Tips to identify potential trendsTo identify potential trends with ichimoku you need to look at 5 lines:
-Tenkan sen:Tenkan sen is higher than kijun sen in an uptrend and vice versa
-Kijun sen :Kijun sen is higher than kumo clouds in an uptrend and vice versa, if the price is lower than kijun sen, the market is no longer a potential trend.
-Kumo:The kumo shape is very important, it shows the long term momentum of the market, if the kumo is thin and small then the trend is easy to retrace, if the kumo is wide and long it is a stable trend.
-Chiko span:It is one of the most important lines but everyone ignores it, it shows the current momentum of the market, if the chiko span crosses with the candle then the market is in range because the momentum is at zero.
Example with Xauusd:
-Chiko span on candle
-Price above kijun sen
-Kumo is wide and thick
->So now Xauusd is trending up potential !
Forextrading
GOLD, FRD, this is how it should be done!In this video, we go over today's Gold market volatility and identify the setup and how traders can take advantage of such a repeatable trade setup that will show up over and over again in markets.
The thesis on Gold was short as per the prior videos and the start of the week's pre-open analysis that was posted to Trading View on Sunday / Monday Asia ahead of the open.
impact of two important following news on DXYTwo important factors that been driving Dollar prices in last several month as we all know is Federal Funds Rate and Inflation data like CPI.
In this week we have both of them coming out on Tuesday and Wednesday, now we want to see how it can affect the market.
Price usually tend to be at important resistive or supportive areas at the time of important news hit the market and as we can see now price is at supporting area and at the Daily low which probably will remain here until the news hit the market so we can expect of low volatility movement on USD and other major crosses, But what will happen when the news releases?
As we know CPI balance is curving to downside and shows that inflation is cooling down and as we see the prediction of tomorrow CPI news we can see that the market expect this trend to continue. Now here is the tricky part, if CPI data put out like prediction or lower than the prediction this means that fed has the inflation under control which makes trader to believe that federal reserve would not need to raise prices very aggressively like before and as a result we may see a risk on environment in the market which can lead Dollar prices to come lower, but on the other hand SPX, TLT, EUR,JPY and also commodity currencies like AUD,NZD to take benefit from the situation.
But if CPI data comes out higher than expectation then we can argue that federal reserve do not have inflation under control so it needs to continue hiking prices like before and this situation may lead to higher prices for Dollar and lower prices for all the other assets that we covered above.
Also if the second scenario take place tomorrow we can expect USYIELD to continue going higher which have negative effect on US treasury bond and very bad effect on SPX index.
Put CPI analysis apart the other important news that can shake prices real hard is federal reserve which going to hit the market on Wednesday. On that time we can see that what exactly is in the mind of federal reserve and how they are going to impact the economy. In overall, if they raise rate same or below the expectation its going to be very good for risky assets since it shows that we are getting close to end of rate hiking cycle but if federal reserve going for raising rate higher than expectation then it will have a very good impact on Dollar but bad impact on risky assets.
nzdusdthe key in auctioning process ,
whether you looking at initiative buying -initiative selling / responsive buying-responsive selling
we start with the auction market process and value in the market as institutions do and then we learn to track responsive and initiative trades to be able to trade with them
trading is all about leverage and managing risk fast it's not about scalping trading all day everyday its all about finding trade locations based upon the auction process.
