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Why my indicators are open-source, and why yours should be tooThis post explains my mindset of why i publish only indicators and only under open-source. A common opinion is that if an indicator or strategy is publicly known, then it cannot be profitable. In economics theory, this is known as the efficient market hypothesis(1), which states that once a strategy is widely adopted, it is integrated in prices and hence cannot be profitable anymore. Hence, it is a legitimate question to ask: are any of the open-source indicators useful for professional trading? I do not believe in magic bullet indicators, those that are claimed to indicate when to buy or when to sell. I don't think any indicator, or even any set of indicator, can reliably do that over the long term in any market without human intervention to decide at some point when the signals are true or false positives. Likewise, i do not believe automated strategies can reliably be profitable. Hence, my focus is to design indicators that can help reveal hiddee structures or simply help in visualizing faster and more easily market's data. As profitable traders know, the raw price action still rules above all, with volume and order flow being the next best metrics, but we can design indicators to give us an edge in terms of time spent analyzing the market, and this is what all my work is focused on: to save me time and reduce interpretation errors. And maybe it can be useful to you too. Indicators are merely a tool, and no two people will use them exactly the same. Just like giving a fishing rod doesn't make the recipient a fisher, i don't believe that just because indicators are free or open-source they lose their utility. The whole world is fishing, yet any competent fisher can still catch fishes, because they know where, when and how, it's not just because they have a fishing rod, and arguably, the fishing rod is only a necessary tool, but not the most important thing that makes them competent fishers: what makes them competent fishers are skills. In summary, i am trying to help in understanding the market, not in predicting it. Assessing likelihoods and probabilities of future events and knowing what you can do are your job and depend on your skills solely. If you don't know how, there are free online tutorials(2) to get started, but nothing replaces experience acquired through hard work. For example, one of my favorite ways to visualize is to encode sentiment related infos as a coloret bar at the bottom, or by highlighting the background. These representations may be simplistic, and that's the goal, anybody can understand them intuitively without even looking at the description, yet they can encode very complex and heterogenous information. The human brain remains the best informational system when it comes to integrating huge volumes of heterogenous data, as the financial markets generate. So my indicators are meant to boost brains, not replace them. Even artificial intelligence bots have a hard time being profitable (i know, this is my original field of expertise, they require near constant monitoring to avoid potentially catastrophical errors and tweakings to adapt to the market). There is simply no shortcut to hard training when it comes to becoming a good, profitable trader. Hence, even if my indicators are, I believe, vezy helpful to understand the market and can gice an edge, and ecen though I use several all the time, to be honest, you likely won't get any benefits if you don't know what you are doing, if you are inexperienced with trading. The above explains why i think publicly available indicators can still be useful, but not why i publish under open-source, which is anither step beyond free but clised-source publication. Truth is, I am marvelled by the open-source spirit in the TradingView community, which is the biggest database of open-source financial indicators ever. As I strted above, these indicators are unlikely to be profitable on their own, but that's not the point: sharing indicators is sharing an idea, a concept, a blueprint, that can then be developed further, or be food for thoughts for a whole new indicator, or just broaden your horizons of how you view the markets. Therefore, I decided to stay in this spirit and publish all my indicators under open-source. I am very grateful for the giants on which shoulders I stay, and I am eager to hear feedbacks on my work, so we all further our collective understanding of markets! Enjoy, and be safe! Tartigradia (1) Timmermann, A., & Granger, C. W. (2004). Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 20, 15-27. (2) cobie.substack.com
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by tartigradia
28
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #17 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #17 ---------------------------------------------------------------- What is a custodian? - A custodian is a financial institution that holds customers' assets or securities for safekeeping to prevent them from being stolen or lost. The custodian may hold equities, bonds, derivatives, or other assets in electronic or physical form on behalf of its customers. Custodians could offer related financial services such as account management and reporting, transaction settlement, and compliance related to anti-money laundering and tax regulations. What is an exchange? - An exchange is a venue where buyers and sellers trade equities, bonds, derivatives, and other tradable assets. Exchanges are often regulated by financial regulators and provide liquidity, which give market participants the ability to buy and sell assets at a fair market value. What is a financial regulator? - Governments have various agencies in place given the responsibility to regulate and oversee financial markets and companies participating in the financial system. These agencies each have a specific range of duties and responsibilities that enable them to act independently of each other while they work to accomplish similar objectives. For example, in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has oversight of the securities industry (stocks and shares), whereas the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulates and oversees derivative markets (futures, swaps, and options). RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS - Common application of financial market instruments for managing risk and opportunities. Position and Risk Management Risk management is the responsibility of market participants designed to limit risk exposures that specifically applies to the participants financial profile in the market. The financial profile of a participant may include their role in the financial market or the amount of capital under their responsibility to be managed in the market, and therefore the risk variables that each would need to identify may be unique. For both corporate and individual investors, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each. For example, if Mini-Brent Crude Oil futures (BM) moves around $2.00 per day (or 2 points) and a point is worth $100, a trader might experience a $200 fluctuation in their account balance for one day. Another example is the U.S Dollar / Singapore Dollar (USDSGD), which could move 70 pips or more per day and trading a standard lot size with each pip worth $10, a $700 fluctuation could be expected for one day. Market participants may also manage their risk through the size of their positions. The larger their position size, the greater is their exposure and the smaller their position size their exposure is lower. Investors should determine the risk that would result from various position sizes and select the size that ensures that their risk limit is not exceeded. Finally, setting stops with a specified loss amount provides protection if the market does not move in the desired direction. It helps to prevent creating a loss scenario which is larger than an account can handle. TRADDICTIV · Research Team -------- Disclaimer: We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
ICESG:SDX1!Education
by traddictiv
4
HOW-TO: Using Data Gathered in Divergence BacktesterHello Everyone, Here is a small video describing the idea on studying divergence data based on divergence backtester script. To understand further, you can study some of my older scripts on divergence. You can find them under my profile: www.tradingview.com Filter only open source scripts so that you will see only free to use scripts with code available. This is not a fully fledged strategy. But, just means for studying the impact of divergence data on price action. Please let me know if you have any questions.
