What is Bullish Flag Pattern?What is a Bullish Flag Pattern?
The bullish Flag pattern is usually found in assets with a strong uptrend. It is called a flag pattern because it resembles a flag and pole. Pole is the preceding uptrend where the flag represents the consolidation of the uptrend.
How does Bullish Flag Pattern?
The flag pattern resembles a parallelogram or rectangle marked by two parallel trendlines that tend to slope against the preceding trend.
Phase 1 : Preceding Uptrend
When there is an extreme demand in prices there is an uptrend. It continued as the demand increases.
Phase 2 : Flag
After the sharp uptrend when supply increases more then the demand prices move to the consolidation phase or flag phase. This acts as a small price channel.
Phase 3 : Uptrend Continuation
As the flag is a pause in an uptrend, as prices consolidate investors again start to show interest in the asset which eventually leads to heavy demand again which further leads to a breakout and uptrend continuation.
Role of Volume:
Volume plays a vital role in the completion of the Bullish Flag pattern. When in a preceding uptrend the volume is quite higher. In the flag phase, the volume starts to go down as investors are least interested to buy and sell that particular asset. And again on the breakout, the volume surges. Volume with Breakout gives a good indication of a successful uptrend.
Above Chart Explanation:
This is 4H chart of SOLUSDT We can see a good preceding uptrend with great volumes. Then after the uptrend, we enter the second phase the flag phase we can see perfect bounce and retracement from upper and lower trendlines or flag with diminishing volumes. And again a breakout with good volumes.
Here could be the two possible entries one at the bottom of the flag that gives us a very low-risk entry if it breaks the flag we exit.
And second entry can be at breakout, first, we have to confirm that the breakout is legit for that we can look at the volumes rising volumes to confirm that the breakout is legit.
Usually, we should target the length of the pole after the breakout.
Conclusion:
Bullish Flag is a continuation pattern it occurs quite often on charts and is one of the most reliable continuation patterns.
Comment your thoughts on Bullish Flag Pattern in the comment section below.
Disclaimer:
This is just an educational post never trade just any pattern. And please do your research before making any trades.
Happy Trading!
Community ideas
Analysis of the PEG ratio and income yieldIn this idea I’ll be covering two valuation metrics the PEG ratio and the income yield here is the PEG ratio:
The PEG ratio (price earnings growth ratio): This is another very popular ratio and it is calculated by dividing the share price by the product of the eps and the annualised eps growth rate. There are many different types of PEG ratios, and the annual eps growth rate can be over the course of a different number of years, it could be for 1 year, or even 10 or more. However, it is most common to find the annual eps growth rate over the past 5 years. It is also worth noting that you can have a forward PEG ratio, just like you can have a forward P/E ratio, however, I would prefer to use past earnings as they have actually materialised and therefore are more reliable.
The main advantage of the PEG ratio is that it will tell you how much you will be paying for the earnings over time, so whilst a company may look expansive on a P/E ratio now, if it is quickly growing over time the P/E ratio will be looking smaller and smaller and may even be considered cheap when it was once expensive. A PEG scored 1 is considered average and the lower the PEG score, the better, you are paying less for the total earnings. Unlike the P/E ratio, you can more comfortably compare the PEG ratio across different sectors as the sectors with more growth potential will have that more priced in with the PEG ratio. However, whilst the PEG ratio has numerous advantages there are also several drawbacks.
1. A one off charge or gain could mean that the earnings and growth of a company could be depressed or inflated, giving it a PEG score that is too low or too high, when in reality this one of charge will have little to do with what the earnings will be in the future.
2. The PEG score does not include cash conversion rate, a company could have high and rising earnings, but if this is not converted into cash it is difficult to envisage a scenario where the company generates value for the shareholders, or alternatively earnings could start to fall off as the company does not have as much cash to fund growth.
3. The PEG ratio does not give a far representation of cyclical shares, for example during a temporary downturn a company could have a high P/E and a low eps growth rate, but this is actually not an issue of a company it is just a common fluctuation. On the flip side during the upturns the company could have a low P/E and a very high eps growth rate, but this is actually not to do with the company itself.
