The Simplest Rules for Profitable Trading! There is a very interesting concept for traders and how they should trade. It is based on the possible results in every single trade.
When we open a trade we should be ready to get one of the following results:
- big profit
- small profit
- small loss
- big loss
From the list above, it is obvious that if we do the best to avoid big losses, our trading will be profitable. Of course, for this, we have to get not only a small profit but also big profit trades.
And this concept also matches another rule for traders, probably one of the most important: cut losses quickly and let profits run!
As you can see, for profitable trading you have to follow these concepts. They are logical from the core.
The problem of novice traders is that they follow the rules vise verse.
The get big losses and avoid big profits. Or in other words, they cut profits quickly and let losses run.
So, from this post, you can get better ideas about how you should trade, in order to be profitable in the long run.
Forextrading
The Difference in Judgements of Amateurs and Professionals Trades shouldn't be judged based on the results. For example, if a trade gave profit it is a good trade and if a trade gave a loss it is a bad trade. It is an amateur's approach.
Trades must be judged based on other criteria:
- good/bad entry
- good/bad exit
- was it in the line of a trading strategy?
- was it in the line of a trading plan?
- was it in the line of proper money management?
The same goes for the judgment of traders. If a trader isn't profitable right now or for some period of time, but he or she trades properly, it is a good trader.
If a trader made tons of money without following his or her trading plan and proper money management, it is a good example of a bad trader.
The same goes for trading robots, trading strategies, and other tools.
Don't follow an amateur's approach in deciding what is good or what is bad in trading. You should be smarter and look at the whole picture before any conclusions! For such an approach, you must have the right knowledge and experience!
How Much Money You Can Make from Trading?How much money you can make from trading in different markets and using different trading styles? Such a question is rather popular among novice traders and in this post, I want to provide you my vision.
Here is an estimated profit per month:
Forex Market
- short term trading 5-10%
- swing trading 3-5%
- position trading 1-3%
Crypto Market
- short term trading 10-15%
- swing trading 5-10%
- position trading 3-5%
Stock Trading
- short trading 50-100%
- swing trading 10-15%
- position trading 5-10%
Maybe you think I'm wrong and some markets and trading styles can give much more profit. Well, it can be like this. I just share my personal idea which is based on the information and knowledge I have. Also, I took into consideration that the market conditions can be too important for crypto traders and for investors in Stock and Forex markets. I tried to calculate an average value based on different market conditions.
I think the numbers are reachable for any trader. Of course for those who spent their time and effort on building the solid basis of knowledge and who gained the right experience. If you are a lazy trader, who searches for premium trading service only and who doesn't respect the power of knowledge, you should forget about these numbers. If you stay at the breakeven after such trading, be sure that you are a lucky man. Many novice traders blew up their accounts chasing good profit. Instead of investing money and time in improving themselves as traders, they picked the wrong way.
Don't be like the majority of traders, respect knowledge and experience and you will succeed in trading. It is just the question of time!
EURNZD 15M 3 LITTLE MOUNTAIN 3 LITTLE RIVER STRATEGYThree Little Mountains Rivers Trading Strategy
Again, this strategy doesn’t require any professional trading indicators.
The Three Little Mountains Rivers trading strategy is a pure price action trading strategy that has the potential to reward us instantly. The rules for this setup are pretty simple (sell signals):
First, you need three consecutive symmetrical peaks (swing highs).
The time that passes between the development of each swing high is more or less the same.
Enter a short position once the market turns below the 20% range of the second peak.
Place your protective stop loss above the newly formed swing high.
* It is required that at the top of the last high or low, a candlestick reversal pattern is formed. Whether it's a Hammer , a Hanged man, a Morning or Evening Star , Bullish or Bearish Engulfing , or another pattern.
Basically, we’re trying to anticipate when the third swing high will get formed. If we wait too long, our profit margins will shrink. Read more about swing trading in forex here.
Note* this chart pattern works on the daily chart as much as it works on the lower time frame. We like to trade the Three Little Indians trading strategy on the 5-minute chart.
EURNZD 15M 3 LITTLE INDIAN REVERSAL STRATEGYThree Little Indians Trading Strategy
Again, this strategy doesn’t require any professional trading indicators.
The Three Little Indians trading strategy is a pure price action trading strategy that has the potential to reward us instantly. The rules for this setup are pretty simple (sell signals):
First, you need three consecutive symmetrical peaks (swing highs).
The time that passes between the development of each swing high is more or less the same.
Enter a short position once the market turns below the 20% range of the second peak.
Place your protective stop loss above the newly formed swing high.
* It is required that at the top of the last high or low, a candlestick reversal pattern is formed. Whether it's a Hammer, a Hanged man, a Morning or Evening Star, Bullish or Bearish Engulfing, or another pattern.
Basically, we’re trying to anticipate when the third swing high will get formed. If we wait too long, our profit margins will shrink. Read more about swing trading in forex here.
Note* this chart pattern works on the daily chart as much as it works on the lower time frame. We like to trade the Three Little Indians trading strategy on the 5-minute chart.
TRADING 800 SMAHere is a story about the 800 SMA . When you begin your trading session look at each pair you are going to be trading on the 4 H chart. See if any pairs are stuck on the 800 sma . They probably won't move far for 25 bars. Avoid. What ever short time frame you trade from and what ever pairs you trade, make a list of pairs that have been away from the 800 sma for 24 hours or more. Also add to the list any pairs that have been stuck around the 800 sma for 25 BARS and are ready to break away. This helps find what pairs you want to focus on during the day with the rest of your trading strategy.
On my chart you will see price come down to the 800 sma 3 different times. If price hesitates by the 800 for several bars then it may get stuck there for 25 bars. If price bounces away from the 800 sma when it comes down to it then price is still in motion and can set up some trading opportunities for your strategies.
We have many different strategies to learn on our blog and we are constantly coming out with new strategies for traders to learn every week.
Trade Planning - How to Trade PlanThis video explains how to effectively trade plan to limit your risk and to maximize your gains. When it comes to Risk Management and Trade Planning, it's important to maintain a clear mind about the possibility of the asset your assessing going in either bullish or bearish direction.
Furthermore, this video explains some ideas on how and where to place stop losses based upon entry confirmations and provides insights about position managing your trades as they develop into a winner.
I hope you find this video informative and hope you use this video to your best advantage with your day-to-day trading activities.
Thanks for watching. Always remember to trade safe - trade well.
Regards,
Michael Harding
RISK DISCLAIMER
Information and opinions contained with this video are for educational purposes only and do not constitute trading recommendations. Trading Forex on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
EURCAD 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
EURUSD 15M 9 EMA 30 WMA TRADING STRATEGY LONG TRADEThese are the rules for a long trade signal using the 9 ema 30 wma trading strategy:
9-period EMA must be above the 30-periods WMA .
The two moving averages need to be apart from each other.
The first bar that closes below the 9-EMA will be used as the trigger bar for the buy setup.
Place a buy limit order above the high of the trigger bar.
Note* the bar that closes below the 9-EMA needs to remain above the 30-WMA for this setup to be valid.
(Opposite for short trade)
What is the 9/30 Trading Setup
Originally, the 9/30 trading setup was developed by Mike Burns and involves using a combination of two moving averages:
9-period Exponential Moving Average ( EMA )
30-periods Weighted Moving Average ( WMA )
In this case, the 9-EMA is our short-term moving average, while the 30-EMA is out long-term moving average. The 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy seeks to take advantage of the blank space created between the two moving averages.
The filter for the 9/30 trading setup can be summarized into a three-step process.
Like with many trading strategies we present, you can always use different “flavors” to get into a trade. So, you can also use chart patterns to fine-tune your entry.
How to Trade with the 9/30 EMA Strategy
In this section, we’re going to teach you how to effectively trade with the 9/30 EMA strategy.
No matter how simple this trading strategy is, you need to have a set of trading rules before you use it.
So, let’s talk about the stop loss and take profit strategy.For the stop-loss strategy, you can use the trigger bar high/low for reference.
For example, if you have a buy trade signal, you hide your protective stop loss below the low of the trigger bar. Alternatively, for a more conservative approach, you can hide your protective stop loss below the 30-periods WMA .
Here is a little bit of trading wisdom from hedge fund billionaire Bruce Kovner:
“Place your stops at a point that, if reached, will reasonably indicate that the trade is wrong, not at a point determined primarily by the maximum dollar amount you are willing to lose.”
Please note that the lower the time frame used the more price whipsaws you’re going to experience.
As a trading trick to avoid being caught in a whipsaw trade, make sure you add an extra buffer to your stop loss. This buffer will allow your stop loss to survive during false breakouts.
Moving on…
It’s easy to exit these types of trades via a trailing stop loss below the 30 WMA .
This exit moving average strategy has two benefits:
You don’t have to guess a possible take profit level.
You got to keep riding the trend until a reversal happens.
When to use the 9/30 Trading Method
The 9/30 trading method is a type of trend following strategy that seeks to enter the trade on pullbacks.
In this regard, the best time to use the 9/30 trading strategy is when we have established a trend.
The trend can be defined via the two moving averages as follows:
The bullish trend is defined when the 9 EMA is above the 30 WMA
The bearish trend is defined when the 9 EMA is below the 30 WMA
The strength of the trend can also be measured via the space created between the two moving averages and the angle of the moving averages.
The bigger the gap between the 9 EMA and 30 WMA and the steeper the angle of the 2 moving average is, the stronger the trend is. Conversely, the flatter the two moving averages are, the weaker the trend is.
In and of itself the “trigger bar” used to enter our trades doesn’t give us a trading edge.
The edge comes from trading in the direction of the prevailing trend.
After you have a moving average crossover and a strong trend emerges from it, that’s when you want to use this strategy.
Note* Avoid using the 9/30 trading setup in flat markets.
Moving forward, we’ll teach you how to implement more advanced trading concepts along with the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy.
9 and 30 EMA Trading Strategy – Advanced Concepts
The 9 and 30 moving average strategy is a versatile trading strategy that can be used in ways you never thought possible. You can use this method for short-term trading, medium-term trading and long-term trading. It all depends on your preferred time frame.
Now, here is a powerful trading secret about the types of moving averages used in this strategy.
The combination of the exponential moving average and the weighted moving average gives us a wider spread between the two MAs. This is a key principle that makes this MA strategy work.
Now, you might wonder:
“How can we improve the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy?”
If we add a better entry filter, we can gain an extra edge.
What do we mean by this?
Instead of using a bar that closes above/below the 9-period EMA , we can wait for the entire bar to be encompassed between the 9-EMA and 30-WMA. However, the downside to this trading approach is that you will get fewer trading setups.
Often times this type of trading setup can lead to explosive trades that never look back.
What are other ways to use the 9/30 trading setup?
As we explained earlier the edge of this pattern relays on the resumption of the trend.
So, what’s the simplest way to measure the trend direction?
A series of higher high followed by a series of higher lows defines an uptrend. In reverse, a series of lower highs followed by a series of lower lows define a downtrend.
So, we want to look for ways to capture these types of price structures. To do this we’re going to introduce the concept of multi-timeframe analysis.
Note* the advanced 9/30 trading setup works best in conjunction with the daily chart .
To better time our entries, we’re going to a combination of two-time frames as follows:
The daily chart to spot the trigger candle that closes above/below the 9 EMA
Downgrade the TF to 15-minutes (or 5 minutes) and look for uptrend and downtrend price structures
If you haven’t realized…
Here is the main reason why we use this approach:
We know that the daily range can be quite high. So, instead of using the high of the daily candle to trigger our entry we downgrade our chart and seek on lower time frames early signs of upward/downward price structures.
Secondly, this trading approach also reduces the stop loss needed for the daily candle.
Based on the 9/30 trading strategy we need to wait for the daily candle low to be tagged to trigger an entry. However, whit this new advanced concept we can enter the market early and capture more pips.
When we downgrade to the 5-minute chart, we can notice the pattern of lower highs and lower lows signalling the start of a downtrend.
Keeping in mind the chart setup found on the daily time frame, we can make a trade on the 5-minute chart when price breaks and forms a new lower low. When the price makes a new lower low after at least two lower highs it develops the price structure of a downtrend.
This makes an excellent entry method for the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy.
Final Words – 9/30 Trading Strategy
In summary, the 9/30 trading setup is a very effective trading strategy to be used across all markets and time frames. Keep in mind that the power of the 9/30 trading strategy comes from having a prior upwards (downwards) trend. Traders should use this method as a pullback trading strategy rather than try to find reversals.
The key takeaways from the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy can be summarized below:
You have the momentum power of the prevailing trend on your side
You only need to focus on the gap between the two moving averages
Offers you effective ways to manage your risk
Built-in trailing stop
Versatility to be used in conjunction with other trading methods
Last but not least, make sure you use effective money management strategies and position size to protect your capital. After all, your number one priority as a trader is to protect your account balance at all cost.
EURUSD 1H VOLUME TRADING STRATEGY LONG TRADEVolume Trading Strategy
This volume trading strategy uses two very powerful techniques that you won’t see written anywhere else. These are trade secrets that we’ve only been taught to professional traders.
The Chaikin indicator will dramatically improve your timing and teach you how to trade defensively. Having a good defense when trading is absolutely critical to keep the profits that you’ve earned.
In this article, we’re going to look at the buy side.
The Importance of Buying Volume and Selling Volume
Volume trading requires you to pay careful attention to the forces of supply in demand.
Volume traders will look for instances of increased buying or selling orders. They also pay attention to current price trends and potential price movements.
Generally, increased trading volume will lean heavily towards buy orders. These positive volume trends will prompt traders to open a new position.
On the other hand, if the cash flow and trading volumes decrease– we see a “bearish divergence”, meaning that it will likely be an appropriate time to sell.
You also need to pay attention to the relative volume—regardless of the raw number of transactions occurring in a trading period. Ask yourself how is the prospective asset performing relative to what was expected?
By learning how to use the Chaikin money flow and other relevant indicators, you will easily be able to identify whether the buyer or the seller is currently “in control.”
With practice, volume trading strategies can yield wins for your portfolio 77% of the time!
Step #1: Chaikin Volume Indicator must shoot up in a straight line from below zero (minimum -0.15) to above the zero line (minimum +0.15).
When the Volume goes from negative to positive in a strong fashion way it has the potential to signal strong institutional buying power. That’s our base heavy lifting signal!
Basically, we let the market to reveal its intentions.
When big money steps into the market, they leave a mark as their orders are so big that it’s impossible to hide. When the volume indicator Forex goes straight from below zero to above the zero line and beyond, it shows accumulation by smart money.
We’re a firm believer that you get the maximum bang for your buck when you trade side by side with smart money. Chances are that institutions have more money and more resources at their disposal. Odds can be stacked against you, so if you want to change that, just follow the smart money.
There is one more condition that needs to be satisfied to confirm a trade entry.
Step #2: Wait for the Volume Indicator Forex to slowly pullback below the zero line. The price needs to remain above the previous swing low.
Once we spotted the elephant in the room, aka the institutional players, we start to look for the first sign of market weakness. Here is how to identify the right swing to boost your profit.
We’re going to let the Chaikin Money Flow indicator slowly drop below the zero line. The keyword here is “slowly”. We don’t want to see the volume dropping fast because this will invalidate the accumulation noted previously.
Second, as the volume decreases and drops below the zero, we want to make sure the price remains above the previous swing glow. This will confirm the smart money accumulation.
The Volume strategy satisfies all the required trading conditions, which means that we can move forward and outline what is the trigger condition for our entry strategy.
Step #3: Buy once the Chaikin Forex indicator breaks back above the zero line. Wait for the candle to close before pulling the trigger.
Now that we have observed real institutional money coming into the market, we wait for them to step back in and drive the market back up.
When the Chaikin indicator breaks back above zero, it signals an imminent rally as the smart money is trying to markup the price again.
We would need to wait for the candle close to confirm the Chaikin break above the zero line. Once everything aligns, we’re free to open our long position.
*Note: The trigger candle needs to have the closing price in the upper 25%.
This brings us to the next important step. We need to establish the Chaikin trading strategy which is finding where to place our protective stop loss.
Step #4: Hide your protective Stop Loss under the previous pullback’s low
Using a stop loss is crucial if you want to have an idea of how much you’re about to lose on your trade. Never underestimate the power of placing a stop loss as it can be lifesaving.
Simply hide your protective stop loss under the previous pullback’s low. Never use a mental stop loss, and always commit an SL right at the moment you open your trades.
Trading with a tight stop loss can give you the opportunity to not just have a better risk to reward ratio, but also to trade a bigger lot size.
Step #5: Take profit when the Chaikin Volume drops below -0.15
Once the Chaikin volume drops back below -0.15, it indicates that the sellers are stepping in and we want to take profits. We don’t want to risk giving back some of the profits gained so we liquidate our position at the first sign of the smart money stepping in on the other side of the market.
We always can get back into the market later if the smart money buyers show up again.
**Note: The above was an example of a BUY trade using the best volume indicator. Use the same rules for a SELL trade – but in reverse.
Conclusion – Best Volume Indicator
The Volume Trading Strategy will continue to work in the future because it’s based on how the markets move up and down. Any market moves from an accumulation (distribution) or base to a breakout and so forth. This is how the markets have been moving for over 100 years.
Smart money always seeks to mask their trading activities, but their footprints are still visible. We can read those marks by using the proper tools.
Make sure you follow this step-by-step guide to properly read the Forex volume. The Chaikin indicator will add additional value to your trading because you now have a window into the volume activity the same way you have when you trade stocks.
Volume Indicator Forex
In the Forex market, we don’t have a centralized exchange of total volume because we’re trading over the counter. If we look at any trading platform like TradingView, they have a volume attached to their chart. But, since we don’t have a centralized exchange that volume is coming from the feed that TradingView uses. Each retail Forex broker will have their own aggregate trading volume.
We can see that the volume in the Forex market is segmented, which is the reason why we need to use our best volume indicator.
The Volume indicator Forex used to read a volume in the Forex market is the Chaikin Money Flow indicator (CMF).
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator was developed by trading guru Marc Chaikin, who was coached by the most successful institutional investors in the world.
The reason Chaikin Money Flow is the best volume and classical volume indicator is that it measures institutional accumulation-distribution.
Typically on a rally, the Chaikin volume indicator should be above the zero line. Conversely, on sell-offs, the Chaikin volume indicator should be below the zero line.
Moving Averages - Effective Settings for Day TradersHello Traders,
In today's lecture I'm explaining how to use Moving Averages effectively on smaller (1hour) time-frames. Moving Averages can be applied to all assets including Forex, Stocks, Crytpos, etc..
Please note that Moving Averages are a lagging indicator which means they print on screen after price action has moved. They by no means are a leading indicator. Your most leading indicator will either be price-action itself or correlating assets.
If anyone has any questions about Moving Averages, feel free to leave your comments in the comment section below.
Trade Safe - Trade Well
~Michael Harding
Position Management Strategies for Pro TradersHello Traders,
In today's lecture I'll introduce you to several position management strategies that the pros use on a daily basis for Intra-day trading. This technique can be applied for all assets including stocks, cryptos, etc..
If anyone has any questions, feel free to drop me a comment in the comment section below.
Enjoy!
Trade Safe - Trade Well
~Michael Harding
EURAUD 15M 9/30 TRADING STRATEGY LONG TRADEThese are the rules for a long trade signal:
9-period EMA must be above the 30-periods WMA.
The two moving averages need to be apart from each other.
The first bar that closes below the 9-EMA will be used as the trigger bar for the buy setup.
Place a buy limit order above the high of the trigger bar.
Note* the bar that closes below the 9-EMA needs to remain above the 30-WMA for this setup to be valid.
(Opposite for short trade)
What is the 9/30 Trading Setup
Originally, the 9/30 trading setup was developed by Mike Burns and involves using a combination of two moving averages:
9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
30-periods Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
In this case, the 9-EMA is our short-term moving average, while the 30-EMA is out long-term moving average. The 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy seeks to take advantage of the blank space created between the two moving averages.
The filter for the 9/30 trading setup can be summarized into a three-step process.
Like with many trading strategies we present, you can always use different “flavors” to get into a trade. So, you can also use chart patterns to fine-tune your entry.
How to Trade with the 9/30 EMA Strategy
In this section, we’re going to teach you how to effectively trade with the 9/30 EMA strategy.
No matter how simple this trading strategy is, you need to have a set of trading rules before you use it.
So, let’s talk about the stop loss and take profit strategy.For the stop-loss strategy, you can use the trigger bar high/low for reference.
For example, if you have a buy trade signal, you hide your protective stop loss below the low of the trigger bar. Alternatively, for a more conservative approach, you can hide your protective stop loss below the 30-periods WMA.
Here is a little bit of trading wisdom from hedge fund billionaire Bruce Kovner:
“Place your stops at a point that, if reached, will reasonably indicate that the trade is wrong, not at a point determined primarily by the maximum dollar amount you are willing to lose.”
Please note that the lower the time frame used the more price whipsaws you’re going to experience.
As a trading trick to avoid being caught in a whipsaw trade, make sure you add an extra buffer to your stop loss. This buffer will allow your stop loss to survive during false breakouts.
Moving on…
It’s easy to exit these types of trades via a trailing stop loss below the 30 WMA.
This exit moving average strategy has two benefits:
You don’t have to guess a possible take profit level.
You got to keep riding the trend until a reversal happens.
When to use the 9/30 Trading Method
The 9/30 trading method is a type of trend following strategy that seeks to enter the trade on pullbacks.
In this regard, the best time to use the 9/30 trading strategy is when we have established a trend.
The trend can be defined via the two moving averages as follows:
The bullish trend is defined when the 9 EMA is above the 30 WMA
The bearish trend is defined when the 9 EMA is below the 30 WMA
The strength of the trend can also be measured via the space created between the two moving averages and the angle of the moving averages.
The bigger the gap between the 9 EMA and 30 WMA and the steeper the angle of the 2 moving average is, the stronger the trend is. Conversely, the flatter the two moving averages are, the weaker the trend is.
In and of itself the “trigger bar” used to enter our trades doesn’t give us a trading edge.
The edge comes from trading in the direction of the prevailing trend.
After you have a moving average crossover and a strong trend emerges from it, that’s when you want to use this strategy.
Note* Avoid using the 9/30 trading setup in flat markets.
Moving forward, we’ll teach you how to implement more advanced trading concepts along with the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy.
9 and 30 EMA Trading Strategy – Advanced Concepts
The 9 and 30 moving average strategy is a versatile trading strategy that can be used in ways you never thought possible. You can use this method for short-term trading, medium-term trading and long-term trading. It all depends on your preferred time frame.
Now, here is a powerful trading secret about the types of moving averages used in this strategy.
The combination of the exponential moving average and the weighted moving average gives us a wider spread between the two MAs. This is a key principle that makes this MA strategy work.
Now, you might wonder:
“How can we improve the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy?”
If we add a better entry filter, we can gain an extra edge.
What do we mean by this?
Instead of using a bar that closes above/below the 9-period EMA, we can wait for the entire bar to be encompassed between the 9-EMA and 30-WMA. However, the downside to this trading approach is that you will get fewer trading setups.
Often times this type of trading setup can lead to explosive trades that never look back.
What are other ways to use the 9/30 trading setup?
As we explained earlier the edge of this pattern relays on the resumption of the trend.
So, what’s the simplest way to measure the trend direction?
A series of higher high followed by a series of higher lows defines an uptrend. In reverse, a series of lower highs followed by a series of lower lows define a downtrend.
So, we want to look for ways to capture these types of price structures. To do this we’re going to introduce the concept of multi-timeframe analysis.
Note* the advanced 9/30 trading setup works best in conjunction with the daily chart.
To better time our entries, we’re going to a combination of two-time frames as follows:
The daily chart to spot the trigger candle that closes above/below the 9 EMA
Downgrade the TF to 15-minutes (or 5 minutes) and look for uptrend and downtrend price structures
If you haven’t realized…
Here is the main reason why we use this approach:
We know that the daily range can be quite high. So, instead of using the high of the daily candle to trigger our entry we downgrade our chart and seek on lower time frames early signs of upward/downward price structures.
Secondly, this trading approach also reduces the stop loss needed for the daily candle.
Based on the 9/30 trading strategy we need to wait for the daily candle low to be tagged to trigger an entry. However, whit this new advanced concept we can enter the market early and capture more pips.
When we downgrade to the 5-minute chart, we can notice the pattern of lower highs and lower lows signalling the start of a downtrend.
Keeping in mind the chart setup found on the daily time frame, we can make a trade on the 5-minute chart when price breaks and forms a new lower low. When the price makes a new lower low after at least two lower highs it develops the price structure of a downtrend.
This makes an excellent entry method for the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy.
Final Words – 9/30 Trading Strategy
In summary, the 9/30 trading setup is a very effective trading strategy to be used across all markets and time frames. Keep in mind that the power of the 9/30 trading strategy comes from having a prior upwards (downwards) trend. Traders should use this method as a pullback trading strategy rather than try to find reversals.
The key takeaways from the 9 and 30 EMA trading strategy can be summarized below:
You have the momentum power of the prevailing trend on your side
You only need to focus on the gap between the two moving averages
Offers you effective ways to manage your risk
Built-in trailing stop
Versatility to be used in conjunction with other trading methods
Last but not least, make sure you use effective money management strategies and position size to protect your capital. After all, your number one priority as a trader is to protect your account balance at all cost.
Forex Price Action AnalysisHere we have Really good Setup and price also holding Very well
1) we have very big Wick (shadow) Candle this is the alert time in any trade.
2) we have doji which is for reversal (not all the time) but Volume is good
3) we made bullish candle and bouncing from Support support is Solid.
so when we find the good Support we are ready to buy the retest as always so here we are buying the retest with stop loss below Support
so here we got really decent profit with very small stop loss. and good gain
EURUSD 1H RENKO CHART STRATEGY #2The second simple Renko Trading Strategy system is an indicator based strategy that uses price-momentum divergence to identify trend reversals.
Renko Trading Strategy #2
For this Renko trading strategy, we only need to use the RSI indicator. We can use a 14- period or a 20-period RSI indicator. So, use the same period as the ATR 14 or 20 Renko brick size.
After we spot the momentum divergence an entry signal is triggered once we get a reversal. On the Renko chart, a trend reversal is set in motion once the brick changes color. In this case, when we spot a bearish divergence, enter a short position after the brick turns red.
For bullish divergence, wait for the brick to turn green.
We exit our profitable trade once another reversal pattern is formed in the opposite direction of our trade. As a method to protect our account balance and not lose too much, you can place your SL above and below the swing point developed after your entry.
A lot of the noise inherent in regular time-based charts are eradicated. So, if you trade with Renko charts, spotting divergence and trend reversals are a lot easier. The RSI is the best indicator to use with Renko.
Read the previous Renko Chart post to learn about Renko chart system.
EURUSD 4H PIN BAR SHORT TRADE STRATEGYBasic Guidelines:
Timeframe – ANY
Market – ANY
Indicators – NONE
OTHER – Trend lines, horizontal lines, support resistance lines (anything to help you find these areas).
Step 1: Find a Pin Bar On Your Chart.
*Note This is a stock price action strategy, and a forex price action strategy. I will use a currency pair as an example. Price action charts are with any market and timeframe.
First, identify a pin bar that has formed. In the example, this is considered a bearish pin bar because of the long wick above the body.
As you can see, the pin bar “wick” is above the body, which is considered a bearish pin bar.
In this case, we are looking for a downtrend bounce of the top of the range. This is a 4 hour time chart EURUSD
currency pair.
You can see the Bears tried their hardest to stop this uptrend from occurring. The Bears were too strong, which is why you see the pin bar form.
This is a perfect example of a pin bar price action reversal setup.
Step 2: Look for Past Price Action to Determine Why The Pin Bar Formed.
Why did the reversal suddenly hit a price, and then continue to the downside?
We can see price has been in a range pattern for quite some time.
Note** you can either look at the current time frame you are on, in this case, a 4-hour time period. Or you can bump up or down one or two periods to gather information.
Resistance in the past can mean support in the future. What happened is the price hit this level but failed to break through it.
Since the long bullish wick formed, we decide it is time to enter this trade based on what we learned from the prior days.
This is what Price Action is all about. No two trades are the same. However, we can take what we’ve learned from the past. Then make the best judgment as to where the price is going in the future.
You are essentially like a detective when you trade price action. The point is to gather many pieces of evidence to back up your conclusion. You are trading with confluence. Sometimes simple is best. Study the charts and form an educated conclusion as to where the price will go.
Step 3: Trade entry
You just enter the trade 2-3 pips from the break of the nose of the pin bar.
Step 4: Stop loss
Place the stop loss 3-5 pips away from the wick. The end of the wick will be a support area. So if this is broken the trend may continue downward. Which is why you place your stop 3-5 pips away from this.
Step 5: Exit Strategy
Your exit strategy is when you hit the first level of support or resistance on your chart. As you can see, the price hit a point then stalled out. Once we see the price action stalling out, we exit the trade immediately.
Conclusion – Price Action Pin Bar Strategy
Price action is another fundamental element to learn when trading the market. There are thousands of strategies you can use with price action. It is important to find something that works for you.
These pin bars are hard to miss. They are relatively accurate when you learn why a pin bar formed. Pin bar candles are shown in any time frame. The rule of thumb is, the higher the time frame, the stronger the signals. But that does not mean that this will not work on a five-minute time frame.
Do not trade every pin bar you see that forms. Gather up key information from the charts. Then form the best conclusion to determine if you should enter the trade based on the rules.
USDCHF 4H DOUBLE TOPStep #1: Identify the Phase of the Market. The Double Top reversal needs a uptrend.
Just because you can spot the reversal it doesn’t mean you have to jump in willy-nilly. Remember, we need the right context and everything needs to line up for a trade-able setup.
So, the first step is to identify the phase or market condition. At any given moment the market can be trading either up, or down, or it can go sideways.
Establishing the phase of the market aka identifying the trend is probably the biggest ingredient that can determine the success rate of double bottom pattern technical analysis.
Step #2: The historical precedent. An A++ Double Top Reversal is composed of 2 Rounded Tops
The second step of the Double Top is to find what we call the historical precedent or a chart pattern.
We don’t want to make a trading decision without price confirmation, and in our case, we use the reversal pattern. You need to identify two rounded tops in order for the pattern to be considered trade-able.
But, what is a rounded top?
In technical analysis, a rounded top is simply a price formation that typically occurs after an uptrend, prices move upwards and then quickly rallies creating a rounded top.
Now, of course, that depending on the structure the rounded top will vary in size and magnitude. But the idea is that we need a quick move up followed by a quick move down to define a rounded top
Note* A valid double top reversal has two rounded tops.
Step #3: Allow a maximum of 10 pips variation between the two tops.
Don’t seek perfection, because in trading you need to get rid of your idealistic mindset as the pattern will not look perfect all the time, so be flexible.
This is the reason why we need to allow a maximum of 10 pips variation between the two tops.
The probability of two tops happening at the same exact price level is almost impossible.
Now, we to determine an entry technique for our chart pattern strategy.
Step #4: Sell when Double Top breakout candle closes below the neckline.
After we identify the phase of the market and the characteristics of a good reversal we need to wait for confirmation that momentum is shifting.
The breakout candle is our signal that the momentum has shifted and it’s what it confirms and validates the double top pattern.
You’ll see the double top breakdown happen over and over again, but it’s important to analyze them within the context of the market trend.
The next logical thing we need to establish for the strategy is where to take profits.
Step #5: Take Profit at the same price distance as measured from the highest peak to the Neckline
The minimum profit target for this type of trade is approximately equal to the same price distance as measured from the double top to the neckline.
If we project the same price distance to the downside we obtain our first take-profit zone for the strategy.
The double top pattern can produce a major reversal so we advise you to be very flexible with your profit target not to miss any big profit opportunity.
Step #6: Place the protective stop-loss slightly above the resistance created by the Double Top reversal
The Double Top chart pattern strategy gives you a simple way to quantify risk because you can place your protective stop-loss slightly above the double top pattern.
The double top pattern really gives you the opportunity to also trade with a tight stop loss, which is great as we always want to keep losses at a minimum.
Note*** The above was an example of a SELL trade… Use the same rules – but in reverse – for a BUY trade, but this time we’re going to use the double bottom pattern.
Conclusion
There is no other chart pattern that illustrates the trend reversal. However, despite the high success rate you still need to use a protective stop loss and to wait for the breakout when trading with the double top chart pattern strategy. You can also trade with the breakout triangle strategy.
The bottom line is that you still need a plan to successfully trade the double top breakout. Our double top chart pattern strategy should answer all your questions in regard to how to make money with this simple pattern.
QUESTION - WHAT ARE THE BEST FOREX TRADING STRATEGIES?2ND ICHIMOKU TREND FOLLOWING TRADING STRATEGY
ICHIMOKU SETTING CHANGES
Kijun Sen Blue line to Red Line
Tenkan Sen Red line to Blue Line
This will match Ichimoku settings for MT4 & 5
Step One: Using Ichimoku Indicator to Find the Uptrend or Downtrend
Since this is a trend following strategy the first thing that needs to be identified is a trend. Do this on the one day, or four-hour time frame. These time frames will give you the best opportunity to identify a trend.
