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Trading Psychology: How Does Your Mind Matter In Making Money?Trading Psychology: Mastering Your Emotions for Success The renowned book on trading psychology, Tradingpsychologie, aptly states: “The greatest enemy of the trader is fear. He who is afraid loses.” This succinctly encapsulates the importance of managing emotions in trading. As a trader, you’ve likely experienced emotions such as fear, greed, regret, hope, overconfidence, doubt, and nervousness. While every trader faces these emotional challenges, successful traders understand that letting emotions dictate their decisions is a recipe for failure. The essence of trading psychology lies in controlling your emotions to make sound investment decisions. In this article, we’ll delve into the concept of trading psychology and provide practical tips to help you trade with confidence. What is Trading Psychology? Trading psychology refers to a trader’s emotional and mental state, which influences their trading actions. Emotions like hope and confidence can be beneficial, but those like fear and greed must be managed. A common emotional challenge in financial markets is the fear of missing out, or FOMO. To become a successful trader, it’s crucial to cultivate a sharp mindset, coupled with knowledge and experience. Let’s explore the key psychological factors that impact a trader’s mindset and pro-tips to manage them effectively. Key Psychological Factors in Trading 1. Fear Fear arises when something valuable is at risk. In trading, risks may include: Negative news about a stock or the market A trade going in the wrong direction The potential loss of capital Fear often leads traders to overreact and prematurely liquidate their holdings. A strong trading psychology means not letting fear dictate your buy/sell strategy. What should you do? Identify the root cause of your fear and address it in advance. Reflect on these issues so that when fear arises, you can address it logically. Focus on not letting the fear of loss hinder potential profits. 2. Greed Greed emerges when you seek excessive profits. Remember, Rome wasn’t built in a day, and neither will your trading fortune. A winning streak can quickly turn into a disaster if greed takes over. What should you do? Combat greed by setting predefined profit-taking levels. Before entering a trade, establish your stop-loss and profit-booking levels to avoid impulsive decisions. A sound trading psychology involves being satisfied with reasonable profits and avoiding the pursuit of irrational gains. 3. Regret Regret manifests in two ways: Regretting a trade that didn’t succeed Regretting not taking a trade that could have succeeded Trading based on regret can lead to poor decision-making. What should you do? Accept that you can’t capture every market opportunity. The trading equation is simple: you win some, you lose some. Embracing this mindset will help you develop a healthier trading psychology. 4. Hope Many traders equate trading with gambling, hoping to win all the time. When they don’t, they feel dejected. What should you do? To succeed, cultivate a trading psychology that doesn’t rely on hope. Don’t let hope keep you invested in a losing trade. Be practical and book losses at the right time to protect your capital. How to Improve Your Trading Psychology 1. Get Yourself in the Right Mindset Before starting your trading day, remind yourself that markets are inherently volatile. Good days and bad days are inevitable, but the bad days will pass. Take time to build a robust trading strategy unaffected by market sentiment. 2. Build a Solid Knowledge Base Improving your trading psychology begins with increasing your market knowledge. A strong knowledge base empowers you to overcome negative emotions and make informed decisions. Remember, knowledge is power. 3. Recognize the Reality of Real Money It’s easy to forget that the numbers on your screen represent real money. While it’s natural to take risks in hopes of generating returns, always approach trading with caution and make well-thought-out decisions. 4. Learn from Successful Traders The stock market treats every trader differently. Observe the habits of successful traders not to replicate them, but to glean insights. Incorporating some of their strategies into your trading approach can significantly enhance your performance. 5. Practice, Practice, Practice The most reliable way to strengthen your trading psychology is through practice. Consistent practice helps you build effective strategies and prepares you for market ups and downs. Final Thoughts Developing a robust trading psychology takes time and consistent effort. Continuously refine your approach to manage your emotions and improve your decision-making. To summarize, remember these three golden principles of trading psychology: Be disciplined. Be flexible. Never stop learning. I’d love to hear your thoughts and see your charts in the comments section. Let’s grow together as traders! Thank you for reading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
14
Example of how to trade without chart analysis Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- Since the coin market can be traded 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, gaps do not occur as often as in the stock market. (However, gaps may occur frequently in exchanges with low trading volume.) In any case, I think that these movements provide considerable usefulness in conducting transactions. Sometimes I told you to buy when the price drops by -10% or more. Today, I will tell you why. -------------------------------------- In order to trade, you must have basic knowledge of charts. Otherwise, you are likely to conduct transactions incorrectly due to volatility. However, such cases are less common in the coin market than in the stock market. One of the reasons is that the current coins (tokens) are not being used for actual business purposes. So, I think there are quite a few issues that cause volatility other than charts like stocks. - If the price falls one day and falls by about -10% from the high before a new candle is created, I buy. The next day, if it falls by about -10% from the high again, I buy again. When it falls by about -10% like this, I continue to buy in installments. That's why I need to adjust my investment ratio. - If I buy like that, there will come a point where my price rises more than the average unit price. In that case, when I'm making a profit, I sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in installments and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit. If you want cash profit, you can sell a certain portion in installments. Also, on the contrary, when it rises by about +10%, we proceed with a split sale. - As shown in the example chart, you can see that there are not many cases where it rises by -10% or +10%. However, since it occurs more often in the case of altcoins than in BTC or ETH, you should pay special attention to adjusting your investment ratio when trading altcoins. That is why you must check the price fluctuation range 1-3 hours before a new candle is created on the 1D chart. This method is a method that can be traded even if you lack knowledge about charts. If you let go of your greed a little and have the ability to split sell when you are making a profit, you will be able to meet the moment when a crisis becomes an opportunity. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Cocoa vs BTC. Introducing Cocoa Futures Commodities TradingCommodity trading has been booming in recent months and years, as everything from industrial metals to oil, precious metals to soft commodities (coffee, cocoa) is getting hotter. Last week, coffee futures traded in New York ICEUS:KC1! reached 348 cents per pound of beans, a new historical high, and frozen orange juice concentrate futures ICEUS:OJ1! exceeded the $5 mark for 1 pound, reaching also a new all-time high. The macroeconomic situation, the continuing geopolitical uncertainty, as well as the overall market volatility caused by these large movements, create a lot of new opportunities. In addition, the food and environmental crisis sweeping across the planet (a special type of environmental situation when the habitat of one of the species or populations changes in such a way that it calls into question its further existence) is creating extreme bottlenecks in supply chains everywhere, which leads to shortages on the one hand, and a corresponding increase in prices and opportunities on the other. Both private investors and professional market participants can use Commodities Cocoa Futures to expand the possibilities of investment strategies - hedging risks and profiting from price fluctuations. For market participants involved in the production and processing of cocoa, futures contracts will allow them to better protect their income from undesirable changes in exchange prices for cocoa beans. In addition, for those market participants involved in the wholesale purchase of cocoa, futures contracts allow them to better protect their margins from undesirable price fluctuations in exchange prices for cocoa beans, which lead to an increase in purchasing costs. The underlying asset of the futures is the price of cocoa