4. The PEG ratio does not factor in how much debt or cash the group is carrying. A a company can enjoy the dual effect of increasing eps growth and earnings by simply acquiring another profitable corporation. The end effect is that without the company performing well itself a company can have a very low PEG as a result of higher eps and higher growth. So it makes sense that a company with net cash should be rewarded with a higher PEG than one which is highly leveraged as the group with net cash can expand more easily. However, the PEG ratio does not factor this in.
5. The PEG ratio also seems to favour companies with extremely high growth rates. The issue is that if a company has growth rates of 100% or more, the growth is likely to fall off quickly and so the company could look cheap on the PEG ratio, when in reality it is actually expensive. To deal with this I would recommend valuing a eps growth rates over 100% as 100% meaning that no company can have a PEG ratio of 1 or lower with a p/e of over 100.
Then there is also the issue of diluted and basic EPS. As stated previously in the P/E article I would recommend using diluted EPS. I would recommend using diluted eps for both parts of the PEG ratio, I.e diluted eps for the earnings and growth parts of the ratio.
This is the income yield:
The income yield: This is the same as the P/E ratio, except it is calculated as a yield, to convert from the P/E ratio to the income yield find the reciprocal of the yield and multiply it by 100%. Since we are using the reciprocal this time, the larger the yield the better, as you are recovering a higher percentage of your earnings each year. (Complete analysis on the P/E ratio is already on TradingView see link at the bottom)
The income yield, has the same limitations and advantages as the P/E ratio, except for the fact that it can be compared against other sources of income such as cash or bonds. It is worth noting that there are several other things to bear in mind apart from the yield when you are planning an investment. Firstly, the risk matters, you should generally expect a higher return from a riskier asset than a safe one, otherwise why take the risk? Secondly, it is also worth bearing in mind that the yield of an asset can fluctuate the yield can fall or hopefully, it should rise, and so it is worth paying a premium if the actual yield is likely to increase over time.
IMPROVE YOUR TRADING | Simple Flowchart For You to Follow 🧭📍
A short ⚠️disclaimer before we start:
the rules that will be discussed in this post are applicable only for technicians - traders that are relying on price action/structure/etc.
Also, we assume that structure levels do work and for us, key levels are considered to be the safest trading zones/points.
In order to increase the accuracy of your predictions analyzing different financial markets, you must learn to identify the direction of the market.📈
The identification of the market trend must be based on strict & reliable & testable rules.
It can be based on technical indicators or price action
Personally, I prefer to rely on price action.
Here are a couple of examples of how I identify the market trend:
There are three main types of market trends:
Bullish Trend
Bearish Trend
Sideways Market
Depending on the current direction of the market, on the chart, I drew a flow chart✔️ that will help you to act safely.
➡️Sideways market signifies consolidation & indecision. Usually being in such a state the market tends to coil in horizontal ranges.
To trade such a market safely, the best option for you will be to wait for a breakout of the range & wait for the initiation of the trend.
➡️Once you spotted a bullish market, do not rush to buy.
Your task will be to identify the closest strong structure support.
You must be patient enough to let the price reach that support first (and by the way, there is no guarantee that it will happen) and then you must wait for a certain confirmation.
Please, check the article about different types of confirmations:
Only once you get the needed confirmation you can buy the market.
➡️The same strategy will be applicable to a bearish market.
Spotting a short rally it is way early to just sell the asset from a random point.
You must find the closest strong structure resistance and wait for the moment when the price will approach that.
Then your task will be to wait for a confirmation and only when you got the reliable trigger you short the market.
🦉Try to rely on this flow chart and I promise you that you will see a dramatic increase in your trading performance.
And even though it may appear to you that this flow chart is TOO SIMPLE, in practice, even such a set of rules requires iron discipline and patience.
Thank you so much for reading this article,
I hope you enjoy it!
❤️Please, support it with like and comment. Thank you!
How To: Combine Stock Charts and Share Watchlists with FriendsJust A Quick Video On How To:
1. Combine a bunch of stocks on a single chart so you can identify which ones are performing best over different periods.
2. Share this list of charts with friends, family, and followers.
I just like creating and saving the overall chart to give people a better visual idea of what you are sharing with them, but you can share your watchlists very simply and easily without having to create the chart.
Note: The watchlist WILL automatically update if you add or remove a stock.
The Saved Chart:
The Watchlist
www.tradingview.com
Learn How to Trade Double Bottom Formation | Full Guide 📚
Hey traders,
If you are learning price action trading, you definitely must know a double bottom pattern.