institution money flow its called tracking volume imbalances in order flow otherwise known as heavy volume all this does is indicate that there big money traders hedge funds pension funds mutual funds mangers large institution governments either putting lot of money to work or unlock or unwinding postion
basically, all the people that are in the know ok. you and I were not in the know we are we never gonna know we never gonna be inside there always gonna some one else
we don't want based upon what they saying there gonna do we want make their bets on what actually do the best way to track that is through large orders that come through either through a commitment of traders reports that's obviously a weekly report from CBOT .ORG OR SEC GOV
if you track day-to-day transactions and you and you keep track of that you can accumulate better levels of which to trade from therefore you have better probabilities
market is not trading base upon chart patterns candle stick patterns or anything else becuse thats all subjective thats subjective to what you put on your charts what you need to think about bigger picthure
we gonna identify higher opertunities your not just gonna buy just besuse everything selling off the same way wouldnt buy the all time all time highs just becuse it maid a new all time high or break out how maney times you buy breakout it reverse on you well if you want stop doing that you got better prepared is all im trying to say so the auction that these institutions speefically private equity smart money is going to do its going to leave imbalance in volume and they going to have to what these auction leaves to distingushed orderflow foot print that can have effect on the futhure price movement of a security or market whether its next 15 mintues or the next 15 more days if you follow institutional money flow you can determine whether you should be looking to buy something or to short it or just to adjust your risk what it really signals is that those who those who track institution money there is lot of inventory or supply to move
imbalance volume i track, buy imbalance, sell imbalance, crossed market trade auctionning market where buyers lift and market come back in to these buying imbalnce area i can look opertunities given this information this tracking volume imbalance over time
www.cmegroup.com
FOREX 101 - 4 TYPES OF LOT SIZES.What is a lot?
A ‘lot’ is a measure of a transaction amount.
It’s the minimum number of units of the base currency that you can buy or sell.
This gives traders more control over the exposure per trade.
There are four main types of Lot Sizes.
Lot size #1: Standard lot = 100,000 units of base currency
Risk per pip =$10 per pip
Lot size #2: Mini-lot = 10,000 units of base currency
Risk per pip = $1 per pip
Lot size #3: Micro-lot = 1,000 units of base currency
Risk per pip = $0.10 per pip
Lot size #4: Nano-lot = 100 units of base currency
Risk per pip = $0.01 per pip
Did you find this helpful? Let me know in the comments so I can do more Forex 101 tips. Ask any trading questions too :)
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
Why are fundamentals ESSENTIAL in forex trading?What is the thing that manipulates the market to make sure your stop loss is touched in less than a minute? Simple, Fundamentals.
Forex trading constitutes the most accessible form of trading for individuals. Low barrier entries, low commissions, forex possess everything that a young trader wants. However, content that most young traders learn from on YouTube puts emphasis on technical analysis and neglects fundamental trading.
Big institutions like central banks or hedge funds, who are the ones moving the price, always make entries depending on the economics of a state. For example, EURUSD has recently reached the historical level of under 1.00000, a level that hasn’t been reached for over 20 years, after the European Union stopped dealing gas and oil with Russia.
(see the image in the chart)
Furthermore, oil prices are closely related to Canadian currency, where increasing the price will increase the value of the currency. As the price of oil is increasing, AUDCAD is reaching historical levels of under 0.86000.
Therefore, we can clearly see that fundamentals influence the market’s direction.
We can apply fundamentals to reduce our risk as well. Indeed, we can identify risky opportunities and filter out bad trades or reduce the position size.
However, over the short term technical analysis can be a practical tool to determine price reversals or the timing of an entry. History tends to repeat itself, it is the same about markets. As a matter of fact, we can use historical market price data to forecast market movements.
In a perfect world, each trade would be the result of a mix of the two, with fundamental analysis assisting technical analysis. In conclusion, digital content to learn trading leans toward technical analysis even though fundamentals contribute to an important part of profitable trades by forecasting future market prices.
The continuous feedback loop of a successful traderDo you know what’s more important than winning in trading? It is knowing exactly why you actually won . Why? So that you can do it constantly. Needless to say, it is equally important to know why you lost when you lost.
The successful trader is constantly winning money, no matter the conditions. The economy may be in recession … or not … Algorithmic trading may be accounted for most of the trading volume . The volatility may be over the edge or down to ridiculous levels due to the summer holidays. So what … these are all part of the job . You need to make money because this is your job and if you complain and blame external factors for your poor results then think about choosing another profession.
