Why shouldn't we rely on others when trading?Two traders can enter at the same price, one taking buys trade, the other one a sell trade. Only one can profit, right? Nope. The price can move both ways at different points of time from the initial entry, and both traders can profit. On the other hand, a desperate premature exit can cause both traders to lose. So, it is a matter of your own trading system. Remember, it doesn't matter if your edge is the total opposite of other ones as long as, you comply with your system. The entry, as well as the exit, should be well worked out. An exit strategy that will yield profits in the short term, can give heavy losses in the long term.
So, the exit strategy is quite important.
Forextrading
THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND,BUT HOW TO ACCURATELY DETERMINE THE WINMany of us have been taught that the trend is our friend and we should trade in the direction of the trend.As we have eventually discovered this is easier said than done.I am a Mechanical Engineer by profession so i was inclined to find an excellent way to determine the trend of a market,forex currency pair, cryptocurrency pair or a stock.
AUDNZD like Wyckoff's AccumulationMonthly chart of AUDNZD looking like going through Wyckoff's Accumulation phase...
If it break the Trendline then it possibly going to be long let's watch what Is going to be Happen...
I also watched Bitcoin is also going through Wyckoff's Accumulation phase...
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Useful FOREX TRADING STRATEGY FOREX TRADING STRATEGY with 20MA & chandelier Stop by TIZ
The BWAB Trading Strategy (LONG SETUP)
- Market is in a range (80 candles or more)
- The price approach the highs of Resistance and forms a tight consolidation (buildup)
- The 20 MA touches the low of the buildup
- Place a buy stop order above the highs with 3 ATR trailing stop loss ( chandelier Stop )
The BWAB Trading Strategy (SHORT SETUP)
- Market is in a range (80 candles or more)
- The price approach the lows of support and forms a tight consolidation (buildup)
- The 20 MA touches the highs of the buildup
- Place a buy stop order below the lows with 3 ATR trailing stop loss ( chandelier Stop )
The BWAB Trading Strategy (SHORT SETUP)
Chandelier Stop settings = Trailing stop loss
Look Back perio = 1
ATR Period = 22
ATR Multiplier = 3
The chandelier stop offers a logical possibility to set the stop loss. The sl is very tight.
How A Crazy Chart Can Make You Lose Thousands Of Dollars!"Crazy Chart" is the definition for putting so many indicators on your chart. it is one of the big reasons to have bad trades that will hit your stop loss easily. Who promotes those indicators says it helps you indicates the next move for the price, while the real truth about indicators that it follows the price only. Also It completely distracts you from seeing the perfect price action for entering and exiting any trades.
The best advice for setting up your chart :
"keep it as simple as possible" the more simple the chart the clearer vision you will have while chasing the price.
Here is some rules you need to follow to be profitable:
1- use indicators for analyzing the history of the price.
2- don't depend on indicators to show you an entry for a trade.
3- use price action and candlestick formations to enter and exit any trade.
4- work with indicators that shows you the support and resistance area of the price.
Lastly Know That ( there is no indicator that can predict the price next move ) if that indicator exists it will worth THOUSANDS of dollars and will not be available for free.
Managing Risk Efficiently in Six StepsManaging Risk Efficiently in Six Steps
Any analyst or trading guide will tell you how important it is to manage your risk. However, how does one go about managing that risk? And what exactly do they mean by managing risk? Here is a step-by-step guide to one of the most important concepts in financial trading.
1. Determine Your Risk Tolerance
This is a personal choice for anyone who plans on trading any market. Most trading instructors will throw out numbers like 1%, 2% or on up to 5% of the total value of your account risked on each trade placed, but a lot of your comfort with these numbers is largely based on your experience level. Newer traders are inherently less sure of themselves due to their lack of knowledge and familiarity with trading overall or with a new system, so it makes sense to utilize the smaller percentage risk levels.
Once you become more comfortable with the system you are using, you may feel the urge to increase your percentage, but be cautious not to go too high. Sometimes trading methodologies can produce a string of losses, but the goal of trading is to either realize a return or maintain enough to make the next trade.
For instance, if you have a trading method that places one trade per day on average and you are risking 10% of your beginning monthly balance on each trade, it would only theoretically take 10 straight losing trades to completely drain your account. So even if you are an experienced trader, it doesn’t make much sense to risk so much on one single trade.
On the other hand, if you were to risk 2% on each trade that you place, you would theoretically have to lose 50 consecutive trades to drain your account. Which do you think is more likely: losing 10 straight trades, or losing 50?
BALANCE
$10,000 10% $1000 10
$10,000 5% $500 20
$10,000 3% $300 33
$10,000 2% $200 50
$10,000 1% $100 100
2. Customize Your Contracts
The amounts of methodologies to use in trading are virtually endless. Some methods have you use a very specific stop loss and profit target on each trade you place while others vary greatly on the subject. For instance, if you use a strategy that calls for a 20-pip stop loss on each trade and you only trade the EUR/USD, it would be easy to figure out how many contracts you may want to enter to achieve your desired result. However, for those strategies that vary on the size of stops or even the instrument traded, figuring out the amount of contracts to enter can get a little tricky.
One of the easiest ways to make sure you are getting as close to the amount of money that you want to risk on each trade is to customize your position sizes. A standard lot in a currency trade is 100,000 units of currency, which represents $10/pip on the EUR/USD if you have the U.S. dollar (USD) as your base currency; a mini lot is 10,000.
Currency Trading
If you wanted to risk $15 per pip on a EUR/USD trade, it would be impossible to do so with standard lots and could force you in to risking either too much or too little on the trade you place, whereas both mini and micro lots could get you to the desired amount. The same could be said about wanting to risk $12.50 per pip on a trade; both standard and mini lots fail to achieve the desired result, whereas micro lots could help you achieve it.
In the realm of trading, having the flexibility to risk what you want, when you want, could be a determining factor to your success.
3. Determine Your Timing
There may not be anything more frustrating in trading than missing a potentially successful trade simply because you weren’t available when the opportunity arose. With forex being a 24-hour-a-day market, that problem presents itself quite often, particularly if you trade smaller timeframe charts. The most logical solution to that problem would be to create or buy an automated trading robot, but that option isn’t viable for a large segment of traders who are either skeptical of the technology/source or don’t want to relinquish the controls.
Trading Signals
That means that you have to be available to place trades when the opportunities arise, in person, and of full mind and body. Waking up at 3am to place a trade usually doesn’t qualify unless you’re used to getting only 2-3 hours of sleep. Therefore, the average person who has a job, kids, soccer practice, a social life, and a lawn that needs to be mowed needs to be a little more thoughtful about the time they want to commit. Perhaps 4-Hour, 8-Hour, or Daily charts are more amenable to that lifestyle where time may be the most valuable component to trading happiness.
Another way to manage your risk when you’re not in front of your computer is to set trailing stop orders. Trailing stops can be a vital part of any trading strategy. They allow a trade to continue to gain in value while the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a specified distance.
When the market price moves in a favorable direction (up for long positions, down for short positions), the trigger price follows the market price by the specified stop distance. If the market price moves in an unfavorable direction, the trigger price stays stationary and the distance between this price and the market price becomes smaller. If the market price continues to move in an unfavorable direction until it reaches the trigger price, an order is triggered to close the trade.
4. Avoid Weekend Gaps
Many market participants are knowledgeable of the fact that most popular markets close their doors on Friday afternoon Eastern Time in the US. Investors pack up their things for the weekend, and charts around the world freeze as if prices remain at that level until the next time they are able to be traded. However, that frozen position is a fallacy; it isn’t real. Prices are still moving to and from based on the happenings of that particular weekend, and can move drastically from where they were on Friday until the time they are visible again after the weekend.
How to Trade Forex
This can create “gaps” in the market that can actually run beyond your intended stop loss or profit target. For the latter, it would be a good thing, for the former – not so much. There is a possibility you could take a larger loss than you intended because a stop loss is executed at the best available price after the stop is triggered; which could be much worse than you planned.
Managing Risk Efficiently in Six Steps
While gaps aren’t necessarily common, they do occur, and can catch you off guard. As in the illustration below, the gaps can be extremely large and could jump right over a stop if it was placed somewhere within that gap. To avoid them, simply exit your trade before the weekend hits, and perhaps even look to exploit them by using a gap-trading technique.
5. Watch the News
News events can be particularly perilous for traders who are looking to manage their risk as well. Certain news events like employment, central bank decisions, or inflation reports can create abnormally large moves in the market that can create gaps like a weekend gap, but much more sudden. Just as gaps over the weekend can jump over stops or targets, the same could happen in the few seconds after a major news event. So unless you are specifically looking to take that strategic risk by placing a trade previous to the news event, trading after those volatile events is often a more risk-conscious decision daily forex signals
6. Make It Affordable
There is a specific doctrine in trading that is extolled by responsible trading entities, and that is that you should never invest more than you can afford to lose. The reason that is such a widespread manifesto is that it makes sense. Trading is risky and difficult, and putting your own livelihood at risk on the machinations of market dynamics that are varied and difficult to predict is tantamount to putting all of your savings on either red or black at the roulette table of your favorite Vegas casino. So don’t gamble away your hard-earned trading account: invest it in a way that is intelligent and consistent.
MANAGE YOUR TRADES, MONEY & RISK
So will you be a successful trader if you follow all six of these tenants for managing risk? Of course not, other factors need to be considered to help you achieve your goals. However, taking a proactive role in managing your risk can increase your likelihood for long term success.
Why so many Trader Fail!Chart patterns in trading
The key is to spend time learning the basic rules so you can use these methods most effectively with your trading strategy. See our stock chart patterns guide for a comprehensive overview of the 11 most important chart patterns you may come across.
While the idea of trading patterns may seem strange, it’s based on carefully tested methods which underline their usefulness to traders. Importantly, patterns are factors to consider when calculating where to enter, set stop-loss orders, and where to set your profit targets.
Beginner’s Guide for Trading USDJPY
Recognize how price movements can develop into price patterns
Manage risk with stop losses and set profit targets
Types of trading patterns
While this may not inspire confidence at the outset, these are formations that arise and track the changes in support and resistance. There are also more complex trading patterns such as head and shoulders, cup and handle and double tops/bottoms.
Once you have learned these skills, you will be able to apply them in any financial market that you choose, from shares to indices and forex. Pattern recognition can form the basis of trading strategies for day traders, swing traders and longer-term position traders alike and can be applied to anything from five-minute to weekly charts.
Rectangles and, in particular, triangles, have a wide number of varieties that can be used. In essence, all price patterns are looking at the interaction of supply and demand over time and establishing sensible ways in which to react when these trading patterns form. This means you will know how you to react in terms of risk management and closing out.
Typically, you would look for volume levels to decline over the time that the pattern forms.
Candlestick Trading | The Heart of Forex
If volume isn’t declining, this doesn’t necessarily mean that there is a problem with the pattern; however, something you should be on the lookout for is a volume spike when the breakout occurs. This tends to have a beneficial effect on the overall strength of the pattern from then on.
Another effect that can be greatly beneficial to look out for when breakouts occur is a gap in the price. This shows a surge in demand for the instrument surge in supply if it’s a short trade which adds a great deal of price confirmation for the trader.
Learn Online Forex Trading
The previous chart demonstrated an example of an ascending triangle with an upward breakout. As there is no directional bias as to which way patterns are going to break out, we also need to look at an example of what a downward break on an ascending triangle looks like.
Rules to be SuccessfulSAVE THIS!
In order to be profitable in the Forex market, we must follow some very strict rules and even imposed by us when we make our TRADING PLAN.
First of all you have to trade with our own money and so you can eliminate a major pressure.
Then respecting the TRADING PLAN and having a very good RISCK MANAGEMENT, from my point of view it is a bit difficult to lose in the FOREX MARKET.
You need to train and apply the best strategy to always be profitable.
And you must not forget that THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT AND you must follow the market.
EURUSD 1D MEAN REVERSION TRADING STRATEGYBest Mean Reversion Strategy:
Before we get to that point, first and foremost, let’s see what tools we need to use for this strategy.
The best mean reversion indicator that works 85% of the time is the RSI indicator.
So, you will need the RSI oscillator on your charts.
Now, there is one more important thing that needs to be done. The RSI settings must be changed from the default 14-period to 2-period RSI. So, we’re having not just any type of RSI, but a very fast RSI. Levels are 10 & 90.
The other technical indicators we’re going to deploy on the charts are:
10-period simple moving average.
200-period moving average.
Note* Another thing to keep in mind is the recommended time frame is the daily chart. Intraday charts won’t work because the fast-period RSI will generate a lot of false signals on lower time frames.
Now, let’s see how we can combine the 3 indicators into a profitable mean reversion strategy.
The first obvious question is when to buy and sell currency.
To answer this question the mean reversion trading strategy needs to satisfy 3 triggers:
The price needs to be above the 200-day EMA. This means that the overall price is in an uptrend so, we’re only going to look for buy signals in bull markets.
Second, we look for the price to below the 10-day SMA, which shows a deviation from its mean.
Last but not least, we look at the RSI to overshoot below 10, which signals that we’re in oversold territory.
Note* For sell signals use the same trading rules but in reverse.
Once all 3 conditions are satisfied we enter a trade at the open of the following day.
Once we’re in a trade we also need, we also need to know when to exit the market. This is where the 10-period simple moving average comes into play again. What we’re looking for is for the price to reverse back to the 10-period SMA strategy.
More often than not the price will overshoot to the upside and break above the 10-period SMA.
So, to fully capitalize on the entire move we use multiple take profit targets:
The first profit target is to cash half of the position once we touch the 10-period SMA.
The second portion of your position is left until we break and close above the 10-period SMA.
Based on our backtesting result, on average your trades should reach the second target within 1-3 days. The longer you keep your position open, the lower the chances of the trade to succeed. As a general rule, you should cash out of your entire position within the first 3 trading days.
Now, we have left out for last the most important part, which is managing risk.
When it comes to the protective stop loss we’re advising not to place a stop loss right away, but instead, use a time stop.
Let me explain…
Based on our backtesting results we have found that a lot of the times the market will do a false breakout below the previous day low (high) and hurt our position.
So, to avoid this scenario we have found a great trick to move around it.
Our rule is very simple:
If by the first half of the day our position shows a loss, we close that trade and call it a day.
This is a risky play but we have the edge on our side to play this kind of trick. After all, trading is a risky game and everyone needs to decide for themselves how to manage risk.
Final Words – Best Mean Reversion Strategy
In summary, the most alluring thing about mean reversion trading is the high win-loss ratio and the simplicity behind it. One thing to keep in mind is that the mean reversion strategy tends to perform poorly when the market is in a hard-mode trend. But that shouldn’t be much of a big deal since the market is ranging 75% of the time.
The key takeaways from the mean reversion trading strategy are as follow:
Mean reversion can be used with all asset classes (stocks, commodities, currencies or cryptocurrencies).
Range trading and overbought/oversold signals work the best with this method.
Adjust the RSI settings to a fast-period.
You can generate quick profits – short holding time periods.
A trading tip – use a time stop instead of a price stop.
Thank you for reading!
Mean Reversion Trading Strategy with a Sneaky Secret.
In this guide, you’ll learn a mean reversion trading strategy with some trading secrets that will assist you to limit the downside. The first part of the guide will highlight what is mean reversion trading, while in the second part we’ll reveal the mean reversion strategy and how you can fine-tune it to fit your personality.
If this is your first time on our website, our team at Trading Strategy Guides welcomes you. Make sure you hit the subscribe button, so you get your Free Trading Strategy every week directly into your email box.
The mean reversion trading systems are more appealing to a lot of traders because it tends to have a higher win rate as opposed to the trend following strategies. Even when the markets are in well-established trends, mean reversion happens quite often.
So, there are more opportunities to profit from mean reversion trading.
Let’s kick the ball rolling and start with the basic by first explaining what is mean reversion in trading and then we’re going to reveal 5 trading principles that can be used with the mean reversion strategy.
Table of Contents
1 What is Mean Reversion Trading?
2 How Mean Reversion Trading Works?
3 Why the Mean Reversion Strategy Works?
4 Mean Reversion Trading Strategy
5 Final Words – Best Mean Reversion Strategy
What is Mean Reversion Trading?
Put it simply; mean reversion trading assumes that over time the prices of any asset (stock, commodity, FX currency or cryptocurrency) in time will revert back to the mean or average price.
In other words, reversion to the mean trading comes down to the old saying:
“What goes up must come down.”
The mean reversion theory is at the foundation of many trading strategies that involve buying and selling of those asset class prices that have deviated from their historical averages. The idea is that in the long-term prices will return back to their previous average prices and normal pattern.
Example of mean reversion trading strategies includes:
Reversals.
Pullback trading.
Retracement.
Range trading system.
Overbought and oversold strategies.
Our best mean reversion strategy is to trade those price ranges that occur after a severe price markup or markdown. In this case, reversion to the mean implies trading around the middle of the range as our average price.
In essence, mean reversion is playing around a central value be it the middle of the range, or a moving average, or however you wish to express it.
The reversion to mean trading system tends to produce a higher win rate in those instances where we can notice extreme changes in the price.
We can measure extreme price changes relative to the time frame used.
Obviously, there is also a probability that the price will not revert back to its mean. This can indicate that there is a real shift in the market sentiment and we’re in a new paradigm.
Now that we know what is mean reversion trading, let’s see how the mean reversion regression works.
How Mean Reversion Trading Works?
With mean reversion, we’re looking to trade against the heard.
A lot of the times when you’re doing mean reversion trading, you’ll be quick in-and-out of a trade. That’s why day trading mean reversion strategy works better.
There are other different ways to trade with the mean reversion strategy, including:
Price stretch from a simple moving average strategy.
A break outside the Bollinger Bands strategy and a return back to the mean.
A test of support and resistance strategy while the price is consolidating.
The linear regression is clearly slopping upwards and it’s acting as a magnet to the price. Each time the price deviates from the average price line it snaps back to it outlining the reversion to the mean concept.
The main advantages of the mean reversion strategy include:
Effective exit strategy – the take profit target is always the average price.
High win rate – the shorter the mean reversion time frame used the higher the win rate.
Good risk-adjusted returns.
All trading strategies have their own pros and cons.
The biggest flaw is that once you’re in a trade you’ll often see first a loss before you see a profit.
The main components of the mean reversion strategy should include:
1. Entry signal after the price has moved away from its average price. You can simply calculate how far away percentage-wise are from the mean or use an ATR strategy multiple declines or simply use a volume oscillator to gauge oversold/overbought readings.
2. Exit signal gives you a way out once you get into a trade.
3. Broad market timing.
Why the Mean Reversion Strategy Works?
Mean reversion is a key element part of how all financial markets work.
Mean reversion happens because the prices have a tendency to overshoot and undershoot their intrinsic value. These “price anomalies” happens because the impact of new information that hits the market takes time to be digested by the market.
The market participants will take some time to understand the new information as the information is filtered slowly. Additionally, it takes time for the market to establish a fair value.
Secondly, mean reversion trading also works because prices also move based on collective emotions.
What this means for traders is that the price tends to overshoot to the downside a bit more than they overshoot to the upside. This is true because fear tends to be a bigger emotion than greed.
Let’s put the puzzle pieces together and construct our reversion to the mean trading strategy.
Using Harmonic Pattern Completions to Set Direction of TradeIn this short Tutorial I discuss using Harmonic Pattern Completions on Higher timeframes to give you direction of a trade. Then moving down to a day trading timeframe and using the xbratalgo to give signals in the direction dictated by the Harmonic Pattern. And then using the Divergence Cloud to confirm trade. I used Silver Futures as an example in this video, but the strategy is the same for stocks, forex and cryptocurrency.
I hope this helps
Who wants to trade like this now markets are back open ❓💲Hello fellow traders
Quick idea as the markets open up for the week I just wanted to show you all how I traded GBPUSD last week.
I am working the 30M time frame here using our 'EDGE' strategy.
As you will see from the chart there was four trades last week on this time frame and three were winners! 138 pips banked.
Our strategy is a follow trend strategy and can be used on any time frame but also with any instrument.
The strategy sits in your tradingview and when all confluences are met a simple alert appears on the chart. At this point we enter the trade.
When an alert presents all the trade information is presented too, take profit target, stop loss, entry points etc.
The confidence in the way we trade comes from the built in strategy tester. This enables us too back test the way we intend to trade.
No one can predict the future but this is a great marker on how trading a pair could perform going forward.
The strategy tester data for this pair can be found at the foot of this idea.
The data is based on £5000 starting capital and risking 2% a trade. Data shown is tested from Jan 2020 to present time.
The strategy tester shows gains from trading this way along with, win rate, number of trades and draw down.
Feel free to press the sub menus and in doing so you will see a performance overview and all 409 trades individually logged.
All of the above allows our traders to trade with confidence and emotions firmly in check.
For any more information on the strategy shown please feel free to drop me a message.
EURUSD 4H FADE ENGULFING STRATEGYEngulfing Trading Strategy
The engulfing pattern is fairly regular in its occurrence. Appearing regularly means that a lot of the time, it simply won’t work. Statistically speaking, candlestick patterns have a high failure rate, which is why we come with the idea to fade the engulfing bar pattern. Of course, candlesticks can indeed be useful--but advanced trading strategies will require you to look beyond these basic charts and think deeper.
To develop an effective engulfing trading strategy, we need to establish a proper framework to stack the odds in our favor.
Step #1 Spot a Sideways Market
The first thing we want to look for is a sideways market where no one is in control.
This is very important because it’s setting the stage for price manipulation. The premise behind the typical price manipulation is based on the core idea that smart money needs buyers when they want to sell and they need sellers when they want to buy.
In this regard, our goal is to identify price areas where the trading volume is flat.
Usually, in ranging markets, volume remains mostly flat.
Since the market is range-bound around 75% of the time, it will be easy to spot a sideways market, especially on the intraday charts which are prone to exhibit more noise.
The natural flow of the price dictates that sooner or later we’re going to see an expansion in volume, which brings us to the second step.
Step #2 Localize the Engulfing Pattern
The ranging price action needs to be followed by the engulfing pattern.
Going on with our EUR/USD chart, we can spot a bearish engulfing pattern.
Since we’re still in a range the sellers of the engulfing pattern need to overcome a lot of support/resistance levels that were built-in during the consolidation phase. What happens is that the sellers who got tricked to enter the bearish engulfing pattern are now trapped inside a consolidation zone.
One of the first signs that selling the engulfing pattern was a bad idea could be that we didn’t have enough profit margins.
Smart money love to create these types of price deceptions.
How these price deceptions work is very simple.
The smart money needs to create a sudden price movement so that it attracts the retail eye to enter the market. Once the retail trade bites the bullet, smart money only needs now to bid the market higher and cause everyone to panic. This in return will trigger more sell stops on the upside and subsequently, the upside move gets amplified.
Now, you might be asking yourself why all the fuss to trick the retail traders?
Well, it comes down to two things:
The market is a zero-sum game, so every transaction needs to have a counterparty.
And, secondly, smart money needs liquidity to execute their big trades.
Now, you get the idea of why smart money can use the textbook patterns to trick the retail traders.
Next, we need to establish how the engulfing trader strategy works.
Step #3 How to Fade the Engulfing Pattern
We have a clear signal to enter the market when to price breaks above the high of the bearish engulfing pattern. Normally, traders would sell at the break of the low so we’re doing the exact opposite.
Once the price deception is completed, we can see smart money buying aggressively.
As a general rule, once we break the high of the bearish engulfing pattern, we should see momentum picking up to the upside. If we see this type of price behavior we’re almost sure we have got a good trade.
The next step is to establish how to manage risk, i.e. where to hide our protective stop loss and when to exit the market.
Step #4 Where to Place Stop Loss
The stop-loss strategy is quite simple.
We hide our protective stop loss below the bearish engulfing bar.
If this indeed was a price manipulation set by the smart money, then the price should not break below the bearish engulfing candle low. However, since we can’t be 100% in control of what the market does in the eventuality it breaks below the low we want to get out, which is the stop-loss order job to do for us.
Step #5 Where to Take Profit
Now, in terms of take-profit….
If you want to take your trading to the highest point of success, you need to be able to maximize your profits with each trading opportunity.
The good news is that our take profit strategy is quite easy to implement.
You’ll have to take profits along the way and scale-out of your position as the trend matures. This ensures you’ll benefit from the entire price move.
Conclusion – Engulfing Bar Trading Strategy
In summary, the engulfing pattern trading strategy gives you a chance to trade along with the smart money and profit from trapped retail traders. Most traders will lose money when trading candlestick patterns but with a little bit of twist, you can turn the odds in your favor. And, that’s precisely what our easy guide to trading the engulfing pattern is aiming for.
Here is a summary of what you have learned so far:
The textbook engulfing pattern and how it works.
How to interpret the price manipulation around the engulfing bar.
How to trade along with the smart money.
Only fade the engulfing pattern that develops inside a sideways market.
How to maximize your profits by scaling out of your position.
Engulfing Trading Strategy - The Fade
The engulfing trading strategy will give you the skills you need to become a better trader. Through this guide, we’re going to take a deeper look into what exactly is the engulfing pattern and how understanding this particular pattern can improve your outcomes as a trader. Furthermore, we’re going to show you how to master the engulfing bar trading strategy with a simple twist.
Don’t worry if you already know how engulfing trading works, we have some additional information for you as well. This will strengthen your existing knowledge about the engulfing candle trading strategy and help you find new opportunities to succeed as a trader.
How we interpret the engulfing pattern can provide us with a further understanding of the current market sentiment, whatever form it might take. In return, this can help us better assess the probabilities of success behind each individual bearish and bullish engulfing pattern.
Table of Contents
1 What is the Engulfing Pattern?
2 How to Trade Engulfing Pattern
3 Why the Engulfing Pattern Works?
4 Engulfing Trading Strategy
4.1 Step #1 Spot a Sideways Market
4.2 Step #2 Localize the Engulfing Pattern
4.3 Step #3 How to Fade the Engulfing Pattern
4.4 Step #4 Where to Place Stop Loss and Take Profit
5 Conclusion – Engulfing Bar Trading Strategy
What is the Engulfing Pattern?
In technical analysis, the engulfing pattern is multiple candlestick patterns (2-candle pattern) that can signal a trend reversal or a trend continuation depending on where it develops in relation to the prevailing trend.
While you can find this candlestick price formation by using the engulfing pattern indicator, you can easily spot the pattern with your naked eye.
There are two types of engulfing patterns:
Bullish engulfing pattern.
Bearish engulfing pattern.
Being able to identify the engulfing pattern can help us time the market.
So, how do we identify the bullish engulfing pattern?
The bullish engulfing pattern is a combination of one bearish candlestick followed by a bullish candlestick that engulfs the entire body and wicks of the first candle. This shows that, generally, the broader market is moving in a positive direction.
Naturally, it signals a potential reversal of the prevailing trend.
On the other hand, the bearish engulfing pattern is the opposite of the bullish engulfing pattern. The bearish engulfing pattern can signal the possible start of a new downtrend. While these engulfing patterns do occur in the opposite direction, they are still governed by the same underlying principles.
Moving forward, let’s see the different ways how to trade the engulfing pattern.
How to Trade Engulfing Pattern
To exemplify how the engulfing pattern works, we’re going to showcase how to trade a bearish engulfing pattern. The opposite will be true for the bullish engulfing pattern. Understanding the difference between bullish patterns and bearish patterns will be key to leveraging engulfing patterns to your advantage.
As per the textbook rules, we first need to wait for the second candle of this price formation to close. A close below the low of the first candle shows a stronger bearish signal.
Secondly, the engulfing pattern gets confirmed once we break and close below the low of the second candle. The way we trade it can be broken down into two strategies:
Either sell right away when we break below the low.
Or, a more conservative approach would be to wait for a candle close below the low.
Note* As a general rule, only enter once the pattern is confirmed.
Using strict risk management rules, we can hide our stop loss above the high of the second candle. Usually, the engulfing pattern can boost attractive risk-reward ratios so you can capture profits at least 3 times your risk.
Now, before we reveal the better way to trade the engulfing pattern trading strategy, it’s important to understand what’s going on behind the scene.
What do we mean by this?
Simply put, we want to know the psychology behind the engulfing pattern.
Why the Engulfing Pattern Works?
How we interpret the psychology behind the engulfing pattern plays a big role in whether or not the pattern will work out.
Price Action Strategy is the ultimate indicator telling you what’s going on in the market. In terms of the market sentiment, it’s the only reliable source because the best technical indicators are all based on price action.
When we look at raw price action we can tell who is winning the bulls and bears battle.
The engulfing candle simply signals a big shift in the market sentiment.
So, let’s see what the bullish engulfing pattern is telling us from the supply and demand perspective.
The apparent shift in the supply-demand balance is revealed by the second candle, which shows that the buyers have stepped in and managed to overcome the sellers.
However, as we know it, the price can move higher even from a lack of sellers (supply-side is dry out). That’s the reason why you’ll see that, many times, the candlestick patterns failing more often than not.
The key idea here is that you need to be very selective and only trade the engulfing pattern when it develops at extreme ends of a trend. Truth to be told, the engulfing pattern rarely develops at the end of a trend. Most of the time, you’ll notice this chart pattern popping a lot of the time in the middle of the trend or in a sideways market where a lot of price manipulation happens.
But, what if we can use the engulfing bar trading strategy to take advantage of the price manipulation?
EURAUD 15M UNIDIRECTIONAL TRADING STRATEGYUnidirectional Trade Strategy
STEP 1 - The first step to start trading is to choose the right market to trade and the best time of the day to trade.
You chose a market and you stick with it until you master it.
For the purpose of his unidirectional trade strategy review, we’re going to stick with trading FOREX.
Moving forward, we’re going to lay down some rules to trade only in one direction.
STEP 2 - Only Buy if We Trade Above the Opening Price
We’re not going to predict which way to trade, but instead, we’re going to go along with the intraday momentum strategy.
What we mean by this is simple:
If the market price trades above the opening price of the new trading day, it’s an indication that the buyers are in control, so we want to go along with the flow of the market. The other alternative is to try to guess the market, which is a lot harder.
Note* conversely, if the price is below the opening price we only trade on the short side.
Since we’re trading within the forex market, we want to focus only on the major trading session like the forex London market and the New York sessions.
Step 3 - Buy at the First Green Candle that closes above the Opening price of the New Trading Day.
We need to clarify some rules:
If during the first hours of trading the market has spent most of its time above the opening price our bias for that day is up, and we only look to buy. Conversely, if during the first hours of trading the market has spent most of its time below the opening price our bias for that day is bearish and we only look to sell.
When the next major trading session opens (i.e. The London session) we look for the first bullish candle that closes above the opening price to trigger our entry:
You can actually buy each time you see the price retesting and getting rejected from the opening price.
We’re going to use the same rules and buy at the first bullish candle that closes above the daily opening price.
Now, you may be asking yourself:
“What if the market is already above the opening price?”
“How do we enter?”
Buy after each two consecutive bullish candles. Or, if you have a big bullish candle with its trading range bigger than the surrounding candles, you can go ahead and buy.
Step 4 - You determine your own Take Profit levels or
Take Profit Equals 2 times ATR
We are going to use the average true range (ATR) indicator which measures the price volatility. This will give us a more efficient way to pinpoint the dynamic exit price level.
As our profit target, we’re going to use the 14-period ATR applied to the 15-minute chart and multiply that by 2.
For example, if the ATR is 5 pips our take profit will be 2 x ATR, which is 10 pips.
Here are some of the advantages that come with trading only in one direction:
Trading along with the momentum.
A big profit potential on strong trading days.
Reduces risk and improves the risk-reward ratio.
Final Words – Unidirectional Trading Strategy
In summary, a unidirectional trading strategy is an easy-to-use approach that is a great way for novice traders to get their feet wet. Short-term traders are better off with our unidirectional intraday trading strategy because they can profit without predicting the market.
The bottom line is that if you stay nimble and react to the current market price, you’re better than trying to forecast the market. When you’re tied to your predictions you’re blinded to what’s really going on in the market.
Keep it simple and trade in one direction!
Thank you for reading!
SAR + Moving Averages + Multi Time Frame Sniper Entry FinderThis Is a mutli time frame chart used to find perfect entries using the 1hr & Daily time frames. The way this works is every time a MA Cross + Trend Confirmation From The SAR Happens Then You Would Enter For Either A Long Position Or Short Position. Used This Chart With The Mobile Trading Alerts Feature & Let Me Know How This Strategy Turns Out For You. Enjoy, Follow, Like, Comment & Share If You Find This Strategy Helpful Or If You Would Like TO Continue Seeing More Strategies Like This.
WHY DID THE BULLISH CONTINUATION MOVE FAIL?What does "End of Month Square Up" mean.
A square position is a situation where a trader or portfolio has no market exposure. ... The reason for this confusion is that the term "squaring up" is used to describe settling open trades before the market closes.
A square position is also referred to as a "flat position."
Square position, like many trading terms, can take on a different nuance depending on the speaker. For an individual forex trader, a square position can refer to offsetting long and short positions in the same currency pair or a situation where a currency trader holds no positions in the market. The reason for this confusion is that the term "squaring up" is used to describe settling open trades before the market closes. Squaring usually refers to just a few positions, but a trader could close out all of his open positions and get out of the market.
The "Market Makers" can use this trading principle as they move the market.
E/U had a Bullish Trend which became a consolidated range.
Price had a Bearish Breakout of the Range bottom which failed.
Price created Higher Highs and Higher Low making it appear a Bullish Continuation move was happening.
This drew in long traders leaving behind lots of money tied up in Stop Losses.
The Market Makers can tell where the most money is tied up on the Long side or Short Side.
It seems to appear that the Market Makers made the Bullish Continuation Reversal fail and took out the Stop Losses at the Higher Low entry point and also the 50% reversal entry point.
All of this happening the last few days of the End of the Month of October.
Could this be an example of the "END OF MONTH SQUARE UP?"
AUDUSD 15M SCALP SHORT TRADE US SESSIONStacey Burkes TSG Podcast Ep. #18 Forex Trading Strategy.
US SESSION 3 Hour Window
Starting at 8 am EDT
Ending at 11 am EDT
Step 1 Highest Bullish Candle Inside US 3 hr window.
Step 2 Bearish Pin Bar 2nd candle in US window.
Step 3 Enter Sell Trade when Price Engulfed the bottom of the High Bull Candle.
Step 4 Market Makers Stop Hunt Bullish Wick Confirmation for Short Entry Traders.
Step 5 SL above current swing high.
Step 6 EXIT - Close Short Trade after Price crossed Bullish Resistance.
EURAUD 15M SCALP LONG TRADE US SESSIONStacey Burkes TSG Podcast Ep. #18 Forex Trading Strategy.
US SESSION 3 Hour Window
Starting at 8 am EDT
Ending at 11 am EDT
Step 1 Lowest Bearish Candle Inside US 3 hr window
Step 2 Bullish Pin Bar 2nd candle in US window.
Step 3 Bullish Engulfing Candle Entered at Candle Close.
Step 4 Market Makers Stop Hunt Bearish Pin Bar Confirmation for Long Entry Traders.
Step 5 SL below Entry Candle
Step 6 EXIT - Close Long Trade after RailRoad Tracks Bearish Reversal Candle Pattern with 61 pip profit.