Double bottom is a reversal pattern.
It is applied to spot early market reversal clues and catch the initiation of a new bullish trend.
Preconditions for a double bottom:
1️⃣ The market must trade in a bearish trend.
2️⃣ After a formation of the last lower high, the price must set equal low.
3️⃣ The price must return back to the last lower high level.
✅Once these conditions are met the pattern is considered to be completed.
The formation of the pattern is considered to be a ⚠️WARNING sign.
Even though many traders buy the pattern once it is completed,
for me it is not enough.
❗️Remember that the price can easily start to consolidate and form a horizontal channel for example.
The trigger that we will look for is the breakout (candle close above) the last lower high level (based on a wick and its highest candle close) - the neckline.
Being broken to the upside, the market sets a new higher high.
It signifies a violation of a current bearish trend.
⬆️Attempting to catch an initiation of a bullish trend, we will buy the market with a buy limit order on a retest of a broken neckline.
❌Safest stop will lie below the lows of the pattern.
💰Your reward must be at least 1.5 of your risk.
Following these simple rules, you will be impressed by how accurate this pattern is!
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
How to use Volume with Trends.Volume is a useful tool for studying trends, and as you can see, it can be used in a variety of ways. Basic principles can be used to determine market strength or weakness, as well as to determine whether the volume is confirming a price increase or decrease. Volume-based indicators are occasionally used to aid in decision-making. In conclusion, while volume is not a precise tool, price action, volume, and volume indicators can be used to identify entry and exit signals.
Spot Trading vs Margin Trading Pros and ConsSpot Trading is the most basic form of trading method and is the most suitable for beginners in trading. It's simply a BUY > HOLD > SELL mechanism.
On the Other Hand
Margin Trading is complicated and should only be done by experienced traders. There are various components to margin trading such as Maintenance margin, margin calls, leverage, and liquidation.
Pros and cons of Spot Trading
👉Spot trading is easy to learn and understand and is a good starting point for beginners in Trading.
👉It's an easy process to manage risk in spot trading not taking all the complications of liquidation or margin calls.
👉You can hold an asset for a much longer time and in the case of cryptocurrency can also transfer to any cold wallet.
👉No Trading happens during downtrends.
👉The potentials gains are not very good on a smaller investment amount.
Pros and cons of Margin Trading
👉Margin Trading needs some advanced knowledge of various things such as margin calls, liquidation, leverage, etc. Hence it's not recommended for new traders.
👉You can make profits on both uptrends(by going LONG) and downtrends(by going SHORT).
👉Gives an ability to trade much larger amounts with a relatively small initial investment by using leverage.
👉Margin Trading is risky, and if not done properly can blow your account in a very short time span.
👉Profits are higher when utilizing margin trading, and so are the losses. Every exchange has its own rules for margin trading, which need to be understood carefully before investing.
Thanks for reading and what kind of trading technique do you use and why? Share in the comments below.
For more similar educational ideas, scripts and trend analysis follow us.
Happy Trading.
The importance of the STOPLOSS protective orderOur protective stops are vital to managing our risk, and just a single position you open without a stop can lead to the suicide of your trading account.
The uniqueness of stop orders lies in the fact that they, being pending orders, await their execution at a predetermined price. When stop orders are triggered, their important function is that they add momentum to the market and at the same time use the liquidity present in the market.
1)
Many have probably heard such information as: "When entering a trade, place a protective stop just below the high / low of the price." The reason is that this level has been identified as an important support level.
What else is posted in the support area? Limit orders of traders to buy, who have identified the support area and are waiting for the time to open a position when retesting the level.
Is there a large number of stops under each level? It depends on the size of the timeframe and how quickly the price leaves the given zone at the time of purchase.
2)
When the price gets to this level, traders are still interested in long positions, but this time the price does not bounce off that level as one would expect. It does not break it, does not make lower lows, but displays lower highs.
If you were interested in going long right now, what would you do? The average trader who bounces off the support level would enter a long position with a stop just below the support level. If you had a limit order that hadn't been filled yet, I would have postponed the order.
Candlesticks / Bars displays lower highs; The price does not rise as fast as one might expect; You know that just below the support area there are a lot of stop orders.