Many would ask how is that possible … to constantly make money in ever-changing markets? Among the other 999 little things, your overall strategy is built upon there is one directly linked to your consistency. That is the continuous feedback and adjustment loop of your trading approach . This is where your post-trade analysis takes place and where you should find out WHY you won or lost.
For a discretionary trader, this feedback loop is not an easy thing to put in place, but it’s crucially important to have it. Because, the more useful you want the feedback, the more accurate the analysis should be. The difficulty of building the whole feedback mechanism is finding a fine balance between the depth of the trading details you take into consideration and the time and effort needed for analyzing them. From personal experience, I can tell you that you may fail to have a useful mechanism if you are too superficial. You might as well get lost in “analysis paralysis” as well as if you go too deep. That level of needed compromise is somehow personal. You know you’ve reached it when it can answer the following questions:
1. Is your selection technique giving you enough opportunities per your time frame?
2. Are your entries able to give you the price moves you want?
3. Are your exit techniques able to cut your losers short and let the winners run?
If the answer is “No” to any of these questions then you need to ask the next question “Why?” and dissect the effectiveness of that particular technique. Be ready to do the required adjustments if necessary.
There is a point in a trader’s career when being able to answer these questions alone will be more useful than an advice from the mentor. From that point on you can be on your own.
Best regards!
Mihai Iacob
Lesson 2: Support & Resistance ZonesSupport an resistance zones are critical in the market. These are the juicy spots from which market-makers get to feed themselves immensely. Many traders get trapped in these zones. Buyers are trapped when the market-maker's intention is to SELL and sellers are trapped when the intention is to BUY.
It very important for ordinary retail traders like you and I to be able to play the game the market-makers plays at SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE levels. This is how one can truly profit from the market. There's a lot of price manipulation going on at the S&R levels.
Market-makers are also in this business to make money. Unfortunately it is the retail trader who fattens their pockets. The good news is that this can be avoided through PATIENCE, PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT ANN HIGH LEVEL OF TRADING PSYCHOLOGY.
Things to avoid doing at SUPPORT & RESISTANCE levels:
1. Trading BREAK-OUTS instantly (a sure way to be caught in the opposite side)
2. Placing STOP LOSSES right on the zone (whipsaws will destroy you)
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I hope this bit of education will help you trade carefully at critical SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONES.
HAPPY TRADING!!
Supply and Demand Confirmation Entries ☑️The thing that catches most traders out is they don’t know what zone will hold, that’s why it’s always best to wait for the higher time frame zone to be mitigated, wait for the break of structure to confirm the trend is changing, then execute. Wait for confirmation ☑️
Lesson 1: The Market-Maker's GameLet's look at how market-makers succeed in trapping you and I in the market to make billions. These techniques, when grasped, can have an immense positive influence in your trading. Market-Makers use areas of support and resistance to accumulate/distribute order blocks. This creates massive liquidity for them to be able extract big profits, leaving the ordinary retail trader holding an empty bag.
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1. Support was broken at the 0.79000 zone. They break support zones like this to trap all the SELLERS. those who placed STOP LOSSES at 0.77400 anticipating price to go down are kicked out of the market before price starts to climb higher and higher. This is the biggest reason why traders wonder why the market kicks them out before it moves in their desired direction. It's as if someone is watching your trades. Well, market-maker can see where most STOP LOSS orders are placed. They push the price to those levels to wipe traders' positions.
2. The maker-maker's intention is to take the price up without being too transparent. Their intention is to make you believe that price is headed downwards when in fact it's going up. Their first target in this case is the 0.98000 zone. When price gets to that zone both BUYERS and SELLERS will be shaken off the market so that they can take the price up some more to the 1.2500 zone (3).
3. At 1.25000 more manipulation will take place. At that price level a lot of amateur retail traders will be thinking that price is still going up. What ensues then is a big drop. Maker-makers would have now trapped BUYERS to create liquidity for taking the price down.
This is critical to understand. If you can trade how MARKET-MAKERS are trading you'd be able to extract profits off the markets on a consistent basis.