Education
by Trendoscope
7
FOMO - Analysis from a Trading Psychologist FOMO. Fear of Missing Out. We have all heard this phrase. It could pertain to that VERY LAST concert of your favorite band in the middle of the week and coming late to work the next day. Scrolling through Instagram and making a split-second purchase that never works out. We get the idea. I can feel FOMO’s omnipresence in the trading world right now. We have seen some large career changing moves in commodities as of late. Extend the lookback time a few years and we could probably open a FOMO Crypto clinic, complete with padded rooms. Why didn’t I catch that move in Euro Power? I can’t just sit here and watch my neighbor get rich; I missed the only opportunity to make money! Well, Crude Oil, Gold and Wheat all taught traders suffering from FOMO a healthy lesson these past few weeks. Or are they doomed to repeat it again? Traders rarely want to admit weakness, but it’s essential to becoming profitable. Hi. My name is Paul Wankmueller, and sometimes I suffer from FOMO. I decided to turn to my favorite trading psychologists, Brett Steenbarger, PhD. Brett has been in the trading game since the late 1970’s and his Nov 21’ speech on Trading Fomo piqued my interest. Below is a summary of what I took away from it, and some preventative ailments attributed to Brett’s psychological evidence-based outcomes. FOMO is a PnL Killer! At its core FOMO is a fear. The problem is not that we missed the trade, it’s that our brains perceive that missed trade as a threat to our future, our success, our reputation. When humans are afraid of something, or see a threat, it produces anxiety. This fear takes blood away from the part of the brain where higher level thinking takes place and sends it to the part that impulsive thinking lives. There WILL be poor decision making under the influence of anxiety. The key to solving this issue is to take the threat out of the situation. Solutions: Taking a break from the screen is healthy but it is not a long-term fix. Brett explains how to train in exposure therapy (His presentation explains this in greater depth.) Slow breathing and visualization are more adept at battling FOMO. If you can visualize a calming place or situation and pair it with that fear, daily practice and dedication will prevent blood flow to the impulse zone. Gradually, when FOMO comes around, you will experience feelings of safety. Combined with expanding your time of reference, understanding, and acknowledging FOMO will make those events look like potholes on a long highway. Missing a trade is a bummer, but is that going to end my career? No. Will buying at the top, and then being so irate that I add to a losing trade and forgo stop orders end my career? It might. Will I be thinking clearly on my next trade with a fresh mistake permeating my thoughts? Nope. The best motivation to avoid FOMO is to develop emotional hate towards the negative consequences of it. In the fullness of time, the desire to avoid negative outcomes becomes self-reinforcing with repetition and therefore cements as an internal priority. This works across the board in other life scenarios as well. Tapping into other motivations besides PnL is one that really hit home with me as well. Brett dives into the desire to learn and grow as a greater motivator than just PnL alone. This addition will create a dual purpose to each trade. You are diversifying your outcome! If you come away from a trade with a negative PnL, but with a positive learning experience, you are building your LC (Learning Capital). With time under this premise, your LC will be indistinguishable from your monetary statement. Instead of tying your value as a trader strictly to your PnL, tie your value to your consistency and risk management. The magnitude of your PnL is nothing without consistency. Risk management begets larger positions, lower drawdowns, and an overall better quality of work life. A day comes with myriad experiences. Maybe you woke up next to the love of your life, saw your kids off to school, got an extra good boy wag of the tail from the pup, the list goes on. Create a diversified life with people and activities that fulfill you outside of trading and your trading will improve. Reminding yourself daily of this is important. Tying all of this together is the practice of keeping a daily ABCD Journal. A- Activating Event – What got you upset? - Missing the trade in this case. B- Beliefs about the event – Little voice in your head – Why is this upsetting to you? “Other people are getting ahead of me, I’m not as good as they are” C- Consequences from the event – How does negative thinking affect your subsequent trading? I’m so upset about missing the opportunity I go ahead and miss the next one! Becoming proficient in ABC will allow you to recognize the triggering event in real time. You begin to identify the negative beliefs and become a pro at understanding the magnitude of the consequences. You can change the pattern of your behavior because the consequences are so front and center. D- [Disputation- You are talking back at that negative thinking. How would you talk to someone you care about who is in that situation? Mentoring a teammate that missed a big play involves constructively lifting them up and helping them learn from it with a comforting tone. You aren’t going to beat them up. I welcome all feedback and am also here if you want to chat about a particular experience. Happy Trading! -Paul Wankmueller, CMT
CBOT:ZW1!Education
by Paul_Wankmueller
11
The reason you are not successful...Hello traders, All the below are based on my preferences, I don't give any financial recommendations and I have nothing to sell you with this article. I'm sharing content because I see a lot of traders being/becoming broke and I don't want you to be one of them. Yesterday, I posted an article about how to NOT overtrade when you're emotions are running high: Now, I'd like to flip the other side of that coin showing how "overtrading" can be beneficial for beginners to achieve their desired outcome. 🧵 I - Alex Hormozi I discovered this OUTCOME equation thanks to Alex Hormozi on Youtube. He helped me defining clearly with words how to get to the outcome I want. Props to him for being such a wonderful business/sales/marketing/thinker. II - The OUTCOME equation The equation is defined as: VOLUME x SKILL x TIME = OUTCOME VOLUME = number of repetitions SKILL = quality of each repetition TIME = total duration of practicing those repetitions Based in foundational principales The more we do.... the better we get The better we get.... the more we do The longer we do it....the better we get The better we get....the longer we do it The longer we do it...the more what we did compounds on itself (profit, reducing losses, etc) In this way, each of the three feed the others, but it all starts with doing . It's a virtuous wonderful cycle: imgur.com It works for any skill you want to acquire but let's focus on trading for now. After years of trading, any of my trade has a higher quality than my trades from my early days. Why? Because I spent an enormous amount of time trading intraday first with a demo account, and then with a live account trading with micro-lots/micro-pips. Once I got profitable CONSISTENTLY for a few weeks, I allowed myself to increase my lot size slightly. I repeated this cycle made of mini weekly cycles for more than 5 years until I'll reach a capital allowing me to trade the indices futures. III - Why 97% of traders fail at trading The majority of traders lose due to a lack of experience which can only come with taking a lot of trades during an extended period of time. There is no other way.... Forget about getting rich quickly, forget about your 100% automated bots - if such wonders existed, no one in their right mind would sell them and they'd invest everything they and their family own in those magical cashflow generating machines instead... New traders think only a few weeks of practicing is required to learn about themselves and about the markets. Your favorite influencers won't tell you this: trading is very hard, most lose all their money, lose their family, lose their home, lose themselves in the process. The only hedge you have is your WORK.... you can't cheat the GAME.... you have to take a lot of trades for an extended period of time..... And then, at some point, you'll be able to capture more opportunity per trade, to lose less whenever your Stop Loss is hit, to not get frustrated when the price is leaving without you All those skills cannot be acquired in weeks .... One cannot develop character traits required to be a good trader in a short timeframe - talking about patience, discipline and motivated. Motivated too because it's hard to keep one's dopamine level high after some consecutive days of losing Don't cheat the game, it's impossible If you're not profitable yet, forget about leverage please please please please. How many times do you have to get margin called to understand that leverage wasn't invented for you to make money but to depart from it faster. IV - True Effort When learning a new skill at the beginning, everyone sucks. I certainly sucked at it and you will too. THAT IS FINE, THIS IS OKAY, THERE IS NOTHING WRONG How could you not expect to suck at a skill you don't know yet. What I'm saying is unpleasant because everyone wants to get rich quick (me included) My only guarantee to YOU guys is that if you can afford to follow this process with a decent trading strategy and stay consistent, your gains are going to be tiny at the beginning and then PARABOLIC after some time. As the desired OUTCOME is to become richer and/or live off your trading again, this is the ONLY way It's IMPOSSIBLE to suck at trading after taking thousands and thousands of trades. As it's impossible to suck at anything after months and months of constant practice and effort. And you can learn with a DEMO account (risk-free) or with betting pennies per every trade using CFDs or other similar product. If you want to learn how to play piano, if you follow some tutorials on Youtube every day and practice 2-3 hours a day for years, I guarantee you that you'll have an excellent playing level. Stop being lazy, stop cheating the game, stop searching for the way to get rich quick. Accept the magic pill doesn't exist BUT another way that no one is doing will allow you be DIRECTIONALLY RIGHT and eventually reaching your desired OUTCOME. Conclusion I wanted to post this content because this outcome equation is dear to my heart and changed my life for the better I'm literally kicking ass because I outworked everyone I know And now that I'm more skilled than them, I can put off my foot from the accelerator working less than them, making more $$ than them Thank you for reading by dear followers PS To all those in the comments about to tell me they have a magical bot printing $$ for them and their community, I invite you to show me your track records and bank account statements and any proof I could believe you didn't use photoshop on to sugarcoat what the reality is...