3)
What happens next? The price moves downward under pressure and breaks the stops of traders who have long positions, and, as we remember, when buy stops are triggered, these are market sell orders, and they force the price to move further down.
And traders, who are waiting for the opening of short positions, open them because the price breaks the support level, but then the market takes them out, “eats” them, because the price goes higher.
4) Those traders who were initially set for long positions and who were thrown out of the market by broken stops help push the price up. Now the graph looks like this:
New stops are placed below the new level, in front of us is Groundhog Day. And everything that has just been played will be played over and over again ... only at different price levels.
STOPLOSS is a way to limit losses when managing an open trading position or portfolio of positions. In fact, a stop loss is an order to close a position in the event of an unfavorable price movement.
The trader sets a stop loss to limit his own losses and trade within his own money management rules.
Analysis of the P/E ratioThe P/E valuation metric: This is by far the most popular valuation and it is simply dividing the market cap by net income (for the year), it can also be calculated by dividing the share price by eps, the lower the p/e the better, as you are having to pay less for the earnings. Generally, a company is considered expensive with a P/E of over 30 and cheap with a P/E of less than 15.
The main advantage of p/e is that it provides a quick and simple way of finding how many years would you have to wait to get your money back from the investment.
There are however, numerous drawbacks of the P/E ratio:
1. It does not factor in how quickly the earnings are growing. Whilst the earnings may look small in comparison to the price now, if the company is quickly growing in the future the earnings could look large in comparison to the market cap.
2. A one-off loss or gain could distort the earnings to look smaller or larger than they actually are and thus not giving an accurate representation of how richly the companies earnings are being valued.
3. It does not factor in how indebted a company is. A company can easily boost eps, by simply acquiring another profitable company and then using debt to finance the acquisition. The end result is that net income is boosted without diluting the shareholders. So a cash rich company should be rated more highly than an indebted one, as the cash rich corporation can use that cash to boost eps through acquisitions.
4. It does not factor in how cash generative the business model is, a company can be producing plenty of net income, but if the company is not converting it into cash it will be harder to create value for the shareholders.
5. The P/E ratio can be skewed for cyclical companies and earnings could be temporarily depressed or inflated, but this is not actually to do with the actual company itself is doing, but just the nature of cyclicals.
6. Earnings could also be skewed by events that impact trade. Most notable is a black swan event, of which Coronavirus is the latest event. It can however be more subtle than that, for example in 2018 British bowling alley operator Hollywood bowl had trading impacted after England did very well in the World Cup, people had sources of entertainment by watching England and so less people went bowling than otherwise.
It is also worth noting that there are actually several types of P/E ratio. Mostly the P/E is compared to last years earnings, but you can also have forward P/E ratios. When people talk about forward a P/E ratio they almost always mean next years, however it can also be meant for years in the distant future for example forward 2030 earnings. It is worth noting to take forward estimates with a pinch of salt, they are usually overly optimistic and there is no guarantee that these earnings will be the same (or even near) to the earnings, so I would prefer sticking to past earnings as these are more reliable.
It is also worth noting that whilst I have said that P/E = share price / eps it is worth noting that there is not one eps but two. In a company’s income statement, you will have basic (undiluted) eps and diluted eps. Undiluted eps is simply net income divided by total number of shares outstanding. However, diluted eps is slightly different in that it uses the number of shares when all convertible securities (such as convertible bonds or stock options) are converted into shares.
I would recommend using undiluted eps as although earnings may be constant your earnings will look less and less as these securities are converted into shares. It is also worth noting that if you use market cap / net income, you have used the same as share price / basic eps, but I would recommend to actually use diluted eps, after all the share price can decrease even if the market cap increases, I.e. if your stake gets smaller.
The Best & Most Reliable Candlestick Patterns To UseIn this video I explain my favourite candlestick patterns and how to use them in your own trading.
Here we describe:
Engulfing Candles
Doji Candles
Hammer Candles
And I explain how to use them with confluence & context of where on the chart they occur.
📈📉How Market Cycles Work | Bull & Bear Market 🐿
All the financial markets are cyclical :
after a sharp and strong bullish trend always comes a severe bearish rally.
After panic & massive selloffs, the market tends to recover and awakens optimism closing a vicious circle.
Watching carefully how the price acts during these cycles, an observer can identify the recurring stages .
#1 Accumulation
The accumulation stage starts once the market finds its bottom.
