage stress. By gaining insight into their mental and emotional state, traders can make more informed decisions and improve their overall trading results. Give it a try and see how it can help you in your trading journey.
I would love to hear about your own experiences with journaling in trading. Please feel free to share your thoughts, feedback, and tips in the comments section below. Your input and feedback is valuable to me and to the trading community!
❗️USE STOP LOSS AND BECOME A BETTER TRADER❗️
🟩STOP LOSS IS:A stop-loss order is an order that automatically closes a losing position once the price hits the pre-specified level.
We usually calculate SL in pips, but there can be many ways to set it. It can be time based, percentage based or volatility based. For some investors SL is some piece of critical news, which alters their perception of the value of the asset. Regular stop losses can be many and varied too, for example trailing stop. Also, we sometimes move SL to entry after the half close to protect the gains and make our position risk free.However, all situations I listed above have one thing in common and it is the fact that the SL was used!
🟥Honestly, I am amused by the massive number of people who send me screenshots of their MT4 with several open trades on the same pair all of them without SL and with 90% of account lost. And they ask me what should they do? A great illustration of what is would take to recover from such a loss, is on the drawing above. With the 90% loss, you have only one tenth of the original account left. That means you need to make ten times more money than you have left just to recover your losses. 999% gain needs to be made just to have your old account back. It took you a day to blow it, and might take months to recover the losses. This is the brutality of the trading. The market is unforgiving and will punish you if you treat is without respect. If you are careless or if you make mistakes. The market always comes back to collect, waiting for the moment you drop your guard and relax for a second.
Please always use Stop Loss, because, as it happens, it stops you from losing too much!
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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Our Trading ManifestoHello everyone! In this post we will present and explain our trading system.
Our trading system condensates everything we have learned from hard work, study and even harder lessons received in these years of trading. It is constantly evolving and updating, we are always ready to question some aspects of our system and research tools and strategies that can improve it.
We will distinguish and explain three different aspects of which the system is composed: Analysis, Execution and Research.
Analysis
The analytical part concerns all the tools and the strategies that we use to formulate an hypothesis on the direction of the market, and consequently develop a trading strategy.
A trading strategy is composed by:
-an Invalidation Level: a price level that, if crossed, proves our hypothesis wrong. This is the limit level at which stop losses can be set.
-a set of Entry Points/Levels: composed by price levels of chart points that according to our analysis can trigger the move that we are hypothesizing.
-a set of Target Points/Levels: composed by price levels of chart points where the move that we are hypothesizing can end.
Once a trading strategy is determined, it will be implemented in the executive part.
But on what is our analysis based?
Elliott Wave Theory, Pattern Trading and Sentiment Analysis.
We believe that the chart encodes all the information available. News and events are priced in the market instantaneously. The fundamentals are revealed simultaneously with the price action.
Any news or fundamental consideration is just one piece of the puzzle. Price is the synthesis of the result.
Price moves because of mass psychological dynamics inducing people to buy and sell. These dynamics are observable in the sentiment and in the fundamentals, and manifest themselves in chart patterns. The composition of chart patterns forms Elliott Waves structures.
We don't use this approach as a mix of independent tools, but in a holistic and comprehensive approach. We analyze the wave structure of the market starting from higher timeframes, assessing probabilities of different scenarios by analyzing chart patterns and using different tools related to the sentiment, such as Smart Money Indicator, Volume Profiles, Order Blocks, etc. We use the same approach in smaller timeframes to set the trading strategy (Entries, Targets and Invalidation Level).
Execution
The executive part of our trading system involves risk management, placing orders in the market, and managing active trades.
Once we have developed a trading strategy, we have a set of entries, a set of targets and an invalidation level. We have to use them to define a Trading Plan.
Here is the first rule of risk management: we can not lose more than 1.5% of the trading capital for each trading plan.
You don't have to depend on one trade. One trade should not be decisive. Trading must not be funny. This is the only way to decrease your biases and your emotional involvement.
So in a Trading Plan we decide how many trades to open, how much risk to allocate on each trade (NOT MORE THAN 1.5% TOTAL), at what price execute the trade, and where to set stop losses.
No stop loss can be set above the invalidation level. If prices reaches the invalidation level we are OUT. No matter if prices then follows the hypothesized direction, market will always provide other opportunities.
We also plan where to take profits at the pre-determined Target Levels.
Research
The research part of our system is our constantly updating and challenging our knowledge studying new tools, approaches, strategies. Knowledge is dynamic and always updating. You never stop learning.