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Do drop questions in the comments section. I will be ready to answer.
USD/CHF -8/9/2022-• Triangle pattern explained + measurement method
• On the weekly chart, while ago, a triangle formation can be seen
• Breakout can be either way
• In the above case, the breakout was to the upside, supported by strong fundamentals in favor of the dollar
• Traders should wait for a successful breakout before placing any trade
• Breakout was confirmed by several bars above the upper trend line resistance
• Buy order is placed upon the breakout, and the measurement method is applied for profit taking
• What is the measurement method?
• It is the distance between the lowest point in the triangle and the first high, the widest distance in other words
• In this case, the length is 700 pips, so we project this distance from the breakout point
• We get the target around parity, which was reached accurately at a later stage
Why do most ppl fail as retail tradrers?I see two main reasons which complement each other for the high rate of failure.
First and foremost, the media and the industry promote this idea that it’s easy to become a profitable trader and anybody can go it. This is, of course, not true. Theoretically, anybody can do it if willing to put the effort and approach it as a business. Practically almost nobody approaches trading with the same rigorousness as any other professional endeavor.
Let’s put aside the first reason, about which there is not much we can do. A big chunk of the industry relies on peoples being naive and we’re not going to change that. On top of the first reason, we have a second reason related to people themselves. Most of those who try trading financial markets simply don’t manage their emotions and risk well enough to survive the learning curve.
Managing your own emotions turns out to be a complex endeavor and constantly changing market conditions lengthen the learning curve. One of the things that makes this business so attractive is also the main thing that makes it so difficult to master.
The direct and sometimes violent feedback you receive from the market, after each trading decision, has an astonishing impact on a human’s ability to keep his psychological well being in check and control his own reactions. It has the potential to disrupt executive functions and trigger instinctual “fight or flight” responses. This leads to emotional trading or trading on tilt which quickly generates more losses than any other mistake you could make in this business.
Most other jobs have a protective buffer zone between usual day to day work decisions and the ultimate feedback — end of the month paycheck. This profession doesn’t. Every little call you make has an immediate impact on your capital. Every little mistake can take a portion of your capital away and every good decision can bring it all back and more. This kind of psychological exposure is heavily distressful and being aware of its mechanisms makes a huge difference.
So … psychology differentiates the pro. Don’t get me wrong … professional discretionary traders are not emotionless but are much more aware and in control of their reactions. The successful pro deeply understands that trading is mainly about people's perceptions and the rest are just details.
You may ask yourself how can such a level be reached? A starting point is to stay away from any market, financial instrument, time frame, trading technique, or any combination of those that doesn’t fit who you are deep inside. The least the exposure to triggers that can awake the demons within, the best.
Always seek strategies that you understand and match your inner self. For example … if you are impatient trade shorter time frames, if you are very risk-averse don’t use huge margin, if you are risk-averse but you don’t have enough capital use margin with a tight risk management (maybe options), if you have a statistical mind try quantitative approaches etc. There are infinite possibilities to adapt to yourself and is a must to do it if you want to have a chance.
It always amuses me to see the vast majority of educational resources geared towards what market does when most of the success in this business is knowing how you adapt to the market, whatever it may do. And, of course, the market is, more or less, the other traders.
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
The concept of trend lines, support and resistance Today, I am going to explain the concept of trend lines, support and resistance.
Above is the weekly chart of the EUR/USD, period between 2017 and 2022.
The resistance or support level is where the price gets rejected at least twice. After that, traders can draw a line connecting those swing highs/lows, which later turn to be the resistance or support. This line can be horizontal or sloping, thus called trend line.
A trend line connecting 2 lower highs or more is called descending and considered a resistance.
A trend line connecting 2 higher lows or more is called ascending and considered support.
Broken resistance becomes a support level and vice versa.
Let's take the example chart above and explain the drawings for a better understanding:
1) In January 2017, EUR/USD bottomed at 1.0350 and has been trading above that level since then, until 2022. In the current year, the pair tested the mentioned price more than twice and bounced again. But eventually, sellers were able to break through this support, which later on in July, turned to be a resistance. Buyers tried to break through that level but failed to do so, and the price kept on going further down.