Education
by Daveatt
44
Tug of War Among Central BanksThere is a tug of war situation among the central banks to hike interest rates. What is the bad and the good that will come out from this? i. Last week of October, European Central Bank officials announced another massive 75 basis point hike, increasing interest rates at the fastest pace in the history of the euro currency. ii. This week, the Federal Reserve is expected to increase rates by 75 basis points for the fourth time in a row. iii. The Bank of England could join the club on Thursday. Content: . The Interest Rate race has just started, why? . The impact on different currencies . It may not be all bad news, why? With higher interest rates, it attracts investors to buy its currency, in this case the USD. Currency is always a pair, when USD strengthens, the other side weakens. When a currency gets weaker, it is very bad news for inflation because they will have to pay more on their imports. Therefore in order to counter inflation, one of the best measures is to hike rate Expect more volatility in the currencies market, meaning currencies will take its turn to move. And if you are a trader, you should welcome volatility. Because with volatility, there are opportunities. GBP Futures 0.0001 = $6.25 0.001 = $62.50 0.01 = $625 0.1 = $6,250 1.1000 to 1.2000 = $6,250 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:6B1!Education
by konhow
76
Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading Economic indicators and announcements are an essential part of fundamental analysis. Even if you’re not planning on finding trades using fundamentals, it’s a good idea to pay attention to how the overall economy is performing. Here’s a cheat sheet covering six key indicators and announcements to watch out for. 1. Non-farm payrolls (NFP) The non-farm payrolls report estimates the net number of jobs gained in the US in the previous month – excluding those in farms, private households and non-profit organisations. 2. Consumer price index (CPI) The chief measure of inflation is the consumer price index, which measures the changing prices of a group of consumer goods and services. 3. Central bank meetings As we’ve seen, most traders follow economic figures so they can anticipate what a central bank might do next. So, it only makes sense that we pay attention to what happens when they actually meet and make decisions. 4. Consumer and business sentiment reports Multiple organisations are constantly surveying consumers and business leaders to create sentiment reports. While the number of reports they produce is staggering, they all play their part in shaping the markets’ expectation for the future. 5. Purchasing manager index (PMI) Purchasing manager indices measure the prevailing direction of economic trends in a given industry, according to the view of its purchasing managers. They are used as an indicator of the overall health of a sector. Pay close attention to these fundamentals. They play a crutial role in trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
12
Trading Psychology - Knowledge Matrix A - Unknown unknowns - You don't know what you don't know. This is the first level of the knowledge matrix. There are skills or things, that you are not even aware of, that are completely new to you, and that you need to learn. Let's say that for a person, this is the first contact with trading as a beginner trader. B - Known unknowns - You know what you do not know. On the second level, you are starting to be aware of the skills you need to develop, and the information you need to learn in order to advance in personal development. This is the learning and practice phase. C - Known knowns - You know what you know. On the third level, you have acquired all the necessary knowledge and skills, and you are now aware of your level of competence. The psychological part at this level, is that you have all the necessary skills as a trader, and you are taking decisions at a conscious level. Because the decisions are at a conscious level, many times you might not stay on your predetermined course. D - Unknown Knowns - You don't know what you know This is the highest and ultimate level on the knowledge matrix. Basically, after acquiring all the skills and information, they are now deeply implemented on a subconscious level, and many times, you might take good decisions based on feeling or gut. At this level, decision-making is not difficult, and you follow your rules without struggling, having a trading career as a full-time job. Which level are you at? A B C D Don't stumble trading. Trade Safe!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by MariusStanescu
17
Technical Analysis !!!👨‍🏫Hello, my trader friends🙋🏻. I want to tell you the story of Technical Analysis, its advantages & disadvantages. We're even gonna learn about its branches. Like any other science, Technical Analysis has come a long way, and it's still evolving. But why should we learn it and know it well?🤷🏻 When you're trading, you may be afraid or greedy. But how do professional traders control these two?🤔 Let me start with a simple example. If someone turns off the lights & challenges you in a new room, you will feel scared or lack confidence because you don't know that place. But if the challenge happens in your bedroom or home🏡, you'll feel more powerful 💪🏻 and confident because this environment is familiar & you can act better.✅ Fear is caused by the unknown. When you don't know this market, you can't get good results (or at least permanent good results). So follow this page to conquer all the peaks⛰️ of Technical Analysis together🙌🏻 and learn from A to Z of it. Also, I'm a fellow traveler on this route🛤️, not your tour guide. So, if you have any questions, ask me in the comments💬. My trader fellas, let's take one step👣 at a time because taking long and hurried steps will only hit you harder. I'm with you in all these steps🪜 & get started with the first type of market analysis. Technical Analysis is old. I mean, it's almost 300 years old📜, but it doesn't like to talk about its age, so we couldn't find the exact information about its birth date🗓️😑. Maybe it’s from Japan⛩️🎌 and was born in the 18th century, or perhaps its date of birth is in the Middle Ages. But there is some more information that I'm sure about. For example, in 1879, the Technical Analysis found a friend by the name of Chart📈, and they have not separated until today. Let's skip this story and be serious☺️. Technical analyzers believe that everything is in the Chart. In Technical Analysis, there is all the necessary information for trading, such as entry points, exit points, market volume, stock prices in the past and present, etc. (The Chart is a complete encyclopedia for Technical analyzers!!🤦🏻😶 ) There is another type of analysis that examines the available information about a stock (from the founder of a stock or company to the cost and income and even the company manager's records), called Fundamental. But the Technicalists say that even some of the Fundamental information is in the Chart! 😐 Overall, Technical and Fundamental are both complementary to each other and opposite to each other. But both are related to the Chart. (These three have a complicated relationship; I mean, there is a love triangle, so we should stay out of it !!🤫😂 ) Let's skip the joke. All these things are just like the gears⚙️ of a car, but it's not enough. You need to follow more rules in the market to pass the finish line🏁 with your trading car🏎️ . Don't worry cause I'm gonna tell you everything you need to know to win🏆 this trade racing with your strategy car. Now that we have learned a little about the history of Technical Analysis, it is better to learn about its contents. The price chart, our most important resource and tool in Technical Analysis, consist of the price-time, Charts, and Candles. But these candles🕯️ existed 100 years before bar and dot charts.📊📉 In 1700, a Japanese man named Huma realized that the price of rice depended on the emotions of traders in addition to supply and demand. Candles show these feelings with their colors. For example, the green candles🟢 show trust and good feelings among people who invested in a stock.🤑 But red candles🔴 indicate doubts or hopelessness of people about a stock, and they sell it.😞 I don't know why I remembered Moody's octopus doll🐙 :) But candles tell you the feelings of other traders just like these dolls. But only its color is not essential. Can you guess the other important factors about candles? I will tell you the rest of them soon.😉. Have you heard that history repeats itself? By looking carefully🧐 at the old charts, some creative people found that the prices behaved similarly to their past. They realized that the candles make interesting shapes next to each other, and they made these shapes repeatedly in different periods.🔁 They formed different geometric shapes and patterns & continued to make these shapes until today :) Let's accept that the Chart is creative and artistic! 🎨🖌️😊 For example, they found a shape called a Head & Shoulders Pattern. This type of pattern will cause a downward trend⤵️ in the Chart. I tried to find it & place it on someone's Head & Shoulders to remember it better. 😁 Many patterns can be found in any chart, and I have already taught the reversal patterns in my previous posts, But I want to go over all the patterns in detail again in the future, so let's dive into the other contents of Technical Analysis.👇 Using formulas, mathematical🧮 ratios, and advanced calculations, indicators were created that can generally show the market's present and past and give a relative opinion about the future (Please don't get the indicators wrong with magic 8 ball🎱 or Professor Dumbledore's wand✨. ) Let's be serious about it. Maybe you know that indicators depend on the two factors of time and place of price. In terms of time🕦, they are divided into two categories: leading and lagging. In terms of price movement💹, they are divided into three categories: trend indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators. The indicator that I made the above meme for is a leading oscillator. Now it’s time to go for the other various tools that are made by using numbers🔢 and people’s actions in the market. A person named Nelson Elliott made a useful tool, although, after his death, many people worked on this tool and improved it until today it reached us, but we are going to discuss it better in the following posts like the rest of the contents of Technical Analysis.😉 But I have to say Elliot believed that the market is not disordered and always repeats a repetitive cycle, and Eliot called these repeated movements waves. According to him, if you can perfectly identify the repeating patterns in the price, you can predict how the price will change (or not change) in the next phase. Eliot published his experiences and theories in a book called the waves principle, which I recommend if you want to get good information in this field; it's better to start from the origin of this theory. I think there is no better definition for the word "Wave" than sea waves🌊, and I tried to draw Elliot waves like sea waves reaching the shore. 🏖️ In the end, I want to say that whatever style of analysis you have or whatever type of Chart you use, in the future, this machine will not go the right way without following a series of principles. Suppose you have the best car in the world, but you neither know how to drive nor the rules. It can be guessed that you will either crash with someone or break the car💥. You should have risk management along with your trading system, and don't forget that no trading system is perfect.🙅🏻 It is better to try each method on demo accounts before making real trades. Of course, you can count on me and ask any questions you may have.🙂💭 In the following posts, I’ll talk more about the things that have been said and introduce you to good trading systems that can be obtained from any method. I'm by your side so that if you are a beginner, you can find your own way, and if you know the market, we can learn the basics of this market better & together🤝🏻. Wish you happiness, health & success guys🙋🏻.
Education
by pejman_zwin
75
JS-Masterclass #3: FundamentalsIn the recent tutorial 'Trading with the Trend - Stage Analysis', we have explained the importance of identifying stocks in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend using the 'Trend-Template'. What are the Fundamentals doing in a confirmed stage 2 Uptrend? The best stocks and buying opportunities available in the market meet the technical requirements according to Minervini's Trend-Template and have very healthy Fundamentals. Best Candidates - Growth - Accelerating EPS and Revenues - Explosive Market Position - Sustainable Trends - Scalable Business Model Worst Candidates - Capital Intensive - Limited Pricing Power - Heavily Regulated - Margin Pressure - Eroding Industry Position Watch out for these 3 key fundamentals – Earnings, Sales and Margins 1) Earnings in most recent 2-3 quarters +20% or more – the bigger the better; look for earnings acceleration – quarter to quarter sequential. Look at a 2 quarter average (up 20%) 2) Sales acceleration: sales increasing in most recent 2-3 quarters 3) Check profit margins – are they expanding or contracting? 4) Combination of sales and margins = earnings: gauge current growth versus 3-5 year growth rate (look for acceleration), Look for a breakout year How Do You Know if an Earnings Report is Really Great? 1. Results are better than the consensus of analysts’ estimates or, even better, earnings come in above the highest analyst estimate. Why? This will get the stock on the radar screens of big institutions. 2. The company raises its guidance for the upcoming quarter and the fiscal year significantly. 3. The stock price reacts positively to the earnings report and/or company issued guidance and resists meaningful profit taking over a number of days or weeks. 4. Analysts promptly raise estimates. (More than a 5% change from 30-days earlier is meaningful). 5. Revenue is reported above the consensus estimate (preferably above the highest estimate) and is also revised upward. 6. Earnings are “quality” – profit improvement comes from increased sales as opposed to a one-time gain or non-operating/non-recurring income. Keep in mind, cost cutting or “productivity enhancements” have a limited life span. 7. You can check Return on Equity to get an idea how good management is doing. You should compare this number to other companies in the same industry. 15-17% is a good cutoff for most stocks. Red Flags • Material earnings deceleration is a warning • Eroding margins is a warning • Positive earnings with negative sales – limited life span • A company showing strong earnings but not paying much in taxes is a red flag Even if you have found a stock with great Fundamentals: - Never trust the story - Never trust the numbers - Unless confirmed by price action
Education
by JS_TechTrading
4
Trading RSI Divergences LIKE A BOSS (I may have failed you)Get your copy of the Free Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator I'm not going to lie. There is WAYYY too much technical stuff to type up in this for you guys. its best if you watch the video. Always Always Always ask questions below. I am always more than happy to show you what's what. This is some UPPER LEVEL STUFF in this video and i know a lot of you won't fully understand it but i want you to understand what it is that you DON'T KNOW about. Unless you know these things, you won't know what questions to ask about. So here we go. Let's get into it. Trading the RSI Divergence like a BOSS After the RSI Divergence is found: On the chart: (KEYS) 1 = last HH 2 = current HH 3 = 1st HH Closing Price 4 = Confirmation of candle closing BELOW 1HH close price 5 = Find your targets 6 = Pinpoint any target with multiple confirmations Steps to take: 1. See last Highest High 2. Draw a line across the last Highest High close price. 3. Confirm second HH is higher price but lower RSI value. Now wait.... 4. Wait for candle to close below price of step (2) 5. Enter SHORT if (Heiken Ashi Candle is closing RED) 6. Your 50ema is Take Profile #1 (Set it up) 7. Your swing high is your stop loss 8. What does the RSI Formula tell you? Is it in the positive? So what! Use the same numbers but trade SHORT. Yep, that what i said, TRADE IT IN REVERSE! This is Take Profit #2 9. Do the Fibonacci trick to confirm which is closer (tp 1 or tp2) 10. Look left for the most recent area of Liquidity. It's a candle with a long wick up or down where price reverses sharply. 11. Scan the Algo for a price level WITH volume. You have found your target. Adjust your take profit and walk away.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
81
How to stop overtrading and get rid of your trading addictionHello traders, All the below are based on my preferences, I don't give any financial recommendations and I have nothing to sell you with this article. I'm sharing content because I see a lot of traders being/becoming broke and I don't want you to be one of them. Here's how to stop overtrading and get rid of your trading addiction:🧵 I - Define a set of rules The first key to stop overtrading is establishing a set of rules Create a set of rules so you know when you SHOULD stop over-trading. It can be based on $ gain/loss or just the amount of trades taken. Either way, there needs to be a written list you can follow. For example, let's say I want to make X dollars per month with equates to X/20 (give or take) dollars to make in average per trading day. Once for a given day I've reached that goal, I'm stopping myself from trading more. Why? Who here kept trading after making a decent amount of money and ended up losing all the gains? The reason being, we're humans and not naturally wired to trade. After making some money, we all tend to become greedy, taking more risks, also not seeing obvious signs we usually see when we're focused. II - Find a hobby The second key is having a hobby. Something you can do once you've stopped trading It could be... - Working out (I'm working out twice a day for health benefits but also to meditate and to stop thinking about my trades) Of course, as an intraday trader, I'm going to workout whenever with 0 opened intraday trade When I'm invested in SWING trading, I'm taking trades with big enough timeframes so that it's totally fine if I'm not checking the charts for multiple hours in a row - Doing chores Could also be cooking for yourself or your family - Talking to a friend Trading is a passion and if you're passionate about it, your friends will likely want to hear your thoughts about the markets, the trades Of course, don't give them any financial advice :) You don't want to be in a position of recommending or not recommending an action as they may blame you for their losses. Stay neutral, only share what you're doing and why you love doing it - Writing Writing or Journaling helps me clearing As long as you have SOMETHING you can do everyday after trading It should help you out Mine is after 3 consecutive intraday losses, I stop for the session (morning or afternoon) and head to working out, walking, doing anything else other than trading III - Find a buddy I would also suggest getting a trading buddy A trading buddy is simply another trader (or non-trader) that you can talk to throughout the trading day I'm trading with my father and a community of traders, we're talking often, exchanging ideas on whether a setup looks great or not. Not to talk about trades, but more as a mental coach Someone who you can text when you're feeling emotional. And they will tell you to get off the computer. Sometimes we just need to hear it from someone else to actually execute IV - Turn off your computer Lastly, I would recommend turning off the screens. Like literally shutting your computer/monitor off and walking away. You need to PHYSICALLY set yourself apart from the trading scene. Doing this will allow your brain to think about doing something else, rather than trading. Conclusion To summarise: - Have a set of trading rules - Have a hobby - Find a trading buddy - Physically constrain yourself to stop trading after your daily gains or losses have been reached
Education
by Daveatt
137
Trendline and Channel Tutorial: Part 4All traders are different but I personally find it difficult to use standalone channels to consistently initiate profitable trades against. Not the least of the problem is that the channel continues to either rise or fall, making a secure place to hide a stop above/below more difficult. But I find them particularly useful in three aspects. The first, and by far the most important, is that a channel allows one to quickly visualize the ebb and flow of supply and demand. As described earlier in this series, the relationship of price to the channel boundaries and the median line offer insight to the strength of the underlying trend (increasing or decreasing). The second is in the use of channels to rebalance existing positions against. I find tremendous value in trading around conjunctions with other support/resistance techniques. In other words, zones of support or resistance provided by the confluence of channels, horizonal patterns, fibonocci, momentum, and chart patterns result in more reliable entries than simply trading the width of the channels. In this piece we concentrate on finding suitable trading confluences. Finding a confluence: After the late March 2022 pivot (point A), the initial supply line A-C could be drawn along with a parallel initial projected oversold line from point B. By early August the channel top (supply line) intersected price in the area around 4330. In the Wyckoff perspective, the downtrend represented the stride of supply and represented a significant chart reference. In late May, price exceeded the initial projected oversold line, requiring a redraw from point D. Between early Jan and mid July 2022 SPX declined from 4797 (A) to 3640 (D). The .618% retracement of the entire decline bisects around 4313. From the low (1) on July 14, SPX rallied for 22 trading days. From July 26th an initial demand (uptrend line) could be projected. By the 29th an initial supply line (channel top) could be drawn. These two lines defined the minor channel. By the middle of August, the minor channel intersected with the major channel in the area around 4332. Price was also scraping across the top of the rising Bollinger band and the daily stochastic oscillator had been pinned in overbought since early August. Levels: 4330 - Major channel top 4313 - .618% Fibonacci retracement 4336 - Upper channel (supply) line in the shorter perspective channel. 4332 - Bollinger Band top Stochastic and other momentum indicators pinned in overbought. As price moves into a confluence zone, I typically move to the chart of one lower degree and begin monitoring for a potential trade entry setup. SPX Hourly: In this perspective the channel becomes clearer. It is important to note that after August 8th, price never again approached the supply line and instead hugged the median line (inside the oval). This offered a clear indication of waning demand. On August 11, I moved the supply line (red dashed channel top) lower, providing yet another layer of resistance. Once price moves into a resistance confluence you may use your preferred method of trade entry and stop placement to initiate a trade. Finally, most price action is only noise and there are only a few points on any chart where behavior becomes meaningful. Confluences, channel tops and trend lines represent one of instances. If no confluence exists, move your attention to a different chart. There is always a tradable confluence somewhere. And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum. Good Trading: Stewart Taylor, CMT Chartered Market Technician Taylor Financial Communications Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
SP:SPXEducation
by CMT_Association
17
Why is trading so emotional? In August last year, I published an educational post around Fibonacci. There's also thousands of articles and books available on the topic. But how does it fit with being emotional? Often people talk about Algos, smart money concepts and a load of other terms. All trying to make sense of the market, Fibonacci isn't magical or mystical. It's a set of simple numbers that work - due to humans wanting to see patterns in everything they look at. Here's the article from last year - feel free to click it and go through that one as well. The issue I have when educating people - is there is always a desire to find an automated solution. I keep saying, if algos are that good - we wouldn't have school, doctors or firemen; they would all be sipping cocktails on a beach far away! If you want to learn technical analysis, you really need to dig deep into the emotional analysis. People like Dow, Elliott and Wyckoff (for me, are not technical gurus) they merely understood - human psychology made waves, changed sentiment - the bigger players in the markets know this. It's why most news outlets and websites around TA push writers who only talk MA's and RSI's. It keeps fresh sheep on track. The market is all about liquidity - these levels are created at psychological levels & from there, it's copy, paste, repeat. Take a look at this on the current Bitcoin move down from the All Time High. Swing 1 = 618 of A-B Swing 2 = 100% of the A-B Swing 3 = 100% of the A-B Swing 4 = 618 of the A-B Swing 5 = 1.23 range and 1.27 range of the A-B Then even when you step down a level you can see the move inside the moves looking similar. Local support is 618... When I started posting on @TradingView publicly - I explained why we where seeing value areas and re-accumulation for the first times. These levels were starting to show signs of the crypto space being institutionalised. This is important to understand, as much like Fibonacci levels, the price would now act in a different way to psychological levels. In stepped Wyckoff and you could see from before and after - where and why the price would go. Before Here's the AFTER shot. Lucky Guess? Well - maybe on the way back from the 28k levels highlighted in March, the very same fibs became obvious. If we where seeing Elliott waves form you could therefor measure the fib extensions. This was August the 24th - read the comments as to why the drop was coming (4 move) and why we would likely see the drop just above the old all time high. By October we had seen the forecasted extension levels getting hit - a retest followed this and we dropped. So, like I said - there's nothing magical, it's all about sentiment and psychology. Learn this and you will progress as a trader. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
31
30 Quotes From Philosopher That Will Make You ThinkQuotes, man. I love them. Excerpts, proverbs, quips, riddles, koans, aphorisms, limericks, snippets, and lyrics— I’m not the type to discriminate. I love them all. Since In Latest TradingView Post About "Traders Gaining Momentum : Fall Edition" to Compile Great Authors To Read And I Will Try To Compile Great Quotes From Philosopher For Traders And Investors. TradingView Listing Great Users To Read On. Okay In this week’s post , I’d like to share with you a few quotes that I think will benefit you. They deliver potent, pithy shots of clarity, insight, and/or motivation that can help you gain perspective, especially if times are tough. Read, contemplate, and maybe note these, as if they were personal notes left to you by some of the greatest minds –past and present. 1.– “ Man only likes to count his troubles; he doesn’t calculate his happiness .” ― Fyodor Dostoyevsky In trading: Basing your happiness on trade outcomes —events that are in themselves ever-changing— is self-imposed suffering. Let go. Trust the process, and let yourself enjoy unconditional happiness. 2. — “ If you look for perfection, you’ll never be content .” ― Leo Tolstoy In trading: Trade entries or exits are rarely going to be perfect. Make peace with that. 3.– “ I want to sing like the birds sing, not worrying about who hears or what they think .” ― Rumi In trading: Don’t let other’s opinions shake you out of your trades. Learn to trust your system/ your process/ your opinion. 4.– “ Out of suffering have emerged the strongest souls; the most massive characters are seared with scars .” ― Kahlil Gibran In trading: Beginner’s luck often stifles growth. Losses and failure are good for you. 5.– “ You could not step twice into the same river .” ― Heraclitus In trading: Change is everywhere. Even in the market it is a constant. The market generates patterns and even though those patterns seem to repeat themselves with a certain degree of consistency, they’re never completely the same – they don’t share the same intensity, momentum, and duration. 6.– “ Let everything happen to you; beauty and terror, just keep going. No feeling is final .” ― Rainer Maria Rilke In trading: Following your plan should be viewed as an essential act, even though it’s a struggle most of the time. It’s so important to believe that it will be worth it in the end —rather than doubting and judging how it feels in each moment. 7.– “ The only way to make sense out of change is to plunge into it, move with it, and join the dance .” ― Alan W. Watts In trading: Never be afraid of change or uncertainty. Embrace them by being as open/flexible/adaptable as possible. 