We will post all our analysis and trades. Stay tuned and happy trading! :)
Leverage in Forex Trading | Your Main Tool
“Leverage” means using a small amount of your own money in order to control a much larger amount of money. Typically, you borrow the remaining amount through your broker.
For example, say you want to control a $50,000 position. Your broker might put aside $500 of your own money and borrow the remainder. You now have control over the $50,000 with just $500 from your own account, so your leverage ratio is 100:1.
Now, let’s say the $50,000 investment rises by $500, so the full position is now worth $50,500. If you were liable for the full $50,000 (representing a 1:1 ratio), this is only a 1% return on your investment. However, since you only put in $500 of your own capital, the $500 increase represents a 100% return on your investment – that’s way more exciting!
Now, it’s important to understand that this cuts both ways. If you lost $500 instead of gaining $500, you would see a -100% return on your investment. Yikes! If you had a 1:1 ratio and put in the full $50,000 you would only see a -1% return.
How Much Can You Leverage in Forex?
Before you open an account with a broker, you’ll want to check the maximum leverage ratio that you’ll be able to use. The higher the ratio, the bigger your potential gains or losses. Brokers will usually offer 50:1, 100:1, 200:1, or 400:1 ratios.
A typical ratio on a standard lot account is 100:1, and a mini lot account will often offer a 200:1 ratio. If you start trading at 400:1, be wary of using small deposits to control large capital, as these can disappear quickly with the volatility of large sums. Lower leverage keeps you safer from mistakes, while higher leverage could bring in higher rewards.
How Leverage Affects Your Trading ✅
As we’ve seen, leverage is a powerful tool that can help you win big in the forex market. You can use less capital to control greater positions, giving you flexibility and amplifying your profits. However, it can just as easily amplify your losses.
At very high levels, leverage starts to damage your odds of success. Transaction costs represent a higher percentage of your margin the greater your position is. This means that transaction costs already put you at a disadvantage with excessively high leverage.
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The "So-Called" Psychology of a Market Cycle!Greetings Dear Investors and Traders, today CryptoQueens, an educational post regarding the so-called Psychology of a Market Cycle.
When making investment decisions, investors have a wide variety of tools at their disposal. While these tools can form the basis of a sound investment thesis, their effectiveness is limited by one’s emotions. Allowing emotions to dictate decisions is a common mistake made by many investors, yet they may not even realize it. People experience different emotions during these market cycles ranging from fear to greed. Below we will analyze, as well as you will find attached in the chart image the different emotions experienced by investors during market cycles which overwhelms the majority of the traders:
Disbelief:
This phase happens after the bottom has been hit. There is a sense of disbelief among investors about the rally. They believe just like it happened in the past few months, the markets will fall again. Their fear of making another mistake causes them to miss the optimal window to re-enter the market.
Optimism:
During this phase, the realization dawns on most of the investors that the rally is real. Investing during this phase if stocks are chosen well can give good returns.
Enthusiasm:
This is the time when the majority of investors are convinced about the market rally, therefore market demand rise. They believe that now is the time to be fully invested. Some naysayers still don’t believe in the market rally and advise caution.
Euphoria:
This is the phase where there is irrational exuberance in the markets. Investors share a collective dopamine as they think that they are genius because they made a fortune. It is advisable to stay cautious during this phase.
Overconfidence/Greed:
Investors continue to increase their positions despite high volatility.
If you buy during this phase, you are sure to lose money, whatever you buy.
Anxiety:
Fear sets in, as losses begin to mount.
Investors believe that the dip is taking more time than expected. This is the the moment when people are notified with margin calls due to the recent market fall. Anxiety kicks in.
Denial:
The herd ignores the market signs as market demand weakens. They believe that since their investments are in great companies, they will bounce back.
Panic:
Herd mentality takes over and market participants rushes to sell leading to widespread selling even at losses. This is a good time to buy extremely selectively for the long term as it may be very difficult to know even for well-informed investors whether we are in the denial phase, panic phase or capitulation phase.
Capitulation:
Market Participants accepts their losses and completely exit the market. They are selling close to the bottom of the cycle.
Agony/Anger:
Steep losses take a psychological factor in many investors and they start to blame the government, or anything correlated, perceiving it as market manipulation.
Depression:
This is the period when investors believe that their retirement savings are gone and their financial security is affected. They even start blaming themselves for investing. However, markets inevitably starts to recover.