2) During the pandemic in March 2020, demand for safe assets surged, causing the Euro to trade as low as 1.0630 where buyers were met and made a quick rebound. In 2022, the Russia-Ukraine war has put a huge pressure on the EUR/USD, resulting in a strong bearish move. Sellers were able to break the 1.0630 level successfully, which later turned to a resistance level.
3) I highlighted the main 3 parallel trend lines/channels throughout the 2018-2022 period
1: A very clear lower highs/lower lows pattern indicating a bearish trend.
2: Once the 1.0630 support was met, buyers were able to create a higher highs/higher lows pattern indicating a bullish trend reversal.
3: However, in summer 2021, the pattern was broken and we started to notice trend exhaustion indicated by a failure to make higher highs and the market entered a bearish trend again inside a descending channel till present.
I hope the drawings and explanations are clear. Will be happy to answer any question.
Thank you
How to grow small forex account?Hi, I often get this question how to grow small forex account so I decided to start forex sessions where I will share live trades, when and where to enter/exit, advices, clearing doubts and Q&A session will be followed. We can start with $100 or even less than that. Those who are interested they can Message me. Take care.
What is Forex and How Big It Is?💱
Forex - foreign exchange market, is a location where international currencies are bought and sold by economic participants at various exchange rates.
Forex market is the biggest market in the world, reaching on average 6 trillion dollars trading volumes daily.
Forex market is a vital element for a global economy because it provides capital exchanges between the countries.
The main market participants of forex market are central banks, commercial banks, commercial companies, hedge funds and investors.
🕰In order to grasp how big is that market, take a look what is happening on that just in 60 seconds:
📎Total transactions value reaches 3.52 billion US dollars.
📎 1.15 billion dollars of spot transactions.
📎 1.65 billion dollar of exchange swaps.
📎 Total transactions value involving USD reaches 3 billion US dollars.
📎 Total transactions value involving EURO reaches 1.1 billion US dollars.
📎 Just one single EUR/USD pair accumulates 812 million US dollars transactions value.
It is hard to imagine how such big amounts are rolling with such a frequency and how insignificant are the orders of individual traders.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Characteristics of Currency PairsHey Guys!
Here are some characteristics of currency pairs that I noticed over the years. Perhaps it'll help you find the pairs that best fit your trading style, or perhaps you can use this information as an add-on to your current strategy.
Gbp/Usd - Tends to overshoot key levels.
- Can use to get better risk/reward. Both on entries and targets.
- Can expect many fake breakouts; where key higher time frame levels may be broken on the lower time frames but fail to break out on the higher time frames.
Eur/Usd- Tends to accurately respond to key levels.
- Can be used for tight stop loss placements for there is no need to add a couple pips for wiggle room on this pair.
- Especially on this pair, remember to enter/exit without being greedy or scared. Due to the response accuracy at key levels, price will not give you a second chance to enter a trade or take profits.
Usd/Jpy-Tends to have huge moves without price confirmation.In other words, price gets forced up or down by a higher power for months at a time.
- Can use to ultimately enter counter the initial direction of the forced move; expecting price to return to fair value.
- Can use this characteristic to ride this forced move while not requiring price confirmation for your entry.
Usd/Chf- Tends to have false break outs.
- Especially on this pair, remember to watch the lower time frame's price action to make sure the break out is legitimate.
Eur/Jpy, Aud/Jpy, Gbp/Jpy tend to form trade set ups simultaneously.
- If you notice a strong move occuring on the eur/jpy, pay attention to the aud/jpy and gbp/jpy for possible trade opportunities and visa versa.
That's it!
I hope this helps!
Ken
The Master Jedi Sniper CREED*The Market has different moves I call them 'Plays' that it sets in the Forex Market Daily.