8.– “ A good traveler has no fixed plans and is not intent on arriving .” ― Lao Tzu In trading: Trading can be a ‘one-hit wonder’ thing, where you eventually land one trade that changes everything for you. But instead, I urge you to think of it as a lifelong journey. The psychological implications are very different. 9.– “ Life’s under no obligation to give us what we expect .” ― Margaret Mitchell In trading: There are no guarantees in trading. The sooner you accept that, you sooner you can release your expectations and focus unconditionally on a proven process that’ll raise your probability of success. 10.– “ Flow with whatever may happen, and let your mind be free: Stay centered by accepting whatever you are doing. This is the ultimate .” ― Chuang Tzu In trading: Do not bring emotional struggle into trading. Everything changes -outcomes, markets, circumstances, states of mind… There is nothing to cling to. Go with the flow. Trade in the moment. 11.– “ You can feel an emotion; just don’t think that it’s so important .” — John Cage In trading: When you let your emotions come to the surface; when you embrace them, no matter their content or intensity, you transcend them. When you deny them and try to push them down, they afflict you even more. 12.– “ The instant you speak about a thing, you miss the mark .” ― Zen Proverb In trading: Don’t bother showing to the world that you’re a good trader. Just act like one. 13.– “ You must let what happens happen. Everything must be equal in your eyes, good and evil, beautiful and ugly, foolish and wise .” ― Michael Ende In trading: In trading, whatever is going to happen will happen, whether you want it or not. Your job is not to react blindly… This game is all about strategic maneuvering. 14.– “ Worry is preposterous; we don’t know enough to worry .” — Wei Boyang In trading: A simple way to prevent thoughts from turning into worrying (overthinking) is to trade while remaining open to all possibilities. 15.– “ The longer I live, the more uninformed I feel. Only the young have an explanation for everything .” ― Isabel Allende In trading: The more you stay in the game, the more you’ll realize that there are no real ‘pros’ in trading. We’re all just perpetual students of the market. But some losing traders think they have all the answers. They can’t learn because they’re busy telling everyone what they know and what to do. 16.– “ Nothing is more wonderful than the art of being free, but nothing is harder to learn how to use than freedom .” — Alexis de Tocqueville In trading: Some people get into trading to escape the rat race, but then they feel the need to sit in front of their screen all day to watch the market. They think they have to trade all the time. It’s a big mistake. 17.– “ It’s more difficult to rule yourself than to rule an entire city. ” ― Jordan B Peterson In trading: Trading can be easy. The real problem is the worrying, the expectations, delusions, the inability to let go… For those reasons, it’s not. That’s why working on your mindset day in and day out is the most important thing you can ever do if you want to stay in the game long enough to experience success. 18.– “ Consistency is contrary to nature, contrary to life. The only completely consistent people are the dead .” ― Aldous Huxley In trading: Humans are fallible and perfect consistency is virtually impossible. Even expert traders make mistakes from time to time. The only difference between them and the amateurs is that their mistakes aren’t deadly because money management is their number one priority. Expert traders also recognize early on that they’ve made a mistake and they are quick to correct their course of action without hesitation. 19.– “ In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule .” ― Friedrich Nietzsche In trading: The herd mentality is a contagious phenomenon. To prevent it from sneaking up on you, it can be useful to train yourself to read, feel, and understand your emotions and urges. 20.– “ That which does not kill us makes us stronger. ” ― Friedrich Nietzsche In trading: Everything that happens is an opportunity for growth. Nothing is placed before you that you can’t handle. So spend no time on blame, bitterness, or feeling sorry for yourself, and you put everything towards learning and growth. 21.– “ Your mind will answer most questions if you learn to relax and wait for the answer .” ― William S. Burroughs In trading: You missed a trade? Frustration comes when we want things to be different from how they are. Why waste time in fantasies and what could have been? Why not just relax and wait for the next trade opportunity? There’ll always be one… 22.– “ Anything which is troubling you, anything which is irritating you, that is your teacher. ” ― Ajahn Chah In trading: You must expect failure as part of your trading journey. Failure and success go hand in hand — you cannot have one without the other. 23.– “ If you don’t have a strategy, you’re part of someone else’s strategy . ” ― Alvin Toffler In trading: In this field, lots of fake traders are after your money. Make sure you learn from the right people. This is critical. 24.– “ Disillusionment in living is finding that no one can really ever be agreeing with you completely in anything. ” ― Gertrude Stein In trading: You are only trading your opinion, which is a relative truth. Price is the absolute truth. 25.– “I know there is no straight road; no straight road in this world, only a giant labyrinth of intersecting crossroads.” ― Federico Garcia Lorca In trading: The path to market success is not a straight one. You will fall along the way. But losses and failures eventually get you wisdom. Without wisdom, durable market success is simply not possible. So learn to enjoy the journey. 26.– “ All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone .” ― Blaise Pascal In trading: Meditation helps you know yourself. You can’t trade well if you don’t know yourself. 27.– “ We are our choices .” ― Jean-Paul Sartre In trading: Take responsibility for your losses and work on bettering the quality of your decisions. 28.– “ Man can will nothing unless he has first understood that he must count on no one but himself .” ― Jean-Paul Sartre In trading: Don’t wait for trade ideas from others. Work on being completely self-reliant. 29.– “ Maybe it’s not about happy ending. Maybe it’s about the story.” ― Albert Camus In trading: See trading as a kind of journey in which you will transform yourself, rather than a mere money-making endeavor. 30.– “ Ask yourself at every moment, “Is this necessary? ” ― Marcus Aurelius In trading: In some sense, trading mastery is simply noticing your patterns of thought, emotions and behavior that are not skillful, and having the strength of mind to say “no… I’m not gonna do that.” -END- I Hope You Have Nice Days And Wishyou Profitable Weeks!! Hot Baked Pumpkin Is Really Nice In This Time. 🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁🍁 Source : Yvan
NYSE:TWTREducation
by Zestiria
35
The easiest way to spot divergences and how to trade them Welcome to the coffee shop everybody. This is your host and baristo Eric, and in today's video I am giving you a video Lesson based off of my preferences on how you should look for and use RSI Divergences. THe Oscillator used in this video is The Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator Get it free here and always BOOOOOOOOOOST IT!! There are three problems that people have whether they are experts or when they are novices in spotting Divergence between the RSI and price. First problem is they don't know where to look because the RS I can have hundreds of high values and hundreds of low values but you need to know which ones are the relevant ones to look at. The second problem is a common question where people ask "which way will the price go?" The answer to that is basically the slope of the RSI is the new slope of your price so, if the RSI is angled up your price will angle up. If the RSI is angled down your price will angle down. Now hold on a minute don't run off and start acting like you know how to trade divergences yet because there's still question number 3. When will it go in that direction? Just because you see a Divergence doesn't mean it's going to immediately happen so you need to know what to look for to let you know that it is actually going to go in that direction and when will that Trend begin. So in today's video I do a nice lengthy coverage on how to spot those answers and you can use the oscillator in the video by going to this link.