Bearish pressure weakens and the market starts trading in sideways.
While the crowd remains cautious, smart money like banks and hedge funds start buying the asset considering that to be undervalued.
It leads to occasional moderate spikes of a price.
Being the best time to buy the market, the accumulation stage is the hardest to spot correctly. Global pessimism and disbelief make the investor scared to buy the asset.
#2 - 3 Public Participation & Excess Stage
The accumulation stage and the actions of smart money make the crowd buy the asset steadily. Pushing the market to new highs and generating sufficient profits, the crowd brings more and more liquidity into the market.
Bullish trend is universally confirmed.
The optimism steadily transforms into euphoria and the asset quickly becomes overvalued. Greed starts to dominate the crowd. Record highs are reached and no one doubts further growth.
#4 Distribution
At some moment the market stops growing. Even though everyone is very confident in a bullish continuation, the market naturally refuses to grow.
Moreover, the market starts to slow down and volatility drops steadily.
The market starts ranging and trade in sideways.
Smart money starts selling their positions steadily to a greedy crowd.
#5 Bearish Trend
With an absence of growth, more and more market participants start selling the asset. Optimism steadily vanishes and pessimism comes into play.
Contemplating negative figures, the crowd starts to panic, making the market fall sharply.
The outlook is dark and no one believes in recovery.
Then the market suddenly starts slowing down and the cycle repeats.
Watch how the price acts, learn the price action & master the market cycles to benefit from any of them.
❤️ Please, if you enjoyed this article, like it and share your feedback in a comment section. Thank you! ❤️
Tutorial | How To Identify Potentially Strong Trend DaysI got smoked shorting the MNQ today. And it was avoidable.
The MNQ1! and the MES1! were flashing warning signs since the Sunday open to NOT fade the move. I stayed off the sell side for the opening 30 minute candle, but then got sucked in at a level. The entry was a violation of one of the Golden Rules of Range Trading - STAY AWAY from Outside Days!
In this video, I discuss how to identify Outside Days and look for Untested Prior Session POCs as signs that conditions are pointing to trending price action.
This is called WSB effect..!The goal of this article is to explain the Wallstreet Bets methods.
I believe all the market participants should be aware of their effects on the market and how they could derail any asset from a normal movement.
Let's look at some of their manipulations first:
1- NASDAQ:MVST
2- NASDAQ:WISH
3- NYSE:SPCE
4- NYSE:NIO
5- NASDAQ:FORD
6- NASDAQ:AMD
7- NASDAQ:MRNA
8- NASDAQ:NVDA
9- NASDAQ:TSLA
10- NASDAQ:AAPL
11- NYSE:PFE
At this point, you must be able to see the similarities between charts and also group them into 2 different categories!
Cluster 1: Small caps
Cluster 2: Big caps
In cluster 1: they usually target 100% or above
In cluster 2: The bigger the market cap of that company the smaller the wave they could push.
The big question is Are they predictable?
I believe their movement especially on the Topside could be predicted with acceptable accuracy if you know how to monitor their money injection.
Let's review some of my published analysis about their plays:
August 17, 2021, one day before manipulation ends:
NYSE:PFE
August 10th, 2021, right at the last day!
NASDAQ:MRNA
August 4th, right at the last day..!
AMD
Defining the hypothesis:
1-The Wall Street Bets phenomenon could be a very smart Algorithmic Trading Platform that creates bullish and bearish rallies by smart money injection or withdrawal, and it is not a group of "Apes".
2- Their target prices could be predictable using Option trades data
3- Their pattern of behavior is not Pump and Dump, but it is "Dump-Pump-Dump"
4- Most of their plays were in the ARK Invest's ETFs weeks or months ago.
I do not want to make this post very long, so I encourage my followers to read this article and looking at the charts carefully.
I will share my findings of WSB in future posts.
Moshkelgosha
“How To” Video Overview of Indicator “CM_MACD_Ult_MTF_V2”Hello TradingView!!!
-Video Posted on 07-28-2021-
This video is a detailed video overview of the CM MACD Custom Indicator - Multiple Time Frame - V2 Release.
I will post the link to the Indicator within a few minutes after this video goes live on TradingView either in the Link to Related Ideas below, or I'll post a comment below with the link.
Thanks for you patience.
I'm so excited to be back. Please Post and feature requests for this indicator below.
How To: See Stocks Percentage Change On Your ChartsJust a simple way to see how your stocks have performed over a period of time in terms of percentage gain or loss.
Whatever period you have displayed on your chart, this will show the percentage change from the start to the end of that period.
Short version is go to Chart Settings -> Scales -> Symbol Last Price Label -> Price and Percentage (from the drop down)
The Magical 50 days Exponential Moving Average (50EMA)In 2021, we should take the price reaction to 50EMA very seriously! Especially if you like to buy the dips!
I believe it could be single best tool to help you find the best entry and exit point in many tickers..!
Let's review few examples:
1- NASDAQ:NVDA
2- NASDAQ:MSFT
3- NASDAQ:AAPL
4- NASDAQ:GOOG
5- NASDAQ:FB
6- NYSE:CRM
7- NASDAQ:CSCO
8- NYSE:SNOW
9- NYSE:BAC
10- NYSE:XOM
and major indexes:
SP:SPX
TVC:NDX
TVC:DJI
What is Price Action?
Price action is the movement of a security's price plotted over time. Price action forms the basis for all technical analysis of a stock, commodity, or other asset charts. Many short-term traders rely exclusively on price action and the formations and trends extrapolated from it to make trading decisions. Technical analysis as a practice is a derivative of price action since it uses past prices in calculations that can then be used to inform trading decisions.
Price action generally refers to the up and down movement of a security's price when it is plotted over time.
Different looks can be applied to a chart to make trends in price action more obvious for traders.
Technical analysis formations and chart patterns are derived from price action. Technical analysis tools like moving averages are calculated from price action and projected into the future to inform trades.
How to Use Price Action
Price action is not generally seen as a trading tool like an indicator, but rather the data source off which all the tools are built. Swing traders and trend traders tend to work most closely with price action, eschewing any fundamental analysis in favor of focusing solely on support and resistance levels to predict breakouts and consolidation. Even these traders must pay some attention to additional factors beyond the current price, as the volume of trading and the time periods being used to establish levels all have an impact on the likelihood of their interpretations being accurate.
Limitations of Price Action
Interpreting price action is very subjective. It's common for two traders to arrive at different conclusions when analyzing the same price action. One trader may see a bearish downtrend and another might believe that the price action shows a potential near-term turnaround. Of course, the time period being used also has a huge influence on what traders see as a stock can have many intraday downtrends while maintaining a month-over-month uptrend. The important thing to remember is that trading predictions made using price action on any time scale are speculative. The more tools you can apply to your trading prediction to confirm it, the better. In the end, however, the past price action of a security is no guarantee of future price action. High probability trades are still speculative trades, which means traders take on the risks to get access to the potential rewards.
Conclusion:
Monitor asset reaction to 50EMA and define your entry and exit strategy based on this simple tool!
Reference Article::
www.investopedia.com
Forex Related Word Find (18 Words)E Enjoy and Have Fun. Balance is key in everything you do, life is short- balance of body, mind & spirit what humans should strive to be.
Find a way to have Forex trading be part of your life, but not the only thing in your life. Forex trading should give you time freedom.
Improve Forex TradingWhen I was learning how to trade and when I was watching and reading different trading educators, these words naturally pissed me off. What the hell are you talking about? What confirmation?
It was a full-blown mystery...🤯
Then, once I started to mature in trading and trade full-time, I became an author on TradingView.
Posting my forecasts and trading setups, I frequently mentioned the confirmation.
And now the newbies that are reading me and learning from me are pissed off...🤬
That is so funny I guess.
But the truth is that the confirmation must become a fundamental part of your trading strategy. It is your key to successful trading.
What exactly is the confirmation?
It depends on many many different things, in this article I will discuss with you the 4 main types of confirmation and give you detailed examples.
1️⃣ - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION
That is actually what I prefer.
Analyzing different markets and searching for decent trading opportunities often times we find some peculiar instruments to watch.
Identifying the market trend and key levels we find the potential spots to trade from.
But do we just open the trade once the "ZONE" is spotted?
I wish it could be that simple...
Trading just the zone, without additional clues brings very negative figures. We definitely need something else.
Price action & candlestick patterns can be those clues.
Accurate reflection of the current local market sentiment makes the patterns a very reliable confirmation.
Dodji's, pin bars, double tops/bottoms ...
Proven by history, the skill of identification & reading the patterns will pay off quickly.
Being in some sense the language of the market, the patterns are the fundamental part of my trading strategy.
2️⃣ - FIBONACCI LEVELS
Fibonacci levels are a very popular technical tool. Being applied properly it helps the trader to confirm or, alternatively, disqualify the identified "ZONE".
With multiple different methods like confluence trading, fibs are applied in hedge funds and various banking institutions.
The main problem with the fibs, however, is complexity and a high degree of subjectivity. Meeting different traders and watching different posts on TradingView I noticed that all traders tend to have their own vision. There is no universal system to apply here, a proper fib.confirmation technique can be built only with long-lasting backtesting and practicing.
3️⃣ - FUNDAMENTAL NEWS
The figures in the economic calendar, news, tweets. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool.
However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get.
The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true.
The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs.
And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience.
At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis , the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger.
4️⃣ - TECHNICAL INDICATORS
I believe all the traders apply some indicators. From a simple moving average to some complex composite algorithms, indicators play a very important role in trading.
Being 100% objective and providing up-to-date real numbers and figures, they are our allies in a battle against subjectivity.
For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable confirmations.
Many algotrading solutions are operating simply relying on such signals and being able to bring consistent profits proves the power of technical indicators.
What confirmation type should you rely on?🧐
I guess the main rule right here is that the confirmation must MAKE SENSE to you. You should feel the logic behind that. It must make you confident in your action, even in case of the occasional losses, it must keep you calm and humble.
Let me know in a comment section what confirmation do you prefer!
BTC USDT correlationHello traders,
I think those two charts are useful when used alongside each other in correlation.
It is logical that decline in BTC price leads to inflow in USDT and vice versa. So we could say (and the chart shows, that the correlation between the price BTC and market cap of USDT is inversely proportional).
For further simple explanation there are some events marked on the chart:
Red Flag - A gap in USDT inflow probably shows that institutions are selling before BTC price declines. It is actually only the third candle on USDT when the selloff of the bitcoin occurs.
Blue flag - USDT cap fails to pick up momentum and start going down significantly while BTC surges.
Orange flag - USDT market cap is flatting out, fails to go lower low and starts forming local higher lows. BTC is still pushing higher, but the trend is converting to the broad bull channel/Trading range as more and more bears are buying into the shorts and more and more bulls are taking profits.
Purple flag - BTC - huge rising wedge formed and wedges tend to break to the lower side. Lower high also formed and after.
3rd higher low formed and money starts to flow into USDT.
Green flag - wedge top in USDT, while wedge bottom in BTC. Reversal on both charts.
At the moment USDT market cap is in sharp decline, which might signal that BTC will be going much higher
IMPROVE YOUR TRADING | 4 TYPES OF TRADE CONFIRMATION ✅👌
"Look for a confirmation!"
"Wait for a confirmation!"
When I was learning how to trade and when I was watching and reading different trading educators, these words naturally pissed me off. What the hell are you talking about? What confirmation?
It was a full-blown mystery...🤯
Then, once I started to mature in trading and trade full-time, I became an author on TradingView.
Posting my forecasts and trading setups, I frequently mentioned the confirmation.
And now the newbies that are reading me and learning from me are pissed off...🤬
That is so funny I guess.
But the truth is that the confirmation must become a fundamental part of your trading strategy. It is your key to successful trading.
What exactly is the confirmation?
It depends on many many different things, in this article I will discuss with you the 4 main types of confirmation and give you detailed examples.
1️⃣ - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION
That is actually what I prefer.
Analyzing different markets and searching for decent trading opportunities often times we find some peculiar instruments to watch.
Identifying the market trend and key levels we find the potential spots to trade from.
But do we just open the trade once the "ZONE" is spotted?
I wish it could be that simple...
Trading just the zone, without additional clues brings very negative figures. We definitely need something else.
Price action & candlestick patterns can be those clues.
Accurate reflection of the current local market sentiment makes the patterns a very reliable confirmation.
Dodji's, pin bars, double tops/bottoms ...
Proven by history, the skill of identification & reading the patterns will pay off quickly.
Being in some sense the language of the market, the patterns are the fundamental part of my trading strategy.
