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Support/Resistance Short StrategyChart TF: 4H Indicators: 14 EMA, 40 EMA, Vortex Indicator 30, RSI 22, TRIX 10 I have been tweaking this simple, yet profitable, system for a few weeks and wanted to share it with the public to receive feedback/opinions. Short Entry Conditions: 1) 40 EMA > 14 EMA. 2) A bearish candle must break below a support level. 3) The price must be under both EMAs. 4) VI(-) > VI(+) by at least .15 5) RSI < 50 6) TRIX < 0 If all conditions are met, enter short. Stop Loss: 1) Set SL to the closest resistance. Take Profit: 1) Set TP 1:1 R/R with the stop loss. In this recent 28 day stretch, 02/19/20 - 03/18/20, this strategy gave 5 successful short entries and over 300 pips on NZDCHF.
Education
by tdyk98
GBPUSD 1D WOLFE WAVE STRATEGYWhen trading the best wolfe strategy you will find that after the entry is triggered your position should show you an immediate profit. This is because the reversal pattern that emerges from the wolfe wave chart pattern is very violent. Once we’ve got the first five waves we have the general setup of the wolf wave . After the last wave has broken above the ascending wedge channel it’s the time to get ready for some action. Step #1: Prior to the Bearish Wolfe Wave Formation look to have a clear Bullish Trend . Firstly, before the first wave to develop we need to have a clear trend that needs to be reversed. For high probability trades, we want to see a prior bullrish trend before the bearish wolfe wave develops. This step is quite essential if you want to correctly trade the wolfe pattern. Now that we’ve identified a trend, it's time to apply the wolfe wave rules to the price chart. This brings us to the next step of our reversal strategy. Step #2: Try finding a 5 wave move that can be contained in a channel. The last wave 5 must break above the wedge channel. A valid wolfe wave is composed of 5 waves that follow some simple rules. However, the most important rules are that wave 2 and 4 must be contained within the channel created by Wave 1 and Wave 2. Secondly, wave 5 breaks above the trendline created by wave 1 and wave 3. Step #3: Sell after we break above and then a candle close back inside the Wedge Price Channel . At the moment when the price enters and closes back into the price channel , we want to enter a short position. We like to wait for the close inside in order to eliminate possible fake breakouts. Note*: If we don’t get a close back into the wedge price channel we don’t have a valid trade signal. Another sign to look for is how quickly it goes back into the channel. We prefer to only trade the wolfe patterns that retrace very quickly back into the range. This is a sign that a smart money reversal is at work. Remember, in trading, you only want to trade the high probability trade setups. Step #4: Draw a trendline that connects the wave 1 high and wave 4 low and extend it in the future. Take profit when the EPA line is hit or candle close below it.. The line that connects the wave 1 high and wave 4 low is called the wolfe wave EPA line. The EPA line stands for Estimated Price at Arrival and it’s an effective take profit strategy. The EPA line main purpose is to show at what price the market will extend after it reversed the previous trend. Note*: If the EPA line is too steep, often time it means that the price will never reach it. In this case, you want to take profits early. Step #5: Hide Protective Stop Loss above Wave 5. The protective stop loss can be located above the last wave or wave 5. This strategy gives us a very tight stop loss which is good for our risk management strategy. Obviously that a break above wave 5 means we also break first above the channel and this will invalidate the validity of the wolfe wave chart pattern. Note** the above was an example of a SELL trade using the best wolfe wave strategy. Use the same rules for a BUY trade. Conclusion - Best Wolfe Wave Strategy The wolfe wave strategy is a trading strategy built around waves the same like Elliott Wave trading. We use other trading concepts like channeling and price symmetry to find the best possible trade signals. If the trade works in our favor then we have a really good chance to have a good trade in terms of risk to reward ratio. With trading experience, it will become much easier to spot the wolfe wave patterns.