beans on foreign markets. The contracts reflect the dynamics of the price of cocoa beans supplied from countries in Africa, Asia, Central and South America to any of the five delivery ports in the United States. In fundamental terms, on November 29, 2024, the International Cocoa Association (ICCO) raised its estimate of the world cocoa deficit for 2023/24 to -478,000 tonnes from -462,000 tonnes forecast in May, the largest deficit in more than 60 years. ICCO also lowered its estimate of cocoa production for 2023/24 to 4.380 million tonnes from 4.461 million tonnes in May, a -13.1% decrease from the previous year. ICCO forecasts world cocoa stocks to be 27.0% in 2023/24, a 46-year low. Cocoa prices have risen sharply over the past months due to uncertainty about future cocoa supplies. Recent heavy rains in Ivory Coast have led to reports of high mortality of cocoa buds on trees due to heavy rainfall. Unfavorable weather conditions in West Africa are pushing cocoa prices sharply higher. Heavy rains in Ivory Coast have flooded fields, increased the risk of disease, and affected the quality of the crop. Newly harvested cocoa beans from Ivory Coast are showing lower quality, with quantities of about 105 beans per 100 grams. Ivory Coast regulators allow exporters to purchase quantities of 80 to 100 beans or slightly more per 100 grams. In other words, West Africa is now exporting at its maximum productive capacity, but the deficit in world reserves remains and is growing. The arrival of seasonal harmattan winds could also worsen the situation. Declining global cocoa stocks is also a bullish factor for prices. Cocoa stocks tracked by the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) at three major US ports (Delaware River Port, Hampton Roads Port and New York Port) have been declining for the past year and a half and fell to a 20-year low of 1,430,974 bags on Friday, December 13, 2024 (down 15 percent over the past month). Another important factor for prices is the seasonal approach of the Christmas and New Year holidays, especially in the main cocoa consuming regions - the US and Europe. Cocoa prices on world markets are again returning above $ 10,000 per ton, while crypto fanatics in their manic persistence to get the last unmined bitcoin are ready to burn the planet Earth to hell and only deepen the food and environmental crisis striding across the planet. The main graph represents a comparison across BTC and Cocoa prices over past several months. So, what would you like to choose amid of recent rally in both assets - sweet cocoa or binary digits inside your computer? Or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s talk about it! Send your thoughts and questions into comment box below to discuss about Cocoa Futures Commodities Trading!
CEducation
by PandorraResearch
9
Price Gap Examples - Bitcoin FuturesSharing for educational purposes only. █ Three Types of Gaps There are three general types of gaps: Breakaway Gap Runaway (or Measuring) Gap Exhaustion Gap █ 1 — The Breakaway Gap The breakaway gap usually occurs: At the completion of an important price pattern. At the beginning of a significant market move Examples: After a market completes a major basing pattern, the breaking of resistance often involves a breakaway gap. Breaking major trendlines signaling a reversal of trend may also involve this type of gap Key Characteristics: Heavy volume often accompanies breakaway gaps. They are typically not filled (or only partially filled). In an uptrend, upside gaps act as support areas on subsequent corrections. A close below the gap is a sign of weakness. █ 2 — The Runaway or Measuring Gap The runaway gap forms: Midway through a trend (uptrend or downtrend). Indicates the market is moving effortlessly, usually on moderate volume. Key Characteristics: In an uptrend, it signals strength. In a downtrend, it signals weakness. Acts as support or resistance during subsequent corrections. Why "Measuring" Gap? It often occurs at the halfway point of a trend. By measuring the distance the trend has already traveled, the probable extent of the remaining move can be estimated by doubling the amount already achieved. █ 3 — The Exhaustion Gap The exhaustion gap appears: Near the end of a market move. Key Characteristics: Occurs after objectives have been achieved and other gap types (breakaway and runaway) have been identified. In an uptrend, prices leap forward in a final push but quickly fade. Within a couple of days or a week, prices turn lower. █ Conclusion By understanding the types of gaps and their characteristics, traders can better interpret market signals and anticipate potential trends or reversals. █ Source: Murphy, John J. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance, 1999. Chapter 4, "Price Gaps," pp. 94-98.
CME:BTC1!Education
by kingthies
1
All Stars Aligned: Bitcoin, Gold, Fiat, and DebtThis post explores the idea that Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," might one day replace gold as the preferred store of value. Gold’s price (shown in yellow) has traditionally been sensitive to inflation, which is influenced by money printing, as indicated by the US M2 money supply (shown in white on the chart). Geopolitical and economic insecurity also drives demand for gold, the "safe-haven" metal. To add further context, I've also included US debt (shown in red). The chart reveals that the market seems to have found some form of equilibrium at current levels, with gold’s price finally tracking the M2 money supply and debt parameters closely. Interestingly, Bitcoin (shown in orange) has mirrored this behavior in a similar fast-paced manner. Around the $3,000 mark for gold and near $100,000 for Bitcoin, both assets are aligning with the money supply and debt trends. This suggests that any further price increases could be limited unless additional money is printed or debt increases. Of course, a Black Swan event could disrupt this equilibrium at any time. I also used TradingView’s Correlation Coefficient tool to examine the relationship between Bitcoin and gold. The correlation is impressively high at 0.87, indicating an almost perfect alignment between the two assets. The chart supports the idea that Bitcoin is tracking gold closely, strengthening the notion that Bitcoin could indeed be positioning itself as the "digital gold" of the future. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by aibek
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles (updated)1. Halving Cycle Structure This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns. Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles 1. Halving Cycle Structure Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into: Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth. Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery. Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods. 2. Historical Price Performance Cycle 1 (2012 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 11644% Pre-Halving having: +390% Post halving +2947% 96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving. Cycle 2 (2016 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 2503% Pre Halving: +213% Post halving +703% 91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going... Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving. Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths Pre Halving: +234% so far Post halving +92% so far If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price. 3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds. Bear Market (2027–2028): Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation Trade safe Tarder Leo
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by BTM-LEO
5
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles1. Halving Cycle Structure This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns. Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles 1. Halving Cycle Structure Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into: Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth. Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery. Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods. 2. Historical Price Performance Cycle 1 (2012 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 11644% Pre-Halving having: +390% Post halving +2947% 96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving. Cycle 2 (2016 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 2503% Pre Halving: +213% Post halving +703% 91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going... Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving. Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths Pre Halving: +234% so far Post halving +92% so far If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price. 3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions Bull Market (2024–2027): Projected move: 905K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds. Bear Market (2027–2028): Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation Resistance Zones: $250K, $500K, and $905K projected peaks based on logarithmic trends. Trade safe Tarder Leo
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by BTM-LEO
2
Crypto Money Flow CycleHello, The Crypto Money Flow Cycle is a flow model that discusses the route of investments from fiat to Bitcoin, from Bitcoin to altcoins, and backward into fiat, booking profit at every step. The model theorizes that most Bitcoins in circulation aren't mined but are bought for fiat. Before every bull run, investors don't necessarily buy mining equipment but purchase Bitcoins from their fiat money. As more and more money flows from fiat into Bitcoin, Bitcoin price rallies. At this phase, Bitcoin usually pumps more than most altcoins. At the end of the phase, investors buy altcoins from their Bitcoins. They prioritize large caps like Ethereum. So, the price of large caps rallies compared to fiat and Bitcoin. Usually, these rallies outperform Bitcoin because the investors can afford to invest not only the initial fiat value but all the profits so far. That is Bitcoin's performance on fiat compounded by the large caps' performance compared to Bitcoin. Over time, investors move the value from large caps to medium caps and from medium caps to small caps, pumping the markets in this order. Since the investment in medium caps is larger with the profit than the large caps, medium caps usually pump more, and similarly, small caps pump even more when money from medium caps flows into them. To realize all the profit so far, investors can exchange small-cap altcoins back into Bitcoin, which means Bitcoin will pump once again. Then all the money so far, which is the initial fiat value compounded by the profit from each phase can return into fiat. Usually, this is when Bitcoin suffers correction and drags altcoins with itself. That's how the Crypto Money Flow Cycle usually works. It's a model, which might or might not be true. However, I can say AI could trade the estimated phases with a success rate of over 71.23%, which means there might be more to this model than luck. Regards, Ely
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Elysian_Mind
9
Getting Started with Forex Prop Trading: Intro Guide🔸Forex prop trading (short for foreign exchange proprietary trading) refers to a trading model where traders use capital provided by a proprietary trading firm to trade in the Forex (foreign exchange) market. Unlike traditional retail trading, where traders use their own funds, prop traders operate with the firm's capital, typically after passing a series of evaluations to prove their trading skills and risk management abilities. In return, the firm takes a percentage of the profits generated by the trader. 🆕 Here’s a more detailed look at how forex prop trading works and why it's appealing: 🔸 Access to Capital Prop firms offer substantial capital to skilled traders, allowing them to trade with much larger account sizes than they might be able to on their own. For example, a trader might be funded with anywhere from $10,000 to $1,000,000 or more, depending on their experience and the firm's offerings. 🔸 Evaluation Process Most prop firms require traders to pass an evaluation or assessment phase before providing access to live capital. This involves trading on a demo account and meeting specific performance metrics like profit targets, drawdown limits, and risk management rules. If the trader successfully passes this phase, they are then given access to a live account with the firm's capital. 🔸 Profit Sharing Once a trader is funded, they enter into a profit-sharing agreement with the firm. Typically, the trader receives a percentage of the profits, often around 70-90%, while the firm keeps the rest as compensation for providing the capital and infrastructure. For example, if a trader makes $10,000 in profits and their profit split is 80/20, they would keep $8,000 while the firm takes $2,000. 🔸 Risk Management Prop firms are very strict about risk management because they are providing their own capital. They impose limits on the maximum drawdown (the amount a trader can lose), daily loss limits, and leverage. If these rules are violated, traders risk losing their funded status. 🔸 Advantages for Traders Low Financial Risk: Traders do not need to risk their own capital, reducing personal financial exposure. No Pressure to Invest Large Sums: With access to firm capital, traders don’t need to save up large amounts to trade at higher levels. Support and Resources: Many prop firms provide educational resources, trading platforms, and tools to help their traders succeed. 🔸Types of Prop Firms Prop firms can generally be categorized into two types: 🔸Traditional Prop Firms: These firms often require traders to work in-office and provide access to a wide range of markets beyond Forex, including stocks, commodities, and derivatives. Online Prop Firms: The more popular model today, these firms operate remotely, allowing traders from around the world to participate. 🔸 Fees Most prop firms charge traders an initial fee to cover the evaluation process. This fee can range from a few hundred to a couple of thousand dollars, depending on the account size. In many cases, this fee is refundable if the trader successfully completes the evaluation. 🔸 Challenges Strict Rules: If traders fail to adhere to the firm's rules (such as daily loss limits or maximum drawdown), they can lose their funded account. Pressure to Perform: Trading with someone else’s capital can create pressure, which can affect trading decisions and lead to mistakes if not handled well. 🔸Bot Algo Trading in Forex Algorithmic trading (algo trading) involves using pre-programmed instructions (algorithms) that can automatically execute trades in the Forex market based on specific conditions. These conditions can be price, volume, time, or other market indicators. Algo trading has become increasingly popular in the Forex market due to its ability to: ▪️Execute trades at high speed without the need for human intervention. ▪️Remove emotional biases, which can often lead to poor decision-making in trading. ▪️Test and optimize strategies through backtesting on historical data to ensure effectiveness. ▪️Implement complex strategies that would be difficult for a human to execute manually. 🔸what is a Bot Algo Expert? A bot algo expert is typically a professional who specializes in developing and optimizing trading algorithms (bots) for Forex markets. They possess skills in coding, often using languages like Python, MQL4/5 (MetaQuotes Language), and other programming languages tailored to financial markets. 🔸The expert focuses on building bots that can: ▪️Identify trading signals based on technical indicators (like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands). ▪️Automatically execute trades when certain criteria are met (such as entering or exiting positions). ▪️Manage risk by setting stop-loss and take-profit orders to minimize potential losses. ▪️Optimize performance by regularly updating the algorithm based on market conditions. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
16
The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market. Among them, it discloses the flow of funds. Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds. Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds. Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets. - USDT continues to update its ATH. You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT. USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered. The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B. Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in. If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high. Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market. USDC is likely to be composed of US funds. Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market. But it is not all good. This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market. This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate. In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC. Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds. Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present. - As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds. The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend. Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective. As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds. Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations. The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend. Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend. ------------------------------------ (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak. Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time. - (1W chart) The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart. - (1M chart) On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise. The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created. - You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above. In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone. Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement. Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates. ------------------------------------------ I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
CRYPTOCAP:USDTEducation
by readCrypto
Chart with trend(MACD), momentum(DMI), and market strength(OBV) Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- BW+ indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators. Therefore, knowledge of MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators is required. I added the existing HA-Low and HA-High indicators to express the section to start trading more clearly. - The indicators have changed and been supplemented a lot over the past 6 years of using TradingView. It was not easy to express my trading method as an indicator. Because of this, I think there are people who unintentionally interpret my writing differently from what I think. So, to narrow this gap, I am explaining the indicators used in my article. Since these indicators are automatically generated by a formula, no one can change them. Therefore, I think anyone can look at the chart and interpret it from the same perspective. However, there may be differences in interpretation depending on one's investment style or average purchase price. However, since everyone talks about the same point, there will be no confusion. - When talking to each other in the community, if you talk with the chart tool you drew, you may talk differently and there may be room for misunderstanding. So, I think the conversation often goes in a strange direction because the conversation ends up talking about whether it is LONG or SHORT right now. I think that charts drawn with chart tools are not very meaningful because they only show a part of the person's thoughts through chart analysis. This is because they do not tell you the selection point using the chart tool, so interpretation or understanding is lacking. Therefore, you cannot apply such content to your own chart. So, since it can't be used as a trading strategy, I can't help but just say, "Oh, that could be possible." However, if there is a chart that everyone can see and no one can change, I think it would be easier to talk and reflect each other's thoughts on my trading strategy. I think that because of that, I can find out what I lacked and supplement it. Not everyone sees the same thing and thinks the same, but if the basic point of the thought is the same, I think it can help me make other people's thoughts my own. - Anyway, I hope that this chart change will help you create a clearer analysis or trading strategy. - The MACD indicator added to the chart is an indicator with a modified formula from the existing MACD indicator, but the interpretation method is the same. That is, - If MACD > Signal, it is interpreted as an upward trend, - If MACD < Signal, it is interpreted as a downward trend. - The DMI indicator added to the chart simplifies the interpretation of the existing D+, D- indicators by expressing them as lines on the ADX line. That is, - The section expressed in Aqua color means a downward section, - The section expressed in Orange means an upward section. - When ADX is above 25, it means that the strength of the upward or downward movement is strong, - When it is below 25, it means that there is a high possibility of forming a box section or sideways section. - The OBV indicator added to the chart means an upward trend when each line is broken upward, and a downward trend when it is broken downward. - The indicator that expresses the contents explained above is the BW v1.0 indicator. In order to see this more intuitively, the BW (100), BW (0), and Mid (50) indicators were added so that they can be expressed in the price candle section. In addition, there are also High (80 Down), Low (20 Up) indicators. - It is never easy to interpret each indicator and evaluate it comprehensively. It is especially difficult when trading in real time. - When interpreting the BW v1.0 indicator, it is basically divided into rising and falling based on the 50 point. Therefore, passing the 50 point increases the possibility of a significant change in the trend. Therefore, it seems that trading can be done based on whether there is support near the Mid (50) line generated when the BW indicator passes the 50 point, but this is not the case. The reason is that volatility is likely to occur when a change in trend occurs. When volatility occurs, your trading point will go up and down, so psychological pressure will increase and you may proceed with an inappropriate trade. Therefore, a good point to start trading is the BW (0), BW (100) or HA-Low, HA-High point. Since these indicators are generated at the boundary of the low or high point range, if you start trading based on whether there is support, you are more likely to get good results. - In any case, you should think in line with your average purchase price. Otherwise, if you trade incorrectly due to psychological pressure when you get close to the average purchase price, you may end up with little profit or even a loss. This means that when you start a new trade, it is better to start near the BW (0), BW (100), HA-Low, and HA-High indicators as mentioned above. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Misconceptions and Truths about Paper Trading Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- TradingView also supports Paper Trading. For more information, please click the link below. www.tradingview.com More flexibility: change your Paper Trading account currency : www.tradingview.com Even more seamless order design — directly on chart : www.tradingview.com --------------------------------------- Paper Trading is thought to support trading practice for beginners. However, this is a wrong idea. If you lack prior knowledge about trading or have no concept of trading strategy, you should not do paper trading. The reason is that the psychological burden is different. The success or failure of a trade is thought to be the result of trading strategy or response ability, but in reality, it can be said that it is determined by the battle with oneself and psychological state. This means that psychological state has a significant impact on trading. Therefore, paper trading should be considered as a transaction that is conducted to confirm one's trading strategy and response strategy after completing chart analysis. If you have completed some verification of your trading strategy or response strategy, you should continue to conduct actual trading even if you suffer a loss. The reason is that you should not forget that you can only gain know-how in trading through actual trading. Therefore, paper trading should not be used to practice mid- to long-term trading, but should be used to verify trading strategies or response strategies for short-term trading or day trading. In order to do so, you must close the transaction by selling or cutting your loss. ------------------------------------------- For more information on trading orders in paper trading, please refer to the explanation through the link above. - You can proceed with Paper Trading by clicking the Trading Panel at the bottom menu of the TradingView chart. If you connect to a Paper Trading account, you can start with an initial fund of 100,000. If the Buy/Sell button is not activated, activate the chart settings to activate the Buy/Sell button before proceeding with the trade. Right-click on the space in the price candle area to activate the window, and then hover your mouse over the Trade section to check the trading order or trading settings (when you click the Trading menu in the Chart Settings window). - In addition, TradingView is linked to a real exchange and supports real trading. It supports various exchanges, so I recommend you to check if there is an exchange that you are trading on. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Activate the alarm function when touching the set indicator Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- One of the good things about using TradingView charts is that you can use the alarm function. This alarm function has a limit on the number depending on the plan you use, so please check it out. I will take the time to explain the alarm function using my chart. It is hard, boring, and tedious to just look at the chart until you meet the desired trading point or criteria. If you do that, you may end up making a wrong trade or missing the trading period while doing something else. If you create an alarm and change the Value section to the HA-MS_BW indicator, multiple indicators will be displayed. The indicators currently activated on the chart are HA-Low, HA-High, BW, and M-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, so you can select BW or HA-Low, LH, LL and check if the alarm turns on when they cross. When looking at the 15m chart, since it is moving sideways in the box section of the HA-Low indicator, if you set it to LH, LL indicator, the alarm will come when you touch the upper or lower point of the box. Then, you can use it conveniently when you want to trade within the box section. If you want to trade in a large trend, I think it would be good to set the alarm to turn on when you touch the 5EMA on the 1D chart. Or, you can set the alarm to turn on when the OBV indicator breaks through the high (HH) or low (LL) line upward. If you are a paid member of TradingView, I highly recommend using the alarm function. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K. The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Basic example of starting a trade Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This is an example of starting a trade, explaining that you should objectively define the basics that are right for you. Therefore, I hope that this will be an opportunity to reexamine your trading judgment criteria rather than judging it as right or wrong. ----------------------------------------- It is showing a downward trend without breaking through the sell line of the superTrend indicator. Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator (approximately 59953.52) on the 1W chart and rise above 60672.0-61099.25. If not, you should check whether it is supported near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart). Therefore, 1st: 59053.55 2nd: 57889.10 You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. - Usually, there are many cases where you trade impulsively based on your psychological state. To prevent this, it is good to have an objective trading method according to your investment style. This objectification is best done at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, it is good to trade based on whether it is supported near 59053.55 or 60720.0-61099.25. However, judging whether it is supported only by sight can lead to an incorrect judgment depending on psychological factors that occur during trading, so it is good to have objective information as the basis for judgment. It refers to indicators added to the chart as objective information. The MS-Signal indicator is used as a trend-related indicator, which is the M-Signal indicator of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. As a trading-related indicator, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and their corresponding box sections, superTend, and volume profile are used. As a trading-related reference auxiliary indicator, the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator are used. - If we explain the current movement by referring to these indicators, - The superTrend indicator, which is passing around 60672.0-61099.25, has failed to rise above the sell line, - It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, - The StochRSI indicator is showing a trend of changing from an upward to a downward slope in the overbought section. However, since the StochRSI indicator has not yet fallen from the overbought zone and is not in a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is difficult to see it as a downward turn. Therefore, an aggressive sell (SHORT) is possible between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the 60672.0-61099.25 range. Afterwards, when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, if it shows resistance near 59053.55 or the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, you can sell (SHORT). If it is supported at the point mentioned above, you can buy (LONG). However, it is recommended to check whether the state has been changed to StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. If not, it can pretend to rise and fall right away. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
All About the Head & Shoulders Pattern(Beginner-Friendly) Part.2Hello, everyone. Today, I’m excited to share the second part of my educational series on chart patterns. In this post, we’ll be focusing on the 'Head and Shoulders' and 'Inverse Head and Shoulders' patterns. For those who missed the first part, you can catch up here: ↓↓↓ As always, I’ve kept the explanations simple and beginner-friendly. I hope this guide provides you with valuable insights! Here’s today’s outline: ———— ✔️ Outline 1. What is the Head and Shoulders pattern? Definition Key components Characteristics 2. Head and Shoulders Basic features Examples 3. Inverse Head and Shoulders Basic features Examples ———— 1. What is the "Head and Shoulders" pattern? 1) Definition The Head and Shoulders pattern is a well-established reversal formation that appears after an uptrend and signals the potential start of a downtrend. It indicates that buying pressure is weakening and selling pressure is gaining momentum. 2) Key components Left Shoulder: The initial peak, where the price rises and then pulls back. Head : The highest peak, situated between the two shoulders, representing the final bullish push. Right Shoulder: The third peak, which is typically lower than the head but similar to the left shoulder, signaling diminishing buying interest. Neckline: A key support line drawn across the lows of the left and right shoulders. A decisive break below this neckline confirms the reversal and the beginning of a downtrend. 3) Characteristics Reversal signal: The Head and Shoulders pattern marks a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend. Easy identification: The structure is visually distinctive, with three clear peaks. Neckline significance: A break below the neckline serves as a confirmation signal for the downtrend. Volume dynamics: Volume typically rises during the formation of the left shoulder and head, decreases during the right shoulder, and surges again when the neckline is breached. ———— 2. Head and Shoulders (Reversal from uptrend to downtrend) 1) Basic features End of an uptrend: The Head and Shoulders pattern forms at the end of a bullish phase, signaling a weakening in buying strength. Distinct peak heights: The head is always higher than the shoulders, which are generally symmetrical, though the right shoulder may sometimes be slightly lower, enhancing the pattern’s reliability. Neckline as a trigger: The neckline acts as a critical support level. A break below it confirms the pattern and signals the onset of a bearish trend. Volume confirmation: Volume increases during the left shoulder and head formations, weakens during the right shoulder, and spikes when the neckline is broken, confirming a potential sell-off. Price target: After the pattern completes, the expected price drop is typically equal to the distance between the head and the neckline, providing traders with a target. 2-1) Example 1 In this example, we see a fakeout at the right shoulder, followed by a sharp decline. After a brief retest of the neckline, the price broke through and continued its downtrend. 2-2) Example 2 In this chart, a fakeout occurred when the price dropped from the head and formed the neckline, misleading many market participants. After forming the right shoulder, the price successfully declined. There were two retests, which confirmed the reliability of the pattern. ———— 3. Reverse Head and Shoulders (Trend reversal from downtrend to uptrend) 1) Basic features End of a downtrend: The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern typically forms at the end of a downtrend, signaling a potential reversal to the upside. Formation of lows: Like the standard Head and Shoulders, this pattern consists of three lows—left shoulder, head, and right shoulder—with the head being the lowest point. Neckline significance: The neckline is drawn across the highs of the left and right shoulders. A break above this line confirms the reversal and acts as a strong buy signal. Volume pattern: Volume tends to decrease during the formation of the pattern but surges when the neckline is broken, signaling strong buying momentum. Target setting: After the pattern is confirmed, the expected price rise is often equal to the distance from the head to the neckline, which helps traders set profit targets. 2-1) Example 1 After the Head and Shoulders pattern formed, the price broke above the neckline, successfully reversing the downtrend into an uptrend. A buy strategy would have yielded profits at the breakout point. 2-2) Example 2 In this example, a smaller Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern formed within the head of a larger pattern (see Example 3). After two successful retests, the price reversed into a strong uptrend. 2-3) Example 3 This example showcases the smaller Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern mentioned in Example 2, located within the head. After two successful retests, a buy strategy could have led to profits as the price reversed into an uptrend. ———— ✔️ Conclusion "Charts are the maps of the market." The Head and Shoulders and Reverse Head and Shoulders patterns we’ve covered in this post are key signals that frequently appear in the market. Charts aren’t random—they are visual representations of market psychology and investor behavior. As traders, our role is to interpret these maps, navigate the market, and make informed decisions. Investing is more than just buying and selling. Sometimes the market may move contrary to our expectations, while other times we seize opportunities and achieve success. Each experience is a chance to learn and grow. The more experience you gain, the more paths you’ll recognize on the chart. Success in this market requires persistence, patience, and continuous learning. Understanding and analyzing chart patterns like the ones discussed here is just the beginning. I hope this post has helped you gain a deeper understanding of the market and make more informed decisions. The market is always evolving, but within that evolution lies opportunity. The key is developing the ability to spot those opportunities. With knowledge, experience, and confidence, you’ll find greater success. Stay prepared, and always listen to what the market is telling you.
Education
by Killer_Whales
1
Less is more...If you don't know me, I have been a trader a very long time. Nearly 25 years to be exact. Over the years, I have spent a lot of time studying a wide array of techniques, tools, patterns and market sentiment. Lucky enough, the markets have also been very kind to me. I've been fortunate enough to have two trading books published by large traditional publishing companies. So it's safe to say, I live and breathe trading. I am going to do a series of posts here covering a couple of key educational topics - starting with Elliott Wave theory. When it comes to Elliott Wave theory, there seems to be a love hate relationship for many people. Some get it, some see it as not relevant. To be honest, both are correct. Now before you jump on the high horse "it doesn't work for crypto" - let me start by saying, this is not a lesson on how to use Elliott Theory. I covered that in these posts below; And step two; In terms of using Elliott, it's not as simple as trying to figure out each and every move. (this is often why, it does not work.) Instead the benefit of Elliott, is to accept it as a bias tool that aids in understanding the current market sentiment. We often see posts online about things like the Wall Street cheat sheet. I also covered this in another post here on @TradingView Where the theory has any real value, is simply to obtain a bias. The market is always searching for liquidity. In order to obtain liquidity, the market needs to attract players for the game. Now, you have probably entered a trade and felt almost immediately that the market has pushed against you, it's out to get you and the brokers are playing 1 vs 1 against you. This is where sentiment really comes in. As a retail trader you have likely been exposed to tools such as RSI, MACD or even dabbled with Elliott and Wyckoff. But the reason the market does, what the market does, is not to get you as an individual, instead it's there to collect liquidity from a crowd. Elliott wave theory isn't a technical tool, it's a sentiment tool. So instead of trying to guess every internal and nested swing, you can make an awful lot of money by simply giving a directional bias. I wrote an article in 2021 here - About the emotions, I used the Simpsons to get the point across. The general idea is to understand where liquidity is likely to be and use that to make informed trading decisions. If you have any specific questions, even topics you would like covered, leave a comment below. I'll add to this in another post as part of this series. Stay safe and wish you all the best. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
Fear and Greed Index: Decoding Crypto Market Sentiment!Hey everyone! If you enjoy this content, please consider giving it a thumbs up and following for more analysis. The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and emotions can often drive trading decisions. The Fear and Greed Index attempts to quantify these emotions, providing a snapshot of investor sentiment at a given time. What is the Fear and Greed Index? The Fear and Greed Index is a composite score ranging from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). It analyzes several data points to arrive at a single value: Volatility: Higher price swings indicate greater fear, while lower volatility suggests a calmer market. Market Momentum: Rapid price increases point to greed, while sustained price drops signal fear. Social Media Sentiment: Analyzing the tone of social media discussions about cryptocurrency can reveal fear or greed. Survey Data: Polls and surveys gauging investor sentiment are also factored in. Dominance: The market share of Bitcoin (BTC) relative to other cryptocurrencies is considered. How to Interpret the Fear and Greed Index: 0-24: Extreme Fear: This indicates a potentially oversold market where investors are panicking. It might be a buying opportunity for long-term investors with a high-risk tolerance. 25-49: Fear: The market is cautious, and prices could go either way. 50-74: Greed: Investor sentiment is becoming optimistic, potentially leading to price increases. However, be cautious of entering a potentially overbought market. 75-100: Extreme Greed: Euphoria reigns, and prices could be inflated. This might be a good time to take profits or exercise caution before entering new positions. Is the Fear and Greed Index Manipulated? Can people mess with it? Kinda. They might try to fake positive social media stuff to make the index look more greedy than it is. Also, the way the index weighs different things can be tweaked a bit. But here's the thing: There's a lot of data going into the score, so it's not super easy to manipulate. Plus, everyone knows how it works, so investors can take it with a grain of salt. The Fear and Greed Index at 47 (Neutral) With a current score of 47, the Fear and Greed Index suggests a neutral market sentiment. Investors are neither overly fearful nor excessively greedy. This could indicate a period of consolidation or a wait-and-see approach before the market makes its next move. Remember: The Fear and Greed Index is just one data point among many. Always conduct your own research and employ a comprehensive trading strategy before making any investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by CoreCrypto1
New crypto world or just a bubble?Imagine how a young student from Norway, Christopher Koch, finds himself in a virtual labyrinth of the Internet, where in one of its corners a mysterious light flickers - information about the brave new world of digital currency called Bitcoin. Driven by a fierce passion for learning the art of finance, Christopher decides to invest his modest $25 in 5,000 coins of this currency and leave them alone for four years, like grains in sand, hoping for a miracle. And lo and behold, a miracle happens! When he suddenly returns to this world, Bitcoin, like the stars in the night sky, doubles its value over and over again, turning a modest initial investment into a fountain of $800,000, illuminating Christopher's path with an endless light of wealth. Meanwhile, in another corner of the world, James Howells, like a hero from a fairy tale, finds himself in a dark room where his old disk lies, from which 7,500 bitcoins suddenly shine like treasure in the valley of dragons. But, unfortunately, the key to the treasury was lost, and the disk is now hidden deep underground, under a layer of time and oblivion. These two stories, like little sand stars on the ocean shore, reflect the grand journeys and vicissitudes of the world of cryptocurrencies, where every step can be a magical or dark turn on the path to wealth and adventure. These are just two of the many stories played out in the cryptocurrency theater. Some students turn their study days into journeys to make millions, others get lost in the maze of the pursuit of quick money, and some simply lose the keys to their treasure troves and are unable to unlock the doors to their wealth. Cryptocurrencies are not only financial instruments, but also plots for exciting stories about adventures, discoveries and losses that make our world more mysterious and fascinating. This is what New York looked like in September 2008: one after another, people in expensive suits with boxes in their hands come out of a building in the center of Manhattan. These people were fired from the world's largest bank, L Brothers, and so far no one knows that these layoffs will begin the deepest economic crisis on the planet since the Great Depression. A decline in production, an increase in unemployment, the disappearance of easy loans - all these signs indicate that a collapse may hit us too. Almost no one thought that more than 2 million people in the United States alone would lose their jobs. The crisis will spread to other countries that are closely linked to the American economy, and pension funds around the world will lose trillions of dollars. Imagine a world where money is not printed by the state, but is masterfully forged by participants in a new game called blockchain. In 2008, an anonymous person under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto challenged established rules by releasing his creation into the world - Bitcoin, a digital currency in which there is no place for banking dependence or government control. This is something incredible, where every operation is a small masterpiece of cryptography, captured in the blockchain. Let's see how it works: one participant transfers 10 coins to another, and after a while he returns five coins to him. But there is no room for fraud or oblivion, because each operation is encrypted and inextricably linked to previous blocks. It's like a game of ciphers where one mistake destroys the entire maze. Each block in the blockchain is not just a record, but a quest where to create a new block you need to find the correct hash, consisting of a thousand characters. Miners are unusual treasure hunters who solve complex computational problems to discover that hash and earn their Bitcoin. And the more difficult the task, the greater the delight and reward, just like in the most exciting game. This is how digital currency appeared, which became a symbol of the financial revolution and a new era of independence.

 On January 3, 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto wrote his name into history by creating the first block in the Bitcoin blockchain. In this block, as in the mysterious letter of time, there were no financial transactions. Instead, it contained just one phrase that caught the world's attention: "The Chancellor is on the brink of a second bank bailout." This phrase, which became the headline of the British newspaper Times, reflected the deep financial crisis that gripped the world. A few days later, on January 12, Satoshi made the first real transaction in block 170, sending 10 bitcoins to programmer Hal Finney. With each new block, more and more people learned about Bitcoin, joined the process and became part of this revolutionary technology. It's hard to believe, but in the early days Bitcoin was worth less than one cent and was used more as an experimental technology than as a medium of exchange. However, with the passage of time and the spread of knowledge about it, Bitcoin began to gain increasing fame and value, turning from an experiment into a revolution in the world of finance.

 Bitcoin is a unique form of digital wealth where ownership is entirely yours. No banks or intermediaries are required to transfer it. All you need to do is know the recipient’s wallet address, and you can carry out the transaction shares directly. It is important to remember that the only way to lose your funds is to reveal the key to your wallet to scammers. Bitcoin is also unique in that it has strict mining rules. Only 21 million coins will be created, and every 210,000 blocks the reward for finding the hash of a new block is halved. This means that if in 2009 a miner received 50 bitcoins per block, today this number has decreased to just over three. Despite the decrease in rewards, the number of miners is growing, and huge farms covering thousands of square meters are now used to mine Bitcoin. This competition does not have a significant impact on the mining speed, and it is thanks to this mechanism that Bitcoin has become known as “digital gold.” Unlike fiat money, which is subject to inflation due to the constant printing of new ones, Bitcoin does not depreciate in value. This makes it attractive to many because it provides a stable and reliable medium of exchange rather than just paper bills in a wallet. People sincerely believed that the new blockchain technology and Bitcoin in particular would give them complete control over their own finances. With each new miner, Bitcoin gained more trust. However, its limited throughput - just seven transactions per second, while Visa's was 24,000 per second - became a bottleneck. This slowness, although it ensured the stability of Bitcoin, prevented its mass use. As blockchain became understood and widespread, thousands of programmers began looking for ways to improve Bitcoin. In 2011, a former Google employee created a cryptocurrency that was eight times faster, easier to mine, and cheaper to transact - it was Litecoin, the digital silver-to-digital gold equivalent of Bitcoin. However, Litecoin was not the only alternative. In 2012, the Ripple cryptocurrency appeared, which was capable of transferring customer money in a few seconds and almost free of charge, which was a difference from the traditional Swift bank transfer system. Every year more and more new coins and projects appeared, offering various solutions and improvements in the world of cryptocurrencies. Vitalik Buterin truly revolutionized the world of cryptocurrencies. He asked himself: What if we took advantage of the new technology offered by Bitcoin and solved one of the key problems of the economy - the problem of trust? In 2015, he launched the Ethereum project, which proposed the concept of smart contracts. Here's how they work: Imagine you want to buy an apartment. To protect yourself, you go to the bank and open a letter of credit. You deposit money into this account, which the seller will receive only after signing the purchase and sale agreement. The whole process is controlled by the bank, which takes a commission for this. The Ethereum smart contract removes the bank from this transaction. The system itself checks the terms of the contract and, if they are fulfilled, automatically transfers money from your wallet to the seller’s wallet. This happens quickly, cheaply and reliably, without intermediaries and unnecessary commissions. Ethereum has really made it easier to create your own cryptocurrencies. Previously, you had to develop your own blockchain to do this, but now thanks to Ethereum it has become much easier. Ethereum can be called the programming language of the cryptocurrency world because it allows you to create new coins and tokens easily and quickly. As a result of the emergence of Ethereum in 2017, a massive phenomenon occurred - ICO (Initial Coin Offering), when startups issued their coins and tokens to raise capital. This allowed any startup to attract funding without special restrictions and control from the state. The crypto industry began to resemble the golden era of the Internet in the late 90s, when everyone understood that the future belonged to the Internet, and Internet companies grew quickly, like mushrooms after rain. The essence of the ICO is that startups come up with their own project, issue a coin for this project and promise investors a huge increase in the price of this coin (for example, by 1000%). They then raise funds by selling their coins to investors.

 Indeed, cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies create two parallel worlds. One world is public money, which is backed and controlled by the government. Another world is private money, which operates on the basis of agreements and technologies between system participants, providing a greater degree of autonomy. Governments find themselves in a difficult situation trying to straddle both sides of the aisle. They do not ban cryptocurrencies, seeing the potential for the future in blockchain technology, but at the same time do not recognize them as official money, since this threatens the foundations of the state economy. Many countries have begun to develop their own national blockchain-based cryptocurrencies, known as central bank digital currencies. Such currencies promise higher levels of transparency and security, since every transaction can be tracked, and smart contracts provide more reliable funds transfers. This process leads to increased government control over financial transactions, but also provides citizens with more convenience and protection. Decentralization, which was originally one of the main features of cryptocurrencies, is now becoming a tool for government regulation. My point is that cryptocurrency is not just a niche means of payment or a risky investment. It represents a new form of financial relations, which is already being actively introduced into everyday life. We are witnessing a historic shift in the financial sector, where digital money is becoming an integral part of our daily lives, just as the Internet became an integral part of our lives in the past.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Crypto4light
TrendsThe trend represents the directional movement of prices and plays an essential role in most technical trading systems. Technical analysis differentiates between trending and non-trending markets, also called flat trending markets. Trending markets can be either moving upwards or downwards. The upward-moving market is called the bull market, while the downward-moving market is called the bear market. Normally, a market is considered to be in an uptrend when the price reaches higher peaks and higher troughs. On the contrary, the market is regarded to be in a downtrend when the price reaches lower troughs and lower peaks. The non-trending market occurs when there is no significant uptrend or downtrend, and the price moves within a certain range. Thus, the flat trending market is notorious for its sideways-moving price action. Key takeaways: Trends can vary in length and are classified into four main categories: primary, secondary, minor, and intraday. The primary trend is the most significant trend, lasting for months or years. It's characterized by the overall direction of the market. The secondary trend opposes the primary trend and usually lasts for weeks or months. Identifying trends is crucial for technical traders. Methods range from simple tracking of recent lows and highs to more complex mathematical formulas. Trend classification Trends tend to be of different lengths. According to these lengths, trends fall into four main categories: primary trend, secondary trend, minor trend, and intraday trend. The primary trend is the only inviolable trend and lasts for a long period, usually months or years. The secondary trend runs counter to the primary trend and is often measured in weeks or months. Further, the minor trend is measured in days, and the intraday trend is represented merely by daily fluctuations in price. The primary trend The primary trend can be subdivided into three distinctive phases. The first phase of the primary uptrend begins with the revival of investors' confidence from the prior primary downtrend. That is followed by the second phase, in which asset prices increase in response to growing corporate earnings. In the third stage, speculation becomes the dominant force driving markets higher. This environment, when asset prices are rising on the hopes, dreams, and expectations of individual investors, tends to foreshadow the beginning of the primary downtrend. Its first phase commences with the abandonment of hopes and dreams upon which investments were made. That is followed by selling pressure due to falling corporate earnings in the second phase, which later escalates into panic selling in the third stage. Illustration 1.01   The illustration displays the weekly chart of Nasdaq continuous futures (NQ1!) for the period between late 2001 and 2008. The primary bull market began after the bottom of the “dotcom” bubble and lasted until the peak of the real estate and credit crisis in 2007. Illustration 1.02   The image above presents the daily chart of gold (XAUUSD) during the 2008 bear market when it dropped 34%. The secondary trend The secondary trend is the intermediate-term trend. Its direction is opposite to the primary trend, and it represents any significant price drop in the primary bull market or price rise in the primary bear market. The secondary trend usually lasts for weeks or months. Its measure in percentage terms tends to range between 33% and 66% of the range of the primary trend. This trend is considered to be prone to market manipulation as opposed to the primary trend. Illustration 1.03   The picture shows Bayerische Motoren Werke's (BMW) daily chart throughout 2020 and 2021. The white dashed-line box indicates the primary uptrend, and the grey dashed-line boxes indicate the secondary trends, counter to the primary one.  The minor and intraday trend The minor trend lasts for a few days or weeks, yet always less than the secondary trend. It is more difficult to identify than previous types of trends since its amplitude in percentage terms is significantly less when compared to the primary and secondary trends. The same applies to the intraday trend that lasts for a few seconds up to several hours; it represents daily changes in the price and is regarded to have little predictive value. Trend identification Identifying a trend is crucial for a trend-based technical trader, and there are plenty of methods how to identify it correctly. These methods can be simple or very complex. The simplest method of identifying trends can be done by tracking recent lows and recent highs in the price of an asset. Other simple methods involve using lines, trendlines, and curves; more complex methods usually involve the use of mathematical formulas in order to generate a set of valuable data. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This article is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Education
by Tradersweekly
2
Miners' Bitcoin Holdings Decrease While Value in USD IncreasesWhile the amount of Bitcoin in miners' hands continues to decrease, its value against the dollar is increasing. Miners' Bitcoin Reserves: In 2019, Bitcoin miners held approximately 2.9 million Bitcoin.This number has been steadily decreasing since then. As of today, miners hold approximately 2 million Bitcoin (source: intotheblock). Value of Miners' Bitcoin Reserves: In nominal terms, the amount of BTC they hold has decreased. However, in terms of value, it has reached the 2021 level again. To illustrate: On April 5, 2021, miners held 2.37 million Bitcoin, worth approximately $142 billion. As of today, miners hold approximately 2 million Bitcoin (worth approximately $129 billion). Conclusion: After the halving, we can expect miners' reserves to decrease (also to meet the increasing demand). However, this is not a scary situation. I expect the dollar value of Bitcoin in miners' hands to exceed the previous all-time high in the near future. The reason for this is that the "realised price" (approximately the cost) of Bitcoin will increase after the halving. Overall, this is a data point that we should regularly check to better understand the bull cycle. TradingView code for tracking the data: BTC_MINERRESERVESUSD BTC_MINERRESERVES Thanks for reading.
INTOTHEBLOCK:BTC_MINERRESERVESUSDEducation
by burakkesmeci
How to compare other coins to BTCAn easy way and using a single chart to compare multiple coins to Bitcoin is by using the "+" button next to the Symbol input. It quickly shows us which coins outperformed BTC in the past weeks/days and is a good indicator of how good altcoins are performing. I added the top market cap coins that showed good results and the winners are SOL, AVAX and BNB. To my surprise, ETH is pretty even with BTC. A new challenger that rose up within just a month is TON which market cap went up 185%.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCEducation
by cyatophilum
Examples of criteria for creating a trading strategyHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- We analyze charts in a variety of ways to determine trends. I think the important thing is how to create a trading strategy using these analysis methods, not whether you can match the trend or not. Therefore, even if you know the trend, if you do not create a trading strategy properly, you may end up with small profits or even losses. Therefore, I think it is extremely important to find support and resistance points that can ultimately create a trading strategy and how to create a trading strategy based on those points. (Heikin Ashi 1D chart) (Renko 1D chart) I think the Heikin Ashi chart and Renko chart supported by TradingView charts are good charts for identifying trends. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators created using the Heikin Ashi chart are implemented, we will not talk about the Heikin Ashi chart. The advantage of Heikin Ashi charts and Renko charts is that they reduce fakes and whipsaws. However, it is not easy to actually trade with only two charts. That's because it's so difficult to see. In particular, Renko charts can be more esoteric than Heikin Ashi charts. The reason is that the price is expressed in certain blocks. However, if you look at the way the chart is drawn, you can see that fakes and whipsaws have been reduced more than the Heikin Ashi chart. So, just as I created the HA-Low and HA-High indicators using the Heikin Ashi chart, I am trying to create a standardized trading strategy using the Renko chart. We added the TS-BW auxiliary indicator used in the existing chart to verify the basic direction. The overall direction can be verified by whether the BW indicator is in an upward or downward trend. Additionally, you can verify more detailed direction through the movements of the StochRSI indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator. We added the MS-Signal indicator to the price chart section to help you see the chart trend more intuitively. With the addition of the MS-Signal indicator, I don't think there is a need to add the superTrend indicator. Since the MS-Signal indicator is a curve, we wanted to help create a trading strategy by adding the superTrend indicator, which is expressed as a line. Next, in order to create a more confident trading strategy, various indicators are displayed on the price chart so that you can intuitively check support and resistance points. By doing this, I believe that the Renko chart, which was used as a trend chart, was expressed as a tradable chart. No matter how good an analysis technique you know, if you cannot create a trading strategy that suits you, your trading is likely to ultimately fail. Therefore, once you have found an analysis technique that suits you, you should focus on reducing your psychological burden by investing more time in creating a trading strategy rather than trying to develop the analysis technique. The trading strategy is 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method I think it consists of the three things above. Steps 1 and 2 are steps to begin with a broader observation of the coin (token, item) you want to trade rather than the chart. Therefore, in the coin market, it is necessary to check whether the coin ecosystem is expanding and which themes it is included in. If you decide to trade a coin (token, item) that has been confirmed in this way, you must look at the chart of the coin (token, item) and create a trading strategy. The decisions made in steps 1 and 2 of the trading strategy are classified into intraday and medium-term investment, short-term and day trading, etc., and the appropriate investment size is determined. Accordingly, actual purchases, sales, stop losses, etc. are made in step 3. You decide. When purchasing, it is important to try to estimate the average purchase price as much as possible. To do this, it is recommended to proceed with split purchases at the support and resistance points expressed in the chart above. Selling for profit is also recommended through split sales. However, you should try to sell when the price is rising. This is because if you sell while the price is rising and falling, it can be quite difficult to create a follow-up trading strategy. Therefore, when selling, it is recommended to conduct split sales using auxiliary indicators such as the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator. I think stop-loss is something that should be done when there is a possibility that the price will fall further and cause larger losses. Therefore, how to sell at the stop loss point is very important. I believe that you can quickly learn a clear way to practice stop loss by conducting futures trading. I believe that the overall rate of return is ultimately determined by how well you do your stop loss. However, if possible, it is important to confirm your profit in advance before taking a stop loss. Therefore, I think that when deciding buy, sell, or stop-loss points, you should not rely on price issues other than the chart. This is because issues other than charts add subjective thoughts and can interfere with creating a proper trading strategy. Therefore, when deciding on step 3 of your trading strategy, it is best to look at the charts first and then read various articles afterwards. Whatever the method, if you have a trading strategy standard that suits you, that standard is the best trading strategy standard. No matter how good the trading strategy standard is, if it does not fit your investment style, there is a high possibility that the transaction will ultimately fail. When studying charts, it is best not to try to memorize the names of patterns or various indicators. Those names are not helpful at all in creating a trading strategy. Therefore, when studying charts or analysis techniques, you should try to find out what the key is. Once you understand the core content, you need to think deeply about how you can use it to create a trading strategy. You may have difficulty understanding this article because it contains a description of what you learned while conducting the transaction. Also, it may sound abstract. However, since it is information obtained through actual trading, I think it can be a way for those studying charts to learn more quickly. Have a good time. thank you --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
1