Conclusion:
As an investor, you need to recognize these signals and never lose sight of the bigger picture. It is like Warren Buffett once mentioned. Be scared when others are greedy and greedy when others are afraid. Therefore, keep an eye on the fundamentals and behavioral factors that influence the market and always remain ahead of the game. Make sure you include this in your trading plan before to take action on it.
If you liked it, make sure to support with a like, follow and a comment!
Best Regards, CryptoQueens.
Are you prepared to lose? (and what to do if you are not)A new trader, let's call her Sarah, has just started trading in the crypto market. She has been reading articles and watching videos about trading, but hasn't taken the time to develop a solid trading plan, or to gain a good understanding of the markets and underlying assets she is trading.
Sarah sees bitcoin's value is going up, she doesn't do any further research or analysis, she doesn't set a stop loss or take profit level, she just buys bitcoin, with the expectation that she will make a quick profit.
Unfortunately, the value of bitcoin doesn't perform as well as Sarah had hoped, and instead of going up, it starts to go down. Sarah gets anxious and starts checking the bitcoin's value frequently, and since she didn't set a stop loss, she watches as her position continues to lose value. Eventually, the bitcoin loses so much value that Sarah is forced to sell it at a large loss.
Feeling disheartened, Sarah starts to second-guess herself and her abilities as a trader. She didn't have a plan or a strategy, didn't manage her risk properly, and didn't have a clear understanding of the markets and the underlying asset. She didn't prepare for the possibility of losses and didn't have a plan for exiting losing positions.
😭😖😞Unfortunately, the story above is very common in trading, so how can we prepare for losing trades?
☝🏽 Preparing for the possibility of losses is an important part of risk management and can help traders to minimize the impact of losses on their trading capital. Some ways to prepare for the possibility of losses include:
1️⃣ Setting realistic trading goals: Traders should set realistic goals that take into account the inherent risks of trading and the potential for losses. By setting realistic goals, traders will be better prepared to handle losses when they do occur.
2️⃣ Establishing a risk management plan: This includes determining the appropriate size of each trade, placing stop-loss orders, and evaluating the potential reward relative to the potential risk. This can help to limit potential losses and protect trading capital.
3️⃣ Maintaining a proper risk-reward ratio: This means that the potential reward of a trade should be greater than the potential loss. This helps ensure that the potential reward justifies the potential risk.
4️⃣ Diversifying the portfolio: By spreading capital across a variety of different markets and instruments, traders can reduce overall portfolio risk and minimize the impact of losses in any one market or instrument.
5️⃣ Building a trading cushion: This means keeping a reserve of capital that can be used to absorb losses and maintain the trader's ability to continue trading. This cushion should be large enough to withstand a series of losses, but not so large that it affects the trader's ability to trade effectively.
6️⃣ Emotionally preparing for losses: It's important to remember that losses are a normal part of trading and to not let them affect you emotionally. By preparing emotionally for the possibility of losses, traders will be better able to handle them when they occur.
7️⃣ Have a plan for exiting losing positions: Having a plan for exiting losing positions will help to minimize the impact of losses on the portfolio. This could include setting a stop loss or taking profits at predetermined targets.
⚠️ Remember, it's important to accept that losses are a normal part of trading and that they are not a reflection of the trader's ability. By preparing for the possibility of losses and implementing a solid risk management plan, traders can minimize the impact of losses and increase the chances of long-term success.
I hope this has been informative to you, and if it was, please leave a like or a comment below.
👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
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Managing risk while day trading Hey everyone!
Haven't done a tutorial in a while so I thought I would do one on how I personally manage risk while day trading.
These are my own experiences and my own rules, but hopefully you can take something away from them.
I generally trade shares more often than options, but I do talk about the special considerations when day trading options.
Remember, its not about the P&L, it is about risk management and executing well planned trades!
Let me know if you have questions and as always, trade safe everyone!
Micro Drift Patterns One of the more powerful but under-appreciated categories of patterns are very short term drift patterns in strongly trending markets. Flags, pennants and small lateral trading ranges can all fall into this category. The patterns are fractal, that is, they appear across all time frames.
I find small multi drift patterns invaluable. First, they are ubiquitous. They appear in virtually all trends and time frames. Second, their completion affirms that underlying trend remains intact. Finally, the manner in which they develop, for instance, the slope, extent and volume of the counter trend move can all offer clues as to the underlying strength of the trend.
Most strong trends unfold in a push - drift - push pattern, sprinting quickly in the direction of the trend, accruing a short term overbought or oversold, and then drifting counter to the sprint. As these patterns "drift" against the prevailing trend, they alleviate the short term overbought or oversold condition that accrued during the sprint. You can think of the drift as a "pause that refreshes."
It is important that the market DRIFT. The best examples contain overlapping price ranges (in whatever perspective you are working in) and don't typically retrace much of the prior sprint. Volume should generally decline throughout the pattern, particularly if the pattern builds over 5-10 periods. The best examples have substantial range overlap from day to day.
The classic literature requires a sharp move, or a flag pole, for these patterns to fly from, a decline in volume as the pattern builds and that the pattern last no more than 10-15 bars. In my experience, finding drift patterns that fill all these "requirements'' is difficult. My personal approach minimizes the requirements. As long as the pattern occurs after a decent thrust (I prefer the thrust to go to new high or low ground) and then drifts against the prevailing trend, I can use it to develop either a fresh entry to the prevailing trend or simply as a validation of the underlying trend.
Importantly, the pattern is typically better defined in the chart of one perspective lower. For instance, drift patterns in the weekly chart can be better seen on the daily chart, and drift patterns on the daily, in the hourly.
And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum.
Good Trading:
Stewart Taylor, CMT
Chartered Market Technician
Taylor Financial Communications
Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
False Profits $$$I decided to see what all the fuss about prop trading firms were.
I never really got caught up in the crypto craze.
I bought a few meme coins and had some fun learning to trade with 5x margin.
But it wasn't good enough. I wanted to experience what the real money traders were gaming.
Futures!
Instead of losing tens of thousands in real money, I decided to see if I can learn futures trading by losing someone else's money first.
After all, these prop trading firms are all over twitter and youtube advertising a life changing experience by earning a "Funded Account"
Earn a real funded account by Trading Futures in a simulated account.
All you have to do is pass.. THE TRADING COMBINE!!!!
It sounds more intense than it is.
They promote strict trading plans and rules, a limited drawdown and a 2 step simulated trading combine that if you don't break any rules, you will earn a "Funded Level Account"
Sounded promising.
I quote "Funded Level Account" for a reason.
All the advertising from influencers and furus on youtube, facebook, and twitter all tell their followers to pass the trading combine and you will earn a "Funded Account"
So I set out on a mission to complete the combine and earn my funded account.
First, It's expensive. You need to pay for a monthly subscription while you attempt to complete the 2 step process.
Second, Should you break any rule for the related step, your account is disabled until your subscription is renewed, or you buy an account reset.
After a few months of trying, I finally completed Step 2 and got excited to get my hands on a real money futures trading account.
BUT YOU DON'T GET ONE!
A real money futures trading account that is.
I got some bad certificate that reminds me of the ones you get from online college course.
I got a lot of congratulations, but 1 thing I didn't get, was what all the furu's were telling me I would get.
Instead, they wrap a bunch of words around other words to make it seem like you earned a real money account.
"Funded Level Account" is the one that makes me laugh the most.
Now that I completed the 2 step combine, they are only offering one of two options for a "Funded Level Account".
Pro Account - Which is just another simulated environment in which you need to earn 5k in a simulated account before you can get a real money account.
Express Funded Account - Which is just another simulated environment in which you need to earn 5k in a simulated account before you can get a real money account AND you have a liaison who apparently will monitor you risk and trades to determine if you qualify for a real money account.
They don't even give me an option for the "Funded Account" which is what I was promoted for joining.
Sorry If I sound like I'm venting, its because I am pissed.
This is more a ponzi scheme than all of crypto put together.
So I have 3 choices now, which do you think I should pursue.
A) Pro Account. No resets, If I fail, you lose the funded level.
B) Express Funded Account. Try to impress them with my charm. No resets, if I fail, you lose the funded level.
C) Get Loud. Get Legal. Get a Refund.
Let me know what you think I should do in the comments below.
January EffectHello guys! Have you ever heard of the "January effect"? It's a pattern that has been observed in financial markets where the prices of small cap stocks tend to go up in the month of January. Some people think this happens because of tax-loss selling (when investors sell stocks that aren't doing well in order to reduce their tax burden) or because more people are interested in buying small cap stocks at the start of a new year. It's important to remember that the January effect isn't a sure thing and shouldn't be the only reason you make investment decisions.
What do you think about this effect?