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by Tradingstrategyguides
The power of supply and demand imbalancesIt never ceases to amaze me how powerful bigger timeframe imbalances are and how price can react to them no matter how old these imbalances are. There is a clear example of a very strong supply imbalance on the British Pound versus New Zealand Dollar (GBPNZD) Forex cross pair. There is a very strong monthly supply imbalance created around 2.09 price level last May 2016. It took 44 months for price to retrace to it, that’s quite a lot of time. This is the type of imbalance you don’t want to trade against. These imbalances are not support and resistance, supply and demand imbalances have nothing to do with support and resistance even though some times imbalances contain classic support and resistance prive levels used by so many traders. Take a look at GBPNZD Forex cross pair monthly timeframe supply and demand technical analysis below. If you are trading intraday or even scalping Forex cross pairs, you will be losing all of your trades since you won’t be aware of the strength of the imbalance that took control. Taking a look at the bigger timeframe imbalances will add extra context to Forex trading strategy and will keep you alerted of such strong imbalances that could cause havoc in your trading account. Trading intraday and scalping Forex is fine for those doing it, there is no doubt that trading lower timeframes can be profitable, but we highly recommend you to keep track of strong imbalances on the bigger timeframes because if you do, you will be avoiding many losses. If you were long biased on GBP/NZD Forex cross and you had some losses, now you know why you had those losses.
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by AlfonsoMoreno
USDJPY 15M BIG BEN BREAKOUT STRATEGY SHORTRule #1 Define the Asian (London) Trading Range We’re going to use the range definition that takes into consideration only the body of the candles, excluding the wicks. Note* this trading rule can be adapted as you get more experienced at reading the price action. Who knows, maybe you’ll be able to discover some price action tendencies around the London open that no-ones was able to see. The London open breakout strategy works because the Asia trading range tends to attract buy and sell stops above and below the trading range. The bulk of buying and selling stops becomes an easy target for smart money. Remember that traders need liquidity to execute their orders. And, the smart money is always in search of liquidity to fill their large orders. That’s the reason why smart money needs to trigger those stops. Rule #2: The One-Hour before the London Open Needs to Generate the Breakout Our backtesting results revealed that momentum really starts to pick up 1-hour earlier than the actual London opening session. There are some smart ways to trade this burst of momentum. Let’s see some technical ways to trade the pre-London open. We don’t need to guess in which way the market will break, we let the market tip his hand and show us the way. This is where things get interesting. Let me explain… During the London session, we’re going to see the most traded volume thus the foreign exchange market should really take off in one direction or another. From our example, we can note the USD/JPY is a one-sided move. We didn’t have any interruptions in the momentum activity, and that’s the KEY for this whole trading setup to work. Let’s now outline the second technical element you want to see with the London setup. Rule #3 Fade the London Open Breakout (follow the smart money) Immediately after the London session opens, we want to see the price fading the pre-open move. If the price move starts fading, we know it was a false breakout The smart money has used the pre-open move to trigger the stops below the range and now they reverse the tie and start buying. We want to see price pulling back into the range at the same speed as it went up. Let me explain… In simple words, the bullish momentum used to produce the false breakout needs to be equal to the bearish momentum used to fade the pre-open move. We enter our trade after the first 5-minutes have confirmed that the price is reversing. Once this trade setup is completed, you should see a price formation that takes the V-shaped form (or inverse V-shape). Let’s now explore what methods you can use to cash in the profits. Rule #4 Take Profit or Ride the Trend We can measure the size of the Asia trading range and project that, from the top or bottom of our range to get our profit target. But, oftentimes this type of setup can lead to a trading day that can extend in the days to come. In this example, the better take profit strategy would be to use a trailing stop. You need to be ready to explore other trading methods to manage your trades. Now… Protecting the downside is as important as making money. Below, we’re going to reveal how to use time as your stop loss. Sounds interesting? So, let’s get straight into the matter. Rule #5 Use a Time Stop Instead of a Price Stop (or you use your TP trading method) In order to fade the London breakout, you need to use unconventional trading methods. In this regard, for our stop loss trading strategy we’re going to use a time stop instead of a price stop. The first time I’ve ever heard about the time stop concept was while reading the Market Wizards book. Billionaire Hedge Fund manager Paul Tudor Jones one of the greatest traders of our times said: “When I trade, I don’t just use a price stop, I also use a time stop.” If you want to get a glimpse into the mindset of the most successful traders and hedge fund managers, please read: Top Trading Quotes of All Time - Learn to Trade. So, do you want to know how to apply the time stop to the London strategy? It’s very simple… If in the first hour after the London open the price didn’t COMPLETELY reverse the pre-opening breakout, we exit the trade. It’s simple as that, no further explanation is needed.