2️⃣ - FIBONACCI LEVELS
Fibonacci levels are a very popular technical tool. Being applied properly it helps the trader to confirm or, alternatively, disqualify the identified "ZONE".
With multiple different methods like confluence trading, fibs are applied in hedge funds and various banking institutions.
The main problem with the fibs, however, is complexity and a high degree of subjectivity. Meeting different traders and watching different posts on TradingView I noticed that all traders tend to have their own vision. There is no universal system to apply here, a proper fib.confirmation technique can be built only with long-lasting backtesting and practicing.
3️⃣ - FUNDAMENTAL NEWS
The figures in the economic calendar, news, tweets. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool.
However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get.
The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true.
The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs.
And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience.
At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis , the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger.
4️⃣ - TECHNICAL INDICATORS
I believe all the traders apply some indicators. From a simple moving average to some complex composite algorithms, indicators play a very important role in trading.
Being 100% objective and providing up-to-date real numbers and figures, they are our allies in a battle against subjectivity.
For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable confirmations.
Many algotrading solutions are operating simply relying on such signals and being able to bring consistent profits proves the power of technical indicators.
What confirmation type should you rely on?🧐
I guess the main rule right here is that the confirmation must MAKE SENSE to you. You should feel the logic behind that. It must make you confident in your action, even in case of the occasional losses, it must keep you calm and humble.
Let me know in a comment section what confirmation do you prefer!
💝Please, support my work with like and comment!
Thank you for reading.
How to trade breakout. Breakout patterns What is a level breakout? A large number of orders are located behind the level. Either this is a limit entry order
if the price overcomes the level, or it is a protective order - it is triggered if the price goes out of our way and
overcomes the protective zone in the form of a level
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A Comprehensive Guide to the MACDHello traders, in this post, we will be talking about how to use the MACD indicator, PROPERLY. I will be going over all of the main indications on how to use this tool and most importantly, how to interpret it. The MACD is another most commonly used tool within the trading community, and if used right with other indicators, this tool can be incredibly useful for deleveraging risk for entries and exits. The MACD is a momentum indicator and stands for "moving average converging divergence" - as it requires moving averages as its main input.
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In this post, we will only refer to the price action with the default settings (12 and 26 EMA).
The MACD is simply built on two major line components, the 1) MACD line, and the 2) Signal line.
The MACD line and signal line is shown in the example below. The MACD line is defined with two lines where one reacts faster to price changes.
The MACD Histogram
The MACD Histogram is the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, also shown in the example below. The bigger the gap between the lines, then the higher the bars that the MACD histogram will show within the indicator.
The MACD in general is a MOMENTUM indicator that shows the relationship between the two moving averages as explained above. The MACD line is calculated by taking the difference between the longer and short term period exponential moving average. Exponential averages are used because they respond quicker to price change and is weighted on recent price action.
How It Works
Again, if you open up your MACD indicator from the tool list, you do not need to change the default settings, as they default settings for the EMA is already set at 12 and 26, respectively as the main exponential moving average. As the two moving averages move away from each other, the MACD line will rise or fall as shown in the diagram above.
When the two moving averages cross, there is a corresponding cross of the zero level by the MACD line.
When the signal line and MACD line averages cross, there is a corresponding cross of the zero level by the MACD histogram.
The most important way to interpret it is understanding the interaction between the two MACD lines as well as their positions relative to the zero line. When the MACD is above the zero line, it indicates that the momentum is bullish. When the MACD line is BELOW the zero line, the momentum is then considered to be bearish.
In summary, the MACD is used in one of three ways:
1) Crossovers - this is generated when the MACD lines cross below the signal line. These either create a buy or sell signal when it crosses to the upside/downside. In addition, the locations of the crossovers in relation to the zero line are helpful for determining the buy or sell signals. Bullish signals are more significant when the crossover takes place below the zero line. The CONFIRMATION takes place when both lines cross ABOVE the zero line. Crossovers work best when you are in a TRENDING market. You can still have bearish crossovers within a bullish market, often creating false signals for new traders.
2) Overbought/Oversold conditions
3) Divergences
The best time frame for the MACD does not exist. This would be completely up to your personal preference; however, daily signals (1D timeframe) are more significant than shorter timeframes because they carry more weight. A good tip is to track the behavior of the MACD on a daily chart, and confirm the trade with the WEEKLY timeframe.