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
70
Scaling-in and Scaling-outHello traders, All the below are based on my preferences, I don't give any financial recommendations and I have nothing to sell you with this article. I'm sharing content because I see a lot of traders being/becoming broke and I don't want you to be one of them. Scaling-in There are times when I will scale into a position. When the price dips into the my Moving Average pullback zone, I'll typically get 25% of my position there. I'll then add a full position if the price dips past that MA Don't add to winners I wouldn't advise adding to winners I would advise adding to losers IF it's part of your plan. Though, most traders adding to losers end up losing more statistically.... then even I don't do it. You should always have a stop in place and get out at your stop (or preferably use our hard exit system) NEVER add to your position after your stop has been hit That's not what I'm advising I always make sure to get in a very small position early in case I miss the real entry. It allows me to still have a decent entry if the price drops lower AND allows me to catch the move if the price decides to rip Alright, let's talk about exits👇 Scaling-out Your exit strategy will ultimately depend on your overall strategy However, for ALL small accounts, I'd recommend NOT to scale. Scaling exits should really only be for accounts that can afford to take multiple contracts (5-10+) Otherwise, it's better off just take 100% off at your first target And I really mean it Remember, when your Stop-Loss hit you take 100% of a loss. This should be obvious.... though I see plenty having multiple Take Profit levels and 1 Stop Loss level And they wonder why they're losing.... mostly because of basic mathematics (literally additions and subtractions). A big loss is very hard to offset with multiple partial profits across multiple trades. If you do have a larger account, here's how I'd recommend setting up your exit strategy IMO, it's best to only have 3 targets/exits MAX. After 3, there's really no need to complicate your trading anymore I'm taking the MAJORITY of my profits out at first target... 80+% of your position Otherwise, I very often end up taking the trades, having a lot of unrealised gains but bringing back home nothing.... which is NOT ACCEPTABLE for me. It's UNFORGIVABLE to earn a decent amount of $$ and letting everything go because I thought the trade should have gone further. I like moving my stop to breakeven after I've taken my first partial After you've taken your first partial, that's when you can leave 20% for runners. You can either take the remaining runners out at your second target or Take half out at your second target and leave 10-15% for your last target The larger your account size, the more targets I recommend you have I also like moving my stops up after each target to make sure the trade doesn't go red Why do I use this scaling strategy? By taking the majority of my size off at my first target, it allows my strategy to keep a decent R/R rate, assuming I move stops to breakeven It also leaves my trading more stress-free since I have less of a position on. Allows for the trade to come back breakeven and I've already taken most off On top of that, I have 20-30% of my position as runners in case this stock starts to explode Doesn't happen often, but sometimes the remaining 20% ends up netting me more profit than the original 80% did. At the end of the day, it's up to you how you want to scale These are the methods I found most effective, depending on your account size and your strategy. Conclusion - As a beginner, I used to stick with 1 TP/1 SL only and that's how I brought home gains - Once my trading account reached the 6 figures threshold, I allowed myself to have 2-3 TPs but I was taking most off the table at the first TP level and automatically moved my SL to Breakeven - Adding to losers (aka the Dollar Cost Average method) also called martingale is a solid way for most beginners to depart from their money quickly - I'll make another article on martingale and why I think it's not for everyone
Education
by Daveatt
28
Terminal rates - How FX traders can benefit on TradingViewOne of the more watched interest rate settings in markets is the so-called ‘terminal’ interest rate – the point in the interest rate futures curve that reflects the highest point of future rate expectations – said differently, where the market feels a central bank could take its key policy rate by a specific date. For those who really want to understand fed funds futures far better, this research piece from the St. Louis Fed is good - files.stlouisfed.org As an FX trader, I am not too concerned as to the exact pricing in the rates market, a basis point here or there is no great issue - I loosely want to know what is priced by way of future expectations. This lends itself to more fundamental, tactical or thematic trading strategies and obviously day traders won’t pay too close attention, although, it’s worth considering that when rates are on the move you do see higher intraday volatility and that is a factor they have to operate in – where one of the core considerations for any day trader is ‘environment recognition’ and the assessment of whether we’re seeing in a trending or mean reversion (convergence) day. We also see terminal pricing correlated with FX and equity markets – certain if we look at the relationship between fed funds futures April contract and USDJPY we can see the correlation. Some will just use the US 2-year Treasury, as this is the point on the US Treasury curve that is most sensitive to rate pricing. The good thing about the fed fund's future though is we can see quantitatively the degree of rate hikes being priced for a set date. Using the logic expressed in the St Louis Fed research piece we can see that the market sees the highest level where the Fed hike rates is March – subsequently, this is priced off the April contract, and currently, this sits at 4.90%. Using 4.9% as our yardstick, interest rate traders would make a call if the expected fed funds effective rate was either priced too high, or indeed too low and could push above 5% - if new economic data emerged that suggested the Fed needed to go even harder on hiking than what is priced, and the terminal rate moves above 5% then the USD will find a new leg higher. Conversely, if the market started to trade this down to say 4.70% to 4.5% then the USD will find sellers – and notably USDJPY is the cleanest expression of interest rate differentials. For TradingView users we can use this code in the finder box - (100-ZQJ2023). I put these codes into a watchlist and add a section' for heightened display. Again, this tells me where the peak pricing/expectations are in the interest rate curve. You can see the corresponding codes needed for each contract. Terminal rates matter – if we're to see this trending lower, most likely in 2023, then it may be one of the clear release valves the equity market needs – for those looking for the Fed to pivot – the terminal rate will be one way to visualise it
CBOT:ZQJ2023Education
by Pepperstone
7
My layout of correlations I always monitor correlations before doing day trading or swing trading on more assets, at the same time. Correlation is a measure that defines how different assets move in relation to one another. The more the correlation coefficient is, the more they are aligned closely. My layout of correlations here. US Dollar and SP500 as references at first row of each table. My list of tickets consists of several subsets: Indices, Commodities , Financials and Currencies. My Layout is 1x5 Correlation Frame 1x1 --> Daily perspective (timeframe 4h, lenght for calculation of correlation = 6) Correlation Frame 1x2 --> Weekly perspective (timeframe 4h, lenght for calculation of correlation = 30) Correlation Frame 1x3 --> Monthly perspective (timeframe 1D, lenght for calculation of correlation = 20) Correlation Frame 1x4 --> 2-Monthly perspective (timeframe 1D, lenght for calculation of correlation =40) Correlation Frame 1x5 --> 3-Monthly perspective (timeframe 1D, lenght for calculation of correlation = 60) You can find this indicator in Tradingview, Tab indicator & strategies , by typing gCorrelations
FX:USDOLLAREducation
by giancarlopagliaroli
45