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by Tradingstrategyguides
EURUSD 15M BEAR FLAG BREAKOUT SHORT CONTINUATION TRADE HOW TO USE THE STE PULSE COLORED BARS TO TRADE A BEARISH FLAG SHORT CONTINUATION TRADE. Price Consolidation caused STE Bars to change to a Dark Red color and to rise up towards zero line. STE Bars did not cross above zero line but bounced short again and changed to a light red color and increased in length. Short Stop Order placed @ 1.0990. Stop Loss placed above top of consolidation range. You determine Take Profit
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
STAR TREK CAPTAIN JEAN-LUC PICARDCaptian Jean-Luc Picard is a character from the series Star Trek. He is many Star Trek fans favorite Captain because of his combination of class, wisdom and wit. This particular statement was spoken to the Android Data who was failing in his attempts to be more human. Tim has found this encapsulated his early trading experiences to a tee. Early in Tim's attempts to be a profitable trader he traded index futures. He had his strategy and was paper trading. He would get four or five winning trades in a row. He felt he knew what he was doing and felt he was ready to try real money. So the next trade setup he took on his real money account and lost, so he returned to paper trading. This cycle repeated itself several times. Losers are part of the statistical game in trading. If he stuck to the real money account those paper winning trades would have been real money winners. These winners would have easily offset the losers. The whole time he felt he was making mistakes. If he did it right it should have been a winner. Understand this, you can get all the rules right and still lose a trade. That's ok, that's life. That's trading. Trading is never a sure thing, it's always about statistic and probability. Just because you had a loser doesn't mean tht you did something wrong. Just because you had a winner doesn't mean you did everything right either. The important thing is to follow your strategy rules, your trade management rules, your risk management rules. If you followed all your rules then you did it right, winner or loser. Trading Maxim's help control your emotional impulses and keep you on the straight and narrow path. A maxim is a general truth fundamental principle, a rule of conduct or a proverbial saying. The purpose of Tim's Maxim's is to motivate you to discipline and trading as well as other areas of your life. We suggest that you start your own list of Maxim's. Things you can say to yourself while you are trading or doing life to make sure you always do the right thing. Feel free to borrow from Tim's list.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Tradingstrategyguides
EURCAD 4H SHORT TRADETSG MONEY MANAGEMENT RULES. 1 - Enter 2 trades @ Sell Limit @ 1.4554 - 1% Trade Balance each. 2 - 4H ATR = 25. 3 - SL = 1.5 x ATR (1.5 x 25 = 37.5 = 1.45915) SL for both trades. 4 - TP = 1 x ATR ( 1 x 25 = TP = 1.4529) TP is for 1st order only, 2nd order no TP let profit run. 5 - When 1st TP hit move 2nd order SL to breakeven. 6 - Trail 2nd SL behind previous fractal highs. Price moved up to retest a previous Sup/Res level. Sell Limit made @ 1.4554 for 2 trades. 1st TP hit @ 1.4529, move 2nd trade SL to breakeven @ 1.4554. Price had a bullish pullback and hit 2nd trade SL Price stayed below the previous Sell Limit level of 1.4554. Price re-setup short trade and re-entered another Sell Limit order @ 1.4554. 1st TP hit @ 1.4529, 2nd SL moved to breakeven. Price created a new current fractal low support of 1.4513. Moved Trail SL to current fractal high @ 1.4537. Price created a 2nd current fractal low support at 1.4483. If Price breaks that level then Trail SL to 1.4505 current fractal high. Continue to trail SL if Price continues its bearish move. This current EURCAD 4H Short trade was found by DACapitalTrading Jan 13th. We added to this short trade our TSG money management trade plan.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
GBPJPY 15M SCALPING US SESSION INSIDE CANDLE BREAKOUT STRATEGYINSIDE CANDLE STRATEGY What is an Inside Candle 1. Previous candle engulfs next candle. 2. 2nd candle high is lower that 1st engulfing candle. 3. 2nd candle low is higher than 1st engulfing candle. INSIDE CANDLE METHOD 1. Incoming Trend 2. Inside Candle – Opposite Color 3. Enter Break of Engulfing Larger Candle Inside Candle method is a great short term consolidation indicator. If your trade plan contains breakouts and consolidation then this method is for you. This is a great way to find smaller consolidations quicker which will give you more trades on whatever time frame you want to look. On a daily chart it may take weeks for a consolidation pattern to form. An Inside candle represents a pause, consolidation or compression in the market after a big move. Often you will also see reduced volume on the inside candle. Inside Candle method is a pause or a reversal of the trend . So it is more effective if there is an incoming trend. Enter a break of the larger engulfing candle