The Market only has 3 moves:
1. Up aka UP Trend
2. Down aka DOWN Trend
3. Sideways aka Consolidation
No more. No less.
The market has key patterns, rhythms, and channels known as 'Liquidity pools" "Order Blocks' and the like. These are simply areas in the market where liquidity is and wherever there is liquidity that is where the market flows to. After the Market makes enough money and "Orders" need to be filled it will then move to fill imbalances along the way to those places of Liquidity aka "THE MONEY".
A Snipers MAIN job is to WACTH the market with discipline, consistency, and relentless attention to intricate details that your pair does at KEY times in the trading day.
US base pairs are anchored by the DXY. It is a Snipers RSI.
Every Sniper has their own threshold for pain this is knows as a SL. A Sniper's average SL is 3-5PIPS. Once that threshold is breached it is time to re evaluate the trade set up and either "Pull and SWITCH" or "Pull and WAIT".
By allowing you trade aka SNIPE time to develop you allow your trade set up to develop. Remember it takes time for the Market to move in your direction. Therefore pull backs and consolidation are all apart of normal market movement aka Price Action.
By identifying key areas in the market within "Structure" a Sniper formulates strategies to Trap and Snipe Price.
I Am the Alchemist of these Formulas and Strategies.
I AM: Trading Made Simple
As always never over leverage.
Trust your Trade Set Up.
Have Fun!
day trading forex strategies price action for beginnersIn this video, you will see me analyse my forex watchlists to look for trading opportunities
day trading for forex beginners
day trading forex strategies
forex day trading strategies for beginners
day trading forex strategies price action for beginners
HOW TO USE TRADINGVIEWIn this video, i showed you how to use Tradingview to analyze different types of markets and asset classes.
You will discover how to open a chart and analyze any assets.
You will discover how to use different tools on tradingview to make your analysis easy and precise.
Tradingview made easy for you.
Market Seasonality - Fundamentals 📉📉📉✅ Seasonality refers to particular time frames when stocks/sectors/indices are subjected to and influenced by recurring tendencies that produce patterns that are apparent in the investment valuation.
✅ Seasonality is a characteristic of a time series in which the data experiences regular and predictable changes that recur every calendar year. Any predictable fluctuation or pattern that recurs or repeats over a one-year period is said to be seasonal.
✅ What is a Seasonality Forecast? In time series data, seasonality refers to the presence of variations which occur at certain regular intervals either on a weekly basis, monthly basis, or even quarterly (but never up to a year). Various factors may cause seasonality - like a vacation, weather, and holidays
✅ You can use the Market Seasonality as an extra fundamental confluence for the price, we have 2 market seasonalities bullish and bearish. If a price has bullish seasonality it means the pariticular asset will tend to rise during that cycle and viceversa. Market Seasonality (MS) is a good tool to have in your arsenal but only if you are trading on a mid-long term perspective. You can't trade using the market seasonality on a scalping or a intra-day basis because it makes no sense.
What do you think ? Comment below..
Fibonacci Premium vs Discount ✅ 📝 Fibonacci is a sequence that came up with a Smart mathematician name Leonard Fibonacci came with a sequence that proved that everything in the universe repeats itself in a specific mathematical. From the petals on a flower, to the spiral patterns on snail's shell, all fulfilled with a specific numerical sequence. The same Fibonacci sequence applies in everything and anywhere including Trading. When a retracement begins as buyers will come take their profits and leave, new buyers will come in at specifici levels using the Fibonacci retracement.
📉 I use the Fibonacci retracements for entries and for take profit zones i will show that in an example on how go about doing it. Please everything that i am going to show here be ensure that you practice until you have fully mastered price action
📉I use the fib placing from the lowest body of the candle to the highest body of the candle if we are in a bullish momentum(aiming to go long)
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📝 Remember its a Fibonacci retracement. What you should remember is what i said at the beginning of the Fib that when buys take their profits and leave, new buyers get it a retracement that's where you also get it. It also vice versa when in a bearish momentum.