Trendlines and Channels Tutorial: Part 3Before we get started on trendlines and channels I want to share a quick thought on the current market environment and how, at least in my opinion, the technical environment has changed. I believe that the weight of the evidence suggests that we are in the early to mid-stage of a primary bear market. If that is the case, momentum and sentiment extremes, breadth thrusts, and other conditions that have reliably produced tradable lows over the course of the recently completed primary bull market are far less likely to create meaningful/investable lows. For a low to be trusted for more than a quick trading turn will require multiple techniques and confirmations, while shorts into rallies and interim highs can be sold much more safely than at any time since the 2008 lows. If global central banks, and in particular the Federal Reserve, continue to tighten policy, markets are at significant risk. In particular I believe that QT is the more important driver of asset prices. I don't foresee a pivot anytime soon unless there is a financial accident. Even then, it’s not likely that the pivot will include a long term reversal of policy. If inflation remains high, pivots are likely to pauses in the tightening cycle and not a lasting reversal. Ten Year Yields: For clarity and simplicity I will treat this uptrend in yield as a bull market (although it is actually a bear market as higher yield = lower price). To keep it simple I will label the uptrend in yields as if it were a bull market and use that terminology. The hourly chart of US Ten Year Treasury Yield offers another example of a consistent demand line coupled with a clear supply line. As discussed in parts 1 & 2, trendlines and channel tops evolve over time and are typically messy. Construction: Yields began inflecting higher in very early August (A) and over the next few weeks began making higher highs and higher lows. The first significant low occurred August 10, and soon after, the initial demand line (A-B) could be drawn. This demand line did an excellent job of defining the stride of the trend for the next two months. At that point there was a solid intervening high pivot between the two low pivots that could be used to draw the initial supply line. After the late August pivot, I moved my initial supply line lower. From September 13- 22 the market traded in the upper portion of the channel for an extended period (period in the oval). Downside reactions began consistently holding in the area around the channel median/central line. This is typically a sign of strength. Note that this was the third time during the sequence that price had held in the upper portion of the band for an extended period. Granted, there were two periods where price was below median, but both periods were relatively short and the totality of time spent above median was far greater. This was clearly a market where demand is outstripping supply by quite a lot (remember that since this is yield, we are treating the uptrend as if it were price, so in actuality, holding in the top portion of the channel represented superior supply). Soon after this show of strength, the market pushed above the top of the supply line. Overthrows of this nature are often terminal, ending the trend. Often, breakouts find fresh supply at roughly 1 channel width above the breakout. This one exceeded that modestly. Often (as is the case here) once the original channel is reentered, it will again begin to act as support and resistance. In the next installment we will talk about combining channels with other chart and oscillators and some notes about using channels to trade against. And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum. Good Trading: Stewart Taylor, CMT Chartered Market Technician Taylor Financial Communications Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
TVC:US10YEducation
by CMT_Association
17
INTRADAY FOREX TRADINGGreetings everyone. Today we are going to talk about such a difficult topic as intraday forex trading. The tips below will be helpful to any intraday traders. 🔷 Don't chase the number of trades. Select the most obvious setups. You have opened a chart. There are no setups. You zoom in the picture, change the timeframes, looking for some reason to enter the market. Does this situation sound familiar? The fact that you, following the stereotype "intraday trading is a lot of deals, almost every minute", really want to open a trade, and then some more. Only this is not trading based on the system, but trading at random. What does it lead to? I think you've guessed it. Enter only when you see a clear, text book setup. Enter the market only when you see clear setups. Ignore confusing, unclear situations. Just wait for clear entry signals. 🔷 Limit the Number of Traded Instruments Intraday trading requires quick and clear actions. There is no time for long thinking. So, a large number of trading pairs will only confuse and distract you. You don't need 20 charts when trading intraday; limit your portfolio to two or three instruments, no more. In the beginning, I would advise to trade no more than one pair. 🔷 Risk no more than 1% of your deposit in each trade The psychological pressure is very high when trading intraday. It is very easy to get enraged by a couple of losing trades and start making more and more mistakes trying to win back. It is very hard to stay calm, risking 5-10% of deposit in every trade, because we open trades quite often during the day, and there is just no time to calm down, to assess the situation thoughtfully and without emotions. So, the best variant is to risk only a small part of your capital. That in case of a string of losses you will stay morally steady and be able to continue trading in order to recover these losses later. Try to aim not to earn much at first, but to earn steadily. 🔷 Monitor the news The release of important economic data can easily turn the market in either direction. And while this factor is neutralized by the timeframe size when trading on daily charts, in intraday trading you have to pay attention to news releases. Do not trade half an hour before and after the news release. If you see some kind of Price Action setup, but half an hour later the news comes out just wait. After the news release, if the market moves in the direction indicated by the setup, you can enter the market. But not before the news release. 🔷 Watch the higher timeframe Forex charts of the same currency pair can be completely different. It all depends on the timeframe, on the selected timeframe. And if you trade, for example, on H1, then it will be useful to look at the higher timeframe like H4. But we have to do it wisely considering the stage of the event on the higher timeframe. 🔷 Limit your profits / losses for 1 day First, never set yourself a goal: to make N points in one day. This leads to looking for non-existent points to enter the trade, feeling angry at the market, and in the end, there are just quiet days when it's hard to extract your N pips even in theory, let alone in practice. I'm talking specifically about setting limits. A kind of total take profit and stop loss on trades within one day. It may seem silly at first sight, but this approach helps a lot in maintaining the discipline which is so important in intraday trading. 🔷 Consider the daily volatility of the traded pair Let's assume you know that the average distance from the High point to the Low point of the daily candlestick for pair X is 100 pips. If your profit on a trade opened during intraday trading was about 70-80 pips, then it would be logical to close the position, because the potential for movement is almost exhausted. Likewise, if the price has already gone 70 pips in the trend, and a new pattern appears in the same direction, it would be quite stupid to open a new trade, because the price is about to "run out of fuel". 🔷 Do not leave the position for the next day A serious error of beginners is to leave open positions overnight. Think about it: why should the set up that you found intraday be valid tomorrow? The market has long forgotten about it. The traders have a lot of new data, signals, someone has opened positions on higher timeframes, and so on. So why should your position hold? By leaving open positions overnight you are simply playing roulette, trying your luck. And luck has no place in Forex. So, in order to avoid unnecessary losses, if at the end of the American session you have open positions, no matter what just close them.
Education
by DeGRAM
20
How to Setup Daily Charts using Price Action Trading!Hey Traders here is a quick video that explains what I believe is one of the best ways to setup your charts for trading success. My chart trading style does not use indicators. I use a naked charts with support and resistance levels. I use end of day trading daily charts with trend following, and chart patterns, and of course Fibonacci retracement levels. Learning how to setup your charts to see the long term picture of the market can really benefit us in our trading. Enjoy! Trade Well Clifford
Education
by TradeTheIndex
76
WHY THE RICH GET RICHER The general trend, in a capitalist economy governed by private property, would be for the rich to get richer—for inequality to increase steadily over time. That had been true in the initial stages of industrialization and remains the fact nowadays. One reason: The wealthiest 1 percent put three-quarters of their savings into investment assets. By contrast, the middle class had 63 percent of their assets tied up in their homes, with home equity accounting for about a third since they have large mortgage debt. The differences reflect the greater share of high-yield investment assets like stocks in the portfolios of the rich and the greater share of housing in the portfolio of the middle class. Of course, the rich can afford to lose more—so they can take more risks and make more when times are good. But the lesson is clear: the wealth gap is caused in large part by the investment gap. Some other psychological reasons should be considered as well, they are nicely reflected on the chart above, so spend some time to examine that.
BIST:XAUUSD1!Education
by TopTradingSignals
38