In our example trade, we see a downward trend with an upper trendline of resistance.
Drawing trend lines is one of the simplest ways to find a trend. Draw the trend line where there is support or resistance. Our example trade has three different levels of resistance to confirm this downtrend.
This trading strategy will always go in the direction of the trend. So an uptrend will ALWAYS be a BUY. A downtrend will ALWAYS be a SELL. This strategy uses all of these tools to identify if a trend will keep going and gets you into the uptrend or downtrend.
Step Two: Ichimoku Trading System The Tenkan Sen/ Kijun Sen Lines Cross
This next step using the Trend Following Trading Strategy, I will explain what criteria are needed for a trade entry.
Just to keep you on track, on the Tenkan Sen lines are Blue, Kijun Sen lines are Red. This crossing signal is going to tell you whether there is a strong bullish trend or a bearish trend.
When the Tenkan Sen line will cross below the Kijun Sen line, then this will give you an indication that there is a bearish trend.
You can see in our example trade the lines clearly cross which is our indication that this bearish downtrend is strong.
These lines are designed to do that very thing when they cross each other.
After the cross happened the Red line (Kijun) is now above the Blue line (Tenkan). That means that the trend is going to keep heading downwards. This is not an indication that the trend is breaking.
This was used on a four-hour chart. This chart is the best time frame to use because it gives you a good overall picture of how the last few days have gone as far as it trending.
In this timeframe, The lines need to cross either in the Kumo, which in the picture above is the orange area, or right below the cloud in this example. This was a sell signal because the trend was bearish while the Tenkan Sen line crossed below the Kijun Sen line in the senkou span area (Kumo).
Note* If the lines cross above the Kumo area in a downtrend, do not buy/sell. The opposite can also be applied to a downtrend. If the lines cross above the Kumo area in a downtrend, do not sell/buy. The reason for this is because this would be a weak signal that the trend will keep going up or down. The trade must always be made to go in the direction of the trend.
Recapping our rules using the Trend Following Trading Strategy, these three things must happen in order to enter a trade using the Ichimoku Indicator.
Identify the trend. This needs to be an upward or downward trend. The trade must go the direction of the trend.
Tenkan Sen line needs to cross Kijun Sen line.
When the two lines cross, they need to cross in one of these two specific areas. The first place would be in the Kumo area. The second will depend if its an upward or downward trend. In an upward trend, they need to cross above the Kumo area. During a downward trend, they need to cross below the Kumo area.
Note* This strategy is a trend following strategy. It is to help you identify a trend and identify that the trend will keep going either upward or downward.
Step 3: Determining an entry point Trend Following Trading Strategy
Determining an entry point should be very easy to do now. This is because once the Tenkan sen line crossed with the Kijun sen line either in the Kumo or just above or below on the four-hour time frame.
You can use the four-hour chart to enter and exit. Or you can drop down to a 1-hour chart for entry and exit.
I used the 4H to enter and exit on this example trade. But here is how to use a 1-hour chart for both.
Now, simply drop down to a one-hour time frame chart and enter the trade. You may check other time frames, but there really is no need since you have already followed the rules to enter the trade on the four-hour time frame. This is just to give you a better perspective on where you are entering.
Step 4: Stop Loss point
Stop loss is always important to have in case the trade goes in the wrong direction and you are now stuck in a pickle whether to end the trade early or end it too late and lose it all!
So we need a stop loss to help us out. Do this on the four hour time chart to see when the last areas of support or resistance were.
There need to be two or more points of resistance or support. In the example below, you see that there were support levels. So in this example, it will go just below them.
Step five: Exit Strategy
The exit strategy using the Trend Following Trading Strategy will wait until and trend starts moving the wrong direction and the lines cross again. I used the 4-hour chart to exit my trade. It is recommended to monitor this on the one-hour time frame to get the most accurate reading for this particular strategy.
The reason for this is that the trend is most likely coming to an end.
The trend can come back up, but once the lines cross over again it is time to exit the trade.
As you can see in the example the trend was slowly going back down. In the rules of this strategy, you will exit the trade if the lines cross over again.
So a trade may be 2 hours, 10 hours, 3 days or even a week! It depends on what the chart tells you and if it continues to follow the rules of the strategy.
Conclusion
The Trend Following Trading Strategy only uses this one indicator. That makes you focus on this indicator and does not make you have to keep checking others to see what they are telling you.
It may seem complicated at first with all of the different colored lines, clouds, and so on, however, when you break it down with this simple strategy, it makes it so much easier to understand.
Make sure you remember to only be risking no more than 2% of your account! No matter how confident you are, you should always follow this to maximize your account.
Thank you for reading the Trend Following Trading Strategy that uses the Ichimoku Indicator to help you gain a massive amount of pips at a time!