in the direction of the break. Enter with a Stop Order a few pips above or below breakout level. Which trades you take is a matter of preference. Some like reversal trades or trend following trades. Scalping inside candle pattern doesn't matter what direction you may go. Trend following you will want to see this in context of a larger trend. Take all the trade setups and just shut down the ones that don't preform. Trade Management: Enter 2 trades Stop Loss is 1.5 x ATR for both trades First Take Profit is 1 x ATR for 1st trade 2nd trade there is no take profit. When 1st TP is hit move 2nd trades SL to breakeven. Let profit run on 2nd trade by following/trailing SL. If a candle closes back inside the larger engulfing candle close down trade. Watch for a setup for the next breakout.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
GBPUSD 15M NEW LONDON OPENING BREAKOUT TRADING STRATEGYRule #1 Define the London Trading Range We’re going to use the range definition that takes into consideration only the body of the candles, excluding the wicks. Note* this trading rule can be adapted as you get more experienced at reading the price action. Who knows, maybe you’ll be able to discover some price action tendencies around the London open that no-ones was able to see. In the GBP/USD chart we’ve outlined the trading range: The London open breakout strategy works because the Asia trading range tends to attract buy and sell stops above and below the trading range. The bulk of buying and selling stops becomes an easy target for smart money. Remember that traders need liquidity to execute their orders. And, the smart money is always in search of liquidity to fill their large orders. That’s the reason why smart money needs to trigger those stops. Rule #2: The One-Hour before the London Open Needs to Generate the Breakout Our backtesting results revealed that momentum really starts to pick up 1-hour earlier than the actual London opening session. There are some smart ways to trade this burst of momentum. Let’s see some technical ways to trade the pre-London open. We don’t need to guess in which way the market will break, we let the market tip his hand and show us the way. This is where things get interesting. Let me explain… During the London session, we’re going to see the most traded volume thus the foreign exchange market should really take off in one direction or another. From our example, we can note the GBP/USD one-sided move. We didn’t have any interruptions in the momentum activity, and that’s the KEY for this whole trading setup to work. Let’s now outline the second technical element you want to see with the London setup. Rule #3 Buy the London Open Breakout Immediately after the London session opens, we want to see the price fading the pre-open move. If the price move starts fading, we know it was a false breakout The smart money has used the pre-open move to trigger the stops below the range and now they reverse the tie and start buying. We want to see price pulling back into the range at the same speed as it went up. In simple words, the bullish momentum used to produce the false breakout needs to be equal to the bearish momentum used to fade the pre-open move. We enter our trade after the first 5-minutes have confirmed that the price is reversing. Once this trade setup is completed, you should see a price formation that takes the V-shaped form (or inverse V-shape). Let’s now explore what methods you can use to cash in the profits. Rule #4 Take Profit or Ride the Trend We can measure the size of the Asia trading range and project that, from the top or bottom of our range to get our profit target. But, oftentimes this type of setup can lead to a trading day that can extend in the days to come. Now, in this case, it’s wise if you employ other trading tactics so you can actually profit from this trend. In this example, the better take profit strategy would be to use a trailing stop. You need to be ready to explore other trading methods to manage your trades. Protecting the downside is as important as making money. Rule #5 Use a Time Stop Instead of a Price Stop In order to fade the London breakout, you need to use unconventional trading methods. In this regard, for our stop loss trading strategy we’re going to use a time stop instead of a price stop. The first time I’ve ever heard about the time stop concept was while reading the Market Wizards book. Billionaire Hedge Fund manager Paul Tudor Jones one of the greatest traders of our times said: “When I trade, I don’t just use a price stop, I also use a time stop.” If you want to get a glimpse into the mindset of the most successful traders and hedge fund managers, please read: Top Trading Quotes of All Time - Learn to Trade. So, do you want to know how to apply the time stop to the London strategy? It’s very simple… If in the first hour after the London open the price didn’t COMPLETELY reverse the pre-opening breakout, we exit the trade. It’s simple as that, no further explanation is needed.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides