Why do most ppl fail as retail tradrers?I see two main reasons which complement each other for the high rate of failure.
First and foremost, the media and the industry promote this idea that it’s easy to become a profitable trader and anybody can go it. This is, of course, not true. Theoretically, anybody can do it if willing to put the effort and approach it as a business. Practically almost nobody approaches trading with the same rigorousness as any other professional endeavor.
Let’s put aside the first reason, about which there is not much we can do. A big chunk of the industry relies on peoples being naive and we’re not going to change that. On top of the first reason, we have a second reason related to people themselves. Most of those who try trading financial markets simply don’t manage their emotions and risk well enough to survive the learning curve.
Managing your own emotions turns out to be a complex endeavor and constantly changing market conditions lengthen the learning curve. One of the things that makes this business so attractive is also the main thing that makes it so difficult to master.
The direct and sometimes violent feedback you receive from the market, after each trading decision, has an astonishing impact on a human’s ability to keep his psychological well being in check and control his own reactions. It has the potential to disrupt executive functions and trigger instinctual “fight or flight” responses. This leads to emotional trading or trading on tilt which quickly generates more losses than any other mistake you could make in this business.
Most other jobs have a protective buffer zone between usual day to day work decisions and the ultimate feedback — end of the month paycheck. This profession doesn’t. Every little call you make has an immediate impact on your capital. Every little mistake can take a portion of your capital away and every good decision can bring it all back and more. This kind of psychological exposure is heavily distressful and being aware of its mechanisms makes a huge difference.
So … psychology differentiates the pro. Don’t get me wrong … professional discretionary traders are not emotionless but are much more aware and in control of their reactions. The successful pro deeply understands that trading is mainly about people's perceptions and the rest are just details.
You may ask yourself how can such a level be reached? A starting point is to stay away from any market, financial instrument, time frame, trading technique, or any combination of those that doesn’t fit who you are deep inside. The least the exposure to triggers that can awake the demons within, the best.
Always seek strategies that you understand and match your inner self. For example … if you are impatient trade shorter time frames, if you are very risk-averse don’t use huge margin, if you are risk-averse but you don’t have enough capital use margin with a tight risk management (maybe options), if you have a statistical mind try quantitative approaches etc. There are infinite possibilities to adapt to yourself and is a must to do it if you want to have a chance.
It always amuses me to see the vast majority of educational resources geared towards what market does when most of the success in this business is knowing how you adapt to the market, whatever it may do. And, of course, the market is, more or less, the other traders.
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
Forextrading
The concept of trend lines, support and resistance Today, I am going to explain the concept of trend lines, support and resistance.
Above is the weekly chart of the EUR/USD, period between 2017 and 2022.
The resistance or support level is where the price gets rejected at least twice. After that, traders can draw a line connecting those swing highs/lows, which later turn to be the resistance or support. This line can be horizontal or sloping, thus called trend line.
A trend line connecting 2 lower highs or more is called descending and considered a resistance.
A trend line connecting 2 higher lows or more is called ascending and considered support.
Broken resistance becomes a support level and vice versa.
Let's take the example chart above and explain the drawings for a better understanding:
1) In January 2017, EUR/USD bottomed at 1.0350 and has been trading above that level since then, until 2022. In the current year, the pair tested the mentioned price more than twice and bounced again. But eventually, sellers were able to break through this support, which later on in July, turned to be a resistance. Buyers tried to break through that level but failed to do so, and the price kept on going further down.
2) During the pandemic in March 2020, demand for safe assets surged, causing the Euro to trade as low as 1.0630 where buyers were met and made a quick rebound. In 2022, the Russia-Ukraine war has put a huge pressure on the EUR/USD, resulting in a strong bearish move. Sellers were able to break the 1.0630 level successfully, which later turned to a resistance level.
3) I highlighted the main 3 parallel trend lines/channels throughout the 2018-2022 period
1: A very clear lower highs/lower lows pattern indicating a bearish trend.
2: Once the 1.0630 support was met, buyers were able to create a higher highs/higher lows pattern indicating a bullish trend reversal.
3: However, in summer 2021, the pattern was broken and we started to notice trend exhaustion indicated by a failure to make higher highs and the market entered a bearish trend again inside a descending channel till present.
I hope the drawings and explanations are clear. Will be happy to answer any question.
Thank you
How to grow small forex account?Hi, I often get this question how to grow small forex account so I decided to start forex sessions where I will share live trades, when and where to enter/exit, advices, clearing doubts and Q&A session will be followed. We can start with $100 or even less than that. Those who are interested they can Message me. Take care.
What is Forex and How Big It Is?💱
Forex - foreign exchange market, is a location where international currencies are bought and sold by economic participants at various exchange rates.
Forex market is the biggest market in the world, reaching on average 6 trillion dollars trading volumes daily.
Forex market is a vital element for a global economy because it provides capital exchanges between the countries.
The main market participants of forex market are central banks, commercial banks, commercial companies, hedge funds and investors.
🕰In order to grasp how big is that market, take a look what is happening on that just in 60 seconds:
📎Total transactions value reaches 3.52 billion US dollars.
📎 1.15 billion dollars of spot transactions.
📎 1.65 billion dollar of exchange swaps.
📎 Total transactions value involving USD reaches 3 billion US dollars.
📎 Total transactions value involving EURO reaches 1.1 billion US dollars.
📎 Just one single EUR/USD pair accumulates 812 million US dollars transactions value.
It is hard to imagine how such big amounts are rolling with such a frequency and how insignificant are the orders of individual traders.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Characteristics of Currency PairsHey Guys!
Here are some characteristics of currency pairs that I noticed over the years. Perhaps it'll help you find the pairs that best fit your trading style, or perhaps you can use this information as an add-on to your current strategy.
Gbp/Usd - Tends to overshoot key levels.
- Can use to get better risk/reward. Both on entries and targets.
- Can expect many fake breakouts; where key higher time frame levels may be broken on the lower time frames but fail to break out on the higher time frames.
Eur/Usd- Tends to accurately respond to key levels.
- Can be used for tight stop loss placements for there is no need to add a couple pips for wiggle room on this pair.
- Especially on this pair, remember to enter/exit without being greedy or scared. Due to the response accuracy at key levels, price will not give you a second chance to enter a trade or take profits.
Usd/Jpy-Tends to have huge moves without price confirmation.In other words, price gets forced up or down by a higher power for months at a time.
- Can use to ultimately enter counter the initial direction of the forced move; expecting price to return to fair value.
- Can use this characteristic to ride this forced move while not requiring price confirmation for your entry.
Usd/Chf- Tends to have false break outs.
- Especially on this pair, remember to watch the lower time frame's price action to make sure the break out is legitimate.
Eur/Jpy, Aud/Jpy, Gbp/Jpy tend to form trade set ups simultaneously.
- If you notice a strong move occuring on the eur/jpy, pay attention to the aud/jpy and gbp/jpy for possible trade opportunities and visa versa.
That's it!
I hope this helps!
Ken
The Master Jedi Sniper CREED*The Market has different moves I call them 'Plays' that it sets in the Forex Market Daily.
The Market only has 3 moves:
1. Up aka UP Trend
2. Down aka DOWN Trend
3. Sideways aka Consolidation
No more. No less.
The market has key patterns, rhythms, and channels known as 'Liquidity pools" "Order Blocks' and the like. These are simply areas in the market where liquidity is and wherever there is liquidity that is where the market flows to. After the Market makes enough money and "Orders" need to be filled it will then move to fill imbalances along the way to those places of Liquidity aka "THE MONEY".
A Snipers MAIN job is to WACTH the market with discipline, consistency, and relentless attention to intricate details that your pair does at KEY times in the trading day.
US base pairs are anchored by the DXY. It is a Snipers RSI.
Every Sniper has their own threshold for pain this is knows as a SL. A Sniper's average SL is 3-5PIPS. Once that threshold is breached it is time to re evaluate the trade set up and either "Pull and SWITCH" or "Pull and WAIT".
By allowing you trade aka SNIPE time to develop you allow your trade set up to develop. Remember it takes time for the Market to move in your direction. Therefore pull backs and consolidation are all apart of normal market movement aka Price Action.
By identifying key areas in the market within "Structure" a Sniper formulates strategies to Trap and Snipe Price.
I Am the Alchemist of these Formulas and Strategies.
I AM: Trading Made Simple
As always never over leverage.
Trust your Trade Set Up.
Have Fun!
day trading forex strategies price action for beginnersIn this video, you will see me analyse my forex watchlists to look for trading opportunities
day trading for forex beginners
day trading forex strategies
forex day trading strategies for beginners
day trading forex strategies price action for beginners
HOW TO USE TRADINGVIEWIn this video, i showed you how to use Tradingview to analyze different types of markets and asset classes.
You will discover how to open a chart and analyze any assets.
You will discover how to use different tools on tradingview to make your analysis easy and precise.
Tradingview made easy for you.
Market Seasonality - Fundamentals 📉📉📉✅ Seasonality refers to particular time frames when stocks/sectors/indices are subjected to and influenced by recurring tendencies that produce patterns that are apparent in the investment valuation.
✅ Seasonality is a characteristic of a time series in which the data experiences regular and predictable changes that recur every calendar year. Any predictable fluctuation or pattern that recurs or repeats over a one-year period is said to be seasonal.
✅ What is a Seasonality Forecast? In time series data, seasonality refers to the presence of variations which occur at certain regular intervals either on a weekly basis, monthly basis, or even quarterly (but never up to a year). Various factors may cause seasonality - like a vacation, weather, and holidays
✅ You can use the Market Seasonality as an extra fundamental confluence for the price, we have 2 market seasonalities bullish and bearish. If a price has bullish seasonality it means the pariticular asset will tend to rise during that cycle and viceversa. Market Seasonality (MS) is a good tool to have in your arsenal but only if you are trading on a mid-long term perspective. You can't trade using the market seasonality on a scalping or a intra-day basis because it makes no sense.
What do you think ? Comment below..
Fibonacci Premium vs Discount ✅ 📝 Fibonacci is a sequence that came up with a Smart mathematician name Leonard Fibonacci came with a sequence that proved that everything in the universe repeats itself in a specific mathematical. From the petals on a flower, to the spiral patterns on snail's shell, all fulfilled with a specific numerical sequence. The same Fibonacci sequence applies in everything and anywhere including Trading. When a retracement begins as buyers will come take their profits and leave, new buyers will come in at specifici levels using the Fibonacci retracement.
📉 I use the Fibonacci retracements for entries and for take profit zones i will show that in an example on how go about doing it. Please everything that i am going to show here be ensure that you practice until you have fully mastered price action
📉I use the fib placing from the lowest body of the candle to the highest body of the candle if we are in a bullish momentum(aiming to go long)
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📝 Remember its a Fibonacci retracement. What you should remember is what i said at the beginning of the Fib that when buys take their profits and leave, new buyers get it a retracement that's where you also get it. It also vice versa when in a bearish momentum.
Institutional Liquidity Orderflow 📉📉📉Hi guys! I would like to briefly explain my strategy, I use liquidity to understand where should market go .
🏦 Liquidity is basically a zone in the market where a lot of stops are located both retail/ institutional, I will look to enter near that area but only after the manipulation on the buy-side or sell-side liquidity to all my trades with "Smart Money". as known as "Wall Street"
You can separate the Liquidity Concepts in two areas.
✅ Buy Side Liquidity - area of the price where sellers put their stop loss, its located on old highs, equal highs (Resistance) above double tops, above key psychological numbers
✅ Sell Side Liquidity - area of the price where buyers put their stop losses, usually below old lows, below equal lows(support), below psychological key levels.
‼️ REMEMBER
Dumb Money sell at high
Smart Money SELL ABOVE THE HIGH
Dumb Money buy at low
Smart Money BUY BELOW THE LOW
Using this concept as i explained you will have less stop losses because you will allign your trades with institutional orderflow.
I attached couple photos so you can have a better understanding.
Bearish Candlestick Pattern's 📉📉📉📈 Technical Analysis
I use those bearish candlestick patterns as an extra confluence when price gets into my POI (point of interest) they can make your trade much better.
⬇️ Bearish POI look for :
Tweezer Tops
Three Red Crows
Bearish Engulfing
Evening Star
Hanging Man
Evening Star
Gravestone Doji
‼️ Don't use them ALONE as a single argument, the change of getting a good trade could dramatically decrease
What do you think about those candlestick patterns, do you use them ?
Entry Confluences - Examples 📉📉📉🎯 Those are the examples where you use all the confluences i am teaching in my community posts.
✅ Market Structure
✅ Key Level ( Support, Resistance areas)
✅ Candlestick Patterns ( bullish or bearish )
✅ Fibonacci Retracement ( discount or premium )
You can use them as a single confluence but to have a better trade probability i recommend to allign them together, remember focus on the quality not the quantity.
You don't need a lot of trades to make money in the markets, you need high quality trades patience and discipline.
What is your analysis ?
Spinning Top's Candlestick Pattern ✅✅ A spinning top is a candlestick pattern that has a short real body that's vertically centered between long upper and lower shadows. The candlestick pattern represents indecision about the future direction of the asset. It means that neither buyers nor sellers could gain the upper hand.
✅ White spinning tops are candlestick lines that are small, green-bodied, and possess shadows (upper and lower) that end up exceeding the length of candle bodies. They often signal indecision between buyer and seller. To look for the spinning top among the red candles, you can use the Spinning Top Black candle pattern
✅ There are two variations of this chart pattern: the bullish spinning top (green in colour) and the bearish spinning top (red in colour). The bullish formation occurs when the closing price is higher than the opening price, while the bearish pattern occurs when the opening price is higher than the closing price.
Do you use this candlestick pattern in your analysis ?
TDI Trading Indicator 📉📉📉📉 Let’s break down the Traders Dynamic Index indicator and go through it a little bit. As you can see, this scalping indicator has five moving averages.
The green line is called the price line and is similar to the RSI indicator and represents the market sentiment. It shows you how the market is moving related to positive and negative expectation. the settings for the price line is 2.
The red line is called the signal line is simply a crossover of the green line and can be used for entry and exit in the market. The settings for the signal line is 7.
The yellow line is called the base line is what we refer to as the overall market sentiment. It shows the overall direction of the market. The overall market has a tendency to do two things. It can turn slowly, or it can continue to go in the initial direction. This is because it’s too big and it can’t turn too quickly. It’s got to come to a gradual end. The settings for the base line is 34.
Last but not least, we have two blue lines, one above and one below. Those blue lines represent the volatility in the market, similar to the Bollinger Bands. They are increasing and decreasing volatility. Traders Dynamic Index (TDI) MetaTrader indicator — a comprehensive but helpful indicator that uses RSI (Relative Strength Index), its moving averages, and volatility bands (based on Bollinger Bands) to offer traders a full picture of the current Forex market situation. This indicator can use sound and visual alerts.
📉 The TDI is the only technical indicator that can read the market sentiment, market volatility, and momentum at the same time. The concept is very simple, it is 3 rsi indicators on 3 different time frames and then it is combined with Bollinger bands. That is where the 5 lines come from
📉 Traders Dynamic Index (TDI) MetaTrader indicator — a comprehensive but helpful indicator that uses RSI (Relative Strength Index), its moving averages, and volatility bands (based on Bollinger Bands) to offer traders a full picture of the current Forex market situation. This indicator can use sound and visual alerts.
Do you use this trading indicator ? What do you think ?
📉📉📉 Wedge Trading Pattern 📉 What Is a Wedge?
A wedge is a price pattern marked by converging trend lines on a price chart. The two trend lines are drawn to connect the respective highs and lows of a price series over the course of 10 to 50 periods. The lines show that the highs and the lows are either rising or falling and differing rates, giving the appearance of a wedge as the lines approach a convergence. Wedge shaped trend lines are considered useful indicators of a potential reversal in price action by technical analysts.
📉 Understanding the Wedge Pattern
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals. In either case, this pattern holds three common characteristics: first, the converging trend lines; second, a pattern of declining volume as the price progresses through the pattern; third, a breakout from one of the trend lines. The two forms of the wedge pattern are a rising wedge (which signals a bearish reversal) or a falling wedge (which signals a bullish reversal).
📉 Falling Wedge
When a security's price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move. The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline. Before the lines converge, price may breakout above the upper trend line.
This usually occurs when a security’s price has been rising over time, but it can also occur in the midst of a downward trend as well.
The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal. While price can be out of either trend line, wedge patterns have a tendency to break in the opposite direction from the trend lines.
📉 Rising Wedge
This usually occurs when a security’s price has been rising over time, but it can also occur in the midst of a downward trend as well.
The trend lines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to help a trader or analyst anticipate a breakout reversal. While price can be out of either trend line, wedge patterns have a tendency to break in the opposite direction from the trend lines.
Do you use this trading pattern ?
Volume Trading Indicator 📉📉📉✅ Volume is an important indicator in technical analysis because it is used to measure the relative significance of a market move. The higher the volume during a price move, the more significant the move and the lower the volume during a price move, the less significant the move.
✅ Volume indicators are technical tools to evaluate a security's bull and bear power. Most look specifically at buying vs. selling pressure to determine which side is in control of price action. Others attempt to identify emotions that are moving the security at a particular time
✅ A high positive multiplier with high volume indicates strong buying pressure which pushes the indicator higher. On the other hand, a low negative number with high volume indicates strong selling pressure which pushes the indicator lower.
✅ Down volume indicates bearish trading, while up volume indicates bullish trading. If the price of a security falls, but only on low volume, there may be other factors at work aside from a true bear turn
Do you use this trading indicator ?
ENGULFING CANDLESTICK PATTERN 📉📉📉✅ The pattern has greater reliability when the open price of the engulfing candle is well above the close of the first candle, and when the close of the engulfing candle is well below the open of the first candle.
✅ The bullish engulfing candle signals reversal of a downtrend and indicates a rise in buying pressure when it appears at the bottom of a downtrend. The bearish engulfing signals reversal of the uptrend and indicates fall in prices by the sellers who exert the selling pressure when it appears at the top of an uptrend
✅ The bearish engulfing candle occurs when the real body of a down candle completely envelops the real body of the prior up candle. A bullish engulfing candle occurs when the real body of an up candle completely envelops the real body of the prior down candle.
✅ How accurate is bullish engulfing?
The bullish engulfing candlestick acts as a bullish reversal 63% of the time, which is respectable, ranking 22 where 1 is best out of 103 candle patterns
✅ What is bullish engulfing pattern?
A bullish engulfing pattern is a candlestick pattern that forms when a small black candlestick is followed the next day by a large white candlestick, the body of which completely overlaps or engulfs the body of the previous day's candlestick.
What do you think ? Comment below..
Tweezer Tops vs Tweezer Bottom 📉📉📉📉 A tweezer is a technical analysis pattern, commonly involving two candlesticks, that can signify either a market top or bottom. Tweezer bottoms are considered to be short-term bullish reversal patterns, whereas tweezer tops are thought to be bearish reversals.
📉 Tweezer top indicates a bearish reversal whereas Tweezer bottom indicates a bullish reversal. Tweezer top candlestick pattern occurs when the high of two candlesticks are almost or the same after an uptrend
📉 A Tweezer Bottom occurs during a downtrend when sellers push prices lower, often ending the session near the lows, but were not able to push the bottom any further. Tweezer Bottoms are considered to be short-term bullish reversal patterns that signal a market bottom.
A tweezers top is when two candles occur back to back with very similar highs. A tweezers bottom occurs when two candles, back to back, occur with very similar lows. The pattern is more important when there is a strong shift in momentum between the first candle and the second
Do you use twezzer tops or bottoms ?
✅ RISK ON vs RISK OFF ✅ Today we will talk about RISK ON vs RISK OFF Market Sentiment as i use this confluence to enter trades.
🎯 Risk ON vs Risk OFF market sentiment reflects all the market activity, its not a market sentiment for crypto or forex or stock market its for all the financial markets, when i use this confluence i try to understand what are institutional/retail investors are doing are they buying risk on assets or they are buying risk on assets.
🎯 Usually investors buy risk on assets when they are looking for risk meaning they want higher yield on their investment they want to MULTIPLY money(key word) this is happening during times of financial prosperity, no wars, no lockdowns, no problems around the world everyone are doing great and making money
🎯 On other side RISK OFF is when investors tend to buy financil assets that PROTECT (key word) their capital they dont want a high yield they want just to save their money and protect during time of financial stress, wars, lockdowns when everything is not clear and safe.
✅ RISK ON Assets
Stock Market
Crypto
USOil
AUD
NZD
CAD
EUR
GBP
✅ RISK OFF Assets
Government Bonds
JPY
CHF
USD
GOLD
SILVER
USDJPY LRDER BLOCKSHey❤️, big institutions usually use order-blocks to trade and help them make tons of money.i too sometimes use it. Bearish order-blocks,signifies. Bearish trend is about to happens same with bullish
Order-block best thing is to always trade what you see and never what you think. This indicator can be found on trading view scripts, type “order-block finder by Wugamblo.
Share your thoughts with me about this indicator
Jesus loves you and died for you ❤️
AMD Trading Pattern 📉📉📉📈 To increase your chance of succeding in the financial markets as a trader you should understand what the market phases is and the logic behind this concept.
🔰 Accumulation - tipically accumulation is a range area where price forms equal highs and lows, from an institutional perspective we can see this zone as a clash between sellers and buyers usually after a accumulation move price will move sharply into a direction
🔰 Manipulation - manipulation aka the FAKE move will be the first move that exists the range in 80% of the situations the first move is just a move to trap retailers go into a certain direction and then quickly reverses, usually the manipulation happens during LN open (London) NY open ( New York ) NYSE open ( Nasdaq ) and the accumulation move forms during asian session especially for fx pairs
🔰 Distribution - distribution is the moment when price takes the opposite direction of the MANIPULATION it is offten called the TRUE DIRECTION of the DAY where its generally raided by institutions because retail traders were trapped in the manipulation phase.
Was this a valuable information ?
Market Strucutre 📉📉📉✅ MARKET STRUCUTURE .
Today we will talk about market strucutre in the financial markets, market strucuture is basicall the understading where the institutional traders/investors are positioned are they short or long on certain financial asset, it is very important to be positioned your trading opportunities with the trend as the saying says trend is your friend follow the trend when you are taking trades that are alligned with the strucutre you have a better probability of them closing in profit.
✅ Types of Market Strucuture
🎯 Bearish Market Strucuture - institutions are positioned LONG, look only to enter long/buy trades, we are spotingt the bullish market strucutre if price is making higher highs (hh) and higher lows (hl)
🎯 Bullish Market Strucutre - institutions are positioned SHORT, look only to enter short/sell trades, we are spoting the bearish market strucutre when price is making lower highs (lh) and lower lows (ll)
🎯 Range Market Strucutre - the volumes on short/long trades are equall instiutions dont have a clear direction we are spoting this strucutre if we see price making equal highs and equal lows and is accumulating .
I hope i was clear enough so you can understand this very important trading concept, remember its not in the number its in the quality of the trades and to have a better quality try to allign every trading